no. 1182 Special ”Dossier” Payment periods in Europe: wide gaps Euler Hermes Economic Research Department Economic Outlook www.eulerhermes.com | no. 1182 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Contents Special Dossier n°1182 Payment periods Payment periods in Europe: wide gaps Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Editorial page 3 page 4 > Overview – The increase in payment periods poses a major risk to European recovery page 4 page 8 page 8 > First Focus point – A three-speed Europe page 12 > Second Focus point – What determines payment periods in different sectors? page 12 • Automobiles and automotive components >The problem for subcontractors page 14 • Air transport >An instrument of globalisation but marked by regional differences page 18 • Chemicals >Supplying industries and supporting the industrial fabric via client credit page 20 • Pharmaceuticals >No cash flow problems page 22 • IT services > Constrained by their clientele page 24 • Aeronautic components >Stability in payment periods – sign of a healthy sector page 25 • Construction >The sector with the greatest disparities page 26 • Four determinants to note page 28 • Comparison Germany-France page 28 page 29 Annexes page 29 • Annex I Subsidiaries page 33 > Law on the Modernisation of the Economy (LME) and sector round tables in France • Annex II > Payment defaults in Italy page 30 • Annex III > Detailed data, by country page 31 • Annex IV > Detailed data, by sector page 32 Economic Outlook series page 35 Le Bulletin Économique du Groupe Euler Hermes is issued ten times a year by the Economic research department of Euler Hermes. It is also available on subscription for other businesses and organisations. Reproduction is authorised, so long as mention of source is made. o Publication Director and Chief Economist: Ludovic Subran • Study coordinated by: Virginie Reboul (Economist) • Macroeconomic Research: Maxime Lemerle (Manager), Mahamoud Islam (Economist) • Global Sector Research: Yann Lacroix (Manager), Bruno Goutard, Marc Livinec, Didier Moizo (Sector Economists) • Country risk Research: David Atkinson (Manager), Andrew Atkinson, Manfred Stamer (Economists) • Have also contributed to this publication: Romeo Grill (Economist for Germany), Dan North (Economist for the USA), Christian Péchard (Infocenter Studies Manager), Andrea Pignagnoli (Economist) • Graphic Design: Claire Mabille • Editors: Martine Benhadj • Support: Anne-Marie Bégoc, Valérie Poulain • Translation: Charles Prager • For further information, contact: the Economic Research Department of Euler Hermes at 1, place des Saisons 92 048 Paris La Défense Cedex – Tel.: +33 (0) 1 84 11 53 77 > Euler Hermes is a limited company with a Directoire and Supervisory Board, with a capital of 14,451,032.64 euros. • Photoengraving: Evreux Compo, Evreux, France – Permit April 2012—Bull 1176; ISSN 1 162 – 2 881 o 31 May 2012 2 Economic Outlook N° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Editorial The harmonisation of payment periods in Europe: a necessary evil? lthough the notion of economic convergence seems crucial to the future of the European Monetary Union, it is threatened by the upheavals being undergone. The growing gaps in growth, public deficits and current account balances – both in scale and intensity – demonstrate that the differences between the heart of the Eurozone and the periphery are here to stay. Creating a common economic policy that benefits from this heterogeneity and that ultimately transcends it is an essential task, especially to allay fears over the Eurozone’s very future. The toolbox – of which the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) and the European Investment Bank (EIB) are parts – strengthens institutional convergence, but it does not solve the problem of the efficient specialisation of economies that one would expect. The economic debate, for its part, remains marked by this indispensable convergence, crystallized by the furious speed required to return to balanced budgets for 2012 and 2013. Making this adjustment is particularly hard for the countries of Southern Europe, hit by severe recessions. This study focuses on a less visible but equally important convergence: that of payment periods between businesses. By March 2013, under a European Directive, contractual payment periods in Europe must be set at a maximum of 60 days. Some countries are ready for this, such as France, while others, such as Germany, already show payment periods well below 60 days. By contrast, Italy, Spain and Portugal, as well as certain key economic sectors in some countries, such as construction and IT services, are far from the European target. On top of this is the deterioration in economic activity in Europe. This should further amplify these gaps by 2013. Will European SMEs, which create the growth of the Eurozone, suffer from an overly rapid convergence, one that is countercyclical and potentially damaging to their cash flows? When you focus in on the sector level, the differences between client and supplier payment periods are considerable and at times alarming. In economic policy terms, efforts to support and increase the competitiveness of the private sector remain little discussed, despite a marked rise in business insolvencies nearly everywhere in Europe. Discussions over sovereign debt occupy a great deal of attention, but they do not address the difficulties facing businesses. However, it is today that we will determine the health of Europe’s industrial fabric for the future. _Ludovic Subran A 3 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Overview The increase in payment periods poses a major risk to European recovery 1 Definitions ▶ Contractual payment period > the time period during which payment should be made according to the provisions agreed between the client and the supplier (stated in days). ▶ Effective payment period > the time period at the end of which the payments due as agreed between the client and the supplier are actually made (stated in days). ▶ Lateness of payment > the time difference between the contractual payment period and effective payment period. The sum of the average lateness of payment and the contractual time yields the effective payment period (stated in days). ▶ Days’revenue (DR) > unit consensually used to express payment periods when they are calculated using business balance sheet data, dividing the amount of client credits or supplier debts by average daily revenue. s we near the March 2013 implementation of the European Directive, B2B payment periods are now more than ever a core concern. Cash flow dynamics are always crucial for a business, and this becomes especially the case at times of economic crisis and more restricted access to bank or market finance, during which even more rigorous management of accounts receivable and payable is called for. A ▶ Client payment period > the average time until collection by the business of client payments, taking account of the payment periods agreed by the business. The longer the delay, the more the business’s cash flows suffer from a lack of funds. ▶ Supplier payment period > the average time taken by a business to pay suppliers, taking into account the time periods agreed with the business. The shorter the payment period, the more the business’s cash flow suffers from a lack of funds due to rapid payment. ▶ Tension indicator >the difference between client payment periods and supplier payment periods (stated in days). Source: Euler Hermes 4 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes The importance of payment periods A microeconomic problem… Issuing of invoice Order … and an indicator of the business climate 60 days maximum DateInvoice d’échéance date dedue la facture Period defined by the European Directive > An aggregate calculated for a country or sector that: – gauges the fluidity of exchanges between a country’s businesses, – is a measure of cash flow management vitality, – has an impact on business climate attractiveness. Delivery Source: Euler Hermes Besides a sharp upturn in the volume of insolvencies, the end-stage of business difficulties, the crisis and its many secondary effects have brought a marked deterioration in the quality of B2B payments in Europe. There have been overall increases in the rate of losses arising from bad debts, in late payments, and more broadly in payment periods, while B2B credit is a major mode of finance across all countries. The current economic and financial climate, marked by a deteriorating outlook and by increased uncertainty and greater volatility, strengthens the need that much more to monitor and manage the risks associated with the lengthening of these payment periods. Many data sources exist for measuring and comparing payment periods, as well as several studies to analyze developments in inter-company payment. However, their methodologies vary in terms of the nature of the data they employ – either using quantitative data (from national administrative databases, institutes or surveys), and most often on only an annual basis, or infra-annually, or – most often – using qualitative data resulting from samples or surveys. The methodologies also vary in terms of the scope of their studies, either in terms of business size (SMEs or large companies) or time-scope under study (payment periods or only late payments). As a result, the comparative, studies examine fields of varying scope, with no effective harmonising methodology. Also, these analyses are mostly descriptive, covering sectoral matters, and generally do not offer any quantitative forecast. Lastly, we should note that, by its nature, it remains hard to summarise the payment period situation for a country or even a sector, given the wide amplitude of payment periods from one business to another. ◾◾◾ 2 Legal aspects To put an end to the problem of late payments, countries are mobilising. European Union > European Directive 2011/7 of 16 February will replace European Directive 2000/35 of 29 June. Member States must make the changeover by 16 March at the latest. The main measures of the Directive are: > establishing a standard payment period of 30 days; > setting a maximum payment period of 60 days in the absence of any contractual stipulation setting another payment period > introduction of penalties in the event of late payment, with a unit indemnity of 40 euros interest charged on late payment (reference rates plus 8%). France > The French Law on the Modernisation of the Economy (LME), France ▶ The French Law on the Modernisation of the Economy (LME), introduced in 2009, imposes a maximum payment period of 60 days, 45 days from the end of the month beginning from date of issue of the invoice. 