A Dynamic Model for Cash Waqf Management as One of The Alternative Instruments for The Poverty Alleviation in Indonesia Dian Masyita ([email protected]) The Faculty of Economics, Padjadjaran University, Bandung, Indonesia Muhammad Tasrif ([email protected] ) Energy Research & Development Group, Bandung Institute of Technology, Indonesia Abdi Suryadinata Telaga ([email protected]) Information System Department, Astra Manufacturing Polytechnic, Jakarta, Indonesia Submitted to The 23rd International Conference of The System Dynamics Society Massachussets Institute of Technology (MIT), Boston, July 17-21, 2005 Abstract This research tries to offer a design of the cash waqf management system in a system dynamics model. The Cash Waqf Management is expected to become one of the alternative instruments for the poverty alleviation programs in Indonesia. These programs require huge amount of fund that cannot be provided thoroughly by the government. Therefore, initiation of new sources of fund for such a program is inevitable. In the Islamic sosioeconomic concept, there is a source of social fund that is economically and politically free of charge, namely cash waqf. In this concept, Nadzir (cash waqf fund manager) collects the fund from Waqif (cash waqf payer) and invest the money in the real sector and in any syariah-based investment opportunities. Nadzir will then allocate profits and returns gained from the investments to poverty alleviation programs. Nadzir is obliged to maintain the amount of fund in such a way that it does not go below the initial amount. Therefore, Nadzir not only should be highly capable, but also needs an experienced financial institution in helping SMEs development efforts. Using the system dynamics methodology, we try to design the structure of cash waqf system and simulate the behaviour of cash waqf model. Keywords: cash waqf, portfolio investment, poverty alleviation, system dynamics 1. Preface In the early 2005, the Indonesian poverty rate has been still discouraging. The poverty indices are still higher than those of the previous years. The economic crisis beginning in 1997, does not end until now. In addition, the Tsunami Disasters destroyed two provinces in Indonesia i.e Nanggroe Aceh Darussalam and North Sumatra in the end of the year 2004. Based on the Statistics Central Bureau (BPS)’s data, there are about 40 million Indonesian people who are under the poverty line. Indonesia has come into debt trap made by the Indonesian government and the private sectors. Large amount of debt has weakened Indonesian economy for the past seven years. Currently, Indonesian foreign debt is approximately USD 130 billions, which consists of government foreign debt of USD 70 billions and private sector’s foreign debt of USD 60 billions. In addition, domestic government debt has reached IDR 650 trillions level. Nevertheless, the amount of the debt has been inceasing since Consultative Group on Indonesia (CGI) meeting in Bali (January 2003) decided to issue a USD 2,7 billion loan to Indonesia. Meanwhile, the government has been confronted with the deficit budget almost every year since 1997, which means that the government may find it difficult to cover its routine expenditures. Those regular balance sheet items require so large amount of fund that government cannot provide adequate fund for other strategic needs, such as good education, appropriate health, poverty, and SME’s development. Mismanagement of debts is the largest of all factors that make Indonesian go into crisis. Consequently, all of citizens and their offsprings have to carry the heavy burden of that debt. 2. Problem Identification One of potential solutions to the necessity of sufficient fund for public needs is waqf fund from people’s donation. People donate their money as cash waqf by purchasing cash waqf certificate. The gathered fund will be then invested in various investment portfolio and the profit of which can be spent for the above mentioned public necessities. The gained profit will also be used for funding poverty alleviation programs, while the principal of funds will be reinvested in various highly profitable investment opportunities. Waqif donates his/her money as waqf fund to Mauquf’alaih (a person who is entitled to get benefit from waqf fund) through Nadzir (a person/an institution being in charge for managing waqf fund and distributing returns of waqf investment). Only gains of the invested waqf fund will be delivered to Mauquf’alaih. The principal of funds keep being invested in potential investment opportunities. In relation to its role as waqf fund investment manager, Nadzir on behalf of Waqf Institution may allocate some waqf funds to financial portfolio and finance SMEs’ businesses on the basis of profit-loss sharing system. The larger the investment returns, the more fund can be allocated to poverty alleviation program. In some countries, waqf fund management has reduced poverty effectively and enhanced people’s welfare, by providing 2 additional fund for education & health development programs, cheap houses & public facilities development programs, and so forth. 3. Objectives of Research This research is expected to be able to find out the potency of an Islamic innovation financial instrument, expecially cash waqf, to alleviate the poverty in Indonesia. This research also tries to offer a design of the cash waqf management system in a system dynamics model. Using the system dynamics methodology, we tries to know the structure of cash waqf system and simulate the behaviour of cash waqf model. On the next part of this paper, we will discuss definition, law, and history of cash waqf to recognize the concept and its potential benefit. 