Sun Travel AQA A2 Business Studies BUSS3 - Strategies for Success Revision Workshop ’s second K U e h t is l plc SunTrave perator having sold ro d largest tou ss-market package a m ry traditional It has a ve . s e d a c e rd holidays fo ntly, enjoyed high e d, until rec as been tested by n a e m a n h n brand that loyalty warnings issued by r, e v well-know e w o t loyalty. H ies of profi ollapse in the firm’s r e s a customer r e ft and a c roblems a financial p ring 2010 and 2011 du the Board e. share pric In November 2011, as part of a refinancing led by SunTravel’s banks, holiday industry veteran Marcus Klose was appointed Chairman. Marcus’s main objective is to improve SunTravel’s profit quality and significantly increase the share price over the next 3 years by achieving market leadership in the overseas holiday market. SunTravel’s bankers and major shareholders have serious concerns about the high level of gearing and financial under-performance compared with the market leader – GOSTAY Travel plc. In May 2012 the Board appointed Hazel Blair as CEO. Hazel has no travel industry experience but she has a reputation for effective cost-cutting in a range of industries. Hazel has spent the first few months in her role assessing the scope for significant cost reductions and ways to reduce SunTravel's large debts. Key Features of the UK Tour Operating Market SunTravel operates in a very large market. In the UK alone, consumer spending on overseas holidays is around £30bn. SunTravel is a vertically-integrated business. In addition to the SunTravel holiday brand, it owns and operates a large fleet of aircraft and sells many of its own holidays via SunTravel Holiday Shop - (the UK’s largest chain of travel agents), SunTravel Direct and SunTravel.com Tour operating is a high risk and capital intensive business. To earn profits, operators need economies of scale to minimise unit costs and earn a good profit margin. Tour operators usually commit to their capacity (hotel rooms & flights) well in advance by estimating what the likely demand will be. As a result, fixed costs are high and losses can be heavy if demand does not meet supply. The industry has a long history of low profit margins and business failure; since 2011 over 20 operators have gone bust leaving thousands of holidaymakers stranded or without a holiday. 2 AQA A2 BUSS3 Revision Workshop SunTravel’s core market appears to be in long-term decline. Since 1999, the number of overseas packaged holidays taken by UK travellers has fallen consistently and now stands at 36million p.a. Holidays of the kind offered by SunTravel and its competitors have suffered during the economic downturn, with a 20% decline in holidays taken between 2008 and 2011. The mainstream (mass market) packaged holiday industry is not just affected by the state of the economy. The behaviour of holidaymakers is changing too, both in the type of holidays sought and their approach to booking. These key changes in customer behaviour include: • Less likely to book a traditional flight and accommodation package, with more customers happy to book the components of a holiday separately from online distributors and low-cost airlines; • A tendency to book much later (closer to departure) and to be more price-sensitive; • Research and book holidays online rather than relying on the service of travel agents. In the last 5 years, the number of overseas holidays booked through travel agents has fallen by 20%; • Increasing success of niche operators who offer more specialised holidays and have more flexibility over their flight and accommodation arrangements. The packaged holiday market has increasingly been split into two main segments: Mainstream Holidays Classic package of charter flight and hotel accommodation (half-board) to popular destinations in the Mediterranean. Still popular with older customers and those in the C1C2D socio-economic groups. Key to success in this market is to operate at low-cost. Differentiated Holidays More specialised holidays which add more value by addressing specific customer needs – e.g. all-inclusive, activity-based, experiences. Appeals to a more affluent consumer who expects a differentiated experience. www.tutor2u.net 3 Hazel’s Cost Minimisation Strategy Hazel believes that the most important short-term objective is to reduce operating costs in order to improve cash flow and reduce the risk of business failure. Working with a firm of external consultants, Hazel has developed a plan named “Project Take-off” which aims to make SunTravel the lowest-cost operator in the market. Hazel proposes that