Evaluation of an Evolutionary Model of Self-preservation and Self-Destruction R. Michael Brown, PhD, Eric Dahlen, PhD, Cliff Mills, BA, Jennifer Rick, BS, and Arturo Biblarz, PhD According to decatanzaro’s mathematical model of self-preservation and self-destruction, staying alive actually may reduce inclusive fitness for an individual who is low in reproductive potential and, at the same time, poses such a burden to close kin that it costs them opportunities for reproduction. Predictions generated from this model were tested using 175 university students as subjects and variables constructed from a 164-item questionnaire. The criterion variables were separate measures of depression, hopelessness, and suicide ideation and behavior. The predictor variables derived from the model were separate measures of reproductive potential of the individual, the individual’s perceived benefit or cost to kin, and reproductive potential of the individual’s kin. As predicted, there were negative and significant bivariate correlations between each of the model-generated predictor variables and one or more of the criterion variables. Multiple regression analyses showed that benefit to kin was the best predictor of both depression and hopelessness. Discriminant analysis showed that reproductive potential of kin significantly differentiated suicide attempters from nonattempters. Overall, our results support and extend decatanzaro’s model and empirical findings. Drawing mainly upon Fisher’s (1950) concept of reproductive value, later refined by Hamilton (1966), and upon Hamilton’s (1964) notion of inclusive fitness, deCatanzaro (1986, 1987, 1991, 1992) has formulated a simple mathematical model designed to explain the evolution of selfpreservative and self-destructive emotional and motivational mechanisms in humans and other social species (e.g., social Hymenopterans). Stated simply, selfpreservation in an individual member of a social species will be influenced by the individual’s capacity for sexual reproduction, and by the individual’s ability to facilitate (or interfere with) reproduction in kin. The model, in its original form (deCatanzaro, 1986), is represented mathematically as follows: y,= P,+ CbLPLJ-L where Y,= the optimal degree of self-preservation expressed by individual i (the residual capacity to promote inclusive fitness); pi = the remaining reproductive potential of i; P k = the remaining reproductive potential of each kinship member k ; bk = a coefficient ofbenefit (positive values of b k ) or cost (negative values of bk) to the reproduction of each k provided by the continued existence of i (-1 < b < 1); rk = the coefficient of genetic relatedness of each k to i (sibling, parent, child= .5; grandparent, grandchild, nephew or niece, aunt or uncle = .25; first cousin = .125; etc.). R. Michael Brown is Psychology Professor, Eric Dahlen is a former student, Cliff Mills is a former student, Jennifer Rick is a former student, and Arturo Biblarz is SociologyProfessor, Department of Psychology, Pacific Lutheran University, Tacoma, Washington. Address correspondence to R. Michael Brown, Department of Psychology, Pacific Lutheran University, Tacoma, WA 98447. Portions of this research were presented at the seventh annual meeting of the Human Behavior and Evolution Society, Santa Barabra, California, June, 1995. 58 Suicide and Life-Threatening Behavior, Vol. 29(1), Spring 1999 0 1999 The American Association of Suicidology BROWN ET AL. Self-preservation (YJ is assumed to be variable, ranging from "strong promotion and defense of survival . . . to outright suicidal tendencies" (decatanzaro, 1991, p. 16).Where an individual lies on the distribution of self-preserving behavior is influenced by that individual's expected reproduction during his or her remaining lifetime ( p i ) , and by the remaining reproductive value of the individual's kin (pJ, weighted by degree of genetic relatedness ( r k )and by the benefit or cost to the reproductive value of the individual's kin provided by the continued existence of the individual (bk).It should be noted that p represents reproductive potential calculated from a given point in time forward; it does not include offspring already produced. According to decatanzaro p is dependent on age, but will show variation even within a given age cohort due to factors such as dominance, health, and adequacy of relationships with the opposite sex. In his discussions decatanzaro has focused mainly on the model's potential for explaining the adaptive significance of self-destructive behaviors (decatanzaro, 1986, 1987, 1992). Although positive Y, values that approach 0 will be associated with progressively weaker attempts at self-preservation, negative '€', values raise the possibility of outright self-destruction. Negative Y, values will occur only when the impact of the individual's continued existence on the reproduction of closely related kin is so devastating that it overpowers his or her own residual reproductive potential; that is, when bk is negative and the absolute value of SkPkrk exceeds the value of p i . It is assumed that, at some level, the individual must be able to perceive predictive contingencies between behavior and reproductive outcomes, and that this perception can influence gene expression. DeCatanzaro (1981, 1991) has marshaled arguments and evidence from a variety of sources that make his model plausible. His own published survey data (decatanzaro, 1984, 1995) have high- 59 lighted perceived burdensomeness to kin and unstable heterosexual relationships as potentially important predictors of suicide ideation. His 1984 survey of university students and the general public was not a formal test of his model; rather, it appears to have formed an empirical basis for generating the model. The more recent (1995) study reports survey data