DQCKET SECTION OCA-T-500 Docket No. R97-1 DIRECT TESTIMONY OF JAMES F. CALLOW ON BEHALF OF THE OFFICE OF THE CONSUMER DECEMBER 30. 1997 ADVOCATE TABLE OF CONTENTS STATEMENT I. PURPOSE OF QUALIFICATIONS .._..____.__.___.__.......................................,,..,..,,....,. 1 AND SCOPE OF TESTIMONY _________.._________..............................,..,.....,. 3 II. CURRENT POST OFFICE BOX FEES AND FEE GROUPS DO NOT ADEQUATELY REFLECT THE HIGHER COSTS OF PROVIDING BOX SERVICE IN LARGER CAG POST OFFICES, NOR THE LOWER COSTS OF SERVICE IN SMALLER OFFICES .._..._...._.._....,....,..,..,..,............,.,,..,..,..,.. A. Postal Service Costs Are Higher In Larger CAG Post Offices ‘Than In Smaller Offices . 1. Average postal rental costs are higher in larger post offices, as measured by CAG 5 6 7 2. Other postal costs are higher in larger CAG post offices ,.,._.__.__.__._.,__. 8 B. The Postal Service’s Methodology For Allocating Certain Post Office Box Volume-Variable Costs Does Not Recognize Higher Costs In Larger Post Offices And Lower Costs In Smaller Offices _.__.__.__._.._..___...... 9 1. Allocating volume-variable Space Provision costs to post office boxes using average postal rental costs for fee groups masks widely different rental costs by CAG in Fee Groups C ancl D 10 2. Allocating an average of All Other volume-variable costs to post office boxes generates unit box costs that are too low for larger post ,... offices and too high for smaller offices in all fee groups 12 C. Post Office Box Fees Based Upon Current Fee Groups And The Postal Service’s Cost Allocation Methodology Results In Unjustifiably Higher Fees In Smaller Post Offices And Fees That Are Too Low In Larger Offices _...,,.,..._...._.__.............................................................................. 13 Ill. CURRENT POST OFFICE BOX FEE GROUPS SHOULD BE RESTRUCTURED TO BETTER REFLECT DIFFERING COSTS; OF LARGER AND SMALLER POST OFFICES ._......_.__._.._.._..................................... 14 A. Fee Groups C And D Should Be Restructured Based Upon The CAG Of The Post Offices _,........__._______.......................................................................... 1. Fee Groups C and D are similar in fundamental 14 ways . .. . . .. .. .. . .. . .. .. .. 14 2. Restructuring Fee Groups C and D based upon CAGs A-D, E-G and H-L produces more rent-homogeneous fee groups .._.........._.._.._....,,..,..... 16 B. The Development Of Base Year And Post-MC96-3 Estimates Of The Number Of Boxes In Use Is Similar To The Approach Followed By The Postal Service .. .._.._._.................................................................................,,.,,., 1. Development of the Base Year estimates of the number of boxes in use involves introduction of CAG groupings . 18 18 2. The post-MC96-3 estimated number of boxes in use shows CAG groupings ..___._____________.............................................................................. 26 C. The Test Year Before Rates And After Rates Estimates Of The Number of Boxes In Use And Revenues Reflect The New Fee Groups ..______... 32 IV. POST OFFICE BOX VOLUME-VARIABLE COSTS SHOULD BE ALLOCATED SO THAT HIGHER COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH LARGER POST OFFICES ARE DISTRIBUTED TO BOXES IN THOSE OFFICES............37 A. Space Provision Costs Should Be Allocated Based Upon Average Rental Costs For The New Fee Groups To Better Reflect Costs In Larger And Smaller Post Offices _.__.__._____._.._................................................... 37 B. A Portion Of All Other Costs Should Be Allocated To The New Fee Groups Based Upon Groupings By CAG To Better Reflect Costs In Larger And Smaller Post Offices ..__._.__.___.______.................................................42 C. Space Support Costs Should Be Allocated Using The Same Methodology Used By The Postal Service ..____..__.__._.__....................................55 V. PROPOSED POST OFFICE BOX FEES SHOULD REFLECT THE HIGHER COSTS OF PROVIDING BOX SERVICE IN LARGER VERSUS SMALLER POST OFFICES, AND ENSURE A REASONABLE CONTRIBUTION TO INSTITUTIONAL COSTS ,,_,.._._.._.__.__._............................... 60 A. Proposed Fees And The New Fee Groups Constitute A Transition To De-Averaged Allocated Costs And Further Restructuring Of Fee Groups.......65 B. The Proposed Post Office Box Fees Satisfy The Pricing Criteria Of The Postal Reorganization Act ,..,..,..,..___.__............................................................. 66 C. The Proposed New Fee Groups Accord With The Classification Criteria Of The Postal Reorganization Act ___________.__.__.__............................................... 76 ii VI. CONCLUSION . . .. . .. . .. .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. . .. .. . .. 72 1 DIRECT TESTIMONY 2 OF JAMES F. CALLOW 3 STATEMENT OF QUALIFICATIONS 4 5 My name is James F. Callow. 6 Specialist. 7 and since February by the Postal Rate Commission 1995 in the Office of the Consumer I previously testified before this Commission 8 9 I have been employed I am a Postal Rate and Classification MC95-I. My testimony Advocate since June 1993, (OCA). in Docket Nos. MC96-3 and in Docket No. MC96-3 opposed the Postal Service’s non- 10 resident surcharge on post office boxholders, and proposed alternative 11 designed to equalize inter-group 12 coverages by box size. In Docket No. MC95-1, my testimony 13 comments of persons expressing 14 Consumer Advocate cost coverages box fees and reduce the dilsparity in cost views to the Commission summarized the and the Office of the on postal rates and services. 15 As Special Assistant to former Commissioner 16 Nos. MC93-1, MC93-2 and R94-1. 17 for substantive 18 Recommended 19 Postal Service with respect to the estimation 20 evaluated 21 special postal services. Specifically, rate design proposals in Docket In the latter docket, I was assigned responsibility subject areas considered Decision. Quick, I participated by the Commission in its Opinion and I analyzed quantitative testimony of the of workers’ compensation costs and of the Postal Service and other parties related to Prior to joining the Commission, I held positions on the legislative staff of a US Senator and a Member of Congress from Michigan, and served as an aide to the Governor of the State of Michigan in Washington. I am an accountant accounting by training. from Georgetown and auditing. University. In 1985, I earned an MS de!gree in My course work included cost accounting In 1977, I obtained my BA degree from the University of Michigan- Dearborn with a double major in political science and history and a minor in economics. 2 1 2 I. PURPOSE AND SCOPE OF TESTIMONY This testimony addresses the post office box fee proposals of the Postal 3 Service.’ 4 Groups C and D into six new fee groups based upon the Cost Ascertainment 5 (CAG) of post offices. 6 from CAG A-D, E-G and H-L offices, respectively, 7 groups, D-l, D-II and D-III, would also be formed from the same CAG level offices in 8 Fee Group D. The new fee groups and proposed fees represent a proposed 9 transition to a further restructuring 10 11 I propose a classification change that would restructure current Fee Group Three new fee groups, C-l, C-II and C-III, would be formed in Fee Group C. Three new fee that would ultimately merge these parallel fee groups into three fee groups. The fees I propose are based on a new cost allocation methodology methodology. The 12 Postal Service’s current allocation results in higher volume-variable 13 unit box costs in smaller offices and lower unit costs in larger offices than if costs 14 were allocated according 15 Consequently, 16 portion of volume-variable to office location and size, as measured I propose a new cost allocation methodology by CAG. that distributes post office box costs by CAG. My proposed a post office ’ My testimony consists of this document, OCA-T-500, and workpapers which contain spreadsheets showing the development of my post office box fee proposal, filed as library reference OCA-LR-10. In addition, I sponsor the library reference OCA-LR-2. 3 1 box fees are virtually the same as or lower than those proposed 2 Service in the new fee groups consisting 3 allocated costs are lower under the new methodology, 4 fee groups consisting by the Postal of CAG E-G and H-L offkes, where while box fees are higher in of CAG A-D offices, where allocated costs are higher. 