PRE-TAX PROFIT OF DKK 491 MILLION, ROE OF 10.6 % AND COST/INCOME RATIO DOWN TO .59 – SOLID DELIEVERY ACCORDING TO PLANS Presentation of Q1-Q3 2013 KEY MESSAGES 1 Core income 15 % up (y/y) : NII grew by 17 % and net fees and commissions grew by 27 % 2 Lower than expected cost growth following merger – Cost/Income Ratio down to 0.59 3 Core earnings before impairment of DKK 841 million – 16 % up from H1 2012 4 Loan losses of DKK 305 million or .95 % of loans and guarantees – slightly lower than expected 5 Bank lending stabilized at DKK 34.1 billion – bank deposits down DKK 0.4 billion in Q3 driven by move to investment schemes 6 CET 1 ratio of 14.0, solvency ratio of 17.7 and excess capital coverage of DKK 3.2 billion Page 2 HEADLINES FROM THE INCOME STATEMENT – SOLID DELIVERY ACCORDING TO PLANS SPAR NORD BANK DKKm Net interest income Net fees, charges and commissions Market-value adjustments Other income Core income Staff costs Operating expenses etc. Costs Core earnings before impairment Impairments of loans and advances, etc. Core earnings Investment income Profit/loss on ordinary activities Sector Fund Cost related to merger Profit from continuing operations Profit from discontinued operations Profit before tax Realized Realized YTD 2013 YTD 2012 Change in pct. 1,320 530 143 74 2,067 729 497 1,225 841 305 536 41 577 -83 -43 451 40 491 1,128 419 194 61 1,802 636 438 1,074 728 438 290 25 315 -44 -9 262 23 285 17 27 -26 21 15 15 14 14 16 -30 85 65 83 -89 72 75 72 side 3 Q3: A QUIET PERIOD WITH FIRM COST CONTROL SPAR NORD BANK DKKm Net interest income Net fees, charges and commissions Market-value adjustments Other income Core income Staff costs Operating expenses etc. Costs Core earnings before impairment Impairments of loans and advances, etc. Core earnings Investment income Profit/loss on ordinary activities Sector Fund Cost related to merger Profit from continuing operations Profit from discontinued operations Profit before tax Realized Q3 2013 Realized Q2 2013 Change in pct. Realized Q3 2012 Change in pct. 436 158 22 20 636 211 155 366 270 102 168 11 179 -25 -4 150 9 159 432 176 44 30 683 264 169 433 250 95 155 14 169 -27 -23 119 21 139 1 -10 -50 -33 -7 -20 -8 -15 8 8 9 -19 6 6 84 27 -57 14 368 123 53 17 561 185 131 316 245 111 134 20 154 -16 -9 129 6 135 18 28 -58 19 13 14 18 16 10 -8 25 -46 16 -56 60 16 51 18 side 4 NII: VOLUMES AND MARGINS STABILIZED IN Q3 NII and lending volume NII of DKK 1,320 million – up 17 % from Q1-Q3 2013 DKKm 750 DKKb 50 – 1 % up Q/Q Positive trends – – – – Volume taken over in merger secures growth Lower funding costs due to solid liquidity position Volumes stabilized from Q2 to Q3 Margins stabilized from Q2 to Q3 34.9 34.4 30.0 500 34.2 40 34.1 30 20 250 10 0 0 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Net interest income Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Loans, banking activities Negative trends – Demand remains modest – in spite of significant net customer influx in 2013 bank lending is down DKK 0.8 billion YTD – Low market interest rates – deposit margin remains negative Udvikling i rentemarginal Interest margin Pct. 7.00 6.00 5.00 Outlook – Volumes – have we finally seen the bottom? – Competition puts pressure on lending margins 4.22 4.15 4.02 4.27 4.88 4.82 4.64 4.44 4.83 5.16 4.93 4.66 5.04 5.00 4.12 4.00 3.00 2.00 4.00 4.14 4.13 4.11 3.91 1.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.09 0.33 0.36 3.62 0.50 4.19 4.71 4.99 5.08 5.32 5.83 5.71 5.68 0.45 0.11 -0.11 -0.26 -0.66 -1.00 5.60 -0.68 -0.68 -0.72 -0.65 Q110 Q210 Q310 Q410 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Q113 Q213 Q313 Interest margin (Deposits) Interest margin (Loans) Interest margin side 5 STRONG GROWTH IN NET FEES AND COMMISSIONS Net fees and commissions of DKK 530 million – 27 % up from Q1-Q3 2012 Generally fee income has been taken to new level after merger – especially in the mortgage area But organic growth is also high – Growth in asset management driven by customers’ move towards more active investment strategies – Strong