13. Game Theoretical Models of Economic Competition First, we consider a model of a monopoly. It is assumed that the monopoly chooses the quantity of a product q to produce in a season. The costs of production are cT (q). The price resulting from the demand curve is p = g (q) = d −1 (q). 1 / 32 Model of a Monopoly The monopoly chooses the level of production, in order to maximize profits. The profit function is given by z(q) = pq − cT (q). The optimal level of production can thus be found by differentiation. Note that in the case of a monopoly which knows the demand curve, choosing the price to sell at is equivalent to choosing the quantity to sell. 2 / 32 The Symmetric Cournot Game In the case of competition, choosing the price at which to sell is not equivalent to choosing the amount to produce, since given the amount produced by one firm, based on classical theory, the price still depends on the amount produced by other firms. Assume that two firms produce an identical good. Firm i produces qi units per season. The price of the good is determined by total supply and all production is sold at this ”clearing price”. It is assumed that p = A − B[q1 + q2 ], (A, B > 0). The costs of production are assumed to be cT (q) = kq for both firms, i.e. constant marginal costs of production. The payoff of a firm is taken to be the profit obtained (i.e. profit per unit times the number of units sold). 3 / 32 The Symmetric Cournot Game The payoff obtained by Firm 1 is given by R1 (q1 , q2 ) = q1 [A − Bq1 − Bq2 − k] = q1 (A − k) − Bq12 − Bq1 q2 . By symmetry, the payoff obtained by Player 2 is R2 (q1 , q2 ) = q2 [A − Bq1 − Bq2 − k] = q2 (A − k) − Bq22 − Bq1 q2 4 / 32 Best Response Functions In this case, the optimal level of production of a firm depends on the amount that the other firm produces. Given the amount produced by the other firm, we can calculate the optimal output of a firm using calculus. It can be shown that any feasible extremum of these profit functions (i.e. where both the quantity produced and the price are positive) are maxima. Let B1 (q2 ) denote the best response of Player 1 to q2 . Let B2 (q1 ) denote the best response of Player 2 to q1 . 5 / 32 Nash Equilibrium of the Cournot Game At a Nash equilibrium (q1∗ , q2∗ ), we have q1∗ = B1 (q2∗ ); q2∗ = B2 (q1∗ ). Thus, at a Nash equilibrium Player 1 plays her best response to Player 2’s strategy and vice versa. The Nash equilibrium is a solution of the following system of two linear equations. ∂R1 = 0; ∂q1 ∂R2 =0 ∂q2 6 / 32 Example 13.1 Suppose that the demand function for a particular good is given by p =3− Q , 1000 where Q is total production and the unit cost of production is 1. i) Find the optimal level of production, price and profits of a monopoly. ii) Find the equilibrium levels of production, price and profits of two identical firms producing the same good. 7 / 32 Example 13.1 8 / 32 Example 13.1 9 / 32 Example 13.1 10 / 32 Example 13.1 11 / 32 The Stackelberg Model - Moves Made in Sequence This is identical to the Cournot model, except that it is assumed that one of the firms is a market leader and chooses its production level before the second firm chooses. The second firm observes the production level of the first. 12 / 32 The Stackelberg Model Suppose Player 2 moves after Player 1 and observes the action taken by Player 1. The equilibrium is derived by recursion. Player 2 should choose the optimum action given the action of Player 1. Hence, we first need to solve ∂R2 (q1 , q2 ) = 0. ∂q2 This gives the optimal response of Player 2 as a function of the strategy of Player 1, q2 = B2 (q1 ). 13 / 32 The Stackelberg Model We now calculate the optimal strategy of the first player to move. If Player 1 plays q1 , Player 2 responds by playing B2 (q1 ). Hence, we can express the payoff of Player 1 as a function simply of q1 , i.e. R1 (q1 , B2 (q1 )). In order to find the optimal action of Player 1, we differentiate this function with respect to q1 . Having calculated the optimal value of q1 , we can then derive q2 . 14 / 32 Example 13.2 Derive the equilibrium price, profits and production levels in the Stackelberg version of the previous example. 