4 II. 6 CURRENT POST OFFICE BOX FEES AND FEE GROUPS DO NOT ADEQUATELY REFLECT THE HIGHER COSTS OF PROVIDING BOX SERVICE IN LARGER CAG POST OFFICES, NOR THE LOWER COSTS OF SERVICE IN SMALLER OFFICES The Postal Service proposes to increase fees for all post office boxes in Fee 7 Groups A-D.’ a office box service and presents justifications 9 increases 10 The testimony of witness Needham (USPS-T-39) describes post for the Postal Service”s proposed fee The current post office box fee groups, designated A-E, were established in 11 Docket No. MC96-3 at the behest of the Postal Service.3 The testimony of witness 12 Lion (USPS-T-24) 13 number of boxes in use for each group. 14 office box fee groups “are now defined principally in terms of the fees paid.” 15 USPS-T-24 16 customer characteristics, 17 (OCAAJSPS-T24-2). describes the current fee groups and develops estimates of the According to witness Lion, the five post at 2. Fee groups generally “depend upon specified ZIP Codes, and type of carrier delivery service.” Tr. :3/1064 * USPS-T-39, Table 11, at 59. Fee Group E boxholders, those ineligible for any type of carrier delivery service, “pay” a fee of $0, and no fee increase is proposed by the Postal Service for these boxholders. 3 See PRC Op. MC96-3 at 47-48. 5 1 The testimony methodology of witness Lion also presents the Postal Service’s for allocating volume-variable post office box costs to develop test year before rates (TYBR) unit box costs. Witness Lion describes the allocation methodology generally: 5 three categories: 6 methodology 7 “Volume-variable costs are allocated to post office boxes in space provision, space support, and all other usirig the same as in Docket No. MC96-3.” USPS-T-24 at 3. The current post office box fee groups, and the Postal Service’s allocation 8 methodology, result in higher volume-variable unit costs for boxes in smaller post 9 offices, and lower unit box costs in larger offices, than if costs were allocated to IO boxes with greater consideration 11 based upon the Postal Service’s unit box costs are higher for boxholders 12 post offices than would otherwise be necessary 13 restructured costs were de-averaged 14 15 16 A. 17 18 and volume-variable to office location and size. Consequently, fees in smaller if current fee groups were based upon CAG. Postal Service Costs Are Higher In Larger CAG Post Offices Than In Smaller Offices The Postal Service classifies post offices by Cost Ascertainment Group (CAG).4 Post offices are classified from A-L (excluding the letter “I”) based upon the 4 Glossary of Postal Terms, Publication 6 32, April 1988, at 16 1 amount of revenue generated, 2 offices, defined as offices with 356,250 or more revenue units, generate the greatest 3 revenues, while CAG L offices, with 35 or fewer revenue units, generate the least.6 4 as measured by “revenue units.“’ C.AG A post For Fiscal Year 1996, the most recent year available, a revenue unit equals 5 $306.65.’ Consequently, 6 $109,244,063 7 generate ($306.65 a CAG A post office would generate l revenues of at least 356,250 revenue units), and a CAG L office would revenues less than or equal to $10,733 ($306.65 l 35 revmenue units). Average postal rental costs are higher in larger post offices, as measured by CAG 8 9 10 1. 11 Witness Lion acknowledges that average postal rental costs are higher in 12 CAG A, B and C post offices than average postal rental costs in CAG K and L post 13 offices. 14 conclusion. 15 16 17 Tr. 3/l 173 (OCAIUSPS-T24-85). Postal Service data support this In Docket No. R90-1. Postal Service data revealed:’ there is a significanf relafionship between the CAG designation of a facility and its associated square-foot rent (e.g. CAG A offices have higher rents than CAG L offices). [emphasis added] 5 A revenue unit is “[T)he average amount of revenue per fiscal year from postal rates and fees for 1,000 pieces of originating mail and special service transactions.” Id. at 54. 6 See US Postal Service Handbook F-4, June 1992, at 22; for the range of revenue units defining each CAG. ’ Postal Bulletin 21940, February 27, 1997, at 51. a Docket No. R90-1, USPS Library Reference 7 F-183, at 2, n. 2. The Postal Service’s Library Reference concluded F-l 83, from that same do&et, further that “CAG A and B offtces tend to be located in higher-rent while CAG K and L offices tend to be located in lower-rent urban areas, rural areas.” Id. at 15. More recently, in Docket No. MC96-3, when average rental costs were again examined for post offrces classified by CAG, the data revealed an almost uniform decline in the average rental cost as the size of post office declinesg 7 8 2. Other postal costs are higher in larger CAG post offices 9 Aside from average postal rental costs, other costs vary by CAG, and are 10 higher in larger CAG offices. 11 costs are not incurred in smaller post offices. 12 mailhandlers 13 ofices, 14 virtually no mailhandlers, 15 in CAG F-L offices. 16 H or below. Two conditions are uniform nationwide, and proportionately produce this result. First, certain labor While the salaries and benefits of there are more mailhandlers more costs, than in lower offices.” and consequently in higher CAG In fact, there are almost no mailhandler Ibid. Similarly, there are virtually no supervisors Ibid. Hence, virtually no supervisor costs, to be found in offices CAG costs are incurred in such offices. ’ Docket No. MC96-3, Tr. E/2916. Response of United States Postal Service to Interrogatory of the Office of the Consumer Advocate, OCA/USPS-88. ” Tr. 13/7040-46. OCAAJSPS-TS1 l-l 3, Attachment 1, at 1, revised September 25, 1997. The cited material isn’t limited to information on mailhandlers. but includes information on postmasters and supervisors, too. 8 1 Second, certain other costs, while present in all post offices, are incurred in 2 proportionally 3 postmaster 4 by CAG. Tr. 13/7069 (OCAAJSPS-T24-66b). 5 salary for postmasters in CAGs K-L was $39,309, while the average salary for CAG 6 A-G postmasters 7 K-L postmasters. 8 9 10 11 12 B. greater amounts in higher versus lower CAG offices. salaries and benefits are dependent, For example, in part, on CAG and therefore vary In Fiscal Year 1996, the average was $55,220 -- 40 percent greater than the average salary of CAG Tr. 13/7061 (OWVUSPS-T5-37). The Postal Service’s Methodology For Allocating Certain Post Office Box Volume-Variable Costs Does Not Recognize Higher Costs In Larger Post Offices And Lower Costs In Smaller Offices In developing unit box costs, the Postal Service allocates volume-variable 13 Space Provision costs to post office boxes utilizing an average postal rental cost for 14 fee groups, and assigns an average of All Other costs to all boxes 15 Space Provision costs, the use of an average rental cost to distribute such costs 16 does not recognize the wide variation in rental cost by CAG within Fee Groups C 17 and D. In the case of All Other costs, assigning 18 not recognize the fact that some costs are proportionately 19 post offices, or not incurred at all in smaller CAG offices. 9 In the case of an average cost to all boxes does greater in larger CAG 1. 5 Allocating volume-variable Space Provision costs to post office boxes using average postal rental costs for fee groups masks widely different rental costs by CAG in Fee Groups C and D Volume-variable Space Provision costs are allocated to boxes, in part, upon 6 the average postal rental cost for each fee group. 7 each delivery group is computed 8 each facility in each delivery group. 9 average rent for each fee group is calculated First, the average rental cost for as an average of the rental cost per square foot for Tr. 311067 (OCAIUSPS-T24-5). as the weighted Second, the average of boxes IO installed by delivery group, using the percentages 11 Space Provision costs are then allocated in direct proportion to a measure of box 12 capacity and rental cost per square foot for each fee group. USP,S-T-24 at 20. 13 in Table 5 of USPS-T-24.” In the case of Fee Groups A and B, rental costs are computed from the 14 average of facilities’ rental costs per square foot in designated 15 Fee Group A consists of ZIP Codes in Manhattan, 16 consists of ZIP Codes in eight large cities and some surrounding 17 contrast, the city-other and non-city delivery groups, which form the basis of Fee 18 Groups C and D, respectively, do not represent high-cost ZIP Codes. New York, and Fee Group B rent-homogeneous suburbs.