DRAFT Draft - version 5d CUWCC Utility Operations Committee Report BMP 1.3.G.3: Potential water use efficiency impacts and cost-effectiveness of transitioning to monthly billing schedules for all accounts. Part I: Preliminary Findings The Utility Operations Committee (Utility Ops) of the CUWCC is responsible for addressing the issue outlined above. Utility Ops will complete this work through two or more reports, or “Parts”. This initial report is Part I: preliminary findings. This is a very rough draft of the first report on this subject. This draft does include the basic structure of the first report. Introduction and purpose of this report ....................................................................................... 2 As a practical matter, the issue is limited to transitioning just from bi-monthly to monthly billing ............................................................................................................................................... 2 Only about 1/3rd of water agencies bill bi-monthly ................................................................... 3 Two potential WUE impacts have been identified ................................................................... 4 Significant challenge: municipal water agencies may not have the authority to transition to monthly billing ......................................................................................................................... 4 Non-WUE issues .................................................................................................................... 5 Potential WUE impact of quicker leak detection ......................................................................... 5 Monthly reads will identify leaks on customer lines sooner than bi-monthly reads .................. 5 The WUE impacts will vary from water agency to water agency ............................................. 6 Possible Tool: what are the most effective means of using billing information to identify leaks on customer properties? ......................................................................................................... 7 Possible Tool: Once a potential leak has been identified, what are effective strategies for getting customers to actually repair the leaks? ....................................................................... 7 No WUE impacts of transitioning to monthly billing where AMI is used ................................... 8 Potential WUE impact of increased messaging .......................................................................... 8 DRAFT - WUE Impact of Monthly Billing - Part 1: Preliminary Findings What has the more powerful “message”: receiving two small bills or one large bi-monthly bill? ............................................................................................................................................... 8 Multiple utilities on a single bill will dilute the WUE impact ...................................................... 8 Messaging benefit: customers receive more immediate feedback on peak summer demand . 9 The problem of autopay and paying on-line or with smart phones .......................................... 9 Possible tool: are there effective ways for water agencies to “message” customers that use autopay, on-line payment and smart phones? ........................................................................ 9 Increased messaging will have no WUE impacts on certain sectors, such as multi-family ...... 9 Potential tool: are there other options that are at least as effective as more frequent messaging? ...........................................................................................................................10 Cost of Transitioning to Monthly Billing .....................................................................................10 Is a new billing system required? ...........................................................................................10 Monthly reads will roughly double the cost of meter reading ..................................................11 Monthly billing will roughly double the cost of billing customers .............................................11 Transition to monthly bills but not monthly reads ...................................................................11 Next steps include the following ................................................................................................11 Tool that might help water agencies estimate the feasibility ...................................................12 Messaging in a world without paper bills ................................................................................12 Survey water agencies that have migrated from bi-monthly billing to monthly ........................12 Further Study.........................................................................................................................12 Introduction and purpose of this report The MOU (BMP 1.3.G.3) states: “Within three years from the date this BMP revision is adopted, the CUWCC will complete an evaluation of the potential water use efficiency impacts and cost-effectiveness of the following for consideration as future BMP revision(s)… 3) Transition[ing] to monthly billing schedules for all accounts.” The purpose of the report is to determine how