A Quasi-Sure Approach to the Control of Non-Markovian Stochastic Dierential Equations Marcel Nutz β First version: June 16, 2011. This version: March 18, 2012. Abstract We study stochastic dierential equations (SDEs) whose drift and diusion coecients are path-dependent and controlled. We construct a value process on the canonical path space, considered simultaneously under a family of singular measures, rather than the usual family of processes indexed by the controls. This value process is characterized by a second order backward SDE, which can be seen as a nonMarkovian analogue of the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman partial dierential equation. Moreover, our value process yields a generalization of the πΊ-expectation to the context of SDEs. Keywords Stochastic optimal control, non-Markovian SDE, second order BSDE, πΊ-expectation, random πΊ-expectation, volatility uncertainty, risk measure AMS 2000 Subject Classications 93E20, 49L20, 60H10, 60G44, 91B30 Acknowledgements Financial support by Swiss National Science Foundation Grant PDFM2-120424/1 is gratefully acknowledged. The author thanks Shige Peng, Mete Soner, Nizar Touzi and Jianfeng Zhang for stimulating discussions and two anonymous referees for helpful comments. 1 Introduction We consider a controlled stochastic dierential equation (SDE) of the form β« ππ‘ = π₯ + π‘ β« π(π, π, ππ ) ππ + 0 where π π(π, π, ππ ) πππ , 0 β€ π‘ β€ π, (1.1) 0 π π(π, π, ππ ) is an adapted control process, Lipschitz-continuous coecients β π‘ is a Brownian motion and the and π(π, π, ππ ) Dept. of Mathematics, Columbia University, New York, 1 may depend on [email protected] {ππ , 0 β€ π β€ π} of the solution. Denoting by π π the solution corresponding to π , we are interested in the stochastic optimal control the past trajectory problem π0 := sup πΈ[π(π π )], (1.2) π where π is a given functional. The standard approach to such a non-Markovian control problem (cf. [9, 10]) is to consider for each control π the associated value process π½π‘π = where of a ess sup πΛ: πΛ=π on [0,π‘] (β±π‘ ) is the given ltration. forward πΈ[π(π πΛ )β£β±π‘ ], The dependence on (1.3) π reects the presence component in the optimization problem. The situation is quite dierent in Markovian optimal control (cf. [12]), where one uses a single value function which depends on certain state variables but not on a control. This is essential to describe the value function by a dierential equation, such as the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman PDE, which is the main merit of the dynamic programming approach. It is worth noting that this equation is always backward in time. An analogous description for (1.3) via backward SDEs (BSDEs, cf. [20]) is available for certain popular problems such as utility maximization with power or exponential utility functions (e.g., [13, 18]) or drift control (e.g., [10]). However, this relies on a π½π on π . very particular algebraic structure which allows for a separation of a backward part independent of π and a forward part depending into In this paper, we consider the problem (1.2) on the canonical space by recasting it as π π0 = sup πΈ π [π(π΅)], (1.4) π where ππ is the distribution of ππ and π΅ is the canonical process, and we describe its dynamic value by a single value process π π = {ππ‘ (π)}. Formally, corresponds to a value function in the Markovian sense if we see the whole trajectory of the controlled system as a state variable. Even though (1.2) has features of coupled forward-backward type, the value process is dened in a purely backward manner: one may say that by constructing π on the whole canonical space, we essentially calculate the value for all possible outcomes of the forward part. An important ingredient in the same vein is that π is dened quasi-surely under the family of mutually singular measures {π π }. Rather than forming a family of processes as in (1.3), the necessary information is stored in a single process which is dened on a large part of the probability space; indeed, the process π thought of as an analogue of π½ . π seen under π π should be Clearly, this is a necessary step to ob- tain a (second order) backward SDE. We remark that [22] considered the same control problem (1.2) and also made a connection to nonlinear expectations. However, in [22], the value process was considered only under the given probability measure. 2 We rst consider a fairly regular functional π and dene ππ‘ (π) as a con- ditional version of (1.4). Applying and advancing ideas from [28] and [17], regular conditional probability distributions are used to dene ery π ππ‘ (π) for ev- and prove a pathwise dynamic programming principle (Theorem 3.2). In a second step, we enlarge the class of functionals π to an πΏ1 -type space and prove that the value process admits a (quasi-sure) càdlàg modication (Theorem 5.1). We also show that the value process falls into the class of sublinear ex- π is considered as a random variable on π 7β ππ‘ can be seen as a generalization of which, by [7], corresponds to the case π β‘ 0 and pectations studied in [19]. Indeed, if the canonical space, the mapping πΊ-expectation [23, 24], π(π, π, ππ ) = ππ , where the SDE (1.1) degenerates to a stochastic integral. Moreover, ππ‘ can be seen as a variant of the random πΊ-expectation [17]; cf. the Remark 6.5. Finally, we characterize π by a second order backward SDE (2BSDE) in the spirit of [19]; cf. Theorem 6.4. The second order is clearly necessary since the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman PDE for the Markovian case is fully nonlinear, while ordinary BSDEs correspond to semilinear equations. 2BSDEs were introduced in [5], and in [27] for the non-Markovian case. We refer to [27] for the precise relation between 2BSDEs in the quasi-sure formulation and fully nonlinear parabolic PDEs. We remark that our approach is quite dierent from the (backward) stochastic partial dierential equations studied in [21] for a similar con- trol problem (mainly for uncontrolled volatility) and in [14, 15, 2, 3, 4] for so-called pathwise stochastic control problems. The relation to the path- dependent PDEs, introduced very recently in [25], is yet to be explored. The remainder of the paper is organized as follows. In Section 2 we detail the controlled SDE and its conditional versions, dene the value process for the case when π is uniformly continuous and establish its regularity. The pathwise dynamic programming principle is proved in Section 3. In Section 4 we extend the value process to a more general class of functionals π and state its quasi-sure representation. The càdlàg modication is constructed in Section 5. In the concluding Section 6, we provide the Hamilton-JacobiBellman 2BSDE and interpret the value process as a variant of the random πΊ-expectation. 