Can take on any value in a given interval (or a union of intervals) Examples: height, weight, length, mass, temperature, concentration They are continuous in theory but in practice we measure their values to the nearest inch, gram, milligram, etc. For continuous rv’s, there is no positive probability at a point. In the study of the ecology of a lake, depth measurements are taken at randomly chosen locations. Then the depth X at a location is a continuous rv. Let X be the amount of time that a random customer spends waiting for a haircut. Then X is neither discrete not continuous, since there is a positive probability that X=0. 3 If we “discretize” lake depth and draw a histogram, so that the area of the rectangle above any possible integer k is the proportion of the lake whose depth is (to the nearest meter) k, then the total area under the rectangles is one. 4 If we measure depth more accurately, we obtain a histogram with a finer mesh. In the limit (as the mesh size gets smaller) we obtain a smooth curve, the probability density function. The area under the curve is one. 5 pdf defines the distribution of a continuous rv pdf f(x) has to be nonnegative: f x 0 f(x) can be greater than 1 but the integral (probability) is between 0 and 1 Total area under the curve y = f(x) is one, and area under the curve for a specific interval is the probability for that interval. b P (a X b) f ( x)dx a f ( x)dx 1 a P( X a) P(a X a) f ( x)dx 0 a Thus, we don’t need to worry about < or when we talk about probabilities for a continuous random variable. f(x)=2x, 0 x 1 =0 otherwise f(x) is nonnegative for 0<=x<=1 integrates to one 1 f ( x)dx 2 xdx x 2 1 0 0 • Calculate P(1/4<=X<=2/3) 2/3 P(1/ 4 X 2 / 3) 2 xdx 4 / 9 1/16 55 /144 1/ 4 1 A continuous rv X is said to have a uniform distribution on the interval [A,B] if the pdf of X is 1 f x; A, B B A 0 A x B otherwise 9 Consider a reference line from the stem of a tire to an imperfection on a tire, and let X be the angle (in degrees) measured clockwise to the location of an imperfection. Then 45 1 P 0 X 45 dx 1/ 8 360 0 10
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