Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
3. How likely are you to vote in the Republican primary for president?
Total
Gender
n
ƒ
Male
%
ƒ
Working
(full or
part time)
ƒ
%
Female
ƒ
%
%
What is your current employment status?
Temporaril Temporaril
y
y
unemployed unemployed
Stay at
and
and not
home
looking
looking
parent/spo
for work
for work
use
Student
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Age group A
Retired
ƒ
%
18-29
ƒ
30-49
%
ƒ
50-64
%
ƒ
65+
%
ƒ
%
Definitely
325
57.6
162
58.6
163
56.7
170
54.2
12
58.9
5
36.7
5
40.1
29
51.0
104
71.4
22
39.3
118
50.0
97
64.4
86
73.4
Very likely
134
23.7
65
23.6
69
23.9
79
25.3
4
21.4
7
52.2
3
20.2
14
23.8
27
18.3
15
27.2
56
23.8
40
26.2
20
17.5
Somewhat likely
105
18.7
49
17.8
56
19.5
65
20.6
4
19.6
2
11.1
5
39.7
14
25.2
15
10.2
19
33.4
62
26.2
14
9.4
11
9.1
Not likely
Not sure
Total
565 100.0
277 100.0
288 100.0
314 100.0
21 100.0
Party
Democratic
ƒ
%
Definitely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
14 100.0
12 100.0
57 100.0
Ideology Recoded
Republican
ƒ
%
Independent
ƒ
%
Liberal
ƒ
%
Moderate
ƒ
%
145 100.0
56 100.0
236 100.0
151 100.0
Generation
Conservativ
e
ƒ
%
First
Globals
ƒ
%
Nikes
ƒ
%
116 100.0
Education
Woodstocker
s
ƒ
%
Privates
ƒ
%
No College
Degree
ƒ
%
College
Degree+
ƒ
%
20
49.5
262
69.1
44
30.1
20
44.7
85
50.2
215
63.3
39
38.7
94
53.5
126
62.2
64
80.1
143
59.7
181
56.0
5
12.9
85
22.6
44
29.8
17
37.8
32
18.9
83
24.5
29
28.3
38
21.7
54
26.7
10
13.1
50
21.0
83
25.7
15
37.6
32
8.3
59
40.1
8
17.5
53
30.9
41
12.2
34
33.0
44
24.8
22
11.1
5
6.8
46
19.3
59
18.3
Not likely
Not sure
Total
40 100.0
379 100.0
147 100.0
45 100.0
170 100.0
340 100.0
102 100.0
176 100.0
202 100.0
79 100.0
240 100.0
323 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 1
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
3. How likely are you to vote in the Republican primary for president?
Total
90600. Which of the following best describes you?
Liberal/progr
essive on
just about
every issue
ƒ
%
n
ƒ
%
Mainly a
liberal on
government
spending
ƒ
%
Mainly a
liberal on
social issues
ƒ
%
Conservative
on just about
every issue
ƒ
%
Mainly a
conservative
on government
spending
ƒ
%
Moderate
because I
look at each
issue
separately
ƒ
%
Mainly a
conservative
on social
issues
ƒ
%
Moderate
because I try
to be
rational, not
passionate
about
ƒ
%
Not sure
ƒ
%
Definitely
325
57.6
8
48.7
2
35.0
13
46.5
150
71.7
53
69.9
19
45.8
55
45.5
12
39.5
12
35.1
Very likely
134
23.7
6
36.9
1
15.1
6
22.5
40
19.1
15
20.2
11
27.4
31
25.4
8
25.5
15
45.1
Somewhat likely
105
18.7
2
14.4
4
49.9
9
31.1
19
9.2
8
9.9
11
26.8
35
29.1
11
35.0
7
19.8
565
100.0
16
100.0
7
100.0
29
100.0
210
100.0
76
100.0
41
100.0
122
100.0
30
100.0
34
100.0
Not likely
Not sure
Total
Age group B
18-24
ƒ
25-34
%
ƒ
Race
35-54
%
ƒ
55-69
%
ƒ
70+
%
ƒ
White
%
ƒ
Hisp
%
ƒ
%
Child under 17?
AfrAmer
ƒ
%
Asian
ƒ
Other
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
Definitely
6
38.4
33
38.7
125
53.4
115
67.6
43
81.2
291
57.7
18
57.7
7
51.5
4
61.6
3
43.7
102
55.8
223
58.5
Very likely
2
15.3
26
30.8
55
23.4
42
24.5
6
11.4
120
23.8
10
30.8
2
15.5
1
19.6
1
16.7
43
23.6
91
23.8
Somewhat likely
7
46.2
26
30.5
54
23.2
13
7.9
4
7.4
93
18.5
4
11.5
4
33.0
1
18.8
3
39.7
38
20.6
68
17.7
Not likely
Not sure
Total
16 100.0
86 100.0
234 100.0
171 100.0
53 100.0
504 100.0
31 100.0
13 100.0
7 100.0
7 100.0
183 100.0
382 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 2
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
3. How likely are you to vote in the Republican primary for president?
Total
n
ƒ
Religion
Protestant
Jewish
Catholic
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
Other/None
%
ƒ
%
Yes
BornAgain
No/NS
ƒ
%
ƒ
Weekly+
%
ƒ
Weekly
%
ƒ
%
Attend religious services
1-2/Month
Holidays
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Rarely
ƒ
%
Never
ƒ
%
Definitely
325
57.6
68
50.4
227
62.7
4
72.5
19
42.3
122
63.9
105
61.4
56
72.9
82
52.4
40
57.3
20
56.7
68
50.5
51
64.7
Very likely
134
23.7
36
26.9
77
21.4
1
18.3
13
28.9
44
22.7
34
19.9
15
19.0
42
26.6
12
17.4
3
9.0
43
32.2
17
21.5
Somewhat likely
105
18.7
31
22.6
58
15.9
1
9.2
13
28.8
26
13.4
32
18.7
6
8.0
33
21.0
18
25.4
12
34.3
23
17.3
11
13.8
Not likely
Not sure
Total
565 100.0
135 100.0
6 100.0
%
ƒ
Region
Centr GrLks
%
ƒ
%
East
ƒ
362 100.0
South
44 100.0
West
ƒ
%
192 100.0
< $25K
ƒ
%
170 100.0
$25-35K
ƒ
%
77 100.0
$35-50K
ƒ
%
157 100.0
70 100.0
36 100.0
Household Income
$50-75K
$75-100K
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
134 100.0
$100-150K
ƒ
%
78 100.0
$150K+
ƒ
%
Definitely
59
57.3
108
58.9
92
53.7
66
62.0
43
57.1
36
51.7
43
59.2
76
51.3
55
60.8
42
65.1
16
69.0
Very likely
26
25.4
39
21.3
41
23.7
28
26.5
15
20.0
21
31.2
12
17.0
39
26.2
27
29.5
10
15.9
5
20.1
Somewhat likely
18
17.3
36
19.8
39
22.7
12
11.5
17
22.9
12
17.0
17
23.9
33
22.5
9
9.7
12
19.0
2
11.0
103
100.0
184
100.0
172
100.0
106
100.0
76
100.0
69
100.0
72
100.0
148
100.0
91
100.0
65
100.0
23
100.0
Not likely
Not sure
Total
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 3
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
3. How likely are you to vote in the Republican primary for president?
Total
Live
n
ƒ
Lge City
ƒ
%
%
Sm City
ƒ
%
Union member
Suburbs
ƒ
%
Rural
ƒ
%
Yes
ƒ
Marital status
No
%
ƒ
Married
ƒ
%
%
Single
ƒ
%
Div/Sep/
Wdw
ƒ
%
Civil
union
ƒ
%
Home status
Live in
rental
unit
ƒ
%
Own a
home
ƒ
%
Neither
ƒ
%
Definitely
325
57.6
61
52.3
53
55.7
132
61.2
79
57.6
39
60.5
287
57.2
220
61.4
48
47.3
43
52.5
11
57.7
262
61.6
52
45.7
8
37.6
Very likely
134
23.7
36
31.5
26
27.5
38
17.7
33
24.0
17
26.7
117
23.4
82
22.8
28
27.4
22
27.5
3
13.6
90
21.1
34
30.1
10
48.4
Somewhat likely
105
18.7
19
16.2
16
16.8
46
21.1
25
18.4
8
12.8
97
19.4
57
15.8
26
25.3
16
20.1
5
28.8
74
17.3
27
24.2
3
14.0
Not likely
Not sure
Total
565 100.0
116 100.0
94 100.0
NASCAR Fan
Yes
ƒ
216 100.0
136 100.0
64 100.0
501 100.0
Self ID Social Networker
No
Yes
No
358 100.0
101 100.0
Phone
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Mobile
ƒ
%
81 100.0
19 100.0
426 100.0
114 100.0
Self ID Investor Class
Landline
ƒ
%
Both
Yes
21 100.0
Passport?
No
Yes
No
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Definitely
78
51.8
247
59.7
114
53.1
212
60.3
112
50.1
30
63.4
181
62.0
110
62.6
216
55.4
150
59.1
176
56.3
Very likely
48
32.2
86
20.7
45
21.2
89
25.3
57
25.6
14
28.9
64
21.8
41
23.2
93
24.0
64
25.2
70
22.5
Somewhat likely
24
16.0
81
19.6
55
25.7
50
14.4
54
24.4
4
7.8
47
16.2
25
14.2
80
20.6
39
15.6
66
21.1
150
100.0
415
100.0
214
100.0
351
100.0
223
100.0
47
100.0
292
100.0
175
100.0
390
100.0
253
100.0
312
100.0
Not likely
Not sure
Total
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 4
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
3. How likely are you to vote in the Republican primary for president?
Lost a job due to
corporate downsizing
within the past year?
Total
n
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
Worked at a job that
pays less than an
immediate previous
job?
Been afraid of losing
a job within the next
year?
ƒ
No
%
Yes
ƒ
%
Gone without food for
24 hours in the past
month due to a lack of
food or money?
No
ƒ
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
Creative Job Sector
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
Self ID Creative Class
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
Definitely
325
57.6
29
57.2
297
57.6
55
57.6
271
57.6
70
59.6
255
57.1
22
52.7
303
58.0
78
56.1
247
58.1
97
59.5
229
56.8
Very likely
134
23.7
11
22.6
123
23.9
23
24.7
111
23.6
25
21.6
109
24.3
11
26.1
123
23.6
36
25.6
98
23.1
32
19.6
102
25.4
Somewhat likely
105
18.7
10
20.2
95
18.5
17
17.7
89
18.8
22
18.8
83
18.6
9
21.2
96
18.4
26
18.3
80
18.8
34
20.9
71
17.8
Not likely
Not sure
Total
565 100.0
50 100.0
515 100.0
95 100.0
470 100.0
117 100.0
WalMart shopper?
Weekly
ƒ
%
Definitely
Few/Month
ƒ
%
448 100.0
43 100.0
522 100.0
Residency
1-2/year
ƒ
%
My city or
town
Never
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
America
ƒ
%
140 100.0
425 100.0
Sympathetic to Tea Party
The planet
earth
ƒ
Yes
163 100.0
402 100.0
Sympathetic to Occupy
Wall St
No
Yes
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
102
65.7
123
52.2
77
56.2
14
57.8
92
54.2
180
59.9
46
55.1
140
72.8
185
49.7
24
40.7
302
59.5
Very likely
28
17.8
66
28.0
32
23.5
6
24.9
48
28.3
69
23.0
17
20.0
40
20.6
94
25.4
20
34.2
114
22.6
Somewhat likely
26
16.5
47
19.8
28
20.3
4
17.2
30
17.5
51
17.0
21
24.9
13
6.6
93
24.9
15
25.1
91
17.9
155
100.0
236
100.0
137
100.0
25
100.0
171
100.0
301
100.0
83
100.0
193
100.0
372
100.0
58
100.0
507
100.0
Not likely
Not sure
Total
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 5
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
3. How likely are you to vote in the Republican primary for president?
Are you currently or have you ever
been a member of the National
Rifle Association?
Total
Currently
a member
of the NRA
n
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Former
member of
the NRA
ƒ
%
Have never
been a
member of
the NRA
ƒ
%
Are you a current or former gun
owner?
Current
gun owner
ƒ
%
Definitely
325
57.6
43
71.4
36
59.1
236
54.9
115
58.9
Very likely
134
23.7
12
20.8
16
26.5
103
24.1
55
Somewhat likely
105
18.7
5
7.8
9
14.4
90
21.0
25
Former gun
owner
ƒ
%
Do you invest in the
stock market; have an
IRA, a 401-K
retirement plan or a
pension fund?
Have never
been a gun
owner
ƒ
%
Do you or does anyone
in your household keep
a gun for personal
protection, hunting or
target shooting at
your home, place of
business, or at a
vacation home or club?
Yes
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
Veteran/Armed Forces?
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
32
58.5
152
54.8
195
59.8
115
52.5
128
57.5
164
56.0
103
60.5
215
56.5
28.4
8
14.2
63
22.5
80
24.5
52
23.5
56
25.3
66
22.5
33
19.3
98
25.8
12.8
15
27.3
63
22.7
51
15.6
53
24.0
38
17.1
63
21.5
34
20.2
67
17.7
Not likely
Not sure
Total
565 100.0
60 100.0
61 100.0
429 100.0
195 100.0
55 100.0
Career or gig?
Career
ƒ
Definitely
Not currently
employed
ƒ
%
Just a "gig"
ƒ
%
%
278 100.0
326 100.0
220 100.0
222 100.0
Did you not have to pay any taxes last
year because your income level was below
the threshold to pay taxes or because
your tax deductions left you with no
liability?
I did not have to
I had to pay taxes
pay taxes
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
292 100.0
170 100.0
380 100.0
Sexual Preference
Hetero
ƒ
Not Hetero
ƒ
%
%
141
60.2
39
40.6
146
61.9
99
53.3
201
58.0
311
58.2
14
46.9
Very likely
55
23.3
27
28.0
53
22.5
49
26.1
82
23.8
122
22.8
12
41.6
Somewhat likely
39
16.5
30
31.4
37
15.6
38
20.6
63
18.2
102
19.1
3
11.5
234
100.0
95
100.0
236
100.0
186
100.0
346
100.0
535
100.0
30
100.0
Not likely
Not sure
Total
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 6
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
5. If your state's Republican Primary or caucus were held today and the candidates were...for whom would you vote?
Total
Gender
n
ƒ
Male
%
ƒ
What is your current employment status?
Working
(full or
part time)
Female
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Temporaril
y
unemployed
and
looking
for work
ƒ
%
Temporaril
y
unemployed
and not
looking
for work
ƒ
%
Jeb Bush
95
16.8
54
19.5
41
14.1
58
18.4
2
8.3
Carly Fiorini
10
1.8
7
2.4
3
1.2
7
2.1
1
5.0
Scott Walker
49
8.6
27
9.9
21
7.4
24
7.7
1
5.0
Ted Cruz
36
6.3
19
6.9
17
5.8
20
6.4
0
1.3
1
5.8
Marco Rubio
25
4.4
9
3.2
16
5.5
13
4.3
2
10.1
0
3.3
John Kasich
3
.5
1
.5
1
.5
0
.1
Rand Paul
30
5.2
14
5.2
15
5.3
17
5.2
4
19.9
Ben Carson
32
5.6
13
4.7
19
6.5
10
3.1
1
5.0
Rick Perry
10
1.8
5
1.8
5
1.8
5
1.7
George Pataki
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
9
1.6
6
2.1
3
1.1
6
2.0
14
2.4
3
1.2
10
3.5
8
2.6
139
24.6
62
22.5
77
26.6
80
25.5
Jim Gilmore
2
.3
1
.3
1
.4
1
.2
Lindsey Graham
3
.4
0
.1
2
.8
2
.5
8
1.3
5
1.8
3
.9
5
1.7
27
4.7
13
4.9
13
4.6
13
4.2
Rick Santorum
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
6
1.0
4
1.3
2
.8
6
1.9
70
12.4
32
11.5
38
13.3
39
12.3
565 100.0
277 100.0
288 100.0
314 100.0
4
5
19.8
25.6
21 100.0
1
0
7.6
ƒ
%
33.2
1
7.7
40.3
14 100.0
Stay at
home
parent/spo
use
ƒ
%
Retired
ƒ
18-29
%
ƒ
30-49
%
ƒ
50-64
%
ƒ
65+
%
ƒ
%
1
8.3
4
7.8
28
19.1
12
21.1
38
15.9
21
13.9
23
20.0
1
5.0
0
.2
2
1.1
2
4.2
5
2.1
1
.9
2
1.4
5
8.1
19
13.1
2
3.7
15
6.3
14
8.9
18
15.7
4
34.8
10
6.9
4
7.2
15
6.4
11
7.5
5
4.5
6
4.3
2
3.4
9
3.7
9
5.8
5
4.6
0
.1
3
2.2
5
8.9
16
7.0
4
2.4
5
3.9
13
5.3
10
6.8
9
7.6
3.4
5
2.1
1
1.0
2
1.7
1
6.5
2
15.6
1
10.2
2.2
4
5
Student
Age group A
0
3
4.5
3
1.8
4
6.5
4
3.1
8
14.5
12
8.6
1
1.0
2
1.6
2
2
3.0
1
.7
0
.7
2
1.0
3
2.2
1
.9
1
2.4
3
1.8
2
2.8
7
2.8
3
1.9
2
2.0
16
28.7
33
22.9
9
16.1
64
27.0
43
28.2
24
20.3
1
1.2
0
.1
1
.7
1
.7
1
1.3
1
.3
1
.9
4
3.6
12
10.7
1.7
2
3.9
2
4.4
3
1.3
2
1.3
2
16.3
4
7.3
7
5.0
3
4.9
10
4.3
10
6.4
6
2.5
0
.0
0
1.6
7
11.9
13
9.3
9
16.7
28
11.9
18
12.0
12 100.0
57 100.0
145 100.0
56 100.0
236 100.0
151 100.0
116 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 7
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
5. If your state's Republican Primary or caucus were held today and the candidates were...for whom would you vote?
Total
Party
n
ƒ
Democratic
%
ƒ
%
Ideology Recoded
Republican
ƒ
%
Independen
t
ƒ
%
Liberal
Moderate
ƒ
ƒ
%
%
Generation
Conservati
ve
ƒ
%
First
Globals
ƒ
Nikes
%
ƒ
Education
Woodstocke
rs
%
ƒ
%
Privates
ƒ
%
No College
Degree
ƒ
%
College
Degree+
ƒ
%
Jeb Bush
95
16.8
5
12.4
75
19.7
15
10.3
8
17.2
31
18.1
56
16.5
22
21.2
28
15.7
29
14.5
15
18.7
23
9.5
72
22.3
Carly Fiorini
10
1.8
2
4.3
7
1.7
2
1.3
0
.6
3
1.9
7
2.0
2
2.3
5
2.8
1
.7
2
2.1
1
.5
9
2.8
Scott Walker
49
8.6
1
2.2
39
10.2
9
6.4
3
7.1
11
6.5
35
10.2
2
2.0
12
6.8
21
10.2
14
17.9
18
7.7
30
9.4
Ted Cruz
36
6.3
0
.7
30
8.0
5
3.6
7
4.4
28
8.3
6
6.2
11
6.0
16
7.9
3
3.7
23
9.7
12
3.8
Marco Rubio
25
4.4
1
2.8
17
4.5
6
4.4
2
3.7
10
5.7
13
3.9
5
4.4
4
2.5
13
6.4
3
3.8
10
4.1
15
4.7
John Kasich
3
.5
3
.7
0
.2
0
.5
3
.8
3
1.4
1
.5
2
.5
Rand Paul
30
5.2
17
4.5
11
7.8
1
3.2
Ben Carson
32
5.6
Rick Perry
10
George Pataki
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
1
3.0
21
5.6
10
7.1
1.8
1
1.5
5
1.2
5
3.6
2
4.4
8
5.0
20
5.8
11
10.7
8
4.6
8
3.8
3
3.6
4
1.6
26
8.0
8
4.5
24
7.0
3
2.9
10
5.4
13
6.3
7
8.2
17
7.1
15
4.6
5
2.7
3
.9
3
2.5
4
2.2
2
1.1
2
2.0
8
3.3
3
.8
9
1.6
1
2.5
6
1.7
2
1.2
4
8.6
3
1.6
2
.7
3
2.7
4
2.2
2
.9
7
2.1
14
2.4
2
6.0
7
1.7
5
3.1
2
4.3
5
2.7
7
2.0
4
4.1
4
2.4
5
2.3
1
.8
4
1.7
9
2.9
39
26.8
13
29.9
39
23.0
82
24.2
20
19.8
49
27.9
50
24.7
20
24.7
75
31.2
64
19.9
0
.5
2
1.0
1
.9
1
.5
2
.6
.9
0
.7
2
1.3
1
.7
1
.4
1
.4
139
24.6
11
27.5
89
23.4
Jim Gilmore
2
.3
1
2.2
1
.3
Lindsey Graham
3
.4
1
3.0
8
1.3
1
3.1
6
1.5
1
.4
1
1.4
3
1.7
4
1.2
2
2.4
3
1.8
2
27
4.7
4
10.5
16
4.3
6
4.4
3
6.9
7
4.3
15
4.5
5
5.3
7
4.2
14
6
1.0
1
2.3
5
1.2
0
.3
1
2.2
5
2.8
0
.0
1
.8
5
2.9
0
.0
70
12.4
6
15.9
37
9.7
27
18.3
4
8.9
22
12.8
40
11.9
11
11.0
25
14.4
21
10.3
Rick Santorum
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
565 100.0
40 100.0
1
379 100.0
147 100.0
45 100.0
170 100.0
340 100.0
102 100.0
176 100.0
1
1
.6
.9
5
2.3
2
.7
6.9
10
4.2
17
5.2
202 100.0
10
1.3
13.2
79 100.0
3
1.2
3
.9
34
14.1
34
10.5
240 100.0
323 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 8
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
5. If your state's Republican Primary or caucus were held today and the candidates were...for whom would you vote?
Total
90600. Which of the following best describes you?
Liberal/progr
essive on
just about
every issue
n
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Mainly a
liberal on
government
spending
ƒ
%
Mainly a
liberal on
social issues
ƒ
%
Conservative
on just about
every issue
ƒ
%
Mainly a
conservative
on government
spending
ƒ
%
Mainly a
conservative
on social
issues
ƒ
%
Moderate
because I
look at each
issue
separately
ƒ
%
Moderate
because I try
to be
rational, not
passionate
about
ƒ
%
Jeb Bush
95
16.8
8
29.2
26
12.2
22
29.2
21
17.0
3
9.2
Carly Fiorini
10
1.8
1
2.8
6
3.0
1
.8
1
.9
1
4.5
Scott Walker
49
8.6
2
6.5
25
11.9
10
12.9
7
6.1
3
10.1
Ted Cruz
36
6.3
22
10.5
6
8.1
3
8.3
4
3.4
Marco Rubio
25
4.4
2
5.9
12
5.8
1
1.4
2
6.1
7
6.1
John Kasich
3
1.2
3
18.9
3
.5
0
1.4
Rand Paul
30
5.2
1
6.5
Ben Carson
32
5.6
Rick Perry
10
1.8
1
8.4
9
1.6
3
20.1
George Pataki
Chris Christie
0
3.1
14
2.4
1
4.3
0
5.6
139
24.6
3
15.9
3
35.5
Jim Gilmore
2
.3
0
1.3
Lindsey Graham
3
.4
Rick Santorum
8
1.3
1
3.8
27
4.7
1
4.7
0
Donald Trump
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
8
18.5
Not sure
ƒ
%
4
12.1
2
5.1
2
6.2
5
2.3
8
10.2
7
16.8
7
5.7
0
1.3
1
3.5
14
6.7
3
3.5
0
1.0
10
8.1
3
11.3
0
.9
1
.7
1
1.4
1
1.6
1
.5
1
2.2
5
13.3
.5
1
1.7
2
1.4
1
3.1
1
2.1
1
3
1.7
2
2.4
0
.6
3
2.3
2
6.0
2
6.7
6
19.4
58
27.5
10
13.7
8
20.5
37
30.5
7
23.6
8
22.3
2
.8
2
1.4
1
.7
2
5.6
3
2.4
0
1.1
11
5.3
2
4.2
7
5.6
2
5.7
1
3.5
1
3.9
1
2.6
4.5
2
2.4
6
1.0
0
.2
1
8.4
1
2.1
2
3.0
0
.1
2
7.6
70
12.4
2
14.6
3
43.5
4
15.2
20
9.4
7
9.3
7
16.8
10
8.2
5
17.5
11
33.0
565
100.0
16
100.0
7
100.0
29
100.0
210
100.0
76
100.0
41
100.0
122
100.0
30
100.0
34
100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 9
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
5. If your state's Republican Primary or caucus were held today and the candidates were...for whom would you vote?
Total
Age group B
n
ƒ
18-24
ƒ
%
%
Jeb Bush
95
16.8
Carly Fiorini
10
1.8
Scott Walker
49
8.6
Ted Cruz
36
6.3
Marco Rubio
25
4.4
John Kasich
3
.5
Rand Paul
30
5.2
Ben Carson
32
5.6
Rick Perry
10
George Pataki
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
%
Hisp
ƒ
%
Child under 17?