the business: • Close up to 250 of SunTravel’s portfolio of 660 travel agencies, some of which are loss-making; the remaining leases will be renegotiated with landlords; • Implement delayering amongst senior and middle management throughout the Group, including at Head Office; • Outsource 50% of SunTravel’s holiday flying to a low-cost airline (JetSky) and sell up to 20 of SunTravel’s ageing aircraft fleet; • End a popular benefit traditionally offered to all staff – heavily discounted holidays for staff, their family and friends. Hazel estimates that the total cost of the plan is £150million which will deliver annual cost savings of £100millon within three years. Hazel anticipates significant resistance to her proposals from the workforce at SunTravel which is heavily unionised and has been through a period of great upheaval and uncertainty in recent years. The proposal to end staff discounts is likely to be particularly unpopular. Marcus expresses his reservations... His view is that the plan may not be enough to ensure SunTravel's long-term success. Marcus would prefer to reposition SunTravel as a provider of differentiated holiday products and also invest much more in developing online sales. "The reservation I have with your plan Hazel", says Marcus before a crucial Board Meeting, "is that significant cost-cutting in the short-term will damage our ability to regain market leadership in the long-term". Hazel recognises that SunTravel might benefit from a portfolio of holiday brands that are focused on the faster-growing and more profitable differentiated holiday market segments. However this would involve a significant investment in innovation, improved staff training and enhancements to the customer experience throughout their holidays. In her view, SunTravel simply can't afford product development of this kind until the fundamental problems of the business are solved. 4 AQA A2 BUSS3 Revision Workshop Appendices Appendix 1: Financial Summary Financial highlights for SunTravel plc & the market leader GoStay Travel plc £millions SunTravel plc 2011 8,400 50 2.8 8,280 (260) 4,600 Revenue Operating Profit Dividend per share (pence) Non current liabilities Net cash inflow / (outflow) in year Capital Employed 2010 8,900 255 10.7 6,525 (85) 4,500 GOSTAY Travel plc 2011 12,700 495 10.7 4,420 170 6,500 2010 13,520 530 11.0 4,288 215 6,700 Revenues, Operating Profit and Market Share by Customer Location for Sun Travel UK market Other Europe Revenues 2011 (£bn) 6,900 1,500 Operating Profit 2011 (£bn) 40 10 Market Share 26% 7% Market Growth Rate p.a. (%) -3% +2% Appendix 2: Key Operations Data Airline Fleet Capacity & Performance (2012) Load Factor * in 2012 % on-time arrivals Number of aircraft Average Cost per Passenger Flown SunTravel Air 83% 89% 33 £93 Holiday Industry Average 92% 84% 14 £77 * Load factor is a measure of capacity utilisation in the airline industry. It is calculated by dividing the number of seats sold by the total number of seats available Holiday Rating & Customer Service Performance Average Holiday Ratings 2012 # Mainstream Product Differentiated Product Customer Complaints (% of bookings) SunTravel 61% 65% 6% GOSTAY Travel 59% 87% 3% Industry Average 55% 83% 6% # % of customers rating their holiday good or excellent in post-holiday customer service questionnaire www.tutor2u.net 5 Appendix 3: UK Marketing Data Marketing data for SunTravel plc compared with the competition SunTravel GOSTAY 660 22% 35% 435 41% 51% Rest of UK Market 4,180 17% 22% £1,260 £2,100 £1,370 £3,185 £950 £2,030 Number of travel agent outlets % of bookings made online Customer loyalty - & repeat bookings p.a. Average revenue per booking: Mainstream product Differentiated product Appendix 4: HRM Data and Performance Summary Staff Turnover: Travel Agencies Staff Turnover: Tour Reps Percentage Unionisation SunTravel 24% 68% 78% Holiday Industry Average 34% 81% 79% Recent results of SunTravel Employee Satisfaction Survey (Summer 2012): I am happy to work for SunTravel SunTravel offer a competitive remuneration package I have a clear understanding of SunTravel’s business objectives % Respondents 2012 56 35 % Respondents 2011 64 45 15 12 Appendix 5: Summary of Project Takeoff Costs and Returns The estimated investment and returns of Project Takeoff are: Outsource flying to JetSky Rationalise travel agency portfolio Remove staff travel concessions Delayer organisation structure Total for Project 6 AQA A2 BUSS3 Revision Workshop Total Cost £m 60.0 48.0 2.0 40.0 150.0 Annual Benefit £m 50.0 15.0 15.0 20.0 100.0
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