BSA AI CRAB R RATIIONA ALIZA ATION ED DR AUDIT U S REPPORT PREPAR RED FO OR PACIFIC ST TATES MARINE FISH HERIES S COMM MISSION 20111 Calen ndar Yeear Da ata December 20012 TABLE OF CONTENTS Introductio on ........................................................... ......................................................... 1 M Methodolo ogy ......................................................... ......................................................... 3 S Support Classes ..................................................... ......................................................... 5 C Catcher Ve essel Auditt Code Anaalysis ...................... ......................................................... 6 P Processor A Audit Code Analysis .............................. ......................................................... 8 O Outlier Aud dit Code A Analysis ................................... ......................................................... 9 A Audit Variaable Analyysis .......................................... ....................................................... 10 B Burden Ho our Estimatte ............................................ ....................................................... 11 C Commendation ...................................................... ....................................................... 13 C Conclusion n ............................................................. ....................................................... 14 A Appendix A A ............................................................ ....................................................... 15 A Appendix B B ............................................................ ....................................................... 17 INTRO ODUCTION B Backgro ound T The Bering Sea S and Aleutian Islands (BSAI) ( Crab Rationalization Program was develop ped to createe a quota ssystem that g grants exclusive harvesting g and processsing rights too crab harvestters, processors, and com mmunities. T The rationalized fishery began in fall 2005, with h quota alloccated to harrvesters and processors based on h historical participation in the fishery. Because of the expectted impact o on the industtry, an econo omic data ccollection pro ogram was de eveloped to better understtand the econnomic impactts on the indu ustry. E Economic datta reports (EDRs) were de eveloped to o obtain inform mation aboutt the crab op perations of h harvesters aand processors to help mo onitor how co osts and economic returnns of various stakeholderss in BSAI crab b fisheries aare affected by rationalizzation. In orrder to ensurre that the d data submitteed by respon ndents in thee EDRs is aaccurate, Con ngress and th he North Paccific Fishery Management M t Council specified that EDR data be ssubject to m mandatory au udits conducted by the th hird party co ollection agennt, Pacific States Marine Fisheries Commission (PSMFC). PS SMFC contraccted AKT to develop and d implement an EDR review and veriffication systeem, which involves revie ewing the data contained d within subm mitted EDRs, conducting verification aaudits for those EDRs ccontaining daata values outside of the e expected range, and cond ducting rando om audits for a certain peercentage o of submitted EDRs. T The EDRs we ere developed d to help dettermine the e effects of thee rationalization program,, including ch hanges to tthe costs of production p an nd the effectt of consolidaation. Natio nal Marine FFisheries Servvice (NMFS) ssought to u understand th he general trrends over th he years and the effects oof rationalizaation to transslate to otherr fisheries tthat are begin nning similar programs. T This validation process is a a continuation of similar w work done in years 2006 to o 2010. Priorr years’ data is audited in the currentt year; for exaample the 20110 data was a audited in 20111. In summary, t the purpose o of the econom mic data repo ort and data v validation is t o: 11) Aid the Council and N NMFS in asse essing the succcess of the P Program; 22) Understtand the econ nomic perform mance of crab b fisherman; 33) Understtand how the economic pe erformance h has changed a after rationalization; 44) Isolate t the effects atttributable to the crab ratio onalization pprogram; 55) Assess t the validity off data reporte ed in submitted EDRs; and d 66) Provide guidance on improvemen nts in the EDR R process to i mprove the v validity of futture data repo orting. K Key Participantts and Roles R T The key particcipants in the e project inclu ude: National Marine Fisheeries Service (NMFS) – initiator of thee audit processs and end‐user of the infformation contained d in the EDRs. Pacific States S Marine Fisheries Commission C (PSMFC) – collector and manager o of the data collected through t he EDRs. 1 AKT LLP P – independ dent accounttants and co onsultants seelected to auudit and valiidate the infformation collected in the EDRs. Participan nts in the crab b rationalizattion program. S Scope off Work T The following g procedures w were requestted to be perfformed in thee scope of wo ork for this project: 11) Random m Audits – Review R and verification v off a subset off data valuess reported in n a randomlyy selected sample of EDRs. 22) Outlier Audits – Revview and veriification of data values reeported in ED DRs that conttained multip ple outlier variable es. These outliers were ide entified throu ugh an analyssis performed d by NMFS. Analysis is cconducted as needed, based on prior year au udit results an nd statistical a analysis. 