AfrAmer
ƒ
%
Asian
ƒ
%
Other
ƒ
%
22
25.2
38
16.3
20
11.7
14
26.0
88
17.5
4
12.9
1
5.9
1
21.9
2
2.0
5
2.1
1
.8
2
3.1
9
1.7
1
2.1
1
5.7
0
2
2.4
20
8.4
20
11.7
7
13.5
47
9.4
1
4.6
2
2.7
14
6.0
15
8.9
34
6.8
1
2.0
5
5.3
7
3.0
10
6.0
4.2
3
8.0
3
1.6
10
11.8
11
4.5
5
3
5.6
21
3
.6
3.1
3
5.4
28
5.6
1
2.9
1
3.3
0
2.3
0
2.6
Yes
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
21
11.7
73
19.1
.3
4
2.2
6
1.6
0
2.8
14
7.4
35
9.2
1
12.1
9
5.0
27
6.9
0
.9
5.1
1
14.1
5
2.8
20
3
.7
0
6.8
18
9.7
12
3.1
1
14.5
10
5.4
22
5.7
2
1.1
8
2.2
3
3.5
12
5.1
15
8.5
2
4.4
28
5.5
11.9
1
.8
6
2.5
0
.2
2
3.0
10
2.0
0
2.4
2
2.7
4
2.6
5
1.0
2
7.9
0
3.0
1
14.8
2
.9
7
1.9
4
4.8
6
2.7
3
1.6
0
.5
12
2.3
0
1.3
0
2.5
1
17.7
6
3.3
8
2.0
18
20.5
64
27.3
41
23.8
14
26.7
127
25.2
5
14.9
2
17.4
57
31.4
82
21.3
1
1.0
1
.6
2
.4
1
.4
1
.3
1
.3
1
1.9
2
.3
0
1.4
0
2.5
2
.8
1
.3
0
3.2
9
1.6
14
2.4
2
.3
3
Total
ƒ
White
ƒ
%
2
Lindsey Graham
Not Sure/Someone Else
25.0
70+
1.8
24.6
Bobby Jindal
4
Race
55-69
ƒ
%
5.0
139
Mike Huckabee
3.8
35-54
ƒ
%
1
Jim Gilmore
Rick Santorum
1
25-34
ƒ
%
3
15.9
.4
1
4.6
8
1.3
0
2.7
2
2.4
3
1.4
2
1.0
6
1.1
1
3.3
4.7
2
12.6
3
4.0
11
4.5
11
6.3
21
4.1
5
14.6
6
1.0
1
.9
5
2.2
0
.0
2
.5
3
10.5
70
12.4
9
10.1
32
13.7
19
11.4
60
11.8
3
10.4
3
16.0
16 100.0
86 100.0
234 100.0
171 100.0
5
9.9
53 100.0
504 100.0
14.1
0
27
565 100.0
2
31 100.0
6
43.3
13 100.0
2
4.2
29.1
1
9.6
0
4.5
1
14.5
7 100.0
1
13.7
3
1.6
5
1.2
1
7.6
10
5.4
17
4.4
3
1.4
3
.9
17
9.4
53
13.8
1
8.3
7 100.0
183 100.0
382 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 10
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
5. If your state's Republican Primary or caucus were held today and the candidates were...for whom would you vote?
Total
Religion
n
ƒ
Catholic
ƒ
%
%
Protestant
ƒ
%
BornAgain
Jewish
ƒ
%
Other/None
ƒ
%
Yes
ƒ
Attend religious services
No/NS
ƒ
%
%
Weekly+
ƒ
%
Weekly
ƒ
%
1-2/Month
ƒ
%
Holidays
ƒ
%
Rarely
ƒ
%
ƒ
Never
%
Jeb Bush
95
16.8
19
14.1
66
18.3
4
9.1
24
12.5
42
24.9
6
8.1
27
17.1
11
15.3
10
27.0
24
17.7
16
20.1
Carly Fiorini
10
1.8
2
1.6
6
1.7
2
4.2
1
.5
5
3.0
0
.2
6
3.8
1
.8
1
1.7
2
1.5
1
1.2
Scott Walker
49
8.6
9
6.8
39
10.9
0
.7
20
10.5
19
11.3
7
9.2
13
8.0
7
9.7
4
11.1
12
9.0
4
5.6
Ted Cruz
36
6.3
9
6.6
27
7.4
21
10.8
6
3.6
13
16.5
9
6.0
3
7.2
8
5.8
3
4.2
Marco Rubio
25
4.4
8
5.9
15
4.2
1
9
4.6
6
3.7
4
5.4
5
3.1
4
9.9
4
3.1
5
6.0
0
.3
4
2.6
4
5.4
10
7.5
1
.8
7
5.2
1
.8
John Kasich
2
31.0
1.4
3
4.0
3
.5
1
.4
0
.5
1
.7
1
.8
Rand Paul
30
5.2
4
3.0
21
5.8
3
7.4
15
8.1
6
3.3
5
6.0
12
7.8
5
7.3
Ben Carson
32
5.6
4
2.7
25
7.0
1
12.6
2
4.5
14
7.1
12
6.8
7
9.8
10
6.1
3
3.8
Rick Perry
10
1.8
3
2.2
4
1.0
0
7.8
2
4.8
1
.7
2
1.3
2
1.5
0
.6
3
1.8
1
1.5
1
2.9
1
.8
3
4.1
2
5.3
5
3.5
3
3.7
21
30.5
9
24.3
35
26.2
25
31.3
2
2.5
0
.2
George Pataki
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
9
1.6
6
4.4
3
.8
3
1.6
14
2.4
4
2.8
6
1.7
1
10.6
3
7.2
1
.6
5
2.8
1
14.6
14
32.3
40
21.0
38
22.1
16
21.5
28
17.8
1
.6
1
1.4
1
.6
2
.9
0
.6
139
24.6
44
32.7
78
21.5
Jim Gilmore
2
.3
1
.5
1
.3
0
.5
Lindsey Graham
3
.4
0
.3
2
.5
0
.7
Rick Santorum
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
4
5.2
1
2.9
8
1.3
2
1.7
4
1.1
0
6.3
1
1.4
2
1.0
2
1.2
1
1.4
1
.6
0
.5
5
3.5
1
.8
27
4.7
3
2.4
20
5.6
0
4.6
1
3.1
15
8.0
5
3.0
4
5.0
10
6.7
3
3.8
3
7.5
5
3.6
1
1.3
6
1.0
1
.6
5
1.3
0
1.1
5
2.7
1
.6
5
6.6
0
.1
0
.3
70
12.4
16
11.6
38
10.5
9
21.1
16
9.6
27
16.9
6
9.2
14
10.2
14
18.4
565 100.0
135 100.0
362 100.0
1
12.4
6 100.0
44 100.0
22
11.4
192 100.0
170 100.0
8
9.8
77 100.0
157 100.0
70 100.0
36 100.0
134 100.0
78 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 11
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
5. If your state's Republican Primary or caucus were held today and the candidates were...for whom would you vote?
Total
n
ƒ
East
%
ƒ
South
%
ƒ
Jeb Bush
95
16.8
13
12.3
Carly Fiorini
10
1.8
1
Scott Walker
49
8.6
2
Ted Cruz
36
6.3
Marco Rubio
25
John Kasich
3
Rand Paul
Ben Carson
Rick Perry
George Pataki
Chris Christie
Region
Centr GrLks
%
ƒ
38
20.5
1.0
4
1.9
1.6
18
9.9
7
6.4
13
6.9
4.4
6
6.0
8
.5
0
.2
1
30
5.2
2
2.1
32
5.6
2
10
1.8
1
9
1.6
6
%
20
West
ƒ
< $25K
%
ƒ
11.8
24
22.6
5
3.0
1
.5
22
12.6
7
9
5.5
4.5
7
4.2
.7
1
.7
6
3.5
14
8.0
7
2.3
10
5.3
16
9.1
.6
2
1.1
2
1.4
5.9
0
.2
%
$25-35K
$35-50K
ƒ
ƒ
%
4
5.3
14
19.9
1
.9
6.8
6
8.2
1
7
6.5
11
14.1
3
2.9
0
1
6.9
4
4
3.9
5
5.2
2
2.4
Household Income
$50-75K
$75-100K
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
$100-150K
%
11
15.3
20
1.9
7
9.4
7
9.6
4
.4
2
3.4
3
1.6
1
1.9
4.7
2
3.2
3
4.6
4
2.4
8
5
6.2
3
4.4
4
5.0
8
5.5
3
3.5
2
2.4
4
2.5
1
1.9
4
2.6
ƒ
21.6
%
13
$150K+
ƒ
24
16.2
20.5
5
3.4
2
1.8
3
4.4
8
5.4
10
10.8
12
17.8
5.7
8
5.6
3
3.1
2
3.5
4.4
8
5.5
5
5.5
3
4.4
0
.3
8.3
5
8.0
7
7.4
3
4.9
2
2.1
0
.6
1
.7
3
4.9
%
8
34.7
5
22.7
1
4.6
1
5.7
14
2.4
9
8.3
1
.6
1
.6
3
2.6
1
1.8
0
.6
2
3.0
5
3.3
3
3.7
1
1.2
0
1.1
139
24.6
28
27.3
42
23.0
45
26.3
23
22.0
22
28.8
21
31.0
16
21.5
45
30.1
22
24.7
10
14.7
2
10.0
Jim Gilmore
2
.3
1
1.2
1
.6
1
1.7
1
.7
Lindsey Graham
3
.4
1
.6
1
1.3
1
1.5
0
.6
0
.2
1
1.2
Rick Santorum
8
1.3
3
2.5
3
1.4
2
1.4
1
1.2
5
6.9
1
2.0
0
.3
27
4.7
3
2.9
11
6.2
9
4.9
2
2.8
1
1.7
7
9.7
6
4.1
3
3.1
2
3.2
2
7.9
2
1.3
3
1.5
1
1.0
0
.1
1
.9
2
3.2
2
1.5
0
.5
0
.3
20
19.4
24
13.0
14
8.3
12
11.1
15
19.6
8
12.3
8
11.3
17
11.3
5
6.0
7
10.0
3
13.3
Donald Trump
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
6
1.0
70
12.4
565 100.0
103 100.0
184 100.0
172 100.0
4
3.8
106 100.0
76 100.0
69 100.0
72 100.0
148 100.0
91 100.0
65 100.0
23 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 12
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
5. If your state's Republican Primary or caucus were held today and the candidates were...for whom would you vote?
Total
Live
n
ƒ
Lge City
ƒ
%
%
Sm City
ƒ
%
Union member
Suburbs
ƒ
%
Rural
ƒ
%
Yes
ƒ
95
16.8
20
17.5
12
12.6
43
19.7
Carly Fiorini
10
1.8
1
.6
2
1.8
8
3.6
Scott Walker
49
8.6
8
7.3
6
6.6
24
10.9
11
7.7
8
Ted Cruz
36
6.3
11
9.8
6
6.2
11
4.9
8
5.8
2
Marco Rubio
25
4.4
4
3.2
7
7.4
10
4.8
4
2.7
John Kasich
20
14.6
No
%
Jeb Bush
12
Marital status
ƒ
18.0
Married
ƒ
%
%
Home status
Div/Sep/
Wdw
ƒ
%
Single
ƒ
%
Civil
union
ƒ
%
3
Live in
rental
unit
ƒ
%
Own a
home
ƒ
%
83
16.6
54
15.1
24
23.6
14
17.5
10
2.0
9
2.5
1
.9
0
.4
14.2
76
17.8
15
13.6
10
2.4
0
.1
11.9
41
8.2
38
10.5
7
7.0
4
5.1
3.5
33
6.7
19
5.3
8
8.4
8
9.6
0
1.4
42
9.9
5
4.7
21
4.9
15
13.1
3
4.3
22
4.4
14
4.0
4
3.7
5
5.9
2
10.6
18
4.2
7
6.0
3
.5
1
1.3
2
1.1
3
.6
2
.4
1
1.5
3
.7
Rand Paul
30
5.2
4
3.1
4
4.6
13
5.8
9
6.7
2
2.8
28
5.6
24
6.7
5
4.6
1
.9
0
.9
25
5.9
2
1.7
Ben Carson
32
5.6
6
4.9
5
5.6
9
4.3
12
8.4
5
7.5
27
5.4
22
6.2
4
3.5
6
6.9
1
3.0
25
5.9
7
6.0
Rick Perry
10
1.8
4
3.7
2
1.8
3
1.4
1
.9
10
2.1
3
.8
5
5.3
2
2.5
5
1.1
4
3.9
9
1.6
4
3.6
3
1.3
2
1.5
7
1.4
9
2.4
0
.4
3
.6
6
5.6
George Pataki
Chris Christie
2
2.9
14
2.4
3
2.4
3
3.1
5
2.5
2
1.8
3
4.6
11
2.1
11
3.0
3
2.5
0
.5
139
24.6
33
28.4
24
25.8
51
23.5
31
22.7
16
25.6
123
24.5
88
24.6
13
13.1
27
33.0
Jim Gilmore
2
.3
1
.6
0
.2
1
.5
2
.4
1
.2
0
.2
1
1.3
Lindsey Graham
3
.4
0
.5
0
.2
2
1.3
0
.7
2
.4
2
.6
0
.4
3
.6
Rick Santorum
8
1.3
1
.5
1
1.0
3
1.5
3
2.1
1
1.9
6
1.3
7
2.0
0
.4
7
27
4.7
5
4.3
5
5.4
8
3.8
8
6.2
6
8.7
21
4.2
20
5.6
3
2.7
6
1.0
0
.2
1
.5
5
3.4
6
1.2
1
.2
3
2.9
70
12.4
11
9.9
23
10.8
18
13.0
65
13.0
36
9.9
20
20.3
Donald Trump
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
565 100.0
116 100.0
15
16.2
94 100.0
216 100.0
136 100.0
5
7.5
64 100.0
501 100.0
358 100.0
101 100.0
4
8
4.8
10.0
81 100.0
9
48.2
12
2.7
2
1.7
108
25.3
24
21.2
1
.2
1
.9
1.7
0
.2
0
.9
25
5.8
1
.8
2
12.1
6
1.3
0
.3
2
8.6
38
9.0
23
20.3
19 100.0
426 100.0
114 100.0
Neither
ƒ
%
3
12.0
1
6.2
3
13.1
1
6.2
5
22.8
1
5.0
7
34.8
21 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 13
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
5. If your state's Republican Primary or caucus were held today and the candidates were...for whom would you vote?
Total
n
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
95
16.8
28
18.6
Carly Fiorini
10
1.8
5
3.0
6
Scott Walker
49
8.6
7
4.5
42
Ted Cruz
36
6.3
4
2.7
32
Marco Rubio
25
4.4
9
6.0
John Kasich
3
.5
1
.9
Rand Paul
30
5.2
3
Ben Carson
32
5.6
Rick Perry
10
1.8
9
1.6
Chris Christie
Yes Networker No
%
Jeb Bush
George Pataki
Self ID Social
NASCAR Fan
Yes
No
67
ƒ
16.1
%
ƒ
%
32
15.0
63
1.4
4
1.7
6
10.1
12
5.7
37
7.6
13
6.2
22
16
3.8
11
5.1
1
.4
2.1
27
6.4
9
2
1.0
30
7.3
5
3.4
5
1.3
3
1.9
6
1.5
Phone
Landline
Mobile
ƒ
17.8
%
ƒ
Self ID Investor Class
Yes
No
Both
%
ƒ
7.0
%
46
ƒ
15.8
%
44
19.6
3
46
1.9
3
1.1
0
.2
8
2.6
5
10.4
10
4.7
4
8.0
35
11.9
22
6.4
17
7.8
2
4.9
16
5.5
1
14
3.9
11
5.1
2
3.7
12
4.0
10
3
.8
3
1.0
4.3
20
5.8
16
7.2
3
7.2
10
3.5
10
17
8.0
15
4.2
14
6.5
4
8.5
13
4.5
7
3.1
4
1.0
4
1.8
0
.6
6
2.1
2
.9
7
2.0
3
1.2
4
8.3
2
.8
ƒ
26.3
%
Passport?
Yes
ƒ
No
%
55
ƒ
21.6
%
49
12.5
40
12.8
3.1
5
1.2
9
3.7
1
.2
12.5
27
6.9
28
11.0
21
6.8
.6
35
8.9
13
5.1
23
7.3
5.7
15
3.8
14
5.7
10
3.4
3
.7
0
.1
3
.8
5.5
20
5.1
16
6.2
14
4.5
12
6.8
20
5.1
12
4.7
20
6.4
0
.2
10
2.6
0
.2
10
3.2
3
1.7
6
1.6
6
2.3
3
1.1
14
2.4
4
2.5
10
2.4
5
2.2
9
2.5
5
2.1
1
1.9
8
2.7
3
1.5
11
2.8
6
2.3
8
2.4
139
24.6
44
29.3
95
22.9
55
25.6
84
24.0
53
23.8
12
25.7
74
25.3
36
20.6
103
26.4
47
18.7
92
29.4
Jim Gilmore
2
.3
1
.6
1
.3
1
.6
1
.2
1
.3
1
.4
2
.5
1
.4
1
.3
Lindsey Graham
3
.4
1
.9
1
.3
0
.2
2
.6
0
.2
2
.7
1
.7
1
.3
1
.3
2
.6
Rick Santorum
8
1.3
4
2.7
3
.8
6
2.7
2
.5
4
1.6
4
1.4
1
.7
6
1.6
1
.6
6
2.0
27
4.7
7
4.7
20
4.8
13
6.1
14
3.9
7
3.1
5.0
6
3.6
21
5.3
11
4.5
15
4.9
Donald Trump
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
6
1.0
3
1.7
3
.8
4
1.7
2
.7
5
2.4
70
12.4
20
13.4
50
12.0
23
10.9
47
13.3
26
11.5
565 100.0
150 100.0
415 100.0
214 100.0
351 100.0
223 100.0
5
11.3
15
1
.2
4
2.0
2
.6
3
1.1
3
1.0
6
12.7
37
12.7
15
8.5
55
14.1
29
11.6
41
13.0
47 100.0
292 100.0
175 100.0
390 100.0
253 100.0
312 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 14
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
5. If your state's Republican Primary or caucus were held today and the candidates were...for whom would you vote?
Lost a job due to
corporate downsizing
within the past year?
Total
n
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
Been afraid of losing
a job within the next
year?
No
%
ƒ
Jeb Bush
95
16.8
5
10.0
Carly Fiorini
10
1.8
1
Scott Walker
49
8.6
1
Ted Cruz
36
6.3
Marco Rubio
25
4.4
John Kasich
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
90
17.4
12
2.3
9
1.8
2
2.9
47
9.2
12
3
6.6
32
6.3
2
1
2.7
23
4.5
6
Worked at a job that
pays less than an
immediate previous
job?
ƒ
12.9
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
82
17.5
15
1.9
8
1.8
3
12.3
37
7.9
16
2.2
34
7.1
6
6.5
19
4.0
6
Gone without food for
24 hours in the past
month due to a lack of
food or money?
ƒ
12.9
Yes
%
ƒ
Creative Job Sector
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
%
79
17.8
8
19.9
86
16.5
32
2.6
7
1.6
1
1.4
10
1.8
5
14.0
32
7.2
49
9.3
15
4.8
30
6.7
4
8.4
32
6.1
4
5.2
19
4.2
0
1.1
24
4.7
6
3.1
1
.3
Self ID Creative Class
No
ƒ
23.2
Yes
%
ƒ
62
14.6
3.6
5
10.9
34
3.0
4.4
0
No
%
ƒ
32
19.7
1.2
6
7.9
15
32
7.4
19
4.4
.2
3
%
63
15.5
3.5
5
1.1
9.2
34
8.4
8
5.0
28
6.9
9
5.4
16
4.0
.6
0
.1
3
.6
3
.5
1
2.7
1
.3
1
1.4
1
.3
1
1.1
1
.3
1
Rand Paul
30
5.2
3
6.0
27
5.2
3
3.7
26
5.6
6
5.2
23
5.2
0
.8
29
5.6
13
9.5
16
3.8
10
6.3
19
4.8
Ben Carson
32
5.6
2
3.0
30
5.9
2
2.1
30
6.3
2
1.9
29
6.6
2
4.1
30
5.7
3
2.4
28
6.7
8
4.9
24
5.9
Rick Perry
10
1.8
10
2.0
4
3.8
7
1.4
2
1.8
8
1.9
1
2.4
9
1.8
10
2.4
1
.8
9
2.3
9
1.6
3
6.6
6
1.1
2
2.1
7
1.5
3
2.5
6
1.4
2
4.4
7
1.4
4
2.6
5
1.3
5
3.3
4
.9
14
2.6
1
.8
13
2.9
2
1.4
11
2.8
12
28.4
127
24.3
32
22.6
107
25.3
38
23.6
101
25.0
2
.4
2
.5
2
.5
George Pataki
Chris Christie
14
2.4
0
.9
13
2.6
1
.8
13
2.7
1
1.1
12
2.8
139
24.6
13
27.0
126
24.4
23
23.9
116
24.7
32
26.9
108
24.0
Jim Gilmore
2
.3
2
.4
2
.4
2
.4
Lindsey Graham
3
.4
0
.9
2
.4
1
1.3
1
.3
0
.4
2
.5
0
1.0
2
.4
2
1.1
1
.2
1
.5
2
.4
Rick Santorum
8
1.3
1
2.1
7
1.3
0
.4
7
1.5
4
3.2
4
.9
3
7.9
4
.8
1
.8
6
1.5
2
.9
6
1.5
27
4.7
5
9.5
22
4.3
5
5.0
22
4.7
5
4.4
22
4.8
4
8.7
23
4.4
8
5.9
19
4.4
6
3.8
21
5.1
6
1.0
2
4.6
4
.7
2
2.4
4
.8
2
2.0
4
.8
2
5.4
4
.7
3
2.1
3
.7
3
1.7
3
.8
70
12.4
6
12.2
64
12.4
16
17.3
54
11.4
12
10.1
58
13.0
1
3.0
69
13.2
10
6.9
60
14.2
16
10.0
54
13.4
Donald Trump
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
565 100.0
50 100.0
515 100.0
95 100.0
470 100.0
117 100.0
448 100.0
43 100.0
522 100.0
140 100.0
425 100.0
163 100.0
402 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 15
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
5. If your state's Republican Primary or caucus were held today and the candidates were...for whom would you vote?
Total
WalMart shopper?
n
ƒ
Weekly
ƒ
%
%
Few/Month
ƒ
%
Sympathetic to Tea
Party
Residency
1-2/year
ƒ
%
My city or
town
ƒ
%
Never
ƒ
%
The planet
earth
ƒ
%
America
ƒ
%
Jeb Bush
95
16.8
20
13.1
41
17.6
27
20.0
4
15.5
25
14.9
57
19.0
Carly Fiorini
10
1.8
3
1.9
6
2.7
0
.3
0
1.1
1
.8
9
2.9
Scott Walker
49
8.6
17
10.9
20
8.3
8
5.7
3
12.4
11
6.3
28
9.4
9
Ted Cruz
36
6.3
13
8.2
7
2.8
16
11.3
15
8.6
18
6.1
Marco Rubio
25
4.4
6
3.7
12
5.0
5
3.7
2
8.2
6
3.6
14
4.8
John Kasich
1
.8
1
10
11.8
Yes
ƒ
Sympathetic to Occupy
Wall St
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
24
12.5
70
18.9
9
15.1
86
16.9
3
1.7
7
1.8
0
.2
10
2.0
10.5
30
15.5
19
5.1
4
7.2
45
8.8
3
3.1
23
11.7
13
3.5
1
1.1
35
6.9
4
4.9
11
5.8
14
3.7
3
5.9
21
4.2
.4
0
.3
1
.7
1
.4
0
.4
3
.5
6
10.7
3
.5
1
.9
1
.5
0
.2
Rand Paul
30
5.2
4
2.4
14
6.1
10
7.0
8
4.9
19
6.4
2
2.5
12
6.1
18
4.8
23
4.6
Ben Carson
32
5.6
5
3.3
17
7.3
8
6.0
7
4.2
18
6.0
6
7.7
14
7.3
18
4.8
32
6.3
Rick Perry
10
1.8
5
3.2
4
1.8
1
.8
4
2.3
4
1.2
1
1.6
3
1.6
7
1.9
10
2.0
George Pataki
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
1
3.3
9
1.6
4
2.3
3
1.3
2
1.7
3
1.9
5
1.6
1
1.2
4
2.2
5
1.3
4
6.1
5
1.1
14
2.4
2
1.1
7
3.1
3
2.4
1
2.7
7
4.3
6
2.0
0
.4
0
.2
13
3.5
1
1.4
13
2.5
62
26.4
28
20.2
7
26.4
46
26.9
71
23.5
21
25.9
42
21.7
97
26.1
15
26.2
124
24.4
0
.9
139
24.6
41
26.7
Jim Gilmore
2
.3
2
1.1
0
.1
1
.2
1
1.3
0
.1
2
.5
1
1.2
1
.2
Lindsey Graham
3
.4
2
1.0
1
.4
0
.3
2
.6
0
.4
1
.6
1
.4
1
1.3
2
.3
Rick Santorum
8
1.3
4
2.5
4
1.6
5
3.0
2
.7
0
.4
3
1.6
5
1.2
4
6.6
4
.7
27
4.7
12
7.9
4
1.7
10
7.3
9
5.0
15
4.8
3
3.2
7
3.7
20
5.3
1
2.4
25
5.0
6
1.0
0
.3
5
2.1
1
.4
2
1.3
4
1.2
0
.1
5
2.4
1
.3
0
.8
5
1.1
70
12.4
15
9.6
26
11.2
18
12.8
18
10.7
27
9.1
20
24.7
9
4.5
61
16.5
8
13.5
62
12.3
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
565 100.0
155 100.0
236 100.0
137 100.0
7
29.5
25 100.0
171 100.0
301 100.0
83 100.0
193 100.0
372 100.0
58 100.0
507 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 16
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
5. If your state's Republican Primary or caucus were held today and the candidates were...for whom would you vote?
Are you currently or have you ever
been a member of the National
Rifle Association?
Total
Currently
a member
of the NRA
n
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Former
member of
the NRA
ƒ
%
Have never
been a
member of
the NRA
ƒ
%
Are you a current or former gun
owner?
