DOCKET SECTION $2 j BEFORE THE POSTAL RATE COMMISSfplj WASHINGTON D.C. 20268-0001 POSTAL RATE AND FEE CHANGES, Rebuttal Docket No. R97-1 1997) Testimony DR. JOHN of HALDI on Behalf of VAL-PAK DIRECT MARKETING SYSTEMS, INC., VAL-PAK DEALERS’ ASSOCIATION, INC., AND CAROL WRIGHT PROMOTIONS, INC. William J. Olson John S. Miles Alan Woll John F. Callender, Jr. WILLIAM J. OLSON, P.C. 8180 Greensboro Dr., Suite 1070 McLean, Virginia 22102-3823 (703) 356-5070 Counsel for Val-Pak Direct Marketing Systems, Inc., Val-Pak Dealers’ Association, Inc., and Carol Wright Promotions, Inc. March 9, 1998 VPICW-RT-I BEFORE THE POSTAL RATE COMMISSION WASHINGTON D.C. 20268-0001 POSTAL RATE AND FEE CHANGES, Rebuttal 1997) IDocket No. R97-1 Testimony DR. JOHN of HALDI on Behalf of VAL-PAR DIRECT MARKETING SYSTEMS, INC., VAL-PAK DEALERS’ ASSOCIATION, INC., AND CAROL WRIGHT PROMOTIONS, INC. William J. Olson John S. Miles Alan Wall John F. &Render, Jr. WILLIAM J. GLSON, P.C. 8180 Greensboro Dr., Suite 1070 McLean, Virginia 22102-3823 (703) 356-5070 Counsel for Val-Pak Direct Marketing Systems, Inc., Val-Pak Dealers’ Association, and Carol Wright Promotions, March 9, 1998 Inc., Inc. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page AUTOBIOGRAPHICAL I. II. III. PURPOSE SKETCH OF TESTIMONY. WITNESS CHOWN’S OF AWRIBUTABLE .. ... .... . . . . .. . .. . . . PROPOSED REARRANGEMENT COSTS . . . . 1. . . . . . . WITNESS CLIFTON’S PROPOSAL TO REDUCE RATES FOR THE SECOND AND THIRD OUNCE OF WORKSHARED FIRST-CLASS MAIL AND INCREASE RATES FOR STANDARD A htAIL BY A CORRESPONDING AMOUNT . . . . . . 1. . 1 1 2 18 1 AUTOBIOGRAPHICAL Please see VPICW-T-1, 3 SKETCH pp. 1-2, Tr. 27/15040-41. I. PURPOSE OF TESTIMONY 4 This testimony is divided into two distinct 5 Part I critiques witness 6 rearranging 7 and explains 8 Commission. attributable 10 (ABANAA-T-l), 11 subsidy 12 proposal (NAA-T-1) proposed method of costs for purposes of assigning institutional costs why that method should not be used or adopted~ by the Part II critiques 9 Chown’s parts. certain in particular of Standard aspects of the testimony his unsupported assertions A Mail, as well as his unfounded to change the coverages on First-Class by witness Clifton concerning and unjustified and Standard A Mail cross- 2 1 2 3 II. WITNESS Description of Chown’s 4 Witness 5 “rearrangement” 6 purposes 7 substantially 8 described 9 rearrangement 10 of attributable NAA-T- 1, proposes a subclasses of mail, solely for costs. Her rearrangement from actual attributable costs that it justifiably Table 1 compares actual attributable of those costs, which her testimony differs so can be costs with her calls “weighted costs.” It is worth noting that witness 12 the overall level of attribution. 13 aspect of her proposal 14 columns 15 individual 16 indicated 17 percent 18 costs between institutional as dramatic. REARRANG~EMENT COSTS Proposal Chown, in her direct testimony, of assigning attributable 11 CHOWN’S PROPOSED OF ATTRIBUTABLE Chown’s methodology Perhaps the easiest way to visualize is to observe,that this the totals shown at the bottom of 1 and 2 of Table 1 are exactly equal. amounts does not change At the same time, the shown on each row of Table I differ substantially, by the percentages in column 3, which vary drastically as from 27 to 210 percent. The methodology in witness used to develop the amounts 19 described 20 Suffice it to say that under witness 21 “weighted attributable Chown’s testimony, shown in column 2 is and need not be repeated Chown’s methodology, here. the total of her costs” will always equal total actual attributable costs 3 1 Consequently, in my opinion, it is appropriate 2 a rearranging of attributable costs. Witness Chown recommen.ds that these 3 rearranged 4 coverages used to assign all institutional 5 mail.’ 6 actual attributable 7 revenues for each subclass. attributable costs be used as the basis for developing Under her scheme, institutional TT. 25113381. as the costs to each class and subclass of costs thus assigned wauld be added to costs, which sum would become the basis of target 1 to describe her methodology 4 TABLE 2 3 4 Actual 1 and Weighted Attributable Costs by Function Test Year After Rates (000) 5 6 7 8 9 10 Actual Attributable costs (1) 11 12 13 16 17 18 Sources: Column Column 1, Exhibit 2, Exhibit NAA-lB, p. 1. NM- 1D. Witness Chown’s Weighted Attributable costs (2) Weighted as a Percent of Actual (3) 5 1 Witness 2 Chown’s Witness Weighted Attributable Chown’s weighted Costs attributable 3 institutional 4 window 5 costs which are not “identifiable” 6 “system-wide” 7 witness 8 piggybacked) 9 attributed 10 functions 11 had no “identSable” 12 Chown’s methodology 13 identical. None of the four functions 14 the higher the level of attribution, 15 is weighted. 16 weight costs are derived. from the costs that she considers to be ‘iden&able” service, mail processing, institutional transportation, and delivery. costs. The actual attributable include were 100 percent institutional are termed costs in each of both direct and indirect costs, and her “identifiable” direct and indirect Institutional with any of these four functions Chown’s four functions (i.e., costs indude non- costs. If all direct costs in any one of these attributable, institutional and the function costs whatsoever,’ actual and weighted Conversely, with four functions: also then under witness attributable has 100 percent in question costs would be attributable costs, but, the lower the factor by which the function the lower the level of attribution, the greater the that is assigned. 