15 / 32 Example 13.2 16 / 32 Example 13.2 17 / 32 Example 13.2 18 / 32 Example 13.2 19 / 32 The Bertrand Model of Price Competition Under the assumptions of the Bertrand model, two firms decide the price at which to sell an identical product. There is assumed to be no friction on the market (i.e. no costs incurred in finding the cheapest offer). Under this assumption, when the firms sell at different prices, the firm selling at the lowest price satisfies all the demand at that (lower) price. If the firms sell at the same price, then the demand is split equally between them. The unit cost of production is k in both firms. 20 / 32 The Bertrand Model Given that firm 1 sells its product at a price of p1 > k (i.e. at a price that would give a profit), it would always pay firm 2 to sell its product at a minimally lower price in order to steal all the demand. This fact leads to a price war, where the price is driven down to the unit cost of production. Both firms sell their good at the same price as the production costs and hence neither firm makes a profit (or loss). In the case where one firm (assumed to be firm 1) has lower production costs than the other (firm 2), then firm 1 lowers the price to below the production costs of firm 2, which then drives firm 2 out of business. 21 / 32 Comparison of Bertrand and Cournot Model The results from the Cournot model seem a lot more reasonable than the results from the Bertrand model. However, various assumptions and changes to the Bertrand model can be made to make the conclusions more reasonable, namely: 1. The conclusion ”neither firm makes a profit” should be interpreted as both firms make a ”reasonable profit, but small enough that no-one else wishes to enter the market”. 2. There is friction on the market, which ensures that individuals do not always find the cheapest version of the product. 3. There is some brand loyalty. Hence, even when there is no market friction, individuals would not always buy the cheapest version of the product. 22 / 32 Comparison of Bertrand and Cournot Model Assumptions 2 and 3 lead to a model at which the equilibrium prices are above the unit cost of production, hence both firms make a profit. In reality, firms choose both price and the level of production. 23 / 32 Taxation and Duties Revisited Although the Stackelberg model may seem unnatural when modelling competition between firms, especially when talking about firms of similar size, it is fairly clear that value add tax (VAT) and duties fall naturally into the frame of the Stackelberg approach. Firstly, the government announces the introduction (or change) of a tax. A firm (or firms) then reacts to this. It follows that the government is a natural Stackelberg leader in such games. 24 / 32 Taxation and Duties Revisited It is natural to assume that a firm (assumed to be a monopoly) wishes to maximise its own profits. The goals of the government may be more difficult to model. In the simplest case, one may assume that the government wishes to maximize revenue from the introduction of the tax, i.e. maximize tq, where t is the tax per unit. However, the introduction of a tax will have knock on effects on the economy as a whole (and thus the income of the government from other sources). More generally, one can assume that the government also takes the profits of a firm and consumer surplus into account. 25 / 32 Taxation and Duties Revisited Since the firm is assumed to be a monopoly, we may assume that choosing the level of production is equivalent to choosing the price. Assuming that the demand curve is linear (or the tax is small), the firm should increase the price of the good by 50% of the value of the tax (see next example). Knowing this, the government can then choose the level of tax in order to choose the optimal level of tax according to the appropriate criterion. Note that when the demand curve is linear, the selling price is ps , the maximum price (the price required for demand to disappear) is pmax and the demand at equilibrium is q(ps ), then the consumer surplus is 0.5q(ps )[pmax − ps ]. 26 / 32 Example 13.3 Suppose that the demand function for a particular good is given by q = 3000 − 1000p, when the unit cost of production is 1. i) Show that imposing a tax of δ per unit, increases the selling price by 0.5δ. ii) Assume that the government wishes to maximize the revenue from a tax on this product. What should the level of this tax per unit be? iii) Assume that the government wishes to maximize the sum of the revenue from the tax and the consumer surplus. What should the level of this tax per unit be? 27 / 32 Example 13.3 28 / 32 Example 13.3 29 / 32 Example 13.3 30 / 32 Example 13.3 31 / 32 Example 13.3 32 / 32
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