The OECD Skills Strategy Better skills, better jobs, better lives Bert Brys Senior Tax Economist, CTP/OECD LAC Fiscal Forum 16-17 June 2015 OECD Skills Strategy (2012) Skills transform lives and drive economies What people know and what they can do has a major impact on their life chances Building the right skills can help countries improve economic prosperity and social cohesion by supporting: improvement in productivity and growth high levels of employment in good quality jobs social outcomes such as health, civic and social engagement 2 What do we mean by skills? “Skills (or competencies) are defined as the bundle of knowledge, attributes and capacities that can be learned and that enable individuals to successfully and consistently perform an activity or task and can be built upon and extended through learning.” “The sum of all skills available to the economy at a given point in time forms the human capital of a country.” OECD Skills Strategy (2012) What is the OECD Skills Strategy? 4 Skill levels vary considerably across countries Adult Mean Numeracy Skills by Proficiency Levels (PIAAC, 2012) Japan Finland Sweden Denmark Netherlands Slovak Republic Czech Republic Norway Estonia Austria Flanders (Belgium) Russian Federation³ Germany Average Australia Canada Korea Poland England/N. Ireland (UK) Ireland France Italy United States Spain 1,2 0,0 0,0 0,4 2,3 0,3 0,6 2,2 0,4 1,8 5,2 0,3 1,5 1,2 1,9 0,9 0,3 0,0 1,4 0,5 0,8 0,7 4,2 0,8 80 % 60 Level 2 Source: OECD, Survey of Adult Skills 2012 40 Level 1 20 Below Level 1 0 20 Level 3 40 Level 4/5 60 80 No information 5 Skills vary across levels of educational attainment and across OECD countries Mean literacy score of 25-64 year olds, by educational attainment (PIAAC, 2012) 320 Below upper secondary education Upper secondary or post-secondary non-tertiary education Tertiary education 300 280 260 240 220 Source: OECD (2013), PISA 2012 Results: What Makes Schools Successful? Resources, Policies and Practices (Volume IV), PISA , OECD Publishing. Russian Federation* 276 Italy 249 Spain 251 Estonia 274 Canada 273 Korea 269 Ireland 266 Denmark 270 Germany 269 France 260 Slovak Republic 273 England/N. Ireland (UK) 274 Austria 268 Poland 264 Average 272 United States 269 Norway 280 Flanders (Belgium) 274 Czech Republic 273 Australia 280 Sweden 279 Finland 287 Japan 296 Netherlands 282 200 PIAAC mean literacy score for all levels of education combined Evolution of the employment-to-population ratio Percentage of the working-age population (aged 15 or more) % 80 70 60 50 40 30 Current (Q2 2014) Start of the crisis (Q4 2007) Projected value (Q4 2016) Labour productivity and labour resource utilisation differ considerably across the OECD 50 30 10 -10 -30 -50 -70 50 30 10 -10 -30 -50 -70 A. Percentage GDP per capita difference compared with the upper half of OECD countries¹ B. Percentage difference in labour resource utilisation and labour productivity² Labour productivity Labour resource utilisation PIAAC Literacy Scores, 16-24 Year Olds Low Skills – High (Youth) Unemployment 305 300 Japan Netherlands Finland S. Korea 295 290 Estonia Australia Sweden Germany Czech Rep. Poland Austria Denmark Norway Canada France United States 285 280 275 270 Slovak Rep. Ireland 265 Spain Italy 260 255 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Youth Unemployment Countries with low skills tend to have higher unemployment, especially among young people (also because “insiders” are “protected”). Source: PIAAC, OECD Employment Database 9 Turkey Spain Italy Chile Mexico Ireland Brazil Hungary Slovak Republic Korea Portugal France United Kingdom Poland Estonia Israel United States OECD average Belgium New Zealand Greece Czech Republic Canada Denmark Finland Australia Slovenia Germany Austria Sweden Switzerland Iceland Norway Luxembourg Netherlands A large % of Chilean and Mexican youth is NEET: neither employed nor in education nor in training NEET population among 15 to 29 year-olds (2012) % of 15-29 year-olds 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Source: OECD (2014), Education at a Glance 2014, OECD Publishing. Linkages between Skill Development and Skill Activation Labour Market Participation Skills Levels 11 Use of Skills at Work Use of Skills at Work (PIAAC, 2012) Most frequent use= 4 Average Spain United States 2,4 Index of Use 2,2 2 1,8 1,6 1,4 Reading at work Least frequent use = 0 Writing at work Numeracy at work ICT at work Problem solving at work The demand for skills is changing Levy and Murnane 13 New