2 Construction of the Value Function In this section, we rst introduce the setting and notation. Then, we dene the value function ππ‘ (π) for a uniformly continuous reward functional examine the regularity of ππ‘ . 3 π and 2.1 Notation We x a constant π > 0 and let Ξ© := πΆ([0, π ]; Rπ ) be the canonical space of β₯πβ₯π := sup0β€π β€π β£ππ β£, where β£ β β£ is the Euclidean norm. We denote by π΅ the canonical process π΅π‘ (π) = ππ‘ , by π0 the Wiener measure, and by π½ = {β±π‘ }0β€π‘β€π the (raw) ltration generated by π΅ . Unless otherwise stated, probabilistic notions requiring a ltration (such as adaptedness) refer to π½. For any probability measure π on Ξ© and any (π‘, π) β [0, π ] × Ξ©, we can π construct the corresponding regular conditional probability distribution ππ‘ ; π cf. [29, Theorem 1.3.4]. We recall that ππ‘ is a probability kernel on β±π‘ × β±π ; π π i.e., ππ‘ is a probability measure on (Ξ©, β±π ) for xed π and π 7β ππ‘ (π΄) is π β±π‘ -measurable for each π΄ β β±π . Moreover, the expectation under ππ‘ is the conditional expectation under π : continuous paths equipped with the uniform norm π πΈ ππ‘ [π] = πΈ π [πβ£β±π‘ ](π) π -a.s. π whenever is β±π -measurable and bounded. Finally, the set of paths that coincide with π up to ππ‘ π β² β Ξ© : π β² = π { π While ππ‘π ππ‘π is concentrated on π‘, on } [0, π‘] = 1. (2.1) is not dened uniquely by these properties, we choose and x one version for each triplet (π‘, π, π ). Ξ©π‘ := {π β πΆ([π‘, π ]; βπ ) : ππ‘ = 0} the shifted canonical space of paths starting at the origin. For π β Ξ©, the π‘ π‘ π‘ shifted path π β Ξ© is dened by ππ := ππ β ππ‘ for π‘ β€ π β€ π , so that π‘ π‘ Ξ© = {π : π β Ξ©}. Moreover, we denote by π0π‘ the Wiener measure on Ξ©π‘ π‘ π‘ π‘ and by π½ = {β±π }π‘β€πβ€π the (raw) ltration generated by π΅ , which can be π‘ identied with the canonical process on Ξ© . Given two paths π and π Λ , their concatenation at π‘ is the (continuous) Let π‘ β [0, π ]. We denote by path dened by (π βπ‘ π Λ )π := ππ 1[0,π‘) (π) + (ππ‘ + π Λ ππ‘ )1[π‘,π ] (π), Given an β±π -measurable random variable conditioned random variable π π‘,π on Ξ© π on Ξ© and 0 β€ π β€ π. π β Ξ©, we dene the by π π‘,π (Λ π ) := π(π βπ‘ π Λ ), π Λ β Ξ©. π π‘,π (Λ π ) = π π‘,π (Λ π π‘ ); in particular, π π‘,π can also be seen as a ranπ‘ dom variable on Ξ© . Then π Λ 7β π π‘,π (Λ π ) is β±ππ‘ -measurable and moreover, π‘,π π depends only on the restriction of π to [0, π‘]. We note that for an π½progressively measurable process {ππ , π β [π , π ]}, the conditioned process {πππ‘,π , π β [π‘, π ]} is π½π‘ -progressively measurable. If π is a probability on Ξ©, π‘,π on β± π‘ dened by the measure π π Note that π π‘,π (π΄) := ππ‘π (π βπ‘ π΄), π΄ β β±ππ‘ , where 4 π βπ‘ π΄ := {π βπ‘ π Λ: π Λ β π΄}, is again a probability by (2.1). We then have πΈπ π‘,π π [π π‘,π ] = πΈ ππ‘ [π] = πΈ π [πβ£β±π‘ ](π) π -a.s. Analogous notation will be used when πβ Ξ©π , where π π . We denote by Ξ©π π‘ 0β€π β€π‘β€ Ξ©π to [π , π‘], equipped with β₯πβ₯[π ,π‘] π identied with {π β Ξ© : ππ = ππ‘ for restriction of Ξ©π π‘ can be Ξ©π‘ is analogous. 2.2 Let Ξ©π and := {πβ£[π ,π‘] : π β Ξ©π } the := supπβ[π ,π‘] β£ππ β£. Note that π β [π‘, π ]}. The meaning of is a random variable on The Controlled SDE π be a nonempty Borel subset of βπ for some π β β. We consider two given functions π : [0, π ] × Ξ© × π β βπ and π : [0, π ] × Ξ© × π β βπ×π , the drift and diusion coecients, such that (π‘, π) 7β π(π‘, π(π), ππ‘ (π)) and (π‘, π) 7β π(π‘, π(π), ππ‘ (π)) are progressively measurable for any continuous π and any π -valued progressively measurable process π . In particular, π(π‘, π, π’) and π(π‘, π, π’) depend only on the past trajectory {ππ , π β [0, π‘]}, for any π’ β π . Moreover, we assume that there exists a constant πΎ > 0 such that adapted process β£π(π‘, π, π’) β π(π‘, π β² , π’)β£ + β£π(π‘, π, π’) β π(π‘, π β² , π’)β£ β€ πΎβ₯π β π β² β₯π‘ (2.2) (π‘, π, π β² , π’) β [0, π ]×Ξ©×Ξ©×π . We denote by π° the set of all π -valued progressively measurable processes π such that β« π β« π β£π(π, π, ππ )β£ ππ < β and β£π(π, π, ππ )β£2 ππ < β (2.3) for all 0 0 hold path-by-path for any continuous adapted process π. Given π β π°, the stochastic dierential equation π‘ β« ππ‘ = π₯ + π(π, π, ππ ) ππ + 0 has a π0 -a.s. we denote by π‘ β« π(π, π, ππ ) ππ΅π , 0β€π‘β€π unique strong solution for any initial condition π(0, π₯, π). π₯ β βπ , π0 which We shall denote by π¯ (0, π₯, π) := π0 β π(0, π₯, π)β1 the distribution of under 0 π(0, π₯, π) on Ξ© (2.4) and by ( )β1 π (0, π₯, π) := π0 β π(0, π₯, π)0 π(0, π₯, π)0 β‘ π(0, π₯, π) β π₯; i.e., the solution which is 0 translated to start at the origin. Note that π (0, π₯, π) is concentrated on Ξ© 0 and can therefore be seen as a probability measure on Ξ© . the distribution of We shall work under the following nondegeneracy condition. 5 Assumption 2.1. Throughout this paper, we assume that π½π where (π₯, π) π½π π0 π0 βπ½ π0 -augmentation βπ × π° . is the varies over π = π(0, π₯, π), for all (2.5) of the ltration generated by π and One can construct situations where Assumption 2.1 fails. For example, π₯ = 0, π β‘ 1 and π(π, π, ππ ) = ππ , then (2.5) fails for a suitable choice of π ; see, e.g., [11]. The following is a positive result which covers many if applications. Remark 2.2. Let π be strictly positive denite and assume that is a progressively measurable functional of π π(π, π, ππ ). and π(π, π, ππ ) Then (2.5) holds true. Note that the latter assumption is satised in particular when controlled; i.e., π is un- π(π, π, π’) = π(π, π). Proof. β« Let π = π(0, π₯, π). As ππ β€ (π, π, ππ ) ππ is adapted to the quadratic variation of the ltration generated by π , the π . In process view of our assumptions, it follows that β« π := β« π(π, π, ππ ) ππ΅π = π β π₯ β has the same property. Hence the ltration generated by Remark 2.3. π΅= β« π(π, π, ππ‘ ) ππ π(π, π, ππ )β1 πππ is again adapted to π. For some applications, in particular when the SDE is of ge- ometric form, requiring (2.5) to hold for all instead x the initial condition require (2.5) only for that π₯ π₯ β βπ is too strong. One can throughout the paper, then it suces to π₯. π‘ β [0, π ] an SDE on [π‘, π ] × Ξ©π‘ induced by π and π . Of course, the second argument of π and π requires a path on [0, π ], so that it is necessary to specify a history for the SDE on [0, π‘]. This role is played by an arbitrary path π β Ξ©. Given π , we