City of Fort Collins 2005/2006 CLIMATE PROTECTION STATUS REPORT Prepared by The City of Fort Collins Energy Management Team P.O. Box 580 Fort Collins, CO 80522-0580 2008 TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary……………………………………………………………....i I. Status of Climate Change Science…………………………………………1 II. Fort Collins Greenhouse Gas Emissions for 2005 and 2006 ........………..3 III. City of Fort Collins Municipal GHG Emissions...........................………..5 IV. Status of Climate Protection Efforts............................................................8 General.......................................................................................................10 Climate Wise..................................................................................10 Energy........................................................................................................10 1996 City Energy Code..................................................................10 Fort Collins Electric Energy Supply Policy...................................11 Fort Collins Electricity Distribution System Improvements .........12 Reduce City Building Energy Use 15% per s.f..............................12 Evaluate City Energy Manager and Financing Alternatives..........12 Sustainable Design Guidelines for New City Buildings................12 Wind Power for City Facilities ......................................................13 Replace Incandescent Traffic Signals with LED’s ........................13 Lighting Upgrades in City Buildings (‘93-’04) .............................13 City Government Chillers ..............................................................13 Transportation ............................................................................................14 VMT Goal......................................................................................14 Mason Corridor Project .................................................................15 Alternative Fueled City Fleet Vehicles…………………………..15 ULEV/ZEV Vehicles for City Fleets .............................................15 Solid Waste ................................................................................................15 Fort Collins Waste Reduction Goals..............................................15 Business Recycling ........................................................................15 Residential Recycling ....................................................................16 Methane Flaring and Heat Recovery .............................................16 City Employee Recycling Program ...............................................16 Purchasing/City Administration.................................................................17 SIRE Electronic Document Archive..............................................17 Climate Change Education and Outreach ..................................................17 V. Future Actions..........................................................................................18 APPENDIX A – Data Sources LIST OF ACRONYMS AFV BTU CACP CO2 CO2e CCP CH4 CIP CMAQ CNG CSU DOE DSM EEP EIS EMT EPA ESCO EVSAG F GGE GHG HVAC IAC ICLEI ICMA IPCC kWh LAP LED LEED LUTRAQ MMBTU MSW NCCC NRD NSR OEMC P2 PRPA PSD REC RFP RMCO TDM ULEV VMT ZEV alternative fueled vehicle British Thermal Unit Clean Air Climate Protection software developed by ICLEI and STAPPA/ALAPCO carbon dioxide carbon dioxide equivalent (methane is converted to CO2e) Cities for Climate Protection methane capitol improvement projects Congestion Mitigation & Air Quality compressed natural gas Colorado State University Department of Energy demand side management (energy conservation) Electric Efficiency Program environmental impact statement (City of Fort Collins) Energy Management Team Environmental Protection Agency energy services company (City of Fort Collins) Economic Vitality and Sustainability Action Group degrees Fahrenheit gallon of gas equivalent greenhouse gases heating ventilation air conditioning system Industrial Assessment Center International Council for Local Environmental Initiatives International City/County Management Association Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change kilowatt hour Fort Collins Local Action Plan to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions light emitting diode Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (U.S. Green Building Council program) Land Use, Transportation, and Air Quality Million British Thermal Units Municipal Solid Waste Northern Colorado Clean Cities City of Fort Collins Natural Resources department New Source Review (part of the City’s Development Review process) (Governor’s) Office of Energy Management and Conservation Pollution Prevention Platte River Power Authority Poudre School District renewable energy certificate request for proposal Rocky Mountain Climate Organization Transportation Demand Management ultra low emission vehicles vehicle miles traveled zero emission vehicles ZILCH Zero Interest Loans for Conservation Help Executive Summary Background In 1997, Fort Collins joined over 300 cities (now over 700) in the international Cities for Climate Protection Campaign. In doing so, the City made a commitment to conduct a greenhouse gas inventory for the baseline year of 1990, set a greenhouse gas reduction target, and develop a plan for meeting the target. A Staff Technical Team and a Citizen Advisory Committee spent over 18 months developing a climate protection plan for the city. In 1999, Fort Collins City Council adopted the Fort Collins Local Action Plan to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions (LAP). The City’s greenhouse gas reduction target was established as “30 percent reduction below predicted 2010 levels, by 2010.” The City Council also called for formation of an Energy Management Team to facilitate implementation of the LAP, and preparation of a biennial report to evaluate the City’s progress on greenhouse gas reduction efforts and to recommend future climate protection actions. The first biennial report was completed in April 2001. It showed that Fort Collins’ residents, businesses and the City government together avoided an estimated 190,000 tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) in the year 2000 alone. The second biennial report covered the years 2001 and 2002 and estimated that nearly 237,000 tons of CO2e were avoided in Fort Collins in 2001, based on all measures that could be quantified in that year. Quantifiable climate protection activities reduced citywide emissions by 10% in the year 2001. The third biennial report covered the years 2003 and 2004 and estimated that 241,000 tons of CO2e were avoided in Fort Collins in 2004, based on all measures that could be quantified in that year. Quantifiable climate protection activities reduced citywide emissions by 9% in the year 2004. This report is the fourth biennial “Climate Protection Status Report” that the Energy Management Team has prepared for the City Manager. It quantifies greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions levels for 2005 and 2006 and the benefit of greenhouse gas mitigation activities by businesses, citizens, and