Annual Report 2014
Private Bag 3105, Hamilton, New Zealand 3240
http://www.waikato.ac.nz/nidea
Phone: +64 7 8384040 Email: [email protected]
NIDEA’s Mission Statement
NIDEA undertakes research at the interface of population and economics to help inform choices
and responses to the demographic, social and economic interactions that are shaping New
Zealand's future.
NIDEA seeks to address the population-economy interface by:
modelling the effects of demographic and economic change at global, regional and
national scales on long-term social transformation, competitiveness and productivity
conceptualizing, measuring and evaluating options for enhanced wealth creation and
general wellbeing in an increasingly diverse ageing society
researching migration and the transnational dimensions of New Zealand’s population
and economy in Oceania
enhancing understanding of the patterns, causes and consequences of regional social,
economic, and ethnic diversity and disparity within New Zealand.
Underpinning these research programmes are three founding principles that permeate all
aspects of NIDEA’s activities:
to produce innovative and consequential knowledge at the nexus of population and
economy
to provide a bridge between new knowledge and its practical application in policy and
business environments
to build research capacities in the areas of demography and economics that will secure
the reproduction of research excellence in critical areas of social inquiry.
Table of Contents
NIDEA Directorate - Staff ...................................................................................................................................................... 2
NIDEA Members ....................................................................................................................................................................... 3
NIDEA Associates and Research Associates.................................................................................................................. 4
Background to NIDEA ............................................................................................................................................................ 5
The Year in Perspective ......................................................................................................................................................... 5
Major Achievements and Awards ............................................................................................................................ 8
Externally Funded Research ................................................................................................................................... 10
Internally Funded Research .................................................................................................................................... 14
International and National Collaborations ....................................................................................................... 14
Professional Advisory Roles ................................................................................................................................... 16
Editorial Roles .............................................................................................................................................................. 17
Conferences ................................................................................................................................................................... 18
NIDEA’s Research Programme - Reports from Theme Leaders ........................................................................ 20
NIDEA Students and Graduates ...................................................................................................................................... 28
Achievements ................................................................................................................................................................ 28
Masters Supervision ................................................................................................................................................... 29
Postgraduate Supervision ........................................................................................................................................ 29
Postgraduate Completions ...................................................................................................................................... 30
Summer Scholarship Programme 2013-2014................................................................................................. 31
Guest Lectures ........................................................................................................................................................................ 31
NIDEA Seminar Series ......................................................................................................................................................... 32
International Visitors .......................................................................................................................................................... 33
Conference Contributions - International................................................................................................................... 35
Keynote Addresses, Plenary Presentations, Discussants............................................................................ 35
Other Invited Presentations .................................................................................................................................... 35
Other International Presentations ....................................................................................................................... 36
National Conference Contributions ............................................................................................................................... 37
Keynote Addresses, Plenary Presentations, Discussants............................................................................ 37
Other Invited Presentations .................................................................................................................................... 38
Other National Conference and Seminar Presentations ............................................................................. 39
Other Contributions ................................................................................................................................................... 42
Publications and Research Output................................................................................................................................. 42
Peer Reviewed Journal Articles ............................................................................................................................. 42
Non-Refereed Journal Articles ............................................................................................................................... 43
Books and Chapters in Books ................................................................................................................................. 43
Papers in Published Conference Proceedings ................................................................................................. 44
Technical and Commissioned Research Reports ........................................................................................... 45
Discussion and Working Papers............................................................................................................................ 47
Media Interviews and Citations ............................................................................................................................................
Annual Report from the Acting Director
Four years on from the establishment of the National Institute of
Demographic and Economic Analysis (NIDEA), the University of Waikato can
be proud of the international and national standing that the research institute
holds.
The year 2014 saw the award or undertaking of several major multidisciplinary and multi-year programmes/projects, either funded by the
Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment, or as Marsden projects, or through overseas
collaborations. Major on-going projects included: Indigenous Health in Transition (with the University
of Umea, Sweden, and the Australian National University); The Sub-National Mechanisms of the Ending
of Population Growth; and Capturing the Diversity Dividend of Aotearoa New Zealand. Completed
projects included: Making Active Ageing a Reality; Migrant Diversity and Regional Diversity in Europe;
and Nga Tangata Oho Mairangi - Regional Impacts of Demographic and Economic Change. Smaller
projects and summer studentships covered topics including: employment projections, trends in teen
births, socio-demographic profiles for various regions and iwi authorities, Māori wellbeing, projected
need for palliative care.
A highlight for NIDEA’s ongoing work was the establishment of the Integrated Data Infrastructure hub,
providing direct secure access to Statistics New Zealand’s datasets. This will be a huge asset to NIDEA
in allowing for the integration of other datasets to develop demographic projections and simulated
economic and social models.
The year included several staff changes, with Professor Natalie Jackson stepping down from the
Director’s role early in the year, and at the end of the year resigning from her Professorial position. We
welcomed the Dean, Professor Robert Hannah, as the Acting Director and benefitted from his close
involvement with NIDEA. Professor Peggy Koopman-Boyden took over the role from October. We also
welcomed two new academic staff members – Dr Matthew Roskruge and Dr Alison Day.
The changes in staff made us further realise the value of good colleagues, so we were especially pleased
to see this recognised with the award of Emeritus Professor to Richard Bedford, the award of World
Social Science Fellowship to Dr Tahu Kukutai and the election of Professor Jacques Poot to the Council of
the Regional Science Association International (to become Vice-President in 2016).
Recognising that the value of research comes only with its communication and implementation, NIDEA
has been very productive in its reports, addresses, media interviews, national and international
conference and seminar presentations – too many to count. Additionally, the expertise of NIDEA staff
has been taken up in the appointment of staff to advisory and technical groups including the National
Science Challenge, the Hamilton City Council Older Person’s Advisory Panel, and many national and
international editorial boards.
A strong research base of long term projects, involving national and international collaboration has been
developed overall, and NIDEA looks forward to a challenging but promising future that will include the
appointment of two key leadership positions - the Director and the Professor of Demography.
Professor Peggy Koopman-Boyden CNZM
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NIDEA Directorate - Staff
Director
Professor Natalie Jackson DipNZIMR BSocSc MSocSc Waik PhD ANU (until 09 March)
Acting Director
Professor Robert Hannah BA(Hons) Otago MPhil Oxford, FSA FRSNZ (from 10 March to 27 Oct)
Professor Peggy Koopman-Boyden CNZM BA MA DipEd Massey (from 28 October)
Emeritus Professors
David Ian Pool CNZM BA MA NZ PhD ANU FRSNZ
Richard D. Bedford QSO BA MA Auck PhD ANU FRSNZ
Professors
Natalie Jackson DipNZIMR BSocSc MSocSc Waik PhD ANU (until 18 December)
Peggy Koopman-Boyden CNZM BA MA DipEd Massey
Jacques Poot Drs VU Amst PhD Well HonFRNAAS MAE
Senior Research Fellow
Tahu Kukutai BA BA(Hons) MSocSc Waik MA PhD Stanford
Research Fellow
Mervyl McPherson BA Auck MSocSc(Hons) Waik PhD Massey (until 4 August)
Matthew Roskruge BSocSc(Hons) PhD Waik (from 6 August)
Research Manager
Veronique Gibbons DipNurs Manukau BSc MSc Lond PhD Auck (until 26 November)
Senior Research Officer
Shefali Pawar BE Pune University GradDip(Stats)
Waik
Research Officers
Rachael McMillan CertNZ (TVProduction) BSc
PGDip(EnvPlan) Waik (until 21 March)
Alison Day BA (Hons) Leic, MA (Hons) Auck, PhD
Auck (from 1 April)
Moana Rarere BMS GradCert (SocPol)
BSocSc(Hons) MSocSc(Hons) Waik
Back L-R: Professor Peggy Koopman-Boyden, Dr. Matt
Roskruge, Dr Tahu Kukutai, Professor Jacques Poot
Front L-R: Dr Alison Day, Moana Rarere, Shefali Pawar
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Research Assistants
Patrick Broman MSocSc Waik
Anna Mikaere BA (Hons) Waik
Alison Day BA (Hons) Leic,
Sheena Moosa MBBS Delhi, MPH Leeds, PhD
MA (Hons) Auck, PhD Auck
candidate Waik
Greg Hill BA Rhodes MA UNE
Maraea Mullane-Ronaki BSocSc (Hons) Waik
Rachael Hutt BSocSc (Hons) Waik
Annika Philipp MA Heidelberg
Rachael McMillan CertNZ(TVProduction)
BSc PGDip(EnvPlan) Waik
Administrator
Debbie-Lee Douie (until 23 March)
Vicky Turner (from 5 March until 3 October)
Mary Powar (from 13 Oct)
NIDEA Members
Waikato Management School
Motu Economic and Public Policy Research Trust
Dr Michael Cameron
Professor Adam Jaffe (Director)
Professor John Gibson (until 27 July)
Dr Andrew Coleman (Affiliate)
Professor Frank Scrimgeour
Adjunct Professor Arthur Grimes (Senior Fellow)
Adjunct Professor David Maré (Senior Fellow)
Professor Steve Stillman (Affiliate)
http://www.mngt.waikato.ac.nz/
http://www.motu.org.nz/
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NIDEA Associates and Research Associates
Richard Bedford QSO BA MA Auck PhD ANU FRSNZ
Lars Brabyn BA(Hons) BSc(Hons) PhD Cant
John Bryant BA BA(Hons) Cant PhD ANU
Michael Cameron BMS(Hons) PhD Waik
William Cochrane BSocSc MSocSc PhD Waik
Andrew Coleman PhD Prin
Len Cook CBE BA(Hons) Otago CBE
Robert Didham MSc Cant PhD Tubingen
Brian Easton BSc(Hons) DSc Cant BA Well
Arthur Grimes BSocSc BSocSc(Hons) Waik PhD LSE
Geoffrey Hayes BA British Columbia MA Toronto PhD British Columbia
Elsie Ho BSocSc MSocSc Hong Kong DPhil Waik
David Maré BA BCom MCom Auck PhD Harvard
Philip Morrison BA BA(Hons) MA Vic PhD Toronto
James Newell MSc Cant
Derek Riley BSocSc MAppPsych PhD Waik
Matthew Roskruge BSocSc BSocSc (Hons) Waik
John Ryks BSocSc MSocSc PhD Waik
Lynda Sanderson BA BSc Cant BCA Well MPhil PhD Waik
Janet Sceats MSc LSHTM PhD Lond
Steven Stillman BA Williamstown MA PhD Wash
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Background to NIDEA
The National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis (NIDEA) was launched on 24 November
2010; its mission to undertake research that will help inform choices and responses to the demographic,
social and economic forces that are shaping New Zealand's future.
Initially an informal collaboration of researchers at the University of Waikato’s Population Studies
Centre, Waikato Management School and Wellington-based Motu Economic and Public Policy Research
Trust, NIDEA now links together a virtual community of leading national and international researchers
working at the interface of demography and economics. NIDEA research supports and guides decisionmaking in a broad range of areas such as the labour market, healthcare, local government planning,
housing and education, welfare, business enterprise and the market generally. NIDEA also contributes to
the building of research capacity in the field through its undergraduate teaching, supervision of
graduate and postgraduate students, workshops and seminars.
The Year in Perspective
NIDEA continues to build on its successes. The year was marked by a number of key milestones, which
included the hosting privileges of Statistics New Zealand’s Integrated Data Infrastructure (IDI) remote
data access suite, and the successful awarding of $5.4 million of research funding from the Ministry of
Business, Innovation and Employment (see Major Achievements and Awards and Externally Funded
Research).
As signalled in the 2013 Annual Report, the leadership of NIDEA changed
with the stepping down of Professor Natalie Jackson as Director in March
and the interim appointment of Professor Robert Hannah (Dean of the
Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences) as Acting Director and, from October,
Professor Peggy Koopman-Boyden.
Natalie was NIDEA’s Foundation Director and expert demographer, making
Professor Natalie Jackson
a tremendous contribution to NIDEA’s research programme and profile.
This included the development of regional demographic profiles and most
recently, the successful award of the Marsden-funded project, The sub-national mechanisms of the ending
of population growth: Towards a theory of depopulation – Tai Timu Tāngata: Taihoa e (2013-2016).
We wish Natalie every success in her new endeavours.
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Professor Richard (Dick) Bedford retired on 3 January 2014 from
The University of Waikato after 25 years of service and a very
successful career in Migration Geography. While officially retired,
Dick continues to contribute to NIDEA’s research programme by
undertaking research on migration processes. We are also delighted
to acknowledge his award of Emeritus Professor on 16 October
2014, in recognition of his lengthy and valued service to the
University, academia and the social sciences.
We also acknowledge the expertise that Rachael McMillan, Dr
Mervyl McPherson, Dr Veronique Gibbons, Vicky Turner and DebbieLee Douie contributed during their term with NIDEA and wish them
Professor Richard Bedford (right) and
Deputy VC Professor Alister Jones
all the best in their future careers.
To add to the expertise of NIDEA, we welcomed Dr Alison Day and Dr Matthew Roskruge.
Alison holds a PhD in History and was awarded the Eric and Myra
McCormick Scholarship from Auckland University. Along with her
role as Research Officer for NIDEA, Alison is studying towards a
Master of Social Sciences in Demography. She was also a successful
recipient of the NIDEA Summer Research Scholarship 2013/14.
Alison brings to the team an epidemiological perspective and her
knowledge of qualitative research methods, particularly in regard to
understanding the impact of historical contexts on population changes.
Dr Alison Day
While Matthew is NIDEA’s newest Research Fellow, he is no stranger to
the staff. He is a former Associate and PhD affiliate of NIDEA, majoring in
Economics. During his doctoral term, Matthew also lectured in
Economics and while completing the final stages of his PhD, was
appointed Senior Health Economist of the National Health Committee for
the Ministry of Health before returning to NIDEA. His research interests
include: population economics, health economics, social capital and
wellbeing research, applied econometrics, labour economics, urban and
Dr Matthew Roskruge
regional science, migration and education.