4. Problem Definition : Cash Waqf Previously, waqf of building and land are the most popular forms of waqf. Nowadays, cash waqf has become increasingly well-known, particularly because of its flexibility, which allows distribution of the waqf’s potential benefit to be benefited by the poor anywhere. Cash waqf was firstly introduced in Ottoman era in Egypt. Professor Mannan then sosialized cash waqf in Bangladesh through Social Investment Bank Limited (SIBL). SIBL issues Cash Waqf Certificate to collect funds from the rich and distributes gains of the managed funds to the poor. Like those of Bangladesh, most of Indonesian people are poor. Characteristic of communities in both countries are also similar. Therefore, effectiveness of cash waqf certificate program to help reduce poverty in Bangladesh gives hope that analogous program can be successfully implemented in Indonesia. Fatwa Commission, Board of Indonesian Moslem Scholars, responded the necessity of cash waqf certificate program in Indonesia by issuing the following fatwa (dated on 11 May 2002): a. Cash Waqaf (Waqf al-Nuqud) is waqf donated by individual, group of individuals, or legal entity, in cash. b. Cash waqf includes securities. c. Money donated as waqf is not forbidden (jawaz). d. Cash waqf can only be distributed and allocated for anything not against syariah (Islamic law). e. Existence of waqf fund should be conserved. Waqf fund cannot be transferred to anyone. 4.1. Cash Waqf Certificate Framework Waqif is a person who donate some money as waqf by purchasing cash waqf certificate. The certificate can be bought in the name of family member, even if he/she is already dead. Waqif expects return of the managed fund to be assigned 3 for certain purpose, e.g. public facility development, poor people rehabilitation, etc. Nadzir invests the collected fund in various investment portfolios. Nadzir may (1) invest the fund in syariah (non interest) banking products of both domestic and overseas banks, (2) finance selected businesses, (3) establish new prospective businesses, or (4) finance small and medium scale enterprises (SMEs).(see Figure 1) 4.2. Cash Waqf Certificate According to Mannan (1998), the objectives of cash waqf certificate are; (1) to equip banks and other waqf management institutions with cash waqf certificate, (2) to help collect social savings through cash waqf certificate (cash waqf certification can be done in the name of other beloved family member to strengthen familiy integration among rich families), (3) to help transform the collected social savings to social capital, as well as to help develop social capital market, (4) to increase social investment, (5) to encourage rich communities’ awareness on their responsibility for social development in their environment., (6) to stimulate integration between social security and social welfare. As cash waqf practice has not yet been popular in Indonesia, cash waqf management institutions in Indonesia can replicate successful practices from other countries, such as Bangladesh. In addition to the above-mentioned objectives of cash waqf practice, profit of the managed waqf fund can be allocated for: (see figure 2) 1. Poor Family Rehabilitation. Enhancing poor people’s welfare 2. Educational and Cultural Development. Supplying free books Funding relevant research and development Improving educational programs Scholarship Grant for schools Preserving and developing cultural values 3. Health and Sanitation Health and Sanitation for poor people Establishing health center Providing cheap medicines with appropriate quality 4. Social services 5. Building facilities for religious activity 6. Fixing social facilities. 4 Aspects involved when purchasing Cash Waqf Certificate include: One’s own welfare (in this life and life after death) Family’s welfare (in this life and life after death) Social welfare and social investment Developing social awareness: social security for poor people and social harmony for rich people. Contribution of cash waqf to sosio-economic development in developing countries is significant. Fund collected through cash waqf certificate program can be allocated to social-related development areas (e.g., agriculture, education, health, and infrastructure), urban poverty alleviation program, and other public service development. This opportunity in turn will reduce poverty level and will allow people help themselves (Mannan,1998). Cash waqf certificate will be issued in various denominations, e.g. IDR (Rupiah)-100-million, IDR-50-million, IDR-10-million, IDR-5-million, and IDR-1million, in order that more prospective donors can afford them. Name of the donor (it can be on behalf of dead individual) and specific purpose of the donation (e.g. for educational services, health assistance, or other welfare enhancement efforts) will be stated on the certificate. 4.3. Requirements for Nadzir Utomo (2001) states that cash waqf management institution is a legal entity, and therefore should fulfil some requirements, which are called rukun waqf. The rules can be explained as follows: a. Al-waqif is a person who donates waqf fund. He/she should be health physically and mentally. The decision to donate should not be made under pressure. b. Assets or fund donated as waqf are technically called al-mawquf in fiqh (Islamic law). Existence of mawquf should be clear and durable. Therefore, people can benefit from the waqf for long time. c. Those who are entitled to benefit from return of waqf fund management are almawquf ‘alaih. d. The way of a waqif stating his/her asset or fund as waqf is called sighah. Dr.Muhammad Anwar Ibrahim in his paper titled “Wakaf Dalam Syariat Islam (Waqf in Islamic Law)” 1 explains conditions that should be satisfied in managing cash waqf. They are as follows: 1. Nadzir is a person/entity that is assigned to manage waqf fund. 2. As a matter of fact, waqif has the right to determine person or institution that will manage his/her waqf fund. If a waqif does not appoint a nadzir, then Kadi (Islamic Judge) will do it for him/her. [Asy-Syarbini op.cit p. 396]. This paper was presented in International Workshop on People’s Economy Empowerment Through Productive Waqf Management, in Batam, 2002. 