municipal government in 2005 and 2006. Greenhouse Gas Emissions Level Greenhouse gas emissions across the city rose from 1.36 million tons of CO2e in 1990 to 2.55 million tons in 2006, an 87% increase. During the same time, population increased by 48%. Fort Collins Greenhouse Gas Emissions Fort Collins Per Capita Emissions (Tons CO2e) (x 1000 Tons CO2e) 20.00 3000 2540 2500 1921 2000 1500 2010 2089 2236 2551 18.00 2322 16.00 15.56 18.30 16.79 17.82 16.27 16.19 16.40 19.89 19.70 14.00 1623 12.00 1366 10.00 8.00 1000 6.00 4.00 500 2.00 0 0.00 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 i The Status It is estimated that over 244,000 tons of CO2e were avoided in Fort Collins in 2006, based on all measures that could be quantified in that year. The majority of reductions (40%) came from businesses and organizations through participation in Climate Wise, recycling, purchasing wind power, energy conservation, and trip reduction. Individual citizens were responsible for 36% of the reductions by recycling, purchasing Green Power, and participating in Fort Collins Utility rebate programs. The City government achieved 13% of the citywide reductions through actions such as efficiencies in the electricity distribution system, methane flaring at the wastewater treatment plant and the purchase of wind energy. Fort Collins GHG Reduction Summary Citywide Tons CO2e avoided in 2006 213,000 Municipal 31,000 Total 244,000 2006 Fort Collins Greenshouse Gas Reductions 2006 Fort Collins Greenhouse Gas Reductions Vegetation 11% City Gov. 13% Vegetation 11% Energy 38% Transport 0.4% Business 40% Waste Reduction 51% Citizen 36% Quantifiable climate protection activities are estimated to have reduced citywide emissions by 8.7% in the year 2006. This is comparable to the reductions achieved in 2004. Fort Collins Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Reductions 4,000 1000 Tons CO2e 3,500 30% reduction goal 8.7% reduction 3,000 2,500 Target 2,000 Reductions Emissions 1,500 1,000 Baseline Actual 500 0 1990 ii 2000 2001 2004 2006 2010 The tables below summarize greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction efforts of residents and businesses (citywide) and of the City government (municipal). Recycling activities continue to account for the largest share of measurable GHG reductions. This is partly because benefits are estimated not only from emissions avoided by not land-filling materials, but also from avoided upstream emissions associated with manufacturing new products. Citywide GHG Reduction Measures 2006 Measures Tons CO2 reduced in 2006 Citywide Quantifiable Measures Tons CO2 reduced in 2006 GENERAL Climate Wise for businesses General Total ENERGY 1997 City Energy Code Demand Side Mgmt Programs Wind Renewable Energy 62,000 62,000 9,900 20,000 19,000 Rate-Based Renewable Energy Energy Total TRANSPORTATION VAN GO in Fort Collins Transportation Total SOLID WASTE Business Recycling Residential Recycling 12,000 60,900 300 300 79,000 Solid Waste Total 39,500 118,500 CO2 Sequestration by trees Vegetation Total 26,200 26,200 VEGETATION WATER CONSERVATION Citywide Water conservation 1 Water Total 11 0 CITYWIDE TOTAL 212,700 Each line shows full benefit of program. Double-counted benefits (i.e. overlapping benefits between Climate Wise partners, Business Recycling, Wind Program, TDM Programs) removed from “Citywide Total.” iii Municipal Government GHG Reduction Activities Municipal Quantifiable Measures ENERGY FC Electricity Distribution City Wind Energy Replace Traffic Signals with LEDs Lighting Upgrades – City Buildings: 90-01 Chillers Energy Total TRANSPORTATION Alternative Fuels - City Fleet vehicles Hybrid Vehicles - City Fleet vehicles Transportation Total SOLID WASTE Methane Flaring and Heat Recovery City gov recycling Solid Waste Total PURCHASING/ADMINISTRATION Tons CO2 reduced in 2006 24,300 1,100 1,400 100 100 27,000 700 10 700 4,200 600 4,900 SIRE Electronic Document Archive 18 Purchasing Total 18 Water Total 0.2277 0.2277 MUNICIPAL TOTAL 30,900 WATER Waterless Urinals iv I. Status of Climate Change Science……the need for climate protection continues February 2006 Greenland Glacier Melt Rate Doubled; Sea Level Expected to Rise Faster At the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) February 16-20 in St. Louis, scientists reported satellite observations showing Greenland’s glaciers melting at twice the rate expected. The authors of the study, which appears in the February 17 issue of Science, reported that the faster melting is the result of a warming trend that makes previous predictions of how quickly ocean levels will rise obsolete. (source: http://www.eesi.org/publications/Newsletters/CCNews/2.17.06%20CCNews.htm) March 2006 Time Magazine Features Global Warming The feature article starts, “No one can say exactly what it looks like when a planet takes ill, but it probably looks a lot like Earth. Never mind what you've heard about global warming as a slowmotion emergency that would take decades to play out. Suddenly and unexpectedly, the crisis is upon us. From heat waves to storms to floods to fires to massive glacial melts, the global climate seems to be crashing around us.” (See http://www.cnn.com/2006/US/03/26/coverstory/index.html for the full story) July 2006 Climate Change Threat to Pacific Ocean Mangroves Coping Strategies for Coastal Zone Managers Outlined in New UNEP-Backed Report Studies released in July 2006 by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), indicate that some islands in the region could see over half of the mangroves steadily lost by the end of the century, with the worst hit being American Samoa, Fiji, Tuvalu, and the Federated States of Micronesia. September 2006 California Passes “Global Warming Solutions Act” (AB 32) California adopted landmark legislation to create the nation's first economy-wide cap on global warming emissions. The nation's most populous state is the world's 12th-largest emitter of greenhouse gases and could suffer dire consequences if global temperatures increase only a few degrees. California's Global Warming Solutions Act (AB 32) aims to cut emissions to 1990 1 levels, or around 25 percent, by 2020 with an enforceable cap and mandatory reporting for top polluters. October 2006 British “Stern” Report Warns Global Warming Could Cripple World Economy The Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change is a 700-page report released in October by economist Lord Nicholas Stern.The report concludes that one percent of global gross domestic product (GDP) per year is required to be invested in order to avoid the worst effects of climate change, and that failure to do so could risk global GDP being up to twenty percent lower than it otherwise might be. (See http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/bsp/hi/pdfs/30_10_06_exec_sum.pd for the Executive Summary) January 2007 2006Warmest Year on Record for U.S. The 2006 average annual temperature for the contiguous U.S. was the warmest on record and nearly identical to the record set in 1998, according to scientists at the NOAA National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C. Seven months in 2006 were much warmer than average, including December, which ended as the fourth warmest December since records began in 1895. (2006 was the Earth's sixth warmest year on record, averaging 0.4°C above the 1961 to 1990 average, according to the World Meteorological Organization.) 