Climate Change in the American Mind: Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies in January 2010 Interview dates: December 24, 2009 – January 3, 2010 Interviews: 1,001 Adults (18+) Margin of error: +/- 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. NOTE: All results show percentages among all respondents, unless otherwise labeled. Totals may occasionally sum to more than 100 percent due to rounding. This study was conducted by the Yale Project on Climate Change and the George Mason University Center for Climate Change Communication, and was funded by the Surdna Foundation, the Eleventh Hour Project, the Pacific Foundation, and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation. Principal Investigators: Anthony Leiserowitz, PhD Yale Project on Climate Change School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University (203) 432-4865 [email protected] Edward Maibach, MPH, PhD Center for Climate Change Communication Department of Communication, George Mason University (703) 993-1587 [email protected] Connie Roser-Renouf, PhD Center for Climate Change Communication Department of Communication, George Mason University (707) 825-0601 [email protected] Cite as: Leiserowitz, A., Maibach, E., & Roser-Renouf, C. (2010) Climate change in the American Mind: Public support for climate & energy policies in January 2010. Yale University and George Mason University. New Haven, CT: Yale Project on Climate Change. http://environment.yale.edu/uploads/PolicySupportJan2010.pdf Q1541. Do you think global warming should be a low, medium, high, or very high priority for the president and Congress? Very high High Medium Low 2010* 13 25 31 31 2008+ 21 33 30 17 * 2010 Question wording = Do you think global warming should be a low, medium, high, or very high priority for the president and Congress? + 2008 Question wording = Here are some issues now being discussed in Washington, D.C. Do you think each of these issues should be a low, medium, high, or very high priority for the next president and Congress? Q155. Do you think that developing sources of clean energy should be a low, medium, high, or very high priority for the president and Congress? Very high High Medium Low 2010 24 36 29 11 2008 - (Questions 156-161 to be released separately.) Q162-168. Do you think each of the following should be doing more or less to address global warming? Your local government officials Much more More Currently doing the right amount Less Much less 2010 12 34 35 8 10 2008 13 45 29 7 6 2010 14 36 30 10 10 2008 16 47 25 6 6 Your state legislators Much more More Currently doing the right amount Less Much less 1 Items are listed in the order they were asked despite occasional non-sequential item numbers. Yale / George Mason University Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 2 Your governor Much more More Currently doing the right amount Less Much less 2010 15 34 30 10 11 2008 16 46 26 6 6 2010 19 35 23 10 15 2008 26 41 20 6 7 2010* 17 33 26 9 15 2008+ 28 38 21 6 7 2010 33 31 21 7 9 2008 41 32 17 5 6 2010 27 36 23 7 8 2008 30 42 20 4 5 The U.S. Congress Much more More Currently doing the right amount Less Much less The President Much more More Currently doing the right amount Less Much less *President Barack Obama +President George W. Bush Corporations and industry Much more More Currently doing the right amount Less Much less Citizens themselves Much more More Currently doing the right amount Less Much less Yale / George Mason University Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 3 Q169. People disagree whether the United States should reduce greenhouse gas emissions on its own, or make reductions only if other countries do too. Which of the following statements comes closest to your own point of view? The United States should reduce its greenhouse gas emissions… Regardless of what other countries do Only if other industrialized countries (such as England, Germany and Japan) reduce their emissions Only if other industrialized countries and developing countries (such as China, India and Brazil) reduce their emissions The US should not reduce its emissions Don’t know 2010 57 2008 67 3 2 7 7 7 25 4 19 Q170. How big of an effort should the United States make to reduce global warming? A large-scale effort, even if it has large economic costs A medium-scale effort, even if it has moderate economic costs A small-scale effort, even if it has small economic costs No effort Yale / George Mason University Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 2010 26 36 21 18 2008 34 40 17 9 4 Specific Policies For specific questions, see the tables below this chart. Yale / George Mason University Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 5 Q171. How much do you support or oppose establishing a special fund to help make buildings more energy efficient and teach Americans how to reduce their energy use? This would add a $2.50 surcharge to the average household’s monthly electric bill. Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose 2010 14 41 22 23 2008 19 43 21 16 Q172. How much do you support or oppose regulating carbon dioxide (the primary greenhouse gas) as a pollutant? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose 2010 24 47 14 15 2008 30 50 13 7 Q173. How much do you support or oppose requiring electric utilities to produce at least 20% of their electricity from wind, solar, or other renewable energy sources, even if it cost the average household an extra $100 a year? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose 2010 18 40 21 21 2008 31 41 17 11 Q174. How much do you support or oppose signing an international treaty that requires the United States to cut its emissions of carbon dioxide 90% by the year 2050? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose 2010 17 44 20 19 2008 24 44 19 13 Q175. How much do you support or oppose providing financial aid and technical support to developing countries that agree to limit their greenhouse gas emissions? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Yale / George Mason University 2010 12 37 28 24 2008 - Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 6 Q176. How much do you support or oppose providing financial aid and technical support to developing countries to help them prepare for the impacts of global warming? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose 2010 8 35 30 27 2008 - Q177. How much do you support or oppose expanding offshore drilling for oil and natural gas off the U.S. coast? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose 2010 21 46 21 12 2008 37 38 14 11 Q178. How much do you support or oppose building more nuclear power plants? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose 2010 17 32 31 20 2008 23 38 24 15 Q179. How much do you support or oppose funding more research into renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind power? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose 2010 41 44 11 4 2008 54 38 6 2 Q180. How much do you support or oppose providing tax rebates for people who purchase energy-efficient vehicles or solar panels? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Yale / George Mason University 2010 32 50 10 7 2008 38 47 11 4 Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 7 Q181. How much do you support or oppose increasing taxes on gasoline by 25 cents per gallon and returning the revenues to taxpayers by reducing the federal income tax? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose 2010 8 26 31 34 2008 9 24 30 37 Q182. How much, if anything, have you heard about a policy being considered by the president and Congress called “cap and trade” that would set limits on carbon dioxide emissions? Have you heard... A lot A little Nothing at all 2010 12 28 60 2008 - Q186. In the proposed cap and trade system, the government would set an overall limit on global warming pollution (the cap), and the free market would figure out the best way to stay within the limit (through the trading of permits among companies that emit global warming pollution). How much would you support or oppose this system? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose 2010 7 51 21 20 2008 - Q187. How much would you support or oppose a cap and trade system if it significantly reduced global warming pollution, but raised your household energy costs by 15 dollars a month? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose 2010 10 30 29 32 2008 - Q188. How much would you support or oppose a cap and trade system if it significantly reduced global warming pollution, but raised your household energy costs by 50 cents a day? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Yale / George Mason University 2010 9 34 28 30 2008 - Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 8 Q189. How much would you support or oppose a cap and trade system if every American household received a yearly [rebate/bonus] of $180 to offset their higher energy costs? Rebate Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose 2010 16 46 15 23 2008 - 2010 20 46 14 20 2008 - Bonus Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Q193. If your household received an annual energy [rebate/bonus] of $180 from a cap and trade system, how likely is it that you would spend this money on energy efficiency improvements in your home? Rebate Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely 2010 12 44 21 23 2008 - 2010 14 45 22 19 2008 - Bonus Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Yale / George Mason University Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 9 Q194. If the government offered to double your annual [rebate/bonus] to $360 if you spent it all on energy efficiency improvements, how likely would you be to accept that offer? Rebate Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely 2010 26 42 13 19 2008 - 2010 33 38 13 15 2008 - Bonus Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Q192. A cap and trade system will likely cause some job losses, for example in coal mining, but is expected to create jobs in industries like wind and solar power. Overall, do you think that the cap and trade bill will: Create more jobs than are lost Lose more jobs than are created Create and lose an equal number of jobs Don’t know 2010 22 24 15 39 2008 - Q190. How much would you support or oppose a cap and trade system if some of the revenues were used to help build more nuclear power plants in the United States? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose 2010 9 35 33 24 2008 - Q191. How much would you support building a nuclear power plant in your local area? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose 2010 14 27 25 34 2008 - (Questions 192-238 to be released separately.) Yale / George Mason University Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 10 Q239. Schools should teach our children about the causes, consequences, and potential solutions to global warming. Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree 2010 27 43 14 16 2008 - Q240. Our government should establish programs to teach Americans about global warming. Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree 2010 18 42 19 21 2008 - Q241. Our government should establish programs to help Americans reduce their own greenhouse gas emissions. Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree 2010 15 50 18 17 2008 - Q242. Our government should establish programs to teach Americans how to save energy. Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree 2010 20 52 17 11 2008 - Q243. Overall, do you think that protecting the environment… Improves economic growth and provides new jobs Reduces economic growth and costs jobs 2010 67 33 2008 - Q244. When there is a conflict between environmental protection and economic growth, which do you think is more important? Protecting the environment, even if it reduces economic growth Economic growth, even if it leads to environmental problems Yale / George Mason University Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 2010 63 37 2008 11 Policy Preferences by Political Party Registered Voters: Political Party Q254. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a… Democrat Independent Republican Other2 No party/not interested in politics3 Total Percent Sample size 34 277 25 199 29 233 3 25 9 74 100 815 Registered Voters: Policy Preferences Q154. Do you think global warming should be a low, medium, high, or very high priority for the president and Congress? Very high High Medium Low Nat’l Avg 14 26 29 32 Dem 20 40 35 6 Ind 19 24 21 38 Rep 5 12 31 52 N/P 1 23 29 47 Q155. Do you think that developing sources of clean energy should be a low, medium, high, or very high priority for the president and Congress? Very high High Medium Low Nat’l Avg 24 37 28 11 Dem 35 47 17 1 Ind 27 30 29 14 Rep 11 31 44 14 N/P 9 39 21 31 Q171. How much do you support or oppose establishing a special fund to help make buildings more energy efficient and teach Americans how to reduce their energy use? This would add a $2.50 surcharge to the average household’s monthly electric bill. Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose 2 3 Nat’l Avg 15 40 22 24 Dem 21 51 19 9 Ind 20 35 23 23 Rep 7 30 25 39 N/P 2 40 28 31 “Other” responses are not reported below due to their small sample size. Labeled “N/P” below. Yale / George Mason University Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 12 Q172. How much do you support or oppose regulating carbon dioxide (the primary greenhouse gas) as a pollutant? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Nat’l Avg 25 48 11 16 Dem 34 58 7 2 Ind 29 37 13 21 Rep 14 47 14 25 N/P 15 49 13 24 Q173. How much do you support or oppose requiring electric utilities to produce at least 20% of their electricity from wind, solar, or other renewable energy sources, even if it cost the average household an extra $100 a year? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Nat’l Avg 18 39 21 22 Dem 23 46 20 11 Ind 25 31 24 20 Rep 10 34 24 32 N/P 3 54 10 33 Q174. How much do you support or oppose signing an international treaty that requires the United States to cut its emissions of carbon dioxide 90% by the year 2050? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Nat’l Avg 17 42 20 21 Dem 25 55 17 3 Ind 22 34 16 28 Rep 7 35 26 33 N/P 3 43 28 25 Q175. How much do you support or oppose providing financial aid and technical support to developing countries that agree to limit their greenhouse gas emissions? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Nat’l Avg 12 36 26 27 Dem 19 51 24 7 Ind 15 29 25 32 Rep 6 26 28 41 N/P 0 40 27 33 Q176. How much do you support or oppose providing financial aid and technical support to developing countries to help them prepare for the impacts of global warming? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Yale / George Mason University Nat’l Avg 8 33 29 30 Dem 16 51 24 10 Ind 9 26 28 37 Rep 1 20 34 45 N/P 0 32 34 34 Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 13 Q177. How much do you support or oppose expanding offshore drilling for oil and natural gas off the U.S. coast? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Nat’l Avg 23 45 20 12 Dem 9 51 21 19 Ind 24 36 27 14 Rep 37 47 12 5 N/P 16 50 27 7 Q178. How much do you support or oppose building more nuclear power plants? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Nat’l Avg 19 31 30 20 Dem 8 36 33 23 Ind 25 27 24 25 Rep 26 31 29 14 N/P 13 27 47 13 Q179. How much do you support or oppose funding more research into renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind power? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Nat’l Avg 44 45 8 4 Dem 49 46 4 1 Ind 55 32 8 6 Rep 31 57 9 4 N/P 27 42 20 11 Q180. How much do you support or oppose providing tax rebates for people who purchase energy-efficient vehicles or solar panels? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Nat’l Avg 34 50 10 7 Dem 40 57 3 1 Ind 39 40 14 7 Rep 27 53 10 10 N/P 20 44 23 14 Q181. How much do you support or oppose increasing taxes on gasoline by 25 cents per gallon and returning the revenues to taxpayers by reducing the federal income tax? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Yale / George Mason University Nat’l Avg 8 25 31 36 Dem 12 34 29 26 Ind 12 19 34 35 Rep 3 22 27 47 N/P 3 22 46 29 Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 14 Q182. How much, if anything, have you heard about a policy being considered by the president and Congress called “cap and trade” that would set limits on carbon dioxide emissions? Have you heard... A lot A little Nothing at all Nat’l Avg 14 31 56 Dem 4 37 59 Ind 25 34 41 Rep 14 28 58 N/P 5 16 78 Q186. In the proposed cap and trade system, the government would set an overall limit on global warming pollution (the cap), and the free market would figure out the best way to stay within the limit (through the trading of permits among companies that emit global warming pollution). How much would you support or oppose this system? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Nat’l Avg 8 50 21 21 Dem 11 67 16 6 Ind 9 47 15 29 Rep 4 39 28 29 N/P 3 32 38 27 Q187. How much would you support or oppose a cap and trade system if it significantly reduced global warming pollution, but raised your household energy costs by 15 dollars a month? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Nat’l Avg 10 28 30 32 Dem 15 37 30 18 Ind 14 28 27 30 Rep 1 17 37 46 N/P 3 22 25 50 Q188. How much would you support or oppose a cap and trade system if it significantly reduced global warming pollution, but raised your household energy costs by 50 cents a day? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Yale / George Mason University Nat’l Avg 9 32 28 32 Dem 12 50 26 12 Ind 14 27 17 42 Rep 3 25 29 43 N/P 5 11 47 37 Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 15 Note: A split sample (n = 402 for rebate and n = 412 for bonus) was used for questions 189, 193 & 194 Q1894. How much would you support or oppose a cap and trade system if every American household received a yearly [rebate/bonus] of $180 to offset their higher energy costs? Rebate Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Nat’l Avg 18 44 15 24 Dem 27 50 13 10 Ind 17 32 16 35 Rep 8 40 17 35 Nat’l Avg 21 46 13 21 Dem 26 58 11 5 Ind 30 38 13 20 Rep 9 52 14 25 Bonus Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Q193. If your household received an annual energy [rebate/bonus] of $180 from a cap and trade system, how likely is it that you would spend this money on energy efficiency improvements in your home? Rebate Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Nat’l Avg 13 44 20 23 Dem 19 54 16 11 Ind 13 32 16 39 Rep 9 40 18 32 Nat’l Avg 13 44 22 21 Dem 13 52 29 5 Ind 16 49 18 17 Rep 10 41 16 33 Bonus Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely 4 “N/P” responses are not reported for questions 189, 193 & 194 due to their small sample size. Yale / George Mason University Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 16 Q194. If the government offered to double your annual [rebate/bonus] to $360 if you spent it all on energy efficiency improvements, how likely would you be to accept that offer? Rebate Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Nat’l Avg 28 41 12 19 Dem 33 47 9 11 Ind 30 31 13 26 Rep 19 44 8 29 Nat’l Avg 35 37 13 16 Dem 43 40 13 5 Ind 44 32 11 14 Rep 19 50 11 21 Bonus Very likely Somewhat likely Somewhat unlikely Very unlikely Q192. A cap and trade system will likely cause some job losses, for example in coal mining, but is expected to create jobs in industries like wind and solar power. Overall, do you think that the cap and trade bill will: Create more jobs than are lost Create and lose an equal number of jobs Lose more jobs than are created Don't know Nat’l Avg 24 Dem 33 Ind 28 Rep 16 N/P 7 16 14 16 20 13 25 35 13 40 32 25 33 32 24 56 Q190. How much would you support or oppose a cap and trade system if some of the revenues were used to help build more nuclear power plants in the United States? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Nat’l Avg 9 35 31 25 Dem 9 40 35 17 Ind 12 32 23 33 Rep 6 36 36 22 N/P 10 28 33 29 Q191. How much would you support building a nuclear power plant in your local area? Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Yale / George Mason University Nat’l Avg 15 28 23 35 Dem 9 27 28 37 Ind 18 32 17 34 Rep 15 27 25 33 N/P 23 23 21 34 Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 17 Q243. Overall, do you think that protecting the environment: Improves economic growth and provides new jobs Reduces economic growth and costs jobs Nat’l Avg Dem Ind Rep N/P 68 86 64 55 49 33 14 36 46 51 Q244. When there is a conflict between environmental protection and economic growth, which do you think is more important? Protecting the environment, even if it reduces economic growth Economic growth, even if it leads to environmental problems Yale / George Mason University Nat’l Avg Dem Ind Rep N/P 62 77 59 45 75 38 23 41 55 25 Public Support for Climate & Energy Policies 18
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