**STRATEGIC THINKING AND PERFORMANCE OF SMES Mustafa Zakaria Mohd Khairuddin Hashim Romle Hassan College of Business Universiti Utara Malaysia ABSTRACT Although strategic thinking has attracted much attention in recent years, the review of the literature reveals this specific area of strategic management has not received much research emphasis. More specifically, the review of previous research in the area suggests the relationship between strategic thinking and organizational performance, particularly in the Malaysian small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) has not been thoroughly explored. The study presented in this paper attempted to address this research issue. The study collected data from 125 manufacturing SMEs located in four states in northern Malaysia. Based on the analyses of the data collected, the results show significant positive relationship between strategic thinking and the performance of the SMEs in the study. INTRODUCTION The focus on strategic thinking as an important strategic management concept began about three decades ago. Ever since being introduced in the 1970s, the review of the strategic management literature indicates interest in the area of strategic thinking has been growing steadily. More significantly, in recent years, strategic thinking has gained acceptance not only as an integral part of the strategic management process, but also as a good business practice among business organizations. The emphasis on strategic thinking as an important priority for business organizations is reflected in the increasing literature that indicates its adoption can assist firms in formulating and implementing more effective business strategies. The views presented in the literature suggest that by adopting strategic thinking practices, firms operating and competing in dynamic and complex business environment would be able to develop more focus, coherent, and innovative strategies as well as be able to improve their business performance (Tregoe and Zimmerman, 1979; Ohmae, 1982; Robert, 1988; Stumpf, 1989; Suutari, 1993; Bates and Dillard, 1993; Liedtka, 1997; Barnett and Berland, 1999; Pellegrino and Carbo, 2001; and O’Shannassy, 2003). Although strategic thinking is being considered as essential and beneficial to business organizations, the review of previous studies on strategic management shows that as a specific area of strategic management, strategic thinking has not being able to attract much empirical research. Review of prior research on strategic thinking indicates that past studies are not only limited in scope and focus, but they are also fragmented in nature. Furthermore, the literature shows that past empirical studies that examined strategic thinking tend to mainly focused on large companies in the context of western business 1 societies. Little research attention however, had been given to investigate strategic thinking among the small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), particularly in the local context. Notwithstanding that in recent years there has been an increasing amount of literature reporting research in strategic thinking, these investigations are exposed to several limitations. For instance, majority of previous studies adopted the case study method. Moreover, of the limited number of studies on strategic thinking, the emphasis has been primarily on observing and reporting general research issues such as the development of strategic thinking, strategic thinking competencies in organizations, the strategic thinking process, development of strategic thinking instrument, and implementation of strategic thinking, (Graetz, 2002; Linkow, 1999; Barnett and Berland, 1999; Bates and Dillard, 1993; Thakur and Calingo, 1992; and Millet, 1988). Given the importance of strategic thinking and the various shortcomings of past studies, more focused research needs to be carried out in this area of strategic management. One interesting and important area of research would be to investigate the linkage between strategic thinking and performance of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between strategic thinking and performance of Malaysian small and medium-sized enterprises. LITERATURE REVIEW Even though the term strategic thinking has been widely used, the literature indicates there is still no one widely accepted definition of strategic thinking. The term strategic thinking has been defined in different ways by different authors. However, a comprehensive review of the definitions presented in the literature suggests that most authors tend to agree and view strategic thinking as an integral part of the strategic management process (Harrison, 2003; Wilson, 2003; Liedtka, 1997; Morrisey, 1996; and Garrat, 1995). Authors such as Thomson et al. (2004), O’ Shannassy, 2003, Harrison (2003), Viljoen and Dann (2003), Graetz (2002), Pellegrino and Carbo (2001), Suutari (1993), Bandrowski (1990), Ohmae (1982), South (1981), Morrison and Lee (1979) regarded strategic thinking as a creative process of crafting innovative strategy that emphasizes on identifying and managing competitive advantage. According to these authors, strategic thinking involved sequential critical and creative thought processes that underscored key issues and the creation of a more realistic and innovative framework for developing competitive advantage, as well as effective strategy formulation and implementation. These authors further highlighted that companies with strong strategic thinking capabilities can enhance not only their present competitive advantage, but also strengthen their future competitive position. The literature however, seems to suggest that there is an agreement among the strategic management scholars and consultants concerning the importance of strategic thinking to organizations. From the scholars and consultants viewpoint, strategic thinking is important because it helps organizations in terms of providing insights into what they should be doing in the present as well as in assisting them to focus on the future. By presenting the insights into the present and future, strategic thinking is able 2 to offer organizations with a more realistic and effective framework for formulating their strategic plans (Viljoen and Dann, 2003; Keelin and Arnold 2002; de Kluyer, 2000; Raimond, 1996; Morrisey, 1996; Garrat, 1995; Hanford, 1995; Wall and Wall, 1995; Tweed, 1992; Harper, 1991; Zabriskie and Huellmantel, 1991; Schmincke, 1990; and Robert, 1988). Other scholars have indicated that strategic thinking helps business organizations better understand phenomena and events in the real world by going beyond