2 Under witness Chown’s methodology, attributable costs within each function include indirect piggybacked attributable costs, and her “identifiable” institutional costs include institutional costs associated with piggybacked costs. Thus, even if mail processing is treated as 100 percc.nt. attributable, the indirecl. costs that are piggybackad onto mail processing could give rise t,o “idrntifial~~lr” institutional costs. 6 1 2 The Assignment Witness of Institutional Costs Chown proposes “that the Commission 3 institutional costs” - 4 institutional costs - 5 using actual attributable 6 continue 7 3622(b) of the Act when determining 8 same time, she is “not proposing 9 to each subclass of mail” nor is she “proposing that is, the sum of “identifiable” costs.“3 She further to apply its judgmental assessment of the factors under Section Witness Chown Builds Her Judgment Rate-Making Criteria into the Basis of Institutional Cost Assignments At the of institutional costs any specihc ‘shift’ of costs from one subclass to another.“’ The critical question that naturally 15 Chown hope to obtain from her proposal, 16 institutional 17 question, on arises is: what result costs should in fact be assigned? it is useful to explore two “extreme” attributable does witness since she declines to indicate hypotheticals. adopted witness costs, but after due consideration 3 Tr. 25113381 (emphasis in original). 4 Tr. 25/13382. 5 Tr. 25113381. how In order to analyze this First, let us suppose that the Commission weighted cost assignments.“‘l any specific assignment 11 12 13 19 proposes “that the Commission institutional institutional 18 and “system-tide” “to subclasses of mail based upon the fact,ors in the Act 10 14 assign total Chown’s it decided to retain 7 1 the Postal Service’s proposed contributions 2 class and subclass of mail. 3 mark-ups 4 the Commission 5 interprets 6 arrive at and justify 7 acknowledges that use of her weighted 8 the possibility of this outcome, it clearly is not her desired result on weighted Clearly, attributable as witness and applies the various the new mark-ups. dramatically, and the way it Although attributable witness Chown costs doe:s not preclude let us suppose that the Commission to interpret 11 Service has in its filing, 12 Postal Service has proposed to witness 13 Under 14 some subclasses 15 would rightly 16 altered outcomes. 17 witness Chow& 18 criterion7 were the non-cost factors of the Act in the same way as the Postal this hypothetical, 7 Chown herself points out, the non-cost factors of the Act in order to 10 G costs from each cost would need to be quite different, would have to alter, perhaps As our second hypothetical, 9 to institutional and therefore apply the same mark-ups Chown’s weighted it is clear that the institutional of mail would be dramatically ask what in witness different.” Chown’s methodology attributable or it has implicitly has implicitly given extremely costs. costs assigned to Concerned parties has caused such The answer can be viewed in one of two ways. methodology that the Either added a new rate-making heavy and unprecedented Tr. 25/13421, 11.7-8. Witness Chown does not explicitly formulate any such criterion, but. it; would embody her repeated desire to “reflect the benefit each class receives from [identifiable] institutional costs.” Tr. 25/13421, 11.23-24. In fact,, witness CbJwn explicitly denies that her methodology adds a new criterion t,o the Act. Tr. 25113424, 11.18-19. 8 1 weight to her particular interpretation of one of the existing statutory 2 3 To the extent that witness Chown’s methodology 4 implicitly 5 inappropriate 6 examine, in light of the existing criteria, 7 following explanatory which she appeared 8 motivation adding a new non-cost criterion of the Act. Let us therefore her methodology along with the to offer ,as the essential for her change:’ 9 10 11 I think it is unfair to ask people with high mail processing transportation costs to contribute large amounts to the institutional costs of the delivery function. 12 In focusing on “fairness,” 13 centered on her interpretation 14 opinion, her methodology 15 her interpretation 16 analysis 17 witness Chown’s methodology of criterion 1, fairness would place unprecedented of criterion and application Assertions of the non-cost criteria to the contrary methodology 19 application of the non-cost criteria 20 discretion,. Rather, 21 Commission of attributable and un’due emphasis witness Clnown’s costs do not leave spin on criterion even begins to examine how institutional Tr. 25/13430, II. 17-19. begins its of the Act to the Commission’s she applies her narrow In my of the Act. notwithstanding, and her rearrangement and is clearly and equity. 1, even before the Commission 18 8 as to Section 3622(b), :it clearly is and must be rejected as violative statement can be understood unfettered 1 before the costs ought to be on 9 1 assigned. Witness Chown does not say whether 2 also get a second round of application 3 appears to view “fairness” 4 other than the one she attributes 5 costs with certain 6 attributable 7 unfair, 8 reasonable 9 heavily 10 highly in determining to it-the subclasses of mail. coverage factors. identification For example, ifit to criterion favors not loading prepared of what is fair and 6, degree of mailer institutional or application of institutional would have to lean over backwards consideration She were to rearrange costs in a way that reflects her perception the Commission 1 would or should as though it could have no meaning to give preparation, costs on those mailers which who enter ECR mail, often at DDUs. In sum, while ostensibly 11 criterion discretion leaving undiminished to exercise its judgment the Commission’s 12 ultimate 13 witness 14 its own into the basis she would have the Commission 15 weighted. 