B I O S T A T I S T I C S CHAIR AND DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER SCIENCE AND STATISTICS 2 1. Pathology The data in Table 2.10 are measurements from a group of 10 normal males and 11 males with left heart disease taken at autopsy at a particular hospital. Measurements were made on several variables at that time, and the table presents the measurements on total heart weight (THW) and total body weight (BW). Assume that the diagnosis of left heart disease is made independently of these variables. Please check, if really left heart disease increases total heart weight. Table 2.10 Autopsy data Left heart disease males Normal males Observation number THW (g) BW (kg) Observation number THW (g) BW (kg) 1 450 54.6 1 245 40.8 2 760 73.5 2 350 67.4 3 325 50.3 3 340 53.3 4 495 44.6 4 300 62.2 5 285 58.1 5 310 65.5 6 450 61.3 6 270 47.5 7 460 75.3 7 300 51.2 8 375 41.1 8 360 74.9 9 310 51.5 9 405 59.0 10 615 41.7 10 290 40.5 11 425 59.7 3 2. Infectious Disease The data in Table 2.11 are a sample from a larger dataset collected on persons discharged from a selected Pennsylvania hospital as part of a retrospective chart review of antibiotic usage in hospitals. Please give the answer for following questions: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Is there the difference in age between males and females? Does age influences first temperature after admission? Is there the dependence between type of service and gender? Is there the difference in WBC level between antibiotic treatment groups? Is there the linear correlation between duration of stay and age? Calculate the probability that the length of the hospital stay will be greater than 20 days. Table 2.11 Hospital stay data ID no. Duration of hospital stay 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 5 10 6 11 5 14 30 11 17 3 9 3 8 8 5 5 7 4 3 7 9 11 11 9 4 Age Sex (1 = M, 2 = F) First temp. following admission First WBC (x 103) following admission Received antibiotic (1 = yes. 2 = no) Received bacterial culture (1 = yes, 2 = no) Service (1 = med., 2 = surg.) 30 73 40 47 25 82 60 56 43 50 59 4 22 33 20 32 36 69 47 22 11 19 67 43 41 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 99.0 98.0 99.0 98.2 98.5 96.8 99.5 98.6 98.0 98.0 97.6 97.8 99.5 98.4 98.4 99.0 99.2 98.0 97.0 98.2 98.2 98.6 97.6 98.6 98.0 8 5 12 4 11 6 8 7 7 12 7 3 11 14 11 9 6 6 5 6 10 14 4 5 5 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 4 3. Cerebrovascular Disease One problem with using the angiogram to diagnose stroke is the slight risk of mortality associated with this test (< 1%). Some investigators have attempted to use the PET scanner (which measures blood flow in the brain) to detect stroke disease noninvasively as an alternative to the angiogram. A comparison was made on the same patients between these two methodologies for detecting stroke, with the results given in Table 3.3. Table 3.3 Comparison of a noninvasive test for detecting stroke with an angiogram - Noninvasive test + + - 3 + + 32 Angiogram 5 Frequency 21 8 4. Hypertension Hypertensive patients are screened at a neighborhood health clinic and are given methyl dopa, a strong antihypertensive medication for their condition. They are asked to come back 1 week later and have their blood pressures measured again. Suppose the initial and follow-up systolic blood pressures of the patients are given in Table 6.9. To test the effectiveness of the drug, we want to answer the question if the difference between initial and follow-up blood pressures is statistically significant. Table 6.9 Initial and follow-up systolic bp (mm Hg) for hypertensive patients given methyl dopa Patient no. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Initial systolic bp 200.0 194.0 236.0 163.0 240.0 225.0 203.0 180.0 177.0 240.0 Follow-up systolic bp 188.0 212.0 186.0 150.0 200.0 222.0 190.0 154.0 180.0 225.0 6 5. Epidemiology Height and weight are often used in epidemiological studies as possible predictors of disease outcomes. If the persons in the study are assessed in a clinic, then heights and weights are usually measured directly. However, if the persons are interviewed at home or by mail, then a person's self-reported height and weight are often used instead. Suppose we conduct a study on 10 people to test the comparability of these two methods. The data for weight are given in Table 7.4. Table 7.4 A comparison of self-reported and measured weight (lb) for 10 subjects SelfPerson Measured reported number weight weight 1 120 125 Difference -5 2 120 118 +2 3 135 139 -4 4 118 120 -2 5 120 125 -5 6 190 198 -8 7 124 128 -4 8 175 176 -1 9 133 131 +2 10 125 125 0 7 6. Environmental Health, Pediatrics A topic of recent interest is the short- and long-term health effects of exposure to various agents in the environment. A study was performed by Landrigan et al. to look at the effect of chronic exposure to low levels of lead in children who lived near a lead smelter in El Paso, Texas. A lead absorption group and a control group of children were identified by the amount of lead in blood samples, and various neurology, and psychological tests were performed to compare the two groups. In particular, the WISC performance IQ test was performed on 34 children, 5 years of age and older, in the lead absorption group and 36 comparably aged children in the control group. Assess the statistical significance of the IQ test results, which are given in Table 8.3. Table 8.3 Results of WISC performance IQ test for exposed and control children Mean Lead absorption 96.44 Control 103.29 8 sd n 13.74 34 17.87 36 7. Hypertension An investigator wishes to determine if sitting upright in a chair vs. lying down on a bed will affect a person's blood pressure. The investigator decides to use each of 10 patients as his or her own control and collects systolic blood pressure data in both the sitting and lying positions as given in Table 8.9. Table 8.9 Effect of position on level of bp (mm Hg) Patient Sitting upright Lying down 1 142 154 2 100 106 3 112 110 4 92 100 5 104 112 6 100 100 7 108 120 8 94 90 9 104 104 10 98 114 9 8. Pharmacology One method for assessing the effectiveness of a drug is to note its concentration in blood and/or urine samples at certain periods of time after giving the drug. Suppose we wish to compare the concentrations of two types of aspirin (types A and B) in urine specimens taken from the same person, 1 hour after he or she has taken the drug. Hence we give a specific dosage of either type A or type B aspirin at one time and measure the 1-hour urine concentration. One week later, after the first aspirin has presumably been cleared from the system we give the same dosage of the other aspirin to the same person and note the 1-hour urine concentration. Since the order of giving the drugs may affect the results, we use a table of random numbers to decide which of the two types of aspirin to give first. We perform this experiment on 10 people; the results are given in Table 8.10 Table 8.10. Concentration of aspirin in urine samples Person Aspirin A 1-hour concentration (mg%) Aspirin B 1-hour concentration (mg%) 1 15 13 2 26 20 3 13 10 4 28 21 5 17 17 6 20 22 7 7 5 8 36 30 9 12 7 10 18 11 Mean 19.20 15.60 sd 8.63 7.78 10 9. Hypertension Blood pressure measurements taken on the left and right arms of a person are assumed to be comparable. To test this assumption, 10 volunteers are obtained and systolic blood pressure readings are taken simultaneously on both arms by two different observers, Mr. Jones for the left arm and Mr. Smith for the right arm. The data are given in Table 8.11. Table 8.11 Effect of arm on level of blood pressure (mm Hg) Patient Left arm Right arm 1 130 126 2 120 124 3 135 127 4 100 95 5 98 102 6 110 109 7 123 124 8 136 132 9 140 137 10 155 156 11 10. Nutrition A hypothesis of current clinical interest is that vitamin C prevents the common cold. A study is organized to test this hypothesis using 20 prisoners as participants. In the study 10 are