volume trend in the mortgage-credit area Further growth expected in Q4 as Nykredit’s mortgage margin hikes kick in Værdipapirhandel Securities trading etc. DKKm 150 DKKm 100 50 50 0 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 12 12 13 13 13 YTD YTD 12 13 0 Lånesagsgebyrer Loan transaction fees DKKm 250 YTD 12/YTD 13: 27 pct. 500 250 0 YTD 12 150 100 Nettogebyrindtægter Net fee income 750 Y/Y: 30 pct. Kapitalforvaltning Asset management YTD 13 Y/Y: 24 pct. 250 200 150 150 100 100 50 50 0 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 12 12 13 13 13 YTD YTD 12 13 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 12 12 13 13 13 YTD YTD 12 13 Other fees 200 0 Y/Y: 65 pct. Y/Y: 3 pct. Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 12 12 13 13 13 YTD YTD 12 13 side 6 MARKET-VALUE ADJUSTMENTS: FIVE STRONG MONTHS FOLLOW BY FOUR-MONTH SLUMP Market-value adjustments and dividends of DKK 143 million – DKK 50 million down on Q1-Q3 2012 but still higher than expected January-May: Strong performance on bond portfolio, especially related to spread between Danish mortgage bonds and interest swaps June-September: Market turmoil and higher volatility Growth in market-value adjustments and dividends on portfolio of shares in financial-sector companies (DLR Kredit, BankInvest, PRAS mv.) Market-value adjustments DKKm 100 75 50 25 0 Q3 2012 Customers’ interest and FX related activity on par with last year Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Break-down on types DKKm Market-valued adjustments in Trading, Financial Markets & The International Division Tangible assets Currency trade and -agio Total YTD 2013 YTD 2012 Change 53 31 39 122 119 19 40 177 -66 12 -1 -55 side 7 COSTS LOWER THAN EXPECTED Omkostninger og O/I Ratio Total costs and Cost/Income Total costs and expenses of DKK 1,225 million – up 14 % on Q1-Q3 2012 - Increase exclusively related to merger - Increase lower than expected Payroll costs 15 % up on Q1-Q3 last year - Total headcount (FTE) 169 higher than 12 months ago - But down 132 YTD Operating expenses up 15 % - Driven by merger, especially higher IT-costs and cost of premises DKKm 1,500 1,250 0.60 0.59 YTD 2012 YTD 2013 1,000 750 500 250 0 0.0 Breakdown on types Improvement of Cost/Income Ratio to 0.59 YTD, 12 branches have been closed or merged - 5 related to merger with SPARBANK - 7 in North Jutland - 2 in the Skive-region Costs (DKKm) Staff costs Operating expenses Depreciation Costs Operating expenses (DKKm) Staff-related expenses Travel expenses Marketing costs IT expenses Cost of premises Other administrative expenses Operating expenses YTD 2013 729 445 52 1,225 YTD 2012 636 386 52 1,074 Change in pct. 15 15 1 14 YTD 2013 31 10 68 225 69 41 445 YTD 2012 31 8 65 185 54 42 386 Change -1 2 3 39 16 -1 59 side 8 LOAN LOSSES IN LINE WITH GUIDANCE Total loan losses of DKK 305 million corresponding to .95 % – in line with guidance Loan impairment and impairment percentage DKKm 750 Impairment percentage including mortgage lending: .40 Pct. 1.6 Breakdown on segments 1.0 500 – Household: DKK 50 million corresponding to 0.4 %. – Corporate: DKK 255 million corresponding to 1.3 % 1.5 250 FSA report confirms – Adequate provisioning level – Adequate ICAAP ratio – Strong centralized credit management 0 -1.5 YTD 2012 YTD 2013 gennemsnit for udlån og garantier Note: Beregnet Based on på average loans and guarantees Guidance 2013 – Impairment ratio still expected in the 1 % range Historisk udvikling Recent years’ trend ini nedskrivningsprocent impairment percentage Nedskrivninger og nedskrivningsprocent Loan impairment and impairment percentage DKKm 1.50% 400 300 1.40% 1.20% 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.9 1.10% ~1.00% 1.0 -0.40 200 100 0 -7.00 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 2009 2010 2011 2012 Guidance ’13 side 9 STRONG CUSTOMER INFLOW SECURE GROWTH IN TOTAL BUSINESS VOLUME Bank lending stabilized after long decline - DKK 34.1 billion end of Q3 – same level as end of Q2 - DKK 0,8 billion decline YTD – solely