33) For Cau use Audits – R Review and v verification o of data valuess reported in EDRs that w were non‐com mpliant or that failed the audit process in the e previous ED DR calendar y year. T The methodo ology to addre ess the proce edures above is outlined laater in this rep port. B Based upon o our conversations with NM MFS and PSMFC, the key oobjectives of t the audit werre outlined ass follows: Validate k key data. Identify p problems with h the data or EDR instructiions and makke suggestion ns for future r reporting. Promote compliance w with timely an nd accurate d data reportingg requiremen nts. Identify appropriate ch hanges to datta when misssing or incorreect. Characterrize, and in so ome cases qu uantify, the level of accura cy associated d with particu ular data elem ments. K Key Info ormation n T The current aanalysis is bassed on the daata collected from partici pants of the BSAI crab raationalization n program ffor the year 2 2011. A statisstical sample was determined based uupon a total s submitted po opulation of 1 111, which w was comprise ed of all unique submitterrs of informaation. The saample was deetermined baased upon acchieving a 9 95% confiden nce level with a precision le evel of 15% in n terms of as sessing the a accuracy of th he submitted data (see A Appendix A for detailed discussion of t the statisticaal basis of thee sample). The following table summaarizes the n number of ED DRs submitted d by type and d the resulting g sample sizee. 2 METHODOLOGY A AKT, PSMFC, and NMFS w worked together to determ mine the bestt process to analyze data s submitted through the E EDR process and to deterrmine the methodology to t sample annd audit the data submittted in the ED DRs. The p process was b based on prior year experie ence with improvements m made to beneefit the particcipants. The following iss a summary of the steps t taken throughout the aud dit process. 11) Determine appropriiate variablees to validatte. The sig nificance of the data fo or random au udits and ence is consid dered when d determining the appropriate variabless to validate. This is a available audit evide collaborrative processs between PS SMFC, NMFS,, and AKT. 22) Determine populatio on subject to o random aud dit. The sam mple size is deetermined using a statisticcal model with a 9 95% confiden nce level and a 15% precission level. Seee Appendix A for a discu ussion of the statistical basis used for selection. 33) Determine outlier audit a populattion. Based upon its anaalysis of the EDR data without vessel identity, NMFS id dentifies the population t hat it desiress to validate t through an o outlier audit. These auditss focus on EDRs th hat have a siignificant number of outlliers identifieed through aanalytical revview. Once aa vessel is identifie ed has an outtlier, it is subjject to validaation for onlyy those variab bles for which h an outlier status was identifie ed. Nine vessels and six processors were w identifieed as having outlier variab bles for the 2 2011 EDR data yeaar. 44) Determining for‐cau use audits. Vessels selecte ed for for‐cauuse audits aree those that d did not comply with an equest in the previous yeaar. Four vesssels were seleected for aud dit in the 20111 EDR data year as a audit re result off a failed audit in the prior year. 55) Gather and crossch heck EDR da ata to be audited. EDR data pertain ning to the variables selected for auditing g are transferred to AKT from PSMFC C. AKT usess a standard auditing anaalysis spreadssheet and imports data from PS SMFC into th his format. EDR data is veerified against the selected d vessels’ orig ginal EDR submisssions for accu uracy. 66) Requestt information n subject to audit for ran ndom, outlieer and for‐ca ause audits. Selected veessels and processo ors are asked d to provide s supporting infformation fo r the variablees selected fo or validation. They are given on ne month to c comply with t the request, t though extennsions are graanted on an a as‐needed baasis. If the selected d vessels and d processors do not comp ply within onne month, they are individually contacted, and addition nal contact effforts are maade as needed to ensure t that each sellected vessel and processsor has an opportu unity to respo ond in a timelyy manner. 