Warm-Up Exercises 1. Find the area of a circle with radius 5.2 cm. ANSWER 84.9 cm2 2. Find the area of a right triangle with hypotenuse 18 in. and side length 8 in. ANSWER 64.5 in.2 3. A rectangle with sides 4 inches and 5 inches is cut out of a square with sides 8 inches. Find the area that remains. ANSWER 44in.2 Warm-Up Exercises Vocabulary • probability of an event – is a measure of the likelihood the event will occur; 0 ≤ P(event) ≤ 1 • geometric probability – is a ratio that involves a geometric measure such as length or area • probability of an event – total possible Warm-Up Exercises Vocabulary Geometric Probability • probability and length – • probability and area – Warm-Up1Exercises EXAMPLE Use lengths to find a geometric probability Find the probability that a point chosen at random on PQ is on RS . SOLUTION P(Point is on RS) = Length of RS Length of PQ 6 3 4 – ( – 2) = , 0.6, or 60%. = = 10 5 5 – ( – 5) Warm-Up2Exercises EXAMPLE Use a segment to model a real-world probability MONORAIL A monorail runs every 12 minutes. The ride from the station near your home to the station near your work takes 9 minutes. One morning, you arrive at the station near your home at 8:46. You want to get to the station near your work by 8:58. What is the probability you will get there by 8:58? SOLUTION STEP 1 Find: the longest you can wait for the monorail and still get to the station near your work by 8:58. The ride takes 9 minutes, so you need to catch the monorail no later than 9 minutes before 8:58, or by 8:49. The longest you can wait is 3 minutes (8:49 – 8:46 = 3 min). Warm-Up2Exercises EXAMPLE Use a segment to model a real-world probability STEP 2 Model the situation. The monorail runs every 12 minutes, so it will arrive in 12 minutes or less. You need it to arrive within 3 minutes. The monorail needs to arrive within the first 3 minutes. STEP 3 Find: the probability. P(you get to the station by 8:58) Favorable waiting time 3 1 = Maximum waiting time = = ANSWER 12 4 The probability that you arrive by 8:58. is 1 or 25%. 4 Warm-Up Exercises GUIDED PRACTICE for Examples 1 and 2 Find the probability that a point chosen at random on PQ is on the given segment. Express your answer as a fraction, a decimal, and a percent. 1. RT ANSWER 1 , 0.1, 10% 10 2. TS 3. PT 4. RQ ANSWER ANSWER ANSWER 1 , 0.5, 50% 2 2 , 0.4, 40% 5 7 , 0.7, 70% 10 Warm-Up3Exercises EXAMPLE Use areas to find a geometric probability ARCHERY The diameter of the target shown at the right is 80 centimeters. The diameter of the red circle on the target is 16 centimeters. An arrow is shot and hits the target. If the arrow is equally likely to land on any point on the target, what is the probability that it lands in the red circle? Warm-Up3Exercises EXAMPLE Use areas to find a geometric probability Find the ratio of the area of the red circle to the area of the target. Area of red circle P(arrow lands in red region) = Area of target SOLUTION ANSWER = (82) (402) = 64 1600 1 = 25 The probability that the arrow lands in the red region is 1 , or 4%. 25 Warm-Up4Exercises EXAMPLE Estimate area on a grid to find a probability SCALE DRAWING Your dog dropped a ball in a park. A scale drawing of the park is shown. If the ball is equally likely to be anywhere in the park, estimate the probability that it is in the field. SOLUTION STEP 1 Find the area of the field. The shape is a rectangle, so the area is bh = 10 3 = 30 square units. Warm-Up4Exercises EXAMPLE Estimate area on a grid to find a probability STEP 2 Find the total area of the park. Count the squares that are fully covered. There are 30 squares in the field and 22 in the woods. So, there are 52 full squares. Make groups of partially covered squares so the combined area of each group is about 1 square unit. The total area of the partial squares is about 6 or 7 square units. So, use 52 + 6.5 = 58.5 square units for the total area. Warm-Up4Exercises EXAMPLE Estimate area on a grid to find a probability STEP 3 Write a ratio of the areas to find the probability. Area of field P(ball in field) = Total area of park 30 58.5 300 = 585 20 = 39 ANSWER The probability that the ball is in the field is about 20 39 , or 51.3%. Warm-Up Exercises GUIDED PRACTICE for Examples 3 and 4 6. In the target in Example 3, each ring is 8 centimeters wide. Find the probability that an arrow lands in a black region. ANSWER 14 = 56% 25 7. In Example 4, estimate the probability that the ball is in the woods. ANSWER 19 or about 48.7%. 39 Warm-Up Exercises Daily Homework Quiz 1. Find the probability that a point chosen at random on JN is on KN. ANSWER 5 or 71.4% 7 2. Find the probability that a randomly chosen point in the figure will lie in the shaded region. ANSWER 36.3% Warm-Up Exercises Daily Homework Quiz 3. A bird is equally likely to be anywhere in the garden shown. What is the probability that the bird will be in the vegetables? ANSWER about 24 or 47% 51
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