March 18

General MANOVA Tests
General MANOVA Tests
I
Recall: N responses x1 , x2 , . . . , xN are assumed to be independent,
and the αth response is related to q covariate values, represented by
the (q × 1) vector zα , through
xα ∼ Np (βzα , Σ) ,
α = 1, 2, . . . , N.
where β is a (p × q) matrix of regression coefficients.
I
Partition β into (p × q1 ) and (p × q2 ) blocks:
β = (β 1 β 2 )
I
We want to test the null hypothesis
H0 : β 1 = β ∗1
for some given matrix β ∗1 .
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
1 / 17
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
Sufficiency
I
Σ̂Ω , β̂ 1,Ω , and β̂ 2,ω are sufficient statistics.
I
Without loss of generality, assume that β ∗1 = 0.
I
Write
(2)
βzα = β 1 z(1)
α + β 2 zα
−1 (2)
(2)
= β 1 z(1)
+ β 2 + β 1 A1,2 A−1
α − A1,2 A2,2 zα
2,2 zα
= β 1 z∗(1)
+ β ∗2 z(2)
α
α
I
Then
β̂ 1 = β̂ 1,Ω ,
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
2 / 17
∗
β̂ 2 = β̂ 2,ω .
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
Invariance
I
H0 is invariant under the transformation
x∗α = xα + Γz(2)
α ,
since
E(x∗α ) = β1 z∗(1)
+ (β ∗2 + Γ) z(2)
α
α .
I
Under this transformation, Σ̂Ω and β̂ 1 , are invariant.
I
However, for any β̂ 2 we can find Γ such that β̂ 2 + Γ = 0, so β̂ 2 is not
invariant.
I
So the only invariant functions of the sufficient statistics Σ̂Ω , β̂ 1 , and
∗
β̂ 2 are Σ̂Ω and β̂ 1 .
∗
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
∗
3 / 17
∗
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
I
Also, H0 is invariant under the transformation
z∗∗(1)
= Cz∗(1)
α
α
for nonsingular (q1 × q1 ) C, under which β 1 becomes β 1 C−1 .
I
I
0
Under this transformation, Σ̂Ω and β̂ 1 A1,1·2 β̂ 1 are invariant.
If a function f β̂ 1 , A1,1·2 is invariant, then
1
2
f β̂ 1 , A1,1·2 = f β̂ 1 A1,1·2 , Iq1
1
2
= f β̂ 1 A1,1·2 Q, Iq1
0
for any orthogonal Q, so it depends only on β̂ 1 A1,1·2 β̂ 1 .
0
I
So Σ̂Ω and β̂ 1 A1,1·2 β̂ 1 are the only invariant functions of Σ̂Ω and β̂ 1 .
I
As before, write E = N Σ̂Ω and H = β̂ 1 A1,1·2 β̂ 1 .
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
0
4 / 17
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
I
Finally, H0 is invariant when xα is replaced by Kxα for nonsingular
(p × p) K.
I
This transforms E to KEK0 and H to KHK0 .
I
We can find K such that
KEK0 = Ip
and
KHK0 = L,
where



L=

NC STATE UNIVERSITY
l1 0 . . .
0 l2 . . .
.. .. . .
.
. .
0 0 ...
5 / 17
0
0
..
.





lp
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
I
Here l1 ≥ l2 ≥ · · · ≥ lp ≥ 0 are the roots of the determinantal
equation
det(H − lE) = 0,
which are also the solutions to the two-matrix eigenvalue problem:
Hξ = lEξ
and are the eigenvalues of E−1 H.
I
These p roots are invariant, and are the only invariants.
I
So any test statistic that is invariant under all of these
transformations must be a function of these roots l1 , l2 , . . . , lp .
I
Note that in general min(p, q1 ) of the roots are non-zero.
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
6 / 17
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
The Common Tests
I
Since E has a central Wp (Σ, n) distribution under both the null and
alternate hypotheses, while H has a Wp (Σ, m) distribution that is
central only under the null hypothesis, we want to reject H0 when the
roots are large by an appropriate measure.
I
The likelihood ratio λ satisfies
det(E)
det(E + H)
det(Ip )
=
det(Ip + L)
p
Y
1
=
.
1 + li
λ2/N = U =
i=1
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
7 / 17
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
Lawley-Hotelling Trace
I
Lawley-Hotelling trace:
p
X
li = trace(L) = trace E−1 H .
i=1
I
For large N, approximately,
N trace E−1 H ∼ χ2pq1 .
I
Pillai’s F -approximation:
ν2 trace E−1 H
×
∼ Fν1 ,ν2 ,
ν1
n min(p, q1 )
where ν1 = pq1 and ν2 = (n − p − 1) min(p, q1 ).
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
8 / 17
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
Bartlett-Nanda-Pillai Trace
I
Pillai’s trace:
V =
p
X
i=1
I
li
= trace H(E + H)−1
1 + li
P
fi , where f1 ≥ f2 ≥ · · · ≥ fp ≥ 0 are the
V can also be written as
roots of the determinantal equation
det[H − f (E + H)] = 0.
I
The joint density of these roots is


( p ) Y

Y 1 (m−p−1)
1
(n−p−1)
2
2
C
fi
(1 − fi )
(fi − fj )


i=1
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
i<j
9 / 17
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
I
The density of V can be found by integration, but is difficult to use.
I
Pillai approximated the density by a β density, which which allows the
statistic to be transformed into an approximately F -distributed
statistic.
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
10 / 17
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
Roy’s Greatest Root
I
Recall:
whence
(2)
E (xα ) = β1 z(1)
α + β 2 zα
0
(2)
E c0 xα = c0 β1 z(1)
α + c β 2 zα
I
I
I
for every c, and conversely.
So we can test the multivariate hypothesis H0 : β 1 = 0 by testing all
the univariate hypotheses H0 (c) : c0 β 1 = 0.
The conventional test of the univariate hypothesis is based on the
F -statistic, say F (c):
1 0
c Hc
F (c) = m1 0
n c Ec
We reject H0 if we reject any H0 (c); that is, we use the statistic
n
max F (c) = l1
c
m
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
11 / 17
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
I
The Roy maximum root criterion is l1 .
I
The exact distribution of l1 = f1 /(1 − f1 ) can be computed from the
joint distribution of f1 , f2 , . . . , fp given above.
I
The usual approximation is based on an F -distributed upper bound to
a transformed l1 , which provides only an approximate lower bound to
the P-value.
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
12 / 17
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
Large Samples
I
I
I
Note that for large N, E is Op (N) but, under H0 , H is Op (1).
So the roots are op N −1 .
All P
test statistics except Roy’s are therefore approximately equivalent
to
li , and may be expected to have similar behavior at or close to
H0 .
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
13 / 17
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
Power
I
Under the alternative hypothesis β 1 6= β ∗1 , H has the noncentral
Wishart distribution with noncentrality parameter (matrix)
(β 1 − β ∗1 )A1,1·2 (β 1 − β ∗1 )0
I
The power of any invariant test is a function of the roots
(N)
(N)
(N)
ν1 ≥ ν2 ≥ · · · ≥ νp ≥ 0 of the determinantal equation
det[(β 1 − β ∗1 )A1,1·2 (β 1 − β ∗1 )0 − νΣ] = 0.
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
14 / 17
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
I
If these roots are substantially unequal, the Lawley-Hotelling test is
more powerful than the likelihood ratio test, which is in turn more
powerful than Pillai’s trace.
I
The reverse is true if the roots are close to each other.
I
So the likelihood ratio test is, in this sense, maximin.
I
Roy’s test is most powerful if only ν1 > 0, or more generally if
(N)
(N)
ν1 ν2 , but is otherwise less powerful than the other three tests.
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
(N)
15 / 17
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
Admissibility
I
Recall:
I
I
one test is better than another if it has the same size (or lesser) and
uniformly as much power, with strict inequality somewhere, and
a test is admissible if there is no better test.
I
All four tests are admissible.
I
But other tests based on the same roots may not be. For instance,
the test based on the smallest root is inadmissible (presumably for
min(m, p) > 1).
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
16 / 17
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis
General MANOVA Tests
Unbiasedness and Monotonicity
I
A test is unbiased if its power is minimized at the null hypothesis.
I
Its power function is monotone if power increases with some measure
of distance from the null hypothesis.
I
If the power function is monotone, the test is unbiased.
I
The likelihood ratio test, the Lawley-Hotelling test, and Roy’s
greatest root test all have power functions that are monotone
(N)
functions of each νi .
I
The Pillai trace test also has a monotone power function, provided
the critical value is less than 1, which we expect to be true for typical
sizes and large n.
NC STATE UNIVERSITY
17 / 17
Statistics 784
Multivariate Analysis