16 undoubtedly 17 judgments, 18 Should the Commission 19 be forced either to yield, at least partially, 20 fairness, 21 interprets Chown’s proposed attributable approach builds on institutional a large judgment.al is meant to exercise a prior influence component use -- namely, costs. Witness Chown’s proposed in line with her personal cost assignments, of heI approach on the Cammission’s view of what is fair and equitable. opt to use her rearranged attributable to her personal or else it would have to revamp totally the manner and applies the non-cost factors of the Act. costs, it would standards of in which it 10 1 2 3 Witness Chown’s Methodology Would Introduce a Middle Tier of Costs Into the RateSetting Process 4 By witness Chown’s own admission, she lacks any causzal basis by 5 which her “identifiable” 6 of mail. 7 and the Supreme 8 distributing 9 mail all costs “through variability 10 inferences to be the consequence 11 (ii) the Commission 12 services that signticant 13 that may reasonably 14 cost-of-service 15 subject to discretionary 16 in the Act,.“’ Despite rejection 17 decision, it would appear that witness 18 the Commission 19 somehow bears responsibility 20 institutional institutional costs can be attributed to any subclass She is of course aware that at one time a lower court first mandated, 9 Court later rejected, the following costs: (i) first, the Commission of causation of providing to each class of okher reasonable the service”; costs of the IPostal Service to each on the basis of bl3st available and (iii) finally, allocation method for among the mail cla.sses and of all remaining be assigned estimates”; must attribute theory as well as through “must then distribute portion “three-tier” “the residuum of costs is in accord with the noncost factors set forth of the middle tier by the Supreme Chown nevertheless should use a methodology Court feels strongly that which ensures that each subclass for its “fair share” of her “identifiable” costs, which in her view can be reasonably assigned by see &&&s’n of ChetinJ: Card Puhli& v. postal Service, 569 F.2d 570, 589 (D.C. Cir., 1976) (emphasis added), mandat.ing the Ybree-tier” method. This methodology was disapproved by the Supreme Court, in iVA(X:P v. ce.I 462 US 810 (1983). 11 weighting service the attributable estimates, Her “weighted a clever, thinly-disguised the Supreme middle 7 8 9 10 attributable effort to reinstitute the type of approach costs by mechanistically rejected by take into account a linking her “identitiable” costs with each subclass of mail. Witness Chown’s Classification of Institutional Costs Ignores Incremental and Improperly Treats “System Related” Institutional Costs 11 costs” can thlus be viewed as Court’s decision, and have the Commission tier of institutional institutional costs of each subclass on the basis of her cost-of- At page 8 of her testimony, NAA-T-1, 12 institutional costs speciiicaXy 13 institutional costs, but in addition 14 institutional costs that cannot be specifically 15 function,” 16 NAA-1C 17 while tot‘al institutional 18 $26,997,063,000. 19 follows identified Costs witness with each function (thousands): institutional costs shown in Exhibit Her dichotomy as “identifiable” to these “there is still a large pool of which she refers to as “system-wide” shows her “identifiable” Chown defines associated with any particular institutional costs. Exhibit costs as $18,2161,239,000, NAA-lA, p. 5, amount to thus breaks down institutional costs as 12 1 Identifiable 2 System-wide 3 Total 4 Witness Chown’s $26,997,063 dichotomy 5 the Postal Service presents 6 incremental 7 variable 8 develops in her testimony 9 must therefore 10 Witness 11 subset of non-volume 12 either “identifiable” 13 By definition, 14 mail, along with witness 15 incremental 16 explain costs.“’ $18,261,239 e&mates For purposes costs with attributable include of her testimony, Chown’s failure of incremental to recognize incremental or “system-wide” incremental “identifiable” costs and explain institutional costs” costs.” costs as a special omission in, and of itself with specific subclasses of Chown’s four stated functions. costs among her “identifiable” .which she the extent to which they are is a glaring costs are identified and she equates volume- costs. Under this approach, some $2.8 billion variable the fact that in this docket of both volume-variable and exhibits, why an incremental 19 ignores totally institutional When she includes costs, she needs to cost that is specific to one subclass should USPS-T-30. 11 Attributable costs have heretofore been based on causality (i.e., establishing a causal nexus between costs and a subclass of mail), and have includrtl both volume variable and specific fixed costs. Now that the Postal Service has made a complete presentation of incremental costs, the Commission will: have to decide whether attributable costs will be based on incremental or volume-variable cost,s. 12 Witness Takis, USPS-T-4 1, estimates that in TYAR incremental cost,.+ exceed attributable costs by approximately 8.2 percent. 13 1 increase her weighted 2 than being restricted 3 on an incremental 4 attributable costs uniformly for all subclasses, to the one subclass to which it explicitly Let me provide one example to illustrate portion 6 variable. I costs are clearly identified 8 methodology, 9 transportation of the costs of the Eagle Network According to the testimony though, the point. are incremental, based with Express Mail. all institutional A substantial but not volume- of witness Takis, USPS-T-41, Under witness Any subclass of mail that has low density 11 transportation 12 weighted 13 the Eagle Network. 14 costs that are included in her “identifiable” 15 instead costs being singled out and expressly 16 individual 17 would obscure the direct one-to-one 18 weights, 19 there is no causal link. costs attributed attributable with given to transportation 10 of incremental to it, such as Parcel Post, wou:ld also have its costs of result would obtain with all other incremental institutional class of mail to which they pertain, would cause incremental problem costs. and has a large share of cost saddled with a share of the incremental A similar these Chown’s costs that are “identsable” would increase the weighting Yet another pertains, cost analysis. 5 20 rather relationship witness costs. That is, assigned to each Chown’s methodology and, when determining costs to be spread to subclasses with witness assign total Chown’s methodology 21 -~;ould have “the Commission institutional 22 mail based upon the factors in the Act using weighted her to which is that she costs to subclasses of attributable costs, 14 1 rather than actual attributable 2 “identifiable” 3 costs are “a better measure 4 institutional 5 explain 6 subclass benefits from system-wide 7 an explanation 8 wide institutional 9 class of mail. institutional effort.“” is lacking, 11 benefits 12 statement, 13 14 Witness Chown’s Lacks Economic attributable of how each subclass of mail benefits attributable from does she make any effort to costs are a better mea,sure of how each institutional costs. of course, is that no explanation inappropriate Tlhe reason such exists. to any specific function, to imply that witness Systemnor to any Chown’s costs are a better measure than actual costs of how each subclass from system-wide effort, because no basis exists for any such or for the way she treats “system-wide” 16 inversely proportional 17 delivery 18 a very large weight. 19 delivery function, institutional costs. Methodology Foundation As noted previously, 15 derived from her costs, she claims that her weighted costs cannot be linked It is entirely weighted By using weights At no point, however, why her weighted 10 costs.“” witness Chown’s weights to the percentage for each function of costs which are at.tributed. for example, has a low level of attribution, Her weighted delivery 11 Tr. 25/13381 (emphasis in original). 12 Tr. 25113384. The hence it receives costs are 210 percent cost, as shown in Table 1, column 3. Conversely, are of actual mail processing 15 1 has a rather high level of attribution, 2 attributable costs are only 56.1 percent of actual attributable~ 3 Since witness hence witness the non-cost factors of the Act to her weighted 5 that her methodology 6 unless the Commission 7 the profound 8 coverages and markups, 9 large amounts would not preordain effect of witness costs, she claims any speci5c outcolme. However, Chown’s weighting significant 11 Similarly, 12 transportation 13 contribution to institutional 14 explanation concerning 15 is her desired result. and transportation in their required contribution subclasses which consume little would see a substantial services would see a to institutional than faintly 18 sometimes 19 That is, it calls for large mark-ups 20 mark-ups 21 Component Pricing 22 competiti,ve environment Chown’s regards Component methodology Pricing paradigm with respect to rate design for individual on the delivery and transportation par digm is increasingly strong as fair, that doubtless Chown’s weighting of the Efficient on mail processing and increase in their requ.ired what she subjectively 17 costs. or even no mail processing costs. In light of witness At the subclass level, witness reminiscent factors when setting it seems evident that subclasses wh:ich consume of mail processing invoked attributable should apply were somehow able to find a way to counter-balance 10 16 costs. Chown does not say how the Commissio:n 4 reduction Chown’s weighted function, is more that, is rate categories. with reduced costs. The Efficient inappropriate for the changing in which the Postal Service operates. The 16 1 Commission 2 unfolding developments, ranging 3 electronic funds transfer, the increasing 4 and the Internet. 5 and the Postal Service both need to be able to take into account from alternate An analogy from the printing delivery use of toll-free industry Service with a large volume of mail) may help iuustrate I witness 8 establishment 9 Customer 10 contrast, needs a small booklet that requires 11 printing, folding, 12 Chown’s methodology, 13 overhead 14 function 15 or operating 16 (e.g., design, layout, 17 premise, 18 those customers 19 firm. A needs only stationery around the printing and binding. design, layout, function. Customer typesetting, recovery of the firm’s general administrative by placing derived from those functions typesetting, B, by If one were to apply witness that is common to all jobs (presumably presumably, the economic effect of with a simple letterhead. costs should be concentrated profit numbers, Suppose a firm has a full-service which, of course, is centered collating, telephone (which supplies, the Postal 6 Chown’s methodology. of hard copy to folding, a high mark-up printing), and on one with little mark-up used only by some customers collating, and binding). The would be that it is not fair to earn much profit from who require and use the full range of services offered by the 17 1 2 3 Conclusion In summary, I suggest that the Commission Chown’s proposed rearrangement of attributable reject use o:f witness costs because: . the approach to institutional cost assignment proposed by witness Chown unjustifiably and yet on a permanent basis builds her personal judgments on fairness and equity into the mechanics of rate design; 8 9 . the narrow conception of fairness and equity underlying above personal judgments is itself flawed; the 10 11 12 . the proposed classification of “identifiable” deals with incremental costs in an entirely manner; and costs 13 14 . the proposal institutional 15 I cannot think to change the basis for assigning costs has no foundation. of any economic justification 16 application of weighting 17 Moreover, in my opinion, 18 economics, institutional inappropriate to support system-wide the mechanistic factors such as those advocated by witness the use of such weights and set an undesirable precedent. would reflect bad Chown 18 III. 6 WITNESS CLIFTON’S PROPOSAL TO REDUCE RATES FOR THE SECOND AND THIRD OUNCE OF WORKSHARED FIRST-CLASS MAIL AND INCREASE RATES FOR STANDARD A MAIL BY A CORRESPONDING AMOUNT Description 7 of Clifton’s Witness 8 2111082934, 9 First-Class Clifton, Proposal in his direct testimony, ARA/NAA-T-1, pp. 11-16, Tr. proposes to reduce the rate for the second and third workshared ounce of letters from 23 to 12 cents per ounce, and compensate 10 for any loss of revenues through 11 a corresponding 12 immediate 13 increase 14 Class Mail and increase the coverage on Standard 15 does not indicate 16 Regular 17 under the Revenue Forgone Reform Act, an increase in the mark-up 18 commercial 19 Standard amount. Witness Clifton effect of this proposal them in Standard an increase in rates for Standard does not call attention A Mail by to one to reduce revenues in First-Class A. Namely, it would reduce the coverage on First,A Mail. Witness how he would split his proposed increase between and ECR subclasses of Standard rate Standard Clifton A Mail. attempts to justify Clifton the He does acknowledge A Mail would cause the mark-up A Mail to increase in tandem and that on on nonprofit (by one-half). 20 Witness his proposal 21 (i) the marginal 22 Class workshared 23 coverage on the second and third ounce of workshared cost associated with handling by asserting additional that ounces of First- letter mail is low, (ii) at 23 cents per oux:e the implicit letters is 920 percent, 19 1 and (iii) such a high implicit 2 other class is being cross-subsidized. 3 Mail, especially 4 rates, as the target of his cross-subsidization 5 Position 6 cost coverage must mean that mail in some Witness Clifton the lack of a rate increase in the second and third A ounce charges. of This Testimony I do not take issue with witness Clifton’s position 7 ounce (or $3.68 per pound) the rate for additional 8 seems generally 9 weight. high in relation coverage is, per se, an indication 11 well as his assertion 12 Mail is currently 13 proposed rates. 14 First-Class 15 16 The Weight-Cost Relationship of First-Class Mail that at 23 cents per ounces of First-Class to the Postal Service’s cost of handling I do, h,owever, take issue with his assertion 10 17 selects Standard of cross-subsidy Furthermore, Mail is neither to any other class of mail analyzed first person to testify, that within 19 is charged for each additional 20 in relationship First-Class Standard A in cost coverage for nor adequately This docket is not the first case to recognize, 18 within, as under the Postal Service’s his proposed reduction properly extra that a high implicit that any subclass of, or rate category being or will be subsidized Mail justified. nor is witness Clifton Mail the decremental the rate that ounce beyond the first ounce appears excessive to the Postal Service’s cost of handling extra weight. 20 1 Although 2 the weight-cost 3 suggests that the current 4 marginal 5 Postal Service’s proposed pound rates for the Standard 6 subclasses 7 pound rate is a small fraction, 8 ($0.23 per ounce) both currently the Postal Service has not submitted relationship cost incurred study concerning Mail, considerable evidence rate of 23 cents per ounce is substantially in handling are, respectively, As another 9 for First-Class a reliable example, additional weight. above the For example, the A Regular and ECR $0.65 and $0.53. Each proposed Standard less than 20 percent, of the $3.6,8 pound rate charged and proposed for First-Class the minimum A Mail. rate for up to two pounds of 10 Priority Mail is currently 11 $3.20). If this minimum 12 pound components, 13 pound, 14 on Priority 15 appears to be well under $1.50 per pound. 16 unzoned 17 @reposed by the Postal Service to increase to about $1. lo), which is well 18 below the $3.68 per-pound 19 $3.00 (proposed by the Postal Service to increase to rate were to be broken down into per-piece the weight component and per- would be less than $1.50 per and at this rate the Postal Service appears to earn a substantial Mail; i.e., for this component of First-Class As a third Mail thle average cost. Also, the current rate for a 3-, 4- and 5-pound Priority ftncremental Mail package it: $1.00 rate charged for extra ounces of First-Class example, the coverage for all First-Class 20 an average weight of 3.3 ounces, amounts 21 the average coverage for First-Class Mail. profit to 256 percent, Mail. flats, which have significantly This is yet another indication above that 21 1 the decremental 2 from additional rate for extra ounces exceeds the incremental weight.” Admittedly, 3 witness Clifton’s 4 ounces of First-Class 5 consideration. 