35 derogations (sector agreements) have allowed businesses that otherwise would have run into severe difficulties to benefit from more flexible, gradual conditions. On 29 February, France's National Assembly adopted the proposed bill concerning the simplification of legislation, which, in particular, provides for the extension of dispensatory payment periods. Spain > Spain’s law 15/2010 of July 2010 established a timetable of gradual application of these new payment periods: > from its entry into force until 31 December, payment periods were limited to 85 days > from 1 January 2012 to 31 December, a maximum payment period of 75 days > from 1 January, payment periods limited to 60 days Sources: Ministries of Economy, Finance and Foreign Trade, Official Journal of the European Union 5 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes ◾◾◾ From the literature on the subject and from past experience, notably during the crisis of winter 20082009 and the emergence from crisis that followed, three key facts on payment periods in Europe can be noted: ▶ An economic recovery does not necessarily imply a shortening in payment periods. The crisis has generally necessitated tighter control over cash flows, with reductions in investment and optimisation of inventories. However, these have not been enough to offset the exceptional scale of the downturn, which has brought increased payment periods in every country in our study, apart from one notable exception – France, partly because of legal changes over this period. At the same time, the rise in late payments and payment defaults has also increased perceptions of a lower likelihood of being paid on time. Conversely, recovery in the economy does not automatically signify a trend of reduced payment periods. In the very short term, the recovery phase of activity can initially be accompanied by an increase in exposure (accounts receivable and payable) at a faster pace than turnover, which counters the shortening in payment periods, and it then requires the growth in activity to accelerate more than proportionally: France saw no reduction in payment periods in 2010, on annual average. Growth of 0.1%, in our study, implies a change in client payment periods of between -1.3% and +0.5%. ▶ A rise in late payments increases insolvencies more than proportionally, but the obverse is generally not shown. In 2011, in countries such as Germany and France, the downtrend in late payment periods was accompanied at the same time by a fall in insolvencies. However in Belgium and even more in The United Kingdom, this same trend failed to prevent a rise in insolvencies. In practice, a relationship between late payment periods and insolvencies is seen much more during periods of increasing late payment periods, which are propitious to a sharp rise in insolvencies. ▶ A favourable legal framework brings increased attractiveness. The European Directive will prove an effort for some countries, for instance in Southern Europe, which must gradually come into line with the new standards. However, the convergence should in the long run also allow them to generally reduce their payment risk profiles (all other things being equal), and, in so doing, increase their attractiveness as international trading partners. France regulates payment periods through its Law on the Modernisation of the Economy (LME), introduced in 2009 (see ‘Legal aspects’p. 5). The French government would like to further reduce payment periods to 30 days for SMEs and VSEs. Clearly anticipating the coming European Directive, Spain’s law of July 2010 (see ‘Legal aspects’p. 5) sets out a timetable for the gradual application of these payment periods. Focus on France The legal framework and the effect of the LME 6% -20% Introduction of the LME ▶ The case of France It is notably thanks to the LME and the -15% 4% -10% 2% -5% anticipation of its coming into force that French businesses improved payment periods and their volatility, an important point to the extent that they use four times as much inter-business credit 0 0 -5% -2% -10% and 100 billion euros respectively), with accounts payable accounting for between 25% and 30% of the total balance sheet of French businesses. -4% -15% -20% -6% 98 00 02 04 06 08 Growth (left axis) Client payment periods (left axis) Inverse growth in insolvencies (right axis) 6 than bank credit (at around 400 billion Source: Euler Hermes 10 12 In 2009 payment periods fell by 3% and insolvencies rose by 12% (against +15% in 2008). Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes The aim of this study is to provide a comparative analysis between countries (our first focus point) and between sectors (second focus point) for client and for supplier payment periods in Europe. The major findings of our study are summarised below: > In 2013, a general, but limited, improvement in payment periods in Europe. The outlook for positive growth in 2013 will allow an automatic improvement in payment period practices, but this will not be enough to meet the target. 1 2 European sectors: 4 groups. The slowing of efforts seen starting in 2009 confirms the existence of three dynamics in at work in Europe. In this initial analysis, using the BACH database (a European database on non-financial firms issued by the Bank of France), we studied the course of payment periods for several European countries over the period 2000-2010 (available balance sheets). We next offer a prospective view of payment periods for 2012-2013 using Euler Hermes data, which will highlight the magnitude of the efforts that need to be made. The indicators of change and of cash flow tensions generated put the accent on the changes and the trends in payment behaviour more than on the length of payment periods, and best reflect the risks of worsening cash flows that are already under pressure. > There is a clear disparity between the countries of Northern and Southern Europe that risks widening over the very short term (2012), in the current economic environment, and this will mean greater efforts to be made, especially for countries in Southern Europe. The gaps by country. We can distinguish in fact ‘three Europes’: Germany and Poland, both of whom show payment periods shorter than the 60 days set out in the European Directive and displaying very low cash flow tension indicators; Belgium and France with payment periods close to 60 days; and Spain, Italy and Portugal, all of which saw significant increases in payment periods in 2009 and will have to make considerable efforts to meet the 60-day standard. > The outlook for 2012 is for an accentuation of the gaps between countries and therefore of the efforts to be made. In 2012, payment periods should mirror economic developments. With an outlook for positive growth, payment periods for businesses in Poland and Germany should normally shorten by an average of 2% and 0.5% respectively. For France and Belgium, with growth forecast to be below potential, payment periods will increase by 0.5%. By contrast, the countries most in difficulty, such as Spain, Italy and Portugal, should see an increase in payment periods, taking them further away from the 60-day target before 16 March. In a second analysis, we employ the Euler Hermes database for a closer examination of European business sectors, over a greater number of countries. We focus on eight key sectors. > Gaps between sectors will persist, driven by the difficult economic situation and by still unequal negotiating strengths. There is a clear gap between sectors within a given country and between countries in a given sector. The ranking of sectors (by length of payment periods) remain fairly similar from country to country. However, in Southern Europe, the sectoral differences are four to five times greater than in Northern Europe. Our eight sectors break down into four groups: (1) air transport and automobiles, with concentrated suppliers and clients who pay quickly; (2) pharmaceuticals, chemicals and automotive components, with average payment periods since they are widely present in the economy, and aeronautic component suppliers; (3) IT services, where unequal bargaining power is the rule; and (4) construction, with domestically-based suppliers and clients. ▣ ▶ Areas of analysis > For the first analysis: Countries: Germany, Belgium, Spain, France, Poland, Italy and Portugal All sizes of businesses Period: 2000-2010 > For the second analysis: Countries: Germany, Belgium, Spain, France, Italy, United Kingdom, United States, Denmark, Norway, and Sweden. All sizes of businesses Period: 2006-2010 Business sectors Sector Division Automobiles Automotive components Chemicals Pharmaceuticals Air transport Aeronautic components Construction IT services 34 62 72 NACE Code 1 34.1 to 34.3 28.4 4.1, 24.2, 24.3, 24.5, 24.6, 24.7 24.4 62.1 and 62.2 35.3 45.2 and 45.4 72.1 to 72.6 7 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes First Focus point A three-speed Europe Diverging developments in the face of the economic climate and the European Directive This analysis highlights clear differences in payment behaviour that comes as no revelation, given the warning sounded in June 2000 with the initial publication by the European Commission of its Directive to combat late B2B payments. However, with the targets not being met, on 16 February the Commission proposed a new European Directive to allow long-term genuine harmonisation within the EU. By 16 March 2013 this Directive has to be enter into law in all Member States. Our following account of 2000-2010 and our forecasts thus do not capture the legislative impact in Spain (July 2010) and in the European Union (March 2013). Looking forward on the basis of macroeconomic forecasts suggests only a weak convergence by 2013 (the target date of the European Directive being 16 March), after an intervening increase in payment period gaps in 2012 due primarily to the weakness in the economy. 8 ▶ Sectoral gaps 4 to 5 times bigger in Southern Europe than in Northern Europe. > Italy and Spain show large disparities between sectors: with a national average of 79 days for client payment periods, Spain has payment periods ranging between 174 days in the construction sector to only 48 days in the automotive sector, a difference of 126 days. > German businesses posted average client payment periods of 24 days in 2010, with small variation (31 days), depending on the sector. Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes At the end of 2010, on the eve of the European Directive coming into force, payment periods in different countries were highly disparate, both in duration and in trend, and particularly worse in countries in Southern Europe. The relatively high level of Belgium’s cash flow tension indicator means that businesses there must pay special attention to cash flow management. We can see that the indicators of change in payment terms in France were the only improvements in 2009. Initially fairly close to that in Southern Europe, French payment behaviour has approached that of Northern Europe, thanks notably to the implementation of the LME and also that to the importance of its trade with Germany, where payment periods are short. The levels of payment periods in France and Belgium enable them to anticipate the implementation of the European Directive with a certain vigilant calm. ▶ Germany and Poland already largely within the standards We see Germany and Poland already well below the 60-day standard set by the European Directive. The two countries are distinguished by their strict enforcement of late payment penalties. They show a negative change indicator, reflecting a steady improvement in payment behaviour. At 24 days’revenue on average in 2010, client payment periods for German businesses fell by 21% between 2000 and 2010. Poland showed average payment periods of 45 days’revenue in 2010, the same as in 2005. ▶ Southern Europe at the back With longer contractual payment periods, Spain introduced its 10 July 2010 law to gradually reduce payment periods to conform to the European Directive by 1 January. However, like Portugal and Italy, countries in Southern Europe are suffering in the economic climate and display payment periods well above the norm, rising to between 80 and 100 days since 2009. At 116 days’turnover, payment periods in Italy are the longest of these. ◾◾◾ ▶ France and Belgium in the middle Belgium and France neared the 60-day standard over the decade. After falling by 10% since 2000, the time, client payment periods in France stood at 61 days in 2010. This was largely due to anticipation of the 60day maximum LME standard and its implementation. The average payment period masks major differences between countries Amplitude* 150 ES 120 IT 90 60 FR GB BE 30 SE DE NO DK 0 20 50 80 Length of payment periods Source: Euler Hermes 110 * The difference between the sector posting the longest payment periods in the country and the sector with the shortest payment periods in the country. Panel of sectors: automobiles, automotive components, pharmaceuticals, chemicals, air transport, aeronautic components, construction and IT services. 