‘2 groupings. ” See USPS LR-188, at 15, 15A and 15B, revised August 11, 1997 ” See Section D910.5.3., DMM 52, July 1, 1997. 10 By 1 Table 1 shows the average postal rental cost by CAG for city-other and non- 2 city delivery offices. For both delivery groups, there is a wide disparity in average 3 rental costs by CAG. 4 CAG A offices ($8.98) is more than double that of CAG L offices ($4.37). 5 non-city group, the average rental cost for CAG C offices is 32 percent 6 ($7.46/$5.65-l) 7 is more than 49 percent ($8.43/$5.65-l) In the city-other delivery group, the average rental cost for In the greater than for CAG L offices, while the average for CAG E offices :able I. Average CAG A B C D E F G H J K L TOTAL greater when compared to CAG L offices. Rental Cost by CAG for City-Other Ciq Ieliveh Offices City-Other Offices 1,005 576 988 448 691 659 911 470 142 144 16 1 6,050 Average tental Cosi ($lsq.ft.) $8.98 $9.02 $9.41 $8.57 $7.80 $7.11 $6.01 $5.21 $4.77 $4.44 $4.37 $7.73 t T Non-City Offices 0 3 12 16 87 268 1,166 2,431 3,517 5,971 699 14,170 and NonIverage tental Cod 16kq.ft.) 1 $3 $7.46 $7.31 $8.43 $7.90 $7.07 $6.26 $5.82 $5.70 $5.65 $6.00 8 9 By contrast, average rental costs by CAG show greater similarity across 10 delivery groups. Average rental costs vary in a range from 8 percent ($8.43/$7.80- 11 1) for CAG E offices to 29 percent ($5.65/$4.37-l) 11 for CAG L offices. The 1 percentage 2 percent ($7.73/$6.00-l). difference in average rental cost for each delivery group is also 29 3 4 5 6 2. 7 All Other volume-variable Allocating an average of All Other volume-variable costs to post office boxes generates unit box costs that are too low for larger post offices and too high for smaller offices in all fee groups costs consist primarily of labor costs. 8 at 19. Under the Postal Service’s methodology, 9 proportionately these cost are allocated to the number of boxes since, it is reasoned, 10 depend upon box size or location.” 11 regard to office location or size, results in $6.69 ($104,580,000 12 being distributed 13 “labor costs do not Id. at 20. This proportional alllocation, without /15,620,769 by the Postal Service to all boxes in the TYBR. The Postal Service’s proportional USPS-T-24 boxes) Id. at 24. allocation of All Other cos.ts to boxes 14 ignores the fact that certain costs do vary by CAG. As discussed 15 postmasters 16 supervisor 17 Nevertheless, 18 costs even to those offices that have no mailhandlers 19 them. The effect of allocating 20 increases 21 larger CAG offices. costs vary by CAG, and it is not reasonable costs in offices in which they are not located. the Postal Service’s approach Ipreviously, to expeci, mailhandler See supa, allocates mailhandler or supervisors and II. A. 2. and supervisors working in an average cost to all post office boxes unfairly unit box costs in smaller CAG offices and reduces such costs relative to 12 C. 5 Post Office Box Fees Based Upon Current Fee Groups And The Postal Service’s Cost Allocation Methodology Results In Unjustifiably Higher Fees In Smaller Post Offices And Fees That Are Too Low In Larger Offices The Postal Service’s methodology of averaging higher cost, high CAG post 6 offices with lower cost, low CAG offices has the effect of inappropliiately 7 volume-variable 8 variable unit box costs for larger offices. For Fee Groups C and D, the use of 9 average postal rental costs for allocating Space Provision costs to boxes masks unit box costs in smaller offices and concomitantly raising lowering volume- 10 differences 11 average rental costs than lower CAG offices. 12 methodology 13 unjustly increases unit box costs in smaller CAG offices and reduces such costs for 14 larger CAG offices. 15 in average rental costs by CAG. That is, higher CAG offices have higher Similarly, the Postal Service’s of allocating an average of All Other costs to all post office boxes Post offtce box fees based on these average costs would nlscessarily mean 16 that box fees are too high in smaller CAG post offices, while box fees are too low in 17 larger CAG ofices. 13 5 6 7 III. CURRENT POST OFFICE BOX FEE GROUPS SHOULD BE RESTRUCTURED TO BETTER REFLECT DIFFERING COSTS OF LARGER AND SMALLER POST OFFICES A. Fee Groups C And D Should Be Restructured Post Offices I propose to restructure 8 9 groups. Based Upon ‘The CAG Of The post office box fee groups by creating six new fee Three new fee groups would be formed from the current Fee Group C and 10 three from current Fee Group D, based upon CAG. CAG A-D post offices in Fee 11 Groups C and D would become new Fee Groups C-l and D-l, respectively. 12 G post offices in each fee group would become new Fee Groups C-II and D-II, 13 respectively. 14 new Fee Groups C-III and D-III, respectively. 15 the current fee groups would serve as a prerequisite 16 groups, and thereby eliminating 17 a future proceeding. CAG E- The remaining CAG H-L post offices in each fee group would become This parallel grouping of CAGs from to merging the six new fee a separate fee structure for Fee Groups C and D, in 18 19 1. Fee Groups C and D are similar in fundamental 20 There is a general recognition ways, that Fee Groups C and D are fundamentally 21 similar. In Docket No. MC96-3, the difficulty of pricing post office boxes with a single 22 rate structure where costs are essentially the same was stated succinctly: 14 1 2 3 4 5 When areas are categorized and prices are set to reflect average cost differences some of the resulting prices may seem irrational, as when a suburban area and a rural area are in close proximity and have essentially the same costs, but have different rates.13 6 In this docket, the Postal Service’s fee proposal for Fee Groups C and D is 7 premised, in part, on a recognition 8 respect to costs and service 9 Needham, that there are “similarities .” USPS-T-39 in Groups C and D with at 65. According to witness Fee Groups C and D are similar in that both consist of offices providing 10 carrier delivery service, either city or rural. Tr. 3/688-89. Moreover, “there really is 11 no difference 12 costs for these 13 are evident in the testimony 14 costs for providing box service in Fee Group D are approximately 15 than in Fee Group Cl4 Table 1 shows similarities 16 Average rental costs by CAG show greater similarity between the city-other and 17 non-city delivery groups, which form the basis of Fee Groups C and D. than within 18 these delivery groups. in the type of box service and very minimal differences two fee groups.” in the type of Tr. 3/691. These “minimal differences” in costs of witness Lion, which shows that Postal Service unit ‘IO percent less in cost from another perspective. See supra, II. B. 1. ‘3 Docket No. MC96-3, Tr. 7/2296-97, Direct Testimony of OCA Witness Roger Sherman, OCA-T-100. ‘4 USPS-T-24, Table 13, at 27, revised October 1, 1997. 15 1 These similarities establishing in cost suggest that merging Fee Groups C and D, and three fee groups based upon CAGs A-D, E-G and H-L, would produce more rent-homogeneous fee groups than the current fee groups.‘!’ However, I did not take this step at this time because of my concern about substantial increases for affected boxholders. fee See infra. V. A. 6 7 8 2. 9 In the alternative, 10 creating more rent-homogeneous 11 cost for offices in the city-other and non-city delivery groups displayed 12 D, E-G and H-L. The first two columns under the headings “City-Other” 13 City” offices replicate the same office and average rental cost data1 by CAG from 14 Table 1. The last column under each heading shows the “Weighted 15 Cost ($ISq.Ft.)” when offices are grouped by CAGs A-D, E-G and H-L. Restructuring Fee Groups C and D based upon CAGs A-D, E-G and H-L produces more rent-homogeneous fee groups Fee Groups C and D were separately fee groups. restructured by CAG, Table 2 shows the #average rental 16 Average rental costs for each grouping 17 than the average for the delivery group as a whole. by CAGs Aand “Non- Average Rental by CAG are more rent-homogeneous For city-other offices, the ” See OCA-LR2 at 15, which shows the average rental costs when the cityother and non-city delivery offices are combined by CAG. 16 Table 2. Weighted Averaae Rental Cost for City-Other and Non-City I s by CAG I 1 on-Citv Offices 1 Weighted Average Average t Flental Cos tF tental Cost 1 ($/Sq.Ft.) cMites ($ISq.Ft.) (WSq.Ft.) $2.99 0 $1.72 8E3 3 $7 $3.08 12 $7.46 $2.89 I 16 $7.31 _ $3.77 31 $7.24 87 $8.43 $0.48 268 $7.90 $1.39 $2.42 1,166 $7.07 _ $5.42 1,521 $6.88 $7.30 2,431 $6.26 $3.17 $1.21 3,517 $5.82 $1.62 $5.70 5,971 $2.70 699 $5.65 $0.31 12,618 $5.84 1 CAG A B C D E F G CLffices 1 ($/Sq.Ft.) 1,005 I $8.98 576 $9.02 988 $9.41 --911 2,261 470 H J K L ,$6.01 $5.21 2 3 weighted 4 for the smallest offices, CAGs H-L. This compares to an average rental cost for all 5 city-other offices of $7.73. 