2 II. Fort Collins Greenhouse Gas Emissions for 2005 and 2006 Fort Collins Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2,551 1000 Tons CO2e In 2006, Fort Collins generated approximately 2,551,000 tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e1). By comparison, 1,366,000 tons of CO2e were generated in 1990, the baseline year against which Fort Collins’ climate protection efforts are measured.2 Data sources are discussed in Appendix A. Table 1 below shows the CO2e emissions by source category, over time. Waste Electricity Natural Gas Transport 1,366 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Figure 1. Fort Collins GHG Emissions, 1990 - 2006 Table 1. Fort Collins GHG Emissions (Tons CO2e) Electricity Natural Gas Transport Waste TOTAL Population Per Capita 1,990 566,000 344,000 423,000 32,000 1,366,000 87,758 15.56 1995 2000 693,000 882,000 375,000 431,000 530,000 560,000 25,000 48,000 1,623,000 1,921,000 99,726 118,652 16.27 16.19 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 919,000 951,000 1,098,000 1,137,000 1,217,000 1,226,000 452,000 482,000 460,000 474,000 469,000 466,000 581,000 603,000 625,000 646,000 751,000 760,000 57,000 53,000 53,000 65,000 102,000 99,000 2,010,000 2,089,000 2,236,000 2,322,000 2,540,000 2,551,000 122,521 124,428 125,461 126,903 127,686 129,511 16.40 16.79 17.82 18.30 19.89 19.70 Figures 2 and 3 on the next page compare 1990 and 2006 greenhouse gas emissions, by source. The electricity sector contribution grew from 42% in 1990 to 48% in 2006, while the natural gas percentage dropped from 25 % to 18% of citywide GHG emissions for the same period. The relative increase in electricity generation’s contribution to emissions may be partially attributed to a decreasing relative contribution of hydroelectricity to electricity generation mix, leading to higher average emissions per kWh generated. Other factors contributing to the growth include the increase of air conditioning in homes (fewer than 20%in 1990 to more than 60% by 2006) and the increased plug load of newer buildings. The transportation sector decreased slightly in relative contribution of total GHG emissions from 1990 to 2006. 1 CO2e = Carbon dioxide equivalent. Since methane is 21 times more potent a greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide, the relative global warming potential of CO2 = 1 and of methane = 21. When methane and carbon dioxide emissions are summed, they are referred to as CO2e, indicating methane has been converted to CO2 equivalent. 2 In May 2003, the Fort Collins greenhouse gas (GHG) emission analyses for 1990, 1995, 1997, and 2000 were updated to reflect new EPA emission factors for municipal solid waste (MSW) incorporated in the CCP software in Fall 2002. Revised MSW emission factors reduce the MSW GHG emissions to practically zero because they take account of carbon sequestered in landfills. See Appendix A for more detail. 3 Fort Collins 1990 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Fort Collins 2006 Greenhouse Gas Emissions 2.55 Million Tons 1.366 million tons CO2e Waste 2% Transport 31% Waste 4% Transport 30% Electricity 42% Electricity 48% Natural Gas 18% Natural Gas 25% Figure 2. 1990 GHG Emissions Figure 3. 200 GHG Emissions Figure 4 illustrates that 2006 per capita emissions dropped slightly below 2005 levels. This can be attributed to reductions in natural gas usage and the amount of solid waste generated. The data used to generate the 2005 and 2006 inventories is shown in Table 2 below. Fort Collins Per Capita Emissions (Tons CO2e) 20.00 18.00 16.00 15.56 18.30 16.79 17.82 16.27 16.19 16.40 19.89 19.70 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 F Figure 4. Per Capita Emissions Table 2. 2005 and 2006 Emissions Source Data Year 2005 2006 Electricity kWh(Purchases) 1,432,566,000 1,442,892,000 Natural Gas Therms (wx normalized) 76,197,750 75,610,490 Annual Vehicle Miles 997,421,370 1,009,655,708 4 Tons Solid Waste 237,747 224,700 Tons CO2e 2,539,653 2,551,112 III. City of Fort Collins Municipal Greenhouse Gas Emissions The emissions inventory for the City of Fort Collins municipal activities includes buildings, streetlights, water treatment processes, fleet fuel consumption, and waste generation. Buildings Information on electricity consumption from all City facilities and natural gas consumption from all major City buildings was provided by Utilities and Operations Services. Table 3. Building Energy Use Electricity (kWh) Natural Gas2 Total Square Foot MMBTU/Sq Ft Tons CO2 7,396,196 541,920 (ccf) 510,592 0.1577 8,806 16,049,0001 626,658 (ccf) 744,144 0.1415 12,691 17,575,3271 734,284 (ccf) 134,893 mmbtu 19,128 17,974,7551 757,128 (ccf) 138,587 mmbtu 19,908 18,111,0001 848,483 (excludes a 18,2403 2 15,610,320 884,493 (therms) few Util bldgs) 2006 18,665,8521 18,8173 2 15,925,365 896,944 (therms) 1,202,932 1 kWh includes all metered uses except lighting, water and wastewater treatment, not just major buildings. 2 These 2006 data reflect only buildings used and exclude additional meters., from Utility Manager Report. 3 Municipal GHG Emissions for 2005 onward follow Climate Wise GHG Basline Tool reporting Criteria Year 1990 2002 2003 2004 2005 Lighting (Streetlights and Traffic Signals) Table 4. Lighting Energy Use (data provided by Fort Collins Utilities ) What Streetlights Streetlights 1990 1995 Year kWh 5,920,661 6,598,489 Streetlights 1999 7,251,946 Streetlights 2001 7,634,000 Streetlights 2002 7,860,000 Streetlights 2003 7,985,609 Streetlights 2004 8,055,928 Streetlights 2005 8,123,199 Streetlights 2006 8,235,645 Traffic Signals 1990 1,577,714 Traffic Signals 1995 2,117,602 Traffic Signals 1999 2,406,112 Traffic Signals 2001 2,191,000 Traffic Signals 2002 206,000* Traffic Signals 2003 866,137 Traffic Signals 2004 894,325 Traffic Signals 2005 907,818 Traffic Signals 2006 910,628 * Reflects benefit of conversion to LED traffic signals 5 Water and Wastewater Treatment Table 5. Water Treatment Energy Use (data from Fort Collins Utilities) What Year Water Treatment 1990 Water Treatment 1995 Water Treatment 1999 Water Treatment 2002 Water Treatment 2003 Water Treatment 2004 Water Treatment 2005 Water Treatment 2006 1 Adds electricity from SW pump station Electricity (kWh) 2,414,990 3,404,585 3,538,852 4,409,239 4,139,829 4,022,216 4,019,5411 4,201,6431 Natural Gas (ccf) 82,188 85,156 67,684 200,120 162,370 139,944 125,146 129,605 Table 6. Wastewater Treatment Energy Use (data from Fort Collins Utilities) What Year Electricity (kWh) Natural Gas (ccf) Wastewater 1990 9,523,280 105,067 Wastewater 1995 1 13,604,848 54,752 Wastewater 1999 13,444,800 63,158 Wastewater 2002 14,365,920 64,070 Wastewater 2003 14,273,040 81,446 2 Wastewater 2004 13,996,480 80,489 Wastewater 2005 13,495,440 38,245 Wastewater 2006 13,508,960 37,011 1 Wastewater plant #1 was down for 1995 due to construction; 1994 numbers were used. 2 Added the natural gas consumption from the East Mulberry plant for the first time. Fleets Table 7. Fleets Energy Use (data provided by Fleet Services) Year Unleaded Gasoline (gal) 1990 201,488 1995 187,544 1999 446,106 2001 495,767 2002 651,933 2003 523,041 2004 512,982 2005 525,088 2006 540,992 1 Subtracts (bio)diesel purchased by PSD. Diesel/Biodiesel (gal) 97,181 80,115 419,834 458,778 564,589 448,844 437,315 285,5821 Biodiesel – 358,9501 Propane (GGE) 13,035 45,875 113,768 80,018 59,007 36,747 23,048 18,425 13,802 CNG (GGE) 1,192 1,235 1,446 1,370 1,322 6,718 8,342 Solid Waste Table 8. Municipal Waste Estimates 1990 1995 1999 2002 2003 2004 20051 20061 Waste removed (full) yd3 21,416 24,540 Waste removed (3/4 full) yd3 12,950 16,062 18,405 23,209 20,657 22,823 Yard Waste (Cubic yards) # City employees 1,003 1,244 1,308 Per capita yd3 12.9 12.9 18.8 Tons (If ¾ full) @ 300#/yd3 1,943 2,409 2,761 3,481 3481 3,430 Tons CO2 e 232 287 329 415 415 409 6,559 7,279 1990-2004 CO2e emissions from municipal waste were estimated with the CACP software (2003). 