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Integrated Data Infrastructure hub
The Integrated Data Infrastructure (IDI) is a
linked longitudinal dataset managed by Statistics
New Zealand. Previously, approved researchers
could only access the IDI at secured Statistics
New Zealand sites based in Auckland, Wellington
and Christchurch. However, earlier in 2014 the
Hon Bill English went on the first road show of
IDI, organised by Statistics New Zealand, to
formally signal the accessibility and availability of
the IDI for non-governmental researchers.
Under the Directorship and persistence of
L-R: Professor David Bloom and Professor Robert
Hannah (FASS Dean/NIDEA Acting Director) officially
opening the IDI hub.
Professor Robert Hannah, coupled with support
from Statistics New Zealand, NIDEA was successful in becoming the host of the first university-based IDI
hub in New Zealand.
The suite was officially opened by the University of Waikato’s Jubilee Distinguished Visiting Professor
David Bloom (Harvard University) on 14 October 2014.
In light of NIDEA’s mission, it is highly fitting that it hosts such an important resource, which will allow
for increased international research collaborations, higher quality research and a stronger connection
with government. The hub provides access for approved researchers to a range of official and
anonymised data including education, tax, families and households, sentencing and charges, health and
safety, migration and movements, student loans, allowances and benefits.
L-R: Professor Jacques Poot, Professor Les Oxley, and FASS
Dean/NIDEA Acting Director Professor Robert Hannah at the
opening of the IDI hub.
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Major Achievements and Awards
World Social Science Fellow
Dr Tahu Kukutai was awarded a prestigious World Social Science Fellowship
from the International Social Science Council (ISSC). The programme aims to
foster a generation of globally-networked research leaders who are committed
to collaborating in addressing global issues with particular regard for lowmiddle income countries. The award is befitting of Dr Kukutai, considering that
she has undertaken numerous research projects with iwi and Māori
communities and works collaboratively with researchers at the Centre of Sami
Dr Tahu Kukutai
Research (Sweden), the University of Melbourne and the Centre for Aboriginal
Economic Policy Research at the Australian National University.
Elected to oversee the Regional Science Association International
Professor Jacques Poot was Elected Councillor-at-Large, Regional Science
Association international, 2015-2017. The Regional Science Association
International (RSAI) is an international community of about 4500 scholars
interested in the spatial aspects – ranging from local to global scales – of
processes of economic and social change. After having been elected a
Councillor in 2014, the Council subsequently announced that Jacques would
become Vice President of the organisation in 2016 and President in 2017 and
2018.
Professor Jacques Poot
Fellowships in the Netherlands and the United Kingdom
From September 2014 until January 2015, Professor Jacques Poot was a Fellow-in-Residence at the
Netherlands Institute for Advanced Study in the Humanities and Social Sciences (NIAS) in Wassenaar (a
suburb of The Hague). He was fortunate to obtain such a Fellowship when only about 40 Fellowships are
awarded annually from about 300 applications. During 2014 it was also announced by Waikato
University that Professor Jacques Poot had been awarded a NZ-UK Link Foundation Visiting
Professorship, hosted by the School of Advanced Studies, University of London. At most two of these
Visiting Professorships are awarded annually across all disciplines and universities in New Zealand.
Professor Poot will take up this visiting position in London from late August 2015.
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Exploring benefits from super-diversity
The University of Waikato is leading a $5.4 million project to investigate how New Zealand can best
plan for, and benefit from, its increasingly diverse population.
The large-scale six-year project from 2014 to 2020 is funded from the latest round of Ministry of
Business Innovation and Employment’s new science research funding, is being led by Professor
Jacques Poot.
This project is called Capturing the Diversity Dividend of Aotearoa New Zealand, or CaDDANZ. The
acronym is pronounced ‘cadence’, which refers to a harmonic configuration at the end of a piece of
music that creates a sense of resolution.
Many stakeholders were consulted in developing the research proposal. They include government
departments, national and regional service providers such as Superu (formerly the Families
Commission), Auckland Regional Migrant Services, the Office of Ethnic Affairs, the Human Rights
Commission, Te Puni Kōkiri, and the Asia New Zealand Foundation.
Source: www.linkedin.com
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Externally Funded Research
NIDEA’s staff devote the majority of their time to research. This includes actively seeking new grant
applications and on-going or new funded programmes from major external funders: Health Research
Council (HRC), Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE), and the Marsden Fund
Council. NIDEA’s researchers also participate in a number of commissioned reports and consultancies.
NIDEA staff have also been actively involved in the National Science Challenges (NSC), not only as
collaborative research partners, but also as invited members on management panels.
NIDEA’s major funded programmes are:
Capturing the Diversity Dividend of Aotearoa New Zealand (CaDDANZ) (2014-2020). Professor
Jacques Poot is the principal investigator of this MBIE-funded project, which aims to identify how
New Zealand can better prepare for, and respond to demographic changes in order for the country to
maximise the benefits associated with an increasingly diverse population. To achieve this objective,
the research explores a wide range of aspects of demographic diversity in a systematic way. The six
year programme (funded $5.4 million) will be divided into 21 different projects that include aspects
of employment, ethnic identity in a family context, measuring ethnic diversity by spatial boundaries,
and how people deal with various aspects of diversity in everyday life.
Given that Māori as tangata whenua face unique challenges and opportunities in relation to identity,
language, social cohesion, economic development, and other issues, it is not surprising that the team
includes Māori researchers, led by NIDEA’s Dr Tahu Kukutai, and will liaise closely with local iwi,
urban Māori authorities and Te Puni Kōkiri/Ministry of Māori affairs.
The study will involve a large team of researchers from the University of Waikato and in partnership
with academics at Massey University led by sociologist Professor Paul Spoonley. The team also
includes staff from Motu Economic and Public Policy Research in Wellington.
The Sub-National Mechanisms of the Ending of Population Growth. Towards a Theory of
Depopulation – Tai Timu Tangata - Taihoa e? (2013-2016). Professor Natalie Jackson is the
principal investigator of this Royal Society Marsden-funded project, which investigates the
demographic and mobility transition correlates of the ending of population growth (present and
projected) across New Zealand’s Territorial Local Authority areas. The findings are expected to
contribute to a theory of depopulation, a situation widespread across much of the developed world
as population ageing drives the end of natural increase, but just beginning in New Zealand. The
research team consists of Professor Jackson (demographer), Dr Bill Cochrane (regional labour
market economist), Dr Michael Cameron (population economist), Dr Lars Brabyn (geographer and
GIS expert), Dr Dave Maré (labour market and urban economist and applied econometrician, Motu),
and Emeritus Professor Ian Pool (demographer).
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Indigenous Health in Transition: A Longitudinal Study of Colonisation, State and the Health of
Indigenous Peoples in, Australia and Aotearoa New Zealand (2013-2017). Dr Tahu Kukutai is
part of an international collaboration that received funding from the Swedish Research Council and
the Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation, Sweden. The Primary Investigator is Dr Per Axelsson,
Centre of Sami Research, Umeå University. The Associate Investigators are Dr Kukutai and Dr
Rebecca Kippen from the University of Melbourne. Dr Alison Day and Ana Mikaere from the
University of Waikato have also joined the IHIT project.
The project examines the impacts of colonisation on Indigenous population health in Aotearoa NZ,
Australia and Sweden. It does so through quantitative and qualitative analysis of missionary records,
government reports and longitudinal Indigenous population databases. Initially the team has focused
on the development of conceptual frameworks and methodologies for undertaking comparative
historical demographic analysis. This is challenging given differences in the timing of colonisation in
each country. In the case of New Zealand, there is an additional challenge that Indigenous historical
demographic data are sparse by comparison with Sweden and Australia. The broader project goal is
to bring a theoretically informed, empirical understanding to discussions on the linkages between
colonisation and Indigenous population health, both historically and in more recent times. The team
has presented papers at demography, Indigenous studies and history conferences in New Zealand
and internationally. A symposium on the broad theme of ‘Colonisation, health and history’ will be
held in Sweden in 2015, with the support of the Royal Swedish Academy of Letters, History and
Antiquities.
Ngā Tangata Oho Mairangi (NTOM): Regional
Impacts of Demographic and Economic Change
(2012-2014). This Ministry of Business, Innovation
and Employment (MBIE) funded project is being
jointly undertaken with colleagues from Massey University. The research is led by Professor Paul
Spoonley (Science Leader) and Professor Jacques Poot (Waikato Leader). Co-funding was obtained
from the Migration Research, Strategy & Governance Group at MBIE.
The project has six components: (1) Development of a sub-national accounting system in New
Zealand which takes account of the demographic-economic stock-flow (DEAS) (2) Interviews with 90
households across five selected regions (Auckland, Wellington, Christchurch, Westland and
Southland) with data analysis by means of the Q methodology (Q sorts) (3) Computer Assisted
Telephone Interviews (CATI) of 160- 220 employers from within the five regions (Employer surveys)
(4) Development of a multi-regional demographic-economic interaction model (MRIM) (5)
Conducting qualitative research by means of focus groups in schools (Focus groups) and (6)
Development of a multi-regional demographic-economic projection system (MDEPS).
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NIDEA is responsible for delivering DEAS, MRIM and MDEPS. Massey University is responsible for
delivering Q sorts, employer surveys and focus groups. The NIDEA research leaders of DEAS, MRIM
and MDEPS are respectively Professor Natalie Jackson, Dr David Maré and Dr Michael Cameron, with
contributions to DEAS, MRIM and MDEPS by Professor Jacques Poot.
Upon completion on 30 September 2014, this project was awarded the Green status by MBIE,
meaning that the contract performed to expectation. The final NTOM papers will be presented at a
Wellington conference for stakeholders (Pathways conference) on 23-24 July 2015.
Making Active Ageing a Reality: Maximising Participation and Contribution by Older People
(October 2012-September 2014). A major two-year research project, led by Professor Peggy
Koopman-Boyden, was funded by the Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment in the 2012
research funding round.
The project aimed to provide policy makers with advice on ways of supporting greater independence
and meaningful life for older people living alone; encouraging their independence by contributing
further to the paid workforce; and increasing their connectedness through the use of digital
technology. The Making Active Ageing a Reality project involved three other researchers - Drs
Michael Cameron and Margaret Richardson from the Waikato Management School, and Dr Judith
Davey, Wellington.
The later stages of the project included five seminars (in Hamilton and Wellington) where the draft
findings were presented to stakeholders – older people, professional, policy and research people and
groups working with older people.
The final report “Making Active Ageing a Reality” integrated the stakeholders’ comments into the
findings and policy suggestions (see International collaboration, and the role of Dr Tim Adair).
Revisiting the ‘Fourth Age’: Health, Socioeconomic and Cultural Transformation of and
Diversity in Australia’s Oldest Old Population, 1981-2011 (2012-2014). This project funded by
the Australian Research Council will create pseudo-biographies of different cohorts of the oldest old
over the thirty-year period 1981-2011, to investigate the extent of heterogeneity in terms of growing
cultural diversity, whether newer cohorts are ‘better-off’ than previous cohorts, and, on the new
evidence-base, whether the Fourth Age needs re-conceptualizing to facilitate better policy-making.
Professor Natalie Jackson is a Partner Investigator with Chief Investigators Professor Laurie Brown
and Dr Binod Nepal (both University of Canberra), and Dr Helen Bartlett (Monash University).
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Ethnicity Counts? (eCounts?) (2011-2014) Led by Dr Tahu Kukutai and funded by the Royal Society
of New Zealand Marsden Fund, this project concluded in 2014. With Principal Investigator Dr Victor
Thompson (Rider University, USA), Dr Kukutai examined how governments around the world count
and classify their populations by ethnicity and civic-legal criteria in the national population census.
The project spans the period 1985-2015 and includes an online repository of census forms for more
than 200 countries (http://www.waikato.ac.nz/nidea/research/ethnicitycounts/census-forms).
The Marsden Fund also provided support for two Masters students, Patrick Broman and Maraea
Mullane-Ronaki to undertake dissertations, respectively, on ethnic counting in Oceania and the
enumeration of Indigenous peoples globally. Led by Dr Kukutai, the eCounts? team have presented
numerous papers at conferences in New Zealand and internationally, and written a number of papers
for population and sociology journals, including on the topic of census transformation. Dr Kukutai
and Dr Thompson will begin collaboration on a book manuscript from the eCounts? project in 2015.
In Pursuit of the Possible: Indigenous Wellbeing – A study of Indigenous Hope, Meaning and
Transformation - Phase 1 (2012-2014)
Dr Tahu Kukutai continued her collaboration with Professor Linda Smith on the project ‘In pursuit of
the possible’, funded by the Māori Centre of Research Excellence, Ngā Pae o Te Maramatanga. Dr
Kukutai’s primary contribution was to conduct a comprehensive review of the local and international
literature on Indigenous conceptualisations of wellbeing, in order to develop a multi-level model of
Indigenous wellbeing. The findings from the research have been disseminated at various national
and international conferences.
Other externally funded projects, commissioned reports and/or consultancies that were undertaken by
NIDEA staff, research assistants and postgraduate students during 2014 include:
Smartgrowth demographic and employment projections (2013-2014) Professor Natalie
Jackson, Dr Michael Cameron, Dr Bill Cochrane
Current trends for teen births in New Zealand (2014) Dr Mervyl McPherson
Update on the regional and national trends in teen births (2014) Shefali Pawar, Professor
Natalie Jackson
Socio-demographic profiles for St John Area Committee Districts: Bay of Plenty, Central, East
Coast, Lakes, North Waikato, Taranaki, Waipa/King Country, Greater
Wellington/Horowhenua and Wairarapa (2014) Shefali Pawar
Confidential reports for various mandated iwi authorities (2014) Dr Tahu Kukutai, Moana
Rarere, Dr Alison Day
Understanding whānau structure and well-being through Te Kupenga 2013 (2014) Dr Tahu
Kukutai, Dr Matthew Roskruge.
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Internally Funded Research
Healthcare demography: Population ageing and projected need for palliative care (Summer
Scholarship 2013-2014). Professor Natalie Jackson, Professor Heather McLeod (Palliative Care
Council), Professor Frank Scrimgeour supervised Dr Alison Day.