77) Validatee information by comparring with sup pporting docuumentation. This processs involves a review of the supporting docu umentation submitted agaainst the origginal EDR daata submissio on for each vvessel and variable e selected. De etailed notes related to th he basis and q quality of info ormation are maintained i n order to evaluate e the validityy of selected d data. The vessels or pprocessors are contacted d as need fo or further clarifications and add ditional suppo orting docum ments. 88) Summarize the resu ults of the audit a verifica ation processs. Each audited variablee is classified d within a support category, wh hich classify a and summariize the validitty of the aud dit evidence r eceived, allow wing AKT to bette er perform overall analysiss. 3 99) Compilee a burden ho our estimatee. Selected vvessels and p rocessors aree asked to esstimate the aamount of time de edicated to compiling c th heir EDR sub bmissions. T The resulting g responses are summarrized into estimated burden ho ours by respondent type. A Audit Methodol M logy A AKT selects vessels v or processors for random aud dit based upoon the statisstical sample outlined in Appendix A A. AKT workss with NMFS and PSMFC t to determine the appropriiate variabless to validate. FFor each datta variable re equested, AK KT critically evaluates th e support prrovided by tthe selected vessel or p processor. In nformation iss evaluated against a third party suppoort, such as iinvoices or ffish tickets; internally‐ g generated infformation, such as crew w settlement sheets, gen eral ledger d details, invoiices, detailed d internal rreports, or fiinancial state ements; and estimates made, m includ ding an asseessment of the reasonab bleness of aassumptions. Supporting documentattion for intern nally‐generatted spreadsh heets is requeested on a judgmental b basis. AKT also notes whe en no supportt is available t to evaluate thhe informatio on. M Many of the r records provided to AKT a are unique, specifically fo r the vessels. The processsor reporting g tends to b be more form mal and stan ndardized, re eflecting the large compaany nature o of those opeerations. Beccause the m material provvided is so unique, the au udit process begins with a detailed rreview of eacch informatio on packet rreceived whille comparing g totals for each e variable e to the origiinal EDR enttry. Each supporting doccument is aassessed for a accuracy and depth of sup pport. Estimaates are acceppted as long a as a reasonab ble explanation and/or ccalculation arre also provid ded. Handwritten stateme ents are also considered a adequate, bu ut only after d discussion w with the EDR preparer and d requests forr additional su upport. A AKT places phone p calls to o all submitte ers with estim mates and haand written sstatements. AKT also validates all vvariables thatt are reported d with no valu ue (blank) or a a zero value. If discrepanccies are found d between th he original E EDR submissiion and the supporting do ocumentation n, AKT contaccts the vessel owner and/o or preparer to o validate tthe correct re eported value e. Many time es this leads to receiving further docuumentation ffrom the vesssel and/or ffurther explan nation as to t he methodology used to r report EDR vaalues. ort is missing for a Iff the initially provided doccumentation is determined to be insuffficient support, or if suppo ccertain variab ble, AKT contacts vessels t to ask for furtther documenntation. Once documentaation is receivved, it is aassessed and validated viaa the process described above. 4 SUPPO ORT CLASSE L ES A AKT worked j ointly with PSMFC and NM MFS to develop the follow wing classificaations to desccribe audit evvaluations aand summarizze the resultss of the audite ed values. Validation Code e ‐ Is original va alue Is audited value Original Value e substantiatted? substantia ated? Correction Valida ation Code ‐ Aud dit Value 1 Yes Yes (sam me) Natu ure of Reporting g Error s clearly No error; reported value is substantiated by complete records No 1 1T Yes yes (sam me) Original v value is blank, or N/A No 1 2 Yes Yes (sam me) Calculatio on error Yes 1 2T Yes Yes(sam me) Typograp phical Error Yes 1 3 Yes Yes 1 4 Yes Yes 4 5 Yes No 5 6 Yes Yes 1 7 No No 7 8 No Misinterpretation of questtion nal Estimate is based on origin documen ntation but flawed assumptio on/logic Yes (sam me) Data cann not be reported p precisely as specified in EDR form and d must be estimated d; estimate is based on appropriaate documentatio on and sound asssumptions/logic and is considereed validated Yes (sam me) value was reporteed correctly Original v based on original documeentation, but corrected based on up pdated ntation Yes (updaated) documen Reported value is "best gu uess"; value is not derived from record ds No Original v