technologies and work practices are transforming workplaces Percentage of workers who reported changes in their current workplace during the previous three years that affected their work environment 60 Low-skilled clerical High-skilled manual 50 High-skilled clerical Total Low-skilled manual 40 30 20 10 0 10 Poland Spain Turkey Hungary Italy Greece Slovenia Portugal Austria Germany Belgium Slovak Republic Czech Republic Croatia Average Luxembourg France Latvia Ireland Estonia Korea Netherlands United Kingdom Norway Denmark Finland Sweden 20 14 High level skills will be in high demand Job opportunities in EU 28 by qualification levels, forecast 2013-2025 (baseline scenario, 000s) Expansion Demand Replacement Demand 50.000 40.000 30.000 20.000 10.000 0 -10.000 -20.000 Low (ISCED 1 and 2) Source: CEDEFOP skills forecast, 2013-2025 Medium (ISCED 3 and 4) High (ISCED 5 and 6) 15 Taxation and Skills Activation, Development and Effective Use Labour Tax Wedge Employment Skill Levels Where taxes on labour are too high, it can be too expensive to hire, and not rewarding enough to work, to up-skill or to change jobs where skills are rewarded more. 16 United States Austria Netherlands Ireland Belgium Australia Sweden United Kingdom Spain France Finland Slovenia Italy Portugal Korea Israel Poland Czech Republic Slovak Republic Hungary Chile Mexico Overall Spending on Education USD, adjusted for GDP Financing Education: total spending on education (primary, secondary and tertiary education) 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 Participation in job-related adult education varies Participation in job-related adult education (PIAAC, 2012) % of adults Job-related adult education 100 80 60 40 20 0 Source: OECD (2013), OECD Skills Outlook 2013: First Results from the Survey of Adult Skills, OECD Publishing. Financing and expenditure on Skill systems & Employment & Skill Levels Financing & expenditure on Skill systems Employment Skill Levels • Create effective, efficient and equitable financing policies. • Set up financing policies that create strong incentives for all stakeholders to maximise skills development, activation and 19 use. What is the OECD Skills Strategy? 20 OECD Skills Strategy – Developing relevant skills Developing relevant skills What skills are relevant How can skills be developed effectively (where, when and how) 21 OECD Skills Strategy – activating skills supply Activating skills supply How can people be encouraged to bring their skills to the labour market stay in the labour market 22 OECD Skills Strategy – putting skills to effective use Putting skills to effective use How can people get into jobs that use their skills How can employers make better use of skills How can skills be used in alternative and better ways (e.g. through innovation, entrepreneurship, freelancing) How can countries develop more highly-skilled economies 23 OECD Skills Strategy – strengthening skills systems Strengthening skills systems How to get coherent policy settings -- across portfolios and levels of government How to engage all relevant stakeholders How to ensure that policies are effectively implemented 24 OECD Skills Strategy – building national skills strategies Strategic Approach to Skills Policies – a framework Building effective skills systems at national and local levels Facilitating better policy development and effective implementation 25 OECD Skills Strategy country projects underway 2013 NOR DIAGNOSTIC PHASE AUT DIAGNOSTIC PHASE KOR DIAGNOSTIC PHASE PRT ESP 2015 2014 ACTION PHASE IMPLEMENTATION (tbc) ACTIVE LEARNING DIAGNOSTIC PHASE DIAGNOSTIC PHASE (tbc) (tbc) Guiding principles for National Skills Strategy projects Strengthening policy coherence on skills Whole-of-government approach Engaging all relevant stakeholders Collaboration between OECD and country Tailored to country context and priorities Cross-directorate OECD team National cross-ministry project team Challenging perceptions with evidence Drawing together experience within a country Learning from international comparisons Learning from other countries Better Skills, Better Jobs, Better Lives For more information, please contact: Bert BRYS, Ph.D. Senior Tax Economist Head Country Tax Policy Team Head Personal and Property Taxes Unit Tax Policy and Statistics Division Centre for Tax Policy and Administration 2, rue André Pascal - 75775 Paris Cedex 16 Tel: +33 1 45 24 15 97 – Fax: +33 1 44 30 63 51 [email protected] || www.oecd.org/tax 28
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