much water is conserved, if any, when an agency transitions from bimonthly to monthly billing; and whether that transition can be done in a costeffective way. As a practical matter, the issue is limited to transitioning just from bimonthly to monthly billing CUWCC summarize the billing frequency of its member water agencies, as reported by the members to CUWCC, comparing their billing frequencies in 2009 versus in 2010. First, no water agency reported billing less frequently than bi-monthly; that is, all the water agencies either billed monthly or bi-monthly. - 2 of 13 - DRAFT - WUE Impact of Monthly Billing - Part 1: Preliminary Findings The report also shows that many water agencies do a mix of monthly and bi-monthly billing, depending on customer class. Here’s a summary of the 2010 findings: c Customer Type Single-Family Multi-Family Commercial Industrial Institutional Dedicated Irrigation Agricultural Fire Lines System Flashing Recycled Other TOTAL Monthly 111 106 120 94 95 77 34 20 77 734 # of Agencies Bi% Bimonthly monthly 79 42% 74 41% 72 38% 40 30% 44 32% 64 45% 15 31% 19 49% 41 35% 448 38% Total 190 180 192 134 139 141 49 39 118 1,182 Other than fire lines, dedicated irrigation customers are the customer class most often billed bimonthly, with 45 percent of water agencies reporting bi-monthly billing for this customer class. Residential customers is the customer class most often billed bi-monthly after dedicated irrigation: with a little more than 40 percent of water agencies reporting bi-monthly billing for single family and multi-family customers. Along with agriculture, the customer classes that are least often billed bi-monthly are CII customers. What may drives these difference in the frequency of billing is the average volume of water per account: accounts using large volumes of water (CII) are more likely to be billed monthly. The difficulty this presents for this report is that in order to develop the most accurate estimate of the WUE impacts of transitioning to monthly billing, this report would have to understand whether there are differences in the WUE impacts between these different customer classes. At least for the initial review, this report will not differentiate between the different customer classes. Only about 1/3rd of water agencies bill bi-monthly The issue of transitioning to monthly from bi-monthly is one that effects only about one in three water agencies. Raftelis Financial Consultants, Inc. and California-Nevada Section of the American Water Works Association surveyed water agencies about a number of rate-related issues including the frequency of their billing. The survey findings are published in the “2013 - 3 of 13 - DRAFT - WUE Impact of Monthly Billing - Part 1: Preliminary Findings Water Rate Survey”. Of the California water agencies responding to the survey, 61% billed monthly and 36% billed bi-monthly. Billing Frequency Monthly Bi-monthly Tri-monthly Other TOTAL Count Percent 133 61.3% 79 36.4% 2 0.9% 3 1.4% 217 100% This is very similar to the CUWCC data discussed above. Of course, as we saw in the CUWCC data, many of these agencies probably do a mix of monthly and bi-monthly billing. Nevertheless, the data imply that this report need only consider the WUE impacts of the one scenario: of transitioning to monthly billing from bi-monthly. Two potential WUE impacts have been identified Converting from bi-monthly to monthly billing has two potential WUE impacts: If the monthly billing is accompanied by monthly reads, than leaks on customer’s service lines will be found sooner, on average; and Because the customer will receive twice as many water bills per year, there will be twice as many opportunities for messaging. The potential WUE impacts and cost-effectiveness of these issues are the focus of most of this and future reports. Significant challenge: municipal water agencies may not have the authority to transition to monthly billing Transitioning to monthly billing may not be possible where the water agency is a part of a larger organization, such as a municipality, where the water bill is a subset of a municipal bill that might include electricity, gas, refuge, sewer and/or other services provided by the municipality. In order to transition to monthly billing for water, it will almost certainly require these other utilities and/or the city governance to agree to also transition to monthly billing. In other words, the water agency may not have the authority to make the decision about whether to transition to monthly billing. - 4 of 13 - DRAFT - WUE Impact of Monthly Billing - Part 1: Preliminary Findings Non-WUE issues Potential beneficial, yet non-WUE issue: does monthly billing result in fewer collection problems? Although this is not a WUE issue, anecdotal “evidence” suggests monthly billing results in fewer collection problems. The assumption is that the smaller bill is more manageable for many households. This is something water agencies might want to consider, but because it has no WUE impacts, it is not an issue to be further explored in these reports. Potential WUE impact of quicker leak detection Monthly reads will identify leaks on customer lines sooner than bimonthly reads This only applies to those water agencies that have a system in place that can identify customers that may have leaks and are able to notify those customers. If