value is unsubstantiated; correction n based on new documen ntation Yes (new w) Yes 1 Yes (sam me) 9 No No No data r eported 10 No No Item "Nott Applicable" to v vessel 5 Yes ‐ "Corrected Vallue is ‐9" 9 Yess ‐ "Corrected Value is ‐7" 10 CATCH HER VE ESSEL ‐ AUDITT CODEE ANA ALYSIS T The records o of 21 catcher vessels were e requested, and 19 were received. Tw wo catcher vvessels were g granted a rreprieve due t to the medicaal hardship of the EDR pre eparer. In thee current yeaar, four vessels selected fo or random aaudit did not require follow w‐up informaation requestss. All other caatcher vessells complied w with AKT’s req quests for aadditional sup pport. A AKT analyzed d the audit co odes assigned d to each of the vessels in n order to do ocument consistent errorss for each vvariable, along with the reasoning behind the error. T The total num mber of audiit codes posssible was dettermined by the numberr of EDR variiables requessted from sselected vesssels. 19 catcher vessels submitted information for 8 itemss, totaling 1152 audit codes. The d distribution o of those auditt codes is sum mmarized bellow. Where a appropriate, examples of situations caausing the rreporting erro ors are included. 6 Non‐Error Audit Codes Of the twelve possible audit codes, four do not represent actual errors. These codes are: 1‐1 5‐5 1T‐1 10‐10 The four non‐error audit codes comprise 72.4% of all catcher vessel audit codes used, with 1‐1, 1T‐1 and 5‐5 claiming 59.87%, 8.55%, and 3.95% respectively. Audit code 1T‐1 was used most frequently in EDR Section 5.1 – Cost for BSAI Crab Fishing Only when vessels did not purchase any line and other gear, bait, or pay crab harvest cooperative fees throughout the year. Audit code 5‐5 was used most commonly in reference to fuel purchases reported in Section 5.1 – Cost for BSAI Crab Fishing Only. These vessels typically track either fuel cost or fuel gallons, and arrive at the other measure using an average fuel cost per gallon. Audit code 10‐10 was not used. Error Audit Codes AKT analyzed the following results for the remaining audit codes, which are used to categorize errors: 2‐1 6‐1 2T‐1 7‐7 3‐1 8‐1 4‐4 9‐9 Audit code 3‐1 was documented 9.21% of the time. The most common sources of misunderstanding the question related to: Section 4.1 – Crab Harvesting Labor Costs. Vessels reported earnings before crew‐related expenses, rather than net of food and other shared expenses as instructed in the EDR. Section 6.0 – Labor Costs. Vessels were unclear on what figure should be reported here, resulting in the reporting of only BSAI labor or all labor other than BSAI labor. Additionally, vessels were unsure of whether to deduct food and other crew‐related expenses from the amount reported (see note on Section 4.1 – Crab Harvesting Labor Costs above). Audit code 8‐1 was the error code used most frequently at 15.13%. This audit code was documented across all variables and indicates that the vessel’s original submission was incorrect, but that adequate documentation was provided to support the revised value. In some instances the vessels acknowledged the original error, and in others AKT determined the existence of the error based upon the audit information provided and conversations with the vessels. Anecdotal evidence suggests that vessels do not always thoroughly review their records to report an accurate EDR number initially, and only revise the figures when forced to look more closely at their own data to produce auditable support for AKT. Four additional audit codes appeared in a fraction of the catcher vessels: calculation errors (2‐1) at 0.66%, typographical errors (2T‐1) at 1.32%, values updated for new information (6‐1) at 0.66%, and “best guesses” not derived from records (7‐7) at 0.66%. Audit codes 4‐4 and 9‐9 were not used. 7 PROCEESSOR R AUDIIT COD DE ANA ALYSIS S T The records of ten proce essors were requested, and a ten packkets were reeceived. In tthe current yyear, two p processors se elected for raandom auditt did not req quire follow‐uup informatio on requests. All other p processors ccomplied with h AKT’s reque ests for additional supportt. A AKT analyzed d the audit co odes it assign ned to each o of the proces sors in orderr to documen nt consistent errors for eeach variable,, along with t the reasoning g behind the e error. T The total num mber of audiit codes posssible was dettermined by the numberr of EDR variiables requessted from sselected proccessors. Nine e shoreside/ffloating proce essors subm itted informaation for 3 ittems and one catcher p processor sub bmitted inforrmation for 8 8 items, totaling 35 audit codes. The d distribution o of those audit codes is ssummarized b below. A Audit code 1‐1 was used m most extensivvely, accountting for 80.000% of variables tested. Th his high rate attests to tthe quality of o data subm mitted by the e processorss and is an