attributable to run-off portfolio from SPARBANK and public sector Very satisfactory growth in mortgage-credit distribution - Total lending up to DKK 59.2 billion – hereof DKK 50.7 billion in Totalkredit and DKK 8.5 billion in DLR Kredit Great demand for investment products lead to small decline in bank deposits - Bank deposits up DKK 0.5 billion (1%) YTD – but down DKK 0.4 billion Q/Q - Deposits in pooled schemes up DKK 1.5 billion (21%) YTD - In the same period, AUM from household segment has grown by DKK 2.1 billion Bank lending Bankudlån Bank deposits Bankindlån Mia. kr. 50 Q2/Q3: -1 pct. Pooled Indlån schemes i puljer Mia. kr. 10 Q2/Q3: 7 pct. Guarantees Garantier Mia. kr. 10 40 8 8 30 6 6 20 4 4 10 2 2 0 0 Q2/Q3: -5 pct. Mortgage lending Realkredit Investments Depoter Mia. kr. 35 Q2/Q3: 5 pct. 30 25 20 15 10 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 0 5 0 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 side 10 CAPITAL POSITION FURTHER STRENGTHENED Strategic targets – Core equity tier 1 ratio (CET1): minimum 12 % – Solvency ratio: minimum 15 % (at least 3 pp above ICAAP ratio) End of Q3 2013 CET1 stands at 14.1 % - up from 12.1 % at YE 2012 Solvency ratio stands at 17.4 % – up from 15.5 % at YE 2012 Solvency and subordinated capital Pct. DKKm 20 1,500 1,200 15 900 10 1,265 600 5 550 300 400 Individual solvency need (ICAAP ratio) of 10.1 % – Capital surplus of DKK 3.2 billion (7.3 pp) 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 Solvency ratio YTD 2013 Core tier 1 ratio 58 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 Hybrid capital 2017 -> Subordinated loan capital Capital base Pct. Core tier 1 ratio Hybrid capital Deductions in hybrid capital Tier 1 ratio Subordinated debt Deductions in capitalbase Solvency ratio Q3 2013 14.0 4.2 -1.0 17.2 1.3 -1.0 17.4 2012 12.1 3.9 -1.0 15.1 1.4 -1.0 15.5 2011 10.4 3.8 -0.9 13.3 1.6 -0.9 14.0 2010 9.5 3.8 -0.2 13.2 2.0 -1.8 13.4 page 11 COMFORTABLE STRATEGIC LIQUIDITY OF DKK 15.9 BILLION Strategic liquidity of DKK 15.9 billion – up DKK 1.1 billion YTD Strategisk likviditet Strategic liquidity Deposit base continues to grow Reduction in leasing and bank lending Redemption of DKK 6.3 billion bond issues in Q1-Q3 2013 Last state guaranteed bonds issue redeemed in July YTD 2013 42.0 3.3 8.7 54.0 34.1 2.5 -1.5 15.9 DKKb Deposits, banking activities Seniorfunding Core capital and sub. capital Stable long term funding Loans, banking activities Loans, leasing activities Maturity < 1 year Liquidity target Q2 13 42.4 5.3 8.6 56.3 34.2 2.9 -3.5 15.7 2012 41.9 9.6 8.5 60.0 34.9 4.0 -6.3 14.8 Forfaldsstruktur Maturity Loan to deposit ratio Pct. DKKb 200 150 148 128 120 126 123 93 100 87 3.0 50 0 2013 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Q3 '13 Issued bonds 0.3 0.0 2014 2015 0.1 2016 2017-> Senior loans page 12 GUIDANCE AND SHARE PERFORMANCE okt 2013 jul 2013 apr 2013 jul 2012 Contributions to sector-wide solutions: DKK 107 million apr 2012 Special merger-related items: DKK 40 million 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 jan 2012 Impairment still expected to amount to approx. 1,0 % of loans and guarantees DKK Core earnings before impairment and one-offs still expected in the DKK 1,000-1,100 million range jan 2013 Share Aktiekurs price okt 2012 Forventninger Guidance for til2013 2013 Positive contribution from discontinued activities – potentially as high as DKK 55-60 million Share price Market cap EPS (2012) EPS (2013)1 P/B (10/ 2013) 46,00 5,775 1.7 3.7 0.90 DKK DKKm DKK DKK 1Concensus estimate Source: Factset page 13 THE ROAD TO AN AFTER TAX ROE OF 10 % ROE EKFhas harbeen været modest lav – og – but konkurrencedygtig on par with peers The Målet target – og is planen an ROE – er of 10 10 %% efter after skat tax in i 2015 2015 ROE, 2012 (%) ROE, 2013-2015 (%) EKF (%) ~10.0% 4,8% Sydbank 4,4% Nordea (DK) ~7,0%* 4,2% Jyske Bank 4,0% 2013 Danske Bank 3,7% State hybrid Loan losses Income and costs 2015 * Based on Consensus estimates page 14
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