1 5 3. Fiqh experts determine flexible requirements for being a Nadzir. Fit and proper nadzir should be capable of managing waqf fund to be productive source of capital. If a nadzir cannot do his job properly, Kadi must replace him with someone else after explaining reasons for the replacement. 4. Nadzir’s responsibilities include: Maintaining waqf asset, preparing waqf asset for rent, managing waqf fund, collecting waqf investment returns and distributing them to al-mawquf ‘alaih. Fiqh expert can expand these authorities as needed. 5. Nadzir’s division of work. A waqif can appoint more than one nadzir to handle his/her waqf fund. If a waqif does so, each nadzir will conduct a more specific job. Asset maintenance, investment management, and investment return distribution will be carried out by different nadzir. If there are more than one nadzir for one job, a decision can only be made after necessary consultation among them.[Asy-Syarbini op.cit. hal 410-411]. 6. Salary for Nadzir. Waqif may determine certain amount of money or percentage of waqf investment return as compensation for nadzir. A nadzir will not receive any compensation if he quits the job or gets fired. [Ibid]. 7. A Nadzir cannot take any part of waqf fund.[Ibid hal 412]. As the appointed nadzir, fund manager may carry out the followings to sustain investment return of cash waqf fund: 1. Invest cash waqf fund in various domestic or global syariah portfolios with good prospect. 2. Invest cash waqf fund in real sectors or businesses whose sources, process, and outputs are in line with syariah. Fund can be invested in existing business or in newly initiated one. Nadzir may establish new businesses that provide public services, such as convenience stores, hypermarkets, basic food stores, universities, hospitals, etc. This will generate more job opportunities and appropriately satisfy some people’s basic needs. 3. Allocate some of the collected fund as profit sharing-based loan to selected small businesses. Technical and managerial assistance are required to accompany this investment. If this investment runs well, nadzir will not only generate returns, but also help accelerate poor people’s economic development. Nadzir should also pay attention on some points described below: a. Transparency. Nadzir has to manage cash waqf fund transparently and regularly make financial and performance reports, which are accessible by waqif. b. Productivity. Nadzir has to be able to manage the fund productively, so that disadvantaged people can benefit form cash waqf fund continuously. c. Trustable. Integrity of a nadzir is crucial. It has to avoid any business opportunity and process that can lead to moral hazard. All proposed business activities should be assessed in terms of Islamic law. 6 4.4. Cash Waqf Management Institution’s Duties and Responsibilities Waqf Management Institution should manage waqf fund in such a way that the collected fund become more and more productive. The more the waqf investment return, the more mawquf ‘alaih benefit from waqf fund. According to fiqh, nadzir, as a waqf fund manager, is obliged to handle the fund productively (Utomo, 2001). Furthermore, Manshur bin Yunus al-Bahuty states in Syarh Muntaha al-Adaab (p. 504-505) that nadzir is responsible for maintaining, expanding, and developing waqf assets in order that they can provide some income such as investment return, rent fee, agricultural products, etc. 4.5. Waqif’s Requirements Waqif has a right to settle on particular requirements related to his/her waqf. Such a requirement is classified in two groups, i.e. (1) requirement that goes in line with syariah, and (2) condition that does not align with syariah. Nadzir does not have to obey the latter, even if waqif has agreed to donate his fund as waqf. Any rule or requirement should not violate Islamic law. Fiqh experts affirm that power of waqif’s requirement status should not contravene Allah the Almighty’s rule. 5. Research Metodology This research used system dynamics methodology to capture dynamic phenomenon of a system, in which variables change simultaneously as time moves. It also carried out a survey on possible implementation of cash waqf in Jakarta and Jawa Barat. The survey concluded that most people did not trust any existing government institution to manage cash waqf fund and control its investment activities, especially because cash waqf management will involve large amount of endowment funds. Most of them also recommend that if a special purpose institution is established to manage cash waqf fund, it has to be highly capable of detecting any potential dishonesty and assessing performance of cash waqf fund manager, i.e. nadzir. Therefore, it’s necessary to design an instrument which is able to control the cash waqf management. Based on the survey’s result, using exclusively designed computer program then simulated some scenarios of cash waqf implemention to formulate some policy concepts applicable in Indonesia. The computer program was designed to help the policy makers (1) estimate cash waqf potential in alleviating poverty in Indonesia, (2) supervise performance of nadzir or waqf fund management institution, and (3) identify appropriate policies conducive to poverty alleviation programs. Since there was no similar study preceding the research, some assumptions were applied. The ability of three national TV corporations (RCTI, SCTV, and Indosiar) to collect donation amounting IDR 2 billions in two nights in 2000 and the other charity programs to collect donation in 2001-2005 were used as an assumption basis of amount of fund could be gathered by cash waqf management 7 institution. This research also used data supplied by Biro Pusat Statistik Republik of Indonesia (National Beaurau for Statistics), BKKBN Republic of Indonesia (National Coordinating Agency for Family Planning) and Islamic Financial Institution. 