Industrial Demography: Population ageing and the New Zealand dairy farming industry
(Summer Scholarship 2013-2014). Professor Natalie
Jackson supervised Michael Downey.
Surviving colonisation: A feasibility study for
developing an historical iwi demographic database
(University of Waikato Research Trust Contestable Fund).
Dr Tahu Kukutai.
Whakapapa, survivorship and the impacts of
colonisation: Co-constructing a unique indigenous
demographic database in Aotearoa (University of
Waikato Pilot Research Fund). Dr Tahu Kukutai.
International and National Collaborations
Professor Richard Bedford continued his collaborative work with Bruce Burson (an Auckland lawyer
specialising in refugee law and policy) and his London-based daughter, Dr Charlotte Bedford, on labour
migration issues in the Pacific. They completed a Compendium of Legislation and Institutional
Arrangements for Labour Migration in Pacific Island Countries for the International Labour
Organisation’s Office for Pacific Countries in Suva (http://www.ilo.org/suva/what-wedo/publications/WCMS_304002/lang--en/index.htm). Professor Bedford and Dr Bedford also drafted a
National Labour Migration Policy for Tuvalu at the request of the ILO’s Pacific Office.
Professor Bedford and Dr Tahu Kukutai were members of a Royal Society of New Zealand panel
reviewing New Zealand’s population around the time of the 2013 Census of Population and Dwellings.
The panel’s report, Te Pae Tawhiti. The 2013 Census and New Zealand’s Changing Population, was
published in July 2014 and is available at http://www.royalsociety.org.nz/our-futures. For the past two
decades Professor Bedford has been a New Zealand representative on the Steering Committee of the
International Metropolis Project which holds a major international conference every year on the impact
of migration on societies and economies with special reference to cities. In November 2014 he
presented three papers at the International Metropolis Conference in Milan with co-authors Charlotte
Bedford, Bruce Burson and Paul Spoonley.
P a g e | 14
Professor Bedford continued his long-standing collaboration with Robert Didham, Senior Demographer
in Statistics New Zealand and they presented papers on Indian migration to New Zealand and the
Recognised Seasonal Employer (RSE) scheme (with Charlotte Bedford) at conferences in Auckland and
Wellington. He continued to collaborate with researchers and policy makers in Immigration New
Zealand on labour migration issues and presented a paper, with Charlotte Bedford, on managed
seasonal labour migration schemes, as part of a New Zealand contribution to a Labour Mobility
Workshop for Forum Island Countries, in Auckland in September 2014.
Professor Natalie Jackson made significant progress in the first year of the Marsden funded
programme - The Sub-National Mechanisms of the Ending of Population Growth: Towards a Theory of
Depopulation – Tai Timu Tangata - Taihoa e? In terms of building international collaborations, the
project’s named international advisor, Dr Peter Matanle (Shrinking Region’s Research Groups,
University of Sheffield) has been scheduled to visit in early 2015, to present various seminars to local
government bodies, District Health Boards and stakeholder representatives in Wellington. Project team
members (mostly using non-Marsden funding) have visited institutions in South Africa, France, England,
Wales, Spain, The Netherlands, Germany, India and the United States. Team members have also
participated in several international discussions informing the project’s central questions. Two related
field reports and one discussion paper have been written and circulated.
The two year project, Making Active Ageing a Reality, led by Professor Peggy Koopman-Boyden,
involved a novel approach to directly involve Dr Tim Adair in the ‘quality assurance’ of the project. Dr
Adair (CEO, National Seniors productive Ageing Centre, Melbourne, Australia) was invited to review the
focus and methodology of the project throughout its two year duration, and was brought to New Zealand
to formally participate in five end-of-project seminars to the stakeholders. During these seminars, he
gave a public critique of the project’s methods and findings, against which the seminar participants
could undertake their own assessment. Dr Adair’s comments were then integrated into final report. He
also provided a written “Comparison between mature age labour force participation rates in New
Zealand and Australia” as part of the final Report.
During 2014 Dr Kukutai continued her collaboration
with Professor Linda Smith and Whakatohea iwi on the
project, In Pursuit of the Possible. In June, Dr Kukutai
accompanied Professor Smith and representatives from
Whakatohea on a visit to the Lummi nation reservation in
Washington. The Lummi people are the original
inhabitants of Washington's northernmost coast and
southern British Colombia. During a two-day wānanga,
Dr Kukutai gave an overview of contemporary Māori
demography and presented work from the Nga Pae
L to R: Professor Helen Moewaka-Barnes,
Dr Tahu Kukutai, Traci Hopupapa,
Matanuku Mahuika and Jamie Tuuta.
project, on developing a multi-level model of Indigenous wellbeing.
P a g e | 15
Emeritus Professor Ian Pool continued to contribute significantly to NIDEA’s research programme and
international collaborations. He is a part of Professor Natalie Jackson’s Marsden project team, and has
visited a number of institutions over the year. He was invited to the Centre of Population et
Development at the Universite Paris (Descartes, France) and attended the Head Office of Statistics in
Pretoria (South Africa) to discuss issues surrounding mobility in smaller cities. He was also hosted at
the University of Capetown (South Africa) to discuss data issues.
Professor Jacques Poot spent the latter part of 2014 on study leave as Fellow-in-Residence at the
Netherlands Institute for Advanced Study in Humanities and Social Sciences. Most of this time was
devoted to the economics of international migration, and more specifically, to developing a dynamic
network perspective that provides a better understanding of the two-way interaction between
international migration and travel. Theoretical models were calibrated with New Zealand data. The
results of his work have been made accessible to a broad audience by a forthcoming article in IZA World
of Labour. The fellowship strengthened Jacques’ research network in the Netherlands where he gave
presentations at VU University, University of Amsterdam, Leiden University and the Netherlands
Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, as well as at four international conferences.
Professional Advisory Roles
Professor Richard Bedford is a member of the Council of the Royal Society of New Zealand (RSNZ) and
its Academy Executive Committee. He convened both the RSNZ’s Social Sciences Fellowship and
Thomson Medal selection panels. Between April and July, Richard served as Chair of the Health and
Society Investment Assessment Panel for the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE).
He also convened a targeted appraisal of an MBIE-funded multi-year programme in October and was a
member of the “Ageing Well” National Science Challenge Management Group for 2014. Professor
Bedford was a New Zealand representative on the International Steering Committee of the International
Metropolis Project and was appointed to the Irregular Migration Research International Reference Panel
for the Department of Immigration and Border Protection, Canberra.
Professor Peggy Koopman-Boyden CNZM continued to chair the Waikato AgeWISE advisory
committee to the Waikato District Health Board and was also appointed chair of the newly established
Older People’s Advisory Panel of the Hamilton City Council. With the establishment of the Institute of
Health Ageing in late 2013, a new Governance Board was established, with Professor Peggy KoopmanBoyden representing the University of Waikato. The Institute is a partnership between the Universities
of Waikato and Auckland and the Waikato District Board, to "support the ongoing development of
evidence-based clinical and management best practice" so that "healthy ageing is promoted and
supported within the Waikato, the Midland area, nationally and internationally.”
P a g e | 16
Professor Natalie Jackson continued as a member of an expert panel and along with former Prime
Minister Sir Geoffrey Palmer, convened to give advice on local government reform in Northland.
Dr Tahu Kukutai became a member of the interim national science management group for the Ageing
Well National Science challenge. Ageing Well is one of 11 challenges which bring together scientists
from different institutions and across disciplines to carry out research on large and complex issues
facing New Zealand. Dr Kukutai also joined the whānau reference group of the Families Commission
(now known as the Social Policy Evaluation and Research Unit) and served on a Health Research Council
science assessing committee. With Emeritus Professor Richard Bedford, Dr Kukutai was invited to join
the steering panel for the Royal Society of New Zealand issues project, Te Pae Tawhiti: Our Futures. She
also continued her advisory role on the Motu project ‘Shaping New Zealand’s Low Emissions Future’.
While Dr Kukutai served another year as Vice-President of the Population Association of New Zealand,
she relinquished her role on the Māori Statistics Advisory Committee to the Government Statistician
which she had served on since 2008. Within the university, Dr Kukutai also served on the Academic
Board and the Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences Research Committee.
Shefali Pawar continued in her role as the Secretary to the Population Association of New Zealand and
was joined by Dr Alison Day as an elected member of the PANZ Council.
Professor Jacques Poot was a member of the James Cook Research Fellowship Assessment Panel for
the Social Sciences, Royal Society of New Zealand. He was also involved as a member of the organising
committees for the Special Sessions on “Population, Labour and Regional Science” at the 10th World
Congress of RSAI, Bangkok, May 26-30, 2014 (cancelled due to the military coup in Thailand) and at the
North American Regional Science Conference, Washington DC, November 12-15. Jacques was also a
member of the organising committee, Population Association of New Zealand (PANZ) 40th Anniversary
Event. Professor Jacques Poot provided input into the Royal Society of New Zealand issues paper Our
Futures: Te Pae Tāwhiti on the changing nature of New Zealand society, using 2013 Census data.
Editorial Roles
Professor Richard Bedford continued with editorial board positions on Asia Pacific Viewpoint,
Population, Place and Space (UK), and Journal of Population Research (Australia).
Dr Tahu Kukutai joined the editorial board of MAI Review and the advisory board of the Journal of New
Zealand Studies while stepping down as an Associate Editor for Kōtuitui: New Zealand Journal of Social
Sciences Online. In 2014 Dr Kukutai also acted as a peer reviewer for a number of international and
domestic journals.
P a g e | 17
Emeritus Professor Ian Pool is co-Editor-in-Chief (with Yves Charbit,
University of Paris) book series, Demographic Transformation and Socioeconomic Development. He is also Associate Editor for the Canadian Studies
in Population and also reviews manuscripts for the journal.
Professor Jacques Poot is a member of the editorial boards for Region
(Journal of the European Regional Science Association) and Review of
Regional Research (also called Jahrbuch für Regionalwissenschaften). He
Emeritus Professor Ian Pool
continues his work on the editorial boards of the following journals: Australian Journal of Labour
Economics (since 2001), Studies in Regional Science (since 1997), Papers in Regional Science (since 1997)
and Australasian Journal of Regional Studies (since 1995).
Conferences
Australian Population Association (APA) Biennial Conference 2014
Australia’s population in a global world
2-5 December 2014 Hobart
The conference included papers on a wide range of topics including: Internal and international
migration; Indigenous demography; Regional population issues; Population and environment;
Demographic data and methods; Mortality and population ageing; Health, wellbeing and morbidity; and
Fertility, family formation and life course. The Australian Population Association (APA) was formed in
1980 and is Australia’s leading professional association for demographers. The APA aims to encourage
the exchange of information between individuals and organisations in population and related fields, to
provide a forum for the discussion of population issues, and to promote population research and
education, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region.
NIDEA was represented by a strong contingent at the conference with opening keynote speaker,
Professor Natalie Jackson, co-presenting with Dr Rebecca Kippen (University of Melbourne) on
Tasmania’s population: Past, Present and Future.
Professor Richard Bedford also delivered a keynote address, on behalf of his research team, on the
Population mobility in the Pacific Region in the 21st Century: Trends and Prospects.
Other NIDEA representatives included:
Dr Alison Day – Is New Zealand facing a dementia epidemic? Projections of the potential number of
dementia cases in the 65+ population at national and district health board levels, 2011-2051
Rachael McMillan – A disaster waiting to happen? Elderly people and population ageing in at-risk
locations. Rachael also completed a poster presentation entitled: Anticipating depopulation –
discussing solutions to regional decline.
P a g e | 18
Shefali Pawar with Professor Natalie Jackson – New Zealand’s first demographic accounting model.
Moana Rarere with Dr Tahu Kukutai - Changing patterns of identification
and tribal population growth in Aotearoa New Zealand
Moana Rarere
30th Year for Labour, Employment and Work conference (LEW16)
The 16th Conference on Labour, Employment and Work in New Zealand (LEW Conference)
27 -28 November, Wellington.
The conference marked 30 years since it was first held. It brought together more than 50 research
papers in six focused sessions that reflected key issues in the current labour, employment and work
environment:
Migration and the labour market
Understanding insecure work
Changing demography of the labour market
The ageing workforce
Women in the labour market.
Again, NIDEA staff staff and associates contributed significantly to the conference:
Professor Jacques Poot and Dr Michael Cameron - Projecting future interregional migration using age
gender-specific gravity models - application to New Zealand.
Dr Michael Cameron and Dr Bill Cochrane - The impact of alternative labour force participation rate
assumptions on labour force projections
Dr Tahu Kukutai, Rachael McMillan,
Jackson Mason-Mackay - Moving out to
stay at home: a study of fly-in/fly-out
workers who live in New Zealand and
work overseas
Dr Michael Cameron and Dr Matthew
Roskruge - Labour force participation
and well-being among older New
Zealanders.
Professor Jacques Poot speaks at the 50th Anniversary of the
Center for Migration Studies in New York
P a g e | 19
NIDEA’s Research Programme - Reports from Theme Leaders
NIDEA’s research programme comprises five interconnected themes and is supported and sustained by
a strong capacity-building programme - the NIDEA Demographic Laboratory. The programme addresses
the most central questions of population studies – demographic transitions, population ageing,
population distribution, migration, and ethnic and cultural diversity, and links them to economic,
political and social transformations, such as the ageing of the labour force and regional development, to
help inform policy-makers and planners at the local and national level.
New Zealand's individuals, families and households (A socially informed New Zealand)
Research Theme Leader: Professor Steven Stillman
The ‘Individuals, families and households’ theme focuses on the underlying human dimensions of
demographic-social-economic interactions occurring in the context of low fertility and increased
longevity. Projects include how changing family and household structures will affect the provision of the
future workforce and tax base.
Cochrane, B. and Poot, J. (2014) Homeownership and labour market flexibility: New spatial
econometric evidence for New Zealand. Paper presented at the 55th conference of the New Zealand
Association of Economists, AUT University, Auckland, July 2-4, 2014.