6 average rental cost for the largest offices, CAGs A-D, is $9.07, and $4.96 In restructuring See Table 1. Fee Groups C and D, the grouping of offices according to 7 CAG A-D to form new Fee Groups C-l and D-l was suggested 8 grouping 9 determined of CAG offices in the “City-B” delivery group. the other two groupings to me by the same See OCA-L.R-2 at 11. I of offices by CAG, which form new Fee Groups 17 1 C-II and D-II, and C-III and D-III, by dividing the remaining “Average Rental Costs 2 ($ISq.Ft.)” 3 4 B. by two dollar increments. The Development Of Base Year And Post-MC96-3 Estimates Of The Number Of Boxes In Use Is Similar To The Approach Followed By The Postal Service 5 1. 6 7 Development of the Base Year estimates of the number of boxes in use involves introduction of CAG groupings 8 9 Table 3 shows the estimated number of boxes installed by the type of carrier 10 delivery service offered. 11 carrier delivery group as, Table 1 of USPS-T-24.‘6 Table Box Size 1 2 3 4 5 TOTAL City-A 35,535 1,987 1,162 118 51 38,853 Table 3 is analogous 3. Estimated Carrier City-B 58,079 16,525 5,899 1,154 747 82,404 Number Delivery City-Other 4,201,907 2,028,034 718,205 170,547 40,696 7.159,389 to, and uses the sarne definition of of Boxes Group Installed Non-city 3,577,136 1,548,797 411,307 35,300 6,680 5,579,220 ” The totals by box size and for each carrier delivery group are similar to the figures in Table 1 of witness Lion’s testimony. I used data contained in Postal Service Library Reference H-278, which was provided in response to OCAWSPST24-86, Tr. 3/l 174. The data in LR-H-278 reflects the September 1997 Delivery Statistics File (DSF), the most recent data available. Consequently. the data by box size and delivery group are different from those contained in the testimony of witness Lion, who utilized the June 1997 DSF. See USPS LR-H-278 at 2. 18 1 2 Table 4 shows the estimated number of boxes in use by carrier delivery group, and is analogous to witness Lion’s Table 2 Table 4. Estimated Number of Boxes in Carrier Delivery Group Box Size 1 2 3 4 5 TOTAL City-A 26,350 1,644 922 96 28 29,040 City-B 49,829 11,966 4,309 674 678 67,456 City-other 3,498,063 1,483,084 491,133 104,946 21,979 5,599,205 Non-city 2,928,396 1,217,569 318,872 25,503 2 829 -2. 4,493,169 3 4 Table 5 presents the “expansion factors” by carrier delivery group that are 5 used to estimate the number of boxes in use, pre-MC96-3. 6 witness Lion’s testimony, 7 each grouping by CAG in the city-other, non-city and nondelivery 8 groups. 9 The expansion Unlike Table 3 in however, Table 5 also shows the expansion factors for carrier delivery factors, based on the number of boxes installed from two data 10 sources, the Delivery Statistics File (DSF) and the Post Office Box Survey (POB 11 Survey), are calculated 12 then used to “expand” the number of boxes in use obtained from the POB Survey in 13 Table 4 to estimate the number of boxes in use prior to Docket No, MC96-3 as the ratio of column [a] to column [b].17 These factors are ” See USPS-T-24 at 6-7 19 roup Expansion Factor GRAND TOTAL ITotal 1 1 1,709,8701 19,857,0641 [cl -~_. 2.68664 2.46606 1.656% 1.32457 1.19272 1.50433 1.56726 1.42562 ~_____ 1.20248 1.26721 2.40962 1.45768 1.24114 1,331,0991 1.28456 1.39928 14,190,9651 1 2 Table 6 displays the results of applying the expansion factors to the 3 estimated number of boxes in use from Table 4. Totals are presented for each CAG 4 grouping within the city-other, 5 the total for each carrier delivery group. 6 USPS-T-24, non-city and non-delivery carrier delivery groups, and This table is analogous with the addition of CAG groups. 20 to Table 4 in p, Pre MC96-3 Total 5,252,863 2,249,833 747,219 161,947 34,646 8,446,508 Total 3,711,735 1,555,055 408,233 33,525 3,729 5,712.278 Box Size 1 2 3 4 5 Total GRAND TOTAL 1 2 3 CAG A-D 6,361 4,595 1,523 164 53 12,696 Nondelivery CAG E-G 200,871 62,785 16,268 2,294 197 282,415 Table 7 presents the assumptions CAG H-L 747,141 247,869 58,3i i 2,811 319 .,..1,056,451 Total 954,373 315,249 76,102 5,269 569 1,351,562 15,754,314 for allocating post oftice boxes to fee groups resulting from Docket No. MC96-3. As in Table 5 of witnes.s Lion’s 21 1 testimony, 2 classified post offices and contract stations who are ineligible for carrier delivery 3 service, and thus entitled to a post office box at no fee. Table 7 also extends the 4 subgroup 5 etc.) used by witness Lion to indicate eligible and ineligible customers, 6 these assumptions naming convention are used to estimate the number of customers in (e.g., “C” and “E-O;” “D-l” and “E-l;” “D-2” and “E-2;” In the non-city delivery group, Table 7 shows the percent of eligible and 7 ineligible customers a For example, “D-l” represents 9 CAG A-D classified offices in the non-city delivery group, while “D..2” represents 10 subgroup in classified offices and contract stations by C:AG groupings. the subgroup of customers eligible for delivery from of eligible customers from CAG A-D contract stations 11 22 the 1 Because offices are grouped by CAG, separate estimates of the percentage 2 of eligible and ineligible customers from classified offices and contract stations are 3 necessary. 4 Table 7A. These percentages, shown in column [a] of Table 7, are developed Table 7A. Development of Assumptions Offices and Contract in on Percent of Boxes at Classified Stations by CAG G T 5 6 Tables EA-C show the estimated number of boxes in use, pre-MC96-3. 7 tables result from applying the percentages 8 boxholders to the estimated The for eligible and ineligible delivery service boxes in use found in Table 6. Table 8A summarizes 23 1 the number of boxes in use for Fee Groups A, B and C. Fee Grou,p C is the sum of 2 three subgroups 3 which is the sum of nine subgroups. 4 Group E. by CAG. Table 8B provides the same information for Fee Group D, Table EC shows the same information 24 for Fee Table 8A. Estimated Box I Size 1 I ; 1 3 4 5 Total I A I 1 1 I B 7"7911 751 78,0201 Boxes in Use, Pre-MC96-3 Fee Groups 1 C [A-D] I I I 1 C[E-G] 1 1~908~5191 744,6191 238,557( 44.5121 6,145/ 2.942,351/ C[H-L] 1 'I0C-G 46,646 15,088 4 WV, "5% 212.4731 173SR71 31431flnI I;6681 165.9461 1,436,070 486,102 114.234 27,6331 5,207.2181 Total C z='nn'qb 2,227.334 739,747 ,G" 1754 - 1, -34,300 8,362,043 Table 86. Estimated Box Size 1 2 3 4 5 Total I I D-l 32,678 20,025 6,889 1,044 152 60,788 I I D-3 1,005.613 474,611 127,523 14,370 1.603 1,623.721 D-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 I D4 14,070 6,640 1,784 201 22 22.718 Table 8C. Estimated Box Size 1 2 3 4 5 Total I I E-O 52,529 22,498 7,472 1,619 346 84,465 I E-l 667 409 141 21 3 1,241 I E-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 Boxes in Use, Pre-MC96-3 Fee Groups I I I I D-5 D-6 D-7[A-D] D-7[E-G] 2.403.846 5,865 4,453 140,610 941,724 2,298 3,217 43,950 242,377 591 1,066 11,387 15,108 37 115 1,606 1,640 4 37 136 3,604.695 8,795 8.887 197,691 D-7[H-L] 522,999 173,508 40.818 1,968 223 739,516 60 xes in Use, Pre-MC96-3 Fee Groups I I E-3 20,523 9,686 2,603 293 33 33,137 I E-4 126.629 59,764 16.058 1,810 202 204,462 25 4,946 308 4 5,322 332 36 79,155 --t E-7 286.312 94,575 226,8301 59,373 5,964 824 881,494 4 I Total D 4.130,134 1,665.973 432,435 34,449 3,820 6,266.811 1 2 3 2. 4 Tables 9A-E show the estimated The post-MC96-3 groupings estimated number of boxes in use :shows CAG number of boxes in use resulting from fee 5 changes in Docket No. MC96-3. 6 the Commission’s 7 the results for Fee Groups A and B. Table 9B presents the estimate for Fee Group 8 C, with the results displayed 9 the estimates for Fee Group D. maintaining elasticities The post-MC96-3 estimate is derived by applying for each box size in each fee group.lE Table 9A shows separately for each grouping by CAG. Table 9C shows separate estimates for the effects of 10 price increases for each grouping by CAG. Table 9D presents the results for Fee 11 Group E. Table 9E summarizes 12 boxes, and for caller service and reserve call numbers. the estimates by fee group in terms of paid and free ‘* See PRC Op. MC96-3, Appendix D, Schedule No. R97-1, USPS-T-24, Tables 7A-D, at 12-15. 