collected from groups representing the general public, the elderly, psychiatric patients, criminal psychiatric patients, and homosexuals. Unfortunately, in 9 of the 11 groups surveyed in this study, small sample sizes (ns range from 27 to 70) relative to the number of predictor variables (30) raise serious questions about the reliability of the regression findings. Also, decatanzaro has restricted his dependent variable in these studies to a composite measure of suicide ideation and behavior. While this measure is clearly appropriate, there are other components of self-destructive motivation and behavior that should also be affected by Y, variables, namely, depression and hopelessness. Finally, although decatanzaro raises the possibility of interactions among Y, variables, his theoretical rationale fails to make them explicit, and his empirical work reports no attempt to assess such interactions. The present study addresses these limitations and provides an independent and formal test of the Yi model. QUESTIONS AND HYPOTHESES In his 1984 study, decatanzaro does not report assessing the effects of perceived benefithost to kin (b k )independently of reproductive potential of kin ( p , ) . In fact, his measure of the former appears to be weighted by the latter, and by degree of genetic relatedness of each kin member summed over all kin (Xbkpkrk). Whether this same procedure was followed in the 1995 study is not clear, but there is no a priori reason why the separate effects of each variable (bkand Zpkrk)could not, or 60 SUICIDE AND LIFE-THREATENING BEHAVIOR should not, be assessed. It is conceivable that a sense of one’sperceived contribution or burden to family is sufficient to drive self-preserving or self-destructive cognitive and behavioral algorithms, independently of the number, reproductive status, and genetic relatedness of kin who stand to gain or lose by virtue of the individual’s continued existence (assuming the number of kin is greater than 0). Similarly, reproductive potential of kin may affect self-preserving and self-destructive behaviors independently of one’s sense of contribution or burden to kin. Moreover, there are serious questions that can be raised about the way in which CbkPkrk affects Y,in the model. When an individual’s continued existence represents a contribution to kin, bk will be a positive number. In this case Y ,will increase as the number of kin, their reproductive potential, and their degree of genetic relatedness to the individual increase. However, when an individual’s continued existence represents a burden to kin, bkwill be a negative number. In this case, Y t will decrease as the number of kin, their reproductive potential, and their degree of genetic relatedness to the individual increase. DeCatanzaro does not present a rationale for the model’s predicted paradoxical effect of Pkrk on Y,. This is an unfortunate omission, and a further reason for evaluating the contributions of bk and CPkrk separately. The results of such an evaluation might argue for qualifying decatanzaro’s mathematical model in important ways. Although decatanzaro (1992) acknowledges the possibility of complex interactions among Y, variables, to this point he appears not to have discussed or evaluated the interactions that are inherent in his model: 1. Individual reproductive potential (p,) should interact with perceived benefit/ cost to kin (bk),even though the additive relationship specified in the model seems to suggest otherwise. For example, if individual reproductive potential is extremely low and bkis negative, then even negligible increases in the absolute value of bk will produce negative YLvalues and possible self-destructive behavior. If individual reproductive potential is extremely high and bk is negative, then the same small increases in the absolute value of bkwill not have the same effect; much larger increases in bk will be required in order to produce negative ‘r, values and possible self-destructive behavior. 2. Reproductive potential of kin weighted by degree of genetic relatedness (Pkrk) should interact with benefitkost to kin (bk),as indicated by the multiplicative relationship between the two terms. Specifically, the effect of benefithost to kin on Y, will not be the same at all levels of Pkrk. Assume bk is negative (a perceived cost t o kin associated with the continued existence of the individual) and pL2 0. An increase in the absolute value of bk from, say, .2 to .4will result in a proportionately steeper drop in Y L values when Pkrk is high, compared to when it is low. Our first step in evaluating the model and testing our hypotheses was to compute and examine all possible correlations among our suicide-related measures, Y, variables, and other relevant variables that have proven t o be reliable correlates of suicide-related measures in our own work (Biblarz, Brown, Biblarz, Pilgrim, & Baldree, 1991) and in the work of others (e.g., Strang & Orlofsky, 1990; Topol & Reznikoff, 1982). The Y t variables included a measure of individual reproductive potential, perceived benefit to kin, and reproductive potential of kin. The other relevant variables were perceived quality of relationships with parents, perceived quality of relationships with friends, and measures of locus of control. Based on decatanzaro’s model, as well as previous research, we expected our suicide-related measures to correlate negatively with individual reproductive potential, perceived benefit to kin, quality of relationships with parents and friends, and internal locus of control, and positively with external locus of control. Our next step was to regress our suiciderelated measures on those variables that BROWN ET AL. 61 of the opposite sex. The benefit-to-kin items asked subjects to estimate the following: burdensomeness to family, impact of their death on family, their