King, L., Poot, J. and Roskruge, M. (2014) Immigrant entrepreneurship, economic wellbeing and
social capital. Paper presented at the 61th Annual North American Meeting of the Regional Science
Association International, Hyatt Regency, Bethesda MD, USA, November 12-15.
Kukutai, T. and Roskruge, M. (2014, in progress). Understanding whānau structure and well-being
through Te Kupenga 2013
Poot J (2014) The Dutch in New Zealand: Past, present and future. In: Home abroad: A profile of the
Dutch diaspora in New Zealand. Proceedings of the Conference on Dutch Diaspora in Australia and
New Zealand, 15 November 2013. Wellington: New Zealand-Netherlands Foundation. pp. 7-18.
Poot, J. and Roskruge, M. (2014) Immigrant integration and social capital formation. Paper
presented at the 61th Annual North American Meeting of the Regional Science Association
International, Hyatt Regency, Bethesda MD, USA, November 12-15.
P a g e | 20
New Zealand 2050 (An Ageing New Zealand)
Research Theme Leader: Professor Natalie Jackson
This research theme investigates how inexorable demographic shifts will affect the nation's social and
economic development over the first half of this century. Separate but overlapping projects address the
effects of age structural transitions on a broad range of issues, such as labour supply and demand, future
welfare demand and provision, and the ending of population growth. Within a sociological and/or
economic framework further issues of ageing were explored related to the labour force participation of
older people and employer views on employing the older worker, the usage of digital technology and
meaningful life for older people.
Research output under this theme for 2014 includes:
Cameron, M. P. (2014) Labour force participation among older New Zealanders, 1991-2013. In
Koopman-Boyden, P., Cameron, M. P., Davey, J., and Richardson, M. (eds) Making active ageing a
reality: Maximising participation and contribution by older people. Hamilton, New Zealand:
University of Waikato pp. 109-131.
Churchill, B., Denny, L., and Jackson, N.O. (2014). Thank God you’re here: The coming generation and
their role in future proofing Australia from the challenges of population ageing. Australian Journal of
Social Issues, 49(3): 373-392.
Jackson, N.O., Cameron, M.P., and Cochrane, W. (2014). 2014 Review of Demographic and Labour
Force Projections for the Waikato Region for the Period 2013-2063, research report commissioned by
Hamilton City Council, Waikato District Council, and Waipa District Council, Hamilton: National
Institute for Demographic and Economic Analysis, University of Waikato.
Jackson, N.O., Cameron, M.P., and Cochrane, W. (2014). 2014 Review of Demographic and Labour
Force Projections for the Bay of Plenty Region for the Period 2013-2063, research report
commissioned by the SmartGrowth Implementation and Management Group, Hamilton: National
Institute for Demographic and Economic Analysis, University of Waikato.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Sub-national depopulation in search of a theory – towards a diagnostic
framework. New Zealand Population Review, 40: 3-39.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) What do the looming demographic changes mean for us? Keynote Address,
Institute of Financial Advisors (IFA) Conference: Being Successful on Purpose. Auckland, 22 July.
Jackson, N.O. (2014). Hamilton City - Population trends, challenges and opportunities. Invited
Address to University of Waikato Winter Lecture Series - Cities of the Future, University of Waikato,
27 August.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Demographics of the future workplace. Keynote Address, Society of Local
Government Managers (SOLGM) Forum: HR in a Politically Challenging Environment. 5 June,
Wellington.
Jackson, N.O. (2014). Demographic trends and their implications for health care. Invited Address to
Paediatric Department, Waikato Hospital, 22 August.
P a g e | 21
Jackson, N.O. (2014). Baby boomers - the economic miracle of our time #2. Invited Address to the
Institute of Health Ageing, 13 August.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Taranaki Region: Key Demographic Trends. NIDEA Demographic Snapshot No. 6.
University of Waikato, Hamilton. National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Waikato Region and Districts 1986-2031. NIDEA Demographic Snapshot No. 1.
University of Waikato, Hamilton. National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Jackson, N.O. (2014). Auckland: Key Demographic Trends. NIDEA Briefs No. 1, February. University of
Waikato, National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Jackson, N. O. & Pawar, S. (2013-2014). A demographic accounting model for New Zealand, Electronic
Resource. Nga Tangata Oho Mairangi (MBIE Project). Hamilton, New Zealand: University of Waikato,
National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Koopman-Boyden, P. (2014) A meaningful life for older people who live alone. In Koopman-Boyden,
P., Cameron, M. P., Davey, J., and Richardson, M. (eds) Making active ageing a reality: Maximising
participation and contribution by older people. Hamilton, New Zealand: University of Waikato pp. 141.
Koopman-Boyden, P., Cameron, M. P., Davey, J., and
Richardson, M. (2014) Making active ageing a reality:
Maximising participation and contribution by older
people. Hamilton, New Zealand: University of Waikato.
Koopman-Boyden, P. and Moosa, S (2014) Living alone
as a lifestyle of older people in New Zealand: Policy
implications, Policy Quarterly 10(3): 54-59.
Pawar, S. & Jackson, N.O. (2014). Subnational
depopulation and New Zealand's first demographic
accounting model. Presentation to Australian
Population Association 17th Biennial Conference,
Hobart, 3 December.
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New Zealand’s regions and communities (A regionally and ethnically diverse New Zealand)
Research Theme Leader: Adjunct Professor David Maré
NIDEA’s ‘Regions and communities’ theme concentrates on the sub-national dimensions of
demographic, social and economic transformation, the dynamics and implications of which are
unfolding disparately across the country. Projects include the changing role of Auckland, the settlement
and integration of immigrants, and the end of growth in non-urban regions—some of which has been
detailed under the New Zealand 2050 Theme. A significant output under this theme is the development
of a series of Demographic Profiles. These profiles, most commissioned by local government councils,
are in great demand.
Research output under this theme for 2014 includes:
Alimi O, Marche D and Poot J (2014) Does distance still matter for internal migration and , if so,
how? Presentation at the 16th Labour, Employment and Work conference, Victoria University of
Wellington, November 27-28.
Bergstrom, K., Grimes, A., & Stillman, S. (2014). Does selling state silver generate private gold?
Determinants and impacts of state house sales and acquisitions in New Zealand. Urban Studies, 51 (6),
1257-73.
Cameron M and Poot J (2014) Developing a systems-based multi-region stochastic population
projections model for New Zealand. Presentation at the Australia and New Zealand Regional Science
Association International 38th Annual Conference, Christchurch, December 1-4.
Cameron M and Poot J (2014) Projecting future inter-regional migration using age-gender-specific
gravity models - application to New Zealand. Presentation at the 16th Labour, Employment and
Work conference, Victoria University of Wellington, November 27-28.
Cochrane W and Poot J (2014) Demand-driven Theories and Models of Regional Growth. In: M.
Fischer and P. Nijkamp (eds) Handbook of regional science. Berlin: Springer Verlag, pp. 259-276.
Cochrane, B. and Poot, J. (2014) Homeownership and labour market flexibility: new spatial
econometric evidence for New Zealand. Paper presented at the 55th conference of the New Zealand
Association of Economists, AUT University, Auckland, July 2-4, 2014.
Cochrane B, Grimes A, McCann P and Poot J (2014) Spatial impacts of endogenously determined
infrastructure investment. Presentation at the Australia and New Zealand Regional Science Association
International 38th Annual Conference, Christchurch, December 1-4. Maré, D.C., Fabling, R., & Stillman,
S. (2014). Innovation and the Local Workforce. Papers in Regional Science, 93(1), 183-201.
P a g e | 23
Te para one te tū mai nei (Māori and indigenous futures)
Research Theme Leader: Dr Tahu Kukutai
Te para one te tū mai nei: Māori and Indigenous Futures is an interdisciplinary research theme that
focuses on all aspects of Māori demographic change and the associated opportunities and challenges.
This theme has a strong comparative dimension through collaborations with Indigenous population
researchers in Australia, Canada, the United States and Sweden. During 2014 Dr Tahu Kukutai and
Moana Rarere expanded their research on iwi demography, undertaking commissioned research for a
number of iwi entities, and presenting papers at national and international conferences. Dr Kukutai
continued her collaboration with Dr Per Axelsson (Umeå University, Sweden) and Dr Rebecca Kippen
(University of Melbourne) on the Indigenous Health in Transition project, funded by the Swedish
Research Council. Dr Kukutai also continued to work with Professor Linda Smith on a project exploring
the transformational potential of Indigenous-led models of wellbeing and development. Selected
outputs include a number of confidential iwi demographic reports, as well as papers and presentations
listed below:
Axleson, P., Kippen, R., McCalman, J. & Kukutai, T. (2014). Capturing colonization through
quantitative sources: A comparison of 18th to 20th century Sweden, Australia and New Zealand.
Paper presented at European Social Science History conference, Vienna.
Kukutai, T. & Pool, I. (2014). From common colonization to internal segmentation: Rethinking
indigenous demography in New Zealand, in F. Trovato & A. Romanuick (eds) Aboriginal populations:
Social, demographic, and epidemiological dimensions (pp. 441-468). Edmonton: University of Alberta
Press.
Kukutai, T. & Rarere, M. (2014). A socio-demographic profile of Ngāti Manawa. Report prepared for
the Ngāti Manawa Charitable Trust.
Kukutai, T. & M. Rarere. 2014. Population: Past, present & future. Te Ao Huruhuri, NIDEA Brief No.4.
http://www.waikato.ac.nz/__data/assets/pdf_file/0017/219014/No.-4-NIDEA-BRIEFS-Te-AoHurihuri.pdf
Kukutai, T., & M. Walter. (2014). Recognition and indigenizing official statistics: Reflections from
Aotearoa New Zealand and Australia. Paper presented at International Association of Official
Statistics conference, Da Nang, Vietnam.
Kukutai, T. (2014). Measuring and monitoring Indigenous wellbeing: The need for new paradigms.
Invited presentation, Māori grand round series, Waitemata and North Shore DHB, North Shore
Hospital, 26 November.
Kukutai, T. (2014). Identity, mobility and belonging: Te Ao Māori in the 21st century. Invited
keynote, Māori Association of Social Sciences, Massey University, Palmerston North, 19 November.
Kukutai T. (2014). Ethnic classification and identification in the Census in Aotearoa New Zealand.
Invited presentation, Multiculturalism in New Zealand colloquium, University of Otago, Dunedin, 10
November.
P a g e | 24
Kukutai, T. (2014). Measuring and monitoring Indigenous wellbeing: The need for new paradigms.
Social science seminar series, University of Tasmania, 30 October.
Kukutai, T. (2014). Measuring and monitoring Indigenous wellbeing: The need for new paradigms.
Tōmaiora seminar series, The University of Auckland, 21 October.
Kukutai, T. (2014). Our intergenerational challenges. Panel presenter, Te Pae Roa 2040: Three
decades of Māori development, Massey University Albany, 3 September.
Kukutai, T. (2014). Mana wahine: Māori demographic futures. Invited presentation, Huihuinga
Wahine: Māori Women’s Leadership Summit 2014, Rotorua, 21 August.
Kukutai, T. (2014). Te Ao Hurihuri: Māori demographic futures. Invited presentation to dignitaries,
Koroneihana, Ngaruawahia, 20 August.
Kukutai, T. (2014). Measuring and monitoring Indigenous wellbeing: Creating new paradigms.
Invited presentation, Lummi Tribal Council, Bellingham, USA, 3 May.
Kukutai, T. (2014) Living the good life or a new Trans-Tasman underclass? Māori in Australia in the
2011 Census. Paper presented at Native American and Indigenous Studies Association conference,
Austin, 30 May.
Kukutai, T. (2014). Measuring and monitoring Indigenous wellbeing: The need for new paradigms.
Invited presentation, Auckland Council Research and Investigations Monitoring Unit Insight Series,
Auckland, 12 May.
Pawar, S. and Jackson, N.O. (2014). Te Wānanga o Aotearoa: Part A: Demographic trends and
potential Tauira demand. Hamilton: National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis,
University of Waikato.
Pawar, S., McMillan, R., & Jackson, N.O. (2014). Te Wānanga o Aotearoa – PART B: Industry and
occupation trends. Hamilton: National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis, University
of Waikato.
Rarere, M. & Kukutai, T. (2014) Changing patterns of identification and tribal population growth in
Aotearoa New Zealand. Paper presented at Australian Population Association conference, Tasmania,
Australia, 3 – 5 December.
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New Zealand’s oceanic and global context (A globally engaged New Zealand)
Research Theme Leader: Professor Jacques Poot
This research theme addresses the cross-border dimensions of demographic-social-economic
interactions, focusing on the links between New Zealand and other populations and economies within
Oceania and beyond. Among its projects are the implications of national level demographic differences
for future migration scenarios, and the implications of climate change and demand for water, with
particular reference to Australia and the Pacific Islands. Activities under this theme include the
Pathways to Metropolis conference in October. Details can be found elsewhere in this report.
Programme outputs for 2014 include:
King, L., Poot, J. and Roskruge, M. (2014) Immigrant entrepreneurship, economic wellbeing and
social capital. Paper presented at the 61th Annual North American Meeting of the Regional Science
Association International, Hyatt Regency, Bethesda MD, USA, November 12-15.
Ozgen C, Peters C, Niebuhr A, Nijkamp P and Poot J (2014) Does cultural diversity of migrant
employees affect innovation? International Migration Review, 48(S1): S377-S416.
Poot J (2014) The Dutch in New Zealand: Past, present and future. In: Home abroad: A profile of the
Dutch diaspora in New Zealand. Proceedings of the Conference on Dutch Diaspora in Australia and
New Zealand, 15 November 2013. Wellington: New Zealand-Netherlands Foundation, pp. 7-18.
Poot J (2014) International mobility and migration. Invited Guest Lecture Master International
Relations and Diplomacy (MIRD) program, Leiden
University, Campus Den Haag, December 10.