1 Tons CO2 calculated using Climate Wise GHG baseline Tool national average emissions factor;excludes freebies, 6 Figures 5 and 6 below show municipal GHG emissions in 1990 and 2006. Municipal GHG emissions have doubled over the past 14 years. In 1990, municipal GHG emissions represented 2.03% of citywide emissions. By 2004, the municipal proportion rose slightly to 2.27%. 1990 Municipal Greenhouse Gas Emissions 27,729 tons CO2e 2006 Municipal Emissions 61,000 tons CO2e Fleets Waste 1% 12% Waste 12% Buildings 32% Buildings 31% Transport 13% Lighting 20% Water use 1% Traffic/Street ligths 13% Water 35% Other Electricity 4% Water treatment 26% Figure 5. 1990 Municipal GHG Emissions Figure 6. 2006 Municipal GHG Emissions Table 9. Municipal GHG Emission Comparisons (Tons CO2e) Year 1990 2002 2004 1 2006 Buildings 8,806 12,691 19,908 18,817 Water/Wastewater 9,894 15,369 16,571 16,040 Lighting 5,475 5,890 7,543 7,765 1 Fleets 3,323 13,860 10,670 7,977 Waste 232 415 409 7,278 Other Electricity 2,327 TOTAL 27,730 48,225 55,102 61,000 For 2005 and 2006, municipal emissions were calculated using the Climate Wise GHG baseline Tool. These data include all electricity purchased by the City, natural gas used in buildings tracked by Utility Manager software, and cubic yards of waste estimated to be collected by the City’s trash hauler. In this methodology, waste emissions subtract the benefit of municipal recycling and exclude “freebies” to the landfill such as wet soil, concrete, etc. None of the municipal inventories reported to date include employee commuting or airline miles, but this may be added to future inventories. 7 IV. Status of Climate Protection Efforts Tables 9, 10 and 11 summarize the greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction benefit of all measures the City was able to quantify for the year 2006. In total, 244,000 tons of CO2e were reduced during the year 2006. Quantifiable climate protection activities are estimated to have reduced citywide emissions by 8.7% in the year 2006. Table 10. GHG Reduction Summary Citywide Tons CO2e avoided in 2006 213,000 Municipal 31,000 Total 244,000 Table 11. Citywide GHG Reduction Measures 2006 Measures Tons CO2 reduced in 2006 Citywide Quantifiable Measures Tons CO2 reduced in 2006 GENERAL Climate Wise for businesses General Total ENERGY 1997 City Energy Code Demand Side Mgmt Programs Wind Renewable Energy 62,000 62,000 9,900 20,000 19,000 Rate-Based Renewable Energy Energy Total TRANSPORTATION VAN GO in Fort Collins Transportation Total SOLID WASTE Business Recycling Residential Recycling 12,000 60,900 300 300 79,000 Solid Waste Total 39,500 118,500 CO2 Sequestration by trees Vegetation Total 26,200 26,200 VEGETATION WATER CONSERVATION Citywide Water conservation 11 0 Water Total CITYWIDE TOTAL 2 212,700 Each line shows full benefit of program. Double-counted benefits (i.e. overlapping benefits between Climate Wise partners, Business Recycling, and Wind Program, TDM Programs) removed from “Citywide Total.” 8 Table 12. Municipal Government GHG Reduction Activities Municipal Quantifiable Measures ENERGY FC Electricity Distribution City Wind Energy Replace Traffic Signals with LEDs Lighting Upgrades – City Buildings: 90-01 Chillers Energy Total TRANSPORTATION Alternative Fuels - City Fleet vehicles Hybrid Vehicles - City Fleet vehicles Transportation Total SOLID WASTE Methane Flaring and Heat Recovery City gov recycling Solid Waste Total PURCHASING/ADMINISTRATION Tons CO2 reduced in 2006 24,300 1,100 1,400 100 100 27,000 700 10 700 4,200 600 4,900 SIRE Electronic Document Archive 18 Purchasing Total 18 Water Total 0.2277 0.2277 MUNICIPAL TOTAL 30,900 WATER Waterless Urinals The measures identified above are described in greater detail in the rest of this report. There are numerous other municipal and private activities and programs that have not been quantified that also contribute to reducing the citywide carbon dioxide emissions. Figure 7 shows the distribution of quantified measures. The majority of reductions (40%) came from businesses and organizations from participating in Climate Wise, recycling, purchasing wind power, energy conservation, and trip reduction. Individual citizens were responsible for 36% of the reductions by recycling, 2006 Fort Collins Greenhouse Gas Reductions purchasing wind power, and participating Vegetation in Fort Collins Utility rebate programs. 11% The City government achieved 13% of the City Gov. 13% reductions through efficiencies in the Business 40% electricity distribution system, methane flaring at the wastewater treatment plant and the purchase of wind energy. Citizen 36% Figure 7. Distribution of GHG Reduction Measures 9 GENERAL ♦ Climate Wise for Businesses 2006 Status In 2000, the City of Fort Collins initiated a voluntary greenhouse gas reduction program targeting businesses in the industrial and commercial sectors. The program is a local adaptation of the former federal Climate Wise program and works directly with the Fort Collins business community to achieve a number of important environmental quality goals: air and water pollution prevention, solid waste reduction, energy conservation, and travel demand reduction. Supported by grant funding from the International Council for Local Environmental Initiatives, and the Colorado Pollution Prevention Advisory Board, the Climate Wise program included 48 local business partners at the end of 2006. The basic goals of the Climate Wise program for the City are: • Encourage local business to reduce their GHG emissions and their impact on the environment. • Create a strong (friendly) relationship between local business community and the City. • Assist in the implementation of a variety of City environmental programs for local businesses. • Educate partners’ employees about climate change. • Encourage community responsibility. • Help achieve the GHG reduction goal in Fort Collins’ Local Action Plan. In 2006, partners collectively avoided over 62,200 tons CO2e. Annual cost savings for partners exceeded $2 million in 2006. Since the program's inception, cumulative savings to partners are nearly $6 million. The Climate Wise program continues to surpass expectations, both in the number of businesses participating and the amount of greenhouse gas emission reductions. The City has also provided recognition, partner networking meetings, partner trainings, and educational materials. For a complete list of Climate Wise businesses, see http://fcgov.com/climatewise ENERGY ♦ 1997 City Energy Code 2006 Status A comprehensive study was conducted by the City to evaluate the City’s 1996 residential energy code, provide benchmark data about new home design, construction and performance, and to learn more about residential air conditioning practices and impacts. Results were published in 2002. The study yielded a wealth of information about both problems and opportunities in new housing. City staff presented study findings to many audiences and developed consumer information materials about new home choices. The 2004 update to the residential energy code was designed to address issues revealed in the New Home Study. 