2014 MARTIN MARIETTA MATERIALS FINAL TECHNICAL REPORT REVIEW OF DRAFT AIR QUALITY PERMIT 13LR2446 Prepared for: LARIMER COUNTY ENVIRONMENTAL & SCIENCE ADVISORY BOARD AND CITY OF FORT COLLINS AIR QUALITY ADVISORY BOARD Prepared by: D. HOWARD GEBHART Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 1901 Sharp Point Drive, Suite E Fort Collins, Colorado 80525 Telephone: 970-484-7941 Fax: 970-484-3423 August 2014 TABLE OF CONTENTS Section Page 1.0 1-1 1-1 1-1 1-3 2-1 2-1 2-2 3-1 3-1 3-4 4-1 4-1 4-2 5-1 6-1 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 Introduction 1.1 Background 1.2 Overview of Martin Marietta Asphalt Plant Site 1.3 Site Characteristics Review of Emission Estimates 2.1 Criteria Air Pollutants 2.2 Hazardous Air Pollutants Review of Dispersion Modeling 3.1 APCD Modeling Studies 3.2 Additional HAP Modeling Analysis Reasonably Available Control Technology 4.1 RACT for VOC Emissions 4.2 RACT for CO Emissions Technical Comments on Draft Permit Summary & Conclusion LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1-1 1-2 4-1 Page Martin Marietta Materials Google Earth Image MMM Asphalt Batch Plant Image of Recycle Air Collection Point at MMM Asphalt Plant 1-2 1-3 4-2 LIST OF TABLES Table 2-1 2-2 3-1 3-2 3-3 3-4 3-5 3-6 4-1 Page MMM Emissions (ton/year) MMM Emissions (lbs/year) 1-Hour Averages CO Impact 8-Hour Average CO Impacts Location of Public Receptors near MMM MMM HAP Modeling Results – Acute Impacts MMM HAP Modeling Results – Chronic Impacts Background HAP Levels – Fort Collins, Colorado RBLC Query Results: Asphalt Concrete Manufacturing Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 2-1 2-2 3-2 3-2 3-5 3-6 3-7 3-8 4-3 i 1.0 1.1 INTRODUCTION Background Martin Marietta Materials (MMM) operates a hot mix asphalt plant at 1800 North Taft Hill Road, located within Larimer County, Colorado (County) and just outside the limits for the City of Fort Collins (City). The County and City have requested the services of a qualified environmental consultant to review the draft MMM air quality permit issued for public notice by the Colorado Air Pollution Control Division (APCD) and provide input to the County’s Environmental and Science Advisory Board (ESAB) and the City’s Air Quality Advisory Board (AQAB). The ESAB and AQAB will be responsible for considering the draft permit and providing any recommendations for submitting official comments on the draft permit by either the County or City. Air Resource Specialists, Inc. (ARS) has been selected by the County and City to assist in the MMM draft permit review. ARS has been assigned the following work, which is documented in this technical report. Review Draft Air Permit and Permit Conditions Review Air Emissions Inventory that supports the MMM Draft Permit Review Air Dispersion Modeling that supports the MMM Draft Permit Assess Potential Public Health Impacts of Hazardous Air Pollutant(HAP) Emissions Summarize Findings in a Technical Report Present Findings to a Meeting(s) of the EASB and AQAB In essence, this study is a “review of the review” conducted by APCD. The study objectives are to confirm that APCD’s technical analysis supporting the permit decision is based on sound science and standard regulatory practice. Also, ARS’ review is designed to ensure that the issued permit is protective of public health and the environment. The technical review work by Air Resource Specialists, Inc. (ARS) is described in this report and has been jointly funded by the County and City. A single report has been prepared that documents the results of the ARS studies. 1.2 Overview of MMM Asphalt Plant Site According to MMM, mining and processing for aggregate materials has been conducted at the North Taft Hill Road site since the 1950s. MMM acquired the asphalt plant site in 2011. The current asphalt plant was relocated to the site under the authority of a “portable source” permit. Under Colorado Air Pollution Control Commission Regulation #3, an emissions unit can remain at a single site for only 18 months under a “portable source” permit. MMM wishes to permanently locate the asphalt plant at the present site and as such, has requested a “stationary source” permit pursuant to Regulation #3 from the APCD. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 1-1 The MMM asphalt plant site is located at 1800 North Taft Hill Road, Fort Collins, CO. On the west side of Taft Hill Road, MMM operates additional aggregate mining and processing operations. An image of the asphalt plant site from Google Earth is shown as Figure 1-1. Figure 1-1. Martin Marietta Materials Google Earth Image. *Indicates the MMM Asphalt Location According to materials provided by MMM, the plant produces “warm mix” asphalt, which is a combination of liquid asphalt cement, aggregate, sand, asphalt binder, and recycled asphalt pavement (RAP). Based on claims by MMM, a “warm mix” plant operates at temperatures of less than 300 degrees F, which is 30-70 degrees F cooler than a more conventional “hot mix” plant. The “warm mix” plant consumes about 20% less fuel. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 1-2 Figure 1-2 shows a typical asphalt batch plant. Figure 1-2. Asphalt Batch Plant (provided by MMM). At the Taft Hill Road asphalt plant, the air emissions are routed through a fabric filter emissions control system, also known as a baghouse, before existing through a stack located at the edge of the baghouse. The fabric filter dust collector is primarily a control device for removal of particulate matter (PM) emissions and is required to meet the emissions limitations in the applicable New Source Performance Standards (NSPS) at 40 CFR 60 Subpart I. During a visit to the facility, ARS confirmed that the baghouse is present to control emissions and appears to be working effectively based on the lack of visible emissions in the stack exhaust. ARS staff also observed additional pollution abatement measures not listed in the draft MMM permit. First, there is a collection point along the product conveyor leading to the asphalt storage silos that routes volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions lost through the conveyor back to the asphalt plant burner for destruction. Also, MMM has installed condensers to collect VOC emissions lost at the liquid asphalt storage tanks. Some of the collected VOC may also be regulated as hazardous air pollutants (HAPs). 