dene the conditioned Next, we introduce for xed coecients ππ‘,π : [0, π ] × Ξ©π‘ × π β βπ , ππ‘,π (π, π, π’) := π(π, π βπ‘ π, π’), π π‘,π : [0, π ] × Ξ©π‘ × π β βπ×π , π π‘,π (π, π, π’) := π(π, π βπ‘ π, π’). π is a path not necesat (π, π, π’) depends only (More precisely, these functions are dened also when sarily starting at the origin, but clearly their value 6 on π π‘ .) We observe that the Lipschitz condition (2.2) is inherited; indeed, β£ππ‘,π (π, π, π’) β ππ‘,π (π, π β² , π’)β£+β£π π‘,π (π, π, π’) β π π‘,π (π, π β² , π’)β£ β€ πΎβ₯π βπ‘ π β π βπ‘ π β² β₯[π‘,π] = πΎβ₯π π‘ β π β²π‘ β₯[π‘,π] β€ 2πΎβ₯π β π β² β₯[π‘,π] . π½π‘ -progressivelyβ«measurable, π -valued proπ 2 cesses π such that π‘ β£π(π, π, ππ )β£ ππ < β and π‘ β£π(π, π, ππ )β£ ππ < β for π‘ π‘ any continuous π½ -adapted process π = {ππ , π β [0, π ]}. For π β π° , the We denote by π° π‘ the β«π set of all SDE β« π β« π‘,π π π (π, π, ππ ) ππ + ππ = ππ‘ + π π‘,π (π, π, ππ ) ππ΅ππ‘ , π‘β€π β€π under π0π‘ π‘ π‘ (2.6) has a unique solution π(π‘, π, π) on [π‘, π ]. Similarly as above, we dene ( )β1 π (π‘, π, π) := π0π‘ β π(π‘, π, π)π‘ π(π‘, π, π)π‘ β‘ π(π‘, π, π) β ππ‘ on Ξ©π‘ . Note that this notation π (0, π₯, π) if π₯ is seen as a constant path. to be the distribution of consistent with the 2.3 is The Value Function We can now dene the value function for the case when the reward functional π is an element of functions on UCπ (Ξ©), the space of bounded uniformly continuous Ξ©. Denition 2.4. Given π‘ β [0, π ] and π β UCπ (Ξ©), we dene the value function ππ‘ (π) = ππ‘ (π; π) = sup πΈ π (π‘,π,π) [π π‘,π ], (π‘, π) β [0, π ] × Ξ©. (2.7) πβπ° π‘ The function π is xed throughout Sections 2 and 3 and hence often suppressed in the notation. In view of the double dependence on the measurability of ππ‘ is not obvious. π in (2.7), We have the following regularity result. Proposition 2.5. Let π‘ β [0, π ] and π β UCπ (Ξ©). Then ππ‘ β UCπ (Ξ©π‘ ) and in particular ππ‘ is β±π‘ -measurable. More precisely, β£ππ‘ (π) β ππ‘ (π β² )β£ β€ π(β₯π β π β² β₯π‘ ) for all π, π β² β Ξ© with a modulus of continuity π depending only on π , the Lipschitz constant πΎ and the time horizon π . 7 The rst source of regularity for ππ‘ is our assumption that π is uniformly continuous; the second one is the Lipschitz property of the SDE. Before stating the proof of the proposition, we examine the latter aspect in detail. Lemma 2.6. Let π β UCπ (Ξ©π‘ ). There exists a modulus of continuity ππΎ,π,π , depending only on πΎ, π and the minimal modulus of continuity of π , such that ( ) πΈ π (π‘,π,π) [π] β πΈ π (π‘,πβ² ,π) [π] β€ ππΎ,π,π β₯π β π β² β₯π‘ for all π‘ β [0, π ], π β π° π‘ and π, π β² β Ξ©. Proof. π‘ πΈ[ β ] := πΈ π0 [ β ] to alleviate the notation. Let π, π ¯ β Ξ©, set π‘ ¯ π := π(π‘, π, π) and π := π(π‘, π ¯ , π), and recall that π = π β ππ‘ = π β ππ‘ ¯π‘ = π ¯ βπ and similarly π ¯π‘. π‘ π‘ π‘ (i) We begin with a standard SDE estimate. Let π = π + π΄ and ¯π‘ = π ¯ π‘ + π΄¯π‘ be the semimartingale decompositions and π‘ β€ π β€ π be π π‘ ¯ π‘ , π΄π‘ , π΄ ¯π‘ are bounded on [π‘, π ]. Then Itô's a stopping time such that π , π formula and the Lipschitz property (2.2) of π yield that β« π π‘ π‘ 2 ¯ ¯ ππ )β£2 ππ πΈ[β£ππ β ππ β£ ] β€ πΈ β£π(π, π βπ‘ π, ππ ) β π(π, π ¯ βπ‘ π, π‘ β« π 2 ¯ 2 ππ β€πΎ πΈ β₯π βπ‘ π β π ¯ βπ‘ πβ₯ π β«π‘ π ( ) ¯ π‘ β₯[π‘,π] 2 ππ β€ πΎ 2πΈ β₯π β π ¯ β₯π‘ + β₯π π‘ β π π‘ β« π [ ] 2 2 2 ¯ π‘ β₯2 πΈ β₯π π‘ β π β€ 2πΎ π β₯π β π ¯ β₯π‘ + 2πΎ [π‘,πβ§π ] ππ. We set π‘ Hence, Doob's maximal inequality implies that [ ] π‘ ¯ π‘ β₯2 ¯π‘ 2 πΈ β₯π π‘ β π [π‘,π ] β€ 4πΈ[β£ππ β ππ β£ ] β€ 8πΎ 2 π β₯π β π ¯ β₯2π‘ + 8πΎ 2 π β« π‘ Moreover, using the Lipschitz property (2.2) of β£π΄π‘π β π΄¯π‘π β£ β€ β« π, [ ] ¯ π‘ β₯2 πΈ β₯π π‘ β π [π‘,πβ§π ] ππ. we also have that π ¯ ππ )β£ ππ β£π(π, π βπ‘ π, ππ ) β π(π, π ¯ βπ‘ π, π‘ β« π ( ) ¯ π‘ β₯[π‘,π] ππ β€πΎ β₯π β π ¯ β₯π‘ + β₯π π‘ β π π‘ for all π‘β€π β€π and then Jensen's inequality yields that ] πΈ β₯π΄ β π΄¯π‘ β₯2[π‘,π ] β€ 2πΎ 2 π 2 β₯π β π ¯ β₯2π‘ + 2πΎ 2 π [ π‘ 8 β« π‘ π [ ] ¯ π‘ β₯2 πΈ β₯π π‘ β π [π‘,πβ§π ] ππ. Hence, we have shown that ] ¯ π‘ β₯2 πΈ β₯π β π ¯ β₯2π‘ + πΆ0 [π‘,π ] β€ πΆ0 β₯π β π π‘ [ where πΆ0 depends only on πΎ and π, β« π π‘ [ ] ¯ π‘ β₯2 πΈ β₯π π‘ β π [π‘,πβ§π ] ππ, and we conclude by Gronwall's lemma that [ ] ¯ π‘ β₯2 πΈ β₯π π‘ β π ¯ β₯2π‘ , [π‘,π ] β€ πΆβ₯π β π πΆ := πΆ0 ππΆ0 π . By the continuity of their sample paths, there exists a localizing sequence (ππ )πβ₯1 each π. of stopping times such that ¯ π‘ , π΄π‘ , π΄¯π‘ π π‘, π are bounded on [π‘, ππ ] for Therefore, monotone convergence and the previous inequality yield that [ ] ¯ π‘ β₯2 πΈ β₯π π‘ β π ¯ β₯2π‘ . [π‘,π ] β€ πΆβ₯π β π (ii) Let πΛ be (2.8) the minimal (nondecreasing) modulus of continuity for π, { } πΛ(π§) := sup β£π(Λ π ) β π(Λ π β² )β£ : π Λ, π Λ β² β Ξ©π‘ , β₯Λ πβπ Λ β² β₯[π‘,π ] β€ π§ , π is a bounded continuous function satisfying π(0) = 0 and π β₯ π Λ. Let π := π (π‘, π, π) and π¯ := π (π‘, π ¯ , π), then ¯ ¯ π‘ , respectively; therefore, π and π are the distributions of π π‘ and π π [ ( )] ¯ π‘ β₯[π‘,π ] . (2.9) ¯ π‘ )] β€ πΈ π β₯π π‘ β π πΈ [π] β πΈ π¯ [π] = πΈ[π(π π‘ ) β π(π and let π be the concave hull of πΛ. Then Moreover, Jensen's inequality and (2.8) yield that [ ( )] ( [ ]) ¯ π‘ β₯[π‘,π ] β€ π πΈ β₯π π‘ β π ¯ π‘ β₯[π‘,π ] πΈ π β₯π π‘ β π ( [ ]1/2 ) ¯ π‘ β₯2 β€ π πΈ β₯π π‘ β π [π‘,π ] (β ) β€ π πΆβ₯π β π ¯ β₯π‘ β π π¯ for every π. In view of (2.9), we have β£πΈ [π] β πΈ [π]β£ β€ π( πΆβ₯π β π ¯ β₯π‘ ); β i.e., the result holds for ππΎ,π,π (π§) := π( πΆπ§). After these preparations, we can prove the continuity of Proof of Proposition 2.5. ππ‘ . To disentangle the double dependence on π in (2.7), we rst consider the function (π, π) 7β πΈ π (π‘,π,π) [π π‘,π ], Since π β UCπ (Ξ©), (π, π) β Ξ© × Ξ©. there exists a modulus of continuity β£π(π) β π(π β² )β£ β€ π(π) (β₯π β π β² β₯π ), Therefore, we have for all β£π π‘,π (Λ π) β π π Λ β Ξ©π‘ π‘,π β² π(π) for π; i.e., π, π β² β Ξ©. that (Λ π )β£ = β£π(π βπ‘ π Λ ) β π(π β² βπ‘ π Λ )β£ β€ π(π) (β₯π βπ‘ π Λ β π β² βπ‘ π Λ β₯π ) = π(π) (β₯π β π β² β₯π‘ ). 