9 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes An outlook of lengthening payment periods… … driven by a worsened economic environment + 0.5 % - 1.5 % - 0.5 % -1% -2% - 2.5 % + 0.5 % +1% +0% + 1.5 % + 2.5 % + 0.5 % +2% 0% Value 1: Change in payment periods from 2011 to 2012 Value 2: Change in payment periods from 2012 to 2013 ◾◾◾ Looking forward: widening disparities, major efforts to be made, too rapid and perhaps inopportune? Using the econometric relationship between changes in payment periods and the economic environment, we expect a lengthening of payment periods. This is without taking into account the potential positive effect of anticipations of the Directive coming into force. In the countries of Northern Europe, relations between businesses and banks allow banks to commit providing borrowers with the funds to pay suppliers within contractual deadlines. In France and Southern Europe, by contrast, a system of supplier credit applies, which makes meeting contractual deadlines more difficult. Source: Euler Hermes payment periods will continue to improve, dropping by 0.5% in the former. In Poland, they should shorten by 2%, in negative correlation with its 3% growth rate. ▶ Positive momentum in France (due to the LME); but in Belgium, by contrast, economic setbacks will be more determining. With growth forecast at 0.3% in France and 0.2% in Belgium – in both cases below their growth potential – the two countries will see a slight 0.5% increase in payment periods. In 2013, while B2B payment periods are likely to continue rising by a further 1% in France, these times should shorten by 1.5% in Belgium We may expect slightly less rigorous payment discipline and a certain degree of confidence among French businesses, possibly due to their use of credit insurance. ▶ Germany and Poland: small-scale reduction and ▶ Southern European countries, hit hard by the crinearly no contribution to the economic environment. Both countries have been rigorous, with payment periods – already shorter than required under the European Directive – and they are continuing their efforts. In 2012, both countries by our forecasts will enjoy growth – at 1% in Germany and 3% in Poland – and 10 sis, will struggle to attain the targets. Payment periods in Spain, Portugal and Italy should increase in 2012. We forecast a natural growth in payment periods in these countries, with a 2.5% increase in Spain and a 2% increase in Italy, doing nothing to help them meet the European Directive. Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Cash flow pressures should increase. From 2007 to 2008, we have seen an evident intensification of cash flow tensions in Portugal and Italy, already at high levels. Increased cash flow tensions force businesses to find other sources of finance. By contrast, in Poland a nearly zero cash flow requirement (1 day) underlines tight cash flow management. Spain, for its part, has escaped the cash flow scissors effect suffered in other Southern European countries only thanks to supplier payment periods being nearly as long as client payment periods. Despite showing acceptable cash flow requirements, businesses in France and Belgium should pay close attention to cash flow management. Euler Hermes The new European Directive should prove difficult to implement by 2013, especially in Southern European countries, and could in the short term impact on the number of insolvencies and weaken the industrial fabric, although in the long term it could have a beneficial effect for these same countries. ▣ Cash flow: Tension Indicator In 2013, the prospects for growth are better than in 2012 and suggest a positive influence on B2B payment periods. However, this should be of limited scale in Southern European countries, necessitating major efforts there to meet the targets of the European Directive. Forecasts 30 25 20 15 Forecast of economic growth and insolvencies in 2013 Belgium 10 Germany Spain Country Growth France Insolvencies Germany Q + 1% q - 1% Poland Q + 3% Q + 11% Belgium Q + 0.2% Q + 10% France Q +0.3% Q + 4% Spain q - 1.8% Q + 20% Italy q - 1.8% Q + 24% Portugal q - 3% Q + 29% 5 Italy Poland Portugal 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Sources: Euler Hermes calculations, BACH database Source: Euler Hermes Scale of the efforts to be made Change in client payment periods Change in supplier payment periods Days’ revenue Days’ revenue Forecast 120 120 Forecast 100 100 Effort to be made 80 80 60 60 Effort to be made Belgium Germany 40 Spain Belgium Germany 40 Spain France France Italy 20 Poland Italy 20 Poland Portugal Portugal EU Directive 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Sources: Euler Hermes calculations, BACH database EU Directive 0 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Sources: Euler Hermes calculations, BACH database 11 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Second Focus point What determines payment periods in the different sectors? Group 4 150 Construction 120 Group 2 90 60 Group 3 Pharmaceuticals Automotive e components t ts Group 1 ▶ The sector of activity effect is by contrast less IT services Aeronautic ** components Chemicals Automobiles 30 Air transport 0 10 40 Length of payment periods 80 100 * The difference between the country posting the longest payment periods for the sector and the country with the shortest payment periods for the sector. Panel of countries: Germany, Belgium, Spain, France, Italy, United Kingdom, Sweden, Denmark and Norway ** Excluding Spain Source: Euler Hermes 12 ▶ Unequal bargaining power is a well-know fact of life for SMEs dealing with very large enterprises, and it is a structural disadvantage for them. Major enterprises use their bargaining power, weakening SMES, in order to win shorter client payment periods and longer supplier payment periods. This becomes more acute during periods of crisis, during which room for manoeuvre (access to finance) is more greatly reduced for the smallest firms. A fairly marked axis of sector internationalisation Amplitude** The national data studied in the first part of this study does reflect the overall trends in a country, but not the differences in the particular situations related, for example, to business size or business sector. well known, but the disparities are great and are intrinsically linked to the very nature of the activity of businesses in the sector, due either to the sales cycle (e.g., toys and chocolate), the production cycle (longer in public works, shorter in foods), or to the sector’s positioning (the absence of client payment periods in major retail distributors). This second part of our study will highlight other sectors that also show these disparities. Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods he longest payment periods are seen in nearly all countries in the construction and IT services sectors. The automotive sector in most countries has the least need of B2B credit. In Spain and France, there is a difference of around 60 days between the automotive sector and IT services, while the difference is 65 days in Italy, only 30 days in Germany, and 20 days in the United Kingdom. Over the period we examine, we see a general convergence between payment periods, limiting cash flow requirements. T We can distinguish four groups of sectors that present payment periods that are similar in level and amplitude. Group 1 ▶ Among automakers, we see a relative convergence between client payment periods and supplier payment periods, generating some cash flow surpluses, with the prize going to Italy, which is converging towards the other countries studied with client payment periods at 37 days, but which shows record supplier payment periods at 75 days. ▶ In air transport, payment periods are overall well respected. While these have been cut by 18% in Italy, they have however exploded in Spain, lengthening by 52%. For the other countries, payment periods generally are between 20 and 40 days. Group 2 ▶ In France, sector round tables have helped subcontractors to even out client and supplier payment periods. These have shortened by 21%, to 54 days for client payment periods and 53 days for supplier payment periods. In the United Kingdom, however, while supplier payment periods are down by 30% to 41 days, client payment periods have dropped by only 12% to 68 days, generating a heavy cash flow requirement of 26 days. Germany continues to show rapid payments, with client payment periods of 36 days and supplier payment periods of 24 days. Italy for its part has the slowest payments, with 111 days for client payment periods and 96 days for supplier payments. Roughly speaking, payment periods in Italy are twice as long as in France and three times as long as in Germany! ▶ With global suppliers, the chemicals and pharmaceuticals sectors show a limited difference in payment periods. The chemicals sector made great Euler Hermes efforts after the abrupt slump in activity of 2008-2009, achieving average client payment periods of 65 days in 2010. Particularly great efforts were made in Spain, where businesses have cut payment periods by 30% since 2006. Our study of the sector also shows big differences: Italy and Spain allow long client payment periods, at 93 days and 67 days respectively, while they pay their suppliers at 63 days and 46 days respectively, creating significant cash flow requirements. This becomes even worse in the pharmaceutical sector, in both cases with cash flow requirements at 50 days. Large cash flow needs are also generated in Germany, with client payment periods of 46 days, which seem long given that supplier payment periods are 29 days. In the other countries in our study, we see a relative convergence of client and supplier payment periods within reasonable limits from 30 days to less than 60 days. ▶ In the aeronautics components sector, payment periods are generally steady at between 20 and 60 days, with the notable exception of Spain where they are unusually long. Group 3 ▶ In IT services, key clients impose longer payment periods on suppliers in the sector, which shows fairly long payment