randomly allocated to receive vitamin C capsules and 10 are randomly allocated to receive placebo capsules. The number of colds over a 12-month period for each participant is given in Table 8.12. We wish to test the hypothesis that vitamin C prevents the common cold. Table 8.12 Number of colds over a 12-month period for persons taking vitamin C and placebo capsules Vitamin C i Placebo xi1 i xi2 Di(xi1 – xi2) 1 4 1 7 -3 2 0 2 8 -8 3 3 3 4 -1 4 4 4 6 -2 5 4 5 6 -2 6 3 6 4 -1 7 4 7 6 -2 8 3 8 4 -1 9 2 9 6 -4 10 6 10 6 0 12 11. Hypertension A recent study by the Lipid Research Clinics looked at the relationship between alcohol consumption and level of systolic blood pressure in women not using oral contraceptives. Alcohol consumption was categorized as follows: no alcohol use; <=10oz per week alcohol consumption; >10oz per week alcohol consumption. The results for women 30-39 years of age are given in Table 8.15. Do we observe statistically significant difference in systolic blood pressure between analyzed groups? Table 8.15 Relationship of systolic blood pressure and alcohol consumption in 30—39-yearold women not using oral contraceptives A. No alcohol use B. ≤ 10 oz per week alcohol consumption C. > 10 oz per week alcohol consumption Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg) Mean sd n 110.5 13.3 357 109.1 13.4 440 114.5 13 14.9 23 12. Hypertension A study of the relationship between salt intake and blood pressure of infants is in the planning stages. A pilot study is done, comparing 5 1-year-old infants on a high-salt diet with 5 1-yearold infants on a low-salt diet. The results are given in Table 8.20. Is there statistically significant difference in systolic blood pressure between both groups of infants? Table 8.20 Relationship between salt intake and level of blood pressure Mean systolic bp sd systolic bp n Highsalt 90.8 diet 10.3 5 14 Low-salt diet 87.2 9.2 5 13. Sports Medicine Many tennis players develop acute lateral epicondylitis whereby they experience acute elbow pain (tennis elbow). A variety of nonsurgical treatments are used for this condition, including rest, heat, and anti-inflammatory agents. A clinical trial was set up to compare the effects of the anti-inflammatory agent ibuprofen (Motrin) with those of a placebo in the treatment of tennis elbow. Patients were given 400 mg of ibuprofen orally or an identical looking placebo 4 times per day and were evaluated after 3 weeks of treatment. Patients subjectively rated their pain as (1) worse, (2) unchanged, (3) slightly improved, (4) moderately improved, (5) mostly improved, and (6) completely improved. The results are given in Table 9.6. Table 9.6 A comparison of pain during maximal activity after 3 weeks of therapy with Motrin and placebo as compared with baseline Treatment group Total Worse Unchanged Slightly improved Moderately Improved Mostly improved Completely improved Motrin 43 0 14 7 10 10 2 Placebo 44 5 20 11 3 5 0 15 14. Psychiatry Much attention has been given in recent years to the role of transcendental meditation in improving health, particularly in lowering blood pressure. One hypothesis that emerges from this work is that transcendental meditation might also be useful in treating psychiatric patients with symptoms of anxiety. Suppose that a protocol of meditational therapy is administered once per day to 20 patients with anxiety. The patients are given a psychiatric exam at baseline and at a follow-up exam 2 months later. The degree of improvement is rated on a 10-point scale, with 1 indicating the most improvement and 10 the least improvement. Similarly, 26 comparably affected patients with anxiety are given standard psychotherapy and are asked to come back 2 months later for a follow-up exam. The results are given in Table 9.8. Is meditation comparably effective in lowering blood pressure as psychotherapy is? Table 9.8 Degree of improvement in patients with anxiety who are treated with transcendental meditation or psychotherapy Meditation Psychotherapy d* 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 ƒ† d* ƒ† 3 1 0 4 2 2 7 3 5 3 4 3 2 5 8 1 6 4 0 7 2 0 8 1 0 9 1 0 10 0 * d = degree of improvement † ƒ = frequency 16 15. Psychiatry Suppose we are conducting a study of the effectiveness of lithium therapy for manicdepressive patients. The study is carried out at two different centers, and we wish to determine if the patient populations are comparable at baseline. We administer a self-rating questionnaire to the prospective patients at the two different centers about their general psychological well-being, in which the outcome measure is a four-category scale as follows: (1) = feel good; (2) = usually feel good, once in a while feel nervous; (3) = feel nervous half the time; (4) = usually feel nervous. Suppose the data at the two different centers are as follows: Center 1 3, 4, 1, 1, 3, 2, 3, 4, 4, 3, 2, 4, 4, 4 Center 2 1, 2, 1, 3, 2, 4, 1, 2, 1, 3, 1, 2, 2, 2, 1, 3 17 16. Obstetrics A subject of recent research in obstetrics is the medical management of women who go into labor prematurely, which we will define as labor occurring between 20 and 36 weeks of pregnancy. Premature labor is undesirable because infants born prematurely have a higher rate of infant mortality and morbidity. Terbutaline is a drug that is effectively used to arrest labor and prolong the duration of the pregnancy beyond 36 weeks. However, it sometimes has undesirable cardiovascular and metabolic side effects, such as tremors and hyperglycemia, which limit its use for some women. Another possibility is to give terbutaline in combination with another drug (metoprolol), which would neutralize these side effects. However, before using this combination therapy, we want to compare its effectiveness in prolonging pregnancy with that of terbutaline alone. Suppose that we set up a clinical trial to compare the effectiveness of the two therapies, where the outcome is whether the pregnancy lasts beyond 36 weeks. We find that in 200 patients treated with terbutaline alone, 130 have a pregnancy lasting more than 36 weeks, whereas in 200 patients treated with terbutaline and metoprolol, 120 have a pregnancy lasting more than 36 weeks. Assess the significance of these results. Is combined therapy similarly effective In arresting labor as terbutaline alone? Duration of pregnancy >36 weeks ≤36 weeks 130 70 120 80 250 150 Treatment group Terbutaline Terbutaline and metoprolol Total 18 Total 200 200 400 17. Cardiovascular Disease - Nutrition Suppose we do a retrospective study on the deaths of all men aged 50-54 in a specific county over a 1-month period. We find that of 35 persons who died from CVD, 5 were on a high-salt diet before they died, whereas of 25 persons who died from other causes, 2 were on such a diet. These data, presented in Table 10.9, are in the form of a 2 x 2 contingency table, and thus the methods of Section 10.2.2 may be applicable. We find, however, that the expected values of this table are too small to validly use such methods. Cause of death Non-CVD CVD Total Type c High salt 2 5 7 f diet Low salt 23 30 53 19 Total 25 35 60 18. Hypertension A recent phenomenon in the recording of blood pressure is the development of the automated blood pressure machine, where for a small fee a person can sit in a booth and have his or her blood pressure measured by a computer device. A study is conducted to compare the computer device with standard methods of measuring blood pressure. Twenty patients are recruited, and their hypertensive status is assessed by both the computer device and a trained observer. Hypertensive status is defined as either hypertensive (+), if either systolic bp > 160 or diastolic bp > 95, or normotensive ( —) otherwise. The data are given in Table 10.16. Assess the statistical significance of these data. Hypertensive status Hypertensive status Person Computer device Trained observer Person Computer device Trained observer 1 - - 11 + - 2 - - 12 + - 3 + - 13 - - 4 + + 14 + - 5 - + 15 - + 6 + - 16 + - 7 - - 17 + - 8 + + 18 - - 9 + + 19 - - 10 - - 20 - - Computer Trained observer device + - + - 3. 7 1 9 20 19. Cancer Suppose we wish to compare the following two treatments for breast cancer: simple mastectomy (S) and radical mastectomy (R). We form matched pairs of women who are within the same decade of age and with the same clinical condition. They receive the two treatments, and we monitor their subsequent 5-year survival. The results are given in Table 10.26. We wish to test for significant differences between the treatments. Table 10.26 Comparison of simple and radical mastectomy in treating breast cancer Pair Treatment S Treatment woman R woman 1 L* L 2 L D 3 L L 4 L L 5 L L 6 D† L 7 L L 8 L D 9 L D 10 L L 11 D D 12 L D 13 L L 14 L L 15 L D 16 L L 17 L D 18 L D 19 L L 20 L D * L = lived at least 5 years † D = died within 5 years 21 20. Obstetrics Greene and Touchstone conducted a study to relate birthweight to the estriol level of pregnant women. The data from the study are listed in Table 11.1. We want to check , if there exists linear relationship between estriol level and birthweight. Estriol Birthweight (mg/24 hr) (g/100) Estriol (mg/24 hr) Birthweight (g/100) i xi yi i xi yi 1 7 25 17 17 32 2 9 25 18 25 32 3 9 25 19 27 34 4 12 27 20 15 34 5 14 27 21 15 34 6 16 27 22 15 35 7 16 24 23 16 35 8 14 30 24 19 34 9 16 30 25 18 35 10 16 31 26 17 36 11 17 30 27 18 37 12 19 31 28 20 38 13 21 30 29 22 40 14 24 28 30 25 39 15 15 32 31 24 43 16 16 32 22 21. Cardiology The following data are given for 27 patients with acute dilated cardiomyopathy . 1. Test for the significance of the regression line 2. What is the expected LVEF for a 45-year-old patient with this condition? Patient number Age x Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) 1 35 0.19 2 28 0.24 3 25 0.17 4 75 0.40 5 42 0.40 6 19 0.23 7 54 0.20 8 35 0.20 9 30 0.30 10 65 0.19 11 26 0.24 12 56 0.32 13 60 0.32 14 47 0.28 15 50 0.24 16 43 0.18 17 30 0.22 18 56 0.23 19 23 0.14 20 26 0.14 21 58 0.30 22 65 0.07 23 34 0.12 24 63 0.13 25 23 0.17 26 23 0.24 27 46 0.19 23 22. Pathology Two pathologists independently review biopsy specimens from 40 persons with self-reported malignant melanoma as ascertained by mail questionnaire. The results are given in Table 11.18. Are there any statistically significant differences between their diagnosis? Pathologist 1 Pathologist 2 diagnosis diagnosis + Total + 24 8 32 4 4 8 Total 28 12 40 24 23. Environmental Health Suppose we are interested in the linear relationship between carbon monoxide concentrations and the density of cars in some geographical area. We measure the number of cars per hour to the nearest 500 cars per hour and the concentration of carbon monoxide (CO) in parts per million at a particular street corner and group the data by cars per hour. The data are given in Table 11.20. Please check the statistical significance of the results. Cars/hour (x 103) CO concentrations Number of samples 1.0 9.0 6.8 7.7 3 1.5 9.6 6.8 11.3 3 2.0 12.3 11.8 2 3.0 20.7 19.2 21.6 20.6 4 25 24. Cardiovascular Disease Many studies have demonstrated that the level of HDL cholesterol (high-density lipoprotein cholesterol) is positively related to alcohol consumption. This relationship has intrigued researchers because the level of HDL cholesterol is inversely correlated with the incidence of heart disease. One possible mechanism was explored by Kuller et al. in an analysis of participants in the MRFIT study relating the level of HDL cholesterol to the level of SGOT, a parameter commonly used to assess liver function . The data in Table 11.29 were presented. Is there statistically significant relationship between analyzed parameters? SGOT <9 10-12 13-14 15-16 17-18 19-20 ≥21 Mean HDL cholesterol 40.0 41.2 42.3 42.8 43.8 43.6 46.5 (Reprinted with permission of the American Journal of Epidemiology 117(4): 406418,1983.) 