OVERCOMING COORDINATION FAILURE THROUGH NEIGHBORHOOD CHOICE ~AN EXPERIMENTAL STUDY~ Maastricht University Arno Riedl Ingrid M.T. Rohde Martin Strobel Introduction: Why ? Laboratory: people fail to coordinate on surplus maximizing equilibria Reality: people able to agree on rather efficient arrangements ∆? Interaction structure Possibility to choose interaction partners Largely neglected in the experimental and theoretical economic literature Our hypothesis Endogenous choice of interaction partners is a powerful force to achieve coordination on the payoff dominant equilibrium Coordination game B G B 95,95 5,90 G 90,5 75,75 Payoff dominant equilibrium Risk dominant equilibrium Representation during experiment your colour blue blue green green colour of your neighbour blue green blue green your earnings 95 points 5 points 90 points 75 points earnings of your neighbour 95 points 90 points 5 points 75 points Experiment: Repeated Network Game group size = 6 players two time blocks of 30 periods full information Decisions player i: # neighbors I. Network formation 1. 2. Two parameters: One-sided vs. two-sided link formation Costless vs. costly link formation II. Coordination game: 1 strategy simultaneously Implications Network Game Link formation 6 players Total possible # links proposed: 30 links Total possible # links formed: 15 links Coordination game B G B 95,95 5,90 G 90,5 75,75 Blue very risky complete network need all 5 other players to play B in order for you to play B as well Experiment: Treatments Experimental treatments costless Link formation onesided twosided I II Linking cost costly III Cost forming link = 80 points Control treatment : exogenously fixed complete network search “stable” equilibrium strategy & network structure Repeated network game: our predictions One-sided, costless complete network risk dominance no threat punishment hunt One sided, costly small & unstable networks Additional coordination problem no threat punishment Two-sided, costless complete network payoff dominance Punishment: efficiency enforcers trade off rd versus pd action Control treatment risk dominance Actual Experiment Computerized experimental sessions at BEE laboratory Maastricht 210 subjects: Students Maastricht University Each treatment : 3 sessions 1 session == 18 subjects 1 group == 6 subjects One sided costly: 8 observations Each session took approximately two hours Average earning per subject: 26.05 Euro 9 independent observations Results: what is actually played Round 1 No significant ∆ among the four treatments in payoff dominant play Frequency payoff dominant play Frequency .2 .4 .6 .8 1 part 1 Overall (1) Significant ∆ treatments with endogenous network structure vs. control treatment 0 10 Round one sided costly two sided costless 20 30 one sided costless full fixed payoff dominant equilibrium / total play Overall (2) Increase played payoff dominant eq played with endogenous network structure, decrease in control treatment Network: link structure Excess links Part I Part I Frequency .4 .6 Frequency 0 .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .8 1 Network density 0 10 20 Round one sided costly two sided costless one sided costless full fixed Overall: One sided costless: complete network 30 0 10 20 Round one sided costly two sided costless one sided costless Overall: One sided costless: all links proposed Two sided costless: no full reciprocation Two sided costless: punishment efficiency enforcers One sided costly: additional coordination One sided costly: add.coordination problem problem not solved 30 Results: play Total play/ possible play 0 0 .2 .2 .2 .4 .4 .4 .6 .6 .6 .8 .8 .8 11 1 Actual Actual play/ # total Play actual / 15 play ffff 2snoc 2snoc frpdpd frpdpd frrdrd frrdrd 1snoc 1snoc 1sc 1sc frprfrpr frnoplay Overall: Two sided costless:CG Endogenous treatments:not surplus always played max. eq. One sided Costly highest costly:coordination CG not always surplus played max. eq. ff 2snoc frpdpd frrdrd 1snoc 1sc frpr Overall: One sided costly: coordination problem Two sided costless: much eq. play less off eq. play Further tests: Why these results? Network structure vs action choice Action choice history vs. link proposal Individual data on: risk preferences: ten paired lottery (Holt Laurey, 2002) Generalized preferences on equality & efficiency personality traits: Brandstaetter 32 questions Conclusion Our hypothesis Endogenous choice of interaction partners is a powerful force to achieve coordination on the payoff dominant equilibrium strong support for our hypothesis! or
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