periods generally, particularly in client payment periods, which are nearly 50 days in Germany and the United Kingdom, 95 days in France, 101 days in Italy and 107 days in Spain. The long client payment periods and the far shorter supplier payment periods (generally between 20 and 60 days), which are falling apart from in France (+3% to 51 days) and in Spain (+14% to 61 days) generates significant cash flow needs within the sector and creates genuine financial fragility. Group 4 ▶ The highly locally based construction sector sees payment periods lengthen when the economic climate worsens, making it the sector where we see the biggest differences. A prime example is Spain, where supplier payment periods have reacted a record 157 days (and where the sector has massively suffered). By contrast, in the United Kingdom client payment periods are 33 days. It must be noted that the convergence toward similar payments in these countries will take a great deal of time. ▣ 13 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Automobiles and automotive components: the problem for subcontractors Relations between subcontractors and their clients have been difficult for a long time. Major contractors enjoy unchallenged bargaining strength, benefiting from their powerful positions to the detriment of their subcontractors and imposing very long payment periods. We note that the automotive components sector in France (number two in Europe, behind Germany) accounts for more than 40% of subcontracting in the country. Acceptable payment periods in the automotive sector. This is the sector with the shortest client payment periods (at 37 days on average), proof of the cooperation between major contractors and subcontractors, notably in Northern Europe. With the implementation of industry round tables in France, the sector is working to harmonise payment periods in order to avoid harming subcontractors. A very good example is automotive components, with supplier payment periods of 53 days. With supplier payment periods longer than client payment periods, the automotive sector shows cash flow surpluses of varying sizes, depending on the country. However the countries where these surpluses are the biggest are those where supplier payment periods are much longer than average. We can distinguish two different groups of countries in the auto sector. ▶ The good students of Northern Europe. At the top of the class are Germany and the United Kingdom, with client payment periods of 22 and 31 days’revenue respectively, and supplier payment 14 periods of 34 days in both cases. The cash flow surpluses in 2010 were the equivalent of 13 days’revenue in Germany and 3 days’revenue in The United Kingdom. In France there was a sharp fall in payment periods in 2007, followed by very sharp fall in 2008, when client payment periods dropped to 32 days and supplier payment periods fell to 41 days, in anticipation of the implementation of LME. However, 2009 saw a clear lengthening in payment periods, with client payment periods increasing by 50%. This was a response to the crisis by automakers to support their concessionaires, the latter heavily burdened with stocks of unsold vehicles. In 2010, payment periods shortened again, dropping to 41 days for client payment periods and 49 days for supplier payment periods, thanks to good cash flow management, showing an 8-day surplus. ▶ The countries in Southern Europe as well as Belgium are drawing on supplier credit. The countries in Southern Europe as well as Belgium are drawing on supplier credit to ensure a positive cash flow to offset their weak cash flows or low shareholders’equity. Italy shows a significant cash flow surplus, generated by very long supplier payment periods (at 75 days, more than twice as long as in Germany). At the same time, client payment periods there are 37 days, within the European average, generating a very large positive cash flow for Italian automakers. The European Directive, whose aim is to reduce and control payment periods (to a maximum of 60 days) will therefore be hard to implement in Italy in this sector. ◾◾◾ Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Client payment periods: automobiles Client payment periods in days’ revenue, 2010 60 US 42 50 NO IT BEL 45 37 41 ES 48 FR 41 DK 40 GB 31 40 30 DE 21 SE 19 20 10 Change 0 -110% -60% -10% 0% 10% 40% 60% Supplier payment periods in days’ revenue, 2010 Supplier payment periods: automobiles 100 US 79 IT 75 90 BE 69 80 ES 56 70 FR 50 60 DK 45 50 DE 34 40 NO 47 30 SE 37 20 GB 34 10 Change 0 -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% Source: Euler Hermes Indicator of change in client payment periods: automobiles Cash flow Tension Indicator: automobiles 20 50 40 10 30 0 20 10 -10 0 -20 -10 France France -30 Germany Germany -20 Spain Spain Italy -30 Italy -40 United Kingdom United Kingdom Belgium Belgium -40 2007 2008 2009 -50 2010 Source: Euler Hermes 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Euler Hermes Client and supplier payment period gap: automobiles 22 Italy 0 16 Belgium 4 3 Spain 11 -3 France 5 United Kingdom -19 Germany -19 -5 -25 20 -15 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 Client payment period difference from average of 37 days Supplier payment period difference from average of 53 days Source: Euler Hermes 15 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes ◾◾◾ Automotive component makers and SMEs in the face of the large automakers: what negotiating power do subcontractors have? ▶ The scissors effect between client payment periods and supplier payment periods, with subcontractors coming out the losers, is a direct result of the power of automakers over their subcontractor suppliers. In France, given the many problems encountered by subcontractors, measures were adopted through a code of good practice of client/supplier relations for subcontracting in the auto sector (see Annex I). in a significant increase in working capital requirements. ▶ In Italy, the cash flow requirements are 14 days, with the longest client payment periods in Europe (110 days, twice as long as in France and three times longer than in Germany), offsetting once again very long supplier payment periods, at 96 days’revenue. Italy has not implemented a code of good practice that could, as in France, considerably improve relations between major contractors and subcontractors. We note in the case of Italy an evident financial fragility when it comes to implementing the new European Directive on payment periods. With its highly structured business sectors, Germany has no need to implement codes of good practice. ▶ For the auto components industry in France, there ▶ Cyclical factors: for major contractors, purchasing has been a clear improvement in payment periods. Indeed, client payment periods in the industry had been rising consistently after 2000, to 110 days in 2004 (source: Euler Hermes). The application of the code of good practice, combined with the introduction of the LME, obliged automakers to move to payment periods compatible with supplier payment periods. We thus saw a proportional contraction in payment periods in 2010, to 54 days for client payment periods and to 53 days for supplier payment periods, helping subcontractors to maintain low cash flow requirements. In Germany, while payment periods are the shortest, the cash flow requirements are however higher than in France. ▶ In Spain and in the United Kingdom, there is a scissors effect between client payment periods (83 days and 68 days respectively) and supplier payment periods (52 days and 41 days respectively), resulting 16 operations should, with recovery, bring value added, as subcontractors should produce equivalent or more innovative quality at a lower cost; extreme concentration among suppliers makes negotiations difficult or even simply unlikely to bear fruit. ▶ Structural factors: with client payment periods down by half in 2010 to 54 days’revenue, the auto components industry in France has been one of the major beneficiaries of the June 2006 signature of the code of good practice. In order to adapt to the new European Directive coming into force in March 2013, Italy will have to make the greatest efforts to shorten payment periods, and this will not only be a real challenge, but also will pose risks to business cash flows. ▣ Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Client payment periods in days’ revenue, 2010 Client payment periods: automotive components ES 83 100 90 IT 111 GB 68 80 70 BE 67 FR 54 SE 51 60 NO 40 50 40 DK 55 30 DE 36 20 10 Change 0 -150% -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% Supplier payment periods: automotive components Supplier payment periods in days’ revenue, 2010 120 IT 96 100 80 ES 52 FR 53 GB 41 60 BE 49 53 40 DE 36 DK 20 SE 39 20 NO 27 Change 0 -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% Source: Euler Hermes Indicator of change in client payment periods: automotive components Cash flow Tension Indicator: automotive components 120 60 100 50 80 40 60 30 40 20 20 0 10 -20 France France Germany -40 Germany 0 Spain Spain Italy -60 Italy -10 United Kingdom United Kingdom Belgium Belgium -80 -20 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Euler Hermes 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Euler Hermes Client and supplier payment period gap: automotive components 44 Italy 41 -1 Spain 13 -4 -3 Belgium -11 United Kingdom -2 0 France Germany -34 -16 -28 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 Client payment period difference from average of 37 days Client payment period difference from average of 37 days Source: Euler Hermes 17 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Air transport: an instrument of globalisation but marked by regional differences The air transport sector in our studies is comprised of passenger transport and airfreight traffic. From the data we can observe a number of sectoral and regional characteristics. Relatively short payment periods in air transport compared to other sectors. ▶ Two factors explain this feature, for example on accounts receivable > The passenger segment (78% of turnover in the sector worldwide in 2011) is a B2C (business-toconsumer) activity, and, due to a high proportion of payments being made prior to travel, does not generate significant accounts receivables in airline accounts. > Freight transport is subject to legally mandatory payment periods of no more than 30 days (legal constraints). Also note that when carriers buy their aircraft, this is carried out through medium to long-term financing which allows them to make staged payments to aeronautics constructors during the course of the production of aircraft and then finalise payment once the aircraft are delivered. ▶ Client payment periods structurally longer in Europe (44 days’revenue) than in the United States (22 days). This is due to two fundamentally different economic models. The major United States airlines, following the difficulties encountered in the previous decade, have clearly refocused on the passenger segment and heavily reduced (or abandoned) related activities, to the benefit of domestic or foreign specialist operators. This nearly ‘pure player’strategy of the United States companies, looking to concentrate their resources to optimise their core business, stands