What We Know and Don’t Know about Obstetric Fistula: A review of Current Knowledge Saifuddin Ahmed Sara Holtz Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University • Found in the mummy of 2050 BC • First reference to fistula dated 1550 BC • Linked obstructed labor to incontinence by Avicenna (Ibn Sina) – 1030 AD • Preventable and treatable • • • • • Devastates lives of sufferers Divorced by husbands Expelled from home Ostracized by society Beg for livelihood 1 Dead Women Walking & Living with Fistula (Photograph: © 2004 Shaleece Haas. This is an open-access image distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.) “We should start by admitting that we do not know the extent or incidence of fistula…” (Nafis Sadik, 2001) “Current data on the prevalence of fistula are virtually nonexistent” (Browning and Patel, 2004) 2 • No comprehensive world survey • No question in Demographic and Health Surveys • No population level survey where incidence and prevalence is high • No ethical answer for treatment options needed to be offered if a survey finds the case Guillain-Barre syndrome • Incidence: Extremely rare - 1 per 100,000 • Acute inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy • Prognosis: Almost all cases survive and the majority recover completely. 3 Methods • Literature search: – Pubmed – Popline • 41 empirical study – 4 case-control – All clinic study, except 1 (population based study) • Sample size: 25 – 1716 – Median N: 123 4 Incidence and Prevalence • The cited statistics are almost 15 years old • Prevalence – 2 million • 1 million in Nigeria ! • Bangladesh – 1.6 per 1000 ever married women – higher than expected Meta-analysis: Obstructed labor 92.6% (95% CI: 90.5 – 94.8) Ampofo, 1990(Nigeria Amr, 1998(Jordan) Danso, 1996(Ghana) Dekou, 2002(Cote d'I Gessessew, 2003(Ethi Gueye,1992 (Senegal) Hilton, 1998(Nigeria Ibrahim, 2000(Nigeri Ijaiya, 2004(Nigeria Islam, 1992(Banglade Kelly, 1995(Ethiopia Lawson, 1989(Nigeria Majinge, 1995 (Tanza Muleta, 1997 (Ethiop Rafiq, 2002(Pakistan Rahman, 2003(Saudi A Wall, 2004(Nigeria) Combined .7 .8 .9 1 Obstructed labor 5 Does traditional practice of Gishiri cutting have a causal association? Gishri cut: 7.3% (95% CI: 1.9 28.5) 6 Direct and Indirect Causes • Direct: Obstructed labor • Is there other risk factors? Indirect causes • Why fistula is higher in Sub-Saharan Africa? • Is there any evidence that the incidence of obstructed labor is higher in Africa? Maternal health care and mortality rates D octor (% ) Su b-Saharan A frica Benin 1996 5.8 Burk ina 1.7 Faso 1998/99 C had 1996/97 2.0 C ote 4.1 d'Ivoire 1994 G uinea 1999 17.7 Kenya 1998 27.8 M adagascar 1997 19.0 M alawi 2000 8.2 M ali 2001 2.7 T ogo 1998 3.5 Zam bia 2001/02 2.3 Zim babwe 1999 13.2 N o rth A frica/W est M orocco 1992 21.3 So uth an d So uth east A sia Indonesia 1997 10.6 N epal 1996 12.7 Philippines 1998 38.5 Latin A m erica Bolivia 1994 49.5 H aiti 2000 46.9 Peru 1996 31.7 Antenatal C are O ther T otal H ealth (% ) P rofessional (% ) D elivery C are (% ) M aternal M o rtality R ate (1000 person years) M atern al M ortality R atio (100,000 live births) 74.5 59.0 80.3 60.7 63.9 32.1 1.06 1.02 498 484 30.0 79.1 32.0 83.2 11.2 44.8 1.84 1.18 827 597 53.0 64.1 57.8 84.3 54.1 78.5 91 79.9 70.7 91.9 76.8 92.5 56.8 82.0 93.3 93.1 29.0 42.1 34.2 55.3 37.8 49.1 43.6 72.2 1.03 0.99 0.99 2.40 1.34 0.68 1.44 0.94 528 590 488 1120 582 389 729 695 10.9 32.2 28.3 0.14 332 78.8 24.9 47.2 89.4 37.6 85.7 20.7 7.6 34.2 0.34 0.88 0.19 352 539 149 3.0 33.4 35.6 52.5 80.3 67.3 42.2 16.8 49.6 0.50 0.77 0.26 305 523 216 7 • Does nutritional status play a role? – Effect of chronic malnutrition • Can Vitamin A deficiency play a role? • Does vaginal infection status initiate the development of VVF and prevent healing? • Are there other social and cultural etiologic factors? Is early childbearing associated with increased risk of obstructed labor? 8 Meta-analysis: Proportion Age <15 years 29.9% (95% CI: 12.0 – 47.9) Ampofo, 1990(Nigeria Gessessew, 2003(Ethi Ibrahim, 2000(Nigeri Majinge, 1995 (Tanza Rafiq, 2002(Pakistan Combined .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 Proportion Age <15 Meta-analysis: Proportion Age <20 years 52.3% (95% CI: 50.9 – 53.7) Ampofo, 1990(Nigeria Dekou, 2002(Cote d'I Gessessew, 2003(Ethi Harouna, 2001(Niger) Ijaiya, 2004(Nigeria Majinge, 1995 (Tanza Muleta, 1997 (Ethiop Tehzib, 1983(Nigeria Waaldijk, 2004(Niger Combined .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 Proportion Age <20 years .9 1 9 Meta-analysis: Proportion Primigravida 50.8% (95% CI: 38.6 – 63.0) Amr, 1998(Jordan) Danso, 1996(Ghana) Dekou, 2002(Cote d'I Gessessew, 2003(Ethi Gharoro, 1999(Nigeri Gueye,1992 (Senegal) Harouna, 2001(Niger) Hilton, 1998(Nigeria Ibrahim, 2000(Nigeri Ijaiya, 2004(Nigeria Kelly, 1995(Ethiopia Murray, 2002(Ethiopi Tehzib, 1983(Nigeria Zoung-Kanyi, 1990(Ca Combined .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 Proportion Primigravida Meta-analysis: Fetal death 84.4% (95% CI: 80.2 – 88.6) Ampofo, 1990(Nigeria Dekou, 2002(Cote d'I Gessessew, 2003(Ethi Hilton, 1998(Nigeria Ibrahim, 2000(Nigeri Mabeya, 2004(Kenya) Muleta, 1997 (Ethiop Wall, 2004(Nigeria) Combined .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 Proportion experienced fetal deaths 10 Divorce: 34.5 % (95% CI: 22.9-52.0) Meta-analysis: Proportion Successfully Repaired 86.0% (95% CI: 82.7 – 89.3) Amr, 1998(Jordan) Bouffioux, 1987(Guin Elkins, 1988(Ghana) Gessessew, 2003(Ethi Gharoro, 1999(Nigeri Gueye,1992 (Senegal) Hilton, 1998(Nigeria Ibrahim, 2000(Nigeri Kelly, 1995(Ethiopia Lawson, 1989(Nigeria Mabeya, 2004(Kenya) Majinge, 1995 (Tanza Muleta, 1997 (Ethiop Murray, 2002(Ethiopi Rafiq, 2002(Pakistan Rahman, 2003(Saudi A Waaldijk, 2004(Niger Wall, 2004(Nigeria) Zoung-Kanyi, 1990(Ca Combined .1 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1 Surgical Success Rate 11 “At the world’s current capacity to repair fistula, it would take at least 400 years to clear the backlog of patients, provided that there are no more new cases” Browning and Patel, 2004 12
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