iindication off the larger operations aand more ssophisticated record‐keeping practicess of processorrs as compareed to catcher r vessels. A Audit code 5‐5 5 appeared d 8.57% of th he time, mosst often in reelation to the Total Processing Labor r Payment vvariable in Seection 3.1 – Crrab Processin ng Labor Costts. Because t the same stafff perform prrocessing acttivities for m many types o of products, t these processsors use alloccation bases,, such as dayys processing or percent o of pounds p processed, to estimate lab bor costs for e each fishery. A Audit codes 1 1T‐1, 3‐1, and d 7‐7 also app peared, accou unting for 5.771%, 2.86%, a and 2.86% respectively. In total, non‐e error audit co odes (1‐1, 1T‐11, 5‐5, and 10 0‐10) compris ed 94.3% of p processor aud dit codes useed. 8 OUTLIIER AUDIT U CODE ANALYYSIS N Nine vessels a and six processors were se elected for ou utlier audits t through the N NMFS analysis process described in tthe Methodology section of the reportt. AKT receivved support f for the uniquue variables id dentified by NMFS for eeach of the 15 1 vessels/pro ocessors sele ected. In the e current yeaar, nine vessels and/or prrocessors sellected for o outlier audit d did not require additional requests. All other outlieers complied with AKT’s r requests for a additional ssupport. A AKT analyzed d the audit co odes it assigned to each off the outliers in order to document con nsistent errors for each vvariable, along with the reasoning behind the error. T The total num mber of auditt codes possib ble was determined by thhe number off EDR variablees requested from the o outliers, totaling 23. The d distribution of those audit codes is sum mmarized belo ow. A Audit code 1‐1 was used s slightly more e than half of the time, at 52.17%, with h overall non‐‐error codes ( (1‐1, 1T‐1, 55‐5, and 10‐10 0) totaling 56 6.5%. This we ell‐supported d rate is signifficantly less t han that of v vessels and prrocessors, aat 73.0% and 94.3% respectively. Give en that outlier selections a are based up pon submissio ons identified d as being aanomalous, th he decreased d rate of support is reasonaable. A Audit code 2T T‐1, accounted for 21.74% % of codes ussed, and was used most frrequently in E EDR Section 5 5.1 – Cost ffor BSAI Crabb Fishing Onlyy. Most of th hese errors arrose from thrree vessels ow wned by the same compaany, all of w which mistakenly recorded d Crab Landin ng Taxes and Fees in the fieeld for Crab H Harvest Coopeerative Fees. A Audit code 8‐1 was used 113.04% of the e time, and sp pans a varietyy of variabless. The audit c code indicatees that the vvessel’s origin nal submissio on was incorrect, but that adequate documentattion was pro ovided to sup pport the rrevised value. In many insstances this a audit code is indicative of carelessnesss by the subm mitters when preparing tthe initial EDR R. A Audit codes 2 2‐1, 3‐1, and 5‐5 appeared d in a fraction n of outliers, a at 4.35% each h. 9 AUDITT VARIABLE ANALY YSIS In addition to o assessing th he distributio on and use of o the variouss audit codess, AKT analyzzed the EDR variables w which were m most frequenttly not suppo orted by direcct documentaary evidence. This lack of support inclu udes both eerrors and the e necessary use of estimattes. C Catcherr Vesselss A AKT identified three variables v wh hich received d unsupportted audit ccodes in grreater than 30% of instances. Vessels were unable to substantiate s these variab bles resulting in either errors or th he use of eestimates. A summary of those variables is provided d below. N Nearly one‐third of vesse els received an unsupported audit coode for Total Labor Paym ment to Harvvest Crew (Section 4.1). This rate of unsubstantiaation owes prrimarily to a m misunderstan nding of the q question; nam mely, that vvessels are no ot reporting c crew labor paayments net of food and o other shared crew expensses. Placing a additional eemphasis on t this point in t the EDR instructions may be valuable i n the reduction of future e errors for thiss variable. T The variable f for Fuel, Lubrrication, and Fluids Used i in BSAI Crab Fishery (Secttion 5.1) elicitted unsupporrted audit ccodes for 47% % of vessels. Five of these e unsupported d codes relatte to reasonable estimates. The estimates used ttook a couple e of different forms; two v vessels had to o estimate thhe number of f gallons used d in the fisherry, usually b by dividing th he total fuel cost as reco orded in their accountingg system by the market price per galllon. This p practice suggests that vessels are failing to retain ap pplicable fuell invoices, and d are thus forrced to rely exclusively o on their accou unting record ds, which do n not always include detail r regarding galllons purchassed. Two other vessels eestimated the e cost of fuel used in the f fishery by mu ultiplying the amount of fuuel used, as m measured by the