Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply Short-Run Aggregate Supply Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model 16 C HAPTE R Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 1 Next Slide Extending the Analysis of Aggregate Supply Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply Short-Run Aggregate Supply Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 2 Next Slide SHORT-RUN AND LONG-RUN AGGREGATE SUPPLY Short Run Period in which nominal wages (and other input prices) remain fixed as the price level increases or decreases Long Run Period in which nominal wages are fully responsive to previous changes in the price level Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 SHORT-RUN AGGREGATE SUPPLY Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply A higher price level increases profits and output moving the economy from a1 to a2 Short-Run Aggregate Supply AS1 Long-Run Aggregate Supply Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply Price Level Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model P2 P1 a2 a1 The Laffer Curve Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 3 Next Slide o Q1 Q2 Real domestic output Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 SHORT-RUN AGGREGATE SUPPLY Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply A lower price level decreases profits and output moving the economy from a1 to a3 Short-Run Aggregate Supply AS1 Long-Run Aggregate Supply Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 4 Price Level Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model P2 a2 P1 P3 a1 a3 Next Slide o Q3 Q1 Q2 Real domestic output Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 LONG RUN AGGREGATE SUPPLY Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply Short-Run Aggregate Supply A higher price level results in higher nominal wages and thus shifts the short-run aggregate supply to the left ASLR AS2 Long-Run Aggregate Supply Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply Price Level Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model P2 P1 b1 AS1 a2 a1 The Laffer Curve Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 5 Next Slide o Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Q1 Q2 Real domestic output LONG RUN AGGREGATE SUPPLY Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply Short-Run Aggregate Supply A lower price level results reduces nominal wages and shifts the short-run aggregate supply to the right ASLR AS2 Long-Run Aggregate Supply Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply P2 Price Level Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model b1 AS1 a2 AS3 a1 P1 The Laffer Curve P3 Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 6 a3 c1 Next Slide o Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Q3 Q1 Q2 Real domestic output Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply EQUILIBRIUM IN THE EXTENDED AD-AS MODEL ASLR Short-Run Aggregate Supply AS1 Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Price Level Long-Run Aggregate Supply a P1 Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 7 AD1 Next Slide o Q1 Real domestic output Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 DEMAND-PULL INFLATION Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply ASLR AS2 Short-Run Aggregate Supply AS1 Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Price Level Long-Run Aggregate Supply c P3 b P2 a P1 Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 8 AD2 AD1 Next Slide o Q1 Real domestic output Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 COST-PUSH INFLATION Occurs when short-run AS shifts left Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply ASLR Short-Run Aggregate Supply AS1 Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Price Level Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model AS2 b P2 a P1 Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 9 AD1 Next Slide o Q2 Q 1 Real domestic output Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 COST-PUSH INFLATION Government response with increased AD Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply ASLR Short-Run Aggregate Supply AS1 Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Price Level Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model AS2 c P3 b P2 a P1 Even higher price levels Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 10 AD2 AD1 Next Slide o Q2 Q 1 Real domestic output Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 COST-PUSH INFLATION If government allows a recession to occur Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply ASLR Short-Run Aggregate Supply AS1 Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Price Level Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model AS2 b P2 a P1 Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 11 AD1 Next Slide o Q2 Q 1 Real domestic output Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 COST-PUSH INFLATION If government allows a recession to occur Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply ASLR Short-Run Aggregate Supply AS1 Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Price Level Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model b P2 a P1 Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 12 AS2 Nominal wages fall & AS returns to its original location AD1 Next Slide o Q2 Q 1 Real domestic output Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 THE INFLATION-UNEMPLOYMENT RELATIONSHIP Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply Short-Run Aggregate Supply Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 13 Next Slide • Normally, there is a short-run trade-off between the rate of inflation and the the rate of unemployment • Aggregate supply shocks can cause both higher rates of inflation and higher rates of unemployment • There is no significant trade-off over long periods of time Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply EFFECT OF CHANGES IN AGGREGATE DEMAND ON REAL OUTPUT AND THE PRICE LEVEL AD0 AS Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 14 Next Slide Price Level Short-Run Aggregate Supply P0 o Q0 Real domestic output Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply EFFECT OF CHANGES IN AGGREGATE DEMAND ON REAL OUTPUT AND THE PRICE LEVEL AD0 AD1 AS Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 15 Next Slide Price Level Short-Run Aggregate Supply P1 P0 o Q0 Q1 Real domestic output Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply EFFECT OF CHANGES IN AGGREGATE DEMAND ON REAL OUTPUT AND THE PRICE LEVEL AD0 AD1 AD2 AS Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 16 Next Slide Price Level Short-Run Aggregate Supply P2 P1 P0 o Q0 Q1 Q2 Real domestic output Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply EFFECT OF CHANGES IN AGGREGATE DEMAND ON REAL OUTPUT AND THE PRICE LEVEL AD0 AD1 AD2 AD3 AS Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 17 Next Slide Price Level Short-Run Aggregate Supply P3 P2 P1 P0 o Q0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Real domestic output Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 THE PHILLIPS CURVE CONCEPT Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Annual rate of inflation (percent) Short-Run Aggregate Supply 7 As inflation declines... 6 5 Unemployment increases 4 3 2 Key Terms 1 Previous Slide End Show 16 - 18 Next Slide 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Unemployment rate (percent) Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply The Misery Index, Selected Nations Italy 1990 - 2000 U.K. Short-Run Aggregate Supply Long-Run Aggregate Supply 15 Canada France Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model U.S. Germany Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation 10 The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 19 Next Slide Japan 5 0 1990 Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 1995 2000 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics THE LONG-RUN PHILLIPS CURVE Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply Stagflation’s Demise Short-Run Aggregate Supply Long-Run Aggregate Supply Aggregate-Supply Shocks Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation Short-Run Phillips Curve The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 20 Long-Run Vertical Phillips Curve Next Slide Disinflation Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 TAXATION AND AGGREGATE SUPPLY Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply Short-Run Aggregate Supply Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply Taxes and Incentives to Work Incentives to Save and Invest The Laffer Curve Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 21 Supply-Side Economics Next Slide Laffer Curve Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 THE LAFFER CURVE 100 Short-Run Aggregate Supply Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply Tax rate (percent) Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Key Terms l Previous Slide End Show 16 - 22 Next Slide 0 Tax revenue (dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 THE LAFFER CURVE 100 Short-Run Aggregate Supply Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply Tax rate (percent) Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply m The Laffer Curve Key Terms l Previous Slide End Show 16 - 23 Next Slide 0 Tax revenue (dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 THE LAFFER CURVE 100 Short-Run Aggregate Supply Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply n Tax rate (percent) Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply m The Laffer Curve Key Terms l Previous Slide End Show 16 - 24 Next Slide 0 Tax revenue (dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 THE LAFFER CURVE 100 Short-Run Aggregate Supply Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply Tax rate (percent) Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply n m m Maximum Tax Revenue The Laffer Curve Key Terms l Previous Slide End Show 16 - 25 Next Slide 0 Tax revenue (dollars) Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 Criticisms of the Laffer Curve Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply Short-Run Aggregate Supply Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxes, Incentives, and Time Inflation Position on the Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply The Laffer Curve Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 26 Chapter Conclusions Next Slide Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 short run long run short-run aggregate supply curve long-run aggregate supply curve Phillips Curve stagflation aggregate supply shocks long-run vertical Phillips curve disinflation supply-side economics Laffer Curve Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002 BACK END Short-Run and LongRun Aggregate Supply Short-Run Aggregate Supply Up next... Long-Run Aggregate Supply Equilibrium with the Extended AD-AS Model Demand-Pull Inflation Cost-Push Inflation The Phillips Curve Taxation and Aggregate Supply Economic Growth and the New Economy The Laffer Curve Key Terms Previous Slide End Show 16 - 28 Chapter 17 Next Slide Copyright McGraw-Hill/Irwin, 2002
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