10 GHG benefit from the City 1996 energy code is based on study results indicating that homes built under the code realize a 16% reduction in natural gas consumption, on average, when compared with homes built prior to the code change. ♦ Fort Collins Electric Energy Supply Policy 2006 Status Fort Collins’ City Council adopted a new Electric Energy Supply Policy in March 2003. One of the primary objectives of the policy is to reduce the environmental impact of electricity generation through conservation, energy efficiency, load management and the increased use of renewable energy. The policy includes the following specific targets for energy conservation and renewable energy: o Reduce per capita electric consumption 10% from the baseline of 2002, by the year 2012. The 10% per capita consumption reduction target will reduce overall electric consumption approximately 16% by 2012. o Work with Platte River Power Authority to increase the City's percentage of renewable energy to 2% by the end of 2004, and to 15% by the year 2017. Both targets support the LAP efforts to reduce citywide carbon dioxide emissions. The per capita energy goal combined with the renewable energy goal is projected to account for up to 12% of the City’s 1.1 million tons CO2 reduction goal in 2010. Many of the renewable energy and demand side management (DSM) measures discussed below are the direct result of the Electric Energy Supply Policy. Information about the Demand Side Management programs and the Green Power programs can be found in the “Electric Energy Supply Policy: 2006 Annual Update” report, available from Fort Collins Utilities. The following tables summarizes the greenhouse gas benefits of these programs. Table 13: 2006 Energy Policy Avoided Greenhouse Gas Emissions (tons CO2) Description Demand side management RFR Progam CFC-11 Destruction Wind Program renewable energy Rate based renewable energy Energy Policy Total CO2 tons Notes 13,532 annual savings from 2002 through 2005 programs 6,732 one time savings from 2004 through 2006 programs 19,422 2006 only 12,042 2006 only 51,728 11 Table 14: 2006 DSM Program Avoided Greenhouse Gas Emissions (tons CO2) Program Clothes Washer Rebate Program Cooling Rebate Program Refrigerator and Freezer Recycling Program Residential Lighting Program Electric Efficiency Program Integrated Design Assistance Program Total DSM Annual Savings 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Total Annual Program Savings 76 327 8 571 286 954 NA 131 NA 103 131 NA 154 170 565 70 139 389 NA 167 516 NA 1,029 76 97 1,543 426 1,199 3,063 31 962 2,201 0 1,296 5,802 1,049 814 1,339 2,955 4,891 3,533 13,532 ♦ Fort Collins Electricity Distribution System Improvements Status: Fort Collins has made substantial investments to keep its distribution losses low, even as population growth necessitates system expansion. Fort Collins' entire system uses oversized conductors to reduce normal operating losses and to provide enough system capacity to allow backfeeds in the event of system failures. The methodology used here compares Fort Collins' distribution system losses against a national average of 5.0%, taking credit for "reductions" when losses are lower than the national average. The cumulative effects of these improvements since 1990 accounted for savings of 28,819 MWh in 2006 The corresponding CO2 reduction was 24,300 tons. Since 1990, these activities have cumulatively saved over 260,000 tons of CO2. ♦ Evaluate Advantages of City Energy Manager and Financing Alternatives 2006 Status In 2004, an interdepartmental committee was formed to explore alternatives such as lease-purchase, performance contractor, etc. to achieve increased energy efficiency in City facilities and to investigate the advantages of establishing a City Energy Manager. This committee met for several months and developed recommendations to begin the process of entering into an energy performance contract and to fill an energy manager position. In 2006, the City hired Johnson Controls to conduct audits of major City facilities and then propose a package of efficiency upgrades that they can guarantee. ♦ Sustainable Design Criteria for New City Buildings 2006 Status On September 5, 2006, Fort Collins City Council voted to raise the bar on energy efficiency and environmental design by adopting a resolution stating all new construction of cityowned buildings will achieve LEED “Gold” certification. Fort Collins became only the third city in the nation to set this high standard, joining Scottsdale, AZ and Portland, OR. Green buildings save money over their life time by reducing utility costs, operation and maintenance expenses. Green buildings have also shown that they improve worker productivity by 15%. LEED certified projects can be built for little to no incremental cost as long as the commitment is made up front and the design teams have experience with LEED standards. To assure city dollars are spent in the most efficient manner possible, the resolution also states that 12 if the incremental cost of achieving a LEED Gold certification has a payback greater than 10 years, the City may opt to seek the LEED Silver certification instead. As of the end of 2006, the City had a LEED-Silver certified Vehicle Storage Facility and has two more buildings under construction that are seeking LEED certification: the Aztlan Center and the Police Services Facility. ♦ Wind Power for City Facilities 2006 Status Since July 2000, the City of Fort Collins has purchased wind energy from one 660 kW turbine to cover a portion of its own municipal electricity needs. The energy costs are prorated among the City’s own electric accounts based on energy usage. In 2006, the City purchased almost 2,300 MWh of wind energy to partially power City facilities. ♦ Replace Incandescent Traffic Signals with LEDs 2003-2004 Status Retrofitting traffic signals to light-emitting diodes (LEDs) was originally rated as the City’s highest priority greenhouse gas reduction measure, receiving the # 1 rating from both the Staff Technical Team and the Citizen Advisory Committee that developed the City’s Local Action Plan (LAP). The major retrofit effort occurred in 2001, when 160 intersections were retrofitted, except for Yellows