6 issue other than his narrowly-crafted 7 second and third 8 support 9 as that advanced by witness testimony concerning Mail raises an interesting Nevertheless, issue for the Commission’s proposal proposal, letters. to limit rate relief to the Although a sharply-focused, Clifton which it can be evaluated. can benefit by having against 11 initiative, 12 the Postal Service for an under one-ounce First-Class 13 coupled with an across-the-board 14 additional 15 underlying 16 somewhat he could have proposed For example, to all First-Class A slight variation proposal some benchmarks a l-cent increase in the rate proposed bl letter (to 34 cents), decrease of 4 or 5 cents in the rate for all Such an approach Clifton is clearly broader, mailers, to the and perhaps than his proposal. might have been to increase the basic rate for a 18 First-Class 19 to two ounces could be mailed for that rate, coupled with an incremental 20 that would be applicable IS such as a more comprehensive ounces (e.g., to 18 or 19 cents per ounce). issue raised by witness the record does not piecemeal 10 17 the rate for extra there are several other ways to deal with the ounce of workshared any definitive fairer cost arming letter by 2 cents (i.e., to 35 cents), with the understanding for each additional two ounces. See NDMS-T-1, p. 34, Tr. 24112907 The rate for that up rate 22 1 additional 2 However, 3 the result would be a decrease for heavier-weight 4 Postal Service’s proposed rates of 33 cents for the first ounce and 23 cents for 5 each additional 6 $1.25, respectively. 7 each additional 8 $0.65 and $0.95, which is somewhat 9 rates.” weight might need to be increased since that rate would cover each additional Clifton two-ounce increment, pieces, For example, at the ounce, 3-ounce and s-ounce pieces would pay $0.79 and At 35 cents for the first two ounces, plus 30 cents for two ounces, the rate for 3-ounce and 5-ounce pieces would be Alternatively. 10 from 23 cents to, s;ay, 30 cents. within less than the Postal Service’s proposed the rate category of workshared 11 witness 12 refer to as “hundredweight” 13 workshared 14 acceptance 15 applied to the total weight of the mailing.‘” 16 involve any rate averaging for additional 17 Instead, under hundredweight 18 mailer’s weight Fi~rst-Class Mail, might have proposed a rate design that shippers pricing. Under this approach, sometimes the: postage for mail, which is always entered in bulk at a Postal Service unit, would consist of a fixed amount pricing, per piece, plus a pound rate Hundredweight weight, does not, even I-ounce increments. each additional and postage, and mailers pricing insert increases always have an incentive a to 14 Witness Clifton registers strong objection to the fact, that rates within Standard A are averaged over the first 3.3 ounces. By averaging rates over t,woounce increments, the structure for First-Class rates would become more like that. for Standard A. This, arguably, would also simplify First.-Class rates. 15 This is the way postage is computed for St,andard A bulk mail l.bat, exceeds the breakpoint of 3.3 ounces per piece. 23 1 restrain the weight 2 without any reduction 3 the actual postage paid by worksharing 4 illustrated 5 first ounce plus 23 cents for each additional 6 pricing, 7 a minimum 8 9 of their mail at the margin. in nominal At the same time, even rates, hundredweight mailers. pricing would reduce This can be readily using the proposed rates for single piece mail (i.e., 33 cents for the ounce). Under hundredweight the rate would be 10 cents per piece plus $3.68 per pound, subject to rate that averages 33 cents per piece.‘” Using the preceding 1,600 pieces, each weighing assumptions, 1.5 ounces. consider the rate for a mailing of Under proposed rates, each piece 10 would pay 56 cents (33 + 23 cents), for a total of $896. Under hundredweight, 11 pricing, 12 times $3.68, or $553, for a total of $712. In this particular 13 postage would be 20 percent less than the single piece rate, even though 14 rate for additional 15 ounce). 16 the mailer would pay 10 cents per piece, or $160, plus 150 pounds weight is $3.68 (which is equivalent It is not the purpose 17 preceding alternatives, 18 substitute for the proposal 19 the Commission 20 workshared of my testimony the to 23 cents per to propose at this time any of the or any other alternative advanced by witness needs to recognize that mailers letters example, the total for that matter, Clifton. as a At the same time, of 2- and 3-ounce are not the only ones that are disadvantaged by the 23 16 For simplicity, this example ignores the various presort and prebarcode discounts which would continue to he applicable to all workshared mail. 24 1 cent rate for each additional 2 excessively 3 mailers 4 would likely complicate 5 Commission might find equally high. Witness ounce of First-Class Clifton’s and should be evaluated proposal A piecemeal, 7 could wind up balkanizing 8 the Commission 9 additional were found to be ignores the needs ,of these in a broader context, since its adoption or act as a barrier 6 Mail, ifit to alternative changes that the or more desirable. ad hoc approach to the issue raised by witness the First-Class Mail rate categories. Clifton Inevitably, would be called upon to grant some kind of relief to the ounce rate for other portions of the First-Class such request is analyzed 11 could be separate 12 mail; (ii) the fourth 13 (iii) the second and third ounce of single piece letter mail; (iv) the fourth 14 through 15 rate for flats that weigh less than, say, 4 or 5 ounces; (vi) the extra ounce rate 16 for flats that weigh more than, say, 4 or 5 ounces; and (vii) the extra ounce 17 rate for residual, 18 19 Contrary to Witness Clifton’s of Standard A Mail Receives 21 rates for (i) the second and third the eleventh through the eleventh the foreseeable result ounce of workshared ounce of workshared letter letter mail; ounce of single piece letter mail; (v) the extra ounce non-letter, In his direct testimony, extra-ounce separately, If 10 20 and presented Mail stream. non-flat pieces (i.e., parcels). Assertion, No Part a Cross-Subsidy witness Clifton asserts that “since the zero charge for the second and third ounces of Stand.ard A mail is not, 25 1 cost-justified, 2 apparent 3 reasons explained the incremental cross-subsidy extra-ounce to Standard 5 subsidy implies, G customers) 7 other ratepayers, 8 subsidy 9 commonly is a compound word. The existence (which could be a group of not by taxpayers (via the government). as it applies to customers, or users, of a product 11 service. 