1.3 Site Characteristics The immediate MMM plant site is rural in character, with some residential housing to the south. The City of Fort Collins Poudre River Trail also abuts the MMM property on the south side, with a parking lot for trail access along Taft Hill Road to the immediate south of the MMM property. The Lincoln Middle School (operated by the Poudre School District) lies about 1 kilometer (km) southeast of the MMM plant site. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 1-3 2.0 2.1 REVIEW OF EMISSION ESTIMATES Criteria Air Pollutants Table 2-1 summarizes the emissions data for the main stack at the MMM asphalt plant, as determined by the APCD and summarized in the draft permit. Stack Fugitive Total PM 5.4 3.7 9.1 PM10 1.8 0.9 2.7 Table 2-1 MMM Emissions (ton/year) PM2.5 NOX 1.3 6.5 0.1 1.4 SO2 0.8 VOC 7.6 CO 72.2 ARS confirmed that MMM emissions listed above were determined using the maximum production rate in the permit of 475,000 tons/yr. For NOX, VOCs, and SO2, the emissions were calculated using the AP-42 emission factors for drum mix hot mix asphalt plants fired on natural gas. These emission factors and the AP-42 citation are listed below: NOX: 0.026 lb/ton, AP-42, Table 11.1-7 SO2: 0.0034 lb/ton, AP-42, Table 11.1-7 VOC: 0.032 lb/ton, AP-42, Table 11.1-8 For CO emissions, the AP-42 factor is 0.13 lb/ton, but MMM has requested CO emissions equal to 0.291 lb/ton when combusting natural gas and 0.40 lb/ton when combusting liquefied petroleum gas (LPG or propane). The reason for the higher CO emissions at the MMM asphalt plant were not documented in the materials released to the public which accompanied the draft permit. In response to ARS questions, APCD’s explanation for this discrepancy is a claim that historical experience shows that the AP-42 CO factor is too low based on emissions testing at other asphalt plants. For additional discussion of the CO emissions, please refer to Section 4, Reasonably Available Control Technology. The PM emissions were calculated by APCD and differ somewhat from the AP-42 values. AP-42 lists uncontrolled emission factors for PM and PM10 of 28 lb/ton and 6.5 lb/ton respectively (See AP-42, Table 11.1-3). The Division’s PM factor is close to AP-42 (27.916 vs. 28 lb/ton) and the Division’s PM10 factor exceeds the AP-42 value by a small amount (8.3748 lb/ton vs. 6.5 lb/ton). PM2.5 is not directly tabulated in AP-42, but AP-42 Table 11.1-4 lists the particle size distributions from asphalt plant drum mix dryers, and gives a PM2.5 fraction of 5.5% for the uncontrolled emissions. When these data are applied to the AP-42 uncontrolled PM factor (28 lb/ton), the derived PM2.5 factor is 1.54 lb/ton. APCD calculated 2.3476 lb/ton for the draft permit. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 2-1 The technical basis for the Division’s emission calculations for PM, PM10, and PM2.5 were not provided in the materials released to the public which accompanied the draft permit. However, subsequent correspondence with APCD staff indicates that the Division’s PM estimates were based on the grain loading from the applicable New Source Performance Standard (NSPS) which is 0.04 gr/dscf. This is a reasonable approach as the PM emissions are then consistent with the proposed permit limit. 2.2 Hazardous Air Pollutants (HAPs) Table 2-2 summarizes the HAP emissions calculated by APCD for the MMM facility. Please note that HAP emissions are reported in pounds whereas the other pollutant emissions are listed in tons. All HAPs documented in the APCD materials are released at the asphalt plant baghouse stack. Acetaldehyde 618 Formaldehyde 1,473 Table 2-2 MMM Emissions (lbs/year) Toluene Benzene Ethylbenzene 1,378 185 114 Quinone 76 HCl 95 ARS confirmed that the MMM HAP emissions listed above were determined using the maximum production rate in the permit of 475,000 tons/yr. HAP emissions listed for benzene, ethylbenzene, and formaldehyde match the AP-42 data for emissions from a natural gas-fired drum mix asphalt plant (AP-42, Table 11.1-10). These factors are as follows: benzene (0.0039 lb/ton), ethylbenzene (0.00024 lb/ton), and formaldehyde (0.0031 lb/ton). The APCD toluene factor (derived from the APCD’s emissions estimate) is 0.0029 lb/ton, compared to the AP-42 factor of 0.00015 lb/ton. The toluene factor used by APCD is the AP-42 factor for an asphalt plant fired on #2 fuel oil, so it appears that APCD may have used this factor by mistake instead of the natural gas factor. After correcting for this error, the toluene emissions would be reduced from 1,378 lb/yr to 71 lb/yr. In the draft permit, APCD also listed HAP emissions for acetaldehyde, quinone, and hydrochloric acid (HCl); however, these emissions are not included within the published AP-42 emissions data. In later correspondence with ARS, APCD acknowledged that the data were listed in error and the expectation is that the estimates for these particular HAP pollutants will be dropped when the final permit is released. There are also other HAPs listed in the AP-42 data (AP-42, Table 11.1-10) that have emissions comparable to the HAPs where emissions were calculated by APCD. These HAPs are hexane (0.00092 lb/ton), xylene (0.00020 lb/ton), and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons or PAHs (0.00019 lb/ton). The most prevalent PAHs based on AP-42 data are naphthalene and 2-methylnaphthalene. It is unknown why these HAPs were not considered given that the emissions are comparable to other HAPs where emissions were tabulated by APCD. At the maximum permitted production rate of 475,000 tons per year, the resulting emissions would be: hexane 437 lb/yr, xylene 95 lb/yr, and PAHs 90 lb/yr. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 2-2 3.0 3.1 REVIEW OF DISPERSION MODELING APCD Modeling Studies APCD conducted air quality dispersion modeling for CO emissions using the US Environmental Protection Agency (US EPA) AERSCREEN model (Version 11126). AERSCREEN is a simple “screening” model tool that predicts the worst-case concentration expected from a single emission source over a wide range of possible meteorological dispersion conditions. Based on ARS’ review of the modeling documents provided by APCD, it has been determined that the modeling was done correctly and followed the applicable regulatory guidelines governing air quality dispersion modeling (40 CFR 51 Appendix W). If anything, for reasons explained below, the modeling results are likely to be a significant overestimate of the actual CO impacts which might be realistically expected for the MMM asphalt plant. These conservatisms are especially pronounced for the 8-hour CO concentration modeling. For the APCD modeling, the CO emission rate was set to 160 lb/hr, which equals the expected CO emission rate at the maximum capacity of the asphalt plant (400 ton per hour) when operating on LPG (emissions of 0.4 lb/ton). AERSCREEN returns the worst-case expected concentration for an averaging time of 1-hour by calculating the expected concentrations from the emission source under a wide array of different meteorological dispersion conditions. The 1-hour concentration predicted by AERSCREEN is then adjusted to other averaging times using an EPA-recommended scaling factor. The 1-hour average AERSCREEN result was converted to an 8-hour average by APCD for comparison with the 8-hour National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) using a scaling factor of 0.9. The AERSCREEN modeling result is also added to a “background” concentration, which accounts for ambient concentrations attributable any regional pollutant sources not explicitly included in the modeling. APCD reports that it used ambient monitoring data collected over the period 2004-2006 at the Fort Collins monitor located near the Colorado State University (CSU) campus to determine the “background”. This is the only ambient CO monitor in the Fort Collins region. APCD’s analysis states that using background data from the Fort Collins monitor likely overstates the real background values at the MMM site and ARS concurs with that assessment. The assumed background level accounts for about 1/3rd of the total ambient CO impact in APCD’s modeling analysis. AERSCREEN also parameterizes “building downwash”, which describes how the airflow around nearby buildings and structures within the plant affect atmospheric dispersion and the resulting pollutant concentrations. There are three (3) structures at MMM that were considered by APCD for these effects: 1) the lime silo adjacent to the baghouse stack, 2) the product silos south of the baghouse stack, and 3) the baghouse structure itself. Since AERSCREEN is limited to addressing only a single building in any given model run, APCD executed the model separately for each of the three building configurations and then selected the worst-case result from these model runs. The AERSCREEN output showed that the building configuration with Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 3-1 the lime silo caused the highest ambient concentrations and was therefore used by APCD for the CO modeling results. AERSCREEN was set such that the minimum source-to-receptor distance modeled was 87 meters, which is the distance from the asphalt plant baghouse stack to the closest property boundary along Taft Hill Road which borders the facility of the west side. ARS confirmed that the 87 meter distance matches the distance from the MMM baghouse stack to the closest property boundary. AERSCREEN was modeled by APCD using a unit emission rate (1.0 grams per second). The modeling results were then adjusted to the actual emission rate (160 lb/hr or 20.18 g/sec) by multiplying the AERSCREEN model output by the emission rate in grams per second. This methodology accounts for the known relationship in the model that concentrations are linearly proportional to the emissions rate. The model results are compared to the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS). The CO NAAQS are: 1 – Hour: 35 ppm (40,000 ug/m3) 8 – Hour: 9 ppm (10,000 ug/m3) AERSCREEN modeling results for the three building configurations are listed below in Tables 3-1 and 3-2 for the 1-hour average and 8-hour average CO concentrations. Table 3-1 1-Hour Average CO Impacts – Martin Marietta Materials Micrograms per cubic meter Building Configuration AERSCREEN Concentration Background Concentration Total Concentration NAAQS Lime Silo 7,203 5,750 12,953 40,000 Product Silo 4,639 5,750 10,389 40,000 Baghouse Building 3,078 5,750 8.828 40,000 Table 3-2 8-Hour Average CO Impacts – Martin Marietta Materials Micrograms per cubic meter Building Configuration AERSCREEN Concentration Background Concentration Total Concentration NAAQS Lime Silo 6,483 3,450 9,933 10,000 Product Silo 4,175 3,450 7,625 10,000 Baghouse Building 2,770 3,450 6,220 10,000 Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 3-2 One can see from the APCD modeling results that the predicted concentration using AERSCREEN complies with the NAAQS for all building scenarios, although the margin of compliance is small for the worst-case 8-hour average impacts. However, there is ample conservatism in the modeling analysis such that there is high confidence that the NAAQS would not be exceeded. The model conservatisms are detailed below. First, one can see that the modeling results are strongly dependent on which building affects the airflow. Predicted AERSCREEN concentrations for the building configurations other than the lime silo produce much lower concentrations compared to the worst-case result. Based on ARS’ review of the actual AERSCREEN modeling output files provided by APCD, the lime silo only affects ambient concentrations when winds are generally in a north-south direction and there is no building effect on concentrations when winds are in an east-west orientation. However, the minimum distance to the property line of 87 meters occurs directly to the west of the baghouse stack, which is a direction where the building effects from the lime silo would be non-existent. So, the worst-case modeling result reported by APCD actually occurs for an unrealistic scenario. The AERSCREEN output file indicates that the worstcase flow vector is 300 degrees, and the distance to the property boundary was calculated to be about 97 meters for that direction. The AERSCREEN modeling results also show that concentrations decrease rapidly as the downwind distance increases. For the AERSCREEN results for 300 degrees at 100 meters, the predicted concentration decreases by about 10 percent, which drops the 8-hour CO level to less than 9,300 micrograms per cubic meter and provides additional compliance margin, assuming that all other model inputs are unchanged. Another important conservatism is that APCD’s modeling is based on the higher short-term emission rate (160 lb/hr) which occurs only when the asphalt plant is fired on LPG. Under normal operations when the unit is fired on natural gas, the maximum