Educator and Tagging Information: Learning Area: Maths Resource Name: Maths Assessment Exemplar Number: M8.59 Item: 59 Phase: Senior Grade: 8 Learning Outcome(s) and Assessment Standard(s): Learning Outcome 5: Data Handling Assessment Standard: We know this when the learner 8.5.10 Considers a simple situation (with equally likely outcomes) that can be described using probability and: lists all the possible outcomes; determines the probability of each possible outcome using the definition of probability (see Mathematics Learning Area Glossary); finds the relative frequency of actual outcomes for a series of trials; compares relative frequency with probability and explains possible differences; predicts with reasons the relative frequency of the possible outcomes for a series of trials based on probability. Learning Space: Assessment Hyperlinks: To be completed later. Number of questions for exemplar: 1 Rating: Easy questions: Medium questions: Difficult questions: Assessment Task Questions: 1. Jason wants to calculate the probability of his team winning a football match. He assumes that a win, lose or a draw are equally likely. a) Is his assumption valid? Explain. b) What could be done to calculate the relative frequency of winning the football match? Solution 1. a) Yes, since these are three equally likely events that may occur. b) To investigate the chance of winning a football match, he needs to look at a sample of matches that they played, and what the outcome was. The bigger the sample of matches, the closer to the theoretical probability his investigation into the frequency of winning would be. Certain areas in mathematics will need learners to function provided that certain assumptions are made about the context etc. It is very important to be able to challenge and validate such assumptions. Appendix of Assignment Tools Probability Relative frequencies Proof / Validation
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