contributions and assistance to family, and their family’s dependence on them for emotional or social support. Reproductive potential of kin was a composite measure reflecting each biological relative’s expected health, fertility, and degree of genetic relatedness to the subject, summed over all kin. The METHOD reproductive-potential-of-kin items asked subjects to indicate how many of their bioSubjects logical relatives were living for each of the One-hundred and eighty one undergradu- following levels of kinship: parents, sibate students enrolled in psychology lings, children; grandparents, aunts and courses at Pacific Lutheran University uncles, nieces and nephews; great grandvolunteered to participate in the study in parents, great aunts and great uncles, return for course credit. The students were first cousins; second cousins. A parallel set asked to complete a questionnaire and, of of items asked subjects to rate the health those returned, 175 were usable (130 status of each kin member. Fertility ratwomen and 45 men). Subjects in the sam- ings were taken from U.S. Department of ple were predominantly White (go%),reli- Commerce (1991) tables, and based on esgious (84% expressed a religious prefer- timated age cohorts of the subject’s kin. ence), from an urban environment (68%), Genetic relatedness coefficients were asmiddle class (59% with annual family in- signed based on level ofkinship. Other relecomes 2 $40,000), first- or second-year vant predictor variables included quality of students (64%), in late adolescence or relationships with parents (10 items), early adulthood (89% ranged in age from quality of relationships with friends (7 17 to 23 years), single (81%),and hetero- items), and Levenson’s (1981) locus of sexual (98%). control inventory (24 items that yield three scales: Internal, Powerful Others, Chance). The remaining questionnaire Questionnaire items focused on demographic informaAll subjects completed a 164-item ques- tion, sexual behavior, and control issues. tionnaire that included items designed to assess affective states, cognitions, and be- Procedure haviors of potential causal relevance to suicide: depression (3 items), Beck’s Hope- Potential subjects were told that (1)the lessness Scale (20 items; Beck, Weissman, purpose of the study was to assess relaLester, & Trexler, 19741, and a composite tionships among people’s attitudes, emomeasure of suicide ideation and behavior tions, and motivations; (2) the question(4 items). The Y ipredictor variables in- naire would require approximately 1hour cluded individual reproductive potential or more to complete; (3) they would have (4 items), perceived benefit to kin (6 4 days (which coincided with a midterm items), and reproductive potential of kin break) to complete the questionnaire; (4) (14 items). The individual reproductive po- they should feel free to omit questions that tential questions asked subjects to rate the seem too difficult or to withdraw from parfollowing: importance of sex, hurtfulness ticipation at any time; and (5) they were of romantic relationships, satisfaction to take the questionnaire seriously and rewith partners in romantic relationships, frain from talking to other participants and perceived attractiveness to members about the questions. Those who volun- had proven to be significant correlates of these measures. Finally, we conducted a second regression analysis which focused exclusively on Y t variables as predictors of our suicide-related measures. Our primary interest in this final analysis was to evaluate the interactions that appear to be specified by the model. 62 SUICIDE AND LIFE-THREATENING BEHAVIOR teered were assigned random identification numbers and assured confidentiality. dictors. Higher-order interaction terms were dropped from the equation systematically following the step-down procedures for testing interactions recommended by Aiken and West (1991). Design and Analysis Correlations. The design was completely correlational, and major analyses included bivariate correlations (Pearson r ) computed between each of the continuous criterion variables (depression, hopelessness, suicide ideation and behavior) and each of the eight predictor variables (individual reproductive potential, benefit to kin, reproductive potential of kin, quality of relationships with parents, quality of relationships with friends, internal locus of control, belief in powerful others locus of control, belief in chance locus of control). First Regression Analysis. The purpose of the first regression analysis was to evaluate the contribution of each of the Yivariables alongside other predictor variables that have proven to be reliable correlates of hopelessness in previous research. Separate stepwise multiple regressions of depression, hopelessness, and suicide ideation and behavior were computed. For each of the three regressions, only those variables that had proven to be significant (two-tailed)correlates ofthe criterion variable being regressed were entered as predictors in the equation. Finally, a discriminant analysis was computed to determine which of the eight predictor variables reliably differentiated self-reported suicide attempters from nonattempters. Second Regression Analysis. The second regression analysis focused exclusively on the potential contributions of Y Lvariables to our criterion measures. Of particular interest was the assessment of hypothesized interactions among the Y:variables. Separate regressions were performed on each of the suicide-related measures, with the effects of the remaining two criterion variables removed before proceeding further. Subsequently, each of the Y ,variables, and all possible interactions involving these variables, were entered as pre- RESULTS Correlations with SuicideRelated Measures Each of the three 'Pivariables correlated