allowable emissions would be 0.291 lb/ton or 116.4 lb/hr. LPG is a back-up fuel and limited to no more than40,000 tons per year production under the draft permit (which would equal 100 hours per year of operation at the maximum 400 tph asphalt production rate). If the natural gas CO emissions rate were applied instead, the modeling result would be more than 25% lower, and the resulting 8-hour CO concentration would be somewhere near 8,160 micrograms per cubic meter, assuming that all other model inputs are unchanged. Additional conservatism is introduced by the 0.9 factor used to estimate the 8-hour concentration. First, the meteorological conditions must be relatively persistent at the worst-case dispersion condition for the entire 8-hour period for this factor to provide a realistic modeling result. Second, the asphalt plant must also operate at or near its maximum operating capacity (400 tons per hour) and use LPG fuel for the entire 8-hour period. Neither condition is likely to persist for any consecutive 8-hour period, making the APCD modeling results conservative from that perspective too. Lastly, as indicated previously, the assumed background concentration (which accounts for about 1/3rd of the total CO impact for the worst-case condition) is also a conservative overestimate of the true CO background for the MMM plant site given that the background data Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 3-3 comes from monitoring data at an urban site (downtown Fort Collins) with considerably more vehicular traffic emissions. In summary, the CO modeling results presented by APCD demonstrate compliance with the NAAQS, although compliance is by a small margin for the 8-hour average NAAQS. However, the APCD modeling analysis contains a number of conservative assumptions, all which must occur simultaneously with the worst-case dispersion condition for the predicted impacts to be a realistic depiction of the actual CO impacts. Given that it is unlikely that all of the conservative model assumptions would occur simultaneously, there is high confidence based on the APCD modeling that the NAAQS standards will be achieved in the area surrounding the MMM asphalt batch plant. 3.2 Additional HAP Modeling Analysis At the request of Larimer County and the City of Fort Collins, ARS conducted an assessment of the public health impacts associated with the reported hazardous air pollutant (HAP) emissions from the MMM asphalt plant. This analysis goes beyond the regulatory analysis conducted by APCD given that HAP concentrations in the ambient air are not specifically regulated by the State of Colorado. The HAP modeling analysis was conducted using the modeling results reported for the APCD modeling analysis of CO emissions. The results for each HAP of interest were determined using the APCD unit emissions rate modeling by simply multiplying the APCD AERSCREEN modeling results by the appropriate emissions data for the HAP pollutant of interest. APCD’s analysis reports emissions for the following HAPs: acetaldehyde, formaldehyde, toluene, benzene, ethyl benzene, quinone, and hydrochloric acid. Please note that ARS included acetaldehyde, quinone, and hydrochloric acid in our analysis despite the understanding that APCD has since determined these emissions were listed in error. Also, the ARS HAP modeling is based on the corrected toluene emissions data. The additional HAP modeling was conducted for specific receptors near MMM where people were known to live and/or congregate. The locations are as follows: 1) Residence located near the Poudre River Trail parking lot, 2) Residence on Stonecrest Drive (3rd house west from Taft Hill Road, which was determined to be the closest residence along that street to the MMM asphalt plant emissions stack), and 3) Lincoln Middle School. The UTM coordinates for each of these locations were determined along with the baghouse stack using Google Earth and the distance and azimuth of each receptor point relative to the baghouse stack was calculated using simple geometric relationships. These data are listed below along with the worst-case AERSCREEN result for that receptor based on the unit emission rate APCD modeling (1.0 gram per second). Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 3-4 Table 3-3 Location of Public receptors near MMM Distance (meters) Azimuth (degrees from North) Worst-Case AERSCREEN Model Result (ug/cubic meter) Residence near Trailhead 239 160.2 232.9 Stonecrest Drive (3rd House) 632 194.3 146.7 Lincoln Middle School (NW Corner of school building) 1,130 155.6 13.57 As documented previously, the modeling results considered ambient air quality impacts under three (3) separate scenarios where the influence of nearby buildings and structures were considered. However, not every building scenario influences pollutant transport in all directions. For the purpose of this HAP impact analysis, the model results for a given building scenario were considered only when transport in the direction of the receptor was impacted by that particular building. Then, the worst-case AERSCREEN model result at the distance of the receptor of interest was tabulated and using the remaining AERSCREEN data that result was scaled by the appropriate emissions rate for the HAP pollutant of interest. The HAP modeling analysis prepared by ARS considered both acute (short-term) and chronic (long-term) health effects of the pollutant of interest. For the acute effects analysis, ARS estimated the maximum 1-hour concentration of each HAP and for the chronic effects analysis, ARS estimated the maximum annual average concentrations for each HAP. The annual concentration was scaled from the 1-hour AERSCREEN model prediction using the EPA-recommended factor of 0.1. The modeling results were compared to “safe” concentration levels determined for each HAP pollutant and averaging time. The “safe” concentration level was determined from data reported by USEPA in the document A Preliminary Risk-Based Screening Approach for Air Toxics Monitoring Data Sets (October 2010), including any subsequent updates to the data tables from that report. Where multiple concentration thresholds were listed by USEPA’s Risk-Based Screening Approach, the most conservative threshold, i.e., lowest concentration, was selected provided that the concentration threshold was for the appropriate averaging time. For the acute exposures, the lowest concentration threshold in the USEPA Risk-Based Screening Approach was generally the California “Reference Exposure Level” (REL), which is defined as the expected concentration level for the pollutant of interest below which no adverse health effects are anticipated. Most California RELs are derived for an exposure of one hour and are available online at http://ww.oehha.ca.gov/air/acute_rels/index.html. For ethylbenzene, the most stringent threshold listed is from the Acute Exposure Guideline Levels (AEGL) developed by USEPA’s Office of Prevention, Pesticides, and Toxic Substances. The AEGL-1 is the published threshold for mild health effects. For quinone, the only listed threshold is based on the Immediately Dangerous to Life & Health (IDLH) concentrations divided by a safety factor of 10. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 3-5 The IDLH concentrations were developed by the National Institute for Occupational Safety & Health (NIOSH). The acute HAP modeling results are shown below in Table 3-4 for each receptor of interest. Table 3-4 MMM HAP Modeling Results – Acute Impacts Calculated 1-Hour Average HAP Exposure (micrograms/cubic meter) Pollutant Max Hourly Emissions (g/sec) Acetaldehyde “Safe” Concentration Threshold (micrograms/cubic meter) Receptor: Residence near Trailhead: AERSCREEN = 232.9 ug/ cubic meter Receptor: Stonecrest Drive (3rd House): AERSCREEN = 146.7 ug/ cubic meter Receptor: Lincoln Middle School: AERSCREEN = 13.57 ug/ cubic meter 0.0656 15.3 9.6 0.9 470 Formaldehyde 0.1564 36.4 22.9 2.1 55 Toluene 0.0076 1.8 1.1 0.1 37,000 Benzene 0.0197 4.6 2.9 0.3 1,300 Ethylbenzene 0.0121 2.8 1.8 0.2 140,000 Quinone 0.0081 1.9 1.2 0.1 10,000 Hydrogen Chloride 0.0101 2.3 1.5 0.1 2,100 For the chronic exposure threshold, a “safe” concentration for HAPs rated as a carcinogen was determined based on the unit risk factors published by USEPA in the May 21, 2012 update to Table 1 in the Risk-Based Screening Threshold document and assuming an acceptable excess cancer risk of 1-in-1 million. The potential carcinogens are acetaldehyde, formaldehyde, benzene, and ethylbenzene. For non-carcinogens, the chronic inhalation threshold concentration from the USEPA Risk-Based Screening Threshold document was selected. In the USEPA report, no data are reported for chronic exposures to quinone. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 3-6 The chronic HAP modeling results are reported in Table 3-5 below. Table 3-5 MMM HAP Modeling Results – Chronic Impacts Calculated Annual Average HAP Exposure (micrograms/cubic meter) Pollutant Max Hourly Emissions (g/sec) Acetaldehyde* “Safe” Concentration Threshold (micrograms/cubic meter) Receptor: Residence near Trailhead: AERSCREEN = 232.9 ug/ cubic meter Receptor: Stonecrest Drive (3rd House): AERSCREEN = 146.7 ug/ cubic meter Receptor: Lincoln Middle School: AERSCREEN = 13.57 ug/ cubic meter 0.0089 0.207 0.130 0.012 2.2 Formaldehyde* 0.0212 0.494 0.311 0.029 13 Toluene 0.0010 0.024 0.015 0.001 5,000 Benzene* 0.0027 0.062 0.039 0.004 7.80 Ethylbenzene* 0.0016 0.038 0.024 0.002 2.50 Quinone 0.0011 0.025 0.016 0.001 n/a Hydrogen 0.0014 0.032 0.020 0.002 20 Chloride *Denotes HAP pollutants that are carcinogens. For these pollutants, the “safe” concentration represents the threshold for a 1-in-1 million excess cancer risk. Background concentrations for HAPs were not considered in the above modeling analysis. Generally, background concentrations for HAPs are low compared to the “safe” concentration levels; as such, the inclusion of a background level does not significantly alter the modeling results. Background HAP measurements in Fort Collins were derived from a limited set of samples collected by APCD in July 2006 at a site near the Colorado State University Foothills Campus (3414 West Laporte Avenue). Table 3-6 summarizes the limited HAP measurement data from Fort Collins. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 3-7 Table 3-6 Background HAP Levels – Fort Collins, Colorado Monitoring Data from Three Samples Collected in July 2006 Samples Collected Near Foothills Campus (3414 West Laporte Ave) Pollutant Acetaldehyde Formaldehyde Toluene Benzene Hexane As n-hexane Xylene As m-xylene/ p-xylene Ethylbenzene Sample Concentrations (ppb) Average (ppb) (ug/m3) 2.73 3.55 0.788 0.433 2.41 2.94 0.685 0.395 3.02 4.09 1.01 0.696 2.72 3.53 0.83 0.51 0.276 0.324 0.958 0.52 0.7 0.634 0.725 0.69 2.97 0.226 0.149 0.245 0.21 0.90 MW 4.89 4.32 3.11 1.62 44 30 92 78 1.83 86 106 106 Based on the analysis presented above, the HAP emissions from the MMM Fort Collins asphalt plant have been determined to present no significant risk to public health at nearby receptors frequented by members of the general public. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 3-8 4.0 REASONABLY AVAILABLE CONTROL TECHNOLOGY Because of the MMM location in Fort Collins, emissions control for selected pollutants must meet the regulatory definition of “reasonably available control technology” or RACT. The RACT controls are required for nitrogen oxides (NOX) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs), which are precursors to ozone formation. Fort Collins lies within the Colorado Front Range ozone “non-attainment area”, meaning that existing concentrations for ozone do not comply with the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS). RACT is also triggered for CO emissions at MMM. Fort Collins is a CO “maintenance area”, meaning that Fort Collins was formerly designated as non-attainment for CO, but is currently in attainment with the NAAQS. The definition of Reasonably Available Control Technology (RACT) is found in the Colorado Air Quality Control Commission Common Provisions Regulation: Technology that will achieve the maximum degree of emission control that a particular source is capable of meeting and that is reasonably available considering technological and economic feasibility. It may require technology that has been applied to similar, but not necessarily identical, source categories. It is not intended that extensive research and development be conducted before a given control technology can be applied to the source. This does not preclude requiring a short-term evaluation program to permit the application of a given technology to a particular type of source. This report section contains additional information about the proposed MMM controls and considers whether the proposed emission controls listed in the permit constitute RACT. The ARS report covers only VOC and CO emissions. NOX emissions were not reviewed because these emissions are already low (NOX emitted at the MMM asphalt plant only totals 6.5 tons per year) and as such there would be little perceived environmental benefit associated with improved NOX emission controls. 