9 (2.10) For xed Fix for ππ ; π β Ξ©, it follows that π (π‘,π,π) π‘,π β² πΈ [π ] β πΈ π (π‘,π,π) [π π‘,π ] β€ π(π) (β₯π β π β² β₯π‘ ). πβΞ© and let ππ := π π‘,π . Then π(π) (2.11) yields a modulus of continuity π . Thus π 7β πΈ π (π‘,π,π) [ππ ] admits a modulus of π, πΎ, π . In view of (2.11), we conclude in particular, this modulus of continuity is uniform in Lemma 2.6 implies that the mapping continuity ππ,πΎ,π depending only on that π (π‘,π,π) π‘,π β² β² πΈ [π ] β πΈ π (π‘,π ,π) [π π‘,π ] β€ π(π) (β₯π β π β² β₯π‘ ) + ππ,πΎ,π (β₯π β π β² β₯π‘ ) for all π, π β² , π, π β² β Ξ© and in particular that π (π‘,π,π) π‘,π β² β² πΈ [π ] β πΈ π (π‘,π ,π) [π π‘,π ] β€ π(β₯π β π β² β₯π‘ ), π := π(π) + ππ,πΎ,π π, π β² β Ξ©. Passing to the supremum over π β π° π‘ , we β£ππ‘ (π) β ππ‘ (π β² )β£ β€ π(β₯π β π β² β₯π‘ ) for all π, π β² β Ξ©, which was the for all 3 (2.12) obtain that claim. Pathwise Dynamic Programming In this section, we provide a pathwise dynamic programming principle which is fundamental for the subsequent sections. As we are working in the weak formulation (1.4), the arguments used here are similar to, e.g., [26], while [22] gives a related construction in the strong formulation (i.e., working only under π0 ). We assume in this section that the following conditional version of Assumption 2.1 holds true; however, we shall see later (Lemma 4.4) that this extended assumption holds automatically outside certain nullsets. Assumption 3.1. Throughout Section 3, we assume that π½π for all π0π‘ β π½π‘ for π := π(π‘, π, π), (3.1) (π‘, π, π) β [0, π ] × Ξ© × π° π‘ . The main result of this section is the following dynamic programming principle. We shall also provide more general, quasi-sure versions of this result later (the nal form being Theorem 5.2). Theorem 3.2. Let Then 0 β€ π β€ π‘ β€ π , π β UCπ (Ξ©) and set ππ (β ) = ππ (π; β ). [ ] ππ (π) = sup πΈ π (π ,π,π) (ππ‘ )π ,π πβπ° π 10 for all π β Ξ©. (3.2) We remark that in view of Proposition 2.5, we may see mapping UCπ (Ξ©) β UCπ (Ξ©) ππ = ππ β ππ‘ π 7β ππ (π; β ) as a and recast (3.2) as the semigroup property on UCπ (Ξ©) 0 β€ π β€ π‘ β€ π. for all (3.3) Some auxiliary results are needed for the proof of Theorem 3.2, which is stated at the end of this section. We start with the (well known) observation that conditioning the solution of an SDE yields the solution of a suitably conditioned SDE. Lemma 3.3. Let then ¯ := π(π , π 0 β€ π β€ π‘ β€ π , π β π° π and π ¯ β Ξ©. If π ¯ , π), π0π‘ -a.s. ( ) ¯ π‘,π = π π‘, π ¯ π ¯ βπ π(π), π π‘,π for all π β Ξ©π . Proof. ¯ , we have π β Ξ©π . Using the denition and the ow property of π β« π β« π π ,¯ π ¯ ¯ ¯ ππ’ ) ππ΅π’π ππ = π ¯π + π (π’, π, ππ’ ) ππ’ + π π ,¯π (π’, π, π β«π π β« π ¯π‘ + ¯ ππ’ ) ππ’ + ¯ ππ’ ) ππ΅ π π π -a.s. =π π(π’, π ¯ βπ π, π(π’, π ¯ βπ π, π’ 0 Let π‘ for all π β [π‘, π ]. π‘ Hence, using that π the increments of π΅ , (π0π )π‘,π = π0π‘ by the π0π -independence of β« π β« π π‘,π π‘,π π‘,π π‘,π ¯ ¯ π‘,π , ππ’π‘,π ) ππ΅π’π‘ π0π‘ -a.s. ¯ ¯ ¯ βπ π , ππ’ ) ππ’+ π(π’, π ¯ βπ π ππ = ππ‘ + π(π’, π π‘ π‘ (3.4) Since ¯ π is adapted, we have ¯ π‘,π (β ) = π(π ¯ βπ‘ β ) = π(π) ¯ π on [π , π‘] and in particular ¯ π‘,π = π ¯ ¯ π‘,π = π βπ‘ π ¯ π‘,π , π ¯ βπ π ¯ βπ π(π) βπ‘ π Therefore, recalling that ¯ ππ‘,π = ππ‘ + π β« π ¯π = π π ¯π , ¯ π‘,π π ¯ π := π ¯ βπ π(π). (3.4) can be stated as ¯ π‘,π , π π‘,π ) ππ’ + π (π’, π π‘,π β« π‘ i.e., for π ¯ π‘,π , π π‘,π ) ππ΅ π‘ π π‘,π (π’, π π’ π0π‘ -a.s.; π‘ solves the SDE (2.6) for the parameters (π‘, π, π π‘,π ). Now the result follows by the uniqueness of the solution to this SDE. Given π‘ β [0, π ] and π β Ξ©, we dene { } π«(π‘, π) = π (π‘, π, π) : π β π° π‘ . These sets have the following invariance property. 11 (3.5) Lemma 3.4. Let 0 β€ π β€ π‘ β€ π and π¯ β Ξ©. If π for π -a.e. π β Ξ©π . π π‘,π β π«(π‘, π ¯ βπ π) Proof. β π«(π , π ¯ ), then π β π«(π , π ¯ ), we have π = π (π , π ¯ , π) for some π β π° π ; i.e., setting π := π(π , π ¯ , π), π is the distribution of β« β β« β ππ = π(π, π ¯ βπ π, ππ ) ππ + π(π, π ¯ βπ π, ππ ) ππ΅ππ under π0π . Since π π π Λπ :=β« π(π, π ¯ βπ β«π, ππ ) and π Λπ := π(π, π ¯ βπ π, ππ ) and see the above as β β π integral Λπ ππ + π π Λπ ππ΅π rather than an SDE. As in [26, Lemma 2.2], π π We set the the nondegeneracy assumption (3.1) implies the existence of a progressively measurable transformation π½π : Ξ©π β Ξ©π (depending on π½π (π π ) = π΅ π π , π ¯, π) such that π0π -a.s. (3.6) Furthermore, a rather tedious calculation as in the proof of [26, Lemma 4.1] shows that π π‘,π = π0π‘ (β« β β π Λππ‘,π½π (π) ππ β« + π β π Λππ‘,π½π (π) ππ΅ππ‘ )β1 for π -a.e. π β Ξ©π . π π Λ := π½π (π), we have ( ) ( ) = π π, π ¯ βπ π π‘,Λπ , πππ‘,Λπ = π π, π ¯ βπ π(Λ π ) βπ‘ π π‘,Λπ , πππ‘,Λπ Note that, abbreviating π (π) π Λπ‘,π½ π and similarly for π Λ π‘,π½π (π) . Hence, we deduce by Lemma 3.3 that π π‘,π = π (π‘, π ¯ βπ π(Λ π ), π π‘,Λπ ) π -a.e. π β Ξ©π . for In view of (3.6), we have π π (π½π (π΅ π )) = π΅ π i.e., π(Λ π )π = π π (Λ π) = π for π -a.e. π β Ξ©π , π π‘,π = π (π‘, π ¯ βπ π, π π‘,Λπ ) In particular, π -a.s.; (3.7) and we conclude that for π -a.e. π β Ξ©π . (3.8) π π‘,π β π«(π‘, π ¯ βπ π). Lemma 3.5 (Pasting). Let 0 β€ π β€ π‘ β€ π, π ¯ β Ξ©, π β π° π and set π π := π (π , π ¯ , π), π := π(π , π ¯ , π). Let (πΈ )0β€πβ€π be a nite β±π‘π -measurable π π π‘ partition of Ξ© , π β π° for 1 β€ π β€ π and dene π¯ β π° π by [ ] π β π π π‘ π π¯(π) := 1[π ,π‘) π(π) + 1[π‘,π ] π(π)1πΈ 0 (π(π) ) + π (π )1πΈ π (π(π) ) . π=1 Then π¯ := π (π , π¯ , π¯) satises π¯ = π on π¯ π‘,π = π (π‘, π ¯ βπ π, π π ) β±π‘π and for π -a.e. π β πΈ π , 12 1 β€ π β€ π. Proof. As π ¯ = π on [π , π‘), we have π(π , π ¯ , π¯) = π on [π , π‘] and in particular π¯ = π on β±π‘π . Let 1 β€ π β€ π , we show that π¯ π‘,π = π (π‘, π ¯ βπ π, π π ) for π -a.e. π β πΈ π . Recall from (3.8) that π¯ π‘,π = π (π‘, π ¯ βπ π, π¯π‘,π½π¯ (π) ) where π½π¯ for π¯ -a.e. π β Ξ©π , is dened as in (3.6). Since both sides of this equality depend only on the restriction of π to [π , π‘] and π(π , π ¯ , π¯) = π π¯ π‘,π = π (π‘, π ¯ βπ π, π¯π‘,Λπ ) on [π , π‘], we also have that π -a.e. π β Ξ©π , for (3.9) π Λ = π½π (π) is dened as below (3.6). Note that by (3.7), π β πΈ π implies π(Λ π )π β πΈ π under π . (More precisely, if π΄ β Ξ©π is a set such that π΄ β πΈ π π -a.s., then {π(Λ π )π : π β π΄} β πΈ π π -a.s.) In fact, since π is π π adapted and πΈ β β±π‘ , we even have that where π(Λ π βπ‘ π Λ )π β πΈ π By the denition of π¯, π Λ β Ξ©π‘ , for all for π -a.e. π β πΈ π . we conclude that π¯π‘,Λπ (Λ π ) = π¯(Λ π βπ‘ π Λ ) = π π ((Λ π βπ‘ π Λ )π‘ ) = π π (Λ π ), π Λ β Ξ©π‘ , for π -a.e. π β πΈ π . In view of (3.9), this yields the claim. Remark 3.6. In [26] and [17], it was possible to use a pasting of measures as follows: in the notation of Lemma 3.5, it was possible to specify measures π π on Ξ©π‘ , corresponding to certain admissible controls, and use the pasting [ ] βπ 0 Λ π (π΄) := π (π΄ β© πΈ ) + π=1 πΈ π π π (π΄π‘,π )1πΈ π (π) to obtain a measure in Ξ©π which again corresponded to some admissible control and satised πΛ π‘,π = π π πΛ -a.e. π β πΈ π , for (3.10) which was then used in the proof of the dynamic programming principle. This is not possible