13 his testimony, 14 Perloff.‘* or service, it is 15 edition 16 contains witness Clifton (0 1994) the Carlton the same example, SOURCE: Faulhaber subsidy. the lproduct or the term “cross-subsidy” cites the fist edition but in the second and Perloff source cited by witness accompanied by the following Tr. 21/10915. p, 2. Tr. 21/10820. Clifton footnote: Stigler and Friedland (1962). See (1975) for a precise definition of cross- ABA/NAA-T-I, as used in of a text by Carlton I was unable to locate a copy of this edition, 18 With respect to costs of providing When asked to define and justify 17 by accepted in economics that a subsidy exists when the rates paid by the users do not cover the incremental 17 18 19 20 of a cross. and, second, that the subsidy is provided 10 12 For is not correct. i%rst of all, that some entity is being subsidized an A mail from other mail classes.“” below, this statement The term “cross-subsidy” cost of this mail is creating and 26 1 The article by Stigler and Friedland discusses the extent to which 2 regulators 3 level of prices, as well as the rates paid by various 4 This article, 5 subsidy. 6 another of the electric utility industry while interesting, is irrelevant It never once uses or mentions issue contained The article by Faulhaber 8 economies of joint production,20 9 implicit cite Faulhaber 11 Faulhaber 12 of Faulhaber 13 discussion 14 subsidization 15 Faulhaber’s in-depth 16 According to Faulhaber, to the issue of subsidy or cross- the term “subsidy”; deals with multiproduct and amazingly, of cross-subsidization 10 groups of customers.” in the example discussed by Carlton I definition have been able to affect the overall as a source.*’ Between and Carlton/Perloff, is incomparably the contradictory and detailed more authoritative theoretical contradicts expertise the and Perloff, who positions of theoretical argument. than the loose, cursory who deal in their textbook as one topic among many. and Perloff. firms that have offered by Carlton the careful by Carlton/Perloff, it flatly it refers to with cross- They clearly do not have on the topic of cross-subsidization. 19 Stigler, George J., and Claire Friedland, “What. Can Regulat,ors Regulate? The Case of Electricity.” Jo~mml of Low mrd E~:o~ronric~.October 1912 (vol. V), pp. l-16. 20 Enterprises.” 21 Gerald R. Faulhaber, “Cross-Subsidization: Pricing in Public American Econonkc Reoku~, Vol. F5 (1975), pp. 966.‘77. Carlton, Dennis and Perloff, Jeffrey, &dem Harper Collins, 1994, p. 855, lines 1-7. Industrial O~katiuo. 27 If the provision of any commodity (or group of commodities) by a multicommodity enterprise subject to a profit constraint 1.ead.sto prices for the other commodities no higher than they would pay by themselves, then the price structure is subsidy-free. (Emphasis in original.) 6 When the price structure is not subsidy-free, 7 cross-subsidy 8 governmental subsidy). 9 mathematical game-theoretic terms) conditions Succinctly, in order to determine (assuming, 10 is subsidy-free. 11 subsidy-free, 12 their incremental 13 combinations 14 costs when considered 15 of course, that the !irm does not receive any The FauIhaber it is necessary to ascertain costs on an individual or groupings of products article discusses (in rigorous under which a price structure that a price structure (i) whether products basis, and (ii) whether are also covering is are covering various their mcremental jointly, The fact that one product 16 case of postal products) 17 concerned, 18 high coverage, or profit margin, 19 existence 20 customers 21 not sufficient 22 it can be said to result in is a good indication the price structure of a cross-subsidy pay different to establish has a high profit margin is subsidy-free. emphatically that, insofar as that product is What this means is that a does not in any way prove the to some other product.” prices for a product (or c,overage, in the The fact that various with the same or similar the existence of cross-subsidy. Incidentally, cost is the In the course of my private consulting work, I have encountered nonpostal products where th 2 profit margin exceeded the 920 percent. t,bat. witness Clifton claims for the second and third ounce of worksbaretl FirsKIass worksbarr~l letters. 28 1 example in Carlton 2 nor a detition 3 4 No Portion of Standard Receives a Cross-Subsidy 5 6 and Perloff cited by witness Clifton an example of cross-subsidy. A Letters When asked to define the term “cross-subsidy” testimony, is neither witness Clifton’s as used in his response was as folIows:23 7 8 9 10 Cross subsidization in this context means that Standard A workshared letters are charged zero cents for the second and third ounce, which is below the marginal cost of these extra ounces. 