significantly' with one or more of the suicide-related measures, and the significant correlations were all in the direction predicted by decatanzaro's model (see Table 1).Subjects with lower individual reproductive potential scores were more likely than other subjects to report higher levels of depression and suicide ideation and behavior. Subjects with fewer fertile, healthy, and closely related kin were more likely than others to report higher levels of suicide ideation and behavior. Subjects with lower benefit to kin scores were more likely than others to report higher levels of depression, hopelessness, and suicide ideation and behavior. For the other relevant variables, subjects scoring lower on quality of relationships with parents and with friends were more likely than others to score high on all three suicide-related measures; subjects scoring lower on internal and higher 'Reported correlations and regression findings were calculated on the entire sample. Because marital status could alter subjects' responses, especially to the individual reproductive potential items, we also analyzed data with married subjects excluded from the sample. Regression findings were identical (direction and significance of predictors) to those of the entire sample. Four of the correlational findings differed from those of the entire sample: the correlation between individual reproductive potential and suicide ideation and behavior only approached significance, r(133)= -.17,p c .057;the correlation between relationships with friends and suicide ideation and behavior was not significant, r( 158)= -. 12;the intercorrelation between individual reproductive potential and relationships with parents was not significant, r(132)= .13;the intercorrelation between individual rerpoductive potential and relationships with friends was not significant, r(132)= .14. 63 BROWN ET AL. TABLE 1 Correlates of Suicide-Related Measures Suicide variables Correlates Individual reproductive potential Benefit to kin Reproductive potential of kin Parents Friends Internal locus of control Powerful Others locus of control Chance locus of control Depression Hopelessness Ideation and behavior -.29*** -.44*** -.04 -. 19* - -.08 -.47*** .01 -.27*** -.39*** -.38*"* -.21** -.14 -.28*** -.20** -.38*** -.18* -.08 .22** .28*** .23** .35*** - 5o*w -.03 .08 Note. All probability levels are two-tailed. *p < .05; **p < .01;***p < ,001. on external locus of control measures were more likely than others to score high on one or more of the suicide-related measures. Intercorrelations As expected, the three suicide-related measures were positively correlated with one another. For depression and hopelessness, 4171) = .20, p < .008;for depression and suicide ideation and behavior, r(170) = .45, p < .001;and for hopelessness and suicide ideation and behavior, r(172) = .13, p < .079. As for the Yi variables, subjects with lower individual reproductive potential scores were more likely than others to report poor relationships with parents, r(143) = .26, p < .001, and with friends r( 143) = .22, p < .008. Similarly, subjects with lower benefit-to-kin scores reported poorer relationships with parents, 4171) = 5 7 , p < .001, and with friends r(171) = 5 2 , p < .001. Finally, subjects with low benefit-to-kin scores tended to score low on internal, and high on external, locus of control: Internal, 4172) = .21, p < .005; Powerful Others, 4172) = -.16, p < .035; Chance, r(172) = -.23, p < .002. Reproductive potential of kin showed no significant intercorrelations. First Regression Analysis Results of multiple regressions of each criterion variable underscore the contribu- tions of one or more of the Y Lvariables when compared with other relevant and traditionally potent predictors (see Table 2). Compared to the other seven predictor variables, benefit to kin was the strongest predictor of depression, accounting for nearly 25%of the variance. Moreover, benefit to kin was the only significant predictor of hopelessness, accounting for just under 20%of the variance. Individual reproductive potential was a significant predictor of depression, and reproductive potential of kin was a significant predictor of suicide ideation and behavior. The other significant predictors were quality of relationships with parents and the chance locus of control measure. Each of these variables reliably predicted both depression and suicide ideation and behavior. Results of the discriminant analysis indicated that six of the eight predictor variables reliably differentiated suicide attempters from nonattempters (see Table 3). Reproductive potential of kin was the most potent of the significant predictors based on an examination of correlations between the discriminant scores and the predictor (independent) variables. Compared to nonattempters, attempters had significantly fewer close kin with high expected fertility and good health. Interestingly, compared to nonattempters, attempters had significantly higher individual reproductive potential scores. The two groups did not differ significantly on the benefit-to-kin SUICIDE AND LIFE-THREATENING BEHAVIOR 64 TABLE 2 First Regression Analysis: Stepwise Multiple Regressions Comparing the Effects of Y, Variables with Those of Other Relevant Predictor Variables Suicide variable Depression Hopelessness Ideation and behavior Step F Adj. R2 Predictor P t 1 2 3 46.28*** 36.93*** 29.16*** .25 .34 .38 -.29 .29 -.21 -3.61*** 4.23*** -2.58* 4 1 23.66*** 42.50*** .39 .20 Benefit to kin Chance Parents Individual reproductive potential Benefit to kin -. 15 -.45 -2.18* -6.52*** 1 2 19.02*** 16.90*** .ll .19 -.29 .26 -3.8 1*** 3.40*** 3 13.65*** .21 Parents Chance Reproductive potential of kin -. 