Current
gun owner
ƒ
%
Former gun
owner
ƒ
%
Jeb Bush
95
16.8
6
10.3
5
7.5
84
19.5
33
16.9
Carly Fiorini
10
1.8
3
4.8
0
.2
7
1.7
5
2.4
Scott Walker
49
8.6
4
6.7
7
11.8
38
8.8
18
9.1
5
Ted Cruz
36
6.3
7
11.1
7
11.2
22
5.2
14
6.9
5
Marco Rubio
25
4.4
1
1.0
3
4.7
20
4.6
4
2.2
4
John Kasich
3
.5
1
2.0
2
.4
3
1.3
Rand Paul
30
5.2
4
7.2
6
10.6
19
4.4
14
7.0
1
Ben Carson
32
5.6
0
.4
5
7.6
27
6.2
11
5.9
Rick Perry
10
1.8
10
2.3
1
.6
George Pataki
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
9
1.6
14
2.4
6
9.5
Do you invest in the
stock market; have an
IRA, a 401-K
retirement plan or a
pension fund?
7
Have never
been a gun
owner
ƒ
13.1
%
Yes
ƒ
Do you or does anyone
in your household keep
a gun for personal
protection, hunting or
target shooting at
your home, place of
business, or at a
vacation home or club?
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
20.3
28
12.8
31
14.2
61
21.0
29
17.3
65
17.1
6
2.0
7
2.0
4
1.7
5
2.1
6
1.9
7
4.1
3
.8
9.3
26
9.4
40
12.4
8
3.8
18
8.1
31
10.6
17
9.7
32
8.5
8.3
16
5.9
12
3.5
24
11.0
16
7.2
18
6.3
10
5.8
26
6.8
7.5
13
4.7
16
4.8
9
4.1
3
1.6
18
6.1
8
4.6
17
4.3
0
.1
0
.1
3
1.2
3
1.2
0
.1
1
.7
2
.4
2.3
13
4.7
20
6.2
9
4.3
15
6.9
10
3.5
4
2.4
25
6.6
2
3.7
14
5.2
21
6.5
9
4.2
12
5.5
14
4.8
14
8.4
17
4.6
0
.7
6
2.3
2
.6
5
2.4
1
.5
7
2.5
2
1.0
9
2.3
3
.8
5
2.7
3
5.8
1
.2
5
1.4
4
2.0
7
3.2
2
.6
5
2.9
4
1.1
2
3.0
12
2.7
5
2.3
0
.6
8
3.0
9
2.8
5
2.1
3
1.3
9
3.0
2
1.2
12
3.0
14
22.2
96
22.4
54
27.6
15
27.4
58
21.0
76
23.3
61
27.6
64
28.9
57
19.6
45
26.6
89
23.4
2
.4
2
.7
1
.8
1
.3
8
2.0
8
4.7
17
4.4
21
35.8
2
.3
0
.4
2
.4
0
.1
1
1.9
1
.2
1
.3
1
.5
2
.9
Lindsey Graham
3
.4
0
.7
2
.5
0
.2
1
1.8
1
.4
2
.5
1
.5
0
.2
8
1.3
8
1.8
2
1.1
5
2.0
4
1.3
3
1.4
2
1.0
5
1.9
27
4.7
4
6.3
18
4.3
8
4.2
1
2.4
14
5.1
12
3.6
13
5.7
15
6.6
10
3.4
3
5.8
18
9.4
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
6
1.0
70
12.4
565 100.0
60 100.0
%
66
24.6
Bobby Jindal
ƒ
19.1
139
Mike Huckabee
No
%
53
Jim Gilmore
Rick Santorum
Veteran/Armed Forces?
4
6.8
3
4.7
3
.7
5
7.7
58
13.4
61 100.0
429 100.0
195 100.0
3
5.3
3
1.1
3
.9
3
1.3
3
1.3
3
1.0
3
1.7
3
.8
5
10.0
38
13.8
31
9.5
30
13.5
21
9.5
38
12.9
13
7.9
49
13.0
55 100.0
278 100.0
326 100.0
220 100.0
222 100.0
292 100.0
170 100.0
380 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 17
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
5. If your state's Republican Primary or caucus were held today and the candidates were...for whom would you vote?
Total
Career or gig?
n
ƒ
Did you not have to pay any taxes
last year because your income level
was below the threshold to pay
taxes or because your tax
deductions left you with no
liability?
Career
%
ƒ
Not currently
employed
ƒ
%
Just a "gig"
ƒ
%
%
I did not have to
pay taxes
ƒ
%
I had to pay
taxes
ƒ
%
Sexual Preference
Hetero
ƒ
Not Hetero
ƒ
%
%
Jeb Bush
95
16.8
47
19.9
13
13.6
35
14.9
20
10.9
72
20.9
92
17.3
Carly Fiorini
10
1.8
7
2.8
0
.3
3
1.4
1
.4
9
2.7
10
1.9
Scott Walker
49
8.6
19
8.1
5
5.3
25
10.5
8
4.2
41
11.8
47
Ted Cruz
36
6.3
14
6.0
8
8.9
13
5.6
15
7.9
21
6.0
35
Marco Rubio
25
4.4
7
3.0
5
5.5
13
5.3
9
4.7
15
4.2
25
4.6
John Kasich
3
1.1
3
1.4
0
.1
3
.5
2
7.3
8.8
2
5.5
6.6
0
.9
0
1.3
3
.5
0
.1
Rand Paul
30
5.2
12
5.1
6
6.2
12
5.0
13
7.1
16
4.8
29
5.5
Ben Carson
32
5.6
10
4.2
1
1.1
21
8.8
8
4.2
22
6.5
32
5.9
Rick Perry
10
1.8
3
1.5
3
2.8
4
1.8
5
2.7
2
.7
7
1.3
3
10.9
9
1.6
5
2.0
2
1.7
3
1.2
3
1.6
6
1.7
7
1.3
2
6.3
14
2.4
2
.7
8
8.6
4
1.6
6
3.3
8
2.2
13
2.4
1
2.3
55
23.3
51
27.4
76
22.1
131
24.5
8
25.8
2
1.0
2
.3
0
.7
0
1.4
3
9.2
George Pataki
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
139
24.6
63
26.8
21
22.6
Jim Gilmore
2
.3
1
.5
1
.7
Lindsey Graham
3
.4
2
.6
Rick Santorum
8
1.3
4
1.5
2
27
4.7
11
4.9
6
1.0
3
1.3
70
12.4
26
565
100.0
234
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
1
.4
1
.8
1
.3
2
.4
1.8
2
.9
4
1.9
4
1.2
8
1.4
3
3.3
12
5.2
7
3.7
17
5.0
24
4.5
3
3.1
0
.0
6
1.7
6
1.1
11.0
14
14.4
31
13.0
31
16.7
28
8.2
62
11.5
8
28.3
100.0
95
100.0
236
100.0
186
100.0
346
100.0
535
100.0
30
100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 18
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
6. From that same list of candidates who would be your second choice?
Total
Gender
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Male
%
ƒ
What is your current employment status?
Working
(full or
part time)
Female
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Temporaril
y
unemployed
and
looking
for work
ƒ
%
Temporaril
y
unemployed
and not
looking
for work
ƒ
72
12.7
37
13.3
35
12.3
44
13.9
1
4.0
1.7
%
0
3.3
9
1.7
6
2.0
4
1.3
3
1.1
0
Scott Walker
32
5.7
18
6.7
14
4.8
18
5.6
1
6.1
Ted Cruz
41
7.2
24
8.7
16
5.7
18
5.7
4
20.3
Marco Rubio
53
9.3
29
10.4
24
8.3
32
10.1
0
2.3
3
23.4
1
7.7
John Kasich
7
1.3
6
2.2
1
.3
1
.3
Rand Paul
42
7.5
19
6.9
23
8.1
28
8.9
3
13.2
Ben Carson
38
6.8
19
7.0
19
6.6
18
5.8
1
5.0
Rick Perry
21
3.8
8
2.9
13
4.6
16
5.1
George Pataki
3
.5
2
.6
1
.4
2
.7
Chris Christie
41
7.3
27
9.8
14
4.9
26
8.1
Donald Trump
37
6.5
19
6.8
18
6.2
16
5.0
2
1
11.7
1.7
4
2.8
32.7
15.2
%
Retired
ƒ
%
18-29
ƒ
30-49
%
10
18.1
15
10.4
4
1
1.8
5
3.1
2
3.0
12
8.0
2
5
8.0
14
9.3
4
4
7.1
13
9.0
0
.3
6
4.1
6
10.0
5
3
4.6
0
.7
ƒ
7.6
50-64
%
ƒ
65+
%
ƒ
%
37
15.6
16
10.6
15
12.9
2
.9
4
2.8
3
2.5
3.4
9
3.7
15
10.2
6
5.4
6.9
13
5.6
9
5.9
14
12.4
6
10.2
24
10.1
13
8.4
10
8.7
1
.4
1
.8
5
4.3
3.3
1
1.3
31
13.1
7
4.4
4
3.5
12
8.6
6
10.9
13
5.4
8
5.2
12
10.0
5
3.3
3
4.5
13
5.4
2
1.5
3
3.0
0
.8
1
2.2
1
.6
1
1.3
13
8.9
7
11.9
15
6.3
12
7.6
8
7.0
14
9.8
0
.8
13
5.3
12
8.2
11
9.6
3
1.1
1
1.0
4
1.7
3
1.8
1
2.4
.5
1
5.3
1
1.0
1.9
0
1.7
1
1.7
2
4.0
3
2.3
0
.3
7
2.9
6
3.9
1
.9
0
3.7
2
3.6
8
5.6
0
.8
6
2.4
8
5.1
8
6.6
5
9.0
3
1.9
5
9.6
3
1.4
3
1.7
2
1.4
2
15.3
13
22.3
18
12.4
16
28.5
42
18.0
33
21.8
14
11.7
.5
1
.2
2
.7
1
7
1.3
4
1.6
3
.9
6
Rick Santorum
16
2.8
4
1.4
12
4.2
10
3.3
Mike Huckabee
22
4.0
11
3.8
12
4.1
11
3.6
0
10.0
ƒ
26.7
3
.9
0
1.7
13
2.3
4
1.4
9
3.1
3
.9
2
8.9
0
2.2
Not Sure/Someone Else
107
19.0
39
14.2
68
23.5
61
19.5
6
27.6
6
44.8
Total
565 100.0
288 100.0
%
Stay at
home
parent/spo
use
3
Lindsey Graham
277 100.0
ƒ
0
2
Jim Gilmore
Bobby Jindal
0
Student
Age group A
314 100.0
21 100.0
14 100.0
12 100.0
57 100.0
145 100.0
56 100.0
236 100.0
151 100.0
116 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 19
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
6. From that same list of candidates who would be your second choice?
Total
Party
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Democratic
%
ƒ
%
Ideology Recoded
Republican
ƒ
%
Independen
t
ƒ
%
Liberal
Moderate
ƒ
ƒ
%
%
Generation
Conservati
ve
ƒ
%
First
Globals
ƒ
Nikes
%
ƒ
Education
Woodstocke
rs
%
ƒ
%
Privates
ƒ
%
No College
Degree
ƒ
%
College
Degree+
ƒ
%
72
12.7
5
11.4
58
15.3
10
6.6
7
16.2
17
9.8
47
13.9
9
9.1
29
16.4
23
11.2
11
14.2
32
13.2
40
12.5
2
1.6
1
3.0
1
.8
7
1.9
1
1.1
1
.6
4
2.1
3
3.7
4
1.7
5
1.6
3
6.7
7
4.1
22
6.6
5
4.4
6
3.5
18
8.9
4
4.6
19
8.1
13
4.0
9
5.1
32
9.4
6
5.9
9
5.0
15
7.6
10
13.2
20
8.2
21
6.5
9
1.7
2
4.3
5
1.4
Scott Walker
32
5.7
2
4.2
22
5.7
9
6.2
Ted Cruz
41
7.2
1
3.7
27
7.2
12
8.1
Marco Rubio
53
9.3
2
6.0
38
10.0
12
8.4
3
6.1
15
8.6
35
10.4
9
9.2
16
9.0
24
11.8
4
4.5
15
6.2
38
11.7
John Kasich
7
1.3
1
3.4
5
1.4
1
.4
1
1.3
1
.5
6
1.7
0
.2
1
.4
1
.6
5
6.3
3
1.1
4
1.4
Rand Paul
42
7.5
2
5.1
30
7.8
11
7.3
3
5.7
18
10.4
21
6.1
10
9.7
22
12.3
10
5.2
0
.4
17
7.3
25
7.8
Ben Carson
38
6.8
2
6.2
30
7.8
6
4.3
1
1.8
13
7.8
24
7.2
11
10.7
8
4.6
11
5.5
8
10.5
9
3.8
29
9.1
Rick Perry
21
3.8
0
.5
16
4.3
5
3.4
6
12.9
4
2.2
12
3.5
7
6.7
9
4.8
4
1.8
2
2.8
7
3.1
14
4.3
George Pataki
3
.5
1
3.4
0
.1
1
.6
1
2.4
1
.6
0
.1
1
1.2
1
.8
1
.3
2
.6
Chris Christie
41
7.3
4
10.1
28
7.5
9
6.1
4
8.1
15
8.8
22
6.4
8
8.2
13
7.5
13
6.2
7
9.0
22
9.2
19
6.0
Donald Trump
14
9.3
3
7.0
15
8.9
18
5.3
1
.9
12
6.9
15
7.3
9
11.1
14
6.0
22
6.9
2
4.6
3
1.5
3
1.1
.7
2
4.3
1
.7
4
1.2
1
.8
4
2.1
2
.9
5
1.6
37
6.5
1
3.4
22
5.7
Jim Gilmore
3
.5
1
1.5
2
.6
Lindsey Graham
7
1.3
2
4.8
4
1.1
1
Rick Santorum
16
2.8
1
2.9
15
3.9
0
.2
2
4.2
2
1.2
12
3.5
4
4.2
2
Mike Huckabee
22
4.0
2
5.4
16
4.2
4
2.9
0
.2
4
2.6
18
5.2
0
.4
6
Bobby Jindal
3
1.3
1.3
6
3.2
1
1.3
4
1.7
12
3.7
3.2
11
5.5
4
5.4
13
5.6
9
2.8
13
2.3
1
1.5
8
2.2
4
2.8
1
1.7
6
3.3
6
1.8
6
5.7
3
1.6
3
1.3
2
2.1
10
4.0
3
1.0
Not Sure/Someone Else
107
19.0
9
21.9
52
13.9
46
31.3
6
13.8
42
24.5
54
15.8
22
21.6
33
18.6
41
20.5
9
10.9
45
18.6
60
18.7
Total
565 100.0
40 100.0
379 100.0
147 100.0
45 100.0
170 100.0
340 100.0
102 100.0
176 100.0
202 100.0
79 100.0
240 100.0
323 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 20
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
6. From that same list of candidates who would be your second choice?
Total
90600. Which of the following best describes you?
Liberal/progr
essive on
just about
every issue
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
%
ƒ
72
12.7
9
1.7
Scott Walker
32
5.7
Ted Cruz
41
7.2
Marco Rubio
53
John Kasich
Carly Fiorini
%
2
ƒ
14.3
8.4
9.3
0
2.9
1
10.5
0
1.1
42
7.5
0
1.4
Ben Carson
38
6.8
0
.8
Rick Perry
21
%
Conservative
on just about
every issue
ƒ
%
Mainly a
conservative
on government
spending
ƒ
%
Mainly a
conservative
on social
issues
ƒ
%
2
8.5
32
15.3
10
13.7
2
7.3
5
2.4
0
.5
5
0
1.1
12
5.7
8
10.0
1
0
.3
17
8.0
6
7.3
2
7.4
21
9.9
13
16.6
5
2.4
Moderate
because I
look at each
issue
separately
ƒ
12.0
%
Moderate
because I try
to be
rational, not
passionate
about
ƒ
13
11.0
2
1.6
2.4
8
3
6.8
6
14.4
1
%
Not sure
ƒ
%
2
8.2
4
10.8
6.6
0
1.0
0
.7
12
9.8
1
4.3
2
6.2
9
7.1
1
4.3
1.8
1
.6
1
1.9
5
14.0
3
10.0
13
6.3
6
7.4
7
16.2
8
6.2
2
5.1
0
6.0
1
2.3
18
8.7
4
5.1
2
5.5
8
6.6
5
15.4
3.8
0
5.6
2
6.6
6
3.1
0
1.2
5
4.1
5
15.1
2
7.3
1
10.5
1
2.6
1
.9
3
11.0
17
7.9
1
1.0
10
8.0
1
3.4
2
5.6
0
3.1
1
3.5
12
5.8
7
9.1
10
8.5
2
7.6
1
2.1
1
5.0
1
.8
0
1.3
3
.5
Chris Christie
41
7.3
1
7.4
Donald Trump
37
6.5
3
18.1
3
.5
7
1.3
1
4.9
Rick Santorum
16
2.8
2
11.6
Mike Huckabee
22
4.0
0
2.8
Bobby Jindal
3.9
1
1.3
Lindsey Graham
0
Mainly a
liberal on
social issues
ƒ
14.8
7
Jim Gilmore
%
2
Rand Paul
George Pataki
Mainly a
liberal on
government
spending
1
10.7
2
6.1
5
2.4
6
2.7
9
4.3
5
6.2
7
16.5
1
1.6
0
.5
1
1.4
5
3.7
1
3.4
2
6.7
2
5.6
4
2.9
0
1.4
0
.5
13
2.3
0
.8
1
2.2
3
1.3
2
2.2
7
6.1
0
.9
Not Sure/Someone Else
107
19.0
3
19.2
3
41.3
7
24.8
29
13.8
15
20.1
6
14.6
20
16.2
9
28.4
15
45.2
Total
565
100.0
16
100.0
7
100.0
29
100.0
210
100.0
76
100.0
41
100.0
122
100.0
30
100.0
34
100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 21
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
6. From that same list of candidates who would be your second choice?
Total
Age group B
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
18-24
ƒ
%
%
72
12.7
9
1.7
Scott Walker
32
5.7
Ted Cruz
41
7.2
Marco Rubio
53
9.3
John Kasich
2
0
13.2
2.2
25-34
ƒ
%
35-54
ƒ
%
Race
55-69
ƒ
%
70+
ƒ
White
ƒ
%
%
Hisp
ƒ
%
7
8.3
34
14.4
20
11.7
9
16.7
66
13.1
4
12.4
1
1.3
1
.4
6
3.2
2
3.2
8
1.6
1
3.2
5
5.3
11
4.8
15
8.8
2
3.1
30
5.9
1
1.9
6
6.6
15
6.6
12
6.8
8
14.0
35
7.0
3
11.0
9
11.0
24
10.2
17
9.9
2
4.2
50
10.0
1
3.1
7
1.3
0
.2
1
.4
3
1.6
3
6.2
7
1.3
Rand Paul
42
7.5
10
11.6
24
10.3
8
4.8
0
.6
30
6.0
9
27.7
Ben Carson
38
6.8
4
25.2
7
7.9
9
4.0
16
9.3
2
4.4
34
6.8
3
8.5
Rick Perry
21
3.8
0
2.9
6
7.4
10
4.3
3
1.9
1
1.9
19
3.8
George Pataki
Child under 17?