and the Walk and Don’t Walk signals. In 2002, Traffic Operations took the initiative to meter the savings at each intersection. Since then, the City has installed all new traffic signals as LEDs. In 2006, pedestrian signals were also converted to LEDs. By the end of 2006, the use of LED traffic signals had reduced traffic signal electricity consumption by over 1.57 million kWh/year, resulting in over 730 tons CO2e not released each year. ♦ Lighting Upgrades in City Buildings (1993 – 2004) 2006 Status Numerous lighting projects have been implemented in City buildings since the early 1990’s. In March 2001, induction lighting was installed in the City parking garage at Mountain Avenue and Remington Street. In addition to using lower wattage induction lighting, Utilities Design Assistance program optimized placement of the light, the interior of the garage was painted white, and daylighting controls were installed. These efforts increased the light levels by a factor of 3 to 5 while keeping energy use the same and improving visibility. In 2004, lighting was upgraded at the EPIC Ice Area and in the pool area. By 2006, total annual savings for lighting projects quantified to date since 1996 totaled 74 tons of CO2e. Many more lighting upgrades have been implemented since 1990, such as replacement of EXIT signs with LEDs in buildings, but the installations have not been documented well enough to calculate CO2 benefits. ♦ City Government Chillers 2006 Status One chiller was removed from EPIC in 2004, so now both ice rinks are operating on the chiller that was installed in 2002 for the new ice rink. Energy savings were realized after the chiller was removed. Cumulative benefits from other chiller upgrades in past years resulted in 71 tons CO2 avoided in 2006. 13 TRANSPORTATION ♦ VMT Goal: VMT not to exceed population growth rates 2006 Status City Plan (1996) included an aggressive goal, to reduce the Vehicle Miles of Travel (VMT) growth rate so it would not exceed the population growth rate. The City Plan Monitoring Project: 2001 Indicators Report found that between 1995 and 2000, vehicle mile traveled (VMT) growth rates (4.9%/year) did exceed population growth rates (3.4%/year). Exceedance of this trigger initiated a review process, which was undertaken as a part of a full City Plan update. When City Council updated City Plan (2004), however, they recognized that the previous goal of bringing the VMT growth rate down to the level of population growth rate was unrealistic in the short term. Therefore, the Council changed the VMT policy goal to read: Policy T-91. The City will continually strive to reduce the growth rate in VMT by implementing a VMT reduction program that strives to meet or exceed the performance of similar programs in comparable cities. In 2006, the City hired the Victoria Transport Policy Institute, along with the Brendle Group to complete a “Mobility Management Best Practices” review. (See http://fcgov.com/airquality/pdf/mm-best-practices06.pdf) This paper reviews what the most effective cities are doing to reduce VMT and recommends actions for consideration in Fort Collins. ♦ Mason Corridor Project 2006 Status In October 2000, the Fort Collins City Council approved the overall Master Plan for the Mason Street Transportation Corridor (MSTC). The MSTC was envisioned as a five mile, N-S multi-modal corridor that would provide Bus Rapid Transit service and bike and pedestrian facilities, enhance citizen mobility, and implement critical components of the City’s Structure and Transportation plans. The City has moved ahead with the construction of the bike and pedestrian trail portion along a 3.5 mile segment between Prospect Road and Fossil Creek Trail, south of Harmony. This segment of the corridor is funded through the Colorado Department of Transportation and the 1997 “Building Community Choices” tax initiative. It is anticipated that construction of this segment will be completed in 2005/2006, offering a convenient N-S route for cyclists and pedestrians. ♦ Alternative Fueled City Fleet Vehicles 2006 Status In 2006, the entire City fleet was converted to 100 % biodiesel. Approximately 269,000 gallons of B20 were used, resulting in 606 tons of CO2e avoided when compared to emissions from combusting petroleum diesel fuel. In addition, the City’s alternative fueled vehicles used 13,802 gallons of gas equivalent (GGE) of propane and 8,342 GGE of compressed 14 natural gas (CNG). This emitted 56 fewer tons of CO2 than if the same number of gallons of gasoline were used. ♦ ULEV/ZEV Vehicles for City Fleet 2006 Status In 2006, the City had eleven hybrid/electric vehicles (Toyota Prius and Honda Civic). Over 10 tons of CO2e were avoided in 2006, based on the increased fuel efficiency of the hybrids when compared to a comparable non-hybrid fleet vehicle. SOLID WASTE ♦ Fort Collins Waste Reduction Goals (Divert 50% by 2010) In November, 1999 the City Council adopted a policy for diverting solid waste from landfill disposal with a goal of 35% by the year 2004, and 50% by the year 2010. ♦ Business Recycling 2006 Status GHG reductions from recycling activities carried out by independent businesses are estimated at 79,000 tons of CO2e for the year 2006. This includes over 5,500 tons of paperboard recycled, as well as 4,700 tons of commingled materials. ♦ Residential Recycling 2006 Status In 2006, the City calculated that nearly 60,245 tons of materials were recycled by residential customers. Commodities included over 1,200 tons of mixed paper, 2,800 tons of commingled bottles and cans, and 523 tons of cardboard and paperboard. Collectively, citizens’ recycling activities equate to nearly 39,500 tons CO2e reduced in the year 2006. 2006 also brought the advent of single-stream recycling, and the addition of cardboard and paperboard to the list of items citizens could recycle through the curbside recycling program. Also in 2006, a draft “Five Year Strategic Plan” was prepared by a consulting firm to recommend approaches Fort Collins could use to increase its diversion rate from 24%. ♦ Methane Flaring and Heat Recovery at the Wastewater Treatment Plant 2006 Status The City's main wastewater treatment plant currently uses a significant amount of the methane (CH4) produced from wastewater treatment processes to power boilers located at the facility. The boilers are used to keep the digesters at the proper temperature and to heat a number of buildings on the wastewater treatment site. Unused gas is flared off, emitting carbon dioxide but eliminating potent methane emissions. In 2001, a fourth anaerobic digester was built at the Drake Water Reclamation facility and a third boiler was added to the system. The total system now includes four digesters with gas storage lids and three boilers. Total gas production has not increased, but methane consumption has dropped, due to the higher efficiency of the new boiler. This process of using the heat energy generated by methane combustion for 15 power generation and flaring off the remaining gas is estimated to avoid over 4,000 tons of CO2e/year in 2006. ♦ City Employee Recycling Program 2006 Status The City has operated a successful internal recycling program