18 -2.44* Note. All probability levels are two-tailed. *p < .05;**p < .01;***p < ,001. variable, though the group means were in the expected direction, with attempters showing lower scores ( M = 23.625) than nonattempters ( M = 24.632). Second Regression Analysis Results of multiple regressions of each suicide-related measure using only the Yz variables as predictors showed no support for the two hypothesized interactions: individual reproductive potential x benefit to kin, or reproductive potential of kin x benefit to kin. However, for each of the suicide-related measures, at least one of the Y ivariables attained significance as a predictor (see Table 4).As in the first regression analysis, benefit to kin was a significant predictor of both depression and hopelessness. Individual reproductive potential also predicted depression significantly. Reproductive potential of kin was the only significant predictor of suicide ideation and behavior. TABLE 3 Discriminant Analysis: Differentiation of Suicide Attempters from Nonattempters ~~~ ~ ~ suicide attempters Means for nonattempters Wilks’s ( n = 8) ( n = 133) Lambda Discriminant correlations with predictors Chance 3.14 32.88 31.12 ’ 14.50 3.97 37.61 30.38 11.82 .95** .94* .93* .92* .71 .37 -.13 -.34 Individual reproductive potential Powerful others 7.62 13.00 7.38 12.71 .91* .91* -.08 Means for Step significant independent variables Reproductive potential 1 2 3 4 5 6 of kin Parents Friends Note. All probability levels are two-tailed. *p < .05;**p < .01;***p < .001. -.04 BROWN ET AL. 65 TABLE 4 Second Regression Analysis: Multiple Regressions Evaluating the Effects of the Variables and Hypothesized Interactions among These Variables Adj. R2 Predictor s t 10.71*** .35 -.38 -4.50*** Hopelessness 7.55*** .27 Benefit to kin Individual reproductive potential Benefit to kin Reproductive potential -.17 -.55 -6.56*** Ideation and behavior 6.58*** .24 -.19 -2.50" Suicide variable Depression F of kin -2.34* Note. All probability levels a r e two-tailed. *p < .05; **p < .01;***p < ,001. to suicide ideation, hopelessness has been shown in prospective studies to be a far Perceived Benefits and better predictor of suicide (Beck, Steer, KoCosts to Kin vacs, & Garrison, 1985), and is arguably Our benefit-to-kin variable correlated sig- the best predictor overall of suicide comnificantly with all three suicide-related pletions in clinical populations (Steer, Kumeasures-depression, hopelessness, and mar, & Beck, 1993). The fact that benefit suicide ideation and behavior. In addition, to kin is related inversely not only to suicompared to the seven other predictor cide ideation but also to hopelessness variables, benefit to kin explained more raises the odds that we are tapping into a of the variance in depression and hopeless- motivational path that can eventuate in ness. Other researchers operating from actual suicide, not just thoughts about suivery different theoretical perspectives cide or parasuicide. have also reported evidence for a relationGiven the correlational design of our ship between perceived burdensomeness study, we can only speculate about the post o others and self-destructive behavior sible causal role of perceived benefits and (Motto & Bostrom, 1990; Woznica & Sha- costs to kin. It may well be that, in some piro, 1990). instances, perceiving oneself to be a burThe benefit-to-kin findings are quite den to kin elevates depression and hopeconsistent with decatanzaro's model lessness and activates a self-destructive (19861, and provide a needed extension of motivational system. However, it is also his empirical work linking burdensome- possible that the causal arrow points in ness to kin with suicide ideation (deCa- another direction; specifically, high levels tanzaro, 1984, 1995). Suicide ideation is of depression may cause a person to think clearly an appropriate measure of self-de- of himself or herself as a burden. In short, structive cognitive content. However, the perceived burdensomeness may be an efextent of ideation in nonclinical adolescent fect rather than a cause of depression. This and young adult populations (e.g., 44% in could explain why benefit to kin was a Rudd, 1989; 63% in Smith & Crawford, potent predictor of both depression and 1986; 61% in Strang & Orlofsky, 1990) hopelessness in our study. However, there raises serious questions about its ability are other lines of evidence that oppose this to predict actual suicide, and its role in the interpretation, and which suggest that motivational sequences that eventuate in burdensomeness can have a causal influsuicide. Although most suicides probably ence that is not contaminated by subjects' have a history of ideation, the vast major- affective states: ity of even serious ideators never attempt, 1.Extremely high benefit-to-kin scores let alone complete, suicide. And, compared and extremely low depression scores were DISCUSSION 66 SUICIDE AND LIFE-THREATENING BEHAVIOR rare in our study. The mean total benefitto-kin score was high (24.75 out of a possible 301, while the mean total depression score was low (3.905 out of a possible 16). These data do not support the conclusion that depression was responsible for relatively low benefit-to-kin scores, but they do not rule out the possibility that changes within the observed range of depression ratings may have influenced the benefitto-kin responses in some way. 2. When regressing a given dependent variable (e.g., hopelessness), we partialed out the effects of the other dependent variables (depression, suicide ideation and behavior). Therefore, the observed significant regression of hopelessness on benefit to kin indicates that benefit to kin made a unique contribution to the variance in hopelessness. This argues against the conclusion that subjects’ depression ratings can explain the predictive relationship between benefit to kin and hopelessness. 