26 3, at 17. See also Docket tr Table 9A. Estimated Boxes in Use I: e A 2 3 4 5 $74 $128 $210 $348 1 2 3 4 $44 $66 $112 $190 $74 $128 $242 $418 0% 0% 15% 20% $44 $66 $112 $218 0% 0% 0% 15% 67 77,992 122.582 291437 10,600 1,532 Total A B - 29,437 10,600 1,658 -0.603 -0.517 -0.517 I 1 Table 9B. Estimated Boxes in Use by Fee Group, Post-lklC96-3 Fee Group C Box 1 Pre 96-3 1 Post 96-3 1 Pet. 1 Pre 96-3 1 Elasti- 1 Post 96-3 744,619 238,557 44.512 -0.605 -0.517 -0.517 744,619 238,557 44.512 Subtotal C[E-G] 1.502 I 15,088 TotalC 1 : 27 -0.517 I 1.562 I 15,088 Fee Group CAG D-l Classified eligible -- Subtotal D-2 Contract eligible Subtotal D-3 Classified eligible Fee Group D Box 1Pre 96-3 1Post 96-3 1 Pet. Size1 Fees 1 Fees IChangc 1 I $121 50% $81 1 b A-D 110441 -0.1521 '152 -0.152 60,788 -0.054 -- ‘9631 0 A-D -- E-G Subtotal D-4 Contract eligible 6,640 1,784 201 E-G --Subtotal D-5 Classified eligible --Subtotal D-6 Contract eligible H-L -- H-L -- Subtotal 28 -0.069 -0.036 -0.024 2,507 690 76 22,7:i~ij;<~ 23403.846 -0.085 .941;724 -0.136 242,377 -0.152 15,108 -0.152 2.301.744 .872;844 223,931 13,925 Table 9C. t-r D-7 Nondelivery eligible 1 A-D 2 3 4 5 $13 $24 $35 $55 $20 $36 $53 $83 1 5:: $12 $20 $36 $53 583 50%'-' 54% 50% 51% 51% 512 520 $36 553 $83 50%54% 50% 51% 51% I,,,,,,-- D-7 Nondelivery eligible 2 3 4 5 E-G $24 $35 555 1 2 3 4 5 51$! 524 535 555 54% 50% 51% 51% ._-,,.- 4,453, 3,217 1,066, 1158 -0.054 -0.069 -0.036 -0.024 4,334 3,097 1,047 113 -0.069 -0.036 -0.024 421313 11,182 1.586 n-l 43,9501 11,387 1.606, ..___. _-~~ 1 1,665,973 432,435 34,449 2 3 4 5 - 29 1,547,132 401,341 31,865 Table 9D. Estimated Boxes in Use by Fee Group, Post-MC&3 sticity 30 Post 96-3 Boxes 52,529 22,498 7,472 1,619 346 84,465 667 409 141 21 3 1,241 0 0 0 0 0 0 20,523 9,686 2,603 293 33 33,137 126,629 59,764 16,058 1,810 202 204,462 49,058 19,219 4,946 308 33 73,565 3-3(continued) 4 5 5,964 824 881,494 TOME 1 31 52,786 20,679 5,322 332 36 79,155 286,312 94,575 22,831 1,581 171 405,469 588,503 226,830 59,373 5,964 824 881,494 1 2 C. The Test Year Before Rates And After Rates Estimates Of The Number of Boxes In Use And Revenues Reflect The New Fee Groups 3 4 Table 10 reconfigures 5 groups. 6 computed 7 USPS-T-24 the post-MC96-3 fee groups into the iproposed new fee The test year before rates (TYBR) number of boxes in use is also by applying the Postal Service’s 1.9 percent growth facbor. See at 16. Total C-l Total C-II 32 5 Total D-III E Total E GRAND TOTAL 1 2 3 4 5 1,736 4.137,645 588,503 226,830 59,373 5,964 824 881,494 15,431,749 1,769 4,216,260 599,685 231,140 60,501 6,078 840 898,243 15,724,952 1 2 Fee Groups A and B are the same as the post-MC96-3 into the proposed fee groups. 3 Groups C and D are reconfigured 4 C-III and D-l, D-l, and D-III. C-l and D-l consist of CAG A-D post offices, 5 representing new Fee Groups C-l, C-II and the largest post offices in the current Fee Groups C and D, 33 Fee respectively. New Fee Groups C-II and D-II consist of medium-sized post offices, CAG E-G, while C-III and D-III consist of the smallest post offices, CAG H-L. Tables 1 IA and B show the development revenues in the TYAR. of the estimated boxes in use and Table 1 IA shows the proposed fees, and presents the TYAR boxes in use, revenues, and the change in revenues from the test year before rates to the test year after rates for the new fee groups. Table 11 El summarizes the 7 estimated boxes in use and revenues in the TYAR by paid and free boxes, and for 8 caller service and reserve call numbers. 9 million to a total of 5690 million. Revenues are estimated to increase 573 34 Table Ilk Estimated Boxes in Useb aa,279,34a fi ,912,715 5165,564,lll D-H 1 2 3 4 I2 I 3 4 5 TotalE 512 520 536 553 50 50 50 -? 516 530 564 560 id 50 50 1.131.135 493,926 132,154 15,190 50% 50% 50% 51% I -0.054 -0.069 -0.036 -0.024 231:1401 60,501 6,076 840 898,243 1,100,637 476,645 129,769 15,001 I 231;1401 898,243 35 513.573.626 59,878,524 54,75?,533 5605,066 SOI 5477,900 5109,370 --$6,676,302 $6,056,375 $2.756.664 $1.598.978 5277,319 5153,165 $10.844.702 5624,544 $621,696 5524,117 5113,376 529,495 52.313.232 50 50 50 50 50 50 $388,936 5360.320 5252,247 555,270 514,517 51.091.292 $19.815.069 514.305.336 57.007.536 51.200.115 56.241.444 54.426.614 52.250.003 5395,027 501 501 New Fee Groups BOX Size IPaidBoxes Free Boxes (E) TOTAL BOXES Caller Service Reserve Numbers GRAND TOTAL Table 116. Estimated Boxes in Use by Fee Groups, TYAR All Fee Groups plus Caller Service and Reserve Numbers Current Proposed Pet. OCA TYBR ElastiOCA WAR F-S Boxer city FeSS Chg. Boxes I I I I I I 1 1 I 1 14.826.7091 1 13.251.562i 5570.671.113~ 898,243 898,243 5oj 15.724.952 14.149.825 5570.671,113,, 540.926.917; 90,747 -0.431 82.161 $451 5550 22% 33% 530 MO 162,113 -0.517 150.749 55.463.379: 15.997.812 14.362,735 $617.061.409~ 1 36 5636.617.3321 so $636.617.332 $45,166,466 56.029.976 5690.035.776 568.146.219 I '~'50 568146,219 $4261.551 $566,597 572.974.367 IV. POST OFFICE BOX VOLUME-VARIABLE COSTS SHOULID BE ALLOCATED SO THAT HIGHER COSTS ASSOCIATED WITH tARGER OFFICES ARE DISTRIBUTED TO BOXES IN THOSE OFFICES A. 9 POST Space Provision Costs Should Be Allocated Based Upon Average Rental Costs For The New Fee Groups To Better Reflect Costs In I-arger And Smaller Post Offices In developing unit box costs, I allocate Space Provision costs in direct 10 proportion to both a measure of box size (capacity) and the particullar average rental 11 cost per square foot for each respective fee group. 12 approach followed by witness Lion. See USPS-T-24 13 is formed by the product of the average postal rental cost for each fee group and the 14 equivalent 15 This is the same general at 20. However, my allocation capacity by box size. Table 12 shows the allocation of Space Provision costs to derive the total 16 cost by box size and the unit box costs in the TYBR. 17 in column [e], “Rent x Equivalent Capacity.” 37 The distribution key is shown Table 12. Allocation .I.~~~ I I NBR Boxes I 14 1 5 Total A B II I of Space Provision Costs by New Fee Groups, NBR New Fee Groups Average CaDacitv Eauivalent Rent 1 Fktor* 1 damcihr 1 ($/sq. ft.) 2421 69 79,474 124,912 61 12 1.12 1 1,453) 824 88,739 124,912 $23.491 $23.49 $23.49 $16.74 34.1;!61 $410 $288.99 --$5,155 $30,54 538.884 Sl2,14 $26:6i9 %18,21 $18,041 $36,42 $8,4791 $ 72.84 1 1.5 1 I : 1 ~~~:i~:I;I 1,486 013 698;4261 $9.07 $9.071 I 3 6 12 1.50 1 33.1031 22,656 6,578 2,165 100,803 1,131,135 $7.231 $7.23 $7.23 $7.23 $7.23 $7.29 121 I.341 19.8621 2.379,4901 1 2 3 4 5 Total D-l D-II 1 1 I 1 5 1 Total D-II 22:0691 7:552 1,096 180 67,198 1.131.135 ;:6551 ) 1.774,0611 1.51 $461 $188.691 ‘:;;j;;:fl;l 239,317l 163,768 47,557 15,655 728,749 8,241,234 $3201 $14.521 $219 $29,04 $64 $58,07 $21 $116.14 $976 $14.52 $11,033 $9.75 $7.227 $14.63 i29.26 Y 1 The development of the “Average Rent ($/sq.fl.)” in Table 12: is shown in Tables 12A-B. Table 12A presents, installed, the conversion weighted based upon the estimated number of boxes of the average postal rental costs by delivery group into the average rental costs for the new fee group. Table 12B develops the number of boxes installed for each new fee group, using the percentages Table 7. The average rents for the new fee group are simply the weighted shown in average of boxes installed by delivery group, which are shown on the last row of Table 12A. 39 CARRIER DELIVERY GROUPS I I Classified Contract Classified Contract NONDELIVERY CAG CAG CAG CAG l----i I j6,542,08i ICAG A-D I 3,790,060 330,202 6,542:087 3,790,060 330,202 $9.07 $6.88 $496 949:911i 512:9611 19.857,064[ $7.191 $7.19 E-G E-G H-L H-L i CAG A-D CAG E-G CAG H-L I 3,790.060/ $23.4! $6.88 40 I 949.9111 330.2021 $4.96 I 1 512.9611 80,208~2.160.591]5.552.455~1,094.359~ $7.23 $7.29 $6.07 $6.98 A B 104,384 202,719 D-l Boxes lnsta.lled Boxes Installed 107,700 6,542,087 3,790,060 D-3 D-2 69,019 E-O Table 128. Estimated Fee Groups C [A-D] C[E-G] D-4 0 1,898,222 E-l 1,409 26,559 Boxes Installed Total C C[H-L] 330,202 -Fee tiroups ^ D-5 4,591,342 Fee Groups E-3 E-4 E-2 0 38,739 by CAG by Fee Group 10,662,349 I D-6 11,202 E-5 239,028 41 93,701 DJ[A-D] 11,188 E-6 100,821 D-7[E-G] 235,810 E-7 512,961 D-7[H-L] 949,911 Total E 1,094,359 Total D 7,793,253 1 2 3 4 B. 5 6 A Portion Of All Other Costs