in contrast to the broader operational portfo18 lios of their European counterparts. Of the latter, the major players can, to varying degrees, shelter operations as diverse as passenger traffic (a minimum 75% of turnover) as well as freight, maintenance (to other airlines, in addition to their own fleets), catering and IT services. This (highly relative) diversification is part of a very different economic model – one designed in order to, among other things, ‘saturate’the use of their existing infrastructure (generally very costly material assets) via diverse operations, and in order to ensure good maintenance of sensitive equipment, as well as to integrate activities that are less cyclical and/or new avenues of profitability. This partial orientation towards buoying B2B activities automatically translates into lengthened payment periods for the airlines’accounts receivable. ▶ During the 2008-2009 crisis, very substantial fluctuations in accounts payable in the United States (from 46 days in 2008 to 29 days in 2009); less in Europe (from 35 days’revenue in 2009 to 38 days in 2009). In a widespread context of falling activity, inherently stemming from the world economic downturn, the difference of magnitude in these two markets can be explained by the concomitant variations in oil prices. We have to remember the crucial impact of kerosene prices at that time on the fortunes of airlines. Indeed, fuel prices account for 30% to 35% of their operating costs and thus a significant share of their accounts payable. In face of the sector’s intrinsic exposure to this factor, different choices were made on opposite sides of the Atlantic. European carriers, for their part, chose to use financial instruments to cover a generally large part of their fuel purchases, which explains the relative stability – or more correctly the more limited scale – of the changes their accounts payable, despite the turbulence in oil (and thus jet fuel) prices. In the United States, by contrast, financial cover was undertaken far less – or in cases not at all – being deemed too expensive, and supplies were obtained on spot markets, thus explaining the size of American businesses’accounts payable following the course of oil prices. Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Client payment periods in days’ revenue, 2010 Client payment periods: air transport 60 50 FR 44 ES 34 40 DE 29 IT 29 30 US 21 GB 17 20 10 0 -50% Change -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% Supplier payment periods: air transport Supplier payment periods in days’ revenue, 2010 80 ES 62 IT 58 70 60 FR 44 50 DE 31 40 GB 25 US 22 30 20 10 Change 0 -30% -20% Source: Euler Hermes -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% Indicator of change in client payment periods: air transport 40% 50% 60% 70% Cash flow Tension Indicator: air transport 100 20 15 80 10 60 5 0 40 -5 20 -10 0 France Germany Spain -20 United States United Kingdom -40 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Euler Hermes -15 France -20 Spain -25 United States Germany Italy United Kingdom -30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Euler Hermes Since then, the strategies have evolved, with European companies generally having reconsidered the extent and especially the duration of their cover operations. ▶ A North-South divide in Europe. The air transport sector reflects the characteristics of a country’s domestic economic environment, and hence is no exception to showing longer payment periods in the south of Europe than in the north. Thus, supplier payment periods are 25 days’revenue in the United Kingdom, 31 days in Germany, 44 days in France, 58 days in Italy and 63 days in Spain. ▣ 19 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Chemicals: supplying industries and supporting the industrial fabric via client credit Between 2003 and 2005, the chemicals sector went through the bottom of a cycle. It followed this with large-scale restructuring among operators that at times disrupted output flows. In 2009, the sector suffered the impact of the abrupt economic slowdown on its clientele, especially in the auto and construction sectors. This gave way to the appearance of input bottlenecks that in turn brought an increase in payment periods in the chemicals sectors of nearly every country. A limited variation in payment periods. ▶ Generally, one can say that enormous efforts were made in the chemicals sector to manage cash flow requirements. It was rather as if the violent downturn in activity experienced in 2008-2009 convinced operators to set right the way they were financing their operational cycles in order to not (or no longer) undergo the horrid consequences of suddenly running out of cash. The improvement in managing cash flow requirements in the French chemicals sector has been genuine. The sector’s cash flow requirements of 8 days’revenue seems the lowest in Europe after The United Kingdom (3 days). With client payment periods falling by 8% in 2008 and supplier payment periods by 12%, the French chemical industry has come out well, notwithstanding a slight increase in payment periods in 2009. In 2010, payment periods dropped below 60 days, with client payment periods of 58.7 days’revenue and supplier payment periods at 50.9 days, or a total shrinkage of payment periods of 11% between 2006 and 2010. ▶ With shorter client and supplier payment periods and lower cash flow requirements than in other countries, the chemicals sector in the United Kingdom 20 shows once again a stable and effective management of operating requirements. The income on cash of the good performers in the sector is surely the result of a strategy aimed at cementing the loyalty of their clients and suppliers via long payment periods for their customers and a determination to pay their suppliers relatively quickly. ▶ We should note the singular efforts made by Spain in its policy of cutting payment periods within its chemicals sector. Compared to 2006, when client payment periods were 95 days, Spanish businesses have reduced the figure by 30%. Payment behaviour in Belgium is close to that of France: reasonable payment periods and good cash flow management. Norway operates within the logic of an integrated sector, well managing its payment periods and cash flows. Indeed, despite a slight increase in payment periods in 2009, the figures are still good, with client payment periods of 40 days and supplier payment periods of 31 days, and cash flow requirements of 9 days. ▶ Italy’s heavy cash flow deficits directly result from its very long client payment periods, even despite their shortening by 8% since 2006. At 93 days, these are well beyond the limits of the European Directive entering into force in March 2013. ▶ In the United States, the chemical industry pays its suppliers an average of 40 days after invoices are issued and gets paid by its clients with a payment period on average equal to 61 days’revenue, resulting in cash flow requirements of 20 days’revenue. ▣ Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Client payment periods in days’ revenue, 2010 Client payment periods: chemicals 80 ES 67 IT 93 FR 59 70 DK 57 US 61 BE 58 Change 60 DE 46 NO 40 50 SE 32 GB 30 40 30 20 -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Supplier payment periods: chemicals Supplier payment periods in days’ revenue, 2010 80 IT 63 70 Change 60 ES 46 FR 51 50 40 BE 47 30 NO 31 DE 29 SE 24 US 41 GB 28 DK 29 20 10 0 -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Source: Euler Hermes Indicateur Indicator of change in client payment periods: chemicals 20 Cash flow Tension Indicator: chemicals 50 15 40 10 5 30 0 France Germany -5 France 20 Germany Spain -10 Italy United States United States Belgium -15 Spain Italy 10 Belgium United Kingdom United Kingdom Norway -20 2007 2008 2009 Norway 0 2010 Source: Euler Hermes 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Euler Hermes Client and supplier payment period gap: chemicals 25 Italy 44 7 Spain 18 8 10 Belgium 12 10 France -9 Germany United Kingdom -30 -2 -11 -18 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 Client payment period difference from average of 37 days Supplier payment period difference from average of 53 days Source: Euler Hermes 21 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Pharmaceuticals: no cash flow problems Supplier payment periods seem generally shorter than client payment periods in the pharmaceuticals industry. Depending on the country, however, we see an uneven picture in how payment periods are developing. The laboratories’advantage of enjoying comfortable cash flow surpluses from their operations resides in their ability to pay their suppliers more quickly and thus benefit from financial discounts. This is more profitable than placing their funds at low rates of interest. In France the rate of non-payment and insolvencies in the chemicals sector overall is markedly higher than in the pharmaceuticals segment. ▶ Payment periods are well below 60 days in the sector in the United Kingdom, Germany and Denmark. The very short payments benefiting their suppliers, which even occasion cash flow requirements in Germany and Denmark, is a means of consolidating their ties with their partners, allowing them to benefit from, among other things, financial discounts. ▶ By contrast, in Spain (-50), Italy (-50) and in the United States (-55), the industry suffers from a harmful scissors effect. The length of payment periods that businesses grant their customers is very generous, when it is not the result of (as in Spain) the financial woes of their hospital clientele. Unlike in the United States, however, Spain and Italy are not relaxing their 22 efforts to attempt to shorten payment periods (-11% and -6% since 2006 for client payment periods in Spain and Italy respectively, compared to +49% in the United States). ▶ Cash flow management by United States pharmaceutical companies seems notwithstanding driven by a more aggressive commercial policy. Lengthening clients’payment periods is also a way of reinforcing their loyalty and helping them to avoid difficult bank lending conditions – in sum, the expression of a policy more financial than industrial in nature on the part of the United States pharmaceuticals sector. The length of these payment periods, which continue to grow, does put the United States at the bottom of the class in this sector in terms of the length of payment periods and of efforts made to attempt reducing them (client payment periods up by 49% and supplier payment periods up by 43%). ▶ Apart from a rebound in payment periods in 2009, the French pharmaceutical industry, fifth in the rankings, is not letting up on its efforts to shorten them. In 2010, these were down by 10 days against 2006, with cash flow needs of 14 days’revenue, well below the figure for Germany (30 days), Spain (49 days), Italy (50 days) the United States (55 days) and Denmark (14 days). Committed to cutting average payment periods, the pharmaceuticals sector in Frances does not benefit however from the advantage it gains by obtaining discounts in return for rapid payment to its suppliers. ▣ Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Client payment periods: pharmaceuticals IT 90 Client payment periods in days’ revenue, 2010 120 ES 85 100 US 93 BE 63 FR 