the system is not in place, than there will be additional costs to creating and implementing such a system. If a water agency has a system for identifying and notifying customers that may have leaks, and the customers take action based on the notification, about 32 percent less water might be lost if the notification is based on 30-day reads rather than 60-day reads. Assume one new leak occurs each day and each leak loses one gallon per day. And assume that the water agency is able to identify 100% of these leaks through it system of monitoring the meter reads. And assume that when a leak takes place the customers is not aware of it until notified by the water agency. And finally, assume that every customer notified of a leak fixes the leak and fixes it immediately. In this scenario about 465 gallons would be lost in each of the 30-day period before notification would be made, or 930 gallons for a pair of 30-day read periods (for a total of 60 days). But 1,830 gallons would be lost in each 60-day read period before the notification would be made. The difference, or about 900 gallons, would be saved in the two 30-day read periods; for a savings of about 49-percent. Water saved in hypothetical example of monthly vs. bi-monthly reads "Savings" = bimonthly read 30-day Double the 60-day minus 2 monthly Read 30-day Read Read read periods % Savings 465 930 1,830 900 49% - 5 of 13 - DRAFT - WUE Impact of Monthly Billing - Part 1: Preliminary Findings The WUE impacts will vary from water agency to water agency The above is, of course, a hypothetical case. Among other things, the WUE impacts will vary from water agency to water agency based on a number of factors. These factors include The actual amount of water lost due to leaks on customer property. For example, it could be the case that newer communities have fewer leaks per 1,000 customers, and older communities have many more leaks per 1,000 customers. In other words, all else being equal, monthly reads might make more sense in an older community than a newer community. The responsiveness of customers to the awareness that there may be a leak. The latter could be influenced by things such as income, water rates, and whether the person being notified is the property owner or a tenant. The following is one way to think about how to measure the WUE impacts of monthly reads on a strictly hypothetical water agency; that is, the values are not based on actual data and are not even meant to represent averages or estimated actuals. Also, these values would be different for each water agency. This scenario estimates the potential WUE impacts on the hypothetical water agency per 1,000 accounts of a particular customer class. The purpose of this example is simply to present one approach to estimating the WUE impacts of monthly reads. Assumptions (different for each water agency) For each 1,000 customer accounts, how many ACTUALLY have leaks 5% which = 50 accounts actually have leaks Of those that actually have leaks, how many can be found per 60-DAY PERIOD by a review of the meter reads 50% which = 25 accounts with leaks are found per 60-days Of the leaks that are found in the 60-day period, how many of the customers, when notified, fix the leak 75% which = 19 leaks are fixed Average water loss per day per leak 0.2 HCF/ day lost per leak Net water saved over 60 days using monthly vs. bi-monthly reads: Water lost per one 60-day read period: 114 HCF Water lost per two 30-day read periods: 58 HCF = WUI impact (water saved) over the 60-days 56 HCF To reiterate, this above only works where monthly reads take place. Although the MOU does not ask about the WUE impacts of transitioning to monthly reads (it only addresses monthly billing), the two issues are intertwined with respect to the WUE impacts of customer leak detection and are therefore considered in this report. - 6 of 13 - DRAFT - WUE Impact of Monthly Billing - Part 1: Preliminary Findings Possible Tool: what are the most effective means of using billing information to identify leaks on customer properties? Key to the effectiveness of this type of program is for the water agencies to be able to effectively identify potential leaks on customer property using meter reading data. So the purpose of the tool would be to help water agencies create the optimum means of identifying accounts that might have leaks. What is the optimum means for identifying these accounts? Focus just on customer classes that have somewhat predictable water usage? Comparing one read period with the same period in the previous year? Looking for increases of 10%, 20%, 50%? What about accounts where the leak has been growing almost imperceptivity over years? A tool such as this might not only help agencies estimate the feasibility of transitioning to monthly reads, but help every water agency that has or is considering a program of identifying accounts that have leaks. Utility Ops may undertake additional work on this issue in future reports. Possible Tool: Once a potential leak has been identified, what are effective strategies for getting customers to actually repair the leaks? Once a water agency has identified a potential problem on a customer’s property, what are the most effective strategies for using that information to achieve real water savings? Send letters to the customer? Ask conservation/ high bill staff to