January 1, 2014 Actuarial Valuation of the City of Fort Collins General Employees’ Retirement Plan Joel E. Stewart, ASA, EA, MAAA Katie Antoline, ASA, MAAA March 13, 2014 This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. Certification – Except as otherwise indicated in this presentation, the explanatory notes contained in our draft January 1, 2014 actuarial valuation report, including statements of reliance and limitations on use, continue to apply. This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. 1 Purposes of the Valuation – Review demographic and financial experience – Determine the funded status of the plan – Provide financial reporting information pursuant to accounting standards This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. 2 Highlights 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Market Value of Assets Actuarial Value of Assets Ratio Discount Rate for Liabilities Present Value of Projected Benefits Actuarial Liability Unfunded Actuarial Liability 8. Actuarial Liability in Excess of the Market Value of Assets 9. Funded Percentage 10. Funded Percentage – MVA Basis 2014 2013 $ 44,692,556 $ 41,530,376 92.9% 6.5% $ 39,489,447 $ 38,940,438 98.6% 6.8% $ 58,760,427 $ 56,182,808 $ 14,652,432 $ 57,348,259 $ 54,682,992 $ 15,742,554 $ 11,490,252 $ 15,193,545 73.9% 71.2% 79.5% 72.2% This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. 3 Data Reconciliation 1/1/2013 Rehire Actives Term Vested 140 129 185 454 N/A N/A 0 N/A Retired Total Terminations (2) 2 N/A 0 Retirements (6) (5) 11 0 0 (1) (6) (7) (4) (4) 0 (8) 0 0 0 0 (12) (8) 5 (15) Deaths Cash Outs Other Net Change 1/1/2014 128 121 190 This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. 439 4 Summary of Plan Participants This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. 5 Financial Data - 2013 1. Market Value – 1/1/2013 2. Income a. Contributions b. Income and appreciation c. Total 3. Disbursements a. Monthly benefits b. Lump sum payments c. Expenses d. Total $ 39,489,065 $ 2,067,363 7,201,472 9,268,835 $ $ $ 2,170,022 1,874,306 21,016 4,065,344 4. Net Increase/(Decrease) $ 5,203,491 5. Market Value – 1/1/2014 $ 44,692,556 This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. 6 Return on Market Value of Assets Net of Expenses 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% 10.1% 13.8% -0.2% 8.8% 18.7% 20.5% 18.8% 9.5% 8.5% 12.2% 13.6% 21.1% 11.1% 11.6% 10.5% -3.1% -3.5% -9.3% -4.0% -20% -26.5% -30% Assumed Return Actual Return This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. 7 Calculation of Actuarial Value of Assets Original Amount Recognized This Year Recognized in the Future 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 $ 6,829,340 1,133,859 (4,174,766) 1,543,072 4,599,341 $ 1,365,868 226,772 (834,953) 308,614 919,869 $ Total $ 9,930,846 $ 1,986,170 $ 3,162,180 Percent Remaining 0 226,772 (1,669,906) 925,842 3,679,472 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Market Value of Assets – 12/31/2013 Gain/(Loss) Deferred Preliminary Actuarial Value of Assets $ 44,692,556 3,162,180 $ 41,530,376 Actuarial Value of Assets (subject to 20% Corridor) Ratio to Market Value $ 41,530,376 92.9% This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. 8 Asset Values since 1995 $50 Millions $40 $30 $20 Actuarial Value of Assets Market Value of Assets This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. 9 Cost Method - Liabilities Actuarial Liability This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. 10 Entry Age Normal Cost Method Present Value of Benefits $58,760,427 Act. Liability and PVFNC $56,182,808 $2,577,619 Normal Cost $487,063 This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. 11 Entry Age Normal Cost Method Actuarial Liability $56,182,808 $41,530,376 Assets Unfunded (UAL) $14,652,432 This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. 