66 80 Change 60 GB 36 DK 38 NO 25 40 DE 46 SE 11 20 0 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Supplier payment periods: pharmaceuticals Supplier payment periods in days’ revenue, 2010 70 Change 60 BE 54 FR 52 50 40 GB 31 IT 40 30 DK 20 NO 16 20 US 38 ES 35 DE 16 SE 11 10 0 -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Source: Euler Hermes Indicator of change in client payment periods: pharmaceuticals Cash flow Tension Indicator: pharmaceuticals 30 80 25 70 20 15 60 10 50 5 0 40 -5 France -10 30 France Germany Germany -15 Spain Spain 20 Italy Italy -20 United Sates -25 United Kingdom United States 10 United Kingdom Denmark Denmark -30 2007 Source: Euler Hermes 2008 2009 2010 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Euler Hermes 23 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes IT services: constrained by their clientele ▶ In France, despite the LME and a strong response Major clients have the strong suit in their negotiations with IT services providers, resulting for the latter in large cash flow requirements that weaken businesses in the sector. Indeed, this is the sector hit hardest by the weight of its accounts receivable. As a result, it faces a large or very large scissors effect in every country apart from Sweden. Moreover, we see rigidity to a reduction in client payment periods. by the sector to cut these payment periods by 7% from 2006, client payment periods remain long, due to major public sector customers. On the supplier side, by contrast, little advance can be expected, inasmuch as their purchases consist of intellectual services paid for on a monthly basis, and materials that are already paid for quickly in order to improve margins. ▶ Germany for its part is seeing a reversal in its cash flow tension indicator that risks harming businesses in the sector. Supplier payment periods are down only slightly, as the initial payment periods were shorter and there is a sharp separation between IT services and IT equipment in the country, unlike in France. The 9% increase in client payment periods reflects weakness in demand, but Germany’s payment periods remain among the shortest in the sector in Europe. ▶ Our study reveals very long client payment periods, but supplier payment periods that are reasonably good, or even low in some countries. The scissors effect in very big in every country, but with a more muted impact in Germany, the United Kingdom, Belgium and Sweden. Major clients have the advantage of the stronger position in negotiations, resulting in large cash flow requirements that weaken businesses in the sector. ▶ The pronounced deterioration in the situation for businesses in the sector in the United States, and the more moderate one for those in the United Kingdom and Belgium, is due primarily to an only small decline in supplier payment periods and to weak demand. ▣ Client and supplier payment period gap: IT services Cash flow Tension Indicator: IT services 80 17 Spain 70 30 16 Italy 24 60 7 France 19 50 15 Belgium 7 France 40 -18 Germany Germany -24 Spain United Kingdom -21 Italy 30 -27 -30 -20 -10 0 10 Client payment period difference from average of 37 days Supplier payment period difference from average of 53 days Source: Euler Hermes 24 20 30 United State United Kingdom 40 Belgium 20 2006 2007 Source: Euler Hermes 2008 2009 2010 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Aeronautic components: stability in payment periods – sign of a healthy sector level of concentration among aeronautics constructors both in Europe and the United States, whose levels of activity set the tone for subcontracting. At the end of the chain, civil aviation constructors (business or commercial aircraft, essentially in the zones examined) benefit from advances paid by the airlines ordering aircraft, staged from the signing of contracts until delivery, in order to finance the production cycle (with very high inventories and exposure). Moreover, at times there are payments on account, higher upstream in the chain, helping to ease cash flows. With the notable exception of Spain, the last three years have seen relative stability in payment periods. ▶ France, however, seems to show the impact of the entry into force of the LME, with supplier payment periods falling from 77 days in 2008 to 49 days in 2010, while in the United States, 2008 reflected the destabilisation in the sector brought about by the long strike at Boeing. This overall resistance, in the face of the difficult economic situation that affected all industrial sectors, is the sign of the excellent health of the commercial aviation sector, buoyed by nearly constantly increasing production, by contrast with business aviation, which was seriously affected by falling production and order books over the same period. ▶ Not contradicting the distinction between Northern and Southern Europe, already well demonstrated in many sectors, and despite the convergence in the sector towards a restricted number of customers, the longest payment periods are in Italy (with Client payment periods: aeronautic components 200 Client payment periods in days’ revenue, 2010 ▶ What sets this sector apart is the extremely high supplier payment periods of 60 days’revenue in 2010) and especially Spain (131 days in 2010). This situation is grounded in local practices but is also clearly due to the domestic economic environment – particularly in the case of the big lengthening in Spain, where supplier payment periods doubled between 2008 and 2010. Operators in both these countries are thus exposed to penalising consequences from the approaching application of the European Directive. ▣ ES 153 150 100 US 67 FR 65 IT 67 GB 40 50 DE 20 Change 0 -30% -10% 10% 30% 50% Source: Euler Hermes Supplier payment periods: aeronautic components ES 131 160 Supplier payment periods in days’ revenue, 2010 The sample on which we base our conclusions in this study is drawn for civil and military aeronautics activities in the different countries examined. 140 120 100 80 IT 60 FR 49 60 DE 51 GB 44 40 US 42 20 Change 0 -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Source: Euler Hermes 25 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Construction: the sector with the greatest disparities Payment periods in large part reflect the particular economic environment of the country in question. This is a domestic sector in with exceptional payment periods in some countries. > In France, the sector benefits from derogation in payment periods. Nonetheless, efforts are needed to shorten payment periods. In fact, on 14 February, the then Minister in charge of consumption, Frédéric Lefebvre, announced an intensification of monitoring measures in order to reduce payment periods deemed to be too long. In 2012, the sector is supposed to begin posting payment periods within the LME norms (45 days from the end of the month or 60 days from the invoice date). However, according to the Minister, the reality is quite different, with payment periods running between 76 and 92 days. The then government wanted to introduce an amendment to the legislation that would allow entrepreneurs to suspend work in the event of late payments on intermediate instalment invoices, the aim being to end the growing number of cases of the law being circumvented. Even though the effects of the LME and derogation agreements are impacting on payment periods, it is hard in this sector to reduce client payment periods due to the nature of the clientele (individuals, the State and state-owned enterprises in the sector). By our estimates, this impacts negatively on businesses in the sector. > In Germany, the strict application of late payment penalties allows a better result than does the LME as it is applied in France. As a result, payment periods are half as long as they are for French businesses in the sector. We see a coordinated reduction in payment periods and in cash flow requirements in the German construction market, now lacklustre primarily for demographic reasons. 26 > Late payments are frequent in Spain, despite already long contractual payment periods, and only a small scaling back of extremely long client payment periods has been achieved, by around only half as much (-10%) as was achieved in Germany (-16%). > In Italy, the construction sector is made up of many businesses with low shareholders’capital, and the weakness in demand has translated into long payment periods and a sharp increase in cash flow requirements. > In the United Kingdom, public intervention helped sustain activity in the construction sector but acted to slow the reduction in client payment periods. The United Kingdom shows a relatively coordinated reduction in payment periods, at close to the average. > In Belgium, businesses in the building and civil engineering sector are unable to meet the client payment periods imposed by the authorities, holding back reductions in supplier payment periods in response. Government authorities and especially local authorities pay very late, a trend that is accentuating. > In the United States, we see an increase in supplier payment periods (+18%), due to a fall in demand and the large number of residences for sale. Client payment periods have also risen considerably (+46%) in this extremely poor market environment, on top of which it is also difficult for prices of new-build housing to rise. ▣ Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Client payment periods in days’ revenue, 2010 Client payment periods: construction ES 174 200 IT 127 150 FR 87 BE 82 100 DK 57 DE 41 50 SE 47 US 53 GB 33 NO 63 Change 0 -10% -20% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Supplier payment periods in days’ revenue, 2010 Supplier payment periods: construction 200 ES 157 150 IT 114 100 BE 70 FR 57 GB 38 50 SE 27 DK 38 US 43 NO 33 DE 28 Change 0 -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% Source: Euler Hermes Indicator of change in client payment periods: construction Cash flow Tension Indicator: construction 40 25 35 20 30 15 25 10 20 5 15 0 10 France France -5 Germany 5 Germany 0 Italy Spain Spain -10 Italy United States United States -15 United Kingdom Belgium -20 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Euler Hermes -5 United Kingdom Belgium -10 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Euler Hermes Client and supplier payment period gap: construction Spain 109 113 Italy 66 66 Belgium 22 21 9 France 26 -20 -20 Germany United Kingdom -10 -28 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Client payment period difference from average of 37 days Supplier payment period difference from average of 53 days Source: Euler Hermes 27 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Four determinants to note ▶ There are four determining factors explaining these disparities between sectors: > 1. The organisation of the sectors themselves, an example being the round table in the automotive components sector in France, which enabled subcontractors to even out client and supplier payment periods. > 2. When the suppliers are global, sectors such as chemicals benefit from a limited variation in payment periods. Comparison between Germany-France > 3. The health of the sector, an example being the construction sector in Spain, which shows the difficulties undergone because of the crisis. > 4. The negotiating strength of big clients and big suppliers who impose longer payment periods, such as in the IT services sector. 