crew, b by the market price of fue el. The fifth v vessel relying on estimate s for this variable estimatted the amou unt of fuel u used in non‐ccrab activitie es and subtraacted that am mount from the annual ffuel cost to aarrive at the reported aamount. Ove erall, vessels had difficultty determinin ng exactly h ow much fuel was consu umed in each fishery, leeading to the e extensive usse of estimate es and numerous errors. FFinally, the To otal Labor Co osts (Section 6 6.0) variable w was unsuppoorted in 58% of instances.. In many casses, these eerrors were the result of vessels misunderstan m nding what labor costs should be reported under this vvariable. Som me vessels reported only B BSAI crab fishing labor coosts, while otthers reporteed all labor co osts other tthan those fo or BSAI fishing. Whether o or not to included shared crew expensses like food, which are exxcluded in S Section 4.1, was w also identified as a source of co onfusion. Fu rther clarification of the data needed for this vvariable migh ht prove ben neficial. Additionally, ane ecdotal evideence derived d from conveersations witth vessels indicates thatt the annual totals requirred in this secction are diffficult to com mpile, thus contributing to o the high eerror rate. C Catcher/ r/Shoresside/Floa ating Prrocessorrs A As noted in th he Processor Audit Code A Analysis section, the qual ity of submisssions was very high, with 80.0% of vvariables rece eiving a 1‐1 au udit code. Acccordingly, an nalysis of freqquent errors i s not materiaal to the processors. 10 BURDEEN HOUR O ESTIMAT S TE A As a result off its analysis a and contact w with the vesssels and proc essors selectted for audit, AKT asked a all vessels den hours) to aand processors to provide information regarding th he time comm mitment (burd o prepare orig ginal EDR ssubmissions f for PSMFC an nd to prepare submissions for AKT. C Catcherr Vesselss A A summary off the burden hours estimaated by the re esponsive vesssels is included below. No ote that 17 veessels p provided estim mates as to t he amount off time taken t to prepare thhe initial EDR,, while 13 pro ovided estimaates for tthe time spen nt preparing s supporting materials for vaalidation. E Estimates reg garding the time required for catcher vessels to com mplete the oriiginal EDR su ubmission ran nged from ttwo hours to one month, with 53.3% placing the burden b at or below 20 ho ours and 46.77% at greateer than 20 h hours. E Estimates reg garding the amount a of tim me needed to t compile doocumentation for AKT affter being sellected for aaudit ranged from one ho our to a weekk and a half, with 84.6% of vessels sp pending less tthan ten hou urs on the p process and 1 15.4% spendin ng more. A Additional co omments pro ovided by vessels expresssed general d dissatisfactio on with the w workload and d level of d detail required by the EDR R. Specificallly, vessels exxpressed thatt the annual t totals requireed by Table 6 6 – Annual T Totals for All F Fisheries are t the most tim me‐consuming g and difficultt figures to compile. Furtthermore, theey believe tthe questionss in this table are unduly in nvasive in that they are no t directly relaated to crab a activity. C Catcher/ r/Shoresside/Floa ating Prrocessorrs A A summary of o the burden n hours estim mated by the e responsive processors iis included b below. Note that nine p processors prrovided estim mates as to th he amount off time taken t to prepare th he initial EDR R, while eightt provided eestimates for the time spent preparing supporting m materials for v validation. E Estimates reg garding the tiime required for processo ors to compleete the original EDR subm mission ranged d from six h hours to 40 hours, with the distribution n of processo ors taking lesss than and m more than 20 hours resembling that o of vessels, at 55.6% and 44 4.4% respectively. 11 Estimates regarding the amount of time needed to compile documentation for AKT after being selected for audit ranged from a half‐hour to eight hours, with 75.0% of processors spending five hours or less. The processors also included comments emphasizing that in addition to the time directly spent preparing the EDR, 50 to 60 hours are required throughout the year to maintain systems and files solely for EDR reporting purposes. See Appendix B for detailed results of burden hour inquiries. 12 COMM MENDA ATION A AKT worked c collaboratively with memb bers of the PS SMFC and NM MFS staff and d would like t to thank them m for their ccommitment and time. Name N Organizatiion Dave Colpo D Pacificc States Marinne Fisheries C Commission Geana Tyler G Pacificc States Marinne Fisheries C Commission Brian Garber B r‐Yonts Nation nal Marine Fissheries Servicce Audit particip A pants Individ dual vessels a and/or processsors 13 CONCLLUSION T The 2011 ED DR yielded a high respon nse rate from m all catcherr vessels and d catcher, flo oating, and shoreside p processors. T The vessels that contained errors on t their submisssions were co orrected easily by contactt with the d. vvessel or by th he addition of new information to subsstantiate the data reported A AKT appreciates the opportunity to wo ork with PSMFC and NMFS S staff. This collaborativee relationship p is critical tto AKT’s success in comple eting this yeaarly audit. 