5.1 Limitation of Research This research put more emphasived on financial management expecially raising and investing of cash waqf funds. The duties of Nazir, as a cash waqf fund manager, are to increase the cash waqf funds and invest those funds in profitable portfolios. As we know, the poverty alleviation problems are complicated. However, they need multidiscipline knowledge to formulate and figure out the solutions. With this research we want to try to make an early design of poverty alleviation in the financial viewpoint using system dynamics modeling. 8 National Waqf Institution Figure 1. WAQIF Indonesia citizens Foreign Citizens Islamic Financial Institutions Islamic Financial Portfolio (domestic) Islamic Capital Market Islamic Financial Institution Islamic Mutual Funds INSURANCE Cash Waqf Certificate Islamic Bonds Global Fund Management Islamic Banking N A Z I R (Fund Manager) Society Organizations Charity Institutions Microfinancing Portfolio Microfinance Institutions Direct Investment Portfolio Traditional Waqf Assets BMT To Maintain Waqf Assets Company To Create New Waqf Mudharabah Deposit BUILDINGS LAND Waqf Land Rental Real Estate Agricultural Non-Profit Projects Free Education Comercial Projects Waqf Buildings Rental Free Health Service THE PROFIT- LOSS SHARING from Cash Waqf Investment ___ (eliminate) Management Fees 9 Ready to Distribute the Funds To Poverty Alleviation Programs in Indonesia Figure 2. Microfinancing Portfolio To promote selfsufficient & dignity for the poor Rehabilitating physically handicapped Free Education (i.e. free tuitition fee, books free of cost, scholarships etc) Ready to Distribute the Funds To Poverty Alleviation Programs in Indonesia Poor Family Rehabilitation Educational & Culture Improving the condition of poor living below the poverty line Supporting any projects in the area of education, research, religious, etc) Social Fasilities & Services Health & Sanitation Natural Disaster (Tsunami, Flood,Volcanics) Establishing health care programs for the poor Supplying pure drinking water Supporting local culture, art & heritages Social Infrastructure Public Utilities Services Religion Fasilities Increasing The Standard of Life of Indonesian Citizens 10 To Alleviate the Poverty in Indonesia 6. General Description of System Conceptualization The system conceptualization involves establishing model boundary, identifying causal relationships and policy framework 2 . In this research the model boundary includes all relevant factors that are considered important in the problem context. The model comprises six interrelated components in the cash waqf management as shown as Figure 3. THE RICH - (-) loop 4 - THE POOR - + CASH WAQF FUNDS (-) loop 1 + (+) loop 2 + + INVESTMENT PORTFOLIOS AVAILABLE FUNDS FOR THE POVERTY PROGRAMS + (+) loop 3 INVESTMENT + PROFITS Figure 3. A Macro-view of Model As depicted in the above causal loop, the model links among the rich, cash waqf fund, investment portfolios, investment profits, available funds for the poverty programs and the poor. A general system of cash waqf model, derived from a macro-view of model above, consists of six sectors i.e: 1). The cash waqf fund raising sectors (the rich links to the collected-cash waqf funds), 2) The Islamic financial portfolios sectors, 3) The global fund management sectors, 4) The direct investment in large and medium scale enterprises, 5) The microfinance sectors. ( number 2,3,4,5 are investment portfolios which link to investment profits) 6) The distribution sectors of the profits of cash waqf investment. (Investment profits link to the poor through the poverty programs). The Interrelationship among variables can be seen in Figure 4. 2 Sushil (1993), System Dynamics “A Practical Approach for Managerial Problems”,Wiley Eastern Limited. 11 Figure 4. The Interrelationship Among Variables in the General System Foreign Waqif the poor Quality of Life - Living Cost Healthy Cost Education Cost The Family Rehabilitation Cost Natural Disaster Victims Costs - Indonesian ++ Population the rich cash waqf growth Average Period to + Collect Funds + The poverty Microfinance allevation + Portfolio programs + + To meet the poor needs The funds for the poverty alleviation programs +- Infrastructure Recovery Cost + Multiplier Effects of Microfinance towards Family's Welfare + + + - + + The Profits of Microfinance Management Fees for the Nazir + + + + + + Profits of Islamic Financial Investment -+ + NAV's Mutual Funds + +Risk of Islamic Financial Investment + To make a new waqf assets + + To maintain the existing waqf assets Waqf land + productivity + Dividen or Capital Gains + Direct Investment Portfolios + Invest to company + + Real Estate + + Agriculture Waqf Land Rental To maintain new assets Commercial Projects + + + + The Profits of cash waqf investment+ + capital gains Global Fund Mgt + + Investment Funds + Unemployment rate Microfinance Policy + Scheme Technical Assistances for the