The Inaugural Ross-Royall Symposium: From Individuals to Populations Wood Basic Sciences Auditorium Friday, February 26, 2016 8:30 am – 6:00 pm Eloise Kaizar, B.A., B.S., M.S., Ph.D. Associate Professor, Department of Statistics, The Ohio State University Title: Estimating beyond the trial-represented population by incorporating studies with self-selected treatments Abstract: Although randomized controlled trials are considered the 'gold standard' for clinical studies, the use of exclusion criteria may impact the external validity of trial results. It is unknown whether estimators of effect size are biased by excluding a portion of the target population from enrollment. We propose to use observational data to estimate the bias due to enrollment restrictions in the presence of non-constant treatment effects. We find that we can estimate the bias of our estimates of average treatment effect due to certain kinds of confounding, even for mis-specified models. While data availability for such methods is currently limited, by augmenting randomized controlled trial data with observational data, we can reduce our reliance on homogeneity assumptions when making inference for broad populations.
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