Poot, J. (2014) The migration rollercoaster and
house prices: A tenuous link. Insight. Asia New
Zealand Foundation.
http://asianz.org.nz/newsroom/insight
P a g e | 26
NIDEA Demographic Laboratory (A demographically literate New Zealand)
Director: Professor Natalie Jackson
The NIDEA Demographic Laboratory supports the five research themes by providing advanced
analytical and technical support. One of NIDEA’s main objectives is to revitalise undergraduate teaching
in population studies and demography, with a view to ensuring a continuing flow of graduates in this
specialist field. The Demographic Laboratory also acts as a provider of external training in demography
via seminars and workshops, and plays a critical role in building capacity in the field to meet the future
needs of government and a broad range of organisations and enterprise.
NIDEA Data Library & Integrated Data Infrastructure (IDI):
During the year, NIDEA secured the privilege of remotely hosting Statistic New Zealand’s IDI hub. This
tool has been invaluable to our research programme, allowing researchers to quickly access a range of
anonymised micro-level data. The hub is securely housed, and only authorised persons can access the
facility.
Shefali Pawar, Senior Research Officer, continues to develop NIDEA’s extensive
Data Library which draws together many years of census, survey and
administrative datasets built up by academics working in NIDEA and its
predecessor the Population Studies Centre. A selection of resources are available
on the NIDEA website but, in the interests of ongoing protection and maintenance
of this data library, data are 'Read Only', i.e. researchers are able to access and
view the required data files but are not able to store or edit any files. Alternatively,
data requests can be forwarded to Shefali Pawar to retrieve and forward the
Shefali Pawar
required data.
L-R: Professor Peggy Koopman-Boyden. Moana Rarere, Shefali Pawar
and Dr Alison Day
P a g e | 27
NIDEA Students and Graduates
NIDEA is committed to capacity building through teaching, supervision, and providing meaningful
research opportunities for students, graduates and postgraduates to work alongside senior researchers.
NIDEA welcomed 30 undergraduate students in the Introduction to Population Studies (POPS201) paper
for 2014. A further five undergraduate students enrolled in Directed Studies and Special Topic papers,
while five postgraduate students undertook 500-level papers. NIDEA also welcomed two new PhD
candidates which took the total to twelve PhD affiliates. Two Summer scholars were supervised (20132014).
Achievements
Many of the students gained prestigious awards or notable achievements, as below:
Kumudika Boyagoda obtained her PhD in November 2013, and following her completion was
awarded Post-doctoral Stipendiary Award for 2014. This award saw Kumudika return to the
Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences at Waikato University for three months to write high quality
publications based on her PhD research on Heterogeneity and Female Headed Households.
Rachael McMillan began a Masters in Demography in September 2014. Under the supervision of
Professor Natalie Jackson, her thesis explores policy responses to population decline. Racheal was
the successful recipient of the 2014 NIDEA Research Institute Masters scholarship and 2014
Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences Masters Award.
Maraea Mullane-Ronaki was awarded the Te Arawa Fisheries Tertiary Award for 2014, valuable
to her for completing her Masters in demography.
Matthew Roskruge completed his PhD from the University of Waikato in October 2013, and while
completing his PhD, became employed with the Ministry of Health as a Senior Health Economist
of the National Health Committee. He then returned to the University of Waikato in August 2014
as a NIDEA Research Fellow.
Desi Rodriguez Lonebear is a recipient of NIDEA’s Doctoral Scholarship and the University of
Arizona's Access Fellowship and Roberti Fund Scholarship. She is pursuing a Dual PhD at the
University of Waikato and University of Arizona. Desi is an appointed adviser to the Director of the
United States Census Bureau as a member of the National Advisory Committee on Racial, Ethnic,
and Other Populations.
Mandy Yap, Research Officer at the Centre for Aboriginal Economic Policy Research (Australian
National University) and PhD candidate, received a prestigious Australian Government
Endeavour Fellowship. During 2014, Mandy worked alongside Dr Kukutai at NIDEA for six months
on the development of statistical indicators of indigenous wellbeing.
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Masters Supervision
Professor Natalie Jackson supervised the following Masters students in 2014:
Alison Day, University of Waikato
Shefali Pawar, University of Waikato
Rachael McMillan, University of Waikato
Francisca Simone, University of Waikato (co-supervised by Lars Brabyn)
Dr Tahu Kukutai supervised the following Masters student in 2014:
Maraea Mullane-Ronaki, University of Waikato.
Postgraduate Supervision
In 2014, Professor Natalie Jackson supervised the following PhD students:
Janet Amey, University of Waikato,
Regional Variation in Health
Outcomes (co-supervisor with
Adjunct. Prof Antony Raymont and
Dr Janet Sceats) – in progress
Lisa Taylor, University of Tasmania,
Skills Under-Utilisation (cosupervisor with Dr Bruce Tranter,
University of Tasmania) – in
progress
Amina Casey, Australian National
University, The Invisibility of Men in
Explaining Australia's 'Low' and
Back L-R: Patrick Broman, Moana Rarere, Rachael McMillan, Dr. Matt
Roskruge, Desi Rodriguez Lonebear, Shefali Pawar, Dr Sheena Moosa
Front L-R: Maraea Mullane-Ronaki, Dr Alison Day, Prof Jacques Poot,
Dr Tahu Kukutai, Prof Peggy Koopman-Boyden
Declining Fertility (co-supervisor with Dr Edith Grey, Australian National University) – in progress
Sheena Moosa, University of Waikato, Wellbeing and Social Participation of Older Persons In a
Developing Society: Challenges for the Small Island State of Maldives (co-supervisor with Professor
Peggy Koopman-Boyden) – in progress
Brendan Churchill, University of Tasmania, Solutions or Substitutions? Examining Australia's Skills
Shortage (co-supervisor with Dr Maggie Walter, University of Tasmania) – in progress.
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Professor Jacques Poot supervised the following PhD students:
Güney Celbis, University of Maastricht, Infrastructure, Trade and Growth: The Case of Turkey – in
progress
Michael Krausse, University of Waikato, Economic Resilience: Evidence from Australasia - in
progress.
Steven Bond-Smith, University of Waikato, Innovation and Growth: Theoretical Models and
Analytical Simulations of Spatial, Clustering and Competition Effects – completed.
Professor Poot was examiner of a Bachelor of Business Analysis BBA (Honours) dissertation and
Master of Management Studies (MMS) dissertation at the University of Waikato, and a PhD thesis at the
University of Auckland.
Dr Tahu Kukutai supervised the following PhD students:
Todd Nachowitz, Political Science & Public Policy, University of Waikato, Towards a theory of deep
diversity: Immigration, multicultural policy and the Indian diaspora in New Zealand – in progress
Alison Green, Māori and Pacific Development, Mātauranga Māori in sexual and reproductive health
policy in New Zealand: Lessons from a comparative policy study – in progress.
Desi Rodriguez Lonebear, Demography, University of Waikato, Data for sovereignty: Counting and
classifying tribal identity – in progress.
Mandy Yap, Economics, Australian National University, In pursuit of culturally relevant and gendersensitive indicators of wellbeing: A Yawuru case study in operationalizing the ‘recognition space’ – in
progress.
Professor Peggy Koopman-Boyden co-supervised the following PhD student:
Sheena Moosa, University of Waikato, Wellbeing and Social Participation of Older Persons in a
Developing Society: Challenges for the Small Island State of Maldives – in progress.
Professor Peggy Koopman-Boyden was external examiner for the PhD candidate, Kathryn Glasgow, at
Victoria University, Wellington.
Postgraduate Completions
Omoniyi Alimi completed the requirements for the Master of Management Studies (Economics). His
dissertation looked at income inequalities and effective labour market areas in New Zealand. He was cosupervised by Professor Jacques Poot.
Steven Bond-Smith successfully defended his thesis in November 2014 to earn a PhD in Economics.
His chief supervisor was Professor Jacques Poot and his thesis entitled: Innovation and Growth:
Theoretical Models and Analytical Simulations of Spatial, Clustering and Competition Effects.
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Summer Scholarship Programme 2013-2014
NIDEA researchers are committed to building research capacity and are keen supporters of the
University of Waikato’s Summer Scholarship programme. In some years, a few scholarships are cofunded by the NIDEA Research Trust Account; others are co-funded by external organisations.
Summer 2013-2014
Alison Day – Healthcare Demography: Population ageing and projected need for palliative care
(Natalie Jackson, Heather McLeod (Palliative Care Council), Frank Scrimgeour)
Michael Downey – Industrial Demography: Population Ageing and New Zealand Dairy Farming
Industry (2013 Summer Scholarship Natalie Jackson).
Guest Lectures
NIDEA staff delivered a number of guest lectures in 2014:
Dr Tahu Kukutai
University of Waikato
TIKA.263 Te Ao Hurihuri He Ao Tuakiri: Evolving Māori Culture and Identity
HIST.206 Historical Methods and Research
POPS.201 Introduction to Population Studies.
Professor Ian Pool
Charite Universitatsmedizin and Universite Paris
Population and Health Development: Is the Public Health System a Victim of its Own Successes? A six
module (each one hour long) Mooc, Recorded, Paris, Centre Virchow-Villerme, Charite –
Universitatsmedizin, Berlin (Humboldt and Free Universities) and Universite Paris (Descartes), Oct
& Nov (scheduled for broadcast 2015).
Professor Jacques Poot
Leiden University Den Haag
Poot J (2014) International mobility and migration. Master International Relations and Diplomacy
(MIRD) program, Leiden University, Campus Den Haag, 10 December.
VU University Amsterdam
Poot J (2014) International mobility and migration. Master course European Integration and
Networks, VU University Amsterdam, 6 October.
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NIDEA Seminar Series
In 2014 the NIDEA seminar series was co-ordinated by Professor Jacques Poot and Dr Tahu Kukutai. For
abstract details see http://cms.its.waikato.ac.nz/nidea/events
February 19th – Professor In-Jin Yoon
Department of Sociology, Korea University, South Korea
Brain circulation of South Korean students in Japan and China
March 27th – Dr Brian Easton
Economic and Social Trust on New Zealand
The long term prospects for health spending
May 1st – Professor Natalie Jackson
NIDEA, University of Waikato
Sub-national depopulation in New Zealand: Causes and consequences
June 5th – Professor Peter Batey
University of Liverpool, United Kingdom
Regional forecasting and the spatial planning system: Some reflections on recent British experience
June 12th – Dr Michael Cameron
Department of Economics, Waikato Management School, University of Waikato
Developing a systems-based multi-region stochastic population projections model for New Zealand
July 10th – Professor Peggy Koopman-Boyden, Dr Margaret Richardson, Dr Michael Cameron and
Dr Judith Davey
NIDEA, University of Waikato
Active ageing: How do older people participate positively in society?
August 7th – Dr Michéle Akoorie
Department of Strategy and Human Resource Management, Waikato Management School, University of
Waikato
Globalisation and immigration in New Zealand: The role of emotional labour
September 11th – Dr Robert Didham
Statistics New Zealand
Ethnicity and identity: Within, across and between
October 2nd – Dr Arthur Grimes
Motu Economic and Public Policy Research
Infrastructure’s long-lived impact on urban development: Theory and empirics
November 13th – Professor Chris Andersen
Faculty of Native Studies, University of Alberta
‘Minding the gap’: Theorizing the population difference between ‘Aboriginal identity’ and ‘Aboriginal
ancestry’ in the 2011 Canadian National Household Survey.
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International Visitors
Building on international collaborations, NIDEA had the pleasure of hosting a number of distinguished
visitors in 2014.
The first of our visitors was Professor In-Jin Yoon from the Department of Sociology, Korea University.
His research interests include social psychology, minorities, international migration and
multiculturalism. At the NIDEA seminar series, Professor Yoon delivered a thought provoking
presentation where he examined South Korean students’ mobility in Japan and China and the
transferability of human capital. His findings revealed that 40 to 50 per cent of Korean students plan to
return home five years after studying abroad within Asia; a phenomenon that is closer to “brain
circulation” than brain drain or brain gain.
Professor Peter Batey is Lever Professor of Town and Regional Planning
at the University of Liverpool. Over a career of more than 40 years, Peter
has developed an international reputation for his work in the fields of
demographic-economic modelling and geo-demographics. NIDEA had the
honour of hosting his presentation on June 5th (seminar series) that
looked at forecasting and its relationship with the spatial planning system
at the regional and sub-regional levels.
Professor Peter Batey
A week later, Professor Batey presented at a NIDEA-sponsored seminar in
Auckland (in conjunction with the Research, Investigations and Monitoring Unit at Auckland Council) on
improving cross-sector partnerships.
NIDEA also had the privilege of co-hosting Professor David E. Bloom, Waikato
University’s Golden Jubilee Distinguished Professor. Professor Bloom is
Clarence James Gamble Professor of Economics and Demography in the
Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard School of Public Health.
He is an economist whose primary research interests are in health, demography,
education, and labour. Amongst a number of engagements during October,
Professor Bloom met with staff and post-graduates of NIDEA before delivering
Professor David Bloom
an open seminar on “Population Matters”, covering topics such as the
demographic dividend, population health and economic growth, the value of vaccination,
macroeconomic implications of population ageing, economic burden of non-communicable diseases,
longitudinal ageing study in India, and human capital. His visit provided further ideas and opportunities
for research collaboration.
Professor Bloom also had the honorary duty of officially opening the first University-based Integrated
Data Infrastructure (IDI) hub, hosted by NIDEA.
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Associate Professor Chris Andersen, from the Faculty of Native
Studies at the University of Alberta, visited NIDEA in November. His
research interests include indigeneity, Métis population and official
statistics. He has been working alongside Dr Tahu Kukutai on issues
relating to indigenous data sovereignty and they are co-authoring a
chapter for a new Routledge book, “Sources and Methods in Indigenous
Studies” edited by Jean O’Brien and Chris himself. Professor Andersen
also gave a presentation at the NIDEA seminar series, sharing his
Associate Professor Chris
Andersen
knowledge about differences between aboriginal identity and aboriginal ancestry in official statistics.
P a g e | 34
Conference Contributions - International
Keynote Addresses, Plenary Presentations, Discussants
Bedford, R.D., Hugo, G., Burson, B., Bedford, C.E. and Rarere, G. (2014) Population mobility in the Pacific
region in the 21st century: Trends and prospects. Invited keynote address to the Australian
Population Association’s Biennial Conference, Australia’s Population in a Global World, Hobart,
3-5 December.
Boyagoda, K. (2014). Female headship as a proxy for poverty: A critical look at the identification procedure
of household heads in Sri Lanka. Presentation for the 9th Annual Scientific Sessions of the
Population Association of Sri Lanka. Colombo, Sri Lanka.
Boyagoda, K. (2014). Migration and left behind women: A demographic profile of marital life and its
implications. Presentation for the Department of Demography Research Symposium. Colombo,
Sri Lanka.
Jackson, N.O. (2014). Tasmania since Federation. Plenary address to Australian Population Association
17th Biennial Conference, Hobart, 3 December.
Poot, J. (2014) The economics of migration. Oral presentation and discussion with Joost Niemöller, a
Dutch writer and journalist. Room for Discussion, regular lunchtime interviews organised by
students at the Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Amsterdam.
www.roomfordiscussion.com
Poot, J. (2014) The measurement of cultural diversity in economic impact studies. Invited seminar at the
Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, The Hague, 29 October.
Poot, J. (2014) The Dutch Diaspora in New Zealand. Invited presentation at the Seminar on the Role and
Position of the Dutch Diaspora in Australia and New Zealand, NIDI (Netherlands
Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute), The Hague, 9 December.
Poot, J. (2014) International mobility and migration. Invited Guest Lecture Master International
Relations and Diplomacy (MIRD) program, Leiden University, Campus Den Haag, 10 December.
Ozgen, C., Peters, C., Niebuhr, A., Nijkamp, P., and Poot, J. (2014) Does cultural diversity of migrant
employees affect innovation? Invited presentation at the International Migration Review 50th
Anniversary Symposium International Migration Scholarship in the 21st Century: Critical Issues,
Critical Questions. One New York Plaza, New York, 30 September.
Other Invited Presentations
Bedford, R.D. and Bedford, C.E. (2014) Pacific workers in the horticulture industry: creating inclusive work
cultures in a managed seasonal migration scheme. Invited presentation in workshop WS124 on
Inclusive Labour Market Integration of Migrants? Comparative Perspectives from Europe,
Canada, Australia and New Zealand, International Metropolis Conference, Milan, 3-7 November.
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Bedford, R.D. and Burson, B. (2014) Towards a regional architecture for voluntary adaptive migration in
the Pacific. Invited paper presented at the Pacific Regional Civil Society Organisations’
Workshop on the Impacts of Climate Change and Disasters on Human Mobility in the Pacific,
Novotel Hotel, Suva, Fiji, 18-20 August.
Bedford, R.D., Spoonley, P. and Bedford, C.E. (2014) New Zealand’s ‘by invitation’ system for selecting
skilled migrants: experiences and challenges. Invited presentation to workshop WS125 on
Selecting for Success: Recent Policy Changes to Skilled Immigrant Selection in Australia, Canada
and New Zealand, International Metropolis Conference, Milan, 3-7 November.
Pool, I. (2014) Is the public health system a victim of its own successes? Presentation to Governing Board,
Centre Virchow-Villerme, Charite – Universistasmedizin, Berlin (Humboldt and Free
Universities) and Universite Paris (Descartes), Berlin, 22 October.
Pool, I. (2014) ‘L’enjeu ‘genre et santé’, a partir du cas des Māoris de Nouvelle-Zelande’, Seminar Doctoral
Candidates, Centre Population et Développement, Université Paris (Descartes), 18 November.
Other International Presentations
Axleson, P., Kippen, R., McCalman, J., and Kukutai, T. (2014) Capturing colonization through quantitative
sources: A comparison of 18th to 20th century Sweden, Australia and New Zealand. European Social
Science History conference, 23-26 April, Vienna, Austria.
Bedford, R.D, Bedford, C.E., and Burson, B. (2014) Countries in crisis: Urbanization, accelerating
environmental degradation and migration from Kiribati and Tuvalu. Paper presented in
workshop WS206 on Migrants in Countries in Crisis, International Metropolis Conference, Milan,
3-7 November.
Cameron, M.P. and Poot, J. (2014) Developing a systems-based multi-region stochastic population
projections model for New Zealand. Paper presented at the 61st Annual North American Meetings
of the Regional Science Association International, Washington, D.C., 12-15 November.
Cameron, M.P. (2014) Global and locally-specific relationships between alcohol outlet density and crime:
Evidence from New Zealand. Paper presented at the Victorian Substance Use Research Forum
(VSURF) Seminar, Melbourne, 4 February.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Tai timu tāngata - taihoa e? The ebbing of the human tide - what does it mean for the
people? Presentation to Australian Population Association 17th Biennial Conference, Hobart, 3-5
December.
King, L., Poot, J., and Roskruge, M. (2014) Immigrant entrepreneurship, economic wellbeing and social
capital. Paper presented at the 61th Annual North American Meeting of the Regional Science
Association International, Hyatt Regency, Bethesda MD, USA, 12-15 November.
Kukutai, T. (2014) Measuring and monitoring indigenous wellbeing: Creating new paradigms. Invited
presentation, Lummi Tribal Council, Bellingham, USA, 3 May.
Kukutai, T. (2014) Living the good life or a new Trans-Tasman underclass? Māori in Australia in the 2011
Census. Native American and Indigenous Studies Association conference, Austin,
30 May.
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Kukutai, T. (2014) Measuring and monitoring indigenous wellbeing: The need for new paradigms. Social
science seminar series, University of Tasmania, 30 October.
Kukutai, T. and Walter, M. (2014) Recognition and indigenizing official statistics: Reflections from
Aotearoa New Zealand and Australia. International Association of Official Statistics conference,
Da Nang, Viet Nam, 8-10 October.
McMillan, R. (2014) Anticipating depopulation: Discussing solutions to regional decline. Poster
presentation at the Australian Population Association 17th Biennial Conference, Hobart, 3-5
December.
McMillan, R. (2014) A disaster waiting to happen? Elderly people and population ageing in at risk
locations. Australian Population Association 17th Biennal Conference, Hobart, 3-5 December.
Moosa, S. (2014). Role of social values in enhancing wellbeing of older people. Paper presented at the 12th
IFA Global Conference on Ageing, Hyderabad, India, 11-13 June.
Ozgen C, Peters C, Niebuhr A, Nijkamp, P., and Poot, J. (2014) Innovation and cultural diversity among
firms’ employees: A synthesis and new comparative evidence. Paper presented at the 43rd annual
conference of the British & Irish section of the RSAI, Aberystwyth University, Wales, 20-21
August.
Pawar, S. and Jackson, N.O. (2014). Subnational depopulation and New Zealand's first demographic
accounting model. Presentation to Regional Science Association International Conference,
Christchurch, 2 December.
Pawar, S. and Jackson, N.O. (2014) Subnational depopulation and New Zealand's first demographic
accounting model. Presentation to Australian Population Association 17th Biennial Conference,
Hobart, 3 December.
Poot, J. and Roskruge, M. (2014) Immigrant integration and social capital Formation. Paper presented at
the 61th Annual North American Meeting of the Regional Science Association International,
Hyatt Regency, Bethesda MD, USA, 12-15 November.
Reed R, Florax R. and Poot, J. (2014) Simulating meta-analysis estimators in the presence of publication
bias. Paper presented at the 2014 MAER-Net Colloquium, University of Athens, Greece, 11-13
September.
National Conference Contributions
Keynote Addresses, Plenary Presentations, Discussants
Jackson, N.O. (2014) What do the looming demographic changes mean for us? Keynote Address, Institute
of Financial Advisors (IFA) Conference: Being Successful on Purpose.
Auckland, 22 July
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Who will my customers be in 10 years? Keynote Address, Franchise Association of
New Zealand (FANZ) Conference: Pathways to Success. Queenstown, 11 July.
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Jackson, N.O. (2014) Understanding today’s demography for tomorrow’s infrastructure. Keynote Address,
IPWEA Conference: Leading Tomorrow’s Infrastructure. Auckland. 27 June.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Demographics of the future workplace. Keynote Address, Society of Local
Government Managers (SOLGM) Forum: HR in a Politically Challenging Environment.
Wellington, 5 June.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) The demographic forces shaping service provision – and demand. Keynote Address to
WasteMINZ Roundup Conference, Queenstown. 3 April.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Demographic change and its implications [for the workforce]. Keynote Address to
the Consulting Surveyors of New Zealand 2014 Workshop. Taupo, 7 March.
Other Invited Presentations
Bedford, R.D. (2014) Auckland’s population. The 2013 Census, population estimates for June 2013 and
2014, and recent international migration. Invited presentation to the RSNZ (Auckland Branch)
Auckland Council Research and Monitoring Unit meeting, Auckland Museum, 22 October.
Bedford, R.D. (2014) Our Futures: Te Pae Tawhiti. The 2013 Census and New Zealand’s changing
population: Population change and migration. Invited presentation to the Royal Society of New
Zealand’s launch of a major issues paper on New Zealand’s population, Te Whare Aparangi,
Wellington, 16 July.
Bedford, R.D. (2014) Population change in the Waikato. The 2013 Census, population estimates for June
2013 and 2014 and recent migration. Invited presentation to the RSNZ (Hamilton Branch)
Hamilton City Council meeting, Waikato Museum, 20 November.
Bedford, R.D. and Bedford, C.E. (2014) Managed seasonal migration to New Zealand: Review and prospect.
Invited presentation to the OCTA (Office of the Chief Trade Adviser) Labour Mobility Workshop
for Forum Island Countries, Crowne Plaza Hotel, Auckland, 26-27 September.
Bedford, R.D., Bedford, C.E. and Didham, R. (2014) Managed seasonal migration. Why has New Zealand’s
seasonal work scheme for seasonal workers in the horticulture and viticulture industries been
successful while Australia’s equivalent scheme is struggling to fire? Paper presented at the 16th
Labour, Employment and Work Conference, Victoria University of Wellington, 27-28 November.
Bedford, R.D. and Didham, R. (2014) India’s New Zealand diaspora: some recent statistics. Invited
presentation to the New Zealand Indian Diaspora Convention, Auckland University of
Technology, 26 July.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) The demographic forces shaping New Zealand's future. Invited Address to U3A
Hamilton, 15 October.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) The demographic forces shaping future service provision - and demand. Invited
Address to the Order of St John Priory Trust Board Meeting, Auckland, 1 September.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) The demographic forces shaping future service provision - and demand. Invited
Address to the New Zealand Fire Service Volunteers Executive Officers Conference, 31 August.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Thinking recreation - thinking demographic trends. Invited Address to Thinking
Recreation Conference 2014, Hamilton, 29 August.
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Jackson, N.O. (2014) Demographic trends in the Bay of Plenty Region: 2013 Census update. Invited
Address to Tauranga Rotary Club, Tauranga, 28 August.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Hamilton City: Population trends, challenges and opportunities. Invited Address to
University of Waikato Winter Lecture Series - Cities of the Future, University of Waikato, 27
August.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Demographic trends and their implications for health care. Invited Address to
Paediatric Department, Waikato Hospital, 22 August.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Baby boomers: The economic miracle of our time #2. Invited Address to the Institute
of Health Ageing, 13 August.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Demographics of Waitaki South. Invited Address to Combined Trusts' Meeting,
Waikaia, Northern Southland, 8 August.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Hamilton and the Waikato Region: Key population challenges. Invited Address to
Hamilton City Council, Elected Members and Senior Leadership, 5 August.
Pool, I. (2014). The people of New Zealand, now and in coming years - 40th Anniversary. Population
Association of New Zealand, Wellington, 17 July.
Other National Conference and Seminar Presentations
Alimi, O., Mare, D., and Poot, J. (2014) Does distance still matter for internal migration and , if so, how?
Presentation at the 16th Labour, Employment and Work conference, Victoria University of
Wellington, 27-28 November.
Arribas-Bel, D., Nijkamp, P. and Poot, J. (2014) How diverse can spatial measures of cultural diversity be?
Results from Mote Carlo simulations of an agent-based model. Paper presented at the 24th
Meeting of the New Zealand Econometric Study Group, University of Waikato, 20-21 February.
Boyagoda, K. (2014). Vulnerability and context specificity: Female-headed households as a case study.
Presentation for the Sociological Association of Aotearoa New Zealand (SAANZ) Conference.
Chrischurch, 4-5 December.
Boyagoda, K. (2014). From vulnerability to resilience: The demography of women’s social capital and its
implications. Presentation for the International Development Studies Network (DEVNET)
Conference. Dunedin, 27-29 November.
Boyagoda, K. (2014). Looking beyond conventional demographic categorizations: Unseen realities and
implications for policy. Presentation for the University of Waikato, Faculty of Arts and Social
Sciences Postgraduate Conference (FASSGRAD) 2014. Hamilton, 17-18 November.
Burdett, B. and Jackson, N.O. (2014). Growing liveable rural communities. TRAFINZ, Auckland, 17
September.
Cameron, M.P. (2014). Alcohol outlet density, competition, and alcohol-related harm. A paper presented
at the University of Otago Department of Economics Seminar, Dunedin, 17 October.
Cameron, M.P. and Poot, J. (2014) Developing a systems-based multi-region stochastic population
projections model for New Zealand. Paper presented at the NIDEA Seminar, University of
Waikato, 12 June.
P a g e | 39
Cameron, M.P. and Poot, J. (2014). Developing a systems-based multi-region stochastic population
projections model for New Zealand. Paper presented at the Australia and New Zealand Regional
Science Association International 38th Annual Conference, Christchurch, 1-4 December.
Cameron, M.P. and Poot, J. (2014). Projecting future inter-regional migration using age-gender-specific
gravity models – Application to New Zealand. Paper presented at the 16th Conference on Labour,
Employment and Work, Victoria University, Wellington, 27-28 November.
Cameron, M.P. and Roskruge, M. (2014). Labour force participation and well-being among older New
Zealanders. Paper presented at the 16th Conference on Labour, Employment and Work,
Wellington, 27-28 November.
Cochrane, W. and Cameron, M.P. (2014). The impact of alternative labour force participation rate
assumptions on labour force projections. Paper presented at the 16th Conference on Labour,
Employment and Work, Wellington, 27-28 November.
Cochrane B, Grimes A, McCann, P., and Poot, J. (2014) Spatial Impacts of Endogenously Determined
Infrastructure Investment. Presentation at the Australia and New Zealand Regional Science
Association International 38th Annual Conference, Christchurch, 1-4 December.
Cochrane, B. and Poot, J. (2014) Homeownership and labour market flexibility: new spatial econometric
evidence for New Zealand. Paper presented at the 55th conference of the New Zealand
Association of Economists, AUT University, Auckland, 2-4 July.
Florax, R., Poot, J. and Reed, W.R. (2014) A Monte Carlo analysis of alternative meta-analysis estimators in
the presence of publication bias. Paper presented at the 55th conference of the New Zealand
Association of Economists, AUT University, Auckland, 2-4 July.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Sub-national depopulation in New Zealand – causes and consequences. Paper
presented at the NIDEA Seminar Series, Hamilton, 1 May.
King L, Poot, J., and Roskruge, M (2014) The impacts of ethnic and social capital on entrepreneurship and
entrepreneur wellbeing. Presentation at the 16th Labour, Employment and Work conference,
Victoria University of Wellington, 27-28 November.
Koopman-Boyden, P. and Moosa, S. (2014) Meaningful life for older people who live alone, Presentation to
Crosslights (older people’s community group), Hamilton, 28 February.
Koopman-Boyden, P. and Moosa, S. (2014) Living alone as a life style among older people in New Zealand,
Presentation to NZ Association of Gerontology conference, Dunedin, 14 September.
Koopman-Boyden, P., Richardson, M., Cameron, M.P., and Davey, J. (2014). Making active ageing a reality
- Maximising participation and contribution by older people. Half-day seminar presentation to Age
Concern (Hamilton), Hamilton, 11 July.
Koopman-Boyden, P., Richardson, M., Cameron, M.P., and Davey, J. (2014). Making active ageing a reality
- Maximising participation and contribution by older people. Half-day seminar presentation to Age
Concern (New Zealand), Wellington, 15 July.
Koopman-Boyden, P., Richardson, M., Cameron, M.P., and Davey, J. (2014). Making active ageing a reality
- Maximising participation and contribution by older people. Half-day seminar presentation to
Interdepartmental Network on Ageing, Wellington, 15 July.
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Koopman-Boyden, P., Richardson, M., Cameron, M.P., and Davey, J. (2014). Making active ageing a reality
- Maximising participation and contribution by older people. Half-day seminar presentation to
Round Table and Institute of Policy Studies, Wellington, 16 July.
Koopman-Boyden, P., and Richardson, M., (2014). Making active ageing a reality - Maximising
participation and contribution by older people. Half-day seminar presentation to Rauawaawa
Kuamatua Charitable Trust, Hamilton, 22 September.
Kukutai, T., McMillan, R., and J. Mason-Mackay. (2014) Moving out to stay at home: A study of fly-in/flyout workers who live in New Zealand and work overseas. Labour, employment and work in New
Zealand conference, Victoria University of Wellington, Wellington, 28 November.
Kukutai, T. (2014) Science, politics and the construction of community in the New Zealand census. Invited
presentation, The ‘imagined community’ of New Zealand symposium, Stout Centre, Victoria
University of Wellington, 28 November.
Kukutai, T. (2014) Measuring and monitoring indigenous wellbeing: The need for new paradigms. Invited
presentation, Māori grand round series, Waitemata and North Shore DHB, North Shore Hospital,
26 November.
Kukutai, T. (2014) Identity, mobility and belonging: Te Ao Māori in the 21st century. Invited keynote,
Māori Association of Social Sciences, Massey University, Palmerston North, 19 November.
Kukutai T. (2014) Here, not elsewhere: Making it work. Invited presentation, ‘A place to live’, Whanganui,
18 November.
Kukutai T. (2014) Ethnic classification and identification in the Census in Aotearoa
New Zealand. Invited presentation, Multiculturalism in New Zealand colloquium, University of
Otago, Dunedin, 10 November.
Kukutai, T. (2014) Measuring and monitoring indigenous wellbeing: The need for new paradigms.
Tōmaiora seminar series, The University of Auckland, 21 October.
Kukutai, T. (2014) Demographic futures in Aotearoa New Zealand: Implications for sexual and
reproductive health. Invited plenary presentation at The New Zealand Sexual Health Conference,
Hamilton, 12 September.
Kukutai, T. (2014) Our intergenerational challenges. Panel presenter, Te Pae Roa 2040, Massey
University Albany, 3 September.
Kukutai, T. (2014) Mana wahine: Māori demographic futures. Invited presentation, Huihuinga Wahine:
Māori Women’s Leadership Summit 2014, Rotorua, 21 August.
Kukutai, T. (2014) Te Ao Hurihuri: Māori demographic futures. Invited presentation to dignitaries,
Koroneihana, Ngaruawahia, 20 August.
Kukutai, T. (2014) Measuring and monitoring indigenous wellbeing: The need for new paradigms. Invited
presentation, Auckland Council Research and Investigations Monitoring Unit Insight Series,
Auckland, 12 May.
King L, Poot, J., and Roskruge, M. (2014) The impacts of ethnic and social capital on entrepreneurship and
entrepreneur wellbeing. Presentation at the 16th Labour, Employment and Work conference,
Victoria University of Wellington, 27-28 November.
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Koopman-Boyden, P., Richardson, M., Cameron, M.P., and Davey J. (2014). Making active ageing a reality
– Maximising participation and contribution by older people. Paper presented at the NIDEA
Seminar Series, Hamilton, 10 July.
Matlaba, V.J., Grimes, A., and Poot, J. (2014) Economic impacts of the creation of Brasilia City: a natural
experiment. Paper presented at the 24th Meeting of the New Zealand Econometric Study Group,
University of Waikato, 20-21 February.
Thompson, V.,and Kukutai, T. (2014) Racial and ethnic enumeration on the census in the Americas from
1960-2012. Annual meeting of the Eastern Sociological Society, Baltimore, USA, 20-23 February.
Other Contributions
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Demographic and household projections for the Timaru District 2013-2063.
Presentation to Timaru District Council, via Skype, 28 October.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Demographic trends and implications for enrolments. Presentation to University
Council, University of Waikato, 20 August.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) How to do population projections. A workshop in the Official Statistics Seminar
Series, Statistics New Zealand, Wellington, 30 July.
Jackson, N.O., Cameron, M. and Cochrane, B. (2014) Projections for the Territorial Authority Areas of the
Waikato region 2013-2063, and broader context. Presentation to Waikato Spatial Plan Joint
Committee Meeting, Waikato Regional Council, 15 September.
Jackson, N.O., Cameron, M.C., and Cochrane, W. (2014) 2014 Review: Demographic and Labour Force
Projections for the FutureProof Region 2013 – 2063. Presentation to FutureProof CEAG/SIMG
Meeting, Hamilton City Council. 25 July.
Publications and Research Output
Peer Reviewed Journal Articles
Bedford, R.D. and Liu, L. (2013) Parents in New Zealand’s Family
Sponsorship Policy: A preliminary assessment of the
impact of the 2012 policy changes. New Zealand
Population Review 38: 25-49.
Bedford, R.D. and Spoonley, P. (2014) Competing for talent:
Diffusion of an innovation in New Zealand’s immigration
policy. International Migration Review 48(3): 891-911.
Cameron, M.P., and Roskruge, M. (2014). Labour force
participation and wellbeing among older New Zealanders,
Policy Quarterly, 10(3), 35-41.
Celbis G, Nijkamp P and Poot J (2014) Infrastructure and Trade: A
Meta-Analysis. Region: The Journal of ERSA, 1(1): 25-64.
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Churchill, B., Denny, L., and Jackson, N.O. (2014). Thank God you’re here: The coming generation and
their role in future proofing Australia from the challenges of population ageing. Australian
Journal of Social Issues, 49(3): 373-392.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Sub-national depopulation in search of a theory – towards a diagnostic framework.
New Zealand Population Review 40.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Demographic change and some observations for the New Zealand Dairy Industry.
Primary Industry Management Journal (in press).
Koopman-Boyden, P. and Moosa, S (2014) Living alone as a lifestyle
of older people in New Zealand: Policy implications, Policy
Quarterly 10(3): 54-59.
Kukutai, T., Thompson, T., and McMillan, R. (2014) Whither the
census? Continuity and change in census methodologies
globally, 1985-2014, Journal of Population Research.
http://dx.doi. 10.1007/s12546-014-9139-z.
Moosa, S. and Koopman-Boyden, P. (2015). A method for recruiting
older participants from isolated islands of small island
developing states (SIDS) for survey research. Field
Methods, Advance online
publication. http://dx.doi.org/1525822X15579010.
Ozgen C, Peters C, Niebuhr A, Nijkamp, P., and Poot, J. (2014) Does cultural diversity of migrant
employees affect innovation? International Migration Review, 48(S1): 377-416.
Pool, I. (2014) Health implications of ethnic and gender gaps in survival: A cohort analysis, New Zealand
Population Review, 40: 41-61.
Wang H, Yan J, Kourtit K, Nijkamp P and Poot J (2014) Spatial-temporal differentiation of the carrying
capacity of cities: a case study of Hunan Province, China. Regional Science Policy & Practice, 6(4):
383-394.
Non-Refereed Journal Articles
Poot, J. (2014) The Migration Rollercoaster and House Prices; a Tenuous Link. Insight. Asia
New Zealand Foundation. http://asianz.org.nz/newsroom/insight
Books and Chapters in Books
Bedford, R.D. (2014) Patrones contemporaneous de la migracion international. In Opeskin, B.,
Perruchoud R., and J. Redpath-Cross (eds) Las Bases del Derecho International Sobre Migracion.
Geneva: International Organisation for Migration, 19-61.
Cameron, M. P. (2014) Labour force participation among older New Zealanders, 1991-2013. In
Koopman-Boyden, P., Cameron, M. P., Davey, J., and Richardson, M. (eds) Making active ageing a
reality: Maximising participation and contribution by older people. Hamilton, New Zealand:
University of Waikato pp. 109-131.
P a g e | 43
Campbell, J.R. and Bedford, R.D. (2014) Migration and climate change in Oceania. In Piguet E. and
Laczko F. (eds) People on the Move in a Changing Climate. The Regional Impact of Environmental
Change on Migration. Dordrecht: Springer, pp. 177-204.
Cochrane W and Poot J (2014) Demand-driven theories and models of regional growth. In Fischer, M.
and Nijkamp P. (eds) Handbook of Regional Science. Berlin: Springer Verlag, pp. 259-276.
Koopman-Boyden, P., Cameron, M. P., Davey, J., and Richardson, M. (2014) Making active ageing a reality:
Maximising participation and contribution by older people. Hamilton, New Zealand: University of
Waikato. https://www.google.co.nz/#q=making+active+ageing+a+reality
Koopman-Boyden, P. (2014) A meaningful life for older people who live alone. In Koopman-Boyden, P.,
Cameron, M. P., Davey, J., and Richardson, M. (eds) Making active ageing a reality: Maximising
participation and contribution by older people. Hamilton, New Zealand: University of Waikato pp.
1-41.
Kukutai, T. (2013) The structure of urban Māori identities. In Peters E. and Andersen C. (eds), Indigenous
in the City: Contemporary identities and cultural innovation (pp.311-333). Vancouver: UBC Press.
Kukutai, T and Pool, I (2014) From common colonization to internal segmentation: Rethinking
Indigenous demography in New Zealand. In Trovato, F and Romaniuk, A. Aboriginal Populations:
Social, Demographic and Epidemiologic Perspectives, Edmonton, Alta, University of Alberta Press:
441-68.
Matlaba VJ, Holmes M, McCann P., and Poot, J. (2014) Classic and spatial shift-share analysis of statelevel employment change in Brazil. In Kourtit, K., Nijkamp, P., and Stimson, R. (eds) Applied
Regional Growth and Innovation Models. Berlin: Springer-Verlag, pp. 139-172.
Poot, J. (2014) Meta-analysis of previous empirical research findings. In Stimson, R. (ed.) Handbook of
Research Methods and Applications in Spatially Integrated Social Science. Cheltenham UK:
Edward Elgar, pp. 236-262.
Papers in Published Conference Proceedings
Bhattacharyya, S., Roskruge, M.J., Pasupati, S., Devlin, G., Smyth D., Webster, M., and Ruygrok, P. (2014)
Replacement in moderate to high risk patients with severe symptomatic aortic stenosis in New
Zealand. American Heart Association Conference. Chicago, USA.
Bhattacharyya, S., Roskruge, M.J., Haynes, S., Ramanathan, T., Webster, M., and Ruygrok, P. (2014). Cost
effectiveness of transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) for patients with severe
symptomatic aortic stenosis in New Zealand. Cardiac Society of Australia and New Zealand
conference. Dunedin, New Zealand.
Poot, J. (2014) The Dutch in New Zealand: Past, present and future. In: Home abroad: A profile of the Dutch
Diaspora in New Zealand. Proceedings of the Conference on Dutch Diaspora in Australia and New
Zealand, 15 November 2013. Wellington: New Zealand-Netherlands Foundation, pp. 7-18.
Roskruge, M.J., Poot, J., and Grimes, A. (2014) Social capital formation among migrants: Evidence from three
waves of the New Zealand General Social Survey. North American Regional Conference. Washington
DC. USA.
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Technical and Commissioned Research Reports
Bedford, R.D., Burson, B. and Bedford C.E. (2014) Compendium of legislation and institutional
arrangements for labour migration in Pacific Island Countries. Suva: ILO Office for Pacific Island
Countries, 68 pp. ( http://www.ilo.org/suva/what-we-do/publications/WCMS_304002/lang-en/index.htm)
Cameron, M.P., Jackson, N.O., and Cochrane, W. (2014). Baseline and stochastic population projections for
the Territorial Authorities of the Waikato Region for the period 2013 – 2063. Research report
commissioned by Waikato Shared Services, Hamilton: National Institute for Demographic and
Economic Analysis, University of Waikato.