11 This statement ignores totally 12 classes. In, Standard 13 while in First-Class 14 Clifton’s 15 any one-ounce 16 subsidize 17 hundredweight pricing 18 cross-subisidies, as defined by witness approach, 23 the different rate designs of the two A, rates are simply averaged over the first 3.3 ounces, rates are averaged over each ounce. Using witness one could also say, with equal justification, category of First-Class that within letter mail, N + 0.1 ounce letters N + 0.9 ounce letters. ” Carried cross- to its logical extreme, for bulk mail would be the only way to eliminate Clifton.25 Tr. 21l1089G. 24 The term “IV is an integer equal to 0,1,2,3,... up to the penultimate maximum weight of First-Class Mail. 25 As USPS witness Moe&r has already noted, “there is a certain degree Tr. 612740. of averaging within most, if not all, r.Ae categories.” DMtVUSF’S-TX-3. Within unzoned Priority Mail up to 5 pounds, rates are averaged across all zoney. Although a 4.pound package to Zone 8 has a lower profit, margin t,han one of t,llp 29 1 2 Witness Clifton has not Justified the Proposed Shift in Coverage 3 The high coverage which witness Clifton asserts for the second and 4 third 5 coverage for all First-Class 6 on the second and third 7 in both revenues 8 indignation 9 ounces, witness 10 non-cost criteria 11 Class Mail, nor does he bother to explain why he has not proposed 12 increases ounce of workshared First-Class Mail. Mail constitutes Witness Clifton’s ounce of workshared a small part of the proposal to reduce rates letters would cause a reduction and coverage for First-Class Mail. While expressing at the asserted 920 percent coverage on the second and third Clifton’s testimony makes no effort to justify, of the Act, his proposed reduction for other components 13 Similarly, in proposing 14 Mail, witn.ess Clifton 15 apply to Standard 16 the non-cost criteria 11 O’Hara. ideally of the First-Class in terms of the in the coverage of Firstoffsetting rate structure.” to increase the cost coverage on Standard should review all the criteria A. At a minimum, witness have been misapplied Clifton Clifton of the Act as they should <explain which of or misinterpreted In the absence of such review, witness A by witness has not justified any same weight to the local, 1, 2, 3 zone, it does not, follow that the package to Zone X is cross-subsidized by the package delivered locally. !a? If some rate categories of First-Class Mail have implicit coverages much higher than the average for all First-Class Mail, as witness Clifton assert,s, then it stands to reason that the cost coverage of some rate catsgories within First,Class Mail must be below the average. Witness Clifton nevnrtheLess avers t,hst, t,he coverage is too high on all components of First-Class Mail: see Tr. 21/10973. 30 1 change in coverage. 2 advertising 3 Conclusion 4 It is not sufficient mail, or to quote surveys to that effect.” In sum, I wish to reiterate 5 Clifton’s 6 First Class Mail seems generally 7 of handling 8 points that he presents 9 10 position that I do not take issue with witness that the 23 cents-per-ounce extra weight. rate for additional high in relation I do, however, ounces of to the Postal Service’s cost take issue with sever;al of the key in the sequel of his testimony. . High implicit cost coverage of a rate category, contrary to what witness Clifton asserts, is per se no indication of cross-subsidy to any other subclass or rate category. Before the issue of crosssubsidization can be raised at all, it is necessary to show that some rates fail to cover incremental costs and that subsidization exists. . Witness Clifton does not demonstrate that any part of Standard A Mail receives a subsidy. His argument that rate averaging within the first 3.3 ounces of Standard A Mail represents a subsidization of the second and third ounce by the first ounce is academic to the point of being downright frivolous. By the same argument, any nonzero weight range in the Postal tariff structure would represent a subsidization of items near the high end of the range by items near the low end. In this regard, the usual one-ounce range is no different from any other weight range that may be chosen as convenient for rate design. Therefore, when witness Clifton singles out rate averaging within the first 3.3 ounces of Standard A Mail to compensate foi his proposed reduction of First-Class additional-ounce rates, he does so in a narrowly arbitrary fashion that lacks justification. 2, See Answers of fIBA/NAA witness Clifton to questions 11 12 13 14 15 to say that he does not like 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 21 28 hearings, p. 5. posed during 31 . Witness Clifton’s testimony is equally narrow and arbitrary when it singles out the rate for the second and third additionalounces of First-Class workshared mail, but not the rate applying to further additional ounces, as his target for particular rate reductions. Linking this reduction to his proposed. compensatory coverage for Standard A Mail make,s neither of the two proposed changes less arbitrary. 8 Witness 9 the First-Class Clifton’s position additional-ounce concerning the exceedingly rate has merit, and the Commlission 10 be well advised to consider it in the broad context of a variety 11 distributing 12 ways to offset the corresponding 13 rates. 14 of witness considerable The narrowly Clifton reductions, crafted high coverage of together of options for with a broad range of possible revenue loss by readjustment and arbitrarily would linked should be rejected as unacceptable. of First-Class rate adjust.ment proposals I hereby certify that I have this day served the foregoing document upon all participants of record in this proceeding in accordance with Section 12 of the Rules of F’ractice. March 9, 1998
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