poor Bad debts of microfinance - + + Islamic Mutual Funds + Mudharabah Deposits Dividens rate of return + The risk of microfinance Islamic Capital Market Islamic Bond death rate + Islamic Banking + + + Cash Waqf Funds are collected by Nazir Islamic Financial Portfolio + birth rate - cash inflow of + cash waqf + + + + + + + + Business Risk + + Social Projects + Free-charge Health Services Free Education + + The Profits of Direct Investment + + 12 The interrelationship among the six sectors is described as follows : 1) The cash waqf fund raising sectors The responsibilities of this sector are collecting the cash waqf fund from the waqif and then distributing them to the investment portfolios. The profits of the investment will be distributed to the poor through the poverty alleviation programs. At which the profits will be distributed depend on the waqif requests such as the education, infrastructure, family rehabilitation, public health & sanitation. In the cash waqf raising sectors, there are several causal relationship among the rich, who have the potency as a waqif, the gathered cash waqf fund, the invested funds to various portfolios, and the gained profits from investment which will be distributed to the poor. (see figure 5a and 5b). Foreign Waqif Birth rate + population + + The poor - - - The rich Average Period to Collect Funds + + Cash Waqf + Growth + The Poverty Alleviation Programs Cash Inflow of + Cash Waqf The funds for the poverty alleviation programs + - + Collected Cash Waqf Funds + Islamic Investment + + Financial Funds Portfolio + + + + Direct Investment Global Fund Mgt Portfolio Microfinance + Portfolio Management Fees + Death Rate + + + + + The Profits of Cash Waqf Investment Figure 5a. Causal loop of The Cash Waqf Fund Raising 13 Cash Waqf Funds Raising Sector growth_rate Cash_Waqf Min_Req_Return Cash_Inflow Return_of_Global_Fund Investment_periode CW_normal Principal_4 Current_price_of_gold Collecting_period Ratio Global_Fund_Mgt Return_of_Microfinancin rate_of_cash_inflow Profit_of_Glb_Fund_Mgt Convert_to_Gold_standard Total_Return Return_of_Global_Fund Global_Fund_Inv Principal_13 Principal_1 Principal_11 Principal_12 Principal_14 Microfinace_Period Min_Rtrn_MK Principal_2 Mikrofinance Cash_Waqf_Mgt Invest_to_Islamic_Fin Invest_to_microfinance Total_Return Ratio Total_Return Stop_Microfinance Average_Return_of_Islamic_Finance Principal_31 Invest_to_Direct_Investment Microfinance_Policy Principal_3 Return_of_Global_Fund Principal_33 Principal_32 Average_Return_Direct_Inv Average_Return_of_Islamic_Finance Figure 3b. Flow Diagram of The Cash Waqf Fund Raising 14 2) The Islamic financial portfolios sectors The responsibilities of this sector are investing the cash waqf efficiency and effectively. The gathered cash waqf will be then invested by Nazir, a fund manager, in Islamic financial portfolios. The structure of Islamic banking and finance is firmly rooted in the Qur’an and the teachings of Muhammad which is called a Islamic Law 3 . Islamic Law has derived from revealed text a web of interrelated norms prohibiting interest-taking and undue speculative practices. Generally, these portfolios are divided into four kinds i.e a). Islamic mutual funds, b). Islamic Capital Market Indices, c). Islamic Banking Products (Mudharaba Deposits), d) Islamic Bond. All of them are issued by Indonesian financial institutions. The gained profits will be distributed to meet the poor’s basic needs and increase the quality of the poor’s life. Meanwhile, the principal keep being invested in potential investment opportunities. (see Figure 6a and 6b). Cash Waqf Inflows + Cash Waqf growth + Collected Cash Waqf Fund + + The poor - + Investment funds The rich -+ - The poverty alleviation programs + The funds for the poverty alleviation programs + average period to collect the funds + Islamic Financial Portfolio + Islamic Bonds + + rate of return Islamic Capital Market + Islamic Banking + Mudharabah Deposits + Islamic Mutual Funds + NAV of Mutual Funds + Dividen + Capital gain Management Fees + The profits of cash waqf investments + + + + + + + Risk of Islamic Finance Investment + - The Profits of Islamic + Financial Investments Figure 6a. Causal loop of The Islamic Financial Portfolios 3 Frank E.Vogel and Samuel L.Hayes III (1998), Islamic Law and Finance “religion, risk and return.” Published by Kluwer Law International. 15 Islamic Financial Portfolio Sector Return_Islamic_Finance Invest_to_Islamic_Fin Min_Req_Return Investment_periode Islamic_Mutual_Funds Return_Islamic_Mutual_Fund Profit_of_Islamic_Bonds Invest_to_Mutual_Funds Principal_12 Return_of_Islamic_Bonds Return_of_Islamic_Bonds Profit_of_Islamic_Mutual_Funds Return_Islamic_Mutual_Fund Islamic_Bonds Invest_to_Islamic_Bond Return_of_Islamic_Bonds Return_of_Islamic_Stocks Principal_13 Return_Islamic_Finance rn_Islamic_Finance Min_Req_ReturnInvestment_periode Invest_to_Islamic_Fin Return_of_Deposit Invest_to_Islamic_Fin Islamic_Capital_Market Invest_to_JII Average_Return_of_Islamic_Finance Invest_to_Mudharabah_Deposits Profit_of_Islamic_Deposits Principal_14 Return_of_Islamic_Stocks Mudarabah_Deposits Profit_of_Islamic_Cap_Mrkt Return_Islamic_Finance Return_of_Deposit Profit_of_Islamic_Bonds Principal_11 Investment_periode Min_Req_Return Profit_of_Islamic_Mutual_Funds Profit_of_Islamic_Deposits Profit_of_Islamic_Finance Figure 6b. Flow Diagram of of The Islamic Financial Portfolios 3) The global fund management sectors The responsibilities of this sector are to invest the cash waqf fund in the global financial portfolios as known a global funds management such as Amanah Fund, Lariba Fund, Islamic Indices, etc. A fund manager should choose the portfolios not