CENTER FOR BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC RESEARCH / THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA & ECONOMIC INDICATORS Volume 68, Number 11 November 1999 Public Education: A Crisis in Confidence? I n 1970, Alabama per capita income was $2,964 compared to $4,077 for the United States. Per capita income in Alabama was 73 percent of the national average. By 1998, this gap had shrunk—Alabama income was 81 percent of the national average. Alabama 1998 per capita income was estimated to be $21,442 compared to $26,412 for the United States. While the income gap between Alabama and the national average has narrowed over the past 30 years, why Alabama persistently lags behind our sister states demands understanding. Why does the average Alabamian earn less than the average American? There are two primary reasons. First, many rural Alabama counties have little or no industry. These counties have high unemployment and significant poverty. Tables 1 and 2 give data for all 67 counties and profile Alabama's 10 poorest and 10 wealthiest counties. The second reason for the income gap is in the nature of the industries that dominate Alabama's rural industrial base. The common thread among rural Alabama employers is their minimal labor force requirements. Rural Alabama employment is dominated by low skill, low wage industries—characteristic of a poorly educated workforce. Alabama is a state blessed with natural resources. It is located in one of the fastest growing regions of the country, and it connects to superb domestic and international markets by air, rail, interstate, and sea. Why then does the state continue to under-perform the nation as a whole? As in all matters of the human condition, there are many forces at work. Alabama lives with a legacy that extends to the Civil War and before. While the land and climate are well suited to an agrarian economy, an agrarian economy is not the wealth producer in the 20th century that it was in the 18th. Rural Alabama is struggling to find its place in an increasingly information and technology driven economy—a 21st century economy that demands a well-educated workforce. In 1970, 25.9 percent of the Alabama population had at least a high school education compared to 31.1 percent for the United States. Educational attainment in the state has risen in the past 30 years, but has not caught up to the national average. Herein lies a clue to Alabama's income disparity. In 1998, 78.8 percent of adult Alabamians had at least a high school education compared to 82.8 percent for the United States. State wide numbers don't tell the whole story. The average educational attainment of the adults in the urban counties is significantly higher than that of the adults in the rural counties. Our urban centers, home of the state's good public schools and most of the colleges and universities, are also home of Alabama's 21st century employment opportunities. church, and then a school. Young families and grandparents alike knew the value of education. They built the school with their own hands and hired the teacher. They understood the value of an education and they invested their time and personal wealth in the future of the children of the community. They saw these expenditures as an investment. They knew that one day the children would become teachers, doctors, business leaders, architects of tomorrow— builders of the future. These observations are a bit like a child's marveling at the discovery that the sun always rises in the east. How can one deny that the quality of life and the future of the economy are contingent on a well-educated citizenry? This issue is rarely debated. So why then does Alabama seem to ignore the quality of education in the rural counties? And why, at times of need in urban schools, are For Alabama to prosper, to begin to realize its economic potential, it must be willing to invest in all of its children. This will only happen when every adult once again believes in the value of education and the ability of our schools to teach and educate the children of Alabama—the leaders and workers of tomorrow. Maybe Alabama faces crisis of