Should Be Allocated To The New Fee Groups Based Upon Groupings By CAG To Better Reflect Costs In Larger And Smaller Post Offices I allocate a portion of All Other costs to boxes by CAG. Tablle 13 summarizes the allocation of All Other costs and the development Table 13. Summary of Allocation I INew Fee 1 Box 1 Groups Size A 1 I5 Total B C-l I 1 2 3 4 5 Total C-l C-II 1 2 3 4 MBR Boxes --la] Post- 1 “:%s WO) __ 72,130 1,524 168,795 3.202.901 1,463,355 495,338 116,404 28,158 5,306.156 1.944.781 758,767 243,090 45,357 of TYBR unit box costs of All Other Costs by New Fee G~~DUPS,TYBR New Fee Groups I I I I 1SupervisorI~ailhandlerlNOdb;CtsAGI Costs (000) Costs (000) [cl Lb1 50 50 50 50 50 SO $2 50 50 53 5105 $48 $16 $4 51 5173 5336 $131 542 $8 1 Cost per 1 WI 852 $3 $2 50 50 $50 591 $22 $154 510 55 51 50 $170 $266 $64 51 $122 $2.321 $1.060 $359 $84 $20 $3,845 $1,409 5550 $176 533 $3 $361 56.859 42 $11,363 $8 $878 516.667 $27,611 $12 $1,365 525.951 $8.08 $8.08 58.10 TYBR Icontinued) $294 5179 $61 59 $1 $545 $6,839 $2,986 $799 592 510 $10,725 $16,034 $5,928 $1,505 590 510 $23,568 $3,470 $1,341 5351 535 55 $5,210 5104,580 There are two types of costs to be allocated. One type of cost is allocated $8.11 $8.11 $8.11 $8.11 %E.ll $8.11 $6.05 $6.05 $6.05 $6.05 5605 $6,05 $5.59 $5.59 $5,59 $5.59 $5.59 $5.59 $5.80 $5.80 $5.80 55.80 $5.80 $5.80 $6~65 by CAG. The second type of cost, which cannot be allocated by CAG, is allocated proportionately to the number of boxes in the same manner as performed by witness Lion. See USPS-T-24 6 7 Postmaster at 24. costs are allocated according to the distribution CAG. Table 13A presents the allocation of postmaster 43 costs. ,of postmasters by 44 1 Table 13A. Distribution of Postmaster (continued) Costs to Boxes $133 $58 $16 $2 $2:: 1,108 $410 $104 $6 $1 1,628 $358 $138 $36 $4 $1 $536 3,183 1 2 Table 138 begins the process of allocating postmaster costs by CAG 3 Column [a] displays the number of offices by CAG in each fee group, and column [b] 4 computes the percent of offices by CAG in each fee group to the total number of 5 offices by CAG. For example, the data show 29 CAG A offices in Fee Group A, 6 which represents 2.55 percent (2911,136) of the total number of offices in CAG A 7 The percentages computed 6 employees 9 example for postmasters, in column [b] are used to distribute the number of in each CAG to the CAG levels in each fee group. Continuing I estimate that there are two CAG A postmasters 45 the in Fee Group A, as shown in column [cl. This represents postmasters. The resulting percentages, 0.01 percent (2/26,403) displayed in column [d], od postmasters each CAG level are then used to distribute total postmaster each CAG level in the fee groups. group and transferred of all costs of $3,163,000 The amounts so distributed at to are totaled by fee to Table 13A, where the totals are allocated proportionately by box size in each fee group. ‘able 138. Distribution New Fee koups CAG of Postmasters Percent ofTotal CAG Level Number of Offices lb1 [al Costs by CAG, and Index of Supervisors by-CAG Postmasters Supervisoic - Number by CAG Level ICI Percent at CAG Level WI Total Costs (000) Index of Employment at CAG Levf!l [el IfI 1 $1 $0 $3 1 1 1- - $8 $66 5173 1 1 1 1 1 - $161 $176 1 1 A 9 2 0.73% 0.30% -109 CAG K CAG L Total 5 2 21 0.02% 0.01% 1,053 637 1,213 638 92.53% 92.99% 97.74% 96.96% 68 163 661 545 1,437 0.26% 0.62% 2.50% 2.06% 1,228 1.264 91.23% 79.25% 1,334 1,456 5.05% 5.51% 136 23 809 1.68% 2.04% 151 28 946 0.57% 0.11% 520 580 518 53 $114 46 0 0 0 - and Mailhandlen Mailhandlers Index of Employment at -. CAG Level [91 ‘able 138. Distribution D-l 1 of Postmasters I I Costs by CAG, and Index of Supervisors by CAG (continued) New Fee Groups I I I and Mailhandler I 1 t -2 1049 1,449 1,276 1,729 43.06% 4.83% $154 $206 1 1 0 0 CAG A CAG B CAG C CAG D CAG E CAG F CAG G CAG H CAG J CAG K CAG L Total RAND TOTAL 0 1 5 1 12 37 149 314 712 2,219 462 3,912 25,484 The allocation different method. costs. 0.00% 0.15% 0.40% 0.15% 0.89% 2.32% 6.12% 10.40% 17.26% 27.35% 41.07% 0 0 3 1 13 43 181 374 813 2,456 561 4,445 26,403 of supervisor 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.05% 0.16% 0.69% 1.42% 3.08% 9.30% 2.12% 50 50 50 1 1 1 :; 1 5;; 1 0 0 0 0 0 $45 598 5296 566 5536 53,183 and mailhandler 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 costs by CAG is based on a Table 13C shows the allocation of supervisor and mailhandler In order to allocate such costs, however, I used an index to represent the employment, or the absence thereof, of supervisors CAG levels. This “Index of Employment,” consisting 47 and mailhandlers at certain of a “1” to indicate employment, 1 and a “0” to indicate no employment, 2 Where a 1 is assigned to all CAG levels in a fee group, a 1 is also assigned to the 3 fee group. 4 also assigned to that fee group. 5 by the TYBR number of boxes in each fee group to determine 6 “supervisor” 7 Table 13C. The percent of total “supervisor” a volume-variable 9 determined 10 is shown in Table 13B, columns [fl and [g]. Similarly, where a 0 is assigned to all CAG levels in a fee group, a 0 is The index number for each fee group is multiplied boxes and “mailhandler” supervisor volume-variable boxes, as shown in columns [:b] and [d] of boxes in column [c] is used to allocate costs of $7,531.000. mailhandler of Cost Segment 3 volume-variable the number of With respect to mailhandlers, costs to be $12,039,000, I or 16.63 percent, post office box costs of $71.527,000.‘9 Volume- ” See USPS LR-H-9 at 19-20. Total costs for Cost Segment 3 are $16.456 billion, of which 16.63 percent ($2.770/$16.456) are mailhandler costs. 48 1 variable mailhandler 2 “mailhandler” costs are then allocated based upon the percent of total boxes shown in column [e]. 49 Table 13C. Distribution of Supervisor and Mailhandler New 1 I I I I I Fee BOX NBR “Supervisor’ “Mailhandler” Groups Size Boxes Boxes Percent Boxes [b] [al WI 1I 0:69% 72,138 A 1 72,138 72,138 4,501 0.04% 4,501 2 4,501 2,524 0.02% 2,524 3 2,524 242 0.00% 4 242 69 0.00% 5 69 0.76% Total A 79,474 79,474 1.20% B 11 124,912 124,912 Total B C-l 1 2 3 1,561 1,524 168,795 3.202.901 1.463.355 495,338 I;561 1,524 168,795 3,202,901 1.463,355 0.02% 0.01% 1.62% 30.82% 14.08% 15 Total C-l C-II I 1 28,158 5.306,156 1,944,781 28,158 5,306,156 1,944,781 0.27% 51.05% 16.71% 1 5 6,262 2.998256 151,459 47,532 15,375 1,612 532 216,510 36,301 22,069 7,552 1,096 180 1 67,198l 6:262 2.998,256 0 0 0 0 0 0 36,301 22,069 7,552 1,096 180 67,198l 0.06% 28.85% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.35% 0.21% 0.07% 0.01% 0~00% 065%1 4 5 Total C-II C-III 1 2 3 4 5 Total C-III D-l 1 2 3 4 5 Total D-1. 50 3,202.901 1.463,355 0 0 0 36,301 22,069 7,552 1,096 180 67,1981 Costs lo Boxes I I 56.97% 26.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.65% 0.39% 0.13% 0.02% 0~00% 1.20%1 $144 2 3 4 5 Total E GRAND TOTAL 231,140 60,501 6.078 640 _...~~ 696,243 15,724,952 0 0 0 0 0 10.393,939 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% 0 0 0 0 0 5,621,622 0.00% cl.ao% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 100.00% $0 $0 ii $0 $0 $0 $0 $7,531 $12,039 1 The remaining costs, referred to as “non-CAG 2 3 proportionally 4 include $59,488,000 5 CAG costs is consistent 6 costs costs,” are allocated to the total number of boxes, as shown in Table 13D. Non-CAG costs of clerk costs from Cost Segment 3. The allo’cation of nonwith the methodology 51 used by witness Lion for All Other 52 Table 13D. Distribution of Costs by Box Sk 1 2 Table 14 shows the development 3 and the TYAR unit box costs. 4 the TYAR of 1.002067747. of the TYAR All Other costs by box size, I assumed a volume variability for All Other costs in See Tr. 13/7338-39 53 Table 14. Allocation New Fee Groups of All Other Costs to Boxes in New New Fee Groups Elasticity = I .002067747 Box OCA TYBR OCA NAR Size Boxes Boxes [al A 1 72,138 4,501 2,524 242 69 79,474 124,912 29,996 10,802 1,561 1,524 168,795 3,202.901 15 Total B C-l 1 1 NBR Total uw PI 50,960 3,186 1,892 197 57 56,293 96,390 22,055 8,410 1,295 1,285 129,434 2,534,252 NBR TYARTotal Cost Der All Other ICI $582,342 $36,333 $20,376 $1,955 $555 $641,561 $1,009,877 $242,513 $87,330 $12,620 $12.321 $1,364,661 $25,951,183 9,005,466 3.174,294 $750,108 $181,391 33,633,577 10,934,106 4,193,554 1,364,937 $255,063 $35,248 16.782,908 $867,950 $272,387 $88,106 $9,240 Total C-III ( 5321 216,5101 5321 216,510( All Other cost $3,0481 $1,240,731( 54 $8.10 $8.10 $8.10 $8.10 $8.10 $6.10 $6.10 $6.10 $6.10 $6.10 $6.10 $5.73 $5.73 $5.73 $5.73 C. Space Support Costs Should Be Allocated Used By The Postal Service Using The Same Methodology 4 5 6 I allocate Space Support costs on the basis of equivalent the same allocation methodology as presented 55 capacity. This is by witness Lion in IJSPS-T-24, and 1 in Docket No. MC96-3. 