55 60 80 IT services Construction Aeronautic components Pharmaceuticals Chemicals National average Automotive components Automobiles Air transport Source: Euler Hermes 28 IT services 35 France 40 days Construction Air transport 15 days Automotive components National average Aeronautic components Automobiles Germany Chemicals Pharmaceuticals ▶ Payment periods by sector 100 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Annexes Annex I ▶ Law on the Modernisation of the Economy (LME) and sector round tables in France Round tables in the automotive components sector In France: the code of good practice of28 June 2006 allows for balanced and more lasting and harmonious client/supplier relations through the sector, where the client must: > send a late payment penalty without the supplier having to request it > not alter the payment term for reasons not set out in the contract (notably arising from internal failings in its administrative departments) > furnish a means of payment that can be mobilised or financed to the supplier who requests it and do so within 20 days of receiving the invoice, in the absence of any litigation LME in pharmaceuticals Following the implementation of the LME of 2008 in France, subject to the decree of 22 September, trade associations representing French pharmacies signed an accord with the trade association of French pharmaceutical manufacturers (LEEM) to be applied gradually to payments for non-prescription drugs, which account for 10% of the pharmaceuticals market. According to the AFIPA, the trade body that represents the self-medication medicines industry, payment periods for non-prescription medicines were much longer than for other medicines, running from 180 days to 360 days for seasonal products (e.g., winter remedies and anti-allergy drugs). In France: under a derogation for non-prescription drugs, the payment periods agreed by the parties to settle invoices due may not exceed: > 90 days from invoice date for 2009 > 70 days from invoice date for 2010 > 60 days from invoice date from 1 January. These payment periods run from the date of issue of the invoice. Agreement on payment periods of 27 January: additional to the code of good practice for payment periods: > the payment period between clients and subcontractors is cut to a maximum of 90 days effective 1 September Client businesses in the sector with turnover in excess of 300 million euros will give an additional reduction in payment periods of 30 days to suppliers with turnover of less than 50 million euros, according to the following modalities: maximum payment periods of 75 days effective 1 September and of 60 days effective 1 September. LME construction In France: under derogation in the construction and civil engineering sector, the parties agree the following maximum payment periods: > 70 days from end of month effective 1 January > 60 days from end of month effective 1 January > 50 days from end of month effective 1 January > 45 days from end of month effective 1 January The 35 derogations of the LME > toys; DIY; watches and jewellery; construction and civil engineering; plumbing, heating and electrical equipment; book publishing; stationery and office supplies; tyres; metal packaging closures and metal tins for food; optional non-reimbursable prescription drugs; sales of pets, products and accessories for pets; two or three-wheeled motorised and quad bikes; boating; amateur gardening; industrial equipment and hardware; agricultural supplies; agricultural equipment; paints, inks, colours, glues and adhesives; optical spectacles; cooperage; sporting goods; print industry; music CDs and DVDs; amateur fishing; arts and crafts; leather; steel products for construction; recreational vehicles; marine and inland aquaculture; food supplements; roundwood logs and standing timber; wholesaling of automotive tools; hunting arms and ammunition; textiles and clothing. 29 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Annex II ▶ Payment defaults in Italy A close examination of payment defaults of Italian businesses reveals great disparities between regions and sectors via two key indicators: the rate of non-payment and the severity (average amount) of missed payments. On the domestic market, the victims of the crisis in consumption, of international competition (e.g., footwear) or of the rise in energy prices (e.g., paper manufacturing) saw default amounts increase. Chemicals also saw a rise in these amounts. Exports, a key element in the Italian economy in 2011, now are a matter of great concern over the rate of payment defaults in industry, agriculture, foods, chemicals and mechanical engineering. Italy’s strong exports to troubled economies such as Spain, Greece and Portugal have a considerable impact on the severity of non-payments. We also see an increase in the average payment default amount in the steel, footwear and construction sectors. Regional disparities are increasing in the crisis: the south and centre of Italy are more exposed to liquidity problems during economic slowdowns. In the north of the country, in Piedmont and Liguria, show a sustained trend of increasing rate (depending on the production specialisation in these regions, i.e., automobiles and naval industries). In central and southern regions, the trend deteriorates more quickly, with some diverging trends for certain regions like Molise and Calabria, which are just improving after a deep crisis. ▣ Italy Domestic market – 2007 to March 2012 trend Italy Export market – 2007 to March 2012 trend (basis, 2007 = 100) (basis, 2007 = 100) 200 150 150 120 100 90 50 60 Rate Rate Amount 0 2008 2009 Source: Euler Hermes 30 Amount 2010 2011 2012* Q1 30 2008 2009 Source: Euler Hermes 2010 2011 2012* Q1 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Annexe III ▶ Detailed data, by country Germany 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 France 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Spain 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Portugal 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Client payment period 30 27.3 26.6 26.1 25.5 25.3 25.4 25.2 22.6 23.4 23.7 23.5 23.3 23.1 Supplier payment period 21.6 19.7 19.2 19.0 18.9 18.7 18 18.5 16.7 17.1 18.5 18.5 18.5 18.5 Client payment period growth indicator Supplier payment period growth indicator -9% -2.4% -1.8% -2.2% -1% 0.5% -0.8% -10.2% 3.6% 1% -1% -0.5% -1% -8.9% -2.6% -0.8% -0.8% -0.9% -3.8% 2.6% -9.5% 2.5% 7.9% 0% 0% 0% Client Supplier payment payment period period 68.0 58.3 64.5 56.2 63.2 55.1 62.4 54.3 61.2 54.0 63.3 55.3 63.4 55.5 63.2 55.8 63.1 53.2 60.7 51.1 61.4 52.4 62 53.2 62.3 53.2 62.9 53.8 Client payment period growth indicator Client Supplier payment payment period period 69.6 64.2 69.5 64.2 70.6 64.6 69.2 64.7 69.8 64.8 71.2 67.0 71.5 67.4 73.5 69.5 70.6 66.9 80.9 75.3 79.0 75.3 78.3 74.8 80.2 76.3 80.6 76.6 Client payment period growth indicator Client Supplier payment payment period period 68.3 51.6 71.4 53.8 69.6 53.7 70.9 55.3 70.1 55.4 69.0 54.8 76.4 64.4 76.8 64.8 72.7 61 79.8 65.3 81.7 66.3 82.3 66 83.6 65.4 83.6 65.4 Client payment period growth indicator -5.1% -2.0% -1.2% -2.0% 3.4% 0.3% -0.3% -0.2% -3.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 1% -0.1% 1.5% -1.9% 0.8% 2% 0.4% 2.9% -3.9% 14.6% -2.4% -0.9% 2.5% 0.5% 4.6% -2.6% 1.8% -1% -1.6% 10.8% 0.4% -5.3% 9.8% 2.3% 0.8% 1.5% 0% Supplier payment period growth indicator -3.6% -2.0% -1.5% -0.6% 2.5% 0.3% 0.7% -4.7% -4.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0% 1% Supplier payment period growth indicator 0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.2% 3.3% 0.6% 3.1% -3.8% 12.6% 0% -0.8% 2% 0.5% Supplier payment period growth indicator 4.4% -0.2% 3% 0.1% -1.2% 17.6% 0.6% -5.8% 6.9% 1.6% -0.4% -1.0% 0% Cash flow tension indicator 8.3 7.6 7.4 7.1 6.7 6.6 7.4 6.7 5.9 6.3 5.2 5 4.9 4.6 Poland Cash flow tension indicator 9.6 8.3 8.1 8.2 7.2 8 8 7.4 9.9 9.7 9 8.7 9 9.1 Belgium Cash flow tension indicator 5.3 5.3 5.9 4.5 4.9 4.2 4.1 4 3.8 5.6 3.6 3.5 4 4 Italy 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Client Supplier payment payment period period 45.4 45.3 45.6 44.6 44.5 43.7 43.7 43.3 44.3 44.1 45.3 44.9 44.1 43.3 43.2 42.3 42.1 41.1 Client payment period growth indicator Client Supplier payment payment period period 69.8 56.9 67.3 54.4 64 43.7 67,8 53.8 72.1 58.2 65.9 53.5 64.3 51.8 65.5 51.8 60.7 47.3 64.8 51.8 63.2 52.2 61.6 50.7 61.6 50.7 60.7 49.8 Client payment period growth indicator Client Supplier payment payment period period 105.9 85.7 102.7 81.9 106.1 83.3 105.2 82.6 102.4 82.2 104.5 83.8 102.8 81.2 100.8 80.8 99.6 77.2 106.8 82.5 105.9 82.3 105.3 81.8 107.4 83.5 107.4 83.5 Client payment period growth indicator 0.4% -2.3% -1.8% 1.3% 2.3% -2.7% -2.0% -2.5% -3.6% -4.8% 5.9% 6.5% -8.6% -2.5% 2% -7.3% 6.7% -2.5% -2.5% 0% -1.5% -3% 3.3% -0.9% -2.7% 2.1% -1.7% -1.9% -1.2% 7.2% -0.8% -0.6% 2% 0% Supplier payment period growth indicator -1.4% -2.2% -0.9% 2.0% 1.8% -3.7% -2.3% -2.7% Supplier payment period growth indicator -4.3% -19.6% 23.1% 8.1% -8.1% -3.2% 0% -8.7% 9.4% 0.9% -2.9% 0% -1.8% Supplier payment period growth indicator -4.5% 1.8% -0.9% -0.5% 2% -3.2% -0.5% -4.4% 6.9% -0.3% -0.5% 2% 0% Cash flow tension indicator 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 1 Cash flow tension indicator 12.9 12.8 20.3 13.9 13.9 12.4 12.5 13.7 13.4 13 11 10.9 10.9 10.9 Cash flow tension indicator 20.2 20.8 22.8 22.6 20.2 20.7 21.6 20 22.4 24.2 23.7 23.5 24 24 Cash flow tension indicator 16.7 17.6 15.9 15.5 14.7 14.2 12.0 12.0 11.7 14.6 15.4 16.3 18.2 18.2 Source: Euler Hermes 31 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Annexe IV ▶ Detailed data, by sector Automobiles Client Supplier payment payment period period France 41 50 Germany 21 34 Spain 48 56 Italy 37 75 United States 42 79 United Kingdom 31 34 Belgium 41 69 Denmark 40 45 Norway 45 47 19 37 Sweden Client payment period growth indicator 1% 14% -27% -12% -97% 56% -6% 10% -23% -47% Chemicals Client Supplier payment payment period period France 59 51 Germany 46 29 Spain 67 46 Italy 93 63 61 41 United States United Kingdom 30 28 Belgium 58 47 Denmark 57 29 Norway 40 31 Sweden 32 24 Client payment period growth indicator -11% -3% -30% -8% 22% -15% 14% 11% 1% -7% Construction Supplier payment period 57 28 157 114 43 38 70 38 33 27 Client payment period growth indicator -6% -16% -10% -1% 46% -2% -10% -11% -10% -5% Client Supplier payment payment period period France 44 44 Germany 29 31 Spain 34 62 Italy 29 58 United States 21 22 United Kingdom 17 25 Belgium 51 49 Denmark 15 23 Norway 21 19 Sweden 12 17 Client payment period growth indicator -2% 2% -45% -35% 5% -29% 47% -13% -19% -31% Client payment period France 87 Germany 41 Spain 174 Italy 127 United States 53 United Kingdom 33 Belgium 82 Denmark 57 Norway 63 Sweden 47 Air transport Cash flow tension indicator -8 -13 -8 -38 -37 -3 -28 -5 -2 -18 Automotive components Client Supplier payment payment period period France 54 53 Germany 36 24 Spain 83 52 111 96 Italy United Kingdom 68 41 Belgium 67 49 Denmark 55 20 40 27 Norway Sweden 51 39 Client payment period growth indicator -21% 0% -18% 3% -12% -17% -2% -33% -26% Supplier payment period growth indicator -21% -4% 