only high return but also safety. The better Nazir choose the investment portfolios, the higher profits will be gained and the more funds will be acquaired by the poor. 16 The principal then will be reinvested in various highly profitably investment opportunities. (see Figure 7a and 7b) The poor - The growth of cash + waqf fund + Foreign Citizens The rich - - + Cash inflow of Cash Waqf + The poverty alleviation programs + + Average period to collect cash waqf Collected Cash Waqf Funds + + Investment Funds + The funds for the poverty alleviation + programs - + Global Fund Mgt Management Fee + The Profits of cash waqf investment Figure 7a. Causal loop of the global fund management portfolios Global Fund Management Sector growth_rate Cash_Waqf Min_Req_Return Cash_Inflow Return_of_Global_Fund Investment_periode Principal_4 CW_normal Current_price_of_gold Collecting_period Global_Fund_Mgt Profit_of_Glb_Fund_Mgt Return_of_Global_Fund Ratio Return_of_Microfinanc rate_of_cash_inflow Convert_to_Gold_standard Total_Return Figure 7b. Flow Diagram of The global fund management portfolios 17 4) The direct investment in large and medium scale enterprises A cash waqf fund manager, Nazir, allocates the gathered funds to the big companies in the forms of stocks which the gained profit are dividends or capital gains. The nature of this sector is the long term. The other forms of direct investment are building the new waqf buildings and maintaining the existings waqf assets either for social projects or the commercial projects. (See Figure 8a and 8b.) Cash Waqf Inflow Foreign Waqif The poor - - - Collected Cash Waqf Fund + + + + + Cash + Waqf growth Average Period to Collect Funds The rich Investment Funds + + The poverty alleviation programs + The funds for poverty alleviation programs + Direct Investment Portfolio Invest to company Management fees + + dividen or capital gains + To maintain the existings waqf assets + Waqf Land Productifity + Waqf Land rental + The Profits of Cash Waqf Investment + + + Real Estate Agriculture ++ + To maintain waqf + buldings + + Business Risks + +To make the new waqf assets + + Commercial Projects + Social Projects + Free-Charge Free Education Healthy Services + + The Profits of Direct Investment + + Figure 8a. Causal loop of the direct investment to real sectors 18 Direct Investment to Real Sectors Return_Real_Estate Profit_of_Waqf_Land Principal_331a Principal_331b Profit_of_agriculture Age_of_Waqf_Prodctvty Return_of_Waqf_Land Profit_of_Real_Estate Principal_331 minimum_ROI Age_of_Waqf_Prodctvty To_Increase_Waqf_Land_Productivity Real_Estate Agriculture Principal_331b Invest_to_Real_Estate Invest_to_Agriculture Principal_331a Invest_to_Waqf_Land minimum_ROI Average_Rtrn_Waqf_Land Return_of_Agricltr Profit_of_agriculture Return_Real_Estate Return_of_Agricltr To_Increase_Waqf_Productivity Principal_33 Invest_to_Waqf_Assets Total_Rtrn_Waqf_Prodctvty Principal_331 Principal_332 Total_Rtrn_Waqf_Prodctvty Invest_to_Direct_Investment Average_Return_of_Waqf_Prodctvty Average_Rtrn_Waqf_Land Invest_to_Waqf_Building Company_rate_of_return Total_Return_Direct_Inv Profit_of_Waqf_Building Return_of_Waqf_Building Average_Rtrn_New_Waqf_Assets Average_Return_Direct_Inv Profit_of_Waqf_Productivity To_Increase_Waqf_Building_Productifity Age_of_Waqf_Prodctvty Profit_of_Waqf_Land Principal_332 minimum_ROI Adjust_to_Social_Projects Commercial_Projects_investment_Periode Social_Projects_Policy Return_Social_Projects Social_Projects Rtrn_Commercial_Projects Total_Rtrn_New_Waqf_Assets Principal_322 Principal_321 Invest_to_Social_Projects Average_Rtrn_New_Waqf_Assets Build_New_Waqf_Assets Principal_32 Principal_322 Invest_to_new_waqf Invest_to_Direct_Investment Total_Return_Direct_Inv Total_Rtrn_New_Waqf_Assets Invest_to_build_Comrcl_Projects Average_Rtrn_New_Waqf_Assets minimum_ROI Principal_321 Profit_of_Commercial_Projects Rtrn_Commercial_Projects Commercial_Projects Commercial_Projects_investment_Periode Rtrn_Commercial_Projects Invest_to_Direct_Investment minimum_ROI Principal_31 Total_Return_Direct_Inv Time_to_Direct_inv Company_rate_of_return Company Invest_to_Company Company_Profits_ Company_rate_of_return Profit_of_Waqf_Land_Rental The_number_of_Waqif Age_of_Waqf_Prodctvty Rental_Price Fraction_of_year Waqf_Land_Availability Waqf_Land_Growth Profit_of_Waqf_Land_Rental Decrease_of_Waqf_Land Waqf_Land_Devaluation Profit_of_Direct_Investment Profit_of_Waqf_Productivity Profit_of_Commercial_Projects Company_Profits_ Time_to_invest_in_Direct_Investment Figure 8b. Flow Diagram of the direct investment to real sectors 19 5) The Microfinance Sectors The microfinancing programs, which used the loss-profit sharing, are one of the most important sectors for poverty alleviation. Most of funds collected through cash waqf certificate issues will be allocated as loan for microenterprises. This microcredit program should particularly be aimed at helping poor people initiate their business and enhance their quality of life, accordingly. Nevertheless, merely supplying them with capital is not sufficient, since most of them do not have adequate knowledge and skill to choose and to run a business that is suitable to their condition. Consequently, relevant business technical assistance is needed to help them survive. Family’s business activities have significantly influenced economy of a community, particularly in developing countries. Big manufacturing companies indeed dominate mass production processes, both for goods and services, but most of enterprises are initiated by family. In addition, family’s consumption behaviour also affects production and marketing activities, as well as other business activities. Government’s