Figure 1. 1996 Turnout vs. Percent Minority
Moralistic
Individualistic
Traditionalistic
Table 5. Marginal Effects on Turnout
and Turnout Decline
Figure 2. Probability of Voting
Figure 3. Probability of Voting
Figure 4. Probability of Voting
Figure 5. Intercorrelations
Republican
Vote
Racial
Intercorrelations ofof
Republican
Vote with
Racialwith
Identity;
by YearIdentity; by Year
0.6
0.4
0.2
Race - Diversity
Whites - Low
Whites - High
Blacks - Low
Blacks - High
0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
1956
1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
Figure 6. Intercorrelations
Republican
Vote
with Identity;
Religious
Intercorrelationsof
of Republican
Vote with
Religious
by YearIdentity; by Year
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
Religion - Diversity
0.1
Protestant -L
Protestant - H
Catholic - L
Catholic - H
Jew - L
Jew - H
0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
-0.5
1956
1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
Figure 7. Intercorrelations of Republican Vote with Social Class; by Year
Figure 8. Intercorrelations
Republican
ID with
Racial
Intercorrelations ofof
Republican
ID with Racial
Identity;
by YearIdentity; by Year
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
Race - Diversity
0
Whites - Low
Whites - High
Blacks - Low
Blacks - High
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
-0.4
1956
1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
Figure 9. Intercorrelations
Republican
with Identity;
Religious
Identity; by Year
Intercorrelations of
of Republican
ID withID
Religious
by Year
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
Religion
Religion- Diversity
-
0.1
Protestant - L
Protestant - H
Catholic - L
Catholic - H
Jew - L
Jew - H
0.05
0
-0.05
-0.1
-0.15
-0.2
-0.25
1956
1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996
Figure 10. Intercorrelations
of Republican
ID with
Intercorrelations of Republican
ID with Social
Class; Social
by Year Class; by Year
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
Class- -Diversity
Class
College - L
College - H
Female - L
Female - H
0.05
0
-0.05
-0.1
-0.15
-0.2
1956
1960
1964
1968
1972
1976
1980
1984
1988
1992
1996