14 APPEN NDIX A A S Statisticcal Sam mple In order to determine an appropriate sample size as the basiss of selection n for the random audits, the main ccriteria to con nsider are the e level of preccision desired d, the level of f confidence o or risk, and th he degree of v variability in the attributtes being meaasured. Thesse elements a are defined ass follows: Level of Precision – A P lso referred t to as the margin of error, t this is the ran nge in which t the true poin nt value of the population is estim mated to be. T This is expresssed as a perccentage ± thee true value (ee.g., ± 5%). Th hus, if it is found fro om the samp ple that on average 15% % of the fishherman did n not submit d data then is could be concluded d, that for the e total populaation, betwee en 10% and 220% of the fisherman havee not submittted data. Confidence Level – Th he degree to which we are e certain thatt a result, or estimate, ob btained from the study includes t the true popu ulation percentage, when the precisionn is taken intto account. In n a normal distribution 95% of th he sample vaalues are with hin two stand dard deviatioons of the truue population value. If 10 00 vessels were sam mpled 95 woulld have the trrue population values withhin the range specified. Degree of o Variability y – This me easures the variability w within the p population (ee.g. Catcherr Vessels, Catcher/P Processor Ve essels, Shorre/Floating Processors, P Large Vesssels, Small Vessels). The more heterogen neous a popu ulation, the larger the sam mple size reqquired to obttain a given llevel of preciision. The more hom mogenous a population the t smaller the t sample s ize required.. A variabilityy of 50% signifies the greatest v variability. D Due to the vaariability within the industry and the vaariability of thhe data being g analyzed, th here is not on ne specific vvariable that can be used t to create a sttatistical mod del that woulld enable AKT to calculatee a standard deviation aand regressio on analysis fo or the projecct. This fact places p the prroject in a sim milar category as a questionnaire, p political poll, surveys, and extension program impaccts. W While there are no statisstical analyse es that can be applied d directly, therre are similar projects th hat derive sstatistical sam mpling metho ods relating t to extension program imppact. In thesee projects the samples arre used to eevaluate a chaange made to o the extensio on programs. T The sampling g formulas derived for such h projects and to ensure a a statistical baasis for the saamples choseen are the ffollowing: n Z p q n n n 1 1 e 2 N 2 0 0 0 n0 = Sample size n = Sample e size with fin nite populatio on correctionn for proportio ons Z = The nu umber of stan ndard deviatio ons a point x is from the m mean; is a scaled value p = Populaation variability q = 1 – p e = The de esired level off precision N = Total p population FFor this projecct p (variability) equals .5 t to account fo or maximum v variability in t the populatio on. 15 This type of sampling methodology takes into account errors and missing information in the data. The precision level quantifies the tolerable level of error based on the sample size. This error level is then projected to the total population. The samples were stratified based on the proportion of the group versus the total population. The reasoning behind this is that by sampling each individual population there would be no statistical basis for both the Catcher/Processor and Stationary/Floater Processors. The only way to have a statistical basis for this population would be to census the population. Because this is not a reasonable approach, AKT suggested that the population include all groups and then additional random audits be performed for the Catcher/Processor and Stationary/Floater Processor populations. The sample population was ultimately chosen based upon a 95% confidence level with 15% precision and variability of 50% (due to the variability of the information requested). This method ensures the data are correct (outlier audits) and provides a process to measure the quality of data (random audits). This sampling method provides a statistical basis for future studies and gives the agencies a basis to measure the accuracy of the population data. 16 APPEN NDIX B B T Time Bu urden Esstimatess T Time burden estimates forr each respon ndent are sum mmarized below: 17
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