in our SDE-driven setting. πΛ Indeed, suppose that π (π , π ¯ , π) for some π ¯ and π , then we see from (3.8) that, π‘,π Λ when π is general, π will depend explicitly on π , which contradicts (3.10). is of the form Therefore, the subsequent proof uses an argument where (3.10) holds only at one specic π β πΈπ; on the rest of πΈπ, we conne ourselves to controlling the error. We can now show the dynamic programming principle. Apart from the dierence remarked above, the basic pattern of the proof is the same as in [26, Proposition 4.7]. Proof of Theorem 3.2. Using the notation (3.5), our claim (3.2) can be stated as sup π βπ«(π ,¯ π) [ ] πΈ π π π ,¯π = sup [ ] πΈ π (ππ‘ )π ,¯π π βπ«(π ,¯ π) 13 for all π ¯ β Ξ©. (3.11) (i) We rst show the inequality β€ in (3.11). Fix π ¯ β Ξ© and π β π«(π , π ¯ ). π π‘,π β π«(π‘, π ¯ βπ π) for π -a.e. π β Ξ©π and hence that ] ] π‘,π [ π‘,π [ π‘,¯ πΈπ (π π ,¯π )π‘,π = πΈ π π π βπ π ] β²[ β€ sup πΈ π π π‘,¯πβπ π Lemma 3.4 shows that π β² βπ«(π‘,¯ π βπ π) = ππ‘ (¯ π βπ π) = ππ‘π ,¯π (π) Since ππ‘ for π -a.e. π β Ξ©π . is measurable by Proposition 2.5, we can take π (ππ)-expectations on both sides to obtain that [ π‘,π [ [ ] ]] [ ] πΈ π π π ,¯π = πΈ π πΈ π (π π ,¯π )π‘,π β€ πΈ π ππ‘π ,¯π . π β π«(π , π ¯ ) on both sides and obtain the claim. (ii) We now show the inequality β₯ in (3.11). Fix π ¯ β Ξ©, π β π° π and let π = π (π , π ¯ , π). We x π > 0 and construct a countable cover of the state We take the supremum over space as follows. Let π Λ β Ξ©π . By the denition of ππ‘ (¯ π βπ π Λ ), := π (π‘, π ¯ βπ π Λ , π (Λπ) ) satises there exists π (Λπ) β π° π‘ such (Λ π) that π ππ‘ (¯ π βπ π Λ ) β€ πΈπ (π) Λ [π π‘,¯πβπ πΛ ] + π. (3.12) π΅(π, π Λ ) β Ξ©π denote the open β₯ β β₯[π ,π‘] -ball of radius π around π Λ . Since ) is a separable (quasi-)metric space and therefore Lindelöf, there [π ,π‘] π π π π exists a sequence (Λ π )πβ₯1 in Ξ© such that the balls π΅ := π΅(π, π Λ ) form a π π π cover of Ξ© . As an β₯ β β₯[π ,π‘] -open set, each π΅ is β±π‘ -measurable and hence Let (Ξ©π , β₯ β β₯ πΈ 1 := π΅ 1 , denes a partition πΈ π+1 := π΅ π+1 β (πΈ 1 βͺ β β β βͺ πΈ π ), πβ₯1 (πΈ π )πβ₯1 of Ξ©π . Replacing πΈ π by ( π ) πΈ βͺ {Λ π π } β {Λ π π : π β₯ 1, π β= π} if necessary, we may assume that π Λ π β πΈπ for π β₯ 1. We set π π := π (Λπ π) and π π := π (π‘, π ¯ βπ π Λ π , π π ). Next, we paste the controls π π. Fix π β β and let π΄π := πΈ 1 βͺ β β β βͺ πΈ π , Ξ©π . Let π := π(π , π ¯ , π), dene π 1 π then {π΄π , πΈ , . . . , πΈ } is a nite partition of [ π π¯(π) := 1[π ,π‘) π(π) + 1[π‘,π ] π(π)1π΄ππ (π(π) ) + π β π π‘ π ] π (π )1πΈ π (π(π) ) π=1 π¯ := π (π , π ¯ , π¯). Then, by Lemma 3.5, we have π¯ = π on β±π‘π and Λ π , for some subset πΈ Λ π β πΈ π of full measure = π (π‘, π ¯ βπ π, π π ) for all π β πΈ and let π¯ π‘,π π . Let us assume for the moment that Λπ π Λπ β πΈ for 14 1 β€ π β€ π, (3.13) then we may conclude that π π¯ π‘,Λπ = π π 1 β€ π β€ π. for Recall from Proposition 2.5 that ππ‘ (3.14) admits a modulus of continuity π(ππ‘ ) . Moreover, we obtain similarly as in (2.10) that there exists a modulus of continuity π(π) such that β² β£π π‘,¯πβπ π β π π‘,¯πβπ π β£ β€ π(π) (β₯π β π β² β₯[π ,π‘] ). Let π β πΈ π β Ξ©π for some 1 β€ π β€ π, β₯π β π Λ π β₯[π ,π‘] < π. then Together with (3.12) and (3.14), we obtain that ππ‘π ,¯π (π) β€ ππ‘π ,¯π (Λ π π ) + π(ππ‘ ) (π) π π β€ πΈ π [π π‘,¯πβπ πΛ ] + π + π(ππ‘ ) (π) Λπ ¯ π‘,π = πΈπ π [π π‘,¯πβπ πΛ ] + π + π(ππ‘ ) (π). (3.15) Recall from (2.12) that the mapping β² β² π π β² 7β πΈ π (π‘,π ,π ) [π π‘,π ] is uniformly continuous with a modulus πβ πΛ independent of π and π. Since πΈ π , it follows that Λπ ¯ π‘,π πΈπ ¯ π‘,π π [π π‘,¯πβπ πΛ ] β πΈ π = πΈ π (π‘,¯πβπ πΛ β€ πΛ(π) Setting for π ,π π ) [π π‘,¯πβπ π ] π π¯ -a.e. π β πΈ π . π(π) := πΛ(π) + π + π(ππ‘ ) (π) ¯ π‘,π πΈπ π [π π‘,¯πβπ πΛ ] β πΈ π (π‘,¯πβπ π,π ) [π π‘,¯πβπ π ] and noting that ¯ π‘,π [π π‘,¯πβπ π ] = πΈ π (3.16) ¯ [(π π ,¯π )π‘,π ] = πΈ π [π π ,¯π β£β±π‘π ](π), the inequalities (3.15) and (3.16) imply that ] ¯[ ππ‘π ,¯π (π) β€ πΈ π π π ,¯π β±π‘π (π) + π(π) for on (3.17) π¯ -a.e. (and thus π -a.e.) π β πΈ π . This holds for all 1 β€ π β€ π . β±π‘π , taking π -expectations yields ¯ πΈ π [ππ‘π ,¯π 1π΄π ] β€ πΈ ππ [π π ,¯π 1π΄π ] + π(π), π¯π = π¯ to recall the dependence on π . π ¯ ππ (π΄π ) = π (π΄ππ ) β 0 as π β β. In view of where we write have ¯ ¯ ¯ ¯ As π = π¯ (3.18) Since π΄π β Ξ© π , we πΈ ππ [π π ,¯π 1π΄π ] = πΈ ππ [π π ,¯π ] β πΈ ππ [π π ,¯π 1π΄ππ ] β€ πΈ ππ [π π ,¯π ] + β₯πβ₯β ππ (π΄ππ ), 15 we conclude from (3.18) that ¯ πΈ π [ππ‘π ,¯π ] β€ lim sup πΈ ππ [π π ,¯π ] + π(π) β€ π ββ Since β² πΈ π [π π ,¯π ] + π(π). sup π β² βπ«(π ,¯ π) π β π«(π , π ¯ ) was arbitrary, letting π β 0 completes the proof of (3.11). It remains to argue that our assumption (3.13) does not entail a loss of Λ π for some π. Then there are two π Λπ β / πΈ π possible cases. The case π (πΈ ) = 0 is easily seen to be harmless; recall π that the measure π was xed throughout the proof. In the case π (πΈ ) > 0, π π Λ ) > 0 and in particular πΈ Λ β= β . Thus we can replace we also have π (πΈ π π Λ π Λ by an arbitrary element of πΈ (which can be chosen independently of π ). Using the continuity of the value function (Proposition 2.5) and of the generality. Indeed, assume that reward function (2.12), we see that the above arguments still apply if we add an additional modulus of continuity in (3.15). 4 Extension of the Value Function In this section, we extend the value function of random variables ππ‘ π, π 7β ππ‘ (π; β ) to an πΏ1 -type space in the spirit of, e.g., [8]. While the construction of in the previous section required a precise analysis π by π , we can now move towards a more probabilistic presentation. In particular, we shall often write ππ‘ (π) for the random variable π 7β ππ‘ (π; π). For reasons explained in Remark 4.2 below, we x from now on an initial condition π₯ β βπ and let π«π₯ := {π (0, π₯, π) : π β π°} π = 0. Given a random variable π on Ξ©, we write π π₯ as a shorthand for π 0,π₯ β‘ π(π₯β0 β ). We also write ππ‘π₯ (π) π₯ for (ππ‘ (π)) . π Given π β [1, β), we dene πΏπ« to be the space of β±π -measurable random π₯ variables π satisfying be the corresponding set of measures at time β₯πβ₯πΏπ := sup β₯πβ₯πΏπ (π ) < β, π«π₯ π βπ«π₯ β₯πβ₯ππΏπ (π ) := πΈ π [β£πβ£π ]. More precisely, we identify functions which are π equal π«π₯ -quasi-surely, so that πΏπ« becomes a Banach space. (Two functions π₯ are equal π«π₯ -quasi-surely, π«π₯ -q.s. for short, if they are equal π -a.s. for all π β π«π₯ .) Furthermore, given π‘ β [0, π ], where πππ«π₯ (β±π‘ ) is dened as the β₯ β β₯πΏπ π«π₯ -closure of UCπ (Ξ©π‘ ) β πΏππ«π₯ . πΏππ«π₯ -convergent sequence has a π«π₯ -q.s. convergent subsequence, π any element of ππ« (β±π‘ ) has an β±π‘ -measurable representative. For brevity, π₯ π π we shall often write ππ« for ππ« (β±π ). π₯ π₯ Since any 16 Remark 4.1. πΏππ«π₯ is π β The space π«π₯ -quasi πππ«π₯ can be described as follows. π uniformly continuous if We say that πβ² has a representative with π > 0 there exists an open set πΊ β Ξ© such that π (πΊ) < π for all π β π« and such that the restriction π β² β£Ξ©βπΊ is uniformly conπ π tinuous. Then ππ« consists of all π β πΏπ« such that π is π«π₯ -quasi uniformly π₯ π₯ continuous and limπββ β₯π1{β£πβ£β₯π} β₯πΏπ = 0. Moreover, If π«π₯ is weakly relaπ«π₯ π tively compact, then ππ« contains all bounded continuous functions on Ξ©. π₯ the property that for all The proof is the same as in [17, Proposition 5.2], which, in turn, followed an argument of [7]. π1π«π₯ , π₯ β βπ . Before extending the value function to working under a xed initial condition Remark 4.2. let us explain why we are There is no fundamental obstruction to writing the theory without xing the initial condition be more elegant if stated using π«¯ π₯; in fact, most of the results would instead of π«π₯ , where π«¯ is the set of all distributions of the form (2.4), with arbitrary initial condition. However, the set π«¯ is very large and therefore the corresponding space π1π«¯ is very small, which is undesirable for the domain of our extended value function. As an illustration, consider a random variable of the form where π : βπ β β π(π) := π (π0 ) on Ξ©, is a measurable function. Then β₯πβ₯πΏ1¯ = sup β£π (π₯)β£; π« i.e., π is in πΏ1π«¯ only when π π₯ββπ is uniformly bounded. As a second issue in the same vein, it follows from the Arzelà-Ascoli theorem that the set π«¯ is never weakly relatively compact. The latter property, which is satised by example when π and π π«π₯ for are bounded, is sometimes useful in the context of quasi-sure analysis. Lemma 4.3. Let π β [1, β). The mapping ππ‘π₯ on UCπ (Ξ©) is 1-Lipschitz, β₯ππ‘π₯ (π) β ππ‘π₯ (π)β₯πΏπ β€ β₯π β πβ₯πΏπ π«π₯ π«π₯ for all π, π β UCπ (Ξ©). As a consequence, ππ‘π₯ uniquely extends to a Lipschitz-continuous mapping ππ‘π₯ : πππ«π₯ (β±π ) β πππ«π₯ (β±π‘ ). Proof. The argument is standard and included only for completeness. Note β£π βπβ£π is again in UCπ (Ξ©). The denition of ππ‘π₯ and Jensen's inequality π₯ π₯ π π₯ π π₯ π imply that β£ππ‘ (π) β ππ‘ (π)β£ β€ ππ‘ (β£π β πβ£) β€ ππ‘ (β£π β πβ£ ). Therefore, [ ]1/π β₯ππ‘π₯ (π) β ππ‘π₯ (π)β₯πΏπ β€ sup πΈ π ππ‘π₯ (β£π β πβ£π ) = sup πΈ π [β£π β πβ£π ]1/π , that π«π₯ π βπ«π₯ π βπ«π₯ where the equality is due to (3.2) applied with π = 0. (For the case π = 0, the additional Assumption 3.1 was not used in the previous section.) Recalling ππ‘π₯ maps π ππ«π₯ (β±π‘ ). from Proposition 2.5 that π extension maps ππ« to π₯ UCπ (Ξ©) 17 to UCπ (Ξ©π‘ ), it follows that the 4.1 Quasi-Sure Properties of the Extension In this section, we provide some auxiliary results of technical nature. The rst one will (quasi-surely) allow us to appeal to the results in the previous section without imposing Assumption 3.1. This is desirable since we would like to end up with quasi-sure theorems whose statements do not involve regular conditional probability distributions. Lemma 4.4. Assumption 2.1 implies that Assumption 3.1 holds for quasi-every π β Ξ© satisfying π0 = π₯. π«π₯ - For the proof of this lemma, we shall use the following result. Lemma 4.5. Let π and π be continuous adapted processes, π‘ β [0, π ] and let π be a probability measure on Ξ©. Then π½π π½π π‘,π Proof. π π‘,π β π½π π‘,π π β π½π implies that for π -a.e. π β Ξ©. The assumption implies that there exists a progressively measurable transformation it follows that π½ : Ξ© β Ξ© such that π = π½(π ) π -a.s. For π -a.e. π β Ξ©, π(π βπ‘ β ) = π½(π (π βπ‘ β )) π π‘,π -a.s., which, in turn, yields the result. Proof of Lemma 4.4. Let π := π(π‘, π, π) with π 0 = π₯, we have to show that π0π‘ β π½π‘ whenever π 0 is outside some π«π₯ -polar set. Hence we shall x an Λ β π«π₯ and show that the result holds on a set of full measure πΛ . arbitrary π Λ β π«π₯ , then πΛ = π (0, π₯, πΛ) for some πΛ β π° and πΛ is concentrated on Let π Λ 0 , where π Λ := π(0, π₯, πΛ). That is, recalling that π0 = π Λ 0 = π₯, the image of π Λ we may assume that π = π(π) for some π β Ξ©. Let π½π π¯(Λ π ) := 1[0,π‘) πΛ(Λ π ) + 1[π‘,π ] π(Λ π π‘ ). (4.1) ¯ := π(0, π₯, π¯) satises π ¯ =π Λ on [0, π‘] and hence we may assume π ¯ π = π(π) on [0, π‘]. Using Lemma 3.3 and (4.1), we deduce that ( ) ¯ π‘,π = π π‘, π₯ β π(π), ¯ π π¯π‘,π = π(π‘, π, π) = π. Then that Since π½ β π½π¯ π0 by Assumption 2.1, we conclude that π½π‘ by using Lemma 4.5 with π π0π‘ β π½π¯ π‘,π π0π‘ π 7β ππ‘π₯ (π) on π1π«π₯ π0π‘ being the canonical process. The next two results show that (for mapping = π½π πβ‘0 and π positive denite) the falls into the general class of sublinear expecta- tions considered in [19], whose techniques we shall apply in the subsequent 18 section. More precisely, the two lemmas below yield the validity of its main condition [19, Assumption 4.1]. The following property is known as stability under pasting and well known to be important in non-Markovian control. It should not be confused with the pasting discussed in Remark 3.6, where the considered measures correspond to dierent points in time. Lemma 4.6. Let π be an π½-stopping time and let Ξ β β±π . Let π, π 1 , π 2 β π«π₯ satisfy π 1 = π 2 = π on β±π . Then [ ] π¯ (π΄) := πΈ π π 1 (π΄β£β±π )1Ξ + π 2 (π΄β£β±π )1Ξπ , π΄ β β±π denes an element of π«π₯ . Proof. π¯ It follows from the denition of the conditional expectation that is a probability measure which is characterized by the properties π¯ = π on β±π and ¯ π (π),π π { (π 1 )π (π),π = (π 2 )π (π),π for for π -a.e. π β Ξ, π -a.e. π β Ξπ . (4.2) π, π 1 , π 2 β π° be such that π = π (0, π₯, π) and π π = π (0, π₯, π π ) for π = 1, 2. Moreover, let π := π(0, π₯, π), dene π ¯ β π° by Let π¯π (π) := 1[0,π (π(π)0 )) (π)ππ (π) [ ] + 1[π (π(π)0 ),π ] (π) ππ1 (π)1Ξ (π(π)0 ) + ππ2 (π)1Ξπ (π(π)0 ) and let πβ := π (0, π₯, π¯) β π«π₯ . We show that πβ satises the three propπ = π¯ on [0, π (π 0 )) implies that πβ = π on β±π . erties from (4.2). Indeed, Moreover, as in (3.8), π (π),π πβ ) ( 0 = π π (π), π₯ β0 π, π¯π (π(π) ),Λπ for π -a.e. π β Ξ©. Similarly as below (3.9), we also have that 0 ),Λ π π¯π (π(π) ( ) 0 = π1 π Λ βπ (π(π)0 ) β = (π 1 )π (π(π) ),Λπ for π -a.e. π β Ξ. Therefore, π (π),π πβ ( ) 0 = π π (π), π₯ β0 π, (π 1 )π (π(π) ),Λπ = (π 1 )π (π),π for π -a.e. π β Ξ. An analogous argument establishes the third property from (4.2) and we conclude that π¯ = πβ β π«π₯ . The second property is the quasi-sure representation of result which will be generalized in Theorem 5.2 below. 