since the early 1980’s. Employees are encouraged to recycle catalogues, magazines, blueprints, phone books, junk mail, office paper, cardboard, and aluminum, steel, glass, and plastic containers. Each employee is responsible for depositing recycled material into special collection containers centrally located in each building. The City contracts with a private vendor for recycling collection pick-up. Each department or building is charged a monthly fee based on the frequency of pick-up service. Table 15 shows recent greenhouse gas benefits from the internal City recycling program. Table 15. Internal City Recycling Program Tons Recycled Materials Tons CO2 reduced 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 70 75 90 115 125 118 122 124 (plus 3 tons of “Other”) 127 (Plus 10 tons 342 366 433 553 602 565 582 4131 424 1 of “Other”) 1 Calculated using the Climate Wise GHG Baseline Tool PURCHASING/ CITY ADMINISTRATION ♦ SIRE Electronic Document Archive 2006 Status Like many organizations, Fort Collins has looked to electronic document management technology as a means to control and effectively manage the explosive growth of electronic documents. Over the past several years, the City has implemented an enterprise electronic document management system called SIRE (Store Index Retrieve Exchange) and achieved reasonable success. The benefits of this system are far-reaching, and include ensuring that the organization can continues to function in the event of a disaster and the ability to protect its business and legal interests. SIRE enables the organization to share documents throughout City departments, anticipate customers' needs by making public records more available (i.e., over the Internet), and reduce the need for mass duplication and physical storage of documents. By the end of 2006, over 2 million pages of documents were archived, with 925,00 pages added to the archive since 2004. GHG benefits are calculated based on the reduced need to manufacture paper. CLIMATE CHANGE EDUCATION AND OUTREACH ♦ Climate Education and Outreach Efforts 2006 Status Climate Staffing Numerous City staff supported climate protection by serving on the interdepartmental Energy Management Team. This Team was convened by the City Manager to oversee implementation 16 of the City’s Local Action Plan to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions. The Team met approximately every two months throughout 2005 and 2006. In 2005/2005, Climate Wise program staffing was maintained at a level 0f 1.0 FTE, in addition to the City staff working on the Climate Wise team. In addition, financial support for consulting assistance was provided to the Climate Wise program from the city budget. Public Education and Outreach Climate Change educational display was placed in City offices periodically throughout 2005/2006 and the Climate Protection Web page was maintained. The 2006 “Track to Win” Air Quality contest focused on the theme of climate protection and was launched at the fall 2006 Rocky Mountain Sustainability Living Fair. Participants were asked to track their carbon-reducing behaviors for a two month period and then submit their tracking sheets to be entered into prize drawings. 189 citizen participated, reducing a total of 349 tons CO2e through their efforts. Actions included 180 ‘first time” behaviors for participants. Climate Wise Partner Recognition In April 2006, the first annual EnvirOvation – A Climate Wise Showcase was held to recognize existing partners and recruit new partners. The event was held at the Fort Collins Holiday Inn, in conjunction with the Northern Colorado Business report’s first annul “Green Summit”. 17 V. FUTURE ACTIONS In 2006, the Energy Management Team began to discuss the need to update Fort Collins climate plan, recognizing that we are not on track to meet the 2010 goal. In the fall of 2006, the Fort Collins Sustainability Group approached City Council, asking for a task force to be formed to update the plan. In March of 2007, City Council passed Resolution 2007-015, authorizing the City Manager to convene a task force to update Fort Collins climate plan and recommend a future direction for climate protection. In light of the anticipated Task Force work, the Energy Management Team did not take further steps to recommend future actions for inclusion in this status report. 18 APPENDIX A GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS ANALYSIS EMISSIONS FACTORS and DATA SOURCES 19 Background Over time, emission factors used to calculate both Fort Collins’ emissions inventory and the CO2 benefit of measures have evolved. In 2003, all emissions inventories were updated to use the best emissions factors available at that time. In 2007, three changes were made to calculation methodology: • Communitywide VMT data were obtained form the NFR MPO TransCad model for Fort Collins, instead of using the City’s 2001 LUTRAQ projection of 4.9% annual VMT growth rate. • Municipal solid waste was calculated using an updated Larimer County Landfill Waste Characterization (2006 vs. 1997) and the total tons of municipal solid waste were calculated based on data compiled by Skumatz for the development of the Solid Waste Strategic Plan. • CO2e emissions from methane flaring at the Wastewater treatment facilities were added to the inventory. The emissions factors used and the changes discussed in more detail below. EMISSIONS FACTORS Electricity kWh x .003412 = MMBTU MMBTU x 0.249 = 2005 Tons CO2 for citywide emission inventory MMBTU x 0.249 = 2006 Tons CO2 for citywide emission inventory MMBTU x 0.136** = Tons CO2 for electricity reduction measures History of the “Average” and “Marginal” Emissions factors used in Fort Collins’ Status Report Average Factor Marginal Factor Year (tons CO2/MMBtu) (tons CO2/MMBtu) 1990, 1995, 1997 0.214 0.334 2000, 2001, 2002 0.214 0.308 2003 0.242 0.136 2004 0.247 0.136 2005 0.249 0.136 2006 0.249 0.136 Average Emission Rate for City Resource Mix – the total CO2 emissions resulting from all the resources that make up a city’s energy supply (hydro, coal, gas, renewables) divided by the city’s total annual energy use. This is the value used when det4ermining a city’s carbon inventory for electricity purchased by PRPA. Marginal Emission Rate – the avoided CO2 emissions that results from energy conservation or renewable energy generation. This figure is based on the fact that as conservation or renewables reduce the need for other generation, the marginal generation resources with the highest variable cost will be taken off line first. High cost resources tend to have lower-than-average CO2 emissions. 