2 the development Table 15 shows the allocation of Space Support costs and of NBR Table 15. Allocation unit costs. of Space Support Costs to Boxes by New F 56 ~Table 15. Allocation 2 3 4 5 Total D-III E 1 2 3 4 1 5 Total E GRAND TOTAL 2 3 of Space Sup 1,060,532 269,261 16,184 1,769 4,216,260 599,685 231,140 60,501 6,078 840 898,243 15,724,952 Table 16 summarizes 1.5 3 6 12 1 1.5 3 6 12 1.31 Boxes by New Fee Groups, NBR 1,590,798 807,784 97,105 21,228 5,385,429 599,685 346,709 181,502 36,467 10,080 1,174,442 21,723.555 the unit volume-variable the test year before rates 57 box costs for the fee groups in -ee Groups, Cost Per Box 14 $52.41 $74.58 $141.08 $274.08 $540.09 $57.58 $43.39 $61.04 $113.99 $219.89 $431.70 $56.18 $33.13 $45.64 $83.18 $158.26 $308.42 $45.46 $28.20 $39.25 $72.39 $138.68 $271.26 $36.76 $25.26 $35.03 $64.33 $122.93 $240.13 $31.44 $30.68 $41.96 $75.81 $143.50 $278.89 $41.96 58 1 59 V. PROPOSED POST OFFICE BOX FEES SHOULD REFLECT THE HIGHER COSTS OF PROVIDING BOX SERVICE IN LARGER VERSUS SMALLER POST OFFICES, AND ENSURE A REASONABLE CONTRIBUTION TO INSTITUTIONAL COSTS 6 Under my proposal, post office box fees would increase for Fee Groups A, B, 7 C-l, C-II, D-l, D-II and D-III. No fee increase is proposed for Fee Group C-III, or the a $0 fee for Fee Group E boxholders. 9 Group A range from 32 to 56 percent, and from 30 to 46 percent in Fee Group B Proposed fee increases for boxholders in Fee 10 Proposed fees for new Fee Groups C-l and C-II would increase by 40 percent and 11 15 to 16 percent, respectively. 12 percent. 13 percent, respectively 24 For new Fee Group D-l, fees increase by 100 For new Fee Groups D-II and D-III, fees increase 50 to 51 percent and 25 I propose fee increases for caller service averaging 22 percent, and I propose 15 a 43 percent increase for reserve call numbers. 16 annual fees, the fees proposed 17 percentage Table 17 presents the current by the Postal Service, and my proposed fees. The change in fees is also presented. 60 OCA Percent Change [el 56% 49% 48% 36% 32% 48% 44% 43% 33% 30% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% __.-_- 15% 16% 15% 15% 15% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 61 wed) 50% 50% 50% 51% 51% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 2 3 4 5 , $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total E 1 2 Collectively, 3 revenues of $94.3 million. 4 cost coverage for my proposal are shown in Table 16, these changes result in a cost coverage of 116 percent and net The before rates and after rates revenues, costs and 62 I Table 18. Summary New FW Groups A OCA NER Current Proposed Boxes Fees Box Fees 72.138 548 575 BOX Size 1 1 5 TotalA 1 ( s 1 1 1 of Revenues 691 79.4741 124.912( $5501 544) $651 571 $28.7131 1 56,2g31 $420’“o”l 96.3901 I 1 I1.944.7811 5401 .--.- _,““” ,__- C-Ill Toy 0-i T-6, 1 2 3 4 5 c 111 151,459 47,532 15,375 1,612 532 *.e c.n 2 3 4 5 n-1 22:oi9 7,552 1,096 180 c7 <on 5104 5172 5288 553 583 54611.792.5311 540 558 5104 $172 520.3 $106 5166 NBIR and NAR 537.1001 531.6171 .a a-0 zqc, -, rvF _..“I + 35.393 0,85 541.238.949 526.147,755 1.41 1.4, $37 010 55.49 -, - - - - - - - -, -, -- $84.874.580 $81 1.112.183 C-II New Fee Groups, OCA NAR Boxes 50~960 54181 I and Costs. Proposed .I _.. r-- ^..~~-- ..-..918.088 590.086.804 5106,108,004 566.790.269 $100.679,139 563,939,049 577.79 PIIV,L”I.II, II”Y,Y”I,V”~ YIY.%d”-,III L.,.,I,-y, 151,459 47,632 15,375 1.612 532 -'- -.- 20,642 7,279 1.070 170 El I*= $6.056375 52.756.864 Sl.598.978 5277.319 5153.165 -'"%44.702 -435,608 5441,377 5271,869 558.107 $14.978 e. 114 m‘n 63 56.058.375 52.756.864 11.598.976 5277,319 $153,165 510.844.702 5824,544 $821,696 5524,117 S113.378 529,495 '",313,232 53826.400 51.665,052 5989,052 5198,200 5127,705 $6.806.408 5l.ll3.576 5925.982 5572,479 $157,328 550,327 52.819.693 Table 18. Summary D-II I Rf?SWW Number GRAND TOTAL 1 I 1.131.1351 162,113 of Revenues $121 Wtll $30 540 15.997.612 and Costs, Proposed New 1.100.6371 313.573.1 New Fee Groups, 150.749 $5.463.379 56.029.976 14.362.735 $617.061.409 $690.035.776 TYBR and NAR (continued) Tz?-trl $607.734.000 $595.694.00, $94.341.775 1 2 3 Table 19 compares the revenues, costs and cost coverage for the Postal Service’s proposal and my proposal. 1 Table 19. Comparison Post Office Box and Caller Service of Postal Service TYAR USPS Proposal I $683,362,079 costs $589,954,455 Net Revenues $93,407,624 Revenues Cost Coverage and OCA Prla $690,035,776 I 116% 64 116% 1.16 A. Proposed Averaged Fees And The New Fee Groups Constitute A Transition To DeAllocated Costs And Further Restructuring Of Fee Groups The proposed fees for boxes in new Fee Groups C-l, C-II and C-III and D-l, D-II and D-III constitute grouping comprising a transition to a uniform fee by box size for each CAG the new fee groups. As stated previously, combining Fee Groups C and D to create three fee groups out of CAG A-D, E-G and H-L offices 8 was tabled for the present. 9 combined fee groups would cause large percentage To propose a uniform fee for each box size for such increases for boxholders from 10 Fee Group D. For example, if a new fee group, comprised 11 offices from Fee Groups C and D, were formed, a uniform fee of $56 for all size 1 12 boxes would represent 13 Fee Group C. However, a $56 fee for a size 1 box from Fee Group D would 14 represent a 367 percent ($56/$12-l) increase. 15 shock” for Fee Group D boxholders, I decided to move toward merging Fee Groups 16 C and D in separate stages. 17 Consequently, a 40 percent ($56/$40-l) of boxes in CAG A-D increase for size 1 boxholders from Because of my concern about “rate I formed three new fee groups from Fee Group C and three 18 from Fee Group D. This permits differential fee increases for boxes by CAG within 19 Fee Groups C and D until such time as Fee Groups C and D are merged and 20 restructured by CAGs A-D, E-G and H-L. In so doing, the proposed fees result in 65 1 more gradual fee increases for boxholders 2 Fee Group D. 3 4 5 B. 6 in CAGs A-D, E-G and H-L from current The Proposed Post Office Box Fees Satisfy The Pricing Criteria Of The Postal Reorganization Act The pricing criteria for postal rates and fees are enumerated 7 3622(b), paragraphs 8 the proposed fees for post office boxes, I considered 9 The proposed fees reflect my judgment 10 1 through 9, of the Postal Reorganization in Section Act. In developing the relevant pricing criteria. as to the application Criterion number one refers to “the establishment 11 and equitable schedule.” 12 for Fee Groups A and B are higher than those proposed 13 reflecting the higher allocation 14 that comprise these fee groups. of those criteria. and maintenance The proposed fees are fair and equitable. of a fair Proposed fees by the Postal Service, of All Other costs to boxes in the larger CAG offices For the other fee groups, current post office box fees are misaligned with 15 16 costs. Under current fees, boxholders who are similarly situated in terms of CAG 17 pay vastly different rates. That is, boxholders 18 in Fee Group C pay much higher rates than size 1 boxholders 19 $40 and $12, respectively. 20 boxes are much closer together, Nevertheless, with size 1 boxes in CAG A-D offices in Fee Group D, i.e., unit box costs in the TYSR for size 1 i.e., $33.13 and $30.68, respectively. 66 1 The proposed fees begin to reduce this inequity with higher fees for 2 boxholders 3 These boxholders 4 A-D offices from Fee Group C face a smaller increase of 40 percent. 5 boxholders 6 Groups C-II and C-III, respectively, 7 E-G and H-L offices from Fee Group D. which form new Fee Groups D-II and D-III, 8 respectively. 9 by 15 to 16 percent and 0 percent, respectively, in CAG A-D offices from Fee Group D, forming new Fee Group D-l. face a 100 percent increase. In comparison, boxholders Similarly, in CAGs E-G and H-L offices from Fee Group C, which form new Fee Fees for boxholders face smaller increases than boxholders in CAGs in new Fee Groups C-II and C-III would increase while fees in new Fee Groups D-II 10 and D-III would increase 50 to 51 percent and 25 percent, respectively. 