4.1 RACT for VOC Emissions As mentioned previously, MMM has implemented certain voluntary measures aimed at curbing VOC and HAP emissions which have not been explicitly required in the draft air quality permit. These measures are: Collecting exhaust air from the asphalt product conveyer and recycling this air to the asphalt plant burner for destruction of any associated VOCs and/or HAPs. Installation of vapor condensers on the liquid asphalt tanks. Figure 4-1 shows a picture of the recycle air collection point on the MMM asphalt product conveyor. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 4-1 Figure 4-1. Image of Recycle Air Collection Point at MMM Asphalt Plant Because the above controls have been voluntarily implemented by MMM, it is reasonable to conclude that these measures are reasonably available considering technological and economic feasibility, which is the legal definition of RACT under Colorado’s air quality regulations. The MMM draft air quality permit should be revised to legally require the installation and operation of MMM’s voluntary VOC/HAP pollution control measures as RACT. 4.2 RACT for CO Emissions The draft MMM air permit has established CO emission limits equal to 0.291 lb/ton when the asphalt plant is fired on natural gas and 0.40 lb/ton when the asphalt plant is fired on back-up LPG fuel. As noted above, the AP-42 CO factor for natural gas-fired drum mix asphalt plants is Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 4-2 0.13 lb/ton. APCD staff stated to ARS that they believe that the CO AP-42 emissions are not technically achievable and as such, the proposed CO emissions (0.291 lb/ton and 0.40 lb/ton) are RACT because additional emission controls are not cost-effective. However, the MMM permit and APCD’s supporting technical information provided to the public do not provide any substantive support for this RACT claim. Based on the permit record, there is no evidence that APCD in fact evaluated the technical feasibility and cost of any alternative emission controls for the CO RACT analysis. The fact that AP-42 data present significantly lower CO emissions (0.13 lb/ton) suggests that better CO control is indeed technically achievable and likely has been achieved in practice at other asphalt plants. Given this finding, a technical and economic review of improved CO controls should have been performed for the MMM draft permit. Without such an analysis, the CO RACT analysis is deficient. At the request of the AQAB and ESAB, ARS conducted a review of other asphalt plant permits to determine if lower CO emissions are in fact technically achievable. ARS conducted a query using the USEPA RACT/BACT/LAER Clearinghouse (RBLC) that turned up emissions data for two asphalt plants located in Clark County, Nevada (Las Vegas). These data are summarized in Table 4-1. It should be noted that both asphalt plants listed in the RBLC were subject to “best available control technology” (BACT) as the applicable emissions standard and not RACT. However, the selection of lower CO emissions to meet BACT requirements documents the technical feasibility of improved CO emissions control and as such, mandates that such controls be considered as RACT. Table 4-1 RBLC Query Results: Asphalt Concrete Manufacturing Source ID Nellis Air Force Base Aggregate Industries – Sloan Quarry RBLC ID NV-0047 NV-0045 CO Permit Limit (BACT) 0.13 lb/ton, 16.25 lb/hr 0.10 lb/ton, 45.0 lb/hr ARS also located four recent USEPA permits for asphalt plants located on tribal lands in the western United States. These permits are: Pioneer Asphalt, Inc. – Permit R10NT502400 (Draft) Granite Construction Company – Permit R10NT502300 (9/19/2012) Knife River, Inc. – Permit R10NT502200 (9/19/2012) Mickelsen Construction, Inc. – Permit R10NT502501 (Draft) For all of the USEPA permits listed above, the CO emissions control was not subject to RACT, BACT, or any other emissions standard. Nevertheless, all permits were issued based on CO emissions at 0.13 lb/ton, which equals the AP-42 emissions value for a natural gas-fired drum mix asphalt plant. However, none of the USEPA permits appear to have required emissions testing for CO, so it is unknown if the 0.13 lb/ton emissions level was actually achieved in practice at any of these facilities. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 4-3 In summary, for those cases where asphalt plant emissions control data are posted in the RBLC and in other asphalt plant permits issued by USEPA Region X, the CO emissions are significantly lower than the RACT limit established by APCD in the MMM draft permit. The APCD RACT analysis is deficient without a detailed evaluation of CO emission control options that might lead to better emissions control and lower allowable CO emissions under the permit. A review of asphalt plant permits issued elsewhere would suggest that improved CO controls are technically achievable, so control options to achieve improved CO controls should have been evaluated by APCD for application as RACT. There is no evidence in the MMM permit record that such an analysis was conducted. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 4-4 5.0 TECHNICAL COMMENTS ON DRAFT PERMIT This section summarizes possible comments that might be offered by Larimer County and/or the City of Fort Collins with respect to the proposed Martin Marietta Materials asphalt plant permit. HAP Emissions: It appears that the draft permit used the AP-42 toluene factor for drum mix asphalt plants fired on #2 fuel oil. The AP-42 factors for natural gas drum mix asphalt plants were used to calculate HAP emissions for other pollutants. This appears to be an oversight and should be corrected. There are also other HAPs listed in the AP-42 data (AP-42, Table 11.1-10) that have emissions comparable to the HAPs where emissions were calculated. These HAPs are hexane (0.00092 lb/ton), xylene (0.00020 lb/ton), and PAHs (0.00019 lb/ton). It is unknown why these HAPs were not considered by APCD given that the emissions are comparable to other HAPs where emissions were tabulated. General Comment: In assessing the asphalt plant, the APCD appears to have considered