2% -2% -30% -14% -5% -14% -9% Cash flow tension indicator 2 12 31 14 26 18 35 13 12 Cash flow tension indicator 8 17 21 30 20 3 12 28 9 8 Pharmaceuticals Client Supplier payment payment period period France 66 52 Germany 46 16 Spain 85 35 Italy 90 40 93 38 United States United Kingdom 36 31 Belgium 63 54 Denmark 38 20 Norway 25 16 Sweden 11 11 Client payment period growth indicator -13% 41% -11% -6% 49% -1% 12% 2% 16% 31% Supplier payment period growth indicator -16% -10% 18% -15% 43% 7% 7% 4% -11% 25% Cash flow tension indicator 14 30 50 50 55 5 9 18 9 0 Supplier payment period growth indicator -18% -19% -3% -6% 18% -10% -13% -9% -21% 6% Cash flow tension indicator 30 13 17 13 11 -5 12 19 30 21 IT services Client Supplier payment payment period period France 95 51 Germany 52 25 Spain 107 61 Italy 101 60 United States 72 21 United Kingdom 50 23 Belgium 84 58 Denmark 54 26 Norway 64 25 Sweden 33 23 Client payment period growth indicator -7% 9% -14% -2% 16% 0% -4% -17% -8% -5% Supplier payment period growth indicator 3% -8% 14% -5% -10% -12% -10% 5% -3% -7% Cash flow tension indicatorr 44 27 46 41 51 27 25 28 39 9 Supplier payment period growth indicator 8% 14% 51% -16% 5% 43% 12% -17% -30% -6% Cash flow tension indicator 1 -2 -29 -30 -1 -8 3 -8 2 -5 Aeronautic components Client payment period growth indicator -5% -21% 8% -22% 42% -12% Supplier payment period growth indicator -14% 37% -17% -31% -15% 5% Cash flow tension indicator 16 -32 22 2 25 -4 Supplier payment period growth indicator -12% 45% 10% -4% -86% 26% 27% 33% 10% 15% Supplier payment period growth indicator -8% 1% -1% -9% 16% 10% 7% 12% 4% -9% Client Supplier payment payment period period France 65 49 Germany 20 51 Spain 153 131 Italy 62 60 United States 67 42 United Kingdom 40 44 Note: client payment period, supplier payment period and cash flow tension indicator are for 2010; client and supplier period growth indicators are for 2006-2010. Source: Euler Hermes 32 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Special Dossier Dossier||Payment Paymentperiods periods Euler Hermes Subsidiaries Euler Hermes Registred office: Euler Hermes Group 1, Place des Saisons 92 048 Paris La Défense CEDEX France Tel.: + 33 (0) 1 84 11 53 77 Fax: + 33 (0) 1 84 11 54 87 www.eulerhermes.com Euler Hermes Collections GmbH Zeppelinstr. 48 14471 Potsdam Tel.: +49 331 27890-000 Greece Euler Hermes Emporiki SA 16 Laodikias Street & 1-3 Nymfeou Street 115 28 Athens Tel.: + 30 210 69 00 000 > Hong Kong Euler Hermes Hong Kong Services Ltd Suites 403-11, 4/F Cityplaza 4 12 Taikoo Wan Road - Island East Hong Kong Av. Corrientes 299 - 2° Piso > China Euler Hermes Shanghai Information Consulting Co., Ltd. C1043AAC CABA, Buenos Aires Unit 2103, Taipint Finance Tower, > Argentina Euler Hermes Argentina S.A. Tel.: + 54 11 4320 7157/77 Tel.: + 852 2867 0061 N°488 Middle Yincheng Road, Pudong > Hungary Euler Hermes Europe S. A Magyarrorszagi Fioktelepe New Area, Shanghai, 200120 Kiscelli u. 104 > Australia Euler Hermes Australia Pty Ltd Tel.: + 86 21 6030 5900 Level 9, Forecourt Building 2 Market Street > Colombia Euler Hermes Colombia Sydney, NSW 2000 Calle 72 6-44 Piso 3 Tel.: + 61 2 8258 5108 Édificio APA 4th Floor, Voltas House Bogota 23, j N Heredia Marg > Austria Prisma Kreditversicherungs-AG Tel.: +571 326 4640 Himmelpfortgasse 29 > Czech Republic Euler Hermes Europe S.A. organizacni slozka 1010 Vienne Tel.: + 43 5 01 02-0 Euler Hermes Collections GmvH Zweigniederlassung Österreich Handelskai 388 1020 Vienna Tel.: + 43 1 90 81 771 > Bahrain Please contact United Arab Emirates > Belgium Euler Hermes Europe S.A. (N.V.) Avenue des Arts—Kunstlaan, 56 1000 Bruxelles Tel.: + 32 2 289 31 11 > Brazil Euler Hermes Seguros de Crédito S.A. Avenida Paulista, 2,421—3° andar jardim Paulista São Paulo/SP 01311-300 Tel.: + 55 11 3065 2260 > Canada Euler Hermes Services Canada, Inc. 1155, René-Lévesque Blvd West Suite 1702 Montreal (Québec) H3B 3Z7 Tel.: + 514 876 9656 > Chile Euler Hermes Seguro de Crédito S.A. Ave. Presidente Kennedy 5735 Of. 801, Torre Poniente Las Condes Santiago Tel.: + 56 2 246 1786 1037 Budapest Tel.: +36 1 453 9000 > India Euler Hermes India Pvt. Ltd Ballard Estate Mumbai 400 001 Molákova 576/11 186 00 Prague 8 Tel.: + 420 266 109 511 > Demmark Euler Hermes Danmark, filiale de filial af Euler Hermes Europe SA Belgien Amerika Plads 19 2 100 Copenhague O Tel.: + 45 88 333 388 > Estonia Please contact Finland > Finland Euler Hermes Europe S.A. Suomen sivuliike Mannerheimintie 105 Tel.: + 91 22 6623 2525 > Indonesia PT Asuransi Allianz Utama Indonesia SSummitmas II. Building, 9th floor jl. jenderal Sudirman Kav 61-62 jakarta 12190 Tel.: +62 21 252 2470 ext. 6100 > Ireland Euler Hermes Ireland The Arch Blackrock Business Park Carysfort Avenue Blackrock Co. Dublin Tel.: + 353 1 200 0400 > Israël ICIC 00280 Helsinki 2, Shenkar Street Tel.: + 358 10 850 8500 68010 Tel Aviv Tel.: +97 23 796 2444 > France Euler Hermes France SA Euler Hermes Collection Euler Hermes World Agency 1, place des Saisons F-92048 Paris-La-Défense Cedex Tel.: +33 1 8411 5050 > Germany Euler Hermes Deutschland AG Euler Hermes Rating Deutschland AG Friedensallee 254 22763 Hamburg Tel.: +49 40 8834 0 Federal Export Credit Guarantees Friedensallee 254 22763 Hamburg Tel.: +49 40 8834 9000 > Italy Euler Hermes Europe S.A. Rappresentanza per l’Italia Via Raffaello Matarazzo, 19 00139 Rome Tel.: + 39 06 87001 > japan Euler Hermes Deutschland AG, japan Branch Kyobashi Nisshoku Bldg. 7th floor 8-7, Kyobashi, 1-chome, Chuo-Ku Tokyo 104-0031 Tel.: + 81 3 35 38 5403 > Kuwait Please contact United Arab Emirates 33 Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes > Latvia Please contact Poland > Russia Euler Hermes Credit Management OOO > Tunisia Please contact Italy Office C08, 4-th Dobryninskiy per., 8, > Lithuania Please contact Poland Tel.: + 7 495 98128 33 ext.4000 > Malaysia Please contact Singapore > Saudi Arabia Please contact United Arab Emirates Moscou, 119049 > Turkey Euler Hermes Turkiye Iz Plaza Giz Ayazağa Yolu Eski Büyükdere Cad. No: 9 Kat: 14 Maslak/Istanbul Tel.: + 90 212 290 76 10 > Mexico Euler Hermes Seguro de Crédito S.A. > Singapour Euler Hermes Singapore Services Pte Ltd Blvd. Manuel Avila Camacho #164, 8° piso 3 Temasek Avenue Col. Lomas de Barrilaco # 03-02 Centennial Tower > United Arab Emirates Euler Hermes c/o Alliance Insurance Co (PSC) Deleg. Miguel Hidalgo Singapour 039190 Warba Center 4th Floor Mexico DF CP 11010 Tel.: + 65 6297 8802 Office 405 Dubai > Morocco Euler Hermes Acmar > Slovakia Euler Hermes Europe SA, poboka poist’ovne z ineho clenskeho statu 37, bd Abdelatiff Ben Kaddour Plynárenská 1 20 050 Casablanca 82109 Bratislava Tel.: + 212 5 22 79 03 30 Tel.: + 421 2 582 80 911 Tel.: + 52 55 5201 7900 PO Box 183957 Tel.: + 971 4 211 6005 > United Kingdom Euler Hermes UK 1 Canada Square Londres E14 5DX > The Netherlands Euler Hermes Kredietverzekering NV > South Africa Please contact Italy Pettelaarpark 20 5216 PD’s-Hertogenbosch Tel.: + 31 73 688 99 99 > South Korea Euler Hermes Credit Underwriters HK Ltd. Korea Liaison Office Tel.: + 44 20 7 512 9333 > United States Euler Hermes North America Insurance Company 800 Red Brook Boulevard > New Zealand Euler Hermes New Zealand Ltd. Rm 1411, 14/F, Sayong - Platinum Bldg Owings Mills, MD 21117 156, Cheokseon-dong, Tel.: + 1 410 753 0753 Level 1, 152 Fanshawe Street Chongro-ku, Auckland 1010 Seoul 110 052, Tel.: + 64 9 354 2995 Tel.: + 82 2 733 8813 > Norway Euler Hermes Norge Holbergsgate 21 > Spain Euler Hermes Crédito, Sucursal en España de Euler Hermes SFAC, S.A. P.O. Box 6875 Paseo de la Castellana, 95 St. Olavs Plass Planta 14 0130 Oslo Edificio Torre Europa Tel.: + 47 23 25 6000 28046 Madrid Euler Hermes UMA Inc. (trade debt collection) 600 South 7th Street Louisville, KY 40201-1672 Tel.: +1 800 237 9386 > Vietnam Please contact Singapore Tel.: + 34 91 417 77 67 > Oman Please contact United Arab Emirates > Philippines Please contact Singapore > Poland Towarzystwo Ubezpieczen Euler Hermes S.A. ul. Domaniewska 50 B 02-672 Warsaw Tél.: + 48 22 363 6363 > Portugal COSEC - Companhia de Seguro de Créditos, S.A. Avenida da República, nº 58 1069-057 Lisbon Tel.: + 351 21 791 3700 > Qatar Please contact United Arab Emirates > Romania Euler Hermes Europe SA Bruxelles Sucursala Bucuresti Str. Petru Maior Nr.6 Sector 1 011264 Bucarest Tel.: + 40 21 302 0300 > Sri Lanka Please contact Singapore > Sweden Euler Hermes Sverige filial Klarabergsviadukten 90 P.O. Box 729 111 64 Stockholm Tel.: + 46 8 55 51 36 00 > Switzerland Euler Hermes Deutschland AG, Zweigniederlassung Zürich Tödistrasse 65 8002 Zürich Tel.: + 41 44 283 65 65 Euler Hermes Reinsurance Tödistrasse 65 8002 ZürichTel.: + 41 44 283 65 85 > Taiwan Please contact Hong Kong > Thailand Allianz C.P. General Insurance Co., Ltd 323 United Center Building, 30 th Floor Silom Road. Bangrak, Bangkok 10500 Tel. + 66 2638 9000 34 Subsidiaries Registered office: Euler Hermes Group 1, Place des Saisons 92 048 Paris La Défense CEDEX France Tel.: + 33 (0) 1 84 11 53 77 Fax: + 33 (0) 1 84 11 54 87 www.eulerhermes.com Economic Outlook n° 1182 | Special Dossier | Payment periods Euler Hermes Economic Outlook series… N° 1170 > Special Dossier Rebound in worldtrade in 2010 confirms the shift already underway before the crisis. N° 1171 > Business Insolvency Worldwide The fall ininsolvencies is confirmed, but on a modest scale and in uneven fashion. N° 1172 > Global Macroeconomic Review In the face of slowdowns and turbulence, world economic recovery is going through tumultuous times. N° 1173 > Global Sectors Review Global economic recovery continues, but new threats are arising. N° 1174 > Business insolvency in France (only available in French) The decline ininsolvencies remains modest overall and stillvery uneven, with a high number of cases. The French economic environment - the slowdown continues. N° 1175 > Global Macroeconomic Perspectives The slowdown is confirmed, the weaknesses remain, the risks endure. N° 1176 > Special Dossier Green Economy. N° 1177-1178 > Macroeconomic, Risk and Insolvency Outlook On the edge. N° 1179 > Global Sectors Review Looking for growth where it can be found. N° 1180 > Business insolvency in France (only available in French) The overall decrease in French insolvencies hides several weaknesses. N° 1181 > Macroeconomic, Risk and Insolvency Outlook A fog cannot be dispelled by a fan. N° 1182 > Special Dossier Payment periods in Europe: wide gaps To come: N° 1183-84 > Macroeconomic, Risk and Insolvency Outlook 35 njoncture internationale et risques pays e ralentissement se confirme, es faiblesses demeurent, es risques persistent www.eulerhermes.com Euler Hermes Economic Outlook is published quaterly by the Economic Research Department of Euler Hermes 1, place des Saison, 92048 Paris La Défense Cedex - Tel. : +33 (0) 1 84 11 53 77 This document reflects the opinion of the Economic Research Department of Euler Hermes. The information, analyses and forecasts contained herein are based on the Department's current hypotheses and viewpoints and are of a prospective nature. In this regard, the Economic Research Department of Euler Hermes has no responsibility for the consequences hereof and no liability. Moreover, these analyses are subject to modification at any time.
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz