Name LESSON Date Class Problem Solving 8-2 Experimental Probability Write the correct answer as a fraction in simplest form. This table shows a breakdown by format of total music sales in the United States in 2004. Total American Music Sales in 2004 Format 1. What is the experimental probability that any random music purchase in 2004 was a CD? Total (% of units shipped) CD 80 Digital Single 15 Music Video 3 Other 2 2. What is the experimental probability that any random music purchase in 2004 was not a Music Video? 3. What is the experimental probability that any random music purchase in 2004 was a digital single? 4. Which combination of sales has an 1 ? experimental probability of 20 Choose the letter for the best answer. 5. Ethan hits 4 ringers in 10 attempts while pitching horseshoes. What 2 does an experimental probability of 5 describe? A P(horseshoes) B P(missed shots) C P(attempts) D P(ringers) 6. Jay beats Terry at table tennis 3 out of 5 games. What is the experimental probability that Terry will win their next game? 7. Poonam counts 10 classmates out of 36 people in the library. What is the experimental probability that the next person will be a classmate? 8. Macy makes 15 of 20 free throws at basketball practice. What is the experimental probability that she will miss her next free throw? 1 F 2 2 H 5 3 G 5 J 1 5 A 3 6 1 C 3 6 1 F 4 2 H 3 5 B 1 8 1 D 1 0 1 G 2 3 J 4 Copyright © by Holt, Rinehart and Winston. All rights reserved. 18 Holt Mathematics Problem Solving 8-2 Experimental Probability Challenge 8-2 Pondering Probability LESSON LESSON Write the correct answer as a fraction in simplest form. Materials needed: paper plate, construction paper, metal fastener This table shows a breakdown by format of total music sales in the United States in 2004. Use a paper plate, a construction paper arrow, and a metal fastener to construct a spinner. Your spinner should have 6 or 8 congruent sections. Draw a different design in each section. Total American Music Sales in 2004 Format 1. What is the experimental probability that any random music purchase in 2004 was a CD? 4 5 1. Based on the number of sections in your spinner, what fraction of the time would you predict that the pointer will stop on each section? Total (% of units shipped) CD 80 Digital Single 15 Music Video 3 Other 2 2. What is the experimental probability that any random music purchase in 2004 was not a Music Video? 1 6 Possible answers: for 6 sections; 1 for 8 sections 8 97 100 3. What is the experimental probability that any random music purchase in 2004 was a digital single? Spin the pointer 50 times and record your results in the table below. 4. Which combination of sales has an 1 experimental probability of 2 ? 0 3 20 Section Times Spun 2. What is your experimental probability of landing on each section? Choose the letter for the best answer. Answers will vary depending on results recorded in the table. 3. Was your experimental probability of landing on any section close to your prediction? Explain. Answers will vary; the experimental probability should be close to the prediction. 4. Were any of your results surprising? Explain. Answers will vary. 17 Copyright © by Holt, Rinehart and Winston. All rights reserved. music videos and others Holt Mathematics 5. Ethan hits 4 ringers in 10 attempts while pitching horseshoes. What 2 does an experimental probability of 5 describe? A P(horseshoes) B P(missed shots) C P(attempts) D P(ringers) 6. Jay beats Terry at table tennis 3 out of 5 games. What is the experimental probability that Terry will win their next game? 7. Poonam counts 10 classmates out of 36 people in the library. What is the experimental probability that the next person will be a classmate? 8. Macy makes 15 of 20 free throws at basketball practice. What is the experimental probability that she will miss her next free throw? 1 F 2 2 H 5 3 G 5 J 1 5 A 36 1 C 36 1 F 4 2 H 3 5 B 18 1 D 10 1 G 2 3 J 4 18 Copyright © by Holt, Rinehart and Winston. All rights reserved. Holt Mathematics Puzzles, Twisters, & Teasers 8-2 All Bark, No Bite! Reading Strategies 8-2 Make Predictions LESSON LESSON Find each experimental probability. Write your answer as a fraction, a decimal, and a percent. Then match the letters to the answers to solve the riddle. Experimental probability is a ratio. The ratio compares the number of times an event occurs to the total number of trials. A trial is the number of times an experiment is carried out or an observation is made. Experimental Probability 1. Nick hits a target 7 out of 20 times. What is the experimental probability that he will hit the target on his next try? 7 ; 0.35; 35% 20 N number of times an event occurs probability ≈ total number of trials 2. Melanie makes 12 out of 16 foul shots. What is the experimental probability that she will miss her next foul shot? 1 ; 0.25; 25% 4 B Refer to the illustration for Exercises 1 and 2. On this cube, you can land on 1, 2, or 3. Answer each question. 3. A pollster surveys 80 people to determine whether they will vote for Seth Gleason for mayor. 42 out of 80 say yes. What is the experimental probability that the next person surveyed will say he or she plans to vote for Seth Gleason? 2 2 3 1 3 K 3 4. A police radar measured the speed of 40 cars. The radar shows that 14 of the 40 cars are above the speed limit. What is the experimental probability that the next car will be traveling at or below the speed limit? 1. Predict which number you will land on most often. Explain. 3; there are more chances to land on 3 1; there is only 1 chance to land on 1 Actual events from an experiment may or may not match your prediction. The chart shows the outcomes from 100 trials. Toss 13 ; 0.65; 65% 20 A 2. Predict which number you will land on least often. Explain. Outcome 21 ; 0.525; 52.5% 40 5. Rhonda watches students entering the school. She sees that 8 out of 25 are wearing boots. What is the experimental probability that the next student that Rhonda sees will be wearing boots? 8 ; 0.32; 32% 25 6. A quarterback completes 10 of 16 passes. What is the experimental probability that his next pass will be incomplete? 3 ; 0.375; 37.5% 8 R 1 3 3 2 3 1 3 3 1 28 39 33 I Where does a dog keep its car? IN A B 0.25 A R 65% 0.32 Refer to the table for Exercises 3 and 4. Answer each question. K I N 21 40 3 8 35% G LOT 3. Did your prediction for landing on 1 match the outcome in the table? likely answer: no 4. Did your prediction for landing on 3 match the outcome in the table? likely answer: no Copyright © by Holt, Rinehart and Winston. All rights reserved. 19 Copyright © by Holt, Rinehart and Winston. All rights reserved. Holt Mathematics Copyright © by Holt, Rinehart and Winston. 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