only the emissions directly related to the asphalt plant in its analysis. However, MMM owns and operates other air emission sources in the immediate vicinity of the asphalt plant, including an aggregate materials mining and processing operation on the west side of Taft Hill Road immediately to the west of the asphalt plant. Under the Clean Air Act, a “source” is defined as “Any building, structure, facility, equipment, or installation, or any combination thereof belonging to the same industrial grouping that emit or may emit any air pollutant subject to regulation under the Federal Act that is located on one or more contiguous or adjacent properties and that is owned or operated by the same person or by persons under common control.” MMM’s other aggregate processing activities located across Taft Hill Road are located on “contiguous or adjacent properties” and should therefore be considered in the assessment of the overall facility emissions. ARS’ understanding is that all of the aggregate used in the asphalt plant comes directly from MMM operations on the west side of Taft Hill Road, so the adjoining operations are “support facilities” and as such, it cannot be claimed that the asphalt plant is part of a separate source based on the differences in Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) code. It is probably unlikely that the added emissions from adjoining MMM operations will alter the minor/major source classification of the asphalt plant, but a complete and accurate analysis requires that these emissions also be considered when determining the total emissions of the “source”. Condition 3, Operating & Maintenance Plan: This permit condition requires that MMM submit an Operating & Maintenance (O&M) Plan for APCD approval. The plan describes the ongoing monitoring and recordkeeping activities that MMM will undertake to document compliance with the terms and conditions of its permit. In essence, any commitments for compliance monitoring and recordkeeping made by MMM in the O&M Plan will become enforceable requirements of the permit. While the O&M Plan is not normally subject to review and comment by the public, due to the sensitivity of emissions to the nearby public in this case, an opportunity for public input on the O&M Plan could be requested to ensure that the approved O&M Plan provides the necessary compliance monitoring and recordkeeping to assure permit compliance. Condition 7, Emissions Control Equipment: This condition lists the pollution control equipment that MMM must employ to abate pollutant emissions to the atmosphere. However, MMM has Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 5-1 voluntarily installed additional equipment to mitigate volatile organic compound (VOC) and associated hazardous air pollutant (HAP) emissions, including recycling exhaust air from the asphalt plant outlet conveyor back to the asphalt plant burner along with installing condensers on the liquid asphalt storage tanks. These voluntary measures adopted by MMM to abate emissions should be made enforceable legal requirements through the APCD’s air permit. This will assure that such emissions abatement practices continue going forward. Please also refer to comments on Condition #10 (Odors) and Condition #13 (RACT). Condition 10, Odor Control: This is a general requirement referencing Regulation #2 concerning control and abatement of odors. Given that the MMM asphalt plant has in the past been the subject of odor complaints, additional requirements for abatement of odors should be considered for the air quality permit. The voluntary controls that MMM has applied at the asphalt plant (See Condition 7 above) could be made enforceable requirement on the basis that such controls are needed to assure compliance with Condition 10 and the associated odor requirements under Regulation #2. Condition 13, Reasonably Available Control Technology (RACT) – VOC Emissions: The Fort Collins region lies within the designated non-attainment area for ozone, and new/modified emissions of ozone precursors (including VOCs) within the non-attainment area are required under Regulation #3, Part B, III.E to install reasonably available control technology (RACT) for emissions control. The APCD has determined that “no additional control” meets RACT. However, MMM has voluntarily installed additional control for VOC emissions, including recirculating exhaust air from the asphalt plant product conveyor to the asphalt plant burner and installing condenser equipment on the liquid asphalt tanks. The mere presence of such equipment at the MMM Taft Hill Road facility demonstrates the technical feasibility and economic viability of such emissions controls and therefore mandate that such controls be deemed RACT. As described under Condition #7, the voluntary VOC emission controls implemented by MMM should be classified as RACT and required under Permit Condition 13. Condition 13, Reasonably Available Control Technology (RACT) – CO Emissions: The Fort Collins region lies within the designated attainment-maintenance area for carbon monoxide (CO), and new/modified CO emission sources within this area are required under Regulation #3, Part B, III.E to install reasonably available control technology (RACT) to control emissions. The APCD has determined that “no additional control” meets RACT. However, it is noted that AP-42 listed emissions for CO at natural gas-fired of 0.13 lb/ton, which is less than 50% of the 0.291 lb/ton limit established at Condition 16 of the draft permit. Permits issued in other jurisdictions have also set CO permit limits at the AP-42 emissions value (0.13 lb/ton) or lower. There is no discussion in the permit record as to why lower CO emissions cannot be achieved by MMM, although APCD has claimed in separate communications with ARS staff that the AP-42 CO emission levels are not achievable. Absent any evidence to the contrary, it would be prudent for APCD to find that CO emissions at the listed AP-42 value for natural gas-fired drum mix hot asphalt plants (0.13 lb/ton) represents RACT. Such a limit should be considered for this permit or APCD should provide the technical basis for its decision and these data should be made available for review by the public and other interested parties. This comment also affects the allowable emissions limit for CO contained in Permit Condition 16. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 5-2 Condition 14 – O&M Plan: Condition 14 duplicates Condition 3. There is no need to repeat the O&M Plan requirements in the permit. Condition 15 – Opacity Testing: This permit condition requires opacity testing to show compliance with the underlying permit requirements. Since the asphalt plant is approved to operate on both natural gas and LPG as fuel, the opacity testing should be completed for the plant on both approved fuels. Condition 16 – Emissions Testing: This permit condition requires emissions testing to show compliance with the specified limits for emissions of particulate matter (PM), carbon monoxide (CO), and oxides of nitrogen (NOx). Since the asphalt plant is approved to operate on both natural gas and LPG as fuel, the emissions testing should be completed for the plant on both approved fuels. Also, for clarity, the permit should specify whether or not the particulate testing is required to include condensable particulate matter (CPM). The hot exhaust from the baghouse emissions stack suggest that CPM emissions may be present, so the CPM fraction of the PM emissions needs to be regulated even if not otherwise included in the proposed permit limits. Condition 16 – Emissions Testing – HAPs: The draft permit as written does not require any testing for emissions of regulated hazardous air pollutants (HAPs). Generally, without any authority for regulating HAPs at sources within Colorado, emissions are not tested as there is no enforceable emissions limit and/or standard for comparison of the testing results. However, HAP testing could be requested, especially for those HAPs which are known to be carcinogenic (acetaldehyde, formaldehyde, benzene, etc.). This would provide more reliable data from which to make a reliable assessment of the possible impact of these emissions on public health. Condition 21 – Change in Location: It is presumed that the intent of this condition restricts relocating the asphalt plant within the MMM property. If so, the condition should be clarified given that a typical hot asphalt plant is known to change locations on a regular basis. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 5-3 6.0 SUMMARY & CONCLUSIONS The major findings of the ARS technical review are summarized below. The emissions data used for the MMM permit are generally supported by AP-42 and other appropriate data. However, the CO emissions used by APCD are higher than the corresponding AP-42 data. APCD claims that historical emissions data do not support the lower emissions reported by AP-42; however, this claim has not been substantiated by APCD. Because Fort Collins is a designated maintenance area, CO emissions are required to meet RACT. AP-42 data along with permits issued to asphalt plants in other jurisdictions suggest that lower CO emissions are in fact achievable and would represent RACT. APCD should require lower CO emissions or better document why the selected CO emissions level is in fact RACT. MMM has voluntarily adopted emission controls for reduction of VOC and HAP emissions; specifically, recycling exhaust air from the product conveyor to the asphalt plant burner and capturing emissions at the liquid asphalt tanks using condensers. The adoption of these control measures by MMM in fact means that such controls are both technically achievable and economically viable. Any voluntary controls adopted by MMM would meet the criteria for RACT and should be legally required under the air quality permit. The MMM draft permit used the AP-42 toluene emissions factor for drum mix asphalt plants fired on #2 fuel oil. The AP-42 factors for natural gas drum mix asphalt plants were used to calculate HAP emissions for other pollutants. This appears to be an oversight by APCD and should be corrected. Also, other HAPs listed in the AP-42 data (AP-42, Table 11.1-10) where emissions are comparable to the HAPs calculated by APCD. These HAPs are hexane, xylene, and PAHs. It is unknown why these HAPs were not considered by APCD given that the emissions are comparable to other HAPs where emissions were tabulated. APCD’s permit analysis should be amended to address hexane, xylene, and PAH emissions in addition to the other HAPs. In assessing the asphalt plant, the APCD appears to have considered only those emissions directly related to the asphalt plant. However, MMM owns and operates other air emission sources in the immediate vicinity of the asphalt plant, including an aggregate materials mining and processing operation on the west side of Taft Hill Road. MMM’s other aggregate processing activities are located on “contiguous or adjacent properties” and should therefore be considered in the assessment of the overall facility emissions. It is unlikely that the added emissions from adjoining MMM operations will alter the minor/major source classification of the asphalt plant, but a complete and accurate analysis by APCD requires that these emissions also be considered when determining the total emissions of the “source”. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 6-1 The AERSCREEN modeling for MMM’s CO emissions has been conducted following standard regulatory practices and principles. This modeling also employed several significant conservative assumptions. Although the modeling showed that MMM’s emissions comply with the NAAQS by a small margin, the conservatisms inherent in the modeling study means that MMM’s operations will comply with the NAAQS, very likely with a substantial safety margin. ARS used APCD’s AERMOD modeling results to make an assessment of potential HAP impacts on public health and the environment. The HAP modeling results from MMM were compared to “safe” concentration levels determined using USEPA’s Risk-Based Screening Approach. ARS’ modeling assessment determined that HAP emissions from MMM’s asphalt plant operations would not cause ambient concentrations above the “safe” concentration levels determined from USEPA data. Recommendations have been provided for consideration by the ESAB and AQAB on formal comments on the draft MMM air quality permit. This includes making any voluntary pollution control practices adopted by MMM enforceable requirements under the permit. These recommendations are intended to make the final permit more protective of public health and the environment. Martin Marietta Materials Air Permit Review – Technical Report Prepared by D. Howard Gebhart Air Resource Specialists, Inc. 6-2
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