3. In a recent study, we (Brown, Brown, Johnson, & Lampert, 1997) manipulated experimentally the degree to which a target person in a scenario represented a burden to kin, while keeping the target person’s described level of depression constant across all conditions of the experiment. As predicted, we found that university students judged the target person to be significantly more unhappy, hopeless, and suicidal if, in the scenario, the target was depicted as being a burden (compared to a benefit) to kin. Furthermore, subjects’ depression levels, as measured by the Beck Depression Inventory (Beck, 1967),did not predict their ratings of the target person’s unhappiness, hopelessness, or suicidal intent. These data show clearly that perceived burdensomeness can have a causal influence on ratings of depression, hopelessness, and suicidal intent in others. At first glance, it is perhaps surprising that benefit to kin, so strongly associated with our continuous suicide-related measures, failed to differentiate suicide attempters from nonattempters. However, this “failure” may have occurred in part because of the difficulties inherent in taking retrospective measures of self-destruc- tive behavior. Maris (1992) has noted that nonfatal suicide attempts may confer on the attempter benefits as well as costs. Benefits include attention from family members, friends, and professionals, and short-term elevation of affect. Such benefits may have reduced feelings of burdensomeness in our attempters. It is also possible that some of our attempters were not intent on completing suicide but, rather, were motivated by the increased attention they anticipated receiving as a result of their “attempt” (Kreitman, 1977). In an effort to clarify this matter we are now conducting studies that utilize a revised questionnaire designed to rate the lethality of any reported suicide attempts. Reproductive Potential of Kin Our data also show that reproductive potential of kin may be an important variable in its own right. It was a significant inverse predictor of suicide ideation and behavior, whether entered alongside all of our other predictors, or only with Yi variables. Moreover, it did the best job of all our predictors differentiating suicide attempters from nonattempters, revealing that attempters had significantly fewer fertile, healthy, and genetically related kin than were reported by nonattempters. The direction of this relationship is consistent with decatanzaro’s model as long as bk is assumed to be the same (and not a negative value) for both attempters and nonattempters. Our data provide no reason to doubt these assumptions. Attempters and nonattempters did not differ significantly on benefit to kin scores, and the distribution of benefit to kin scores was skewed negatively. Our reproductive-potential-of-kin variable is likely not a proxy for size of an individual’s immediate family (parents and siblings), even though family size is reflected in calculating reproductive potential of kin. Our questionnaire measured family size in a separate item, and the pattern of correlations between it and other variables was not consistent with the reproductive-potential-of-kin pattern. BROWN ET AL. Although family size correlated positively and significantly with reproductive potential of kin, it did not correlate significantly with depression, hopelessness, or suicide ideation and behavior. It should be noted, however, that family size, as measured by number of offspring, has been found to be an inverse predictor of attempted suicides (Calzeroni, Conte, Pennati, & Vita, 1990; Koller & Costanos, 1968; Kreitman, 1977; Lipe, Schulz, & Bird, 1993), and of completed suicides (Hoyer 8z Lund, 1993; Humphery, 1977; Iga, Yamamoto, Noguchi, & Koshinaga, 1978). Individual Reproductive Potential Our measure of individual reproductive potential was inversely related to depression, consistent with decatanzaro’s model. In both regression analyses, individual reproductive potential was a significant source of variance in predicting depression. Naturally, the same cautions that were raised over interpretation of the benefit-to-kin findings also apply to the individual reproductive potential data. We do not know to what extent subjects’ affective states may have colored their assessments of relationships with, and attractiveness to, members of the opposite sex. However, as noted before, subjects’ levels of depression were low overall, and this suggests that depression was not likely responsible for relatively low scores on the individual reproductive potential items.2 ‘More objective indicators of individual reproductive potential, such as age and resources, would be less susceptible to contamination by subjects’ affective states. We collected age data, but the range was too restricted to expect age-related differences in reproductive potential, actual or perceived. We also collected resource data yielding two measures: subject ratings of family economic status relative to others, and reported occupational status of parents weighted by ratio of reported family income to reported family size. High ratings of relative family economic status were accompanied by low suicide ideation and behavior, even with the effects of depression and hopelessness partialed out, r(152) = -.19, p < .019. When the partial correlation was recalculated for each gender, only males showed a signficant effect, r(35) = -.37,p 67 In the discriminant analysis, individual reproductive potential was one of six predictor variables that reliably differentiated suicide attempters from nonattempters. Suicide attempters had higher individual reproductive potential scores than nonattempters, a finding that seems at odds with the correlation and regression results from all 175 subjects. With so few attempters, it is difficult to know whether this finding reflects sampling error, or a reliable difference between attempters and