Impact of Proposal and Award Management Mechanisms (IPAMM) Working Group Discussions with the Advisory Committees IPAMM Working Group Charge: Identify best practices to achieve an appropriate balance between proposal success rates, award sizes and award duration Emphasis on individual, investigatorinitiated grants. Members from across NSF: EHR, R&RAs, OISE, OPP, and BFA Program Directors and Division Directors Rotators and Permanent Staff What Is the Issue? Success rate for research proposals was 20% in FY05, down from 30% in FY00 Potential impact on merit review Increased workload on reviewer community Increased workload on NSF staff Potential loss of capacity What is the likelihood that a given proposal will be funded? Research proposal success rates dropped from 30% in FY 2000 to 20% in FY 2005, leveled off in FY 2006 (21%) Coincided with: 47% increase in proposal submissions (began in FY 2000, peaked in FY 2004, leveled off in FY 2005 and 2006) 41% increase in average award size 39% increase in median award size Research proposal success rates varied across the R&RA directorates, however all experienced declines Decrease in proposal success rates coincides with increases in proposal submissions and average award size/duration 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 100% 80% 60% 40% Percent Number NSF Funding Rate for Competitive Research Grants 20% 0% 20 20 05 04 03 02 01 00 99 98 97 Awards 20 20 20 20 19 19 19 Proposal Actions Funding Rate 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 $0 20 05 04 03 02 01 00 99 98 Funding Rate 20 20 20 20 20 19 19 97 Avg. Annual Award Size Funding Rate $200,000 19 Average Annual Award Size NSF Average Annual Award Size vs. Funding Rate for Competitive Research Grants All R&RA directorates experienced a decline in funding rates between FY 2000 and FY2005 Funding Rate for Select Directorates Competitive Research Grants 50% Funding Rate 40% NSF BIO CISE ENG GEO MPS SBE 30% 20% 10% 0% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Observations # of PIs submitting to NSF increased from FY 2000-2005 29% increase in first-time submitters 38% increase overall 30% increase in # proposals PIs submit to gain a single award 1998-2000: 1.7 per PI 2003-2005: 2.2 per PI Potential Drivers Affecting Proposal Submissions Increased use of solicitations with specific research foci Limits on submissions in specific cases Congress authorizes doubling the NSF budget (2002, 2007?) NSF budgets decrease or are flat (20042005) NSB calls for increased award size and duration Potential effect of PI fatigue Next steps Case studies of various practices related to proposal submissions Additional data analyses Obtain external input Focus groups with new rotators Applicant Survey to assess external drivers Visits with Advisory Committees
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