programs for family business empowerment has to do with informal sector development efforts, as most of family businesses are operated in non formal format and business system. Family businesses, which absorb the largest number of employee, are also found mostly in small and medium scale. In most developing economies, these small and medium enterprises (SMEs) have limited access to formal financing practices, as well as to adequate government’s technical assistance. (see figure 9a and 9b) The rich - The poor - + Collected Cash Waqf Fund -- Investment funds + + Multiplier Effects of Microfinance towards + family's welfare + Microfinancing Portfolio + The poverty alleviation programs + + The funds for poverty alleviation programs + - Unemployment rate - Technical + Assistances Microfinance Policy Scheme Risk of Microfinance Management Fees + + Bad debt of microfinance The profits of cash waqf investment + + - + - The profit of microfinance Figure 9a. Causal loop of The Microfinancing Sectors 20 Microfinance Portofolio Sectors Microfinace_Period Return_of_Microfinancing Mikrofinance Profit_of_Microfinance microcredit Policy_ratios Microfinance_Policy Pra_welfare_people Indonesian_population Stop_Microfinance Figure 9b. Flow Diagram of The Microfinancing Sectors 6) The profits of cash waqf investment distribution sectors The gained profits from the various portfolios will be distributed to the poor through the poverty alleviation programs such as basic needs, health services, sanitations, education, natural disasters victims, etc. The principal of cash waqf will be reinvented to various portfolio opportunities. (see figure 10a and 10b). The poor - - - Cash Waqf Inflow + + Living Cost Collected Cash Waqf Funds Healthy Cost Foreign Waqif + + The Poverty Alleviation Programs Quality of Life + + + + ++ + Average period to collect the cash waqf + Education cost The family rehabilitation cost + Cash Waqf Growth + The rich - To meet the poor needs The funds for the poverty alleviation programs + - + Investment funds + Natural Disaster Victims Cost + Infrastucture Recovery cost Management fee + The Profit of cash waqf investment Figure 10a. Causal Loop of the cash waqf profits distribution sectors 21 Profits of Cash Waqf Investment Distribution Profit_of_Microfinance Profit_of_Glb_Fund_Mgt Living_cost Profit_of_Direct_Investment Natural_Disaster_Cost Profit_of_Islamic_Finance Healthy_cost Daily_needs Total_available_fund_for_poor Profit_of_Cash_Waqf_Investment Infstructure_Cost Family_Rehbiittion_Cost ent Education_cost Pra_welfare_people the_poor Inflation Enter_to_pra_welfare Needs_ratio_1 Cost_1 poor Living_cost Needs__ratio_2 needs_rate_1 Healthy_cost Needs_ratio_3 Cost_2 Needs_ratio_4 needs_rate_2 needs_rate_3 available_fund_for_education Education_needs available_rate_3 allocation_ratio_4 available_fund_for_rehbltation Rehabilitation_needs Family_Rehbiittion_Cost Cost_4 Needs__ratio_5 available_fund_for_living Living_needs available_rate_1 allocation_ratio_2 available_fund_for_healthy Healthy_needs available_rate_2 allocation_ratio_3 Education_cost Cost_3 allocation_ratio_1Profit_of_Cash_Waqf_Investment available_rate_4 allocation_ratio_5 needs_rate_4 Enter_to_pra_welfare Natural_Disaster_Cost available_fund_for_disaster Disaster_needs available_rate_5 needs_rate_5 Cost_5 Infstructure_Cost Cost_6 available_fund_for_infrastrctr Infrastructure_needs available_rate_6 needs_rate_6 Needs_ratio_6 allocation_rate_6 Enter_to_pra_welfare Inflation Profit_of_Cash_Waqf_Investment Figure 10b. Flow Diagram of the cash waqf profits distribution sectors 22 7. The Cash Waqf Management Control The survey concluded that most people did not trust any existing government institutions to manage cash waqf fund and control cash waqf investment activities, especially because cash waqf management will involve large amount of endowment funds. Most of them also recommend that if a special purpose institution is established to manage cash waqf fund, it has to be highly capable of detecting any potential dishonesty and assessing performance of cash waqf fund manager, i.e. nadzir. Therefore, it’s necessary to design an instrument which is able to control the cash waqf management. This model tries to design a control tools which is able to detect the human error in decision making either mismanagement or dishonesty quickly. (see figure 11.) The Control Function for Fund Management rate_of_cash_inflow Cummulative_Cash_Waqf_Fun Convert_to_goldCurrent_price_of_gold Total_cash_waqf_in_gold Mudarabah_Deposits Islamic_Bonds Company Mikrofinance available_fund_for_living available_fund_for_rehbltation Commercial_Projects Islamic_Mutual_Funds Control_Function available_fund_for_healthy Profits_Mobilization Islamic_Capital_Market Real_Estate available_fund_for_disaster Agriculture Global_Fund_Mgt available_fund_for_infrastrctr Social_Projects available_fund_for_education To_Increase_Waqf_Building_Productifity Figure. 11 Flow Diagram of The Control Function for Fund Management The collected cash waqf fund from the waqif will be distributed to the various portfolios and then the usage will be controlled periodically. The early warning system will be prepaired by the system in order to the amount of cash waqf fund will not go below the initial amount. It is the difference of the cash waqf from the other sources of funds. Gold standard can be used as the currency standard because of its stability. (see figure 11a-d). 