nonattempters. However, the same discriminant analysis showed a similar reversal of correlational findings for quality of relationships with friends: Attempters were differentiated from nonattempters by their better relationships with friends, but correlations for the entire sample clearly indicate an inverse relation between relationships with friends and each of our three continuous suicide-related measures. One possible explanation of these findings was presented earlier, in connection with the failure of the benefitto-kin variable to reliably differentiate attempters from nonattempters. Ratings of sex, romantic relationships, and personal attractiveness may have improved as a consequence of the suicide attempt. In order to test this hypothesis, prospective < .025. Subjecting our second, ostensibly more objective, resource measure to the same analyses yielded similar results. The partial correlation between income-weighted occupational status and suicide ideation and behavior was significant for males, r(26) = -.40,p < ,037, but was negligible for females. Neither resource measure appears to have been influenced significantly by our measure of subjects’ depression or scores on Beck’s Hopelessness Scale, yet each resource measure correlated with suicide ideation and behavior in ways expected by deCatanzaro’s evolutionary model. The fact that the correlations were observed for males only is consistent with an empirically defensible evolutionary perspectivesexual selection theory-which predicts that women will value men mainly for their ability to provide resources, while men will value women mainly for their physical attractiveness, a presumed sign of health and reproductive capacity (Archer, 1996).Not surprisingly, in our study male subjects’ ratings of their physical attractiveness correlated little, if a t all, with the dependent measures. On the other hand, female subjects’ attractiveness ratings correlated significantly with both depression, r(130) = -.26, p < ,003, and with suicide ideation and behavior, r(129) = -.25, p < ,005. 68 SUICIDE AND LIFE-THREATENING BEHAVIOR studies are needed in which measures of individual reproductive potential are taken prior to, as well as after, nonfatal suicide attempts. tional substrates of self-preservation lie on a continuum. Therefore, a priori, it seems reasonable to expect that such differences would be correlated with fitness variables regardless of which portion of the selfpreservation continuum is sampled. In fact. our data indicate that the exDected correlations hold for subjects who score high on self-preservation (i.e., they show low levels of depression and hopelessness overall). The correlations also appear to hold for certain populations at risk for selfdestruction (decatanzaro, 1995). Only further empirical work of a prospective nature can determine whether there is a connection between fitness and self-preservation motivation in suicide completers. Because reproductive value (expected future reproduction) peaks during adolescence (Thornhill & Thornhill, 1983) and declines sharply with age, and because reproductive strategies are expected to vary with sex (Trivers, 1972), we might expect differential effects of fitness variables on self-destructive motivation and behavior depending on age and sex. In his recent work with six (nonuniversity) samples representing the general public, deCatanzaro (1995) has found that the strongest fitness correlates of suicide ideation do, in fact, change depending on age and sex of the sample. For example, self-reported health and financial status failed to correlate significantly with suicide ideation in men or women comprising the youngest samples (18-30 years of age). However, these two variables were significant inverse correlates of ideation for both men and women in the older samples (31-50 years, and 51+ years). Furthermore, one or more measures of sexual activity correlated significantly and inversely with ideation in each of the male samples, regardless of age, but only in the youngest female sample. It should be emphasized, however, that perceived burdensomeness toward kin correlated significantly and positively with suicide ideation in all six samples, in four of five additional “atr i s k samples, and in a university sample tested previously (decatanzaro, 1984). Interactions Our hypothesized interactions-individual reproductive potential x benefit to kin, and reproductive potential of kin x benefit to kin-were not confirmed for any one of the suicide-related measures. Perhaps this is because of restricted variation in the benefit-to-kin scores. Even though these scores ranged from 8 to 30 (possible range: 0-30),the distribution was skewed negatively (67% of the scores were above the mean). Therefore, interactions involving benefit to kin may have been obscured by this ceiling effect. It will be necessary to explore the full range of the benefit-tokin variable, perhaps with clinical samples, in order to properly evaluate the hypothesized interactions. Qualifications Concerning the Sample Naturally, our generalizations are limited to a rather restricted population-young psychology undergraduates attending a private (Lutheran) university in a major metropolitan area in the Pacific Northwest region of the United States. Furthermore, the sample represents a population that is disproportionately female, White, single, middle- to upper-middle class, at the peak of fertility and, overall, not suffering from clinical depression or other serious psychopathological disorders. Thus, we are limited in what we can say about suicide completers, and about individuals with demographic characteristics (e.g.,sex and age) that differ from those of our sample. Even though our sample precludes generalizing our findings directly to individuals who complete suicide, the model we are testing assumes