AfrAmer
ƒ
%
1
1
4.8
4.7
1
8.6
1
4.5
Asian
ƒ
%
Other
ƒ
%
4.2
1
9.6
0
2.8
0
.9
1
1
10.8
1
16.9
25
1
7.6
12
11
3
1.4
9
1.9
1
12.1
2
13.1
1
8.2
3
.5
1
4.6
0
.5
1
.6
2
.4
0
1.4
0
2.5
41
7.3
5
30.6
3
4.0
17
7.2
10
6.1
6
10.5
38
7.5
2
5.7
1
7.4
1
12.1
Donald Trump
37
6.5
1
1.0
16
6.9
12
6.9
8
14.6
35
6.9
0
1.5
0
3.2
1
9.1
3
1.2
1
.3
1
4.6
0
.4
5
2.1
1
.8
6
1.3
1
5.5
0
.9
4
5.0
3
1.2
6
3.5
1
2.0
14
2.7
2
6.0
1
4.3
9
3.8
8
4.6
4
8.1
20
4.0
1
2.5
0
2.5
0
7.3
4
1.7
3
1.8
12
2.3
0
.4
0
2.3
1
12.0
46
19.8
31
18.2
97
19.2
3
10.1
4
34.7
0
6.7
3
.5
Lindsey Graham
7
1.3
Rick Santorum
16
2.8
Mike Huckabee
22
4.0
Bobby Jindal
13
2.3
Not Sure/Someone Else
107
19.0
Total
565 100.0
0
2.4
0
2.8
3
16.0
16 100.0
6
6.7
19
22.7
86 100.0
234 100.0
171 100.0
6
10.5
53 100.0
504 100.0
31 100.0
13 100.0
ƒ
0
Chris Christie
Jim Gilmore
No
%
3.3
7 100.0
2
0
0
2
14.8
ƒ
0
0
1
Yes
25.4
2.6
6.8
26.0
7 100.0
%
30
16.6
42
10.9
2
1.3
7
1.8
7
3.9
25
6.6
13
7.0
28
7.2
19
10.2
34
8.9
.5
6
1.6
13.7
17
4.6
6.6
26
6.9
6.1
10
2.7
4.9
32
8.4
7
4.0
29
7.7
2
1.1
1
.2
0
.0
7
1.9
5
2.8
11
2.8
5
2.5
18
4.6
5
2.8
8
2.0
26
14.4
81
21.1
183 100.0
382 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 22
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
6. From that same list of candidates who would be your second choice?
Total
Religion
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Catholic
ƒ
%
%
Protestant
ƒ
%
BornAgain
Jewish
ƒ
%
72
12.7
20
14.6
45
12.3
9
1.7
2
1.3
6
1.7
Scott Walker
32
5.7
10
7.3
18
5.0
2
Ted Cruz
41
7.2
6
4.5
31
8.4
1
Marco Rubio
53
9.3
15
11.5
33
Carly Fiorini
John Kasich
1
12.4
Other/None
ƒ
%
Yes
ƒ
Attend religious services
No/NS
ƒ
%
%
Weekly+
ƒ
%
Weekly
ƒ
%
1-2/Month
ƒ
%
Holidays
ƒ
%
5
11.3
21
10.9
24
13.8
8
10.5
17
10.7
12
16.7
1
3.4
3
1.7
3
1.7
3
3.5
4
2.3
0
.4
6
25.1
2
4.1
13
7.0
5
2.8
2
3.0
13
8.1
2
2.4
1
12.6
3
7.1
14
7.5
16
9.5
7
9.3
13
8.1
8
11.5
1
9.2
3
5.9
15
7.8
18
10.8
8
10.2
11
7.0
6
9.0
16.9
Rarely
ƒ
%
ƒ
Never
%
13
9.7
16
20.3
2
1.5
0
.5
2.9
11
8.5
2
2.4
3.1
6
4.2
6
7.5
16
11.6
8
10.2
7
1.3
1
.6
6
1.7
0
.9
2
1.2
4
2.2
2
2.2
1
1.1
5
3.5
Rand Paul
42
7.5
11
8.2
29
8.1
2
4.9
13
6.7
16
9.7
11
13.8
12
7.8
9
12.9
3
7.5
6
4.3
1
1.4
Ben Carson
38
6.8
7
5.5
27
7.5
3
6.9
16
8.4
11
6.6
5
6.5
12
7.5
1
1.4
8
23.6
10
7.7
2
2.5
Rick Perry
21
3.8
0
.2
19
5.3
2
4.8
11
6.0
8
4.4
3
3.9
8
4.9
3
4.7
0
.9
6
4.1
2
1.9
George Pataki
1
10.0
3
.5
1
.9
1
3.4
1
1.5
0
.5
1
.6
0
.6
Chris Christie
41
7.3
16
12.0
24
6.6
0
4.7
1
2.4
13
6.9
11
6.2
3
4.2
9
5.9
4
5.7
5
13.4
12
9.3
6
8.3
Donald Trump
37
6.5
5
3.9
28
7.7
1
9.7
2
4.7
16
8.5
12
6.8
5
6.6
10
6.4
6
8.8
1
1.8
7
5.1
7
8.9
1
1.5
1
.9
1
.4
1
.8
0
6.3
1
1.4
1
.6
4
2.1
1
.9
3
2.0
1
3.1
1
1.0
1
1.2
Jim Gilmore
3
.5
2
1.5
Lindsey Graham
7
1.3
1
1.1
5
1.3
Rick Santorum
16
2.8
6
4.1
10
2.8
0
.9
6
3.3
4
2.2
7
8.9
3
2.1
5
6.6
1
.7
0
.3
Mike Huckabee
22
4.0
4
2.9
17
4.7
1
3.0
12
6.3
5
2.9
4
5.3
8
5.3
2
3.2
1
2.9
5
3.9
0
.1
Bobby Jindal
3
2.4
8
2.3
0
2.1
1
2.5
6
3.3
2
1.2
3
1.8
3
4.5
1
1.8
5
3.8
1
1.2
24
17.6
56
15.5
1
17.0
14
31.0
27
14.1
29
17.1
30
19.1
8
10.9
8
21.5
27
20.0
25
31.8
13
2.3
Not Sure/Someone Else
107
19.0
Total
565 100.0
135 100.0
362 100.0
6 100.0
44 100.0
192 100.0
170 100.0
7
9.7
77 100.0
157 100.0
70 100.0
36 100.0
134 100.0
78 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 23
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
6. From that same list of candidates who would be your second choice?
Total
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
East
%
ƒ
South
%
72
12.7
10
ƒ
Region
Centr GrLks
%
9.7
17
9.2
ƒ
%
32
West
ƒ
< $25K
%
ƒ
%
18.4
14
12.8
9
$25-35K
$35-50K
ƒ
ƒ
%
12.2
7
Household Income
$50-75K
$75-100K
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
$100-150K
%
ƒ
%
$150K+
ƒ
%
9.7
5
6.9
22
15.1
15
16.1
11
16.7
3
12.4
1
4.6
9
1.7
1
.8
5
2.9
2
.9
2
1.5
1
.8
0
.4
1
1.8
2
1.5
2
2.1
2
2.9
Scott Walker
32
5.7
2
1.6
9
4.8
14
8.1
8
7.4
6
7.7
4
5.3
6
7.8
9
6.1
2
2.3
3
4.9
Ted Cruz
41
7.2
2
2.1
18
9.8
13
7.4
8
7.4
4
4.8
6
8.4
5
6.7
12
8.1
2
1.8
8
12.8
2
8.1
Marco Rubio
53
9.3
5
5.1
20
10.9
18
10.3
9
9.0
8
10.7
5
7.2
3
3.6
10
6.7
14
15.3
10
15.7
3
12.6
John Kasich
7
1.3
2
1.1
3
1.5
2
2.3
2
2.4
0
.3
2
1.2
0
.5
1
.9
2
10.6
Rand Paul
42
7.5
8
8.0
12
6.8
15
8.9
7
6.1
7
8.8
6
9.0
6
8.4
11
7.1
9
10.1
3
4.7
1
3.2
Ben Carson
38
6.8
11
10.4
13
7.3
9
5.3
5
4.7
2
2.9
1
1.8
4
5.6
13
8.5
6
7.0
6
8.8
3
14.6
Rick Perry
21
3.8
1
.6
9
4.9
8
4.8
4
3.3
1
1.5
5
6.7
2
3.2
10
7.0
3
2.9
0
.3
0
.6
1
.5
1
1.1
0
.6
0
.6
1
.7
1
.8
2
10.1
George Pataki
3
.5
1
.6
Chris Christie
41
7.3
12
11.7
9
5.0
8
4.5
12
11.6
3
3.4
6
8.5
11
15.0
9
5.8
7
7.7
4
6.3
Donald Trump
37
6.5
11
10.7
15
8.2
9
5.0
2
1.8
5
6.8
1
1.4
7
9.4
10
7.0
4
4.8
5
7.6
3
.5
1
.6
2
1.1
2
2.8
1
.4
2
1.2
0
.3
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
7
1.3
2
1.9
Rick Santorum
16
2.8
6
6.1
Mike Huckabee
22
4.0
0
.5
Bobby Jindal
8
4.4
3
2.8
4
2.4
5
5.2
10
5.5
4
4.1
4
5.5
1
1.6
1
1.3
5
3.3
3
4.2
7
9.3
1
.8
3
3.7
2
2.9
4
6.5
2
2.9
6
3.7
3
3.4
1
2.2
2
6.8
5
3.3
1
1.1
12
17.2
20
13.6
19
20.5
9
13.2
4
16.2
13
2.3
1
1.2
6
3.3
5
3.1
0
.3
3
3.4
4
6.4
Not Sure/Someone Else
107
19.0
29
28.3
35
19.1
23
13.4
20
18.7
21
27.8
14
20.6
Total
565 100.0
103 100.0
184 100.0
172 100.0
106 100.0
76 100.0
69 100.0
72 100.0
148 100.0
91 100.0
65 100.0
23 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 24
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
6. From that same list of candidates who would be your second choice?
Total
Live
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Lge City
ƒ
%
%
Sm City
ƒ
%
Union member
Suburbs
ƒ
%
Rural
ƒ
%
Yes
ƒ
Marital status
No
%
ƒ
Married
ƒ
%
%
Home status
Div/Sep/
Wdw
ƒ
%
Single
ƒ
%
72
12.7
17
14.8
12
12.8
32
14.6
11
8.2
8
12.8
64
12.7
56
15.5
5
4.6
10
12.4
9
1.7
4
3.2
2
1.7
3
1.4
1
.8
3
4.8
6
1.3
7
2.0
1
1.3
1
1.3
Scott Walker
32
5.7
4
3.2
7
7.8
13
5.8
9
6.3
2
2.9
31
6.1
20
5.6
6
5.5
7
8.2
Ted Cruz
41
7.2
8
7.2
6
6.2
21
9.5
6
4.2
6
9.8
34
6.8
26
7.2
5
4.8
8
9.5
Marco Rubio
53
9.3
10
8.4
6
6.1
31
14.5
6
4.2
7
10.5
46
9.2
30
8.4
13
12.6
10
12.2
Carly Fiorini
John Kasich
7
1.3
1
1.0
0
.4
6
4.1
1
2.1
6
1.2
6
1.8
Rand Paul
42
7.5
9
7.8
6
6.9
14
6.5
13
9.4
4
6.6
38
7.6
24
6.6
4
4.0
6
7.3
Ben Carson
38
6.8
2
2.0
6
6.2
17
7.6
14
10.1
9
14.7
29
5.8
28
7.8
8
8.0
3
Rick Perry
21
3.8
11
9.7
0
.5
0
.1
9
6.9
3
4.5
19
3.7
16
4.6
5
4.8
0
1
1.8
1
.3
2
.5
0
.4
George Pataki
Civil
union
ƒ
%
2
2
9.1
12.2
Live in
rental
unit
ƒ
%
Own a
home
ƒ
%
14
12.4
57
13.4
8
1.9
28
6.5
4
3.8
0
1.1
34
7.9
4
3.4
3
13.6
40
9.5
10
8.8
2
10.9
0
.8
3
12.0
11
54.3
1
4.0
7
1.6
7
38.0
33
7.6
8
7.2
3.2
33
7.7
5
4.8
.3
13
3.0
9
7.7
0
.6
2
.4
1
.9
3
.5
1
1.1
0
.5
1
.4
Chris Christie
41
7.3
12
10.0
9
10.0
14
6.7
6
4.2
6
9.2
35
7.1
19
5.4
15
14.7
5
5.9
2
12.4
35
8.2
4
3.3
Donald Trump
37
6.5
9
7.7
6
6.4
14
6.6
7
5.5
2
3.2
35
6.9
31
8.7
2
2.3
3
3.8
0
1.4
28
6.5
9
8.0
3
.5
1
1.3
1
.6
1
.3
1
2.3
1
.3
1
.4
1
1.4
2
.5
1
.6
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
7
1.3
1
1.0
0
.2
3
1.4
3
2.1
7
1.4
4
1.0
1
.8
3
3.5
3
.8
3
3.0
Rick Santorum
16
2.8
4
3.2
4
4.0
6
2.7
3
1.8
2
2.9
14
2.8
13
3.5
1
1.2
2
2.6
12
2.9
3
3.1
Mike Huckabee
22
4.0
4
3.8
6
5.9
7
3.0
6
4.3
1
2.2
21
4.2
13
3.7
1
1.3
7
8.1
1
5.6
16
3.7
6
5.7
Bobby Jindal
13
2.3
1
.5
4
4.1
1
.5
7
5.4
1
1.2
12
2.4
8
2.3
2
2.0
2
2.1
1
5.5
13
2.9
0
.3
Not Sure/Someone Else
107
19.0
16
14.1
19
19.7
39
18.2
31
22.6
5
8.6
102
20.3
54
15.2
31
30.5
16
19.1
2
11.8
63
14.8
31
27.0
Total
565 100.0
116 100.0
94 100.0
216 100.0
136 100.0
64 100.0
501 100.0
358 100.0
101 100.0
81 100.0
19 100.0
Neither
ƒ
%
426 100.0
114 100.0
0
1.1
1
6.2
21 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 25
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
6. From that same list of candidates who would be your second choice?
Total
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Self ID Social
NASCAR Fan
Yes
No
%
ƒ
72
12.7
%
ƒ
23
15.3
Yes Networker No
%
ƒ
49
11.8
%
ƒ
30
14.1
Phone
Landline
Mobile
%
ƒ
42
11.9
%
ƒ
%
14
6.1
7
14.7
Self ID Investor Class
Yes
No
Both
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
51
17.6
27
15.5
%
45
Passport?
Yes
ƒ
11.5
No
%
ƒ
28
11.2
%
44
14.0
9
1.7
3
1.8
7
1.6
4
1.7
6
1.6
3
1.4
1
2.1
5
1.8
6
3.4
3
.9
5
2.0
4
1.4
Scott Walker
32
5.7
10
7.0
22
5.3
11
5.2
21
6.1
14
6.3
1
2.2
17
5.9
9
5.2
23
6.0
10
3.8
23
7.3
Ted Cruz
41
7.2
7
4.8
33
8.0
19
8.9
21
6.1
18
8.2
6
11.8
17
5.7
12
6.6
29
7.5
17
6.6
24
7.6
Marco Rubio
53
9.3
10
6.4
43
10.4
17
8.1
35
10.1
24
10.7
3
6.7
26
8.7
18
10.5
34
8.8
31
12.4
21
6.8
John Kasich
7
1.3
2
1.5
5
1.2
1
.4
6
1.8
2
.9
5
1.8
5
2.9
2
.5
3
1.2
4
1.3
Rand Paul
42
7.5
12
8.1
30
7.3
16
7.4
27
7.6
26
11.6
17
5.7
11
6.2
32
8.1
13
4.9
30
9.6
Ben Carson
38
6.8
5
3.6
33
8.0
18
8.5
20
5.7
14
6.3
1
2.4
23
8.0
12
7.1
26
6.7
21
8.2
18
5.6
Rick Perry
21
3.8
5
3.3
16
4.0
11
5.2
10
2.9
14
6.4
1
2.7
6
2.0
5
2.9
16
4.2
9
3.4
13
4.1
1.6
1
.2
1
.7
1
.4
2
.7
1
.3
George Pataki
3
.5
1
.7
2
.4
2
1.1
0
.1
1
.6
1
Chris Christie
41
7.3
14
9.3
27
6.6
13
5.9
29
8.1
17
7.7
3
5.4
20
6.8
10
5.9
31
7.9
26
10.3
15
4.8
Donald Trump
37
6.5
7
4.6
30
7.2
15
7.0
22
6.2
13
5.8
5
10.7
19
6.4
13
7.5
23
6.0
14
5.7
22
7.1
3
.5
2
1.4
1
.2
2
1.0
1
.2
3
1.2
1
.8
1
.3
1
.6
1
.4
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
7
1.3
1
.5
6
1.6
2
.8
5
1.6
1
.7
1
2.2
5
1.6
1
.8
6
1.5
2
.9
5
1.5
Rick Santorum
16
2.8
9
5.7
7
1.8
9
4.4
7
1.9
6
2.5
2
5.2
8
2.7
4
2.4
12
3.0
8
3.2
8
2.5
Mike Huckabee
22
4.0
9
6.3
13
3.1
5
2.3
17
4.9
4
1.7
2
5.2
16
5.5
10
5.5
13
3.3
16
6.2
7
2.2
Bobby Jindal
13
2.3
3
1.7
10
2.5
8
3.7
5
1.4
7
3.1
1
2.2
5
1.7
3
1.6
10
2.6
3
1.1
10
3.2
Not Sure/Someone Else
107
19.0
27
18.2
80
19.3
31
14.3
77
21.8
42
18.8
12
25.0
52
17.9
26
14.6
81
20.9
44
17.6
63
20.1
Total
565 100.0
150 100.0
415 100.0
214 100.0
351 100.0
223 100.0
47 100.0
292 100.0
175 100.0
390 100.0
253 100.0
312 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 26
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
6. From that same list of candidates who would be your second choice?
Lost a job due to
corporate downsizing
within the past year?
Total
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Yes
%
ƒ
Been afraid of losing
a job within the next
year?
No
%
ƒ
72
12.7
5
9.4
Yes
%
ƒ
Worked at a job that
pays less than an
immediate previous
job?
No
%
ƒ
67
13.1
10
10.3
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
62
13.2
11
Gone without food for
24 hours in the past
month due to a lack of
food or money?
ƒ
9.2
Yes
%
ƒ
Creative Job Sector
No
%
61
13.7
6
13.6
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
Self ID Creative Class
No
%
ƒ
66
12.7
25
17.7
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
47
11.1
27
16.4
%
45
11.3
9
1.7
4
7.4
6
1.1
3
3.2
6
1.4
1
.5
9
2.0
1
2.6
8
1.6
3
2.2
6
1.5
3
1.9
6
1.6
Scott Walker
32
5.7
2
4.6
30
5.8
8
7.9
25
5.3
9
7.9
23
5.1
3
7.1
29
5.6
4
2.9
28
6.7
4
2.5
28
7.0
Ted Cruz
41
7.2
7
13.6
34
6.5
9
9.6
31
6.7
7
5.9
34
7.5
5
12.0
35
6.8
12
8.7
28
6.7
15
9.4
25
6.3
Marco Rubio
53
9.3
4
8.5
48
9.4
9
9.6
44
9.3
12
10.4
40
9.0
1
3.1
51
9.8
15
11.0
37
8.7
11
6.7
42
10.3
John Kasich
7
1.4
0
.3
7
1.5
0
.2
7
1.5
7
1.4
7
1.7
4
2.4
3
.8
7
1.3
Rand Paul
42
7.5
5
9.1
38
7.4
6
6.2
37
7.8
11
9.3
31
7.0
7
16.9
35
6.7
13
9.4
29
6.9
11
6.7
32
7.9
Ben Carson
38
6.8
3
5.4
36
6.9
6
6.4
32
6.9
13
11.0
26
5.7
1
1.5
38
7.2
13
9.4
25
5.9
13
7.7
26
6.4
Rick Perry
21
3.8
5
9.6
17
3.2
4
4.2
17
3.7
9
7.3
13
2.9
2
5.4
19
3.7
3
2.3
18
4.3
5
2.9
17
4.1
3
.5
2
3.4
1
.2
2
1.8
1
.2
1
.8
2
.4
0
1.0
2
.4
2
1.1
1
.3
2
1.2
1
.2
Chris Christie
41
7.3
2
3.9
39
7.6
6
6.1
35
7.5
6
5.3
35
7.8
2
4.8
39
7.5
13
8.9
29
6.8
14
8.6
27
6.8
Donald Trump
37
6.5
0
.4
36
7.1
6
6.7
30
6.4
10
8.5
27
5.9
4
10.1
32
6.2
7
4.8
30
7.0
15
9.2
22
5.4
3
.5
1
2.9
1
.2
3
.6
3
.6
3
.5
1
1.0
1
.3
1
.9
1
.3
George Pataki
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
7
1.3
1
2.8
6
1.1
1
1.2
6
1.3
3
2.3
4
1.0
1
2.3
6
1.2
1
.5
6
1.5
1
.6
6
1.5
Rick Santorum
16
2.8
3
5.9
13
2.5
1
1.1
15
3.2
5
4.2
11
2.5
3
6.9
13
2.5
6
4.1
10
2.4
7
4.3
9
2.2
Mike Huckabee
22
4.0
22
4.3
5
5.1
17
3.7
2
2.1
20
4.4
1
1.9
22
4.1
3
2.5
19
4.4
5
3.2
17
4.2
Bobby Jindal
13
2.3
1
1.3
12
2.4
1
1.0
12
2.5
3
2.2
10
2.3
2
5.6
10
2.0
1
.6
12
2.8
3
2.0
10
2.4
Not Sure/Someone Else
107
19.0
6
11.6
101
19.7
18
19.4
89
18.9
15
12.8
92
20.6
2
5.3
105
20.1
18
12.9
89
21.0
22
13.2
86
21.3
Total
565 100.0
50 100.0
515 100.0
95 100.0
470 100.0
117 100.0
448 100.0
43 100.0
522 100.0
140 100.0
425 100.0
163 100.0
402 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 27
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
6. From that same list of candidates who would be your second choice?
Total
WalMart shopper?
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Weekly
ƒ
%
%
Few/Month
ƒ
%
Sympathetic to Tea
Party
Residency
1-2/year
ƒ
%
My city or
town
ƒ
%
Never
ƒ
72
12.7
22
13.9
35
15.0
12
9.1
%
1
5.9
The planet
earth
ƒ
%
America
ƒ
%
15
8.6
44
14.7
11
13.8
Yes
ƒ
Sympathetic to Occupy
Wall St
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
16
8.3
56
15.1
3
4.5
69
13.7
7
3.8
2
.5
2
4.3
7
1.4
32
6.4
9
1.7
1
.9
4
1.8
4
2.7
2
1.0
7
2.2
Scott Walker
32
5.7
14
9.0
10
4.4
8
5.6
5
2.7
22
7.3
6
6.9
19
10.0
13
3.5
Ted Cruz
41
7.2
15
9.6
13
5.4
8
6.1
3
13.6
11
6.3
24
8.0
6
6.8
25
12.9
16
4.2
5
8.1
36
7.1
Marco Rubio
53
9.3
9
6.0
17
7.2
22
16.0
3
12.3
12
7.0
32
10.6
5
6.6
18
9.2
35
9.4
4
7.2
48
9.6
John Kasich
1
.7
0
.1
6
2.0
1
.9
0
.1
7
1.9
0
.7
7
1.3
19
10.9
17
5.5
7
8.9
15
7.8
27
7.4
11
19.7
31
6.1
10
6.0
28
9.2
0
.5
19
9.9
19
5.2
3
5.1
35
7.0
13
7.3
9
2.9
8
4.3
13
3.5
21
4.2
7
1.3
1
.5
5
2.3
Rand Paul
42
7.5
18
11.3
17
7.0
6
4.7
Ben Carson
38
6.8
7
4.2
18
7.6
12
8.8
Rick Perry
21
3.8
4
2.7
17
7.3
George Pataki
2
7.3
3
.5
3
1.7
2
1.1
1
1.0
2
.9
1
.3
2
2.6
1
.2
Chris Christie
41
7.3
12
7.5
14
5.8
14
10.5
1
5.8
15
8.5
22
7.3
5
5.8
13
6.7
28
7.6
9
15.0
33
6.4
Donald Trump
37
6.5
9
5.5
12
5.1
13
9.4
3
11.3
12
7.1
23
7.5
2
2.3
21
10.9
16
4.2
1
1.1
36
7.1
2
1.2
1
.2
2
1.1
1
.2
1
2.5
1
.2
0
.9
6
3.3
1
.2
1
.9
2
.8
6
1.5
2
2.9
5
1.1
7
3.8
6
2.0
3
4.0
6
2.9
10
2.8
3
5.1
13
2.6
7
4.2
9
3.1
6
6.9
3
1.6
19
5.1
3
4.5
20
3.9
5
2.9
7
2.2
1
1.4
4
2.0
9
2.4
1
1.3
12
2.4
30
17.7
45
15.1
27
33.1
13
6.7
94
25.3
9
15.5
98
19.4
Jim Gilmore
3
.5
3
1.7
Lindsey Graham
7
1.3
3
1.7
1
.6
3
2.1
Rick Santorum
16
2.8
5
3.4
9
4.0
1
1.0
Mike Huckabee
22
4.0
5
3.2
9
3.6
7
5.0
Bobby Jindal
13
2.3
4
2.6
6
2.6
3
2.0
Not Sure/Someone Else
107
19.0
23
14.5
48
20.3
22
16.3
Total
565 100.0
155 100.0
236 100.0
137 100.0
1
10
2.8
40.2
25 100.0
171 100.0
301 100.0
83 100.0
193 100.0
372 100.0
58 100.0
507 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 28
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
6. From that same list of candidates who would be your second choice?
Are you currently or have you ever
been a member of the National
Rifle Association?
Total
Currently
a member
of the NRA
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
%
ƒ
%
72
12.7
8
13.2
Former
member of
the NRA
ƒ
%
6
Have never
been a
member of
the NRA
ƒ
9.5
%
Do you invest in the
stock market; have an
IRA, a 401-K
retirement plan or a
pension fund?
Are you a current or former gun
owner?
Current
gun owner
ƒ
%
Former gun
owner
ƒ
%
Have never
been a gun
owner
ƒ
%
Yes
ƒ
Do you or does anyone
in your household keep
a gun for personal
protection, hunting or
target shooting at
your home, place of
business, or at a
vacation home or club?
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
Veteran/Armed Forces?
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
57
13.2
26
13.3
10
18.0
34
12.4
48
14.6
24
11.0
26
11.8
44
15.0
23
13.3
45
11.8
6
1.3
5
2.5
1
1.4
3
1.2
7
2.1
3
1.2
5
2.2
4
1.5
4
2.4
5
1.4
9
1.7
3
5.7
Scott Walker
32
5.7
5
8.7
5
7.4
22
5.1
11
5.4
4
6.5
12
4.4
17
5.2
14
6.4
11
5.0
15
5.1
15
9.1
17
4.4
Ted Cruz
41
7.2
5
7.9
7
10.6
27
6.3
14
7.4
3
4.8
19
6.9
22
6.7
18
8.2
15
6.6
17
5.9
14
8.1
27
7.0
Marco Rubio
53
9.3
3
4.7
3
5.3
46
10.6
17
8.9
34
12.3
34
10.4
19
8.5
24
10.9
26
8.8
10
6.1
42
11.1
John Kasich
7
1.3
7
1.7
2
1.1
5
1.8
7
2.1
0
.2
2
1.0
5
1.7
3
2.0
4
1.0
Rand Paul
42
7.5
6
10.8
2
3.9
30
7.1
13
6.7
4
7.2
22
7.9
23
7.0
20
9.0
19
8.7
18
6.1
14
8.4
28
7.4
Ben Carson
38
6.8
7
11.8
4
6.7
27
6.2
16
8.4
1
1.8
17
6.2
19
5.9
17
7.8
19
8.6
18
6.0
18
10.7
20
5.2
Rick Perry
21
3.8
2
2.7
7
11.2
13
3.0
7
3.4
5
9.1
7
2.4
9
2.8
12
5.5
9
4.2
9
3.1
9
5.6
12
3.1
George Pataki
3
.5
1
2.0
0
.8
1
.2
1
.6
0
.9
1
.3
2
.5
1
.4
2
.8
1
.3
1
.7
1
.4
Chris Christie
41
7.3
4
6.8
4
6.9
33
7.7
13
6.4
1
1.5
26
9.3
25
7.7
14
6.5
12
5.4
27
9.3
8
4.5
33
8.6
Donald Trump
37
6.5
1
2.5
6
9.6
29
6.7
15
7.7
6
10.5
14
4.9
19
5.8
16
7.2
17
7.5
17
5.8
9
5.2
27
7.1
Jim Gilmore
3
.5
1
2.4
1
.1
1
.7
1
.2
1
.4
1
.3
1
.7
1
.4
2
1.2
1
.2
Lindsey Graham
7
1.3
1
1.0
3
4.7
4
.9
3
1.5
3
5.2
1
.5
3
.8
4
1.8
3
1.3
4
1.4
6
3.6
1
.2
Rick Santorum
16
2.8
2
3.2
1
1.7
13
3.0
6
3.1
3
5.4
7
2.5
12
3.6
4
1.9
6
2.6
10
3.5
5
3.1
11
2.8
Mike Huckabee
22
4.0
2
2.6
21
4.8
8
4.3
4
6.5
8
2.8
17
5.1
3
1.5
8
3.7
10
3.5
5
2.7
18
4.6
2
3.8
10
2.4
4
1.9
2
4.2
7
2.5
6
1.7
7
3.2
4
2.0
9
2.9
3
1.9
10
2.5
8
12.9
84
19.5
32
16.5
9
17.1
59
21.3
56
17.3
43
19.5
38
17.0
58
19.7
19
11.3
80
21.1
Bobby Jindal
13
2.3
Not Sure/Someone Else
107
19.0
Total
565 100.0
11
19.1
60 100.0
61 100.0
429 100.0
195 100.0
55 100.0
278 100.0
326 100.0
220 100.0
222 100.0
292 100.0
170 100.0
380 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 29
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
6. From that same list of candidates who would be your second choice?
Total
Career or gig?
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Did you not have to pay any taxes
last year because your income level
was below the threshold to pay
taxes or because your tax
deductions left you with no
liability?
Career
%
ƒ
Not currently
employed
ƒ
%
Just a "gig"
ƒ
%
%
72
12.7
35
15.1
10
10.7
I did not have to
pay taxes
ƒ
%
I had to pay
taxes
ƒ
%
Sexual Preference
Hetero
ƒ
Not Hetero
ƒ
%
%
27
11.2
17
9.1
52
15.0
70
13.1
2
6.6
6
2.4
1
.5
8
2.4
9
1.7
0
1.3
9
1.7
4
1.6
Scott Walker
32
5.7
11
4.7
7
7.0
15
6.3
7
3.6
24
6.8
30
5.6
3
9.0
Ted Cruz
41
7.2
15
6.6
2
2.1
23
9.8
17
9.3
23
6.5
39
7.2
2
6.5
Marco Rubio
53
9.3
23
9.7
9
9.6
21
8.8
17
9.2
35
10.3
51
9.5
2
5.5
John Kasich
6
2.6
2
1.0
5
1.5
7
1.3
7
1.3
1
.3
0
.3
Rand Paul
42
7.5
28
11.8
7
7.0
8
3.5
12
6.2
26
7.5
42
7.9
Ben Carson
38
6.8
17
7.2
2
2.0
20
8.3
11
5.9
25
7.3
37
6.9
2
5.5
Rick Perry
21
3.8
9
3.7
8
8.0
5
2.2
7
3.5
15
4.2
21
3.9
1
2.0
George Pataki
3
.5
2
.7
0
.5
0
.2
1
.6
1
.3
2
.4
0
1.4
Chris Christie
41
7.3
15
6.6
10
10.7
16
6.7
18
9.5
22
6.3
40
7.4
1
5.0
Donald Trump
37
6.5
12
5.1
7
7.6
17
7.4
16
8.8
18
5.3
36
6.8
0
.9
Jim Gilmore
3
.5
1
.6
1
.7
1
.3
1
.8
1
.2
2
.4
1
2.2
Lindsey Graham
7
1.3
3
1.2
3
3.6
1
.4
1
.7
6
1.7
7
1.3
0
.7
Rick Santorum
16
2.8
7
3.0
3
3.5
6
2.4
3
1.7
13
3.7
14
2.6
2
7.1
Mike Huckabee
22
4.0
8
3.3
5
4.8
10
4.3
3
1.5
14
4.1
22
4.2
0
.3
Bobby Jindal
13
2.3
3
1.2
10
4.2
9
4.7
4
1.1
13
2.4
Not Sure/Someone Else
107
19.0
41
17.6
21
22.0
45
19.1
44
23.4
54
15.7
93
17.5
14
46.0
Total
565
100.0
234
100.0
95
100.0
236
100.0
186
100.0
346
100.0
535
100.0
30
100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 30
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
7. On Thursday evening, the Republican candidates will gather in Cleveland for their first Presidential debate, regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will win the
debate?