19 ππ‘π₯ (π) on π1π«π₯ , a Lemma 4.7. Let π‘ β [0, π ] and π β π1π«π₯ . Then β² π -a.s. ππ‘π₯ (π) = ess supπ πΈ π [π π₯ β£β±π‘ ] π β² βπ« for all π β π«π₯ , (4.3) π₯ (β±π‘ ,π ) where π«π₯ (β±π‘ , π ) := {π β² β π«π₯ : π β² = π on β±π‘ }. Proof. Recall that Lemma 4.4 allows us to appeal to the results of Section 3. (i) We rst prove the inequality β€ for π β UCπ (Ξ©). Fix π β π«π₯ . We use Step (ii) of the proof of Theorem 3.2, in particular (3.17), for the special case π = 0 and obtain that for given π > 0 and π β₯ 1 there exists a measure π¯π β π«π₯ (β±π‘ , π ) such that ¯ ππ‘π₯ (π) β€ πΈ ππ [π π₯ β£β±π‘ ](π) + π(π) for π -a.s. π β πΈ 1 βͺ β β β βͺ πΈ π , βͺ π₯ π₯ π 0 where ππ‘ (π) := ππ‘ (π; π). Since πβ₯1 πΈ = Ξ© = Ξ© π -a.s., we deduce that ¯ ππ‘π₯ (π) β€ sup πΈ ππ [π π₯ β£β±π‘ ](π) + π(π) for π -a.s. π β Ξ©. π β₯1 The claim follows by letting π β 0. (ii) Next, we show the inequality β₯ in (4.3) for π, π β² β π β UCπ (Ξ©). Fix β π«(π‘, π₯ β0 π) for π β² -a.s. π β Ξ© by applied with π := π‘ and π‘ := π yields that π«π₯ and recall that (π β² )π‘,π Lemma 3.4. Therefore, (3.2) ππ‘π₯ (π) = ππ‘ (π₯ β0 π) β₯ πΈ (π β² )π‘,π [π π‘,π₯β0 π ] = πΈ (π β² )π‘,π β² [(π π₯ )π‘,π ] = πΈ π [π π₯ β£β±π ](π) π β² -a.s. on β±π‘ . If π β² β π«π₯ (β±π‘ , π ), then π β² = π on β±π‘ and the inequality holds β² also π -a.s. The claim follows as π β π«π₯ (β±π‘ , π ) was arbitrary. (iii) So far, we have proved the result for π β UCπ (Ξ©). The general 1 case π β ππ« can be derived by an approximation argument exploiting the π₯ stability under pasting (Lemma 4.6). We omit the details since the proof is exactly the same as in [17, Theorem 5.4]. 5 Path Regularity for the Value Process π«π₯ -modication for π π₯ (π); that is, a π₯ π₯ ππ‘ = ππ‘ (π) π«π₯ -q.s. for all π‘ β [0, π ]. (Recall βπ has been xed.) To this end, we extend the In this section, we construct a càdlàg càdlàg process π π₯ such that that the initial condition π₯β π½+ = {β±π‘+ }0β€π‘β€π be the minimal right+ π« continuous ltration containing π½ and we augment π½ by the collection π© π₯ of (π«π₯ , β±π )-polar sets to obtain the ltration raw ltration π½ as in [19]: we let πΎ = {π’π‘ }0β€π‘β€π , We note that πΎ depends on π₯ β βπ π’π‘ := β±π‘+ β¨ π© π«π₯ . since π© π«π₯ does, but for brevity, we shall not indicate this in the notation. In fact, the dependence on 20 π₯ is not crucial: we could also work with is π«π₯ -q.s. π½+ , at the expense of obtaining a modication which equal to a càdlàg process rather than being càdlàg itself. We recall that in the quasi-sure setting, value processes similar to the one under consideration do not admit càdlàg modications in general; indeed, while the right limit exists quasi-surely, it need not be a modication (cf. [19]). Both the regularity of π β π1π«π₯ and the regularity induced by the SDE are crucial for the following result. Theorem 5.1. Let π β π1π«π₯ . There exists a (π«π₯ -q.s. unique) πΎ-adapted càdlàg π«π₯ -modication β° π₯ (π) = {β°π‘π₯ (π)}π‘β[0,π ] of {ππ‘π₯ (π)}π‘β[0,π ] . Moreover, β² π -a.s. β°π‘π₯ (π) = ess supπ πΈ π [π π₯ β£π’π‘ ] π β² βπ«π₯ (π’π‘ ,π ) for all π β π«π₯ , (5.1) for all π‘ β [0, π ]. Proof. In view of Lemmata 4.6 and 4.7, we obtain exactly as in [19, Propo- sition 4.5] that there exists a π«π₯ -q.s. unique πΎ-adapted càdlàg process β° π₯ (π) satisfying (5.1) and π₯ β°π‘π₯ (π) = ππ‘+ (π) := lim πππ₯ (π) π«π₯ -q.s. πβπ‘ for all 0 β€ π‘ < π. The observation made there is that (4.3) implies that supermartingale for all π β π«π₯ , π π₯ (π) (5.2) is a (π, π½)- so that one can use the standard modi- cation argument for supermartingales under each π π₯ [6, Theorem VI.2], also yields that πΈ [β°π‘ (π)β£β±π‘+ ] π . This argument, cf. β€ ππ‘π₯ (π) π -a.s. and in particular πΈ π [β°π‘π₯ (π)] β€ πΈ π [ππ‘π₯ (π)] for all π β π«π₯ . Hence, it remains to show that β°π‘π₯ (π) β₯ ππ‘π₯ (π) π«π₯ -q.s. for (5.3) π‘ β [0, π ), which is the part that is known to fail in a more general setting. We give the proof in several steps. π1π«π₯ (β±π‘ ), and in fact even to UCπ (Ξ©π‘ ) if a suitable representative is chosen. Let π β UCπ (Ξ©), π β (π‘, π ] and π₯ π₯ set ππ := ππ (π). By Proposition 2.5, there exists a modulus of continuity π independent of π such that (i) We rst show that β°π‘π₯ maps UCπ (Ξ©) to β£πππ₯ (π) β πππ₯ (π β² )β£ β€ π(β₯π β π β² β₯π ). Hence the π«π₯ -q.s. limit from (5.2) satises β£ππ‘+ (π) β ππ‘+ (π β² )β£ β€ π(β₯π β π β² β₯π ) Since β°π‘π₯ (π) = ππ‘+ (π), taking the limit for all πβπ‘ π β (π‘, π ] β© β, yields that β£β°π‘π₯ (π)(π) β β°π‘π₯ (π)(π β² )β£ β€ π(β₯π β π β² β₯π‘ ) π«π₯ -q.s. 21 π«π₯ -q.s. β°π‘π₯ (π) coβ π1π«π₯ (β±π‘ ). β π1π«π₯ and By a variant of Tietze's extension theorem, cf. [16], this implies that π₯ incides π«π₯ -q.s. with an element of UCπ (Ξ©π‘ ). In particular, β°π‘ (π) π₯ (ii) Next, we show that β°π‘ is Lipschitz-continuous. Let π, π π‘π β π‘. Using (5.2), Fatou's lemma and Lemma 4.3, we obtain that β₯β°π‘π₯ (π) β β°π‘π₯ (π)β₯πΏ1 = limπ β£ππ‘π₯π (π) β ππ‘π₯π (π)β£πΏ1 π«π₯ π«π₯ [ ] π π₯ = sup πΈ limπ β£ππ‘π (π) β ππ‘π₯π (π)β£ π βπ«π₯ [ ] β€ sup lim inf πΈ π β£ππ‘π₯π (π) β ππ‘π₯π (π)β£ π π βπ«π₯ β€ β₯π β πβ₯πΏ1 . π«π₯ 1 π π (iii) Let π β ππ« . Then there exist π β UCπ (Ξ©) such that π π₯ π₯ π π₯ 1 π₯ π and in thus β°π‘ (π ) β β°π‘ (π) in πΏπ« by Step (ii). Since β°π‘ (π ) β π₯ 1 1 Step (i) and since ππ« (β±π‘ ) is closed in πΏπ« , we conclude that π₯ π₯ β°π‘π₯ (π) β π1π«π₯ (β±π‘ ) for all β π in πΏ1π«π₯ π1π«π₯ (β±π‘ ) by π β π1π«π₯ . π β π1π«π₯ . Since ππ‘π₯ is the identity on π1π«π₯ (β±π‘ ), Step (iii) implies = ππ‘π₯ (β°π‘π₯ (π)). Moreover, the representations (4.3) and (5.1) yield (iv) Let π₯ that β°π‘ (π) β² ππ‘π₯ (β°π‘π₯ (π)) = ess supπ πΈ π [β°π‘π₯ (π)β£β±π‘ ] π β² βπ« π₯ (β±π‘ ,π ) ] β²[ β² β₯ ess supπ πΈ π πΈ π [π π₯ β£π’π‘ ]β±π‘ π β² βπ«π₯ (β±π‘ ,π ) β² = ess supπ πΈ π [π π₯ β£β±π‘ ] π β² βπ«π₯ (β±π‘ ,π ) = ππ‘π₯ (π) π -a.s. for all π β π«π₯ . We conclude that (5.3) holds true. Since dened. β° π₯ (π) is a càdlàg process, its value β°ππ₯ (π) at a stopping time π The following result states the quasi-sure representation of is well β°ππ₯ (π) and the quasi-sure version of the dynamic programming principle in its nal form. Theorem 5.2. Let 0 β€ π β€ π β€ π be πΎ-stopping times and π β π1π«π₯ . Then β² β°ππ₯ (π) = ess supπ πΈ π [β°ππ₯ (π)β£π’π ] π β² βπ«π₯ (π’π ,π ) π -a.s. for all π β π«π₯ π -a.s. for all π β π«π₯ . (5.4) and in particular β² β°ππ₯ (π) = ess supπ πΈ π [π π₯ β£π’π ] π β² βπ«π₯ (π’π ,π ) Moreover, there exists for each π β π«π₯ a sequence ππ β π«π₯ (π’π , π ) such that β°ππ₯ (π) = lim πΈ ππ [π π₯ β£π’π ] πββ with a π -a.s. increasing limit. 