Moving into Alabama Migration Aids Recent Population Growth Between 1990 and 2000, Alabama experienced a larger influx of new residents than during any prior decade of the 20th century. In fact, only in the 1970s had more people moved into the state than moved out. A net gain of 209,792 in-migrants from both other states and abroad accounted for 51.6 percent of Alabama’s population increase of 406,513. The remaining population growth came from natural increase, with an estimated 616,510 intercensal births exceeding 419,789 deaths for a net gain of 196,721 residents. Forty-seven of the state’s 67 counties saw their populations boosted by in-migration during the 1990s. Suburban counties of large metro areas were among the biggest gainers from migration—Autauga, Baldwin, Blount, Elmore, St. Clair, and Shelby counties all netted more than 5,000 residents. Smaller metropolitan areas, including Auburn, Decatur, Florence, Huntsville, and Tuscaloosa, and several newly-defined micropolitan area counties—Cullman, Jackson, and Marshall—were also popular destinations for those moving in from out-of-state or from another Alabama county. Rate of Net Migration, 1990-2000 (per 100 population in 1990) Alabama Net Migration, 1900-2000 1900-1910 1910-1920 1920-1930 1930-1940 1940-1950 1950-1960 1960-1970 1970-1980 1980-1990 1990-2000 Note: Total White Nonwhite -52,362 -149,272 -212,231 -184,614 -301,376 -368,151 -229,681 115,014 -89,120 209,792 -28,275 -64,898 -113,433 -112,372 -115,348 -144,130 -2,033 150,236 -17,046 93,525 -24,087 -84,374 -98,798 -72,242 -186,028 -224,021 -227,648 -35,222 -72,074 116,267 The category of nonwhite migrants for 1990-2000 includes those who marked any race other than white alone on the Census 2000 form as well as individuals who marked more than one race. Source: Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama. However, 20 Alabama counties had more residents move out than in between 1990 and 2000. Many of these counties are economically distressed; over half faced unemployment rates substantially above the state average throughout the decade. Most are in or adjacent to the historically depressed Black Belt region. In addition, the central urban counties of the three largest metros—Jefferson, Mobile, and Montgomery—all experienced net out-migration. And two counties, Calhoun and Dale, saw their residents dwindle due to military base closings and reductions. Rates of net migration vary widely, as shown on the map. In Baldwin County about 38 people moved in during the decade for every 100 residents, while in Sumter County almost 14 of every 100 residents moved out. Alabama rate = 5.2 The 1990s was the only decade when migration added to both the state’s white and nonwhite populations. An estimated net gain of 93,525 white residents amounted to 44.6 percent of the migration stream. The 116,267 nonwhite net in-migrants accounted for 55.4 percent of the total. This category encompasses all racial groups except white; in particular, individuals who marked black alone and those who selected more than one race or some other race on their census form. Hispanics figure prominently in the later group, as they tended to regard their ethnicity as a race. Counties including Blount, Cullman, DeKalb, Franklin, Marshall, and Winston that saw nonwhite rates of net migration in excess of 100 all showed rapidly growing Hispanic populations between 1990 and 2000. Migration by race also reveals that the three urban metropolitan counties of Jefferson, Mobile, and Montgomery saw a net gain of nonwhite migrants, although it was not enough to offset the loss of white residents. Most Age Groups Draw New Residents Source: Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama. 1 Almost every age group saw its numbers grow from migration during the 1990s. Alabama’s steady employment gains between 1990 and 1998 likely helped bring in work- Migration by Race for Alabama Counties, 1990-2000 ing-aged adults and their children. Sizeable additions were seen in the adult population aged 35 to 54 in 2000. Estimates show that over 87,000 more individuals in this age range moved in than moved out during the 1990s. And net migration added over 60,000 children and teens aged 10 to 19. With migration gains continuing among 20 to 24 year olds, Alabama does not appear to be experiencing an outflow of recent high school and college graduates. The only significant out-migration of Alabama residents occurred among 25 to 29 year olds, while net migration was essentially flat for the 30 to 34 age group. And the number of children aged 0 to 9 added by migration was well below the number of older children, suggesting that adults establishing their careers and beginning families are the group most likely to seek opportunities outside the state, perhaps later returning to work and raise their children in Alabama. Migration Trends Follow Jobs Migration was not evenly distributed throughout the 1990s. Estimates based on Internal Revenue Service address change data, Medicare enrollments, and information on immigration from abroad show migration into Alabama beginning the decade positively but peaking between July 1992 and July 1993. Although tapering off, migration held up fairly well through July 1998. But as jobs in Alabama fell from 1998 to 1999, so did the net influx of residents. Migration turned negative for the two years from 1999 to 2001 before rebounding to a slight gain of about 1,500 from 2001 to 2002. An increased inflow of foreign immigrants is keeping the numbers from looking worse. States, including Florida and Texas, that sent Alabama residents in the first half of the 1990s are now net recipients of Alabama out-migrants. Since interstate moves are often work-related, in-migration trends should strengthen when the state’s employment prospects pick up. Carolyn Trent Alabama Autauga Baldwin Barbour Bibb Blount Bullock Butler Calhoun Chambers Cherokee Chilton Choctaw Clarke Clay Cleburne Coffee Colbert Conecuh Coosa Covington Crenshaw Cullman Dale Dallas DeKalb Elmore Escambia Etowah Fayette Franklin Geneva Greene Hale Henry Houston Jackson Jefferson Lamar Lauderdale Lawrence Lee Limestone Lowndes Macon Madison Marengo Marion Marshall Mobile Monroe Montgomery Morgan Perry Pickens Pike Randolph Russell St. Clair Shelby Sumter Talladega Tallapoosa Tuscaloosa Walker Washington Wilcox Winston Total 209,792 6,926 37,588 2,662 3,409 10,004 322 -648 -8,151 -864 4,309 5,968 -663 -1,057 852 1,120 1,570 2,123 -190 960 965 63 8,112 -4,457 -4,419 7,897 13,303 2,023 2,801 534 2,911 2,043 -671 985 630 2,815 4,722 -13,379 182 5,995 1,879 20,919 8,452 -79 -1,662 16,918 -1,595 1,261 8,447 -6,454 -1,218 -1,243 5,500 -1,390 -303 904 2,085 1,250 12,012 32,176 -2,196 3,543 1,761 5,603 2,126 457 -1,073 2,420 Net Migration White Nonwhite 93,525 116,267 6,175 751 34,848 2,740 777 1,885 2,431 979 8,394 1,610 70 252 -111 -537 -6,548 -1,603 -809 -56 4,026 283 4,825 1,143 -291 -371 -328 -729 759 92 1,033 86 -70 1,640 1,221 902 8 -197 591 369 1,146 -182 185 -123 6,560 1,553 -5,342 885 -3,385 -1,034 4,954 2,943 10,805 2,498 296 1,727 716 2,085 437 97 1,124 1,788 1,914 130 47 -718 637 347 756 -126 997 1,818 3,623 1,099 -39,308 25,929 111 71 4,509 1,486 1,389 490 15,829 5,090 5,685 2,767 253 -332 -55 -1,607 2,256 14,662 -803 -792 708 554 4,643 3,805 -15,041 8,588 -776 -442 -13,399 12,157 1,158 4,342 -644 -747 -110 -193 -71 974 1,964 121 -977 2,227 10,775 1,238 27,206 4,971 -900 -1,296 2,180 1,363 2,084 -323 -864 6,467 1,466 660 366 91 -469 -604 1,892 528 Note: Nonwhite includes all racial groups except white alone. Source: Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama. 2
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