Total
Gender
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Male
%
ƒ
95
16.8
Working
(full or
part time)
ƒ
%
Female
ƒ
%
%
51
18.3
44
15.3
59
18.8
What is your current employment status?
Temporaril Temporaril
y
y
Stay at
unemployed unemployed
home
and
and not
parent/spo
looking
looking
Student
use
for work
for work
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
2
10.6
1
5.0
1
7.6
8
1.3
6
2.3
1
.4
5
1.7
Scott Walker
27
4.8
17
6.0
10
3.6
15
4.7
Ted Cruz
28
4.9
12
4.4
16
5.4
15
4.9
1
7.7
Marco Rubio
16
2.8
11
3.9
5
1.8
9
3.0
2
11.6
John Kasich
4
.7
3
1.0
1
.4
1
.4
Rand Paul
18
3.2
7
2.5
11
3.9
12
3.7
Ben Carson
10
1.8
5
1.6
6
2.0
3
1.1
Rick Perry
9
1.6
4
1.5
5
1.7
5
1.5
George Pataki
4
.7
3
1.0
1
.4
3
.9
Chris Christie
1
0
6.0
.7
17
3.0
6
2.2
11
3.7
7
2.4
1
5.4
149
26.4
74
26.7
75
26.1
79
25.2
7
34.5
Jim Gilmore
2
.4
1
.3
1
.5
1
.2
Lindsey Graham
1
.2
1
.4
1
.2
Rick Santorum
8
1.4
3
1.2
4
1.5
4
19
3.3
10
3.7
8
2.9
8
1.5
6
2.3
2
.7
Not Sure/Someone Else
142
25.1
58
21.0
84
29.1
Total
565 100.0
Donald Trump
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
277 100.0
288 100.0
4
28.1
2
18.4
0
2.8
3
20.0
1
5.3
Age group A
Retired
ƒ
%
2
4.1
26
1
1.8
4
7.0
2
1
18-29
ƒ
%
30-49
ƒ
%
18.0
16
29.4
1
.9
1
1.0
7
5.0
3.3
7
4.9
2
1.8
4
2.8
2
1.6
50-64
ƒ
%
65+
ƒ
35
15.0
22
14.8
%
21
17.6
3
1.4
4
2.4
15
6.2
4
2.7
8
7.1
3.4
10
4.4
11
7.3
4
3.7
4
6.5
4
1.8
5
3.5
3
2.6
1
2.0
0
.2
1
.5
2
1.4
0
.7
2
1.7
3
5.3
9
4.0
3
2.0
3
2.5
5
8.7
2
1.3
0
.2
7
2.8
2
1.3
2
1.4
2
3.6
1
.9
2
4.4
4
1.8
1
.7
1
1.1
1
.7
1
.3
2
1.3
1
.9
3
5.8
5
3.4
1
2.0
10
4.2
1
.5
5
4.2
3
23.3
1
8.3
15
25.6
43
30.0
5
8.7
69
29.1
43
28.2
33
28.3
1
7.7
0
1.7
0
.7
1
.6
1
.7
1
1.0
1
.5
1.2
0
.2
4
2.6
2
.8
3
2.2
2
2.0
13
4.2
2
3.0
4
2.5
9
3.7
6
3.7
3
2.8
6
2.0
2
3.6
3
1.2
75
24.0
17
29.1
52
22.0
43
28.1
28
24.3
314 100.0
8
37.8
21 100.0
6
42.2
14 100.0
2
15.3
12 100.0
57 100.0
34
23.7
145 100.0
0
.5
4
6.4
17
30.3
56 100.0
236 100.0
151 100.0
116 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 31
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
7. On Thursday evening, the Republican candidates will gather in Cleveland for their first Presidential debate, regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will win the
debate?
Total
Party
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Democratic
ƒ
%
%
95
16.8
6
14.4
Republican
ƒ
%
Independen
t
ƒ
%
71
18.9
18
12.2
Ideology Recoded
Conservati
Liberal
Moderate
ve
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
8
18.2
35
20.6
Generation
Woodstocke
Nikes
rs
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
First
Globals
ƒ
%
52
15.2
19
18.3
33
18.6
30
14.7
Privates
ƒ
%
Education
No College
College
Degree
Degree+
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
14
17.1
36
14.9
59
18.4
8
1.3
1
1.3
7
1.7
0
.3
1
.6
7
1.9
1
.5
3
1.9
4
1.8
2
1.0
5
1.6
Scott Walker
27
4.8
2
4.1
21
5.7
4
2.8
4
7.9
5
3.0
18
5.4
5
5.1
4
2.4
12
5.9
6
7.1
10
4.3
17
5.2
Ted Cruz
28
4.9
22
5.8
6
4.0
2
3.8
4
2.6
22
6.4
5
4.9
7
4.2
14
6.8
2
2.1
14
6.0
13
4.2
Marco Rubio
16
2.8
2
4.0
11
2.9
3
2.4
1
2.3
9
5.2
6
1.8
4
3.8
4
2.2
5
2.6
3
3.8
3
1.3
13
3.9
John Kasich
2.1
2
.4
1
1.0
0
.7
0
.3
3
.8
1
1.1
0
.2
2
1.2
2
.6
2
.7
4
.7
1
Rand Paul
18
3.2
0
.2
12
3.2
6
4.3
1
2.5
3
2.0
14
4.1
7
7.3
3
1.6
7
3.4
1
1.6
5
2.2
13
4.0
Ben Carson
10
1.8
1
2.4
8
2.1
1
.9
1
2.1
2
1.1
8
2.3
3
2.8
4
2.2
2
1.0
2
2.1
7
2.9
4
1.1
Rick Perry
9
1.6
0
.4
8
2.2
1
.4
2
5.0
2
1.5
4
1.1
5
4.5
2
1.2
1
.5
1
1.7
5
2.2
4
1.2
George Pataki
4
.7
1
1.9
3
.8
2
3.9
1
.6
1
.3
1
.4
3
1.5
2
.9
2
.5
Chris Christie
17
3.0
2
5.3
10
2.7
4
3.0
1
2.4
4
2.5
12
3.4
1
1.1
10
5.6
2
1.1
4
4.5
10
4.1
7
2.2
149
26.4
11
29.0
92
24.3
46
31.2
8
18.5
42
24.8
92
27.2
12
11.4
59
33.6
54
26.5
25
31.3
81
33.6
69
21.3
Jim Gilmore
2
.4
1
2.4
1
.3
0
.3
1
3.0
1
.6
0
.2
1
.7
1
.5
0
.2
2
.6
Lindsey Graham
1
.2
1
3.1
1
2.7
1
.6
1
.3
1
.3
1
.2
Donald Trump
Rick Santorum
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
8
1.4
1
3.2
5
1.3
1
1.0
0
.6
3
2.0
4
1.2
2
2.0
19
3.3
4
10.1
8
2.1
6
4.4
1
3.1
5
2.7
13
3.7
2
2.0
5
2.8
2
4.4
6
1.6
0
.3
3
7.0
5
3.1
4
3.7
3
1.5
5
11.6
91
24.0
46
31.6
7
16.2
46
27.0
31
30.6
36
20.6
8
1.5
Not Sure/Someone Else
142
25.1
Total
565 100.0
40 100.0
379 100.0
147 100.0
45 100.0
170 100.0
86
25.3
340 100.0
102 100.0
176 100.0
5
2.2
1
1.3
3
1.2
5
1.5
9
4.6
2
2.1
5
1.9
14
4.3
2
.9
6
2.0
52
21.8
88
27.1
52
25.7
202 100.0
20
25.4
79 100.0
240 100.0
323 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 32
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
7. On Thursday evening, the Republican candidates will gather in Cleveland for their first Presidential debate, regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will win the
debate?
Total
90600. Which of the following best describes you?
Liberal/progr
essive on
just about
every issue
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
%
ƒ
95
16.8
%
ƒ
4
23.3
1
8.4
8
1.3
Scott Walker
27
4.8
Ted Cruz
28
4.9
Marco Rubio
16
2.8
John Kasich
4
.7
Rand Paul
18
3.2
1
5.4
Ben Carson
0
1.4
10
1.8
0
1.3
Rick Perry
9
1.6
0
2.7
George Pataki
4
.7
1
6.1
17
3.0
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
Mainly a
liberal on
government
spending
%
1
0
Mainly a
liberal on
social issues
ƒ
10.7
3.9
%
Conservative
on just about
every issue
ƒ
5
17.5
1
2
%
Mainly a
conservative
on government
spending
ƒ
31
14.8
1.8
7
3.1
6.8
11
4
13.8
1
1
%
ƒ
0
.4
4.7
3
7.0
3
2.6
13
6.3
3
3.5
4
9.2
1
.6
3.0
4
1.7
6
7.4
4
3.1
2.6
2
1.0
0
.9
0
.3
1
2.2
3
1.7
3
8.2
5
4.2
1
2.8
0
.5
5
2.3
1
1.4
2
1.9
2
5.4
1
.5
4
10.2
0
.2
1
.5
1
1.9
3
9.7
0
1.2
2
6.7
1
3.9
1
3.1
8
22.5
2
5.4
0
.9
3
1.6
3
3.7
7
17.1
3
2.2
1
1.7
18
23.9
4
10.0
40
32.7
8
26.4
3
2.7
1
4.5
2
5.3
2
1.7
1
3.6
1
2.3
2
1.7
6.0
3
9.7
66
31.5
0
5.6
1
2.6
1
.5
Lindsey Graham
1
.2
1
8.4
1
2.1
3
1.3
1
8.4
2
7.8
9
4.2
1
2.1
2
.7
2
3.0
Bobby Jindal
4.4
3.1
2.4
0
4.7
1
0
2
1.3
1.6
11.0
10.5
13.3
1
4
1
0
0
19.4
10.5
2
3.3
%
6
1
.4
1.4
Not sure
ƒ
4
2.2
21.6
%
5.5
2
26
ƒ
10.5
26.4
8
%
4
2
19
ƒ
19.7
149
Mike Huckabee
%
Moderate
because I try
to be
rational, not
passionate
about
15
Jim Gilmore
Rick Santorum
Mainly a
conservative
on social
issues
Moderate
because I
look at each
issue
separately
8
1.5
2
11.6
Not Sure/Someone Else
142
25.1
3
19.0
2
32.9
8
26.5
48
22.9
22
29.5
8
20.1
29
24.1
8
26.3
13
37.7
Total
565
100.0
16
100.0
7
100.0
29
100.0
210
100.0
76
100.0
41
100.0
122
100.0
30
100.0
34
100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 33
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
7. On Thursday evening, the Republican candidates will gather in Cleveland for their first Presidential debate, regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will win the
debate?
Total
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
18-24
%
ƒ
95
16.8
8
1.3
Scott Walker
27
4.8
Ted Cruz
28
4.9
Marco Rubio
16
2.8
John Kasich
4
Rand Paul
Ben Carson
Carly Fiorini
%
6
38.2
2
11.9
.7
1
6.8
18
3.2
3
15.4
10
1.8
Rick Perry
9
1.6
George Pataki
4
.7
17
3.0
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
0
2.7
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
70+
%
ƒ
13
14.6
42
18.0
23
13.6
1
.6
3
1.4
4
2.1
5
6.1
11
4.6
10
5.8
3
3.6
9
4.1
13
7.8
4
4.5
5
2.0
6
3.6
0
.2
2
1.4
5
5.8
5
2.2
5
2.7
3
3.3
4
1.8
3
2.0
4
4.8
3
1.3
1
.3
3
1.8
1
1
2.5
2.5
2.3
2.5
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
1
ƒ
9.8
%
1
ƒ
88
17.5
4
12.3
7
1.4
1
1.7
24
4.8
1
4.6
0
.6
1
9.6
22
4.3
4
11.2
2
13.1
1
12.1
14
2.7
1
3.0
1
11.1
0
.9
3
.5
0
1.4
1
5.7
17
3.3
0
1.3
8
1.7
1
3.3
0
1.0
6
1.1
3
10.8
3
.6
5
2.9
4
1.0
14.8
1
.4
3
.8
10
5.5
7
1.7
51
28.0
98
25.7
1
.4
2
.4
19.0
1
9.7
1
14.6
.7
1
.3
2.4
0
.1
4
2.5
19
3.3
2
2.3
9
3.8
7
4.0
8
1.5
4
4.4
3
1.1
Not Sure/Someone Else
142
25.1
29
33.4
51
21.7
Total
565 100.0
86 100.0
234 100.0
43
25.5
171 100.0
1
14
2.0
26.9
53 100.0
1
.1
7
1.4
16
3.2
2
6.8
0
4
.7
5
14.5
0
131
26.0
2
7.3
2
23.5
504 100.0
1
2
23.9
1.9
0
31 100.0
5
1
.7
3
1.4
5
1.3
.9
4
1.9
15
3.9
3.2
5
2.9
3
.8
33
18.3
108
28.4
2.9
37.5
13 100.0
.8
1
6
2
3.0
3
2.1
.5
1
11
.4
0
27.1
.2
2.6
1
1.3
2
1.4
5
2.0
137
8
5.1
5
34.3
1
4.2
19
8
18
Rick Santorum
16
4.6
3.1
.9
Lindsey Graham
6.1
8
5.9
0
.6
11
6
8.8
25.6
.8
11
1
1
18.8
3
6.8
.7
44
72
2.4
11.3
0
.5
12.6
4
1
3.0
32.3
23
0
15
1
%
2.0
6.7
76
ƒ
9.6
4
.3
14.1
%
0
1.1
11.8
1
ƒ
1
2
0
%
20.7
4.3
10
Child under 17?
Yes
No
Other
10
.4
16.0
1
20.4
%
Asian
1.3
26.4
3
11
ƒ
Race
AfrAmer
Hisp
1
2
16 100.0
White
%
1
149
Bobby Jindal
9.0
ƒ
55-69
Jim Gilmore
Mike Huckabee
1
Age group B
35-54
25-34
7 100.0
2
29.2
7 100.0
183 100.0
382 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 34
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
7. On Thursday evening, the Republican candidates will gather in Cleveland for their first Presidential debate, regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will win the
debate?
Total
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Catholic
%
ƒ
%
Religion
Protestant
Jewish
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Weekly
ƒ
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
12.4
75
20.6
3
7.9
33
17.4
41
24.2
.4
7
1.8
0
1.1
2
1.2
4
2.4
Scott Walker
27
4.8
8
6.0
18
5.0
1
1.7
8
4.3
10
5.9
3
Ted Cruz
28
4.9
6
4.6
21
5.8
1
1.2
11
5.6
10
6.0
10
Marco Rubio
16
2.8
3
2.4
10
2.9
1
2.5
5
2.4
6
3.4
2
2.7
John Kasich
4
.7
1
.9
1
2.4
0
.6
Rand Paul
18
3.2
3
2.4
13
3.7
2
4.2
6
3.2
7
4.1
1
1.6
8
5.1
6
8.9
Ben Carson
10
1.8
1
.6
7
2.0
1
2.8
6
2.9
2
1.0
5
7.2
1
.5
0
.6
Rick Perry
9
1.6
4
3.2
3
.9
1
3.2
1
.7
2
1.2
2
2.4
4
2.4
0
.4
George Pataki
4
.7
4
2.8
1
1.0
1
.6
1
1.5
1
2.9
17
3.0
5
3.7
10
2.8
0
3.7
1
3.3
5
2.5
5
3.1
3
3.3
1
.5
3
4.1
2
6.8
5
3
48.3
15
34.5
54
28.1
38
22.2
16
21.6
38
23.9
21
30.1
6
16.6
1
1.4
1
.6
2
2.3
0
.1
Donald Trump
18
25.3
2.5
1
.8
3.9
14
8.9
12.9
6
3.9
4
5.4
4
2.5
0
.4
2
149
26.4
36
26.3
92
25.3
Jim Gilmore
2
.4
1
.6
1
.3
Lindsey Graham
1
.2
1
.4
1
.2
1
.3
1
.8
1
.9
Rick Santorum
8
1.4
4
2.9
3
.8
0
1.1
1
.7
2
1.0
2
3.0
4
2.3
1
1.9
19
3.3
3
2.0
15
4.1
1
2.6
10
5.4
4
2.6
4
5.3
10
6.1
2
2.6
8
1.5
3
2.0
5
1.4
0
.9
1
.4
4
2.5
3
3.6
1
.6
2
3.3
Not Sure/Someone Else
142
25.1
36
26.6
81
22.3
13
29.2
47
24.7
34
19.7
18
24.0
45
28.8
10
14.2
Total
565 100.0
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
135 100.0
362 100.0
1
14.6
6 100.0
44 100.0
192 100.0
170 100.0
77 100.0
157 100.0
8
70 100.0
1
1
0
15
22.9
4.6
2.3
1.8
.2
41.5
36 100.0
Never
%
1
Chris Christie
11.1
4
Rarely
ƒ
17
18.9
17
%
1.3
1
4.0
%
16.8
12.4
3
Attend religious services
1-2/Month
Holidays
8
1
2.1
ƒ
Weekly+
95
Carly Fiorini
0
BornAgain
Yes
No/NS
Other/None
ƒ
%
30
22.7
17
21.7
1
1.0
2
2.3
5
3.9
3
3.5
7
5.0
1
1.7
4
2.7
5
6.7
1
1.1
0
.5
2
1.2
1
.6
3
2.4
0
.5
3
4.2
3.8
3
3.9
42
31.0
22
27.7
0
.3
0
.1
0
.3
2
1.4
1
1.4
2
1.8
29
21.5
20
25.1
134 100.0
78 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 35
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
7. On Thursday evening, the Republican candidates will gather in Cleveland for their first Presidential debate, regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will win the
debate?
Total
Region
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
East
%
ƒ
95
16.8
South
%
9
ƒ
8.8
Household Income
Centr GrLks
ƒ
%
%
West
ƒ
< $25K
ƒ
%
%
38
20.9
26
15.3
21
20.1
3
1.5
3
1.7
2
1.7
5
$25-35K
ƒ
%
6.5
19
$35-50K
ƒ
%
27.4
$50-75K
ƒ
%
12
16.8
1
1.8
26
$75-100K
ƒ
%
17.7
$100-150K
ƒ
%
$150K+
ƒ
%
12
13.5
14
21.0
5
21.5
2
2.6
3
4.4
1
4.6
8
1.3
Scott Walker
27
4.8
3
3.0
10
5.3
13
7.5
1
1.3
3
3.7
2
3.1
2
3.4
10
6.7
3
3.2
5
7.5
2
9.2
Ted Cruz
28
4.9
5
4.7
9
5.2
5
2.9
8
8.0
6
8.3
2
3.4
3
4.0
6
4.1
6
6.1
3
4.2
1
4.6
Marco Rubio
16
2.8
5
4.4
3
1.8
6
3.3
2
2.3
1
1.8
1
.8
2
3.3
3
1.8
1
1.2
4
6.4
2
8.3
1
1.8
3
5.2
1
5.7
1
2.2
0
.6
John Kasich
4
.7
2
.8
2
1.1
0
.4
2
2.2
0
.5
0
.6
0
.2
Rand Paul
18
3.2
4
4.2
2
.9
9
4.9
4
3.6
4
4.8
3
3.8
2
2.9
2
1.4
3
3.4
Ben Carson
2
2.3
1
.3
4
2.3
4
3.4
1
1.9
1
1.9
3
3.7
2
1.1
3
3.5
5
3.0
1
.3
3
2.8
2
2.8
0
.6
3
2.1
2
2.0
1
.7
1
1.4
2
1.4
1
.8
10
1.8
Rick Perry
9
1.6
George Pataki
4
.7
3
3.0
17
3.0
8
7.6
3
1.4
3
1.9
3
2.9
3
4.5
1
1.8
2
3.3
9
6.0
0
.4
0
.3
0
1.1
44
25.7
28
26.0
27
35.4
22
32.2
16
22.8
43
29.0
20
22.4
10
15.2
5
22.5
1
.7
1
1.7
1
1.3
1
.6
1
.7
1
.9
5
21.9
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
149
26.4
20
19.3
57
31.3
Jim Gilmore
2
.4
1
1.2
0
.2
Lindsey Graham
1
.2
1
.6
Rick Santorum
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
8
1.4
5
4.9
19
3.3
3
2.9
8
1.5
Not Sure/Someone Else
142
25.1
Total
565 100.0
34
33.1
103 100.0
4
47
2.1
25.4
184 100.0
1
.8
1
1.2
9
5.5
2
2.1
5
2.6
4
3.6
42
24.1
20
18.5
172 100.0
106 100.0
0
20
.2
26.1
76 100.0
1
1.5
1
1.5
2
1.7
1
1.4
2
2.8
4
6.1
3
3.6
5
3.7
2
2.0
4
6.7
2
3.0
2
1.5
2
2.1
2
3.2
10
13.9
32
21.6
31
33.6
12
18.0
69 100.0
22
31.0
72 100.0
148 100.0
91 100.0
65 100.0
23 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 36
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
7. On Thursday evening, the Republican candidates will gather in Cleveland for their first Presidential debate, regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will win the
debate?
Total
Live
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Lge City
ƒ
%
%
Sm City
ƒ
%
95
16.8
18
15.2
14
15.2
Union member
Suburbs
ƒ
%
46
21.3
Rural
ƒ
%
Yes
ƒ
Marital status
No
%
ƒ
Married
ƒ
%
%
17
12.5
8
12.1
87
17.4
Div/Sep/
Wdw
ƒ
%
Single
ƒ
%
58
16.1
20
19.5
13
16.4
Civil
union
ƒ
%
4
Home status
Live in
rental
unit
ƒ
%
Own a
home
ƒ
%
22.1
76
17.8
18
15.6
8
1.3
2
1.4
1
1.4
5
2.2
8
1.5
5
1.4
3
2.6
6
1.5
Scott Walker
27
4.8
8
6.7
5
5.6
10
4.8
4
2.7
4
5.9
23
4.6
20
5.5
3
2.7
5
5.8
23
5.4
4
3.5
Ted Cruz
28
4.9
10
8.8
3
2.8
7
3.4
8
5.5
3
4.4
25
5.0
14
3.9
10
9.6
4
5.1
24
5.5
4
3.7
Marco Rubio
16
2.8
2
1.4
5
5.1
4
1.7
6
4.2
5
7.8
11
2.2
9
2.5
5
4.9
2
2.6
14
3.3
2
1.8
4
.8
0
.3
18
4.2
1
.5
John Kasich
4
.7
2
2.1
1
.7
0
.3
0
.7
3
.7
2
.5
1
.8
1
1.5
Rand Paul
18
3.2
0
.4
4
3.9
10
4.7
4
3.1
1
1.0
18
3.5
14
3.9
3
2.5
2
2.3
Ben Carson
2
2.1
0
.4
10
1.8
5
4.0
2
1.1
1
1.1
1
1.4
10
1.9
10
2.7
1
.5
0
.3
4
.9
6
5.7
Rick Perry
9
1.6
5
3.9
2
.9
2
1.8
2
2.5
7
1.5
6
1.7
2
1.6
1
1.6
5
1.1
2
1.9
George Pataki
4
.7
1
.6
1
.5
2
1.5
1
1.2
3
.6
4
1.1
3
.7
1
.9
Chris Christie
17
3.0
2
1.9
3
3.3
6
2.8
5
3.8
2
3.2
15
2.9
12
3.3
3
2.8
2
2.5
149
26.4
30
26.1
29
30.6
56
25.8
34
25.1
15
23.1
134
26.8
98
27.4
13
12.7
26
31.5
Jim Gilmore
2
.4
1
1.0
0
.2
1
.5
1
1.2
2
.3
1
.3
0
.2
1
1.3
Lindsey Graham
1
.2
1
.5
1
.3
1
.9
1
.1
1
.3
8
1.4
1
.9
0
.2
2
.7
5
3.6
2
3.7
5
1.1
6
1.6
1
1.3
0
.6
19
3.3
3
2.9
6
6.5
3
1.5
6
4.3
7
10.7
12
2.3
12
3.4
3
3.1
3
3.4
1
.6
4
3.2
3
4.3
6
1.1
5
1.5
1
.8
20
21.1
57
26.6
37
27.3
10
16.0
132
26.3
82
22.9
35
34.3
20
24.9
Donald Trump
Rick Santorum
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
8
1.5
3
2.4
Not Sure/Someone Else
142
25.1
25
21.8
Total
565 100.0
116 100.0
94 100.0
216 100.0
136 100.0
64 100.0
501 100.0
358 100.0
101 100.0
81 100.0
10
50.4
1
4.0
1
6.2
2
9.8
14
3.3
1
1.1
2
7.9
107
25.1
33
29.2
7
34.0
1
.2
1
1.3
1
.3
8
1.8
16
3.7
2
1.6
1
5.0
7
33.1
0
1.3
2
12.1
6
1.5
2
1.9
3
13.6
98
23.1
36
31.3
19 100.0
Neither
ƒ
%
426 100.0
114 100.0
21 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 37
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
7. On Thursday evening, the Republican candidates will gather in Cleveland for their first Presidential debate, regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will win the
debate?