22 π -a.s. Proof. In view of Lemmata 4.6 and 4.7, the result is derived exactly as in [19, Theorem 4.9]. As in (3.3), the relation (5.4) can be seen as a semigroup property β°ππ₯ (π) = β°ππ₯ (β°ππ₯ (π)), β°ππ₯ (π) is in the domain π1π«π₯ of β°ππ₯ . The latter is guaranteed by π₯ Lemma 4.3 when π is a deterministic time. However, one cannot expect β°π (π) at least when to be quasi uniformly continuous (cf. Remark 4.1) for a general stopping time, for which reason we prefer to express the right hand side as in (5.4). 6 Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman 2BSDE In this section, we characterize the value process β° π₯ (π) as the solution of a 2BSDE. To this end, we rst examine the properties of π β π«π₯ . π΅ under a xed The following result is in the spirit of [28, Section 8]. Proposition 6.1. Let π₯ β βπ , π β π° and π := π (0, π₯, π). There exists a progressively measurable transformation π½ : Ξ© β Ξ© (depending on π₯, π) such that π := π½(π΅) is a π -Brownian motion and π π π½ = π½π . (6.1) Moreover, π΅ is the π -a.s. unique strong solution of the SDE β β« π΅= π(π‘, π₯ + π΅, ππ‘ (π )) ππ‘ + 0 Proof. β β« π(π‘, π₯ + π΅, ππ‘ (π )) πππ‘ under π. 0 π := π(0, π₯, π). Let As in Lemma 3.4, Assumption 2.1 implies the the existence of a progressively measurable transformation π½:Ξ©βΞ© such that π½(π 0 ) = π΅ Let π := π½(π΅). π0 -a.s. (6.2) Then (π΅, π 0 )π0 = (π½(π 0 ), π 0 )π0 = (π½(π΅), π΅)π = (π, π΅)π ; i.e., the distribution of (π, π΅) under 0 have π½π π0 = π. (π΅, π 0 ) In particular, π½π½(π 0 ) π0 under π is π0 coincides with the distribution of a π -Brownian motion. Moreover, we by Assumption 2.1 and therefore π½π΅ π π = π½π½(π΅) , which is (6.1). Note that 0 0 π = π (π΅) = β« β« 0 π(π‘, π₯ + π , ππ‘ (π΅)) ππ‘ + 23 π(π‘, π₯ + π 0 , ππ‘ (π΅)) ππ΅π‘ π0 . Let π be the (unique, strong) solution of the analogous SDE β« β« π = π(π‘, π₯ + π, ππ‘ (π )) ππ‘ + π(π‘, π₯ + π, ππ‘ (π )) πππ‘ under π. under Using the denition of π and (6.2), we have that (π, π )π = (π 0 (π ), π )π = (π 0 (π΅), π΅)π0 = (π 0 , π½(π 0 ))π0 = (π΅, π½(π΅))π = (π΅, π )π . In view of (6.1), it follows that In the sequel, we denote by π =π΅ π π΅,π π -a.s. holds the local martingale part in the canon- ical semimartingale decomposition of π΅ under π. Corollary 6.2. Let π π β π«π₯ . Then the ltration π½ is right-continuous. If, in addition, π is invertible, then (π π΅,π , π ) has the predictable representation property. π (π½ , π )-local marunder π , for some The latter statement means that any right-continuous tingale π½ π π has a representation -predictable process Proof. π = π0 + β« π ππ π΅,π π. We have seen in Proposition 6.1 that π is generated by a Browβ«β Λπ‘ πππ‘ for π , hence right-continuous, and that π π΅,π = 0 π π Λπ‘ := π(π‘, π₯ + π΅, ππ‘ (π )), where π β π° . By changing π Λ on a ππ‘ × π -nullset, π we may assume that π is π½ -predictable. Using the Brownian representation β« Λ β1 theorem and π = π Λ ππ π΅,π , we deduce that π π΅,π has the representa- π½ nian motion tion property. The following formulation of 2BSDE is, of course, inspired by [27]. Denition 6.3. π β πΏ1π«π₯ and consider a pair (π, π) of processes with values in β × π is càdlàg πΎ-adapted while π is πΎ-predictable β«π 2 and 0 β£ππ β£ πβ¨π΅β©π < β π«π₯ -q.s. Then (π, π) is called a solution of the Let βπ such that 2BSDE (6.3) if there exists a family processes satisfying β« ππ‘ = π β πΈ π [β£πΎππ β£] < β (πΎ π )π βπ«π₯ of π½ π -adapted increasing such that π ππ πππ π΅,π + πΎππ β πΎπ‘π , 0 β€ π‘ β€ π, π -a.s. for all π β π«π₯ π‘ (6.3) and such that the following minimality condition holds for all ess inf π πΈ π β² βπ«π₯ (π’π‘ ,π ) πβ² [ πβ² πΎπ πβ² ] β πΎπ‘ π’π‘ = 0 π -a.s. 24 for all 0 β€ π‘ β€ π: π β π«π₯ . (6.4) Moreover, a càdlàg process π is said to be of class (D,π«π₯ ) if the family {ππ }π is uniformly integrable under π for all π β π«π₯ , where π runs through all πΎ-stopping times. The following is our main result. Theorem 6.4. Assume that π is invertible and let π β π1π«π₯ . (i) There exists a (ππ‘ × π«π₯ -q.s. unique) πΎ-predictable process π π such that ( )β1 π π = πβ¨π΅, π΅β©π πβ¨β° π₯ (π), π΅β©π π -a.s. for all π β π«π₯ . (6.5) (ii) The pair (β° π₯ (π), π π ) is the minimal solution of the 2BSDE (6.3); i.e., if (π, π) is another solution, then β° π₯ (π) β€ π π«π₯ -q.s. (iii) If (π, π) is a solution of (6.3) such that π is of class (D,π«π₯ ), then (π, π) = (β° π₯ (π), π π ). In particular, if π β πππ«π₯ for some π > 1, then (β° π₯ (π), π π ) is the unique solution of (6.3) in the class (D,π«π₯ ). Proof. Given two processes which are (càdlàg) semimartingales under all π β π«π₯ , their quadratic covariation can be dened π«π₯ -q.s. by using the integration-by-parts formula and Bichteler's pathwise stochastic integration [1, Theorem 7.14]; therefore, the right hand side of (6.5) can be used as a π π . The details of the argument are as in [19, Proposition 4.10]. Let π β π«π₯ . By Proposition 6.1, π΅ is an Itô process under π ; in parπ π΅,π , πβ©π π -a.s. for any π -semimartingale π . ticular, we have β¨π΅, πβ© = β¨π The Doob-Meyer theorem under π and Corollary 6.2 then yield the decomdenition of position β° π₯ (π) = β°0π₯ (π) + β« π π ππ π΅,π β πΎ π π -a.s. and we obtain (ii) and (iii) by following the arguments in [19, Theorem 4.15]. If π β πππ«π₯ for some π β (1, β), then β° π₯ (π) is of class (D,π«π₯ ) as a consequence of Jensen's inequality (cf. [19, Lemma 4.14]). Therefore, the last assertion follows from the above. We conclude by interpreting the canonical process set of scenarios π«π₯ , π΅, seen under the as a model for drift and volatility uncertainty in the Knightian sense. Remark 6.5. Consider the set-valued process Dπ‘ (π) := {( ) } π(π‘, π, π’), π(π‘, π, π’) : π’ β π β βπ × βπ×π . π β π«π₯ can be seen as a scenario in π΅ ) take values in D, π -a.s. Then, the In view of Proposition 6.1, each which the drift and the volatility (of upper π₯ expectation β° (π) is the corresponding worst-case expectation (see [19] for a connection to superhedging in nance). Note that D is a random process although the coecients of our controlled SDE are non-random. 25 Indeed, the path-dependence of the SDE translates to an π -dependence in the weak formulation that we are considering. π β‘ 0, we have constructed a sublinear expectation πΊ-expectation of [17]. While the latter is dened by specifying a set-valued process like D in the rst place, we have started here from a controlled SDE under π0 . 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