Prof. Ulrich Note for the readers of the supplementary materials for online publication The following slides are a translation of the original German guide that was handed out to the interviewers who conducted the interviews. The information was also implemented on the notebooks that were used in the computer assisted personal interviews. The terminology was aimed at good comprehensibility by the general population. Whenever possible, technical terms were avoided. The phrasing was tested in exploratory group discussions and several pretests, starting with students and administrative university employees. For the final pretest random individuals reflecting a wide societal range were recruited in the pedestrian area of a large German city. 1 Prof. Ulrich Guidance for the Discrete Choice Experiment: Redistribution in Germany Interviewer (please, read out the whole text loud and at the same time let the respondents watch the screen): • The political debate is consistently revolving around the redistribution of income and wealth. With your participation you can help us answering one central question: Do the citizens want more or less redistribution? • • In the following decision experiment you will be asked to consider different redistribution alternatives. You are supposed to decide between the current state (blue) and an alternative (red). But do not worry, there exists no wrong or right decision. 2 First, we would like to explain to you the structure of our social welfare system in the current state (blue). Four aspects are important: 1. Personal tax and social insurance contributions The individual tax and contribution rate is the share of your personal gross income that is devoted to paying taxes and social insurance contributions. The resulting government revenues are partially used for redistribution, i.e. to provide financial support to people in need (social benefits). Currently, on average 30 % of the individuals’ gross income is taken by the German state by levying taxes and social insurance contributions. Persönliche Abgabenquote This part of your income is shown on the next page at the top left corner! 30 % tax and contributions 30% your gross income 3 Current state Personal tax and social insurance contributions: Persönliche Abgabenquote 30 % tax and contributions 30% your gross income 4 2. Total volume of redistribution The total volume of redistribution refers to the amount of money that a country spends for social benefits measured as percentage of the gross domestic product (GDP). At the moment, 30 % of the gross domestic product in Germany is used to finance social benefits for needy persons. This includes: sick people, retired persons, families with children, unemployed, working poor. This share of 30% of GDP is pictured on the next page on the top right corner! Gesamtes Umverteilungsvolumen 30 % for redistribution 30% GDP Please note: The higher the total volume of redistribution, the more money is available for social benefits. 5 Current state Personal tax and social insurance contributions Persönliche Abgabenquote Total of redistribution Gesamtesvolume Umverteilungsvolumen 30 % for redistribution 30 % tax and contributions 30% 30% GDP your gross income Please note: • Your personal taxes and contributions are only a part of the total redistribution volume. • Other taxes and employers’ contributions add to the total government revenues. • Your personal tax and contributions rate does not need to correspond to the total redistribution volume. 6 3. Types of beneficiaries Of the total social benefits (30 % share of the gross domestic product (GDP)) about 40 % are currently used for retirees, 35 % for sick people, 10 % for unemployed, 10 % for families with children and 5 % for working poor. This allocation is shown on the following page at the bottom left corner! Art der Leistungsempfänger working poor families & children 10% unemployed 5% 10% 40% retirees sick and persons in need of care 35% 7 Current state Personal tax and social insurance contributions Persönliche Abgabenquote Total of redistribution Gesamtesvolume Umverteilungsvolumen 30 % for redistribution 30 % tax and contributions 30% 30% GDP your gross income Types of beneficiaries Art der Leistungsempfänger working poor families & children 10% unemployed The higher the redistribution volume, the more money can be distributed. 5% 10% 40% retirees sick and persons in need of care 35% 8 4. Nationality of recipients Of the total social benefits, 85 % are currently paid to Germans. About 5 % go to beneficiaries with West European nationality and about 10 % to people with other nationalities. This allocation is shown at the next page at the bottom right corner! Nationalität der Leistungsempfänger West Europeans other 5% 10% 85% German 9 Current state Personal tax and social insurance contributions Persönliche Abgabenquote Total of redistribution Gesamtesvolume Umverteilungsvolumen 30 % for redistribution 30 % tax and contributions 30% 30% GDP your gross income Types of beneficiaries Art der Leistungsempfänger West Europeans working poor families & children 10% unemployed Nationality of recipients Nationalität der Leistungsempfänger other 5% 5% 10% 10% 40% retirees sick and persons in need of care 35% 85% German 10 Now we are getting to the alternatives (red). These describe possible redistribution systems that might be implemented in the future. The alternatives differ in comparison to the current state (blue) in several aspects, for example: the personal tax and contribution rises or falls in % of your income, i.e. your contribution to redistribution changes. the total volume of redistribution (share of GDP) increases or decreases the allocation across beneficiaries changes the allocation across the nationality of recipients changes You can always evaluate the alternative and check if you personally prefer the current state (blue) or the alternative (red). 11 Please decide for each of the following 8 alternatives, if they are more attractive as the current state (blue) or if you rather want to stay with the current state. Important: Please note, that besides the current state (blue) and the respective alternative (red), there is no alternative option to choose. Therefore, always ask yourself: „If there were only these two options, which one would I choose?“ Before starting, we want to show you two examples. On the next page, you see on the left hand the current state and on the right hand a possible alternative. 12 Example 1 Current state Personal tax and social insurance contributions Alternative Total amount of redistribution 30 % tax and contributions Personal tax and social insurance contributions Total amount of redistribution 45 % tax and contributions 30 % for redistribution 45 % for redistribution 30% 30% 45% your gross income working poor 10% 5% unemployed Type of beneficiaries Nationality of recipients Type of beneficiaries families & children GDP West Europeans 5% 10% West Europeans 5% other sick and persons in need of care 35% 85% 10% other 30% retirees 10% German 10% 20% unemployed retirees Nationality of recipients working poor families & children 10% 40% 45% GDP your gross income sick and persons in need of care 80% 35% German 13 Example 2 Current state Personal tax and social insurance contributions Alternative Total amount of redistribution 30 % tax and contributions 30 % for redistribution families & children 10% 5% unemployed GDP Type of beneficiaries West Europeans 5% 10% 5% other 10% other 30% unemployed 35% West Europeans 5% 20% retirees 40% sick and persons in need of care Nationality of recipients working poor families & children 10% retirees 25% GDP your gross income working poor 25 % for redistribution 35% Nationality of recipients Type of beneficiaries Total amount of redistribution 35 % tax and contributions 30% 30% your gross income Personal tax and social insurance contributions 15% 85% German 30% sick and persons in need of care 85% German 14 Interviewer: Please ask, if the structure is clear. if clear: go to „Start of the experiment“ if not clear, please give the following explanation and show Example 2: Look at the current state and the alternative. The charts differ, for example • your personal tax and contribution ratio diminishes , • the amount of redistribution is constant, • retired persons and working poor get paid more, • families with children and unemployed get less, • sick people and care recipients get the same amount as before, • Germans, West-Europeans and other nationality beneficiaries all get the same money as before. If you think that the alternative is overall better than the current state, then choose the alternative. If you think, that this is not the case, choose the current state! 15 Interviewer: Please ask, if the respondent is ready to start the experiment. if yes, go to „Start of the experiment“ if no, please give following hint: The scientific significance of this experiment depends substantially on your cooperation. Your answers are also quite valuable for us, even if you may not always be sure of your decisions. Just concentrate on the points, which are most important to you. In doubt, just trust your ‚gut feeling‘! go to „start of the experiment“ 16 Start of the experiment Now, let us begin with the decision experiment. Please tell me for each of the following decision situation, if you chose the alternative or the current state. 17
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