confidence. Confidence in the ability of the schools to teach and educate the children, the confidence once born of involvement, has been lost through the pace and distractions of late 20th century living. public tax referendums frequently defeated? As new communities sprang up in the westward movement across America, settlers first built shelter, then a Carl Ferguson ECONOMIC OUTLOOK 2000 ✔ Mark Your Calendars! January 2000 S M T W T F S 1 2 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Alabama Business and Economic Indicators The University of Alabama's Center for Business and Economic Research will hold its 2000 Economic Outlook Conference on January 27 in Montgomery. To receive a conference brochure: Call: (205) 348-6191 Email: [email protected] Table 1. Alabama Per Capita Income, 1997 Counties Dollars Rank in Percent of State State Avg. Percent of Natl. Avg. Autauga Baldwin Barbour Bibb Blount Bullock Butler Calhoun Chambers Cherokee Chilton Choctaw Clarke Clay Cleburne Coffee Colbert Conecuh Coosa Covington Crenshaw Cullman Dale Dallas De Kalb Elmore Escambia Etowah Fayette Franklin Geneva Greene Hale Henry Houston Jackson Jefferson Lamar Lauderdale Lawrence Lee Limestone Lowndes Macon Madison Marengo Marion Marshall Mobile Monroe Montgomery Morgan Perry Pickens Pike Randolph Russell St. Clair Shelby Sumter Talladega Tallapoosa Tuscaloosa Walker Washington Wilcox Winston 19,211 22,431 17,433 16,988 18,117 13,915 15,880 18,855 17,896 15,832 17,825 16,079 17,782 18,822 17,049 19,511 20,155 16,443 15,591 17,547 16,392 19,093 17,787 16,730 19,318 18,945 16,680 19,126 17,938 17,775 17,523 14,315 15,151 17,023 21,069 19,153 25,772 17,330 19,576 17,482 17,641 18,639 13,427 14,324 24,537 17,471 17,301 19,512 19,371 17,293 24,103 22,346 13,458 16,259 17,671 17,308 17,215 18,496 25,757 13,817 16,857 19,769 20,514 19,181 16,367 12,984 18,696 16 5 40 48 27 63 57 22 29 58 30 56 32 23 46 13 9 52 59 36 53 20 31 50 15 21 51 19 28 33 37 62 60 47 7 18 1 41 11 38 35 25 66 61 3 39 43 12 14 44 4 6 65 55 34 42 45 26 2 64 49 10 8 17 54 67 24 76% 89% 69% 67% 72% 55% 63% 75% 71% 63% 70% 64% 70% 74% 67% 77% 80% 65% 62% 69% 65% 76% 70% 66% 76% 75% 66% 76% 71% 70% 69% 57% 60% 67% 83% 76% 102% 69% 77% 69% 70% 74% 53% 57% 97% 69% 68% 77% 77% 68% 95% 88% 53% 64% 70% 68% 68% 73% 102% 55% 67% 78% 81% 76% 65% 51% 74% 93% 109% 84% 82% 88% 67% 77% 91% 87% 77% 86% 78% 86% 91% 82% 94% 97% 80% 75% 85% 79% 92% 86% 81% 93% 92% 81% 93% 87% 86% 85% 69% 73% 82% 102% 93% 125% 84% 95% 85% 85% 90% 65% 69% 119% 85% 84% 94% 94% 84% 117% 108% 65% 79% 85% 84% 83% 89% 125% 67% 82% 96% 99% 93% 79% 63% 90% Metropolitan Areas Dollars Percent of Percent of State Avg. Natl. Avg. Anniston, AL (MSA) Birmingham, AL (MSA) Decatur, AL (MSA) Dothan, AL (MSA) Florence, AL (MSA) Gadsden, AL (MSA) Huntsville, AL (MSA) Mobile, AL (MSA) Montgomery, AL (MSA) Tuscaloosa, AL (MSA) 18,855 24,898 21,202 19,869 19,800 19,126 23,459 20,119 22,498 20,514 91% 120% 103% 96% 96% 93% 113% 97% 109% 99% 75% 98% 84% 79% 78% 76% 93% 80% 89% 81% Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, May, 1999. Table 2. Alabama Per Capita Income Ranks, 1997 Area name Dollars United States Metropolitan portion Nonmetropolitan portion 25,288 26,840 19,089 Alabama Metropolitan portion Nonmetropolitan portion 20,672 22,143 17,588 Rank in State Top Ten Counties Jefferson Shelby Madison Montgomery Baldwin Morgan Houston Tuscaloosa Colbert Tallapoosa 25,772 25,757 24,537 24,103 22,431 22,346 21,069 20,514 20,155 19,769 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 15,832 15,591 15,151 14,324 14,315 13,915 13,817 13,458 13,427 12,984 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 Bottom Ten Counties Cherokee Coosa Hale Macon Greene Bullock Sumter Perry Lowndes Wilcox Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, May, 1999. Note: County level estimates of per capita income are not yet available for the year 1998. The state and national averages presented here are consistent with the county averages. Center for Business and Economic Research 3 CENTER FOR BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC RESEARCH We've Moved! 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