23 2e9 2 1 2 rupiah 1,5e9 2 1 1e9 1 2 1 500.000.000 2 1 Control_Function Cummulative_Cash_Waqf_Fund 2 0 1 20 40 60 80 100 day Figure 11a. The simulation result (short term) 2 1 15 1 2 10 1 1 2 5 2 2 Total_cash_waqf_in_gold Convert_to_gold 1 0 2 20 40 60 80 100 day Figure 11b. The Simulation result (short term) 1e15 rupiah Gold Standard (kg) 1 20 5e14 1 2 0 12 5.000 12 10.000 Cummulative_Cash_Waqf_Fund Control_Function 15.000 day Figure 11c The Simulation Result (long term) 24 gold standard (kg) 10.000.000 1 5.000.000 2 0 12 5.000 1 Convert_to_gold Total_cash_waqf_in_gold 2 15.000 day Figure 11d The Simulation Result (long term) The waqif and public can control or monitor the cash flow of cash waqf investment. If mismanagement and dishonesty occurred, the simulation result could demonstrate the deviation. (see figure 11e-f) 2 5e9 1 4e9 1 40 2 1 2 1 30 Total_cash_waqf_in_gol d Convert_to_gold 1 2 1 20 2 10 1 0 2 20 2 2 40 60 rupiah gold standard (kg) 50 3e9 2 2 1e9 1 0 80 100 1 1 2e9 2 1 20 day 2 Control_Function Cummulative_Cash_Waqf_Fund 1 40 60 80 100 day 6e13 600.000 1 2 300.000 2 1 0 12 12 12 2.000 10.000 day Total_cash_waqf_in_gold rupiah gold standard (kg) Figure 11e. The Simulation Result (short term) 4e13 1 Convert_to_gold 2 2e13 0 Control_Function Cummulative_Cash_Waqf_ Fund 2 2 1 12 12 1 2.000 6.000 10.000 day Figure 11f. The Simulation Result (long term) 25 8. The Potency of Cash Waqf for the Poverty Alleviation Programs It can be concluded from the system that the larger the amount of cash waqf collected, the larger the amount of fund can be invested in highly costeffective profit sharing-based portfolios, and the larger the amount of return can be distributed to poor people. The more fund allocated to finance microbusiness, the sooner poverty in Indonesia can be alleviated. (see Figure 12). The Potency of Cash Waqf for The Poverty Alleviation Profit_of_Cash_Waqf_Investment Multiplier_Effects Profits_of_CW_Investment_ Average_Period_to_become_prawelfare Daily_needs the_poor death_rate3 Birth_rate3 alleviation_1 the_poor The_poor_decrease aleviation Pra_welfare_people The_poor_reducing death_rate2 birth_rate2 lifetime_expectancy Microcredit_for_a_poo Population_growth Pra_welfare_reducing the_welfare_increase Indonesian_populationwelfare Multiplier_effect Average_period_to_become_welfare Average_of_Microfinacing the_rich birth_rate death_rate Average_of_Microfinacing Invest_to_microfinance Figure 12. Flow Diagram of The Potency of Cash Waqf for The Poverty Alleviation 9. The Simulation Result Since there has been no similar study preceding the research, some assumption were applied. The ability of five national TV corporations (RCTI, SCTV, Indosiar, MetroTV and Lativi) to collect donation amounting IDR 3 billions in two night in 2003 was used as an assumption basis of amount of fund could be gathered by cash waqf management institution. It was then assumed that the cash waqf institution could obtain IDR 20 millions a day in form of cash waqf from various components of Indonesian people. The study also assumed that the gathered fund would grow 25% 26 annually and it would be invested in Islamic financial products with profit sharing- based various rate of return.( see figure 13). 6 6 0,0010 6 9 1 ratio 2 10 8 8 4 0,0005 3 2 2 2 9 10 4 5 1 6 9 8 10 5 4 3 7 2 3 10 4 1 7 5 4 5 4 1 3 7 9 8 6 1 5 1 3 2 5 6 7 7 3 7 0,0000 8 9 10 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 Return_Islamic_Mutual_Fund Return_of_Agricltr Return_of_Deposit Return_of_Global_Fund Return_of_Islamic_Bonds Return_of_Islamic_Stocks Return_of_Microfinancing Return_of_Waqf_Building Return_Real_Estate Rtrn_Commercial_Projects 25.000 day Figure 13. Rate of return of Cash Waqf Investment Portfolio Using the above assumption and data supplied by Biro Pusat Statistik (National Beaurau for Statistics) , BKKBN (National Coordinating Agency for Family Planning) and syariah financial institution in Indonesia, the computer-based data process resulted in approximation of cash waqf investment return 25% annum. Such an amount of fund is expected to be available for the poverty alleviation efforts in Indonesia, especially through microfinance distribution program. If this plan can be implemented smoothly and if those assisted micro enterprises can get well run maximum of 8 years after being financed, it will take approximately 12500 days (35 years) to eliminate poverty and 22400 days (63 years) to increase quality of live for Indonesian population. (see figure 14a-b) Poor people, in this study, are those with very low quality of life. In other words, poor people are not only those who cannot feed once a day, but also those who cannot afford proper health and education services. population 200,000,000 4 4 4 4 4 1 3 150,000,000 3 3 3 1 100,000,000 2 3 50,000,000 1 1 2 1 4 2 0 5,000 1 10,000 the_rich the_poor Pra_welfare_people Indonesian_population 3 2 15,000 2 20,000 2 25,000 30,000 day Figure 14a. The Simulation Result (based on IDR 20 million a day) 27 population 500.000.000 400.000.000 300.000.000 200.000.000 2 100.000.000 0 12 5.000 12 1 12 12 15.000 25.000 1 2 The_poor_decrease the_welfare_increase day Figure 14b. The Simulation Result (based on IDR 20 million a day) Based on the study result above and various scenarios proposed, if the gathered fund through cash waqf certificate increase i.e. IDR 50 million in a day , it will take approximately 11000 days (30 years) to eliminate poverty and 21000 days (57 years) to increase quality of live for Indonesian population with the assumption the others constant. (see figure 15a) 200,000,000 78 78 78 78 578 6 1 34 150,000,000 34 3 34 2 4 3 100,000,000 4 5 50,000,000 56 56 5 6 56 6 12 4 12 0 5,000 10,000 12 15,000 12 20,000 123 25,000 7 30,000 8 the_poor the_poor Pra_welfare_people Pra_welfare_people the_rich the_rich Indonesian_population Indonesian_population Time Figure 15a. 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