12 Gain/Loss 1. Actual UAL, 1/1/2013 2. Expected changes during 2013 $ 15,742,554 (545,822) 3. Expected UAL, 1/1/2014 $ 15,196,732 Changes: 4. Asset (gain)/loss 5. Salary change different than assumed 6. Pensioner Mortality Experience 7. Retirement and other terminations 8. Other demographic 9. Change in Investment Return assumption 10. Total $ (1,986,170) (273,473) 125,032 (111,573) 60,921 1,640,963 $ (544,300) 11. Actual UAL, 1/1/2014 $ 14,652,432 This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. 13 GASB Statements No. 67 and 68 1. Replace GASB 25/27 2. 67: Effective for plan fiscal years > 6/15/2013 68: Effective for employer fiscal years > 6/15/2014 3. “Net Pension Liability” (NPL) recognized on employer’s balance sheet • NPL = difference between Actuarial Accrued Liability under Entry Age Normal and Market Value of Assets (no smoothing) • Current balance sheet item = Net Pension Obligation (asset) 4. Discount rate change for severely underfunded plans without a sound funding policy 5. Expense replaces ARC (more volatile) 6. Expanded disclosures (“Required Supp. Information”) This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. 14 GASB Statements No. 67 and 68 (continued) December 31, 2013 Net Pension Obligation (NPO) $3,203,138 Actuarial Liability in Excess of the Market Value of Assets $11,490,252 This work product was prepared solely to provide assistance to the City of Fort Collins and the General Employees’ Retirement Committee. It may not be appropriate for other purposes. Milliman does not intend to benefit and assumes no duty or liability to other parties who receive this work. 15 Projection of Contributions, Benefit Payments, and Market Value of Assets $50 Millions $40 $30 $20 $10 $0 Market Value of Assets Contributions Benefit Payments Assumes Market Value of Assets earns 6.5% per annum, and contributions are 10.5% of compensation. Includes excess contributions of $1,120,000 for 2014 - 2033. 16 Projection of Contributions, Benefit Payments, and Market Value of Assets $50 Millions $40 $30 $20 $10 $0 Market Value of Assets Contributions Benefit Payments Assumes Market Value of Assets earns 6.5% per annum, and contributions are 10.5% of compensation. Includes excess contributions of $1,120,000 for 2014 - 2025. 17 Projection of Contributions, Benefit Payments, and Market Value of Assets Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 Market Value 44,692,556 46,079,632 47,148,706 47,858,281 48,323,601 48,599,531 48,442,356 48,104,780 47,612,862 46,985,738 46,133,983 45,319,586 44,407,643 42,389,410 40,177,576 37,975,940 35,691,877 33,484,434 31,191,343 28,891,825 Expected Contribution 1,976,381 1,906,691 1,830,897 1,746,639 1,677,039 1,603,577 1,529,805 1,467,884 1,415,480 1,367,721 1,330,155 1,299,247 155,093 132,131 114,404 97,309 83,375 69,521 59,023 46,040 Benefit Payment 3,423,585 3,748,864 4,088,206 4,284,831 4,427,593 4,790,608 4,881,294 4,947,228 4,994,423 5,124,357 4,996,594 5,008,493 4,877,990 4,915,067 4,747,802 4,671,513 4,439,149 4,368,843 4,219,767 4,028,875 Year 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 2053 Market Value Expected Contribution 26,626,064 24,481,707 22,388,371 20,317,142 18,316,811 16,410,833 14,620,020 12,934,129 11,312,902 9,825,824 8,472,843 7,234,542 6,090,624 5,066,549 4,140,083 3,303,659 2,549,298 1,868,764 1,253,794 696,274 Assumes Market Value of Assets earns 6.5% per annum, and contributions are 10.5% of compensation. Includes excess contributions of $1,120,000 for 2014 - 2025. 38,634 31,144 24,695 20,368 16,029 11,912 8,434 5,607 2,875 1,776 1,280 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Benefit Payment 3,760,791 3,568,427 3,408,312 3,204,449 2,982,313 2,746,174 2,527,839 2,355,743 2,120,507 1,895,392 1,698,119 1,526,933 1,338,302 1,178,741 1,032,646 899,939 780,366 673,435 578,481 494,729 18
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