Total
NASCAR Fan
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
Self ID Social
Networker
No
%
ƒ
%
Phone
Yes
%
ƒ
Mobile
ƒ
%
Self ID Investor Class
Landline
ƒ
%
95
16.8
29
19.5
66
15.8
40
18.8
55
15.6
36
16.3
1
.5
7
1.9
3
1.5
5
Both
ƒ
10.6
Yes
%
ƒ
Passport?
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
54
18.4
42
23.8
53
13.7
44
17.2
51
16.5
4
1.4
5
2.7
3
.7
6
2.6
1
.3
8
1.3
3
1.9
5
1.1
Scott Walker
27
4.8
5
3.0
23
5.4
6
2.9
21
5.9
7
3.4
2
4.9
17
5.9
11
6.3
16
4.1
15
5.8
12
3.9
Ted Cruz
28
4.9
8
5.3
20
4.8
10
4.7
18
5.1
15
6.8
2
4.2
11
3.7
5
2.6
23
5.9
11
4.2
17
5.5
Marco Rubio
16
2.8
3
1.8
13
3.2
3
1.3
13
3.8
7
3.0
2
4.6
7
2.5
9
5.1
7
1.8
12
4.7
4
1.3
John Kasich
4
.7
0
.2
4
.9
1
.5
3
.8
1
.5
3
.9
1
.5
3
.8
2
.6
2
.8
Rand Paul
18
3.2
6
3.7
13
3.1
13
6.2
5
1.4
12
5.3
2
3.5
5
1.7
5
2.8
13
3.4
12
4.6
7
2.1
Ben Carson
10
1.8
3
1.8
8
1.9
7
3.4
3
.9
5
2.0
1
1.8
5
1.7
1
.7
9
2.4
2
.8
8
2.7
Rick Perry
9
1.6
2
1.3
7
1.7
3
1.4
6
1.7
6
2.6
2
3.8
1
.5
3
2.0
6
1.4
3
1.3
6
1.9
George Pataki
4
.7
2
1.2
2
.5
1
.4
3
.9
3
5.8
1
.4
2
1.0
2
.5
3
1.1
1
.3
17
3.0
3
2.3
13
3.2
3
1.5
14
3.9
4
1.7
1
1.4
11
3.6
2
1.3
14
3.7
7
2.6
10
3.2
6
13.1
91
31.1
37
21.0
112
28.8
44
17.6
105
33.6
2
.6
1
.4
2
.4
1
.4
1
.5
1
.3
1
.2
1
.5
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
149
26.4
42
27.8
107
25.9
60
28.1
89
25.4
52
23.5
Jim Gilmore
2
.4
1
.6
1
.3
2
.9
0
.1
1
.3
Lindsey Graham
1
.2
1
.4
1
.1
1
.3
1
.2
1
.3
1
Rick Santorum
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
1.3
8
1.4
3
2.0
5
1.1
3
1.5
4
1.3
0
.1
0
.2
7
2.5
5
2.6
3
.8
5
1.9
3
1.0
19
3.3
5
3.6
13
3.2
5
2.6
13
3.7
5
2.2
5
11.3
8
2.9
4
2.3
14
3.7
8
3.1
11
3.4
4
2.4
5
1.1
5
2.5
3
.8
6
2.9
2
4.0
6
3.2
3
.7
6
2.4
2
.7
32
21.2
110
26.6
49
22.7
93
26.6
62
27.7
14
29.4
37
21.3
105
26.8
72
28.5
70
22.4
8
1.5
Not Sure/Someone Else
142
25.1
Total
565 100.0
150 100.0
415 100.0
214 100.0
351 100.0
223 100.0
47 100.0
65
22.3
292 100.0
175 100.0
390 100.0
253 100.0
312 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 38
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
7. On Thursday evening, the Republican candidates will gather in Cleveland for their first Presidential debate, regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will win the
debate?
Lost a job due to
corporate downsizing
within the past year?
Yes
No
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Total
n
ƒ
%
Jeb Bush
Been afraid of losing
a job within the next
year?
Yes
No
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Worked at a job that
pays less than an
immediate previous
job?
Yes
No
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Gone without food for
24 hours in the past
month due to a lack of
food or money?
Yes
No
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
95
16.8
3
5.5
92
17.9
13
13.9
82
17.4
16
13.4
79
17.7
8
1.3
2
4.7
5
1.0
1
1.4
6
1.3
1
1.1
6
1.4
Scott Walker
27
4.8
1
2.9
26
5.0
4
4.1
23
4.9
4
3.5
23
5.1
Ted Cruz
28
4.9
5
10.8
22
4.3
7
7.4
21
4.4
9
7.7
19
4.2
6
14.0
Marco Rubio
16
2.8
2
4.1
14
2.7
4
4.0
12
2.6
6
5.5
10
2.1
0
1.1
Carly Fiorini
John Kasich
6
15.0
Creative Job Sector
Yes
No
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Self ID Creative Class
Yes
No
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
89
17.0
33
23.9
62
14.5
24
14.6
71
17.7
8
1.4
3
2.1
5
1.1
3
2.1
4
1.0
27
5.2
8
5.4
19
4.6
8
5.0
19
4.7
22
4.2
7
5.4
20
4.8
8
5.0
20
4.9
16
3.0
7
5.2
9
2.0
3
1.9
13
3.2
4
.7
0
.9
3
.7
0
.5
3
.7
2
1.3
2
.5
0
1.0
3
.7
1
.8
3
.7
1
.7
3
.7
Rand Paul
18
3.2
4
7.3
15
2.9
3
3.0
16
3.3
5
4.3
13
3.0
1
1.5
18
3.4
8
5.8
10
2.4
7
4.4
11
2.8
Ben Carson
10
1.8
1
1.8
10
1.8
2
1.6
9
1.9
2
1.3
9
2.0
0
.3
10
2.0
1
.6
10
2.2
2
1.2
8
2.1
9
1.6
1
2.9
8
1.5
5
4.8
5
1.0
2
2.1
7
1.5
4
10.1
5
.9
1
1.0
8
1.8
4
2.4
5
1.3
Rick Perry
George Pataki
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
4
.7
2
3.6
2
.4
2
1.8
2
.4
1
.9
3
.6
4
.7
1
.5
3
.7
1
.5
3
.8
17
3.0
2
4.2
15
2.8
4
4.7
12
2.6
2
1.8
15
3.3
0
.5
17
3.2
2
1.4
15
3.5
3
1.7
14
3.5
149
26.4
13
26.8
136
26.4
28
29.7
121
25.8
38
32.4
111
24.9
14
33.8
135
25.8
25
17.7
125
29.3
43
26.6
106
26.3
Jim Gilmore
2
.4
1
1.5
2
.3
1
.8
2
.4
1
.6
2
.4
1
1.8
2
.3
1
.5
2
.4
1
.5
2
.4
Lindsey Graham
1
.2
1
1.2
1
.1
1
.6
1
.1
1
.3
1
.2
1
.4
1
.1
1
.4
1
.1
Rick Santorum
8
1.4
1
2.8
6
1.2
1
1.4
6
1.3
2
1.3
6
1.4
1
2.7
7
1.2
1
.7
7
1.6
3
2.1
4
1.0
19
3.3
3
5.1
16
3.1
3
2.7
16
3.4
4
3.8
14
3.2
2
5.4
16
3.1
7
4.9
12
2.7
6
3.7
13
3.1
8
1.8
2
1.6
6
1.4
2
4.4
6
1.2
5
3.4
4
.8
5
2.8
4
.9
17
17.7
125
26.6
20
17.3
122
27.2
4
8.5
138
26.5
28
20.1
114
26.8
40
24.4
102
25.4
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
8
1.5
2
3.8
6
1.3
Not Sure/Someone Else
142
25.1
5
10.3
137
26.6
Total
565 100.0
50 100.0
515 100.0
95 100.0
470 100.0
117 100.0
448 100.0
43 100.0
522 100.0
140 100.0
425 100.0
163 100.0
402 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 39
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
7. On Thursday evening, the Republican candidates will gather in Cleveland for their first Presidential debate, regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will win the
debate?
Total
WalMart shopper?
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Weekly
ƒ
%
%
95
16.8
Few/Month
ƒ
%
25
15.8
1-2/year
ƒ
%
44
18.6
22
Sympathetic to Tea
Party
Residency
My city or
town
ƒ
%
Never
ƒ
%
16.4
4
16.9
The planet
earth
ƒ
%
America
ƒ
%
23
13.4
60
19.8
6
2.2
8
4.7
16
11
6.6
Yes
ƒ
Sympathetic to Occupy
Wall St
No
%
ƒ
11
13.8
24
12.3
4
5.2
3
4.2
17
12
4.1
4
5.0
Yes
%
ƒ
71
19.1
1.9
4
1.0
8.6
10
16
8.5
No
%
ƒ
%
8
14.6
87
17.1
8
1.5
2.8
2
4.3
25
4.8
11
3.1
2
4.0
25
5.0
8
1.3
3
1.8
2
1.0
1
.8
1
5.2
Scott Walker
27
4.8
11
7.3
12
5.3
2
1.7
1
4.2
Ted Cruz
28
4.9
14
8.9
8
3.6
5
3.5
Marco Rubio
16
2.8
5
3.3
6
2.6
4
2.7
4
2.6
10
3.2
1
.9
9
4.5
7
1.9
2
3.1
14
2.8
John Kasich
4
.7
1
.5
2
.7
0
.3
1
3.1
1
.5
2
.7
1
1.3
2
.8
2
.6
1
1.3
3
.6
Rand Paul
18
3.2
2
1.5
11
4.6
5
3.3
1
2.0
7
3.8
11
3.8
0
.5
4
1.9
15
3.9
1
1.1
18
3.5
Ben Carson
2
1.7
1
.7
5
1.8
4
4.5
6
3.0
5
1.2
1
1.5
10
1.9
2
8.2
4
2.2
4
1.3
0
.2
3
1.3
6
1.7
2
3.3
7
1.4
2
1.0
1
.3
1
1.2
2
.9
2
.5
2
3.1
2
.4
10
1.8
3
1.7
6
2.3
Rick Perry
9
1.6
2
1.4
5
2.0
George Pataki
4
.7
2
1.1
1
.4
Chris Christie
1
.8
17
3.0
3
2.2
4
1.7
9
6.2
1
2.0
2
1.4
11
3.8
3
3.5
4
1.8
13
3.6
4
7.0
13
2.5
149
26.4
43
27.4
67
28.6
30
22.0
6
22.9
51
29.8
73
24.2
23
28.0
49
25.4
100
26.9
12
20.4
137
27.1
Jim Gilmore
2
.4
1
.9
1
.3
0
.9
1
.8
1
1.3
1
.7
1
.3
1
1.3
2
.3
Lindsey Graham
1
.2
1
.5
Rick Santorum
8
1.4
5
3.1
2
1.0
0
.3
19
3.3
6
3.9
4
1.7
7
5.3
0
48
35.2
9
Donald Trump
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
8
1.5
4
2.4
5
1.9
Not Sure/Someone Else
142
25.1
26
16.7
54
23.1
Total
565 100.0
155 100.0
236 100.0
137 100.0
1
.7
1
.6
1
1.0
1
.1
2
1.4
5
1.6
1
.7
1
.6
6
1.7
1
2.2
6
1.3
.3
6
3.7
10
3.4
2
2.4
7
3.6
12
3.1
2
4.1
16
3.2
4
2.3
4
1.5
5
2.6
3
.9
4
6.5
5
.9
34.4
42
24.4
70
23.1
27
32.6
40
20.7
102
27.4
12
21.1
130
25.6
25 100.0
171 100.0
301 100.0
83 100.0
193 100.0
372 100.0
58 100.0
507 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 40
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
7. On Thursday evening, the Republican candidates will gather in Cleveland for their first Presidential debate, regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will win the
debate?
Are you currently or have you ever
been a member of the National
Rifle Association?
Have never
Currently
Former
been a
a member
member of
member of
of the NRA
the NRA
the NRA
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Total
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
%
95
16.8
2
3.9
Do you invest in the
stock market; have an
IRA, a 401-K
retirement plan or a
pension fund?
Are you a current or former gun
owner?
Current
gun owner
ƒ
%
8
13.0
85
19.7
26
13.2
Former gun
owner
ƒ
%
Have never
been a gun
owner
ƒ
%
9
15.6
58
20.9
4
15
Yes
ƒ
Do you or does anyone
in your household keep
a gun for personal
protection, hunting or
target shooting at
your home, place of
business, or at a
vacation home or club?
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
60
18.5
33
1.3
6
1.8
2
5.4
21
6.5
6
ƒ
14.9
Veteran/Armed Forces?
No
%
ƒ
30
13.5
.8
4
2.7
10
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
64
22.0
25
14.7
1.8
4
1.2
3
4.3
16
5.4
7
%
70
18.4
2.0
4
1.1
4.1
20
5.3
8
1.3
3
4.8
5
1.1
4
2.0
Scott Walker
27
4.8
1
1.7
3
5.2
23
5.3
9
4.8
1
1.9
Ted Cruz
28
4.9
4
6.9
6
9.3
16
3.7
10
5.0
5
8.5
9
3.4
14
4.2
12
5.6
11
5.0
13
4.4
13
7.6
15
3.9
Marco Rubio
16
2.8
0
.7
16
3.6
1
.6
0
.8
12
4.4
10
3.1
6
2.6
2
1.0
12
4.0
8
4.8
7
1.9
John Kasich
2
3.3
1
.2
2
1.2
0
.7
1
.2
2
.6
2
.7
2
1.1
1
.4
3
1.7
1
.2
4
.7
Rand Paul
18
3.2
Ben Carson
10
Rick Perry
George Pataki
Chris Christie
0
.7
4
5.9
15
3.4
10
4.9
1
1.2
7
2.5
11
3.3
8
3.5
8
3.8
9
3.0
4
2.4
14
3.7
1.8
1
1.3
2
3.2
7
1.7
7
3.8
1
1.9
1
.3
5
1.5
5
2.3
7
3.3
1
.5
8
4.7
3
.7
9
1.6
2
2.7
2
3.0
5
1.1
5
2.8
3
1.1
5
1.5
3
1.5
5
2.4
4
1.3
4
2.4
5
1.3
4
.7
2
3.0
2
.5
4
2.0
2
.5
2
.9
4
1.7
3
1.7
1
.3
17
3.0
3
4.8
3
5.0
11
2.5
8
3.9
7
2.5
7
2.1
8
3.5
9
4.0
4
1.5
7
4.2
10
2.5
149
26.4
23
38.3
13
21.9
106
24.6
54
27.9
16
28.8
66
23.9
79
24.3
66
30.0
63
28.5
64
22.0
51
30.2
90
23.6
Jim Gilmore
2
.4
1
1.6
1
.3
1
.5
1
1.9
0
.1
1
.3
1
.7
2
.9
0
.1
1
.4
1
.4
Lindsey Graham
1
.2
1
1.0
1
1.0
1
.3
1
1.1
1
.2
1
.3
1
.3
1
.2
1
.7
Donald Trump
Rick Santorum
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
8
1.4
2
3.4
0
.2
6
1.3
4
2.0
1
1.9
3
1.0
8
2.3
0
.1
4
1.8
4
1.3
1
.8
6
1.7
19
3.3
2
2.8
2
3.8
15
3.4
2
1.0
2
3.7
15
5.2
10
3.1
8
3.8
5
2.1
14
4.8
5
2.9
13
3.4
3
5.0
6
2.0
6
1.9
2
.9
3
1.5
5
1.7
2
1.1
6
1.5
15
27.1
72
25.8
79
24.3
56
25.3
51
23.1
77
26.3
23
13.8
115
30.1
8
1.5
2
3.2
1
1.4
6
1.3
Not Sure/Someone Else
142
25.1
12
19.8
14
23.3
112
26.0
Total
565 100.0
60 100.0
61 100.0
429 100.0
47
24.0
195 100.0
55 100.0
278 100.0
326 100.0
220 100.0
222 100.0
292 100.0
170 100.0
380 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 41
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
7. On Thursday evening, the Republican candidates will gather in Cleveland for their first Presidential debate, regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will win
the debate?
Total
Career or gig?
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Did you not have to pay any taxes
last year because your income level
was below the threshold to pay
taxes or because your tax
deductions left you with no
liability?
Career
%
ƒ
Not currently
employed
ƒ
%
Just a "gig"
ƒ
%
%
95
16.8
46
19.8
15
15.9
I did not have to
pay taxes
ƒ
%
33
14.2
2
1.0
27
14.3
I had to pay
taxes
ƒ
%
Sexual Preference
Hetero
ƒ
Not Hetero
ƒ
%
%
66
19.0
94
17.6
8
2.2
8
1.4
1
2.1
2
5.8
8
1.3
5
2.2
Scott Walker
27
4.8
14
6.0
2
2.1
11
4.7
4
2.1
23
6.7
25
4.7
Ted Cruz
28
4.9
12
4.9
7
7.0
10
4.1
10
5.4
14
4.1
28
5.2
Marco Rubio
16
2.8
8
3.4
2
1.8
6
2.6
2
1.3
14
3.9
13
2.5
3
9.3
John Kasich
4
.7
1
.3
3
1.3
2
.9
2
.5
3
.6
0
1.4
Rand Paul
18
3.2
6
2.6
6
6.1
7
2.8
10
5.5
8
2.4
18
3.4
Ben Carson
5
17.6
10
1.8
3
1.2
1
.6
7
2.9
3
1.8
7
2.0
10
1.9
Rick Perry
9
1.6
4
1.9
1
1.2
4
1.5
5
2.7
3
1.0
4
.7
George Pataki
4
.7
2
.8
1
1.1
1
.4
4
1.1
4
.7
17
3.0
5
2.3
4
4.7
7
3.0
10
5.3
5
1.3
16
3.1
0
1.3
23
23.9
67
28.6
47
25.1
87
25.3
144
26.8
6
18.8
Chris Christie
Donald Trump
149
26.4
59
25.2
Jim Gilmore
2
.4
2
.9
0
.2
2
.9
1
.2
2
.3
1
2.1
Lindsey Graham
1
.2
1
.3
1
.3
1
.3
1
.2
1
.1
1
2.0
Rick Santorum
8
1.4
3
1.2
1
1.1
4
1.6
8
2.2
8
1.4
19
3.3
10
4.4
3
3.2
5
2.2
7
3.8
11
3.3
18
3.4
0
.9
8
1.5
6
2.4
1
.7
2
.9
4
1.9
5
1.4
6
1.2
2
6.3
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
Not Sure/Someone Else
142
25.1
47
20.2
29
30.6
66
27.8
53
28.7
80
23.2
132
24.7
10
32.5
Total
565
100.0
234
100.0
95
100.0
236
100.0
186
100.0
346
100.0
535
100.0
30
100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 42
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
8. Regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will get the most publicity from the debate?
Total
Gender
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Scott Walker
Male
%
ƒ
What is your current employment status?
Working
(full or
part time)
Female
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Temporaril
y
unemployed
and
looking
for work
ƒ
45
8.0
27
9.8
18
6.3
34
10.8
2
.4
2
.7
0
.1
2
.6
%
1
ƒ
%
1
7.6
Student
ƒ
%
1
5.0
Age group A
Stay at
home
parent/spo
use
ƒ
%
Retired
ƒ
2
4.3
0
.7
2
3.6
7
ƒ
4.6
6
1.1
1
.5
5
1.6
3
.8
3.4
11
4.0
8
2.8
11
3.4
Marco Rubio
1
.1
1
.3
0
.2
John Kasich
4
.7
4
1.3
0
.1
2
.7
Rand Paul
8
1.4
5
1.7
3
1.1
6
1.9
Ben Carson
7
1.2
1
.4
5
1.9
3
1.1
Rick Perry
3
.5
1
.2
2
.7
0
.1
George Pataki
2
.3
2
.6
1
.2
1
.7
Chris Christie
8
1.3
4
1.6
3
1.1
5
1.5
3
380
67.3
189
68.2
192
66.5
196
62.4
107
1.4
6
1.8
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
0
.0
0
.1
Lindsey Graham
6
1.1
2
.8
4
Rick Santorum
2
.4
1
.2
1
.5
2
.7
Mike Huckabee
8
1.4
4
1.4
4
1.5
8
2.6
Bobby Jindal
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
2
.3
0
.1
1
.5
1
.2
62
11.0
23
8.3
39
13.5
35
11.1
565 100.0
277 100.0
288 100.0
314 100.0
9.7
18-29
%
19
Ted Cruz
2
3.2
Temporaril
y
unemployed
and not
looking
for work
2
15.9
0
0
1
17
2
79.6
7.5
21 100.0
7
3
50.6
22.6
14 100.0
5.3
9
74.9
0
1.7
1
10.3
12 100.0
ƒ
50-64
%
ƒ
65+
%
ƒ
5
9.6
28
11.7
6
4.1
1
2.5
1
.4
0
.0
1
1.0
2
2.9
4
3.0
5
9.1
6
2.6
0
.6
0
.2
2.8
3.3
30-49
%
%
6
5.1
1
.6
4
3.0
3
2.3
5
4.0
2
1.4
2
1.4
1
1.1
2
1.1
2
.9
2
1.1
5
2.1
1
.9
2
1.2
2
4.2
1
.5
1
1.0
4
1.8
1
.9
1
.9
0
.2
1
.6
1
.7
2.0
1
1.0
3
1.3
4
2.4
0
.2
74.1
36
64.8
152
64.3
107
71.1
85
72.7
0
.8
13
10.9
42
74.1
1
1.4
1
1.7
5
9.1
57 100.0
16
11.0
145 100.0
4
7.5
56 100.0
0
.1
2
1.0
2
1.2
2
.6
1
.4
7
2.9
0
.2
2
.7
0
.0
21
8.9
23
14.9
236 100.0
151 100.0
116 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 43
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
8. Regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will get the most publicity from the debate?
Total
Party
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Scott Walker
Democratic
%
ƒ
%
8.0
3
6.7
2
.4
1
3.7
0
1.1
6
1.1
19
3.4
Marco Rubio
1
.1
0
1.2
John Kasich
4
.7
2
Rand Paul
8
1.4
Ben Carson
7
Rick Perry
3
George Pataki
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Republican
ƒ
45
Ideology Recoded
%
31
Independen
t
ƒ
8.2
%
Liberal
Moderate
ƒ
ƒ
%
%
ƒ
Nikes
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
8.3
24
7.2
11
10.6
22
12.3
8
3.8
1
.6
1
1.9
1
.6
0
.1
2
1.7
0
.3
0
.0
2
1.0
2
8
4.2
2
2
2.1
1.0
2
1.3
3
1.8
3
.9
2
1.6
4.0
4
2.8
10
6.0
9
2.7
5
5.1
4
2.1
0
.2
0
1.1
0
.1
0
.3
0
.3
4.4
2
.4
0
.3
1
2.2
1
.7
2
.5
1
.7
1
.8
0
1.1
7
2.0
2
5.0
0
.3
5
1.5
4
4.0
1
.5
3
1.5
1.2
1
2.4
5
1.3
2
3.5
1
.5
4
1.2
3
3.1
2
.9
2
.9
.5
0
.4
3
.7
1
.9
1
.2
0
.1
1
.8
2
.3
1
2.0
1
.3
2
3.9
1
.5
8
1.3
1
3.0
6
1.6
0
.2
1
2.9
2
1.1
4
1.3
1
.6
3
1.7
4
258
68.2
100
68.3
19
42.7
116
68.0
239
70.3
61
59.8
117
66.1
143
0
.5
0
.2
.8
5
10.3
2
2.1
1
1.2
1
.5
67.3
22
55.1
.0
0
.6
Lindsey Graham
6
1.1
1
1.5
5
1.2
1
Rick Santorum
2
.4
0
1.0
1
.4
0
.2
0
.1
Mike Huckabee
8
1.4
3
7.8
3
.9
2
1.2
3
6.1
2
.3
1
3.2
0
.3
1
2.2
0
.1
62
11.0
2
4.9
38
9.9
22
15.3
1
2.7
20
11.5
379 100.0
147 100.0
45 100.0
2
0
.1
170 100.0
.5
2
.5
5
1.6
39
11.4
340 100.0
1
%
ƒ
24
7.3
0
.2
2
.6
3.1
4
1.7
2
.6
2.6
12
5.0
7
2.3
.4
0
.0
2.4
2
.6
65.6
223
69.0
0
.1
6
1.8
70.8
60
75.0
157
1
.3
0
.1
.8
1
.5
0
.0
8
7.9
17
9.4
29
14.3
202 100.0
7
8.9
79 100.0
2.5
1
.4
.9
8
1.1
6
3.2
1.2
2.2
1
6
.3
4
3
.4
2
1
5
0
.9
%
9.1
1.8
2
College
Degree+
22
1.7
.3
176 100.0
6.3
1
1
102 100.0
5
No College
Degree
ƒ
14
4
40 100.0
%
14.9
15
565 100.0
Privates
7
0
Total
ƒ
Education
Woodstocke
rs
7.9
380
Not Sure/Someone Else
%
First
Globals
12
Jim Gilmore
Bobby Jindal
Generation
Conservati
ve
1
.3
3
1.4
2
.6
5
1.5
1
.4
1
.2
24
10.1
36
11.2
240 100.0
323 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 44
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
8. Regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will get the most publicity from the debate?
Total
90600. Which of the following best describes you?
Liberal/progr
essive on
just about
every issue
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
%
ƒ
45
8.0
Carly Fiorini
2
.4
Scott Walker
6
1.1
Ted Cruz
%
3
ƒ
19
3.4
1
.1
John Kasich
4
.7
Rand Paul
8
1.4
0
2.6
Ben Carson
7
1.2
0
.8
Rick Perry
3
.5
George Pataki
2
.3
2
8
1.3
1
4.7
67.3
7
40.0
Jim Gilmore
0
.0
0
1.3
Lindsey Graham
6
1.1
2
14.3
Rick Santorum
2
.4
Mike Huckabee
8
1.4
Bobby Jindal
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
Mainly a
liberal on
social issues
ƒ
%
Conservative
on just about
every issue
ƒ
%
Mainly a
conservative
on government
spending
ƒ
%
ƒ
3
12.0
11
5.3
1
2.1
1
.4
3
1.4
0
.6
8
3.8
3
4.4
0
1.7
1
13.6
1
2.6
0
3.9
2
6.5
0
.5
2
1.0
2
1.0
4
2.0
1
.3
8
2
Mainly a
conservative
on social
issues
10.9
2.4
%
Moderate
because I
look at each
issue
separately
ƒ
%
Moderate
because I try
to be
rational, not
passionate
about
ƒ
5
11.2
4
3.6
0
1.0
0
.4
3
2.2
4
3.3
%
4
Not sure
ƒ
14.4
%
6
16.9
2
5.6
2
5.0
0
.9
1
3.2
2
6.7
1
1.6
1
3.9
11
33.6
10.9
380
Donald Trump
%
20.5
Marco Rubio
Chris Christie
Mainly a
liberal on
government
spending
2
22.1
1
4.5
2
1.0
11
38.1
154
73.6
2
7.9
2
.9
0
.2
15.6
1
18.9
4
0
.2
54
71.1
2
5.6
1
.7
0
.9
25
61.4
94
77.4
22
72.6
1
3.6
0
.2
0
1.1
2
1.4
2
.3
0
.2
1
14.0
0
.7
0
1.2
62
11.0
1
4.7
2
27.5
2
7.6
19
9.0
8
10.6
3
6.5
13
10.8
3
11.0
11
32.0
565
100.0
16
100.0
7
100.0
29
100.0
210
100.0
76
100.0
41
100.0
122
100.0
30
100.0
34
100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 45
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
8. Regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will get the most publicity from the debate?
Total
Age group B
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Scott Walker
18-24
ƒ
%
%
45
8.0
2
.4
4
25.6
25-34
ƒ
%
35-54
ƒ
%
Race
55-69
ƒ
%
70+
ƒ
White
ƒ
%
%
7
7.8
26
11.1
3
2.0
5
2
2.1
0
.2
0
.0
2
1.9
3
1.8
1
3
3.8
6
2.5
6
3.6
2
0
.2
9.3
Hisp
ƒ
Child under 17?