extend an offer to perform an audit? Call the customer if the leak is greater than a certain amount? Take more direct measures as the certainty that a leak is really taking place increases? Taking the water lost from the leak into account? Create positive and/or negative incentives for customers to repair leaks ASAP? Research such as this might help every water agency that has or is considering a program of notifying customers of possible leaks on property. Utility Ops may undertake additional work on this issue in future reports. - 7 of 13 - DRAFT - WUE Impact of Monthly Billing - Part 1: Preliminary Findings No WUE impacts of transitioning to monthly billing where AMI is used Transitioning to monthly reads and billing will have no WUE impacts with respect to improved lead detection where AMI is used because AIM will notify water agency and customer of leak separate (and nearly instantly) from meter reading and billing. Potential WUE impact of increased messaging [This section needs a lot of work; basically what is in this section now are essentially just notes] There are at least two “messages” customers receive on the water bill: The bill amount (more expensive bills encourage customers to conserve more); and Messages the water agency includes on the bill to encourage conservation, such as charts that compare current to past water usage. The following will consider both these messages. What has the more powerful “message”: receiving two small bills or one large bi-monthly bill? When part of the “message” is the actual bill amount that must be paid, it could be the case that receiving one very large bill very two months has a more powerful WUE impact than receiving two small bills. Multiple utilities on a single bill will dilute the WUE impact It is often the case with municipal water agencies that customers receive a bill that includes multiple utilities, such as water, power, sewer and refuge. These bills are two, three, four or more times more complex than bills which simply invoice the customer for water. It is very likely that as the number of utilities appear on the bill, customers are less and less likely to even be aware of the water charges or scan the bill for WUE messages placed there by the water agency. For this reason, both kinds of WUE impacts from messaging will be diluted. As the number of utilities on the bill increase, so does the dilution of the message. - 8 of 13 - DRAFT - WUE Impact of Monthly Billing - Part 1: Preliminary Findings Messaging benefit: customers receive more immediate feedback on peak summer demand One of the potential WUE impacts of transitioning to monthly bills, if also transitioning to monthly reads, is when customers get more immediate feedback on their water bills form their increased using during peak summer months. If they receive one or two bills that are large because of increased summer demand, the customers may have time to moderate their summer usage. Conversely, if their receive bills only bi-monthly, there may not be enough time to moderate their summer usage. The problem of autopay and paying on-line or with smart phones If there are WUE impacts related to doubling the messaging when billing monthly as opposed to bi-monthly, are those impacts lessened or even non-existent as more customers transition to autopay and paying by smart phones? That is, do the WUE impacts only apply to customers receiving paper bills in the mail? The percent of customers on autopay varies tremendously from agency to agency (Mesa Water may have as few as 5%, Coastside about 25%, and Roseville as many as 52%). Including water conservation messages in autopay communications with customers may not be very effective. One agency reported that only 1% of autopay customers opened the “auto” reply they received from the water agency after making their payment. Unlike bills sent through the mail, there are many different types of autopay options. This plethora of options may make WUE messaging more difficult. The trend in the water industry is to every greater use of autopay and pay by smart phone; with diminishing numbers of customers receiving paper bills in the mail. Possible tool: are there effective ways for water agencies to “message” customers that use autopay, on-line payment and smart phones? If there are WUE impacts of messaging, are there effective ways to “message” customers that use autopay and pay using smart phones? Have some water agencies implemented or explored various ways to “message” using these options? Increased messaging will have no WUE impacts on certain sectors, such as multi-family Although there may be WUE impacts from increased messaging on some sectors, there will be little to no impact on other sectors such as multi-family. The problem with multi-family is the - 9 of 13 - DRAFT - WUE Impact of Monthly Billing - Part 1: Preliminary Findings person using the water (the tenant) is not the person that receives the “message” (i.e., the person receiving the water bill). Other examples are bills that are sent to property management companies, bills sent to “corporate” headquarters that are located in distant cities, for example. Potential tool: are there other options that are at least as effective as more frequent messaging? Central to the question of the WUE impacts of transitioning to monthly “messaging” is the question “if there