26 25. Hypertension Adults show a strong relationship between blood pressure and age. Data were collected from schoolchildren in Muscatine, Iowa, to see if this relationship continued to hold in the age group 5-18. The data in Table 11.25 were obtained from boys in this age group. Do we observe linear dependence between presented data? Age, x Mean systolic blood pressure, y (mm Hg) 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 94.4 97.7 101.9 104.5 106.3 109.3 112.6 113.8 117.7 121.6 122.3 123.6 124.9 131.0 ∑ xi = 161 ∑ xi2 = 2079 ∑ yi = ∑ yi2 = 180.271 1581.6 ∑ xi yi =18.787.3 27 26. Pulmonary Disease A topic of recent public health interest is whether or not passive smoking (i.e., exposure to cigarette smoke in the atmosphere among nonsmokers) has a measurable effect on pulmonary health. White and Froeb studied this question by measuring pulmonary function in several ways in the following six groups [1]: 1. Nonsmokers (NS) People who themselves did not smoke and were not exposed to cigarette smoke either at home or on the job. 2. Passive Smokers (PS) People who themselves did not smoke and were not exposed to cigarette smoke in the home, but were employed for 20 or more years in an enclosed working area that routinely contained tobacco smoke. 3. Noninhaling Smokers (NI) People who smoked pipes, cigars, or cigarettes, but who did not inhale. 4. Light Smokers (LS) People who smoked and inhaled 1-10 cigarettes per day for 20 or more years. (Note: There are 20 cigarettes in a pack.) 5. Moderate Smokers (MS) People who smoked and inhaled 11 - 39 cigarettes per day for 20 or more years. 6. Heavy Smokers (HS) People who smoked and inhaled 40 or more cigarettes per da\ for 20 or more years. A principal measure used by the authors to assess pulmonary function was forced midexpiratory flow (FEF). The authors were interested in comparing FEF in the six groups. Group Group number name 1 2 3 4 5 6 Mean FEF (l/s) sd FEF (l/s) N 3.78 3.30 3.32 3.23 2.73 2.59 0.79 0.77 0.86 0.78 0.81 0.82 200 200 50 200 200 200 NS PS NI LS MS HS 28 27. Ophthalmology Arachidonic acid is well known to have an effect on ocular metabolism. In particular, topical application of arachidonic acid has caused lid closure, itching, and ocular discharge, among other effects. A study was conducted to compare the anti-inflammatory effects of four different drugs in Albino rabbits after administration of arachidonic acid [3]. For all groups the anti-inflammatory agent was administered to one eye and a saline solution was administered to the other eye. Ten minutes later arachidonic acid (sodium arachidonate) was delivered to both eyes. Both eyes were evaluated every 15 minutes thereafter for lid closure. At each assessment the lids of both eyes were examined and a lid closure score from 0-3 was determined, where 0 = eye completely open, 3 = eye completely closed, and 1,2 = intermediate states. The measure of effectiveness (x) is the change in lid closure scores (from baseline to follow-up) in the treated eye minus the change in lid closure scores in the saline eye. A high value for x is indicative of an effective drug. The data, after 15 minutes of follow-up, are presented in Table 12.6. Which drugs are effective in the treatment of inflammatory status? Rabbit Indomethacin numbe Score* Rank r 1 +2 13.5 Aspirin Piroxicam BW755C Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank +1 9.0 +3 20.0 +1 9.0 2 +3 20.0 +3 20.0 +1 9.0 0 4.0 3 +3 20.0 +1 9.0 +2 13.5 0 4.0 4 +3 20.0 +2 13.5 +1 9.0 0 4.0 5 +3 20.0 +2 13.5 +3 20.0 0 4.0 6 0 4.0 +3 20.0 +3 20.0 +1 1.0 29 28. Nutrition, Arthritis A comparison was made of the protein intake among three groups of premenopausal women: (1) women eating a standard American diet (STD), (2) women eating a lacto-ovo-vegetarian diet (LAC), and (3) women eating a strict vegetarian diet (VEG). The averaged results for protein intake (mg) are presented in Table 12.11. Is there statistically significant difference in protein intake between diet groups? Group Mean sd n STD 75 9 10 LAC 57 13 10 VEG 47 17 6 30
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