AfrAmer
ƒ
%
%
Asian
ƒ
%
42
8.4
0
1.5
1
7.3
2
.3
1
1.7
0
.6
2.7
6
1.2
3.8
16
3.2
1
3.3
1
8.6
0
.1
0
2
Other
ƒ
%
23.2
Yes
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
19
10.7
26
6.8
1
.5
1
.4
6
1.6
9
4.7
11
2.8
1.5
0
.3
0
.1
6
1.1
19
3.4
2
11.9
Marco Rubio
1
.1
0
2.2
John Kasich
4
.7
1
.9
1
.6
2
1.0
3
.6
1
2.0
2
1.2
2
.4
Rand Paul
8
1.4
4
4.8
1
.4
3
1.7
5
1.0
3
8.5
6
3.2
2
.5
Ben Carson
7
1.2
3
3.1
2
.7
2
1.1
3
.7
3
9.3
6
3.1
1
.2
Rick Perry
3
.5
0
.2
1
.6
3
.5
0
.4
1
.4
2
.6
George Pataki
2
.3
1
.6
1
.4
1
.3
Chris Christie
8
1.3
1
3.6
4
1.9
2
3
1.5
5
1.3
380
67.3
6
35.4
157
67.0
114
62.4
266
69.7
0
.1
0
2.7
1
2
1.3
4
1.1
2
1.0
0
.1
6
3.6
2
.4
1
.4
1
.2
10
5.5
52
13.6
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
0
.0
Lindsey Graham
6
1.1
Rick Santorum
2
.4
Mike Huckabee
8
Bobby Jindal
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
0
2.6
55
64.4
2.5
1
.2
1.3
0
.5
7
1.3
1
2.4
123
72.3
39
73.1
349
69.3
15
48.3
5
38.1
0
.0
.6
1
.6
2
.4
2
7.9
2
13.1
0
.2
1
.1
1
4.6
7
1.3
1
4.4
1
.2
55
11.0
.3
2
2.0
2
.7
1.4
1
1.5
6
2.6
2
.3
1
.9
1
.3
62
11.0
6
6.4
25
10.6
3
16.0
16 100.0
86 100.0
234 100.0
0
.0
24
13.8
171 100.0
4
8.0
53 100.0
504 100.0
14.2
1.9
1
0
565 100.0
0
1
0
2.0
1
1
4.1
31 100.0
3
0
45.1
71.4
1.3
0
3.2
0
3.6
4
27.2
1
10.7
13 100.0
5
14.8
7 100.0
1
13.9
7 100.0
183 100.0
382 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 46
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
8. Regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will get the most publicity from the debate?
Total
Religion
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Scott Walker
Catholic
ƒ
%
%
Protestant
ƒ
%
%
17
12.6
27
7.4
1
3.0
11
5.5
.4
1
.4
1
.2
1
2.2
1
.4
0
.3
3
1.7
0
.8
4
3.1
2
.5
3.4
5
4.0
13
3.7
Marco Rubio
1
.1
0
.4
John Kasich
4
.7
2
1.1
2
.5
Rand Paul
8
1.4
2
1.3
5
1.5
Ben Carson
7
1.2
2
1.4
4
1.1
Rick Perry
3
.5
1
.4
George Pataki
2
.3
2
1.3
Chris Christie
8
1.3
2
1.4
5
1.3
380
67.3
80
59.4
258
71.3
4
1.1
5
1.3
Jim Gilmore
0
.0
Lindsey Graham
6
1.1
2
1.4
Rick Santorum
2
.4
1
1.1
Mike Huckabee
8
1.4
2
1.6
Bobby Jindal
2
.3
1
.6
62
11.0
12
9.0
Total
ƒ
565 100.0
135 100.0
35
9.6
362 100.0
0
0
0
5
0
6.3
3.7
4.6
80.9
4.6
6 100.0
Attend religious services
No/NS
ƒ
%
8.0
1.1
Not Sure/Someone Else
Yes
2
6
Donald Trump
Other/None
ƒ
%
45
19
Ted Cruz
BornAgain
Jewish
ƒ
%
16
Weekly+
ƒ
%
9.6
2
1.2
10
6.0
Weekly
ƒ
%
1-2/Month
ƒ
%
4
5.5
14
8.8
7
9.7
1
1.1
0
.0
1
.8
3
1.9
2
2.3
3
3.8
3
2.0
6
7.9
0
.9
2
1.0
2
2.2
0
1.0
2
.9
4
2.1
2
3.0
2
1.1
4
5.2
0
.6
3
1.7
1
.5
4
4.8
2
1.0
0
.4
1
3.3
1
.7
0
.2
2
1.2
0
.2
2
1.1
1
2.0
4
2.3
0
.3
2
3.0
3
1.8
28
63.6
147
76.5
111
65.3
48
62.3
102
65.1
2
1.3
2
1.0
2
3.3
3
1.3
2
1.3
5
6.0
0
.5
0
1.0
0
.7
1
2.6
0
1.0
7
16.5
44 100.0
15
7.7
192 100.0
20
11.8
170 100.0
4
4.9
77 100.0
Holidays
ƒ
%
3
1
9.1
3.2
Rarely
ƒ
%
10
0
.1
3
1.7
1
.9
3
1.9
0
.1
17
11.1
157 100.0
0
63.6
.5
1
.9
6
8.6
70 100.0
0
73.4
.2
0
.1
5
14.0
36 100.0
7
9.1
1
1.1
.3
1
1.3
5
3.4
2
2.6
1
1.1
0
.5
1
.8
1
26
7.6
Never
%
0
2
44
ƒ
1.5
.8
2
1.6
0
.4
97
71.9
54
69.1
1
.6
0
.6
0
.0
0
.3
0
.1
0
.4
0
.3
16
11.9
10
12.7
134 100.0
78 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 47
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
8. Regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will get the most publicity from the debate?
Total
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
East
%
45
ƒ
ƒ
9.5
19
0
.1
2
.4
6
1.1
19
3.4
Marco Rubio
1
.1
John Kasich
4
Rand Paul
Ben Carson
Rick Perry
George Pataki
ƒ
%
10.2
11
0
.3
2
1.1
7
West
ƒ
< $25K
%
ƒ
6
5.8
3
0
.2
1
1.3
4
2.4
3.8
1
.9
0
.2
0
.3
1
.5
2
5.2
.7
1
.7
8
1.4
2
2.2
7
1.2
2
3
.5
2
2
.3
1
2
2.7
.9
3
2.0
1
1.4
3
3.6
1.2
0
.1
1
.5
2
2.6
1
.5
2.5
2
1.3
1
.8
1
1.3
65.7
127
69.2
122
70.6
64
60.2
Jim Gilmore
0
.0
0
.2
Lindsey Graham
6
1.1
Rick Santorum
2
.4
0
.3
Mike Huckabee
8
1.4
.8
0
.3
2
1
1.2
.5
2
.3
1
.6
1
.4
0
.1
62
11.0
12
12.1
16
9.0
20
11.7
184 100.0
172 100.0
2
2.4
0
.3
7
6.4
13
12.2
106 100.0
49
64.7
0
.3
0
.5
12
16.3
76 100.0
Household Income
$50-75K
$75-100K
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
11
14.8
7
4.8
.6
2
2.9
2
1.1
1.5
1
2.0
5
3.7
$100-150K
%
ƒ
2
2.7
2
2.1
2
2.1
0
.5
0
.5
2
2.4
2
2.1
0
1
3
103 100.0
2.8
2.5
68
565 100.0
2
3
1.3
Total
.1
0
1.7
67.3
Not Sure/Someone Else
0
1.3
3
8
Bobby Jindal
.5
1
.4
1.0
ƒ
%
0
0
1
ƒ
18.3
1.0
2
$35-50K
13
5.3
1.0
$25-35K
4.5
6
380
Donald Trump
%
6.2
5
1
Region
Centr GrLks
%
10
Scott Walker
Chris Christie
%
8.0
Carly Fiorini
Ted Cruz
South
.6
0
.3
4
4.5
0
.1
3
3.4
0
.1
1
.7
%
10.3
2
10.5
6
9.9
0
.6
0
.3
1
5.7
14
60.0
5
23.1
1.4
2
2.7
1
1.5
3
1.8
1
1.1
1
1.2
65.1
45
62.6
119
80.1
57
62.2
37
57.7
1
2.2
2
1.7
2
3.8
1
.4
1
2.2
2
1.6
4
4.2
1
1.7
1
1.1
0
.3
6
4.4
12
13.2
8
12.5
1.1
4
5.4
69 100.0
10
%
7
45
1
$150K+
ƒ
14.2
72 100.0
148 100.0
91 100.0
65 100.0
23 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 48
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
8. Regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will get the most publicity from the debate?
Total
Live
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Scott Walker
Lge City
ƒ
%
%
45
8.0
5
4.3
2
.4
1
.5
7
5.7
6
1.1
19
3.4
Marco Rubio
1
.1
John Kasich
4
.7
2
1.8
Rand Paul
8
1.4
3
Ben Carson
7
1.2
Rick Perry
3
.5
George Pataki
2
.3
Ted Cruz
Chris Christie
Sm City
ƒ
%
8
4
8.8
3.9
Union member
Suburbs
ƒ
%
Rural
ƒ
%
Yes
ƒ
Marital status
No
%
ƒ
Married
ƒ
%
%
Home status
Div/Sep/
Wdw
ƒ
%
Single
ƒ
%
22
10.3
10
7.2
6
9.5
39
7.8
33
9.2
7
7.1
1
.6
0
.3
1
1.4
1
.3
1
.3
1
1.2
2
1.1
7
3.4
5
4.0
0
.7
6
1.1
3
.8
5
8.0
14
2.8
12
3.3
4
4.0
1
.2
0
.1
0
.4
4
5.0
2
2.5
3
4.2
9.5
5
4.3
2
.5
0
.4
6
1.4
14
3.3
3
2.7
0
.1
0
.3
.2
2
1.2
2
3.3
2
.3
3
.9
0
.5
4
.9
2.3
2
2.4
1
.6
2
1.2
0
.7
7
1.5
8
2.1
0
.5
7
1.8
0
.4
4
3.2
0
.5
1
.2
2
1.3
2
2.9
5
.9
4
1.2
2
2.1
3
.7
4
3.3
0
.2
3
1.2
0
.2
3
.5
1
.4
0
.1
1
1.6
1
.2
2
1.9
1
.5
1
1.2
1
.2
1
.3
1
.8
1
.2
1
.9
1.3
2
1.9
2
2.4
2
1.1
1
.5
1
1.2
7
1.3
6
1.7
1
.6
1
1.0
68
58.9
70
74.5
146
67.6
95
69.9
34
53.1
346
69.1
243
67.9
64
63.8
55
68.3
Jim Gilmore
0
.0
0
.2
0
.0
0
.2
Lindsey Graham
6
1.1
4
3.6
1
.5
1
.9
2
3.9
4
.8
5
1.4
0
.4
1
Rick Santorum
2
.4
1
1.3
0
.1
0
.2
2
2.8
0
.1
2
.5
0
Mike Huckabee
8
1.4
3
2.6
5
2.1
0
.3
4
5.9
4
.8
4
1.2
Bobby Jindal
2
.3
1
.5
1
.3
0
.3
2
.3
2
.5
62
11.0
15
13.0
22
10.2
17
12.5
59
11.7
29
8.0
565 100.0
5.5
40
0
67.3
Total
1
5.6
.4
8
Not Sure/Someone Else
1
Live in
rental
unit
ƒ
%
Own a
home
ƒ
%
0
380
Donald Trump
Civil
union
ƒ
%
116 100.0
6
6.8
94 100.0
216 100.0
136 100.0
3
5.2
64 100.0
501 100.0
358 100.0
4
16
7
1.6
1
.5
289
67.8
74
65.3
1.3
4
.8
3
2.6
.3
2
.5
8
1.9
1
.2
1
.6
37
8.6
19
16.9
3.5
15.8
101 100.0
14
0
12
14.8
81 100.0
3
73.7
.9
14.3
19 100.0
426 100.0
114 100.0
Neither
ƒ
%
2
9.8
14
67.4
5
22.8
21 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 49
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
8. Regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will get the most publicity from the debate?
Total
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
%
45
Self ID Social
NASCAR Fan
Yes
No
ƒ
%
8.0
15
ƒ
Yes Networker No
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
10.3
30
7.2
20
9.2
Phone
Landline
Mobile
%
ƒ
26
7.3
%
ƒ
18
8.0
Self ID Investor Class
Yes
No
Both
%
ƒ
2
3.7
%
26
ƒ
%
8.9
15
ƒ
%
Passport?
Yes
ƒ
No
%
8.7
30
7.7
18
ƒ
%
6.9
28
8.9
Carly Fiorini
2
.4
1
.6
2
.4
2
1.1
2
1.0
0
.0
1
.8
1
.3
2
.8
0
.1
Scott Walker
6
1.1
3
2.0
3
.7
3
1.4
3
.9
2
.7
1
3.0
3
1.1
3
1.5
3
.9
4
1.5
2
.8
2
1.3
17
4.2
8
3.7
11
3.2
7
3.3
2
4.5
10
3.4
6
3.6
13
3.4
8
3.1
12
3.7
Ted Cruz
19
3.4
Marco Rubio
1
.1
1
.2
0
.2
0
.1
0
.2
0
.2
0
.3
0
.1
0
.2
0
.1
John Kasich
4
.7
2
1.4
2
.4
2
.8
2
.6
3
1.2
1
1.6
0
.1
2
1.0
2
.5
2
.8
2
.5
Rand Paul
8
1.4
4
2.4
4
1.0
2
1.1
6
1.6
3
1.4
3
7.3
1
.4
2
1.0
6
1.6
6
2.2
2
.7
Ben Carson
7
1.2
2
1.1
5
1.2
6
3.0
0
.0
6
2.7
0
.2
0
.1
2
1.3
4
1.1
3
1.1
4
1.2
Rick Perry
3
.5
0
.1
3
.6
1
.4
2
.6
2
1.0
1
.2
1
.4
2
.5
0
.1
3
.9
George Pataki
2
.3
1
.7
1
.2
2
.5
2
.5
2
.6
Chris Christie
2
3.8
8
1.3
5
3.5
2
.6
4
1.6
4
1.1
2
.8
1
2.2
5
1.6
3
1.8
4
1.1
4
1.5
4
1.2
380
67.3
93
61.9
287
69.3
141
65.9
239
68.2
147
66.1
27
58.0
204
69.9
110
62.9
270
69.3
171
67.6
209
67.0
Jim Gilmore
0
.0
0
.1
0
.1
0
.1
0
.1
0
.1
Lindsey Graham
6
1.1
3
2.0
4
.8
4
1.7
3
.8
3
1.5
1
.4
2
1.4
4
1.0
2
1.0
4
1.3
Rick Santorum
2
.4
2
1.2
0
.1
2
.8
0
.1
2
.7
1
.2
2
1.1
0
.0
2
.7
0
.1
Mike Huckabee
8
1.4
5
3.2
3
.8
6
2.9
2
.5
3
1.4
2
3.3
3
1.1
6
3.2
2
.6
5
1.9
3
1.0
Donald Trump
Bobby Jindal
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
2
4.0
2
.3
0
.2
1
.3
0
.1
1
.4
1
.3
1
1.3
0
.1
0
.1
1
.4
1
.2
1
.3
62
11.0
12
8.3
49
11.9
13
5.9
49
14.0
21
9.6
3
7.2
36
12.2
19
11.0
43
11.0
26
10.2
36
11.6
565 100.0
150 100.0
415 100.0
214 100.0
351 100.0
223 100.0
47 100.0
292 100.0
175 100.0
390 100.0
253 100.0
312 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 50
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
8. Regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will get the most publicity from the debate?
Lost a job due to
corporate downsizing
within the past year?
Total
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Yes
%
45
ƒ
8.0
Been afraid of losing
a job within the next
year?
No
%
ƒ
8
15.0
Yes
%
38
ƒ
No
%
7.4
5
Worked at a job that
pays less than an
immediate previous
job?
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
5.4
40
8.6
Gone without food for
24 hours in the past
month due to a lack of
food or money?
No
%
ƒ
13
10.8
Yes
%
ƒ
33
7.3
%
15.4
1
2.3
2
.4
2
.5
0
.4
2
.4
2
.5
Scott Walker
6
1.1
1
2.0
5
1.0
2
2.1
4
.9
4
3.1
2
.6
2
4.3
17
3.3
4
4.6
15
3.2
0
.3
19
1
.2
1
.2
1
3.4
2
.4
2
1.8
2
.4
0
.2
4
.8
1
Ted Cruz
ƒ
7
Carly Fiorini
Creative Job Sector
No
Yes
%
39
ƒ
7.4
Self ID Creative Class
No
%
ƒ
9
6.6
Yes
%
36
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
8.5
7
4.4
38
9.5
2
.4
2
.6
1
.3
2
.5
5
1.0
1
.8
5
1.2
1
.6
5
1.3
4.2
19
3.7
1
.6
19
4.4
6
3.5
14
3.4
.2
1
.2
0
.3
0
.1
1
.2
2.3
3
.5
2
1.2
2
.5
2
1.1
2
.5
19
3.4
Marco Rubio
1
.1
John Kasich
4
.7
2
Rand Paul
8
1.4
0
.9
7
1.5
0
.5
7
1.6
0
.4
7
1.7
2
5.3
6
1.1
2
1.3
6
1.5
2
1.1
6
1.5
Ben Carson
7
1.2
2
4.0
5
.9
1
.6
6
1.3
1
1.1
5
1.2
1
1.3
6
1.1
2
1.3
5
1.1
2
1.2
5
1.2
Rick Perry
3
.5
0
.3
3
.5
3
.6
0
.1
3
.6
0
.3
3
.5
0
.1
3
.6
0
.2
3
.6
George Pataki
2
.3
1
1.6
1
.2
2
1.9
2
.4
1
1.8
1
.2
2
.4
2
.4
Chris Christie
8
1.3
1
1.5
7
1.3
5
5.7
2
.5
2
1.8
5
1.2
2
4.8
5
1.0
2
1.3
6
1.3
4
2.4
4
.9
380
67.3
23
46.7
357
69.3
58
61.6
322
68.4
83
70.8
297
66.4
19
43.9
362
69.2
98
69.8
283
66.5
115
70.9
265
65.9
Jim Gilmore
0
.0
0
.0
0
.0
0
.0
0
.0
0
.1
0
.1
Lindsey Graham
6
1.1
2
5.0
4
.8
1
.6
6
1.2
2
1.6
5
1.0
3
6.3
4
.7
2
1.8
4
.9
6
3.5
1
.2
Rick Santorum
2
.4
2
3.4
0
.1
2
1.8
0
.1
2
1.4
0
.1
1
3.4
1
.1
1
1.0
1
.1
2
1.0
0
.1
Mike Huckabee
8
1.4
6
11.1
3
.5
4
4.0
4
.9
3
2.7
5
1.1
4
9.0
4
.8
6
4.2
2
.5
4
2.6
4
.9
Bobby Jindal
2
.3
2
.3
2
.4
2
.4
2
.3
0
.2
1
.3
2
.4
62
11.0
62
11.9
53
11.4
55
12.4
60
11.5
13
9.6
48
11.4
50
12.5
Donald Trump
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
565 100.0
0
.9
50 100.0
515 100.0
8
9.0
95 100.0
470 100.0
7
5.6
117 100.0
448 100.0
2
3.9
43 100.0
522 100.0
140 100.0
425 100.0
12
7.1
163 100.0
402 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 51
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
8. Regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will get the most publicity from the debate?
Total
WalMart shopper?
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Weekly
ƒ
%
%
Few/Month
ƒ
%
45
8.0
14
9.0
21
8.8
Carly Fiorini
2
.4
1
.8
1
.5
Scott Walker
6
1.1
2
1.0
8
4.8
Ted Cruz
19
3.4
Marco Rubio
1
.1
John Kasich
4
.7
2
Rand Paul
8
1.4
Ben Carson
7
1.2
Rick Perry
3
.5
George Pataki
2
.3
Chris Christie
8
380
Donald Trump
1-2/year
ƒ
%
11
ƒ
7.7
32
8.6
4
6.4
42
8.2
0
.0
2
.6
0
.5
1
.4
2
.4
1
1.5
2
.3
3
1.6
3
.8
2
3.6
4
.8
11
5.7
8
2.2
1
2.3
18
3.6
1
.2
1
.2
.9
2
.6
2
3.0
2
.4
13
4.3
1
1.3
0
.1
0
.6
.9
2
1.4
4
1.7
1
.9
2
1.4
1
.5
3
2.2
1
.9
1
.6
1
.4
1.3
5
3.2
0
.1
2
1.7
67.3
94
60.7
168
71.1
93
68.2
0
1
0
.0
6
1.1
3
1.9
4
1.5
Rick Santorum
2
.4
1
.9
1
.2
0
Mike Huckabee
8
1.4
5
3.2
2
1.1
1
Bobby Jindal
2
.3
0
.3
1
.4
62
11.0
15
9.5
23
9.8
18
1.7
2
1.2
2
.6
4
2.6
3
1.0
0
.5
0
.2
7
2.0
0
.8
7
1.5
3
1.8
2
.8
1
1.3
5
2.7
1
.4
2
3.2
5
.9
1
.8
0
.0
1
.8
1
.4
0
.5
3
.5
2
.5
2
.4
2
1.4
5
1.7
3
1.7
4
1.2
1
1.3
7
1.3
58.8
215
71.6
130
67.5
250
67.2
29
49.8
351
69.3
3.1
2
2
17
66.1
100
0
.9
0
.1
5
3.2
1
.3
.0
2
1.0
0
.0
0
.4
2
1.3
3
1.2
1
.8
0
.1
17
9.7
30
9.8
13.3
137 100.0
4
15.6
25 100.0
%
6.9
2.5
2
ƒ
13
4
1.1
No
%
3.6
8.2
.4
ƒ
3
2
2.6
Yes
%
6.8
1.0
0
ƒ
20
3
4
No
%
12.9
1.8
.2
Yes
ƒ
Sympathetic to Occupy
Wall St
22
3
2.3
236 100.0
.3
4.2
0
155 100.0
0
1
5
565 100.0
%
The planet
earth
ƒ
%
America
ƒ
%
2.5
Lindsey Graham
Total
My city or
town
ƒ
%
Never
3
Jim Gilmore
Not Sure/Someone Else
Sympathetic to Tea
Party
Residency
171 100.0
301 100.0
58
2.1
69.6
0
.1
0
.0
3
1.5
4
.9
3
5.1
4
.7
.4
2
.9
0
.1
1
2.5
1
.1
2
2.8
4
2.0
4
1.1
5
7.9
3
.7
0
.0
1
.5
1
.2
2
.3
14
17.4
13
6.6
49
13.2
55
10.8
83 100.0
193 100.0
372 100.0
7
12.1
58 100.0
507 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 52
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
8. Regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will get the most publicity from the debate?
Are you currently or have you ever
been a member of the National
Rifle Association?