11 the Postal Service’s proposed fees increase between 12 boxholders 13 Fee Group D. 14 in CAG By contrast, 11 and 13 percent for all in Fee Group C, and between 50 and 53 percent for all boxholders Moreover, the proposed fees permit a more gradual transition to a further 15 restructuring 16 I, D-II and D-III, and comparatively 17 would, over time, ease the transition for boxholders 18 CAG A-D, E-G and H-L offices from merged Fee Groups C and D in a future 19 proceeding. 20 21 in of the classification schedule. Higher box fees for new Fee Groups D- lower fees for new Fee Groups C-l, C-II and C-III The second criterion directs that consideration mail service actually provided.” into fee groups; consisting be given to “i:he value of the Post office box service is an alternative 67 of form of 1 delivery service that is valued by some customers. 2 security and the generally earlier availability of box mail vis-a-vis c,arrier delivery 3 service are valued features. The value of service to boxholders 4 recognized adopted by the Commission 5 and utilized in developing 6 in the elasticities Box features such as privacy, is explicitly in Docket No. MC96-3, my after rates volumes and revenues, The third criterion -- recovery of attributable costs -- requires that revenues 7 for each mail class or service be at least equal to the attributable 8 or service. 9 coverage of 107 percent.‘O My proposed fees for post office boxes alone results in an implicit cost Including caller service and reserve call numbers results 10 in combined 11 (without the 1 percent contingency). 12 Service’s proposed 13 call numbers, i.e., 116 percent (without the 1 percent contingency). 14 Criterion number four concerns “the effect of rate increases” 15 public. 16 boxholders. c:osts for that class net revenues of $94.3 million, with a cost coverage of 116 percent Considerable This cost coverage is identical to the Postal cost coverage for post office boxes, caller service and reserve on the general attention was given to the effect of proposed fee increases on Combining Fee Groups C and D to form three new fee groups by CAG ” Under the Postal Service’s proposal, witness Needham claims post office box revenues “make a small contribution with a 106 percent proposed implicit cost coverage.” USPS-T-39 at 66. 68 1 was tabled at this time because of the significant 2 could attend a uniform fee by box size for certain boxholders 3 In order to limit such percentage percentage fee increases that now ill Fee Group D. fee increases, three new fee groups were 4 created from Fee Group D, with proposed fee increases limited to ‘100 percent for 5 boxholders 6 D) offices that comprise the new Fee Group D-l. In all, fee increases of this 7 magnitude 8 for boxholders 9 D-II. are limited to 51 percent, nearly the same percentage in CAG A-D offices in Fee Group D -- boxholders are limited to only 63,425 boxholders. in the larger (CAG A- Similarly, proposed fee increases in CAG E-G oftices in Fee Group D, which comprise new Fee Group 10 proposed 11 in the smallest offices (i.e., CAG H-L) in Fee Group D, which comprise new Fee 12 Group D-III. are limited to 25 percent. 13 by the Postal Service. fee increase as Boxholders At the same time, fee increases for all boxholders in new Fee Groups C-III and D-III experience 14 percentage 15 Groups C and D, respectively, 16 smaller offices that comprise new Fee Groups C-III and D-III. 17 fee increases, as compared to other boxholders reasonable 19 most feasible alternative 20 considered from current Fee because of the lower allocated costs to boxes in the The fifth criterion directs consideration 18 the lowest cost. For boxholders to the role of available alternatives subject to the proposed box fee increases, is free carrier delivery service, if the proposed too high or private sector alternatives 69 prohibitive. at the box fees are Criterion number seven refers to the “simplicity of [the] structure for the entire schedule and simple, identifiable relationships between the rates or fees charged.” For Fee Groups A, B and E, there is no change in the fee structure. However, the proposed fee group structure is more complex than the current fee group structure for Fee Groups C and D. Fee Groups C and D are proposed to be replaced by six new fee groups, C-l, C-II and C-III, and D-l, D-II and D-III, as a transition to a further restructuring represents of the fee schedule. a balance between substantial a temporarily 10 11 12 13 C. Consequently, the proposed fee schedule fee increases for certain boxholders and more complex fee structure for the Postal Service to administer. The Proposed New Fee Groups Accord With The Classification The Postal Reorganization Act The classification criteria for changes in mail and special service 14 classifications 15 Reorganization 16 to my development 17 groups reflect my judgment 18 Classification are found in Section 3623(c), paragraphs Act. I have considered of the proposed 1 through 15,of the Postal the relevant classification new fee groups. as to the application fair and equitable classification 20 are fair and equitable 21 group structure, criteria in relation Establishmerlt and maintenance system for all mail.” The proposed in that they maintain the basic distinction i.e., that between boxholders 70 of the new fee of those criteria. criterion one refers to the “establishment 19 Criteria Of of a new fee groups in the existing fee eligible for carrier delivery service and 1 those not eligible for carrier delivery, with boxholders 2 fees, and those not eligible paying no box fees, Establishing 3 by CAG from Fee Group C that parallel three new fee groups from Fee Group D 4 begins the process of eliminating 5 where boxholders 6 delivery, respectively, 7 groups in terms of box service, the availability of carrier delivery service, and costs. 8 9 Classification the dichotomy pay differing fees depending and explicitly recognizes eligible for delivery paying box three new fee groups between Fee Groups C and D, upon their elrgrbrlrty for city or “rural” the similarities criterion five concerns “the desirability between these of special classifications from the point of view of both the user and the Postal Service.” From the point of 10 view of boxholders, the new fee groups better reflect the costs of providing box 11 service in post offices of comparable 12 Service, the fact that boxholders 13 services provided by either city or rural carriers would, in the future, no longer lead 14 to significantly size. From the point of view of the Postal in Fee Groups C and D are eligiblle for delivery different post office box fees. 71 1 VI. CONCLUSION 2 Current post office box fees and the existing fee groups do not adequately 3 recognize the higher costs of providing box service in larger offtces nor the lower 4 costs in smaller offices. 5 methodology 6 for boxholders in smaller offices and inappropriately 7 larger offices. As a result, current fees, and the Postal Service’s proposed fees, 8 produce fees that are too high in smaller CAG offices and too low iin larger CAG 9 offices. for allocating certain post office box costs results in unfairly high costs The restructured 10 The existing fee group structure and the Postal Service’s low costs to boxholders in post office box fee groups and the new cost allocation 11 methodology proposed 12 Restructuring Fee Groups C and D based upon CAG produces more rent- 13 homogeneous 14 Similarly, my new cost allocation 15 variable post office box costs by CAG, better reflects costs in larger and smaller 16 offices. 17 herein provide a more reasonable cost-basis for setting fees. fee groups that better reflect cost in larger and smaller offices. The proposed criteria. methodology, that distributes a portion of volume- post office box fees satisfy the relevant statutory pricing and 18 classification My proposed box fees, combined with caller service and 19 reserve call number fees, provide virtually the same net revenues as proposed 20 the Postal Service, and a reasonable contribution 72 to institutional costs. The by 1 proposed 2 post office boxes by creating a more rational structure of fee groups based upon 3 CAGs. classification changes establish a more fair and equitable classification 73 for
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