20 Data from PRPA on Electricity Emissions Factors 3/25/2003, and 3/15/05 Weighted Average Emissions Factor Trend Share of Platte River Resource Mix Coal Gas Hydro Wind Purchases* 64.8% 35.2% 0.0% 66.4% 33.5% 0.1% 67.8% 32.0% 0.2% 69.2% 30.2% 0.6% 76.8% 22.5% 0.7% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 - Average 73.0% 2.0% 24.0% 1.0% 2004 - Average 74.0% 3.0% 21.0% 2.0% 2004 - Marginal 10.7% 89.3% 2005 - Average 73.0% < 1% 19.0% 1.0% 2005 - marginal** 2006 - Average 2006 - Marginal * 2005 Rawhide extended outage led to more outside purchases ** 2005 marginal rate calculation methodology changed 6.0% Weighted average emissions factor lbs CO2 per tons CO2 per MWh MMBtu 1,360.8 1,394.4 1,423.8 1,453.2 1,612.8 1,652.6 1,686.0 930.3 1,698.0 1,380.0 1,698.0 1,380.0 - Natural Gas MMBTU x 0.0616 = Tons CO2 for citywide emission inventory and natural gas reduction measures Transportation MPG from original GHG Emissions Inventory, other Conversion Factors from the CACP Software, June 2005 M PG G asoline/gasohol C ar Lttrck/psngrvan O thertruck(hdgv) Bus/other D ieselfuel C ar Lttrck/psngrvan O thertruck(H D D V) Bus/other Propane C ar Lttrck/psngrvan CNG C ar gallons to MMBTU M M B TU to tons C O 2e 19.70 14.30 8.00 0.125 0.125 0.125 0.125 0.0824 0.0824 0.0824 0.0824 30.00 17.00 5.00 4.90 0.122 0.122 0.122 0.122 0.086 0.086 0.086 0.086 14.28 10.37 0.091 0.091 0.0723 0.0723 19.70 0.091 0.0616 21 0.199 0.204 0.209 0.213 0.236 0.242 0.247 0.136 0.249 0.202 0.249 0.202 - Solid Waste Emissions Inventory Factors (Tons MSW x Coefficient = Tons CO2e) Coeff 1.21035 1.12964 (0.16136) (0.24207) 0.0 Paper & paper products Food waste Plant debris Wood, furniture, textiles All other waste Source: CACP Software, June 2005 Recycling Material Factor Cardboard Glass Aluminum Steel Plastic (avg HDPE/PET) HDPE Plastic PET plastic Newspaper Office Paper Mixed Office Paper Mixed General paper Household Paper Magazines Phone Books Text books Fiberboard General mixed paper Wood Mixed Recyclables 3.873 0.322 17.752 2.017 2.078 1.977 2.179 3.428 6.779 5.084 3.711 3.51 2.829 3.476 7.267 1.698 3.711 1.694 3.817 Source: CACP Software, June 2003 2005/2006 EMISSION AUDIT ELECTRICITY Data Source: Fort Collins Utilities, Ellen Switzer, Fort Collins Utilities, (970) 221-6714 (These data are not weather normalized.) Residential kWh Commercial kWh Industrial kWh 2005 453,822,000 482,959,000 495,786,000 2006 467,812,000 481,341,000 454,720,000 22 When calculating tons CO2, the coefficient of 0.249 tons CO2/ MMBtu was used, as requested by Platte River Power Authority. This emission factor takes into account the mix of sources for local electricity (Rawhide, hydro, and a small amount of wind energy) during 2005 and 2006. NATURAL GAS Data Source: Xcel Energy, Glenn Monroe, Xcel Energy, (303)294-2392; [email protected] Weather Adjusted NORMAL SALES (therms) 33,428,360 13,482,290 29,997,690 76,908,340 2005 Natural Gas Residential Commercial Industrial TOTAL 2006 ACTUAL SALES NORMAL HDD ACTUAL HDD WEATHER NORMAL FACTOR 6238 5550 1.12396 BASE LOAD HEATING LOAD 759,892 402,963 2,162,768 818,137 WEATHER ADJ HEATING LOAD NORMAL SALES RESIDENTIAL COMMERCIAL IND & TRANSPORT 3,047,776 3,047,776 TOTAL 7,191,536 7,561,049 2,922,660 1,221,100 2,430,865 919,553 TRANSPORTATION Communitywide VMT have been calculated for Fort Collins from 2001 through 2004 based on the 2001 City LUTRAQ Team report that estimates a VMT growth rte of 4.9%/year for 19901998. (See http://fcgov.com/climateprotection/pdf/ctf-res-lutraq.pdf .) The LUTRAQ report projected this annual growth rate out to the year 2005, as shown in the table below. City VMT Estimates YEAR 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 LUTRAQ TOTAL DAILY VMT IN THE FORT COLLINS COMMUNITY GROWTH AREA (based on 4.9%/ yr growth) 2,800,000 2,930,000 3,080,000 3,230,000 3,390,000 3,550,000 3,730,000 3,910,000 City VMT Estimate (2007) 2,531,071 2,629,354 2,727,637 2,825,920 2,924,203 3,022,486 23 3,190,757 1,322,516 The LUTRAQ estimated annual VMT growth rate, while based on a sound methodology in 2001, becomes less certain as times goes on. It does not reflect ground-truth data since 2001. Additionally, it is not sensitive enough to reflect any actual changes in VMT levels as a result of mode shift or reduced driving. For these reasons, the 2005 and 2006 Fort Collins VMT in this status report was based on modeled data taken from the NFR MPO TransCad model. It is appropriate to shift to this data source in 2005, since the model was calibrated against traffic counts in 2005. Changing methodology, however, results in an apparent rather than actual drop in VMT between 2004 and 2005. Summary of Community-Wide VMT estimates for Fort Collins used in Status Reports Year Annual VMT Data Source 2000 1,062,735,845 Applying 6.3% annul growth rate from 1998 VMT levels 2001 1,065,900,000 LUTRAQ growth estimate - 3,230,00 VMT/day * 330 2002 1,118,700,000 LUTRAQ growth estimate - 3,390,00 VMT/day * 330 2003 1,171,500,000 LUTRAQ growth estimate - 3,550,00 VMT/day * 330 2004 1,230,900,000 LUTRAQ growth estimate - 3,730,00 VMT/day * 330 2005 997,420,380 City VMT = 3,022,486/ day * 330 day/yr (Traffic Count Calibrated TransCad model data) 2006 1,029,853,770 City VMT = 3,120,769/ day * 330 day/yr Carbon emissions from the transportation sector are calculated as follows. Fuel consumption, by fuel type, was calculated using the following steps: 1) Identify total Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT). Annual VMT for 2005 = 997,420,380 Annual VMT for 2006 = 1,029,853,770 2) Apportion total VMT among the percentage of vehicle types in Fort Collins estimated by the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment (CDPHE) for emissions modeling purposes. 3) Multiply the annual number of miles driven (by fuel type) by an estimated MPG to yield gallons fuel consumed 4) Apply emissions coefficients to convert from gallons of fuel to BTU’s to CO2. 24 Vehicle type VMT percent Gasoline car Gasoline light truck Gasoline heavy truck Diesel car Diesel light truck Diesel heavy duty 50.0 38.0 3.6 0.1 0.2 8.1 VMT Mix - MPO Mobile Model LDGV LDGT1234 HDGV Earlier 63.6 28.9 2.3 6/'2004 50.00 37.98 3.57 Avg MPG 19.7 14.3 8.0 30.0 17.0 5.0 LDDV 0.9 0.12 Conversion factor Conversion factor 0.125 MMBtu/gallon 0.125 MMBtu/gallon 0.125 MMBtu/gallon 0.122 MMBtu/gallon 0.122 MMBtu/gallon 0.122 MMBtu/gallon 0.0824 tons Co2/MMBtu 0.0824 tons Co2/MMBtu 0.0824 tons Co2/MMBtu 0.086 tons Co2/MMBtu 0.086 tons Co2/MMBtu 0.086 tons Co2/MMBtu LDDT 0.4 0.16 HDDV TOTAL 3.9 100 8.14 100 SOLID WASTE The method for calculating solid waste in Fort Collins was modified again slightly as compared to the 2003/2004 status report. For 2005, the solid waste emissions inventories were calculated using the reported trash hauler tons PLUS the “unaccounted for tonnage” revealed by a 2004 SERA study. 2005 MSW = 237,747 tons. Similarly, for 2006, the total tons MSW are 203,666, including the trash hauler data plus 50 unaccounted for tons. The conversion from tons MSW to tons CO2 was calculated by the CACP software (June 2005) using the following characterization of landfill waste. The landfill waste characterization report can be found at http://www.larimer.org/solidwaste/WasteSort.htm 2006 Old data used in past reports 1997** 25.50% 13.20% 6.60% 11.20% 43.50% 100 % 23.6 7.1 13.4 22.6 33.3 100 % Percent of Waste Material Paper Food Waste Plant Debris Wood/Textiles All Other Total _____________________________________________________________________________________ Please contact Lucinda Smith at the City of Fort Collins Natural Resources Department (970) 224-6085 with any comments or questions about information contained in this Appendix. 25
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