are WUI impacts, what is the cause of the impacts?” Are the WUE impacts caused by more frequent messaging – monthly rather than just bi-monthly? The reason for this question is there might be other actions water agencies are or can take to increase messaging. Impact of water agency programs that notify customers of high water usage and/or provide periodic reports of their usage compared to past usage and/or that of other customers. Do these programs have WUE impacts? If so, are the WUE impacts of messaging on the bill lessened under these conditions? Cost of Transitioning to Monthly Billing [This section needs a lot of work; basically what is in this section now are essentially just notes] The WUE impacts of transitioning to monthly billing are off-set by the cost of monthly billing and, very likely, the cost of monthly meter reading. The costs of transitioning to monthly billing and reading will be explored in future reports on this subject. Is a new billing system required? In many cases the only feasible time for an agency to convert from bi-monthly billing to monthly may be when a new billing system is installed. - 10 of 13 - DRAFT - WUE Impact of Monthly Billing - Part 1: Preliminary Findings Monthly reads will roughly double the cost of meter reading The WUE impacts of quicker leak detection can only be realized if the water agency transitions to monthly reads. But transitioning to monthly reads will likely double the cost to the water agency of the additional reads. So the issue is whether the WUE impacts of transitioning to monthly reads in conjunction with monthly billing, must include an estimate of the cost-effectiveness of doing so. So on the benefits side of the ledger is the question: is how much additional water is likely to be saved by reading meters each month rather than bi-monthly? But on the cost side of the ledger is the question: what is the additional cost of reading meters monthly rather than bi-monthly? This may be particularly problematic if meter readers currently read gas and/or electrical meters while reading the water meters, when those reads stay on a bi-monthly schedule. Monthly billing will roughly double the cost of billing customers Transitioning from bi-monthly billing to monthly billing will increase certain costs. Twice as many bills will have to be generated and printed, twice as many envelops and postage used. And on the back end, twice as many payments will have to be processed by accounting staff. Transition to monthly bills but not monthly reads If only transitioning to monthly bills, not monthly reads, than every other bill will be based on an estimate: The water agency will need to reprogram billing software to create estimated reads and to reduce the bill in the month the reads are taken to account for the estimate. This may be particularly difficult in service areas that have tiered rates. Additional staff/ resources to deal with questions/ protects from customers who challenge the estimates. Next steps include the following [This section needs a lot of work; basically what is in this section now are essentially just notes] Utility Ops will consider the following issues, research and actions in subsequent reports. - 11 of 13 - DRAFT - WUE Impact of Monthly Billing - Part 1: Preliminary Findings Tool that might help water agencies estimate the feasibility Utility Ops will consider the feasibility of creating a tool to help water agencies estimate the costeffectiveness of converting to monthly billing. Messaging in a world without paper bills More and more water utilities and customers are moving away from the paper bill that comes in the mail; migrating to auto pay, paying on-line and paying via smart phones. Does this migration mean the end of effective messaging or does it mean water agencies must migrate to new forms of messaging? Utility Ops and/or CUWCC in general should explore the options for new, effective forms of messaging in the non-paper world we are migrating into. Survey water agencies that have migrated from bi-monthly billing to monthly CUWCC staff will provide Utility Ops with a list of water agencies that appear to have migrated from bi-monthly to monthly billing and contact information at those agencies. Utility Ops will survey those agencies in order to better understand their experience and the WUE impacts and cost-effectiveness. Luke is to provide the agency names and contact; the subcommittee will draft a survey instrument and Further Study In order to document the water savings attributed to transitioning to monthly billing, Utility Ops shall investigate: Justin Finch will share some highlights from a study on switching to monthly billing. Staff to contact AWE, Reinhard, Tom. C, and Steve Piper re: studies on the cost effectiveness and water use efficiency savings of switching to monthly billing. Staff to research possible sources: AWWA. Alliance for WUE. Did the USBR rate study address this question? Does WaterSense have data on this? Should CUWCC and/or some of its member agencies conducted original studies that document the WUE impacts from transitioning to monthly billing? Are there other means of estimating the WUE impacts of transitioning to monthly billing? - 12 of 13 - DRAFT - WUE Impact of Monthly Billing - Part 1: Preliminary Findings - 13 of 13 -
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