Cameron, M.P., and Cochrane, W. (2014). Small-area population, household, and labour force projections
for the Waikato Region to 2051. Research report commissioned by Waikato Regional Council,
Hamilton: University of Waikato.
Cameron, M.P., and Cochrane, W. (2014). Population, household, and labour force projections for the
Waikato Region, 2013-2051. Research report commissioned by Waikato Regional Council,
Hamilton: University of Waikato.
Hawke, G., Bedford, R.D., Kukutai, T., McKinnon, M., Olssen, E. and Spoonley, P. (2014) Our futures: Te Pae
Tawhiti. The 2013 Census and New Zealand’s changing population. Wellington: Royal Society of
New Zealand, 30 pp. (http://www.royalsociety.org.nz/our-futures)
Jackson, N.O. (2014). Auckland: Key demographic trends. NIDEA Briefs No. 1, February. University of
Waikato, National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Bay of Plenty Region and Districts: 1986-2031. NIDEA Demographic Snapshot No. 2.
University of Waikato, Hamilton. National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Jackson, N.O. (2014). Clutha District: Key demographic trends. NIDEA Briefs No. 8, May. University of
Waikato, Hamilton. National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Clutha District: Key demographic trends. NIDEA Demographic Snapshot No. 5.
University of Waikato, Hamilton. National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Northland Region and its Territorial Authorities: Key demographic trends. NIDEA
Demographic Snapshot No. 3. University of Waikato, Hamilton. National Institute of
Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Taranaki Region: Key demographic trends. NIDEA Demographic Snapshot No. 6.
University of Waikato, Hamilton. National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Jackson, N.O. (2014) Taupo District: Key demographic trends. NIDEA Demographic Snapshot No. 4.
University of Waikato, Hamilton. National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Jackson, N.O. (2014). The demographic forces shaping New Zealand’s future – 2013 update. NIDEA Briefs
No. 7, March. University of Waikato, Hamilton. National Institute of Demographic and Economic
Analysis.
Jackson, N.O. (2014). UNISA Region: Key demographic trends. NIDEA Briefs No. 5, March. University of
Waikato, National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis.
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Jackson, N.O. (2014) Waikato Region and Districts 1986-2031. NIDEA Demographic Snapshot No. 1.
University of Waikato, Hamilton. National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Jackson, N. O. and Pawar, S. (2013-2014). A demographic accounting model for New Zealand, Electronic
resource. Nga Tangata Oho Mairangi (MBIE Project). Hamilton, New Zealand: University of
Waikato, National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Jackson, N.O. and Pawar, S. (2014). Waitomo District: Demographic profile 1986-2031. New Zealand
Regional demographic profiles 1986-2031. No. 12. University of Waikato. National Institute of
Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Jackson, N.O. (2014). Greater Wellington and its Territorial Authority Areas: Comparison of key
demographic trends with 2013 Census data. Research report commissioned by the New Zealand
Local Government Commission. Hamilton: National Institute of Demographic and Economic
Analysis, University of Waikato.
Jackson, N.O. (2014). Northland Region and its Territorial Authorities: Demographic profile 1986-2031.
New Zealand Regional demographic profiles 1986-2031(No. 13). Hamilton: National Institute of
Demographic and Economic Analysis, University of Waikato.
Jackson, N.O. (2014). Some informal considerations on the implications of projected demographic change
for the Bay of Plenty’s SmartGrowth Strategy. Addendum to Jackson, N.O., Cameron, M., and
Cochrane, W. Review of Demographic and Labour Force Projections for the Bay of Plenty Region
for the Period 2013 – 2063. National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis,
University of Waikato.
Jackson, N.O., Cameron, M.P., and Cochrane, W. (2014). 2014 review of demographic and labour force
projections for the Waikato Region for the period 2013-2063. Research report commissioned by
Hamilton City Council, Waikato District Council, and Waipa District Council, Hamilton: National
Institute for Demographic and Economic Analysis, University of Waikato.
Jackson, N.O., Cameron, M.P., and Cochrane, W. (2014). 2014 review of demographic and labour force
projections for the Bay of Plenty Region for the period 2013-2063. Research report commissioned
by the SmartGrowth Implementation and Management Group, Hamilton: National Institute for
Demographic and Economic Analysis, University of Waikato.
McPherson, M. (2014). Current trends for teen births in New Zealand. Commissioned Report. Hamilton,
New Zealand: University of Waikato, National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Pawar, S. (2014). Socio-demographic profile of the St John Bay of Plenty Area Committee District.
Commissioned Report. Hamilton, New Zealand: University of Waikato, National Institute of
Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Pawar, S. (2014). Socio-demographic profile of the St John Central Area Committee District. Commissioned
Report. Hamilton, New Zealand: University of Waikato, National Institute of Demographic and
Economic Analysis.
Pawar, S. (2014). Socio-demographic profile of the St John East Coast Area Committee District.
Commissioned Report. Hamilton, New Zealand: University of Waikato, National Institute of
Demographic and Economic Analysis.
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Pawar, S. (2014). Socio-demographic profile of the St John Lakes Area Committee District. Commissioned
Report. Hamilton, New Zealand: University of Waikato, National Institute of Demographic and
Economic Analysis.
Pawar, S. (2014). Socio-demographic profile of the St John North Waikato Area Committee District.
Commissioned Report. Hamilton, New Zealand: University of Waikato, National Institute of
Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Pawar, S. (2014). Socio-demographic profile of the St John Taranaki Area Committee District.
Commissioned Report. Hamilton, New Zealand: University of Waikato, National Institute of
Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Pawar, S. (2014). Socio-demographic profile of the St John Waipa/King Country Area Committee District.
Commissioned Report. Hamilton, New Zealand: University of Waikato, National Institute of
Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Pawar, S. (2014). Socio-demographic profile of the St John Greater Wellington/Horowhenua and
Wairarapa Area Committee Districts. Commissioned Report. Hamilton, New Zealand: University
of Waikato, National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis.
Pawar, S. and Jackson, N.O. (2014). Te Wānanga o Aotearoa: Part A: Demographic trends and potential
Tauira demand. Hamilton: National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis, University
of Waikato.
Pawar, S. and Jackson, N. (2014). Update on the regional and national trends in teen births. Commissioned
Report. Hamilton, New Zealand: University of Waikato, National Institute of Demographic and
Economic Analysis.
Pawar, S., McMillan, R., & Jackson, N.O. (2014). Te Wānanga o Aotearoa – PART B: Industry and
occupation trends. Hamilton: National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis,
University of Waikato.
Pawar, S., and Roskruge, M.J. (2014). Socio-demographic profile of the St John Central Region.
Commissioned Report. University of Waikato, National Institute of Demographic and Economic
Analysis.
Pool, I., Jackson, N.O., and Cochrane, B. (2014) Modern sub-national demographic declines: Their
characteristics, determinants and antecedents, April 20th.
Roskruge, M.J. and Pawar, S. (2014). Southland Region labour market assessment. Commissioned Report.
Hamilton, New Zealand: University of Waikato, National Institute of Demographic and Economic
Analysis.
Discussion and Working Papers
Arribas-Bel D, Nijkamp., P. and Poot, J. (2014) How diverse can spatial measures of cultural diversity be?
Results from monte carlo simulations of an agent-based model. CReAM Discussion Paper No.
22/14. Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration, University College London. Also available
as .IZA Discussion Paper No. 8251. IZA Institute for the Study of Labor, Bonn.Pp. 26.
P a g e | 47
Cameron, M.P. (2014). Labour force participation among older New Zealanders, 1991-2013. Working
Paper in Economics 14/06, Department of Economics, University of Waikato, Hamilton.
Celbis G, Nijkamp, P., and Poot, J. (2014) Infrastructure and the international export performance of
Turkish regions. UNU-MERIT Working Paper Series #2014-021. Maastricht Economic and social
Research institute on Innovation and Technology. Maastricht University, The Netherlands.
Pool, I. (2014). Modern sub-national demographic declines: their characteristics, determinants and
antecedents. Discussion Paper.
Pool, I. (2014). Field report number one: comparative case-study, Republic of South Africa. Discussion
Paper.
Pool, I. (2014). Field report number two: comparative case-study, France. Discussion Paper.
Media Interviews and Citations
Professor Natalie Jackson
27.04.2014 (Sunday Star Times) Quotes in a discussion about Auckland’s public health system
http://www.knowledgebasket.co.nz.ezproxy.waikato.ac.nz/search/doc_view.php?d2=ffxfast/text/2014/04/27/A00608
4624302-AV.html
14.05.2014 (Waikato Times) Reference to speaking at meeting to discuss the amalgamation of Councils
http://www.stuff.co.nz/waikato-times/9937710/Combined-councils-sought
17.07.2014 (Nelson Mail) Quotes on Councils shrinking and ageing populations
http://www.stuff.co.nz/nelson-mail/news/10277589/Mayor-We-can’t-do-everythingeverywhere
17.07.2014 (Timaru Herald). Quotes on Councils’ shrinking and ageing populations
http://www.stuff.co.nz/timaru-herald/news/national/10275393/Red-zoned-provinces
18.07.2014 (Dominion Post) Quotes on Councils shrinking and ageing populations
http://www.stuff.co.nz/dominion-post/comment/editorials/10280382/Editorial-New-lifeemerges-out-of-the-gloom
21.07.2014 (insurance news.com.au) Reference to discussion at Insurance Council NZ annual conference
to address population change http://www.insurancenews.com.au/the-professional/icnz-toaddress-population-change
22.09.2014 (Waikato Times) Comments to Elton Smallman on Waipa district’s growing and older
population.
Professor Peggy Koopman-Boyden
13.03.2014 (Waikato Times) Economic recovery tops reader’s worry list
http://www.stuff.co.nz/waikato-times/news/9834589/Economic-recovery-tops-readersworry-list
P a g e | 48
17.03.2014 (Waikato Times) Comments to Elton Smallman on the impacts of the NZ economy for older
persons http://www.stuff.co.nz/waikato-times/news/9834589/Economic-recovery-topsreaders-worry-list
18.03.2014 (Waikato Times) Comments to Aaron Lehman on the need for a sports centre in an ageing
Waikato http://www.stuff.co.nz/waikato-times/news/9838022/Ageing-Waikato-will-stillneed-sports-centres-expert
18.04.2014 (Waikato Times) Panel aims to make Hamilton ‘age-friendly’
http://www.stuff.co.nz/waikato-times/news/9958306/Aim-to-make-Hamilton-age-friendly.
Professor Jacques Poot
06.01.2014 (New Zealand Geographic) Interview with Greg Bruce on the changing face of cities in New
Zealand
26.02.2014 (Purdue University News) News item at Purdue University regarding research jointly with
Purdue colleagues on the “brain waste” among highly educated immigrants
http://www.purdue.edu/newsroom/releases/2014/Q1/purdue-research-lots-of-brain-wasteamong-highly-educated-immigrants.html
15.04.2014 (Country TV) Interview with John Watson on rural population decline in NZ and around the
world
22.05.2014 (TV3) Interview with Michael Wilson on the decline in trans-Tasman emigration and the
increase in return migration
27.05.2014 (NZ Herald) Query from Simon Collins regarding the declining geographic mobility of the
population aged 15 and over, despite growth in the number of transients
16.06.2014 (NZ Herald) Query from Nicholas Jones regarding a new Ministry of Education report, which
compares earnings of male and female graduates
06.08.2014 (Herald on Sunday) Query regarding the top surnames of babies being born in NZ reflecting
the growing cultural diversity
28.11.2014 (NZ Herald) Query from Geoff Cumming regarding the record Trans-Tasman return
migration.
Dr Tahu Kukutai
06.01.2014 (Radio New Zealand) Māori in the 2013 census.
Panel discussion on Outspoken with Rosemary Rangitauira.
http://www.radionz.co.nz/national/programmes/outspoken
22.01.2014 (New Zealand Herald) Isolation drives Kiwi flight plans.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11189947
17.03.2014 (New Zealand Herald) Closing the gaps: the great ethnic job divide
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11220647
19.03.2014 (Waatea News) Still wasting the demographic dividend.
http://www.waateanews.com//play_podcast?podlink=MTYzMDE
P a g e | 49
21.03.2014 (SBS News) Is the Māori-Australian dream all it’s cracked up to be? SBS News.
http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/2014/03/21/Māori-australian-dream-all-its-cracked-be
31.03.2014 (Asia NZ Foundation) Comments on New Zealanders growing desire to learn about Asian
cultures and languages http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/CU1403/S00528/growing-desire-tolearn-about-asian-cultures-and-languages.htm
2.07.2014 (New Zealand Herald) Young Māori to change face of NZ.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11285722
28.08.2014 (Waikato Times) Census shows more Māori identify tribal affiliations.
http://www.stuff.co.nz/waikato-times/10431990/Census-shows-more-Māori-identify-tribalaffiliations
31.10.2014 (Waatea News) Te Ao Hurihuri launched
https://secure.zeald.com/uma/play_podcast/x_podlink/MjM2MTI=/
15.11.2014 (Radio New Zealand) Saturday morning with Kim
http://www.radionz.co.nz/national/programmes/saturday/20141115.
Emeritus Professor Ian Pool
11.01.2014 (NZ Herald) Query from Natalie Akoorie on delayed partnering in NZ
15.08.2014 (Radio NZ) Interview with Kathryn Ryan on what’s behind the big jump in population
23.11.2014 (Dominion Post) Quotes taken from The New Zealand Family from 1840: A Demographic
History, on changes in family formation in NZ http://www.stuff.co.nz/lifestyle/life/63456626/The-facts-of-life-half-a-century-of-change.
Dr Mervyl McPherson
03.03.2014 (National Geographic) Comments on a more ethnically diverse, tolerant and unequal NZ
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/PO1403/S00012/the-surprising-truth.htm.
Dr Bill Cochrane
07.02.2014 (Waikato Times) Comments to Danielle Heyns on inequality in NZ.
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NIDEA staff and members gratefully acknowledge the work of
Moana Rarere (Research Officer) and Caitriona Gyde (Administration Manager)
in collating and preparing this report.