that individual differences in evolved emotional and motiva- BROWN ET AL. This consistent pattern is strengthened by the independent benefit-to-kin findings from the present study and from other recent investigations using different samples and methodologies (Brown & Melver, 1996; Brown et al., 1997). Qualifications Concerning the Evolutionary Model DeCatanzaro’s model was designed with ancestral conditions in mind, when humans lived in relatively small and genetically interrelated groups. According to the model, suicide would have been genetically advantageous only when there was a conjunction of low individual reproductive potential and burdensomeness toward kin. However, it is important to note that our present environment may differ dramatically from the environment of evolutionary adaptedness, as decatanzaro (1995) and others (e.g., Tooby & Cosmides, 1992)have noted. There exist today methods of self-destruction, threats to family and society, and modes of communication and isolation that were not present in the ancestral environment. Consequently, we should expect that there may now be alternative paths to suicide. Some instances of suicide in the contemporary environment may be triggered by experimentation, media stories, ineffective strategies for coping with evolutionarily novel stress, or psychopathological processes. Clinical Implications An evolutionary approach to suicide offers new and potentially fruitful ways of understanding the etiology of suicide. The “almost bewildering array of conditions” (Felner, Adan, & Silverman, 1992) linked to suicide may have in common the fact that they are actual or perceived threats to inclusive fitness (e.g., parent-child conflict, death of a family member, breakup of a romantic relationship, terminal illness, public humiliation), or reactions to such threats (e.g., substance abuse, affective 69 disorders, conduct disorders). The threats and reactions by themselves are not sufficient to drive suicidal behavior; they may in fact produce a wide variety of outcomes. What would make a person truly suicidal, according to the evolutionary model outlined in the present study, is the (unconscious or conscious) calculation^' that the potential genetic costs of staying alive outweigh the gains. Extrapolating from the model, this result would occur only when expected individual reproduction is extremely low, and feelings of burdensomeness to close kin are high. Perhaps it is the negative outcome of a fitness analysis such as this that triggers a state of hopelessness. Our findings and decatanzaro’s underscore the importance of understanding interpersonal relationships within the family in treating depression, hopelessness, and self-destructive ideation and behavior. It appears that self-reported burdensomeness to family members is a salient correlate of suicide ideation and behavior for both genders and all age levels sampled thus far, whether university students, the general public, or a variety of at risk populations. It may be useful to evaluate and attempt to modify perceptions of burdensomeness in depressed or otherwise atrisk individuals. Cognitive-behavioral techniques might be used to help such individuals identify fallacious conclusions of burdensomeness, attend to and rehearse instances of concrete contributions made to family members, and take advantage of opportunities for making contributions to the community or society. Relatives of a depressed individual may communicate messages of burdensomeness directly, or through emotional neglect. Therefore, it may be especially important to include the depressed person’s siblings, parents, offspring, or other family members in treatment plans. In this way, family members might learn to recognize their roles in communicating overt or subtle messages of burdensomeness to the depressed relative, and to appreciate the potentially lethal impact of such communications. 70 SUICIDE AND LIFE-THREATENING BEHAVIOR CONCLUSIONS that have occurred in the social ecology of our species. Freud‘s use of the “death instinct” to explain self-destructive behavior met with skepticism and denial among analysts and biologists alike almost as soon as the concept was introduced in the early 1900s (Jones, 1957).In the years hence, conceptualizations linking suicide to biology typically have stated or implied that genes may be responsible for affective disorders that can give rise to suicide, but not for suicide directly. The idea that at least some aspects of self-destructive motivation may be part of our evolutionary heritage has received little attention, let alone support, in spite of suggestive evidence from behavioral genetic studies (e.g., Schulsinger, Kety, Rosenthal, & Wender, 1979), the availability of kin selection as an explanatory mechanism (Hamilton, 1964; Maynard Smith, 1964),and the formulation of inclusive fitness models of animal suicide (McAllister & Roitberg, 1987; O’Connor, 1978; Poulin, 1992). The lone voice in the wilderness belongs to deCatanzaro, whose arguments for the evolution of self-destructive behavior under well-defined circumstances seem plausible, and whose mathematical model has provided the impetus for the present study. Results of our study support and extend decatanzaro’s theoretical and empirical contributions (decatanzaro, 1984, 1986, 1995). While his investigations focused only on suicide ideation and suicide attempts as dependent measures, our study has shown that one or more of the three Y ivariables predict levels of depression and hopelessness as well. Moreover, although decatanzaro appears not to have considered reproductive potential of kin an important variable in its own right, our regression and discriminant analysis results show it to be a significant predictor of suicide ideation and behavior. 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