Water at the Heart of Science 21 When Water Becomes a Threat Water is crucial to life 1 but can also generate extreme events with sometimes disastrous consequences, such as floods, inundations and landslides. Research is done on these phenomena in order to predict them more accurately and limit their effects. Understanding Predicting Prevention Devastating floods are a result of random natural phenomena (for instance exceptional rains) converging with a vulnerable environment (steep-sided valleys, urbanisation in flood plains, etc.). By making use of rainfall and weather data, measurements of river flow and environmental studies (land relief, geology, soil, vegetation…), researchers are able to simulate floods through mathematical computer models. To study the frequency of floods, researchers collect historical, often fragmented data on floods in the past. Based on a statistical analysis of these data, the probability of recurring rain or floods can be estimated depending on their intensity. This information is invaluable to decision-makers when defining risk-free housing areas, sizing a bridge, dam or dyke, or determining stages of alert for evacuation plans. Due to cost, specific areas cannot be safeguarded against floods that occur rarely, for instance at a recurrence interval of more than 100 or 1,000 years. It is therefore vital to be able to anticipate such events in order to move people and goods to safety. 1 In urban areas, soil sealing tends to increase the amount of water that flows towards rivers, resulting in bigger floods. North Dakota, USA. 4 Landslides are caused by heavy rains that make the ground surface unstable. 2 Rivers in developing countries 5 The human toll of landslides tends to increase with uncontrolled urbanisation in high-risk areas. are rarely monitored, which usually implies heavy human losses and material damage during floods. Iquitos, Peru. 2 3 Floods in September 2009 in Ouagadougou (Burkina Faso) left 150,000 disaster victims, of which 50,000 lost their homes. 1 7 Weather radars locate and assess the intensity of rainfalls within a radius of 80 km. These data allow researchers to predict possible floods. 6 Solutions exist to protect large towns against floods. Plans have been made in Vietnam to direct the flow of the Red River towards another river. Excessive floods can inundate an area of 70,000 hectares. 4 5 3 6 7 Water at the Heart of Science 22 Flash Flood in the Mediterranean In 2002, torrential rains 1 hit the Languedoc region in France, causing the Gardons (the Gard River and its tributaries) to burst out of their seams. Considerable material damage and 22 casualties were reported. Researchers have intensified their efforts in order to better understand and predict such phenomena. The flooding of the Gard River and its tributaries is a typical phenomenon in the Mediterranean region. It is characterised by short but heavy rains, causing water levels to rise by several metres for a few hours. Researchers are working on improving rain and river-flow measurements, identifying the factors that determine floods, and putting effective protective measures in place. Despite the great absorption capacity of the soil in the Cévennes region, the heavy rains in 2002 caused a significant run of water towards the Gardons. The typography of the area also played a major part in triggering the flood: the bottleneck entrance to the gorges of the Gard was unable to absorb all of the flow, causing the plain at the foot of the hills to become inundated. Research has been undertaken at the CévennesVivarais Hydro-meteorological Observatory (OHM-CV), which includes about ten French research laboratories under the management of the research laboratory for hydrological and environmental transfers (LTHE, UMR CNRS-IRDUJF). The HydroSciences Montpellier laboratory (HSM, UMR CNRS-IRD-UM) participates in the OHM-CV and has been working together with SCHAPI since 2005 to develop flood-forecasting aide tools. Such phenomena can be anticipated through research, which also aims to improve the spreading of information to civil protection services, raise inhabitants’ awareness of the risk, and provide realtime flood management. Since the 2002 floods occurred, a multitude of communitybased emergency plans have sprung up around France, identifying actions to be taken according to the stage of alert: reducing traffic, alerting schools, evacuating exposed neighbourhoods, etc. 1 Reflecting the irregularity of rainfall, most Mediterranean rivers have a strongly intermittent flow pattern. Heavy and sometimes destructive rains often occur from spring to autumn, but become rare or virtually inexistent for many long months, particularly in summer. 2 Flood levels of the Gardon in 1958 (top) and 2002 (bottom), indicated on the wall of a house in Anduze. Gardons 3 The Gardon at Anduze at the start of autumn. 4 The Gard department was hit particularly hard by the Gardon rivers in flood. 5 Floods comparable to those in 2002 are likely to occur throughout the Mediterranean region, which justifies this kind of research that is also undertaken in developing countries. Floods in the Tafilalet valley in Morocco. 3 1 2 4 5 Water at the Heart of Science 23
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