Total
Currently
a member
of the NRA
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Scott Walker
%
ƒ
45
8.0
2
.4
%
7
6
1.1
19
3.4
Marco Rubio
1
.1
John Kasich
4
.7
Rand Paul
8
1.4
Ben Carson
7
1.2
Rick Perry
3
.5
George Pataki
2
.3
Chris Christie
8
1.3
1
380
67.3
36
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
ƒ
11.9
0
.2
2
2.9
0
8.2
1
1.5
1
.3
13
6.9
ƒ
%
Yes
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
7
11.9
25
9.1
19
6.0
26
11.7
19
8.7
26
8.9
14
8.1
32
8.3
1
1.7
1
.5
1
.4
1
.4
1
.4
1
.4
1
.3
1
.2
6
1.4
2
.8
1
1.8
3
.9
4
1.1
2
1.1
2
.7
3
.9
1
.6
5
1.4
19
4.5
7
3.8
1
1.9
9
3.2
8
2.4
9
4.3
8
3.7
9
3.1
6
3.6
13
3.5
1
.2
1
.3
0
.1
0
.2
1
.3
1
.2
2
.5
1
.5
1
1.4
2
.7
3
1.0
0
.2
2
1.0
2
.6
2
1.0
2
.5
.8
2
.6
4
1.2
4
1.8
4
1.8
4
1.4
3
1.8
4
1.2
3
4.3
3
.8
4
2.2
1
1.9
1
.3
5
1.5
1
.7
5
2.3
1
.5
4
2.5
2
.6
0
.2
2
.5
0
.1
2
.7
1
.2
1
.6
0
.1
3
.9
1
.5
2
.5
1
.2
1
.5
1
.5
1
.4
1
.3
1.3
1
1.3
6
1.4
3
1.7
2
.7
3
.9
2
1.0
3
1.5
2
.7
1
.4
7
1.8
61.0
39
64.4
293
68.4
130
66.5
229
70.3
142
64.6
144
64.9
196
67.2
113
66.8
259
68.0
0
.1
2
2.8
2
.5
1
.7
2
.8
0
.1
2
.9
1
2.1
3
.7
6
3.1
1
.6
18
9.3
.7
.4
2
4.2
Rick Santorum
2
.4
2
2.8
Mike Huckabee
8
1.4
4
6.7
5
8.0
565 100.0
35
%
0
0
Total
4.8
ƒ
3.0
.0
.3
3
%
6
1.1
11.0
ƒ
Have never
been a gun
owner
.9
6
2
%
Former gun
owner
4
0
62
ƒ
Current
gun owner
Veteran/Armed Forces?
6.5
Lindsey Graham
Not Sure/Someone Else
%
Are you a current or former gun
owner?
4
Jim Gilmore
Bobby Jindal
Former
member of
the NRA
Have never
been a
member of
the NRA
Do you invest in the
stock market; have an
IRA, a 401-K
retirement plan or a
pension fund?
Do you or does anyone
in your household keep
a gun for personal
protection, hunting or
target shooting at
your home, place of
business, or at a
vacation home or club?
60 100.0
1
1.0
1
.1
7
11.1
48
11.2
61 100.0
429 100.0
195 100.0
32
58.4
192
69.1
0
.1
4
6.5
1
.5
5
1.5
0
.1
2
.6
1
2.3
1
.3
7
2.1
1
1.1
1
.2
0
.1
1
.5
6
10.3
35
12.7
34
10.3
25
11.3
55 100.0
278 100.0
326 100.0
220 100.0
0
.1
3
1.5
3
1.1
5
2.9
1
.4
2
.8
0
.1
2
1.0
0
.1
6
2.9
2
.6
7
4.1
0
.1
1
.4
1
.4
1
.2
21
9.3
38
13.1
10
6.0
48
12.7
222 100.0
292 100.0
170 100.0
380 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 53
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
8. Regardless of your preferred candidate, who do you believe will get the most publicity from the debate?
Total
Career or gig?
n
ƒ
Jeb Bush
Carly Fiorini
Scott Walker
Did you not have to pay any taxes
last year because your income level
was below the threshold to pay
taxes or because your tax
deductions left you with no
liability?
Career
%
ƒ
Not currently
employed
ƒ
%
Just a "gig"
ƒ
%
%
45
8.0
18
7.8
2
.4
2
.8
16
17.0
I did not have to
pay taxes
ƒ
%
I had to pay
taxes
ƒ
%
Sexual Preference
Hetero
ƒ
Not Hetero
ƒ
%
%
11
4.6
16
8.6
29
8.4
45
8.4
0
.2
1
.5
2
.4
2
.4
3
1.5
6
1.8
6
1.1
8
3.2
7
3.6
11
3.1
18
3.4
1
.2
1
.2
0
.7
1
3.7
6
1.1
3
1.1
19
3.4
11
4.9
Marco Rubio
1
.1
0
.2
0
.2
John Kasich
4
.7
2
.9
2
.7
2
.9
2
.6
4
.7
Rand Paul
8
1.4
4
1.5
2
.7
4
2.4
4
1.0
6
1.1
2
6.1
Ben Carson
7
1.2
3
1.5
3
1.3
3
1.6
3
1.0
6
1.1
0
1.4
Rick Perry
3
.5
0
.1
2
.9
1
.2
1
.2
2
6.6
George Pataki
2
.3
1
.3
1
.2
1
2.6
Chris Christie
8
1.3
3
11
38.2
0
.7
Ted Cruz
Donald Trump
0
3
.4
2.9
1
.8
2
.8
1
.8
1
.4
1.2
2
1.9
3
1.2
2
.9
4
1.0
8
1.4
60
63.5
172
72.9
126
67.7
232
67.1
369
68.9
0
.1
2
1.1
4
1.2
5
.9
2
6.3
0
.0
2
.6
1
.1
1
4.9
380
67.3
148
63.2
Jim Gilmore
0
.0
0
.1
Lindsey Graham
6
1.1
4
1.8
1
1.6
Rick Santorum
2
.4
2
.9
0
.0
Mike Huckabee
8
1.4
7
2.9
1
1.3
Bobby Jindal
2
.3
0
.1
62
11.0
26
11.0
9
565
100.0
234
100.0
95
Not Sure/Someone Else
Total
1
.3
8
2.3
8
1.5
0
.6
1
.6
1
.5
0
.1
1
.1
1
3.3
9.8
27
11.4
21
11.4
37
10.6
54
10.2
7
24.9
100.0
236
100.0
186
100.0
346
100.0
535
100.0
30
100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 54
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
9. How satisfied are you with the field of candidates running for the Republican presidential nomination?
Total
Gender
n
ƒ
Male
%
ƒ
What is your current employment status?
Working
(full or
part time)
Female
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
Temporaril
y
unemployed
and
looking
for work
%
ƒ
%
Temporaril
y
unemployed
and not
looking
for work
ƒ
%
Stay at
home
parent/spo
use
Student
ƒ
Age group A
%
ƒ
Retired
%
ƒ
18-29
%
ƒ
30-49
%
ƒ
50-64
%
ƒ
65+
%
ƒ
%
Very satisfied
141
24.9
80
28.8
61
21.1
78
24.8
2
7.7
1
9.1
4
32.0
12
21.3
43
30.0
7
12.2
59
24.9
38
24.9
35
29.7
Somewhat satisfied
235
41.6
107
38.6
128
44.5
121
38.4
14
66.7
5
35.7
6
50.9
25
43.8
63
43.8
30
54.2
88
37.2
61
40.1
56
48.1
Somewhat dissatisfied
114
20.2
49
17.7
65
22.6
79
25.1
1
5.0
5
33.8
1
11.9
8
14.4
19
13.1
11
19.2
57
24.1
33
22.1
12
10.5
Very dissatisfied
44
7.7
24
8.6
20
6.9
19
6.1
1
7.1
2
17.7
0
3.4
7
12.0
13
9.1
4
7.0
17
7.2
15
9.8
8
6.7
Not Sure
31
5.6
17
6.2
14
4.9
17
5.5
3
13.5
0
3.7
0
1.7
5
8.3
6
4.0
4
7.4
15
6.5
5
3.1
6
5.1
Total
565 100.0
277 100.0
288 100.0
314 100.0
21 100.0
Party
Democratic
ƒ
%
14 100.0
12 100.0
57 100.0
145 100.0
Ideology Recoded
Republican
ƒ
%
Independent
ƒ
%
Liberal
ƒ
%
Moderate
ƒ
%
56 100.0
236 100.0
151 100.0
Generation
Conservativ
e
ƒ
%
First
Globals
ƒ
%
Nikes
ƒ
%
116 100.0
Education
Woodstocker
s
ƒ
%
Privates
ƒ
%
No College
Degree
ƒ
%
College
Degree+
ƒ
%
Very satisfied
13
31.6
105
27.7
23
15.9
18
39.5
31
18.1
91
26.8
8
8.1
54
30.6
54
26.6
22
27.7
62
25.7
79
24.5
Somewhat satisfied
12
30.6
166
43.9
57
38.5
14
31.9
71
42.0
143
42.2
54
52.5
60
33.7
76
37.4
46
58.2
106
44.4
129
39.8
Somewhat dissatisfied
10
25.6
79
20.8
25
17.1
8
16.8
41
24.1
65
19.3
25
24.2
42
23.8
44
21.8
3
3.5
40
16.7
74
22.7
4
9.3
17
4.5
23
15.7
3
7.4
18
10.8
22
6.5
5
4.9
14
7.8
21
10.3
4
5.2
15
6.5
28
8.7
1
2.8
12
3.1
19
12.8
2
4.5
9
5.1
18
5.3
10
10.2
7
4.2
8
4.0
4
5.4
16
6.9
14
4.2
Very dissatisfied
Not Sure
Total
40 100.0
379 100.0
147 100.0
45 100.0
170 100.0
340 100.0
102 100.0
176 100.0
202 100.0
79 100.0
240 100.0
323 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 55
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
9. How satisfied are you with the field of candidates running for the Republican presidential nomination?
Total
90600. Which of the following best describes you?
Liberal/progr
essive on
just about
every issue
n
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Mainly a
liberal on
government
spending
ƒ
Mainly a
liberal on
social issues
%
ƒ
Conservative
on just about
every issue
%
ƒ
%
Mainly a
conservative
on government
spending
ƒ
Moderate
because I
look at each
issue
separately
Mainly a
conservative
on social
issues
%
ƒ
%
ƒ
Moderate
because I try
to be
rational, not
passionate
about
%
ƒ
Not sure
%
ƒ
%
Very satisfied
141
24.9
10
60.4
2
30.5
10
33.7
71
33.7
19
25.2
2
4.9
22
17.9
3
10.4
2
6.3
Somewhat satisfied
235
41.6
2
10.3
2
23.5
8
28.7
87
41.6
34
45.3
20
49.6
53
43.3
13
42.2
16
47.2
Somewhat dissatisfied
7.8
2
22.1
3
10.9
32
15.2
16
21.3
13
30.9
28
23.3
10
32.7
9
27.0
114
20.2
1
Very dissatisfied
44
7.7
1
8.5
8
26.0
10
4.7
3
4.4
3
6.3
15
12.0
3
10.2
1
3.8
Not Sure
31
5.6
2
13.1
2
23.9
0
.6
10
4.8
3
3.8
3
8.3
4
3.6
1
4.5
5
15.7
565
100.0
16
100.0
7
100.0
29
100.0
210
100.0
76
100.0
41
100.0
122
100.0
30
100.0
34
100.0
Total
Age group B
18-24
ƒ
Very satisfied
Somewhat satisfied
25-34
%
ƒ
Race
35-54
%
ƒ
55-69
%
ƒ
70+
%
ƒ
White
%
ƒ
Hisp
%
ƒ
%
Child under 17?
AfrAmer
ƒ
%
Asian
ƒ
Other
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
3
17.2
5
6.4
70
29.8
46
26.9
14
26.5
124
24.6
12
37.8
2
12.2
0
6.6
2
25.4
46
25.3
94
24.6
10
63.7
43
50.4
84
36.0
66
38.5
31
58.6
213
42.2
12
37.2
5
41.7
2
29.7
2
23.0
73
40.1
162
42.3
Somewhat dissatisfied
1
5.1
24
27.8
49
21.0
38
22.0
2
3.6
102
20.3
6
18.3
3
19.9
3
41.1
1
9.0
43
23.4
71
18.7
Very dissatisfied
0
2.2
5
5.5
20
8.4
16
9.4
3
5.7
38
7.6
1
3.3
3
23.2
0
1.7
1
16.6
15
8.0
29
7.6
Not Sure
2
11.9
9
9.9
11
4.8
6
3.3
3
5.6
27
5.3
1
3.5
0
3.0
1
20.9
2
26.1
6
3.1
26
6.7
Total
16 100.0
86 100.0
234 100.0
171 100.0
53 100.0
504 100.0
31 100.0
13 100.0
7 100.0
7 100.0
183 100.0
382 100.0
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 56
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
9. How satisfied are you with the field of candidates running for the Republican presidential nomination?
Total
Religion
n
ƒ
Catholic
ƒ
%
%
Protestant
ƒ
%
BornAgain
Jewish
ƒ
%
Other/None
ƒ
%
Yes
ƒ
%
Attend religious services
No/NS
ƒ
%
Weekly+
ƒ
%
Weekly
ƒ
%
1-2/Month
ƒ
%
Holidays
ƒ
%
Rarely
ƒ
%
ƒ
Never
%
Very satisfied
141
24.9
32
23.8
96
26.4
2
31.7
6
13.3
57
29.8
38
22.5
29
37.6
35
22.5
18
25.6
3
7.1
31
23.0
23
30.0
Somewhat satisfied
235
41.6
56
41.3
156
43.2
3
43.4
18
41.9
75
39.3
81
47.6
27
34.9
69
44.0
30
42.7
19
52.7
54
40.5
28
36.0
Somewhat dissatisfied
114
20.2
30
22.3
67
18.6
1
14.1
12
26.4
33
17.1
34
20.2
10
12.5
40
25.3
12
17.2
14
38.2
27
20.3
11
14.7
Very dissatisfied
44
7.7
10
7.2
24
6.7
0
6.0
6
13.4
13
6.7
11
6.7
5
6.6
6
3.9
8
10.8
1
2.0
15
11.3
8
9.7
Not Sure
31
5.6
7
5.5
19
5.1
0
4.7
2
5.0
14
7.1
5
3.0
6
8.3
7
4.2
3
3.6
7
5.0
8
9.7
Total
565 100.0
135 100.0
East
ƒ
362 100.0
South
%
ƒ
6 100.0
Region
Centr GrLks
%
ƒ
%
44 100.0
West
ƒ
%
192 100.0
< $25K
ƒ
%
170 100.0
$25-35K
ƒ
%
77 100.0
157 100.0
$35-50K
ƒ
%
70 100.0
Household Income
$50-75K
ƒ
%
36 100.0
$75-100K
ƒ
%
134 100.0
$100-150K
ƒ
%
78 100.0
ƒ
$150K+
%
Very satisfied
22
21.5
45
24.8
41
24.1
31
29.7
21
27.6
12
18.0
9
12.0
46
30.7
23
25.5
17
26.4
8
35.7
Somewhat satisfied
37
35.9
81
44.0
68
39.6
49
46.3
32
41.7
35
50.9
33
45.2
57
38.1
38
42.1
24
37.4
7
30.5
Somewhat dissatisfied
27
26.5
36
19.5
37
21.2
14
13.6
12
15.4
17
24.5
19
26.1
26
17.4
18
20.0
17
25.6
4
18.3
Very dissatisfied
10
9.6
12
6.5
15
8.5
7
6.8
7
8.7
2
3.3
6
7.7
11
7.6
9
9.5
6
9.0
3
12.9
7
6.5
10
5.2
11
6.6
4
3.6
5
6.6
2
3.2
7
9.0
9
6.2
3
2.9
1
1.6
1
2.7
103
100.0
184
100.0
172
100.0
106
100.0
76
100.0
69
100.0
72
100.0
148
100.0
91
100.0
65
100.0
23
100.0
Not Sure
Total
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 57
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
9. How satisfied are you with the field of candidates running for the Republican presidential nomination?
Total
Live
n
ƒ
Lge City
ƒ
%
%
Sm City
ƒ
%
Union member
Suburbs
ƒ
%
Rural
ƒ
%
Yes
ƒ
Marital status
No
%
ƒ
Married
ƒ
%
%
Single
ƒ
%
Home status
Div/Sep/
Wdw
ƒ
%
Civil
union
ƒ
%
Live in
rental
unit
ƒ
%
Own a
home
ƒ
%
Neither
ƒ
%
Very satisfied
141
24.9
27
23.3
17
17.5
59
27.3
38
27.9
19
30.1
121
24.2
91
25.5
26
25.5
17
20.4
7
37.7
112
26.3
27
24.2
1
6.2
Somewhat satisfied
235
41.6
57
48.8
34
36.0
91
42.1
53
39.2
29
45.5
206
41.1
155
43.3
34
33.2
37
45.9
8
40.9
173
40.7
51
44.7
9
42.2
Somewhat dissatisfied
114
20.2
21
18.3
25
26.6
38
17.7
29
21.1
8
12.0
106
21.3
74
20.6
23
22.4
15
18.7
3
14.2
91
21.4
18
16.2
4
18.1
Very dissatisfied
44
7.7
5
4.6
9
9.4
19
8.8
10
7.6
4
6.1
40
7.9
23
6.4
10
10.2
9
11.0
1
7.3
35
8.2
8
6.9
1
5.1
Not Sure
31
5.6
6
5.0
10
10.6
9
4.1
6
4.2
4
6.3
27
5.5
15
4.3
9
8.7
3
3.9
15
3.5
9
7.9
6
28.3
Total
565 100.0
116 100.0
94 100.0
NASCAR Fan
Yes
ƒ
136 100.0
64 100.0
501 100.0
Self ID Social Networker
No
%
216 100.0
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
358 100.0
101 100.0
Phone
Mobile
ƒ
%
81 100.0
19 100.0
426 100.0
114 100.0
Self ID Investor Class
Landline
ƒ
%
Both
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
Passport?
No
%
ƒ
21 100.0
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
Very satisfied
46
30.7
94
22.8
53
24.8
87
24.9
49
21.9
13
27.5
79
27.0
52
29.8
88
22.6
62
24.7
78
25.1
Somewhat satisfied
58
38.5
177
42.8
90
41.8
145
41.5
100
44.7
14
28.7
120
41.2
64
36.5
171
43.9
103
40.6
133
42.5
Somewhat dissatisfied
31
20.5
83
20.1
49
23.0
65
18.5
42
18.7
14
30.2
58
19.9
37
21.4
77
19.7
56
22.2
58
18.6
Very dissatisfied
6
4.1
37
9.0
16
7.7
27
7.8
21
9.2
3
7.2
20
6.8
16
9.3
27
7.0
18
7.0
26
8.3
Not Sure
9
6.2
22
5.4
6
2.8
26
7.3
12
5.5
3
6.4
15
5.1
5
3.0
26
6.7
14
5.5
17
5.6
150
100.0
415
100.0
214
100.0
351
100.0
223
100.0
47
100.0
292
100.0
175
100.0
390
100.0
253
100.0
312
100.0
Total
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 58
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
9. How satisfied are you with the field of candidates running for the Republican presidential nomination?
Lost a job due to
corporate downsizing
within the past year?
Total
n
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
Worked at a job that
pays less than an
immediate previous
job?
Been afraid of losing
a job within the next
year?
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
Gone without food for
24 hours in the past
month due to a lack of
food or money?
No
ƒ
%
ƒ
Yes
%
Creative Job Sector
No
ƒ
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
Self ID Creative Class
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
Very satisfied
141
24.9
18
36.1
122
23.8
26
27.6
114
24.3
35
29.5
106
23.7
18
42.5
122
23.4
41
29.5
99
23.4
48
29.6
92
23.0
Somewhat satisfied
235
41.6
14
28.2
221
42.9
35
36.6
200
42.6
49
41.9
186
41.5
11
25.3
224
42.9
53
37.7
182
42.9
62
38.3
173
43.0
Somewhat dissatisfied
114
20.2
14
28.0
100
19.5
20
21.1
94
20.0
22
19.0
92
20.5
10
23.7
104
19.9
35
25.3
79
18.5
26
15.7
89
22.0
Very dissatisfied
44
7.7
2
4.2
42
8.1
7
7.5
37
7.8
11
9.0
33
7.4
4
8.5
40
7.7
6
4.3
38
8.9
20
12.1
24
6.0
Not Sure
31
5.6
2
3.6
30
5.8
7
7.2
25
5.3
1
.6
31
6.9
31
6.0
5
3.3
27
6.3
7
4.3
24
6.1
Total
565 100.0
50 100.0
515 100.0
95 100.0
470 100.0
117 100.0
WalMart shopper?
Weekly
ƒ
%
Few/Month
ƒ
%
448 100.0
43 100.0
522 100.0
Residency
1-2/year
ƒ
%
My city or
town
Never
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
America
ƒ
%
140 100.0
425 100.0
Sympathetic to Tea Party
The planet
earth
ƒ
%
Yes
ƒ
ƒ
402 100.0
Sympathetic to Occupy Wall
St
No
%
163 100.0
Yes
%
ƒ
No
%
ƒ
%
Very satisfied
59
38.1
55
23.4
22
16.1
3
11.0
39
22.8
84
27.8
16
18.8
82
42.5
59
15.7
16
27.7
124
24.5
Somewhat satisfied
47
30.3
103
43.9
68
49.6
12
46.7
79
46.5
122
40.7
30
36.2
70
36.5
165
44.2
19
32.3
216
42.7
Somewhat dissatisfied
32
20.7
50
21.0
27
20.0
5
20.3
33
19.3
62
20.5
18
22.0
31
15.9
84
22.5
12
20.3
102
20.2
Very dissatisfied
9
6.0
18
7.7
12
8.5
3
10.5
8
4.7
23
7.7
12
15.0
9
4.6
35
9.4
11
18.2
33
6.5
Not Sure
8
4.9
10
4.0
8
5.8
3
11.5
11
6.6
10
3.3
7
8.0
1
.5
30
8.2
1
1.5
31
6.0
155
100.0
236
100.0
137
100.0
25
100.0
171
100.0
301
100.0
83
100.0
193
100.0
372
100.0
58
100.0
507
100.0
Total
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 59
8/4/2015
Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters
8/3/15 - 8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.2 Percentage Points
9. How satisfied are you with the field of candidates running for the Republican presidential nomination?
Are you currently or have you ever
been a member of the National
Rifle Association?
Total
Currently
a member
of the NRA
n
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Former
member of
the NRA
ƒ
%
Have never
been a
member of
the NRA
ƒ
%
Do you invest in the
stock market; have an
IRA, a 401-K
retirement plan or a
pension fund?
Are you a current or former gun
owner?
Current
gun owner
ƒ
%
Former gun
owner
ƒ
Have never
been a gun
owner
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
Do you or does anyone
in your household keep
a gun for personal
protection, hunting or
target shooting at
your home, place of
business, or at a
vacation home or club?
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
ƒ
Veteran/Armed Forces?
No
%
ƒ
Yes
%
No
ƒ
%
ƒ
%
Very satisfied
141
24.9
21
35.1
22
36.8
93
21.6
55
28.0
19
34.9
58
20.9
91
27.9
48
21.6
60
26.9
73
25.0
47
27.6
89
23.3
Somewhat satisfied
235
41.6
23
38.7
26
42.2
182
42.3
85
43.5
21
39.2
115
41.3
127
38.9
100
45.6
94
42.2
118
40.3
81
47.8
152
39.9
Somewhat dissatisfied
114
20.2
10
17.0
8
13.0
91
21.3
31
15.9
9
16.0
67
24.0
64
19.8
45
20.6
41
18.6
63
21.6
30
17.4
84
22.1
44
7.7
4
5.9
5
8.0
35
8.2
16
8.0
2
3.4
22
8.1
31
9.4
12
5.3
20
9.1
19
6.6
12
7.1
29
7.6
31
5.6
2
3.3
28
6.6
9
4.6
4
6.5
16
5.6
13
4.0
15
6.9
7
3.2
19
6.5
27
7.1
Very dissatisfied
Not Sure
Total
565 100.0
60 100.0
61 100.0
429 100.0
195 100.0
55 100.0
Career
Not currently
employed
Just a "gig"
%
ƒ
326 100.0
220 100.0
222 100.0
292 100.0
Did you not have to pay any taxes last
year because your income level was
below the threshold to pay taxes or
because your tax deductions left you
with no liability?
Career or gig?
ƒ
278 100.0
%
ƒ
I did not have to
pay taxes
%
ƒ
%
%
380 100.0
Sexual Preference
I had to pay taxes
ƒ
170 100.0
Hetero
ƒ
Not Hetero
%
ƒ
%
Very satisfied
59
25.2
24
25.4
57
24.3
40
21.3
97
28.0
134
25.1
6
21.5
Somewhat satisfied
94
40.0
34
36.3
107
45.4
77
41.7
143
41.3
223
41.6
13
41.8
Somewhat dissatisfied
55
23.6
26
27.4
33
13.9
37
19.8
71
20.6
106
19.9
8
25.9
Very dissatisfied
15
6.2
6
6.5
23
9.7
22
11.7
21
6.0
42
7.9
2
5.2
Not Sure
12
5.0
4
4.4
16
6.6
10
5.6
14
4.1
30
5.6
2
5.6
234
100.0
95
100.0
236
100.0
186
100.0
346
100.0
535
100.0
30
100.0
Total
Subsets have a larger margin of error than the whole data set. As a rule we do not rely on the validity of very small subsets of the data, especially sets smaller
than 50-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, but in these cases the data is more qualitative than quantitative
Zogby Analytics
Page 60
8/4/2015