the traditional linear thinking. By helping organizations better understand the real world of business, strategic thinking can assist them to cope with the changes in the business environment. Put it another way, strategic thinking allows an organization to clearly understand the specific nature of the various elements in the business environment (Weir, 2002; Wells, 1998; Markides, 1997; Mintzberg, 1995; Thierauf, 1993; and Ohmae (1982). Based on a study of 15 large companies representing 12 different industries in the United States of America, Barnett and Berland (1999) found successful companies were not only committed to a broad based strategic thinking, but also allowed strategic thinking to pervade throughout their organizations. Furthermore, findings of the study also suggested the linkage between strong strategic thinking capabilities and the confident to forecast that helped to reduce uncertainty among the companies in the study. In another study that examined a small bank in the United States of America, Stumpf (1989) discovered the bank experienced improved performance that resulted from introducing an executive development program that emphasized on developing the strategic thinking capabilities of its managers. According to the study, the performance of the small bank improved in terms of its assets, sales turnover, profit, and expansion programs. More specifically, the findings of the study indicated that the assets of the bank had multiplied by six times, sales turnover and profit increased by 10 times. The results of the study also showed that the bank was able to expand to 18 other states through its market expansion strategy. Further studies conducted by Bates and Dillard (1993), Suutari (1993), and Stumpf (1989) indicated that to practice strategic thinking effectively, organizations need to develop the necessary skills and knowledge at different levels of management. For instance, Bates and Dillard (1993) pointed out that strategic thinking can be practiced successfully with certain measurable capabilities. Among these capabilities include; intuitive ability, mental elasticity, abstract thinking, tolerance of risk, and tolerance for ambiguity. In the study by Suutari (1993), the author observed that the practice of strategic thinking requires not only decision making skills to generate ideas, but also to make decisions based on the understanding of strategy formulation and implementation that emphasizes on achieving the objectives of the business. Suutari, however, highlighted that most often organizations encountered the difficulty of identifying people with strategic thinking ability and disposition to perform the strategic thinking tasks in their organizations. 3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY Sampling and Procedure The small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in this study were defined as those manufacturing firms which employed less than 300 employees. In the study, the listing obtained from the Small and Medium Industries Development Corporation (SMIDEC) branch office in northern Malaysia was used as the sampling frame. The SMIDEC’s list consisted of 1464 SMEs located in the states of Perak, Penang, Kedah, and Perlis. Based on the definition of SMEs adopted in the study, 700 firms were identified and selected from the list. The study used postal survey to gather the data from the 700 selected firms. Structured questionnaires with self-addressed envelopes were mailed to the owners and managers of the 700 firms. Of the 700 firms, 125 firms completed and returned the questionnaires. The response rate of the study was 18 percent. Questionnaire The three sections in the structured questionnaire adopted in the study consisted of 34 items. In section one, 11 items were used to gather the general information on the background of the respondents (4 items) and their firms (7 items). The 15 items in the second section of the questionnaire were designed to capture the respondents’ emphasis on the six dimensions of strategic thinking. Among the six dimensions included; obtaining foresight (3 items), acquiring insight (3 items), focusing on creativity (3 items), being pragmatic (2 items), achieving relative advantage (2 items), and maintaining focus (2 items). The respondents were requested to rate each item on a five point scale ranging from (1) “Not Important” to (5) “Very Important.” The third section consists of the items used to measure the performance of the firms. Performance in the study is measured in terms of the firms’ average performance. Sales, assets, gross profit, employment, equity, return on sales (ROS), return on equity (ROE), return on asset (ROA) were used to assess the performance of the SMEs. Profile of the Respondents Out of the 125 respondents, 55 (44%) respondents had bachelor degrees, 30 (24%) had school certificates, 24 (19.2 %) were diploma holders, 12 (9.6%) had masters’ degree, and four (3.2%) obtained PhD degrees. Eighty (64%) of the respondents were Chinese, 35 (28%) were Malays, six (4.8%) were Indians, and the remaining four (3.2%) respondents were from other races. Hundred and seven (85.6%) respondents were male and 18 were female. Eighty respondents were between 40 to 60 years old. The other 43 respondents were between the ages of 21 to 40 years. Only two respondents were older than 60 years. Characteristics of the Sample Firms Table 2 presents the characteristics of the 125 firms that participated in the study. Of the 125 firms, 53 firms (42.4%) were located in Penang, 38 firms (30.4%) in Perak, 27 firms (21.6%) in Kedah, and the remaining seven firms (5.6%) were operating in 4 Perlis. The 25 firms had been in operations between less than three years to more than 20 years. In terms of employment, 65 firms (52%) employed between one to 50 employees, 43 firms (34.4%) employed 51 to 100 employees, 11 firms (8.8%) had between 101 to 150 employees, two firms (1.6%) had between 151 to 200 employees, three firms (2.4%) had between 201 to 250 employees, and only one firm (0.8%) had more than 250 employees. As for the number of products produced, 57 firms (45.6%) indicated that they produced more than five products, 11 firms (8.8%) produced four and five products, 26 firms (20.8%) produced three products, 12 firms (9.6%) manufactured two products, and another eight firms (6.4 %) produced only one product. Table 2: Characteristics of the Sample Firms Characteristics: Age of Firms: Less than 3 years 3 to 5 years 6 to 10 years 11 to 15 years 16 to 20 years More than 20 years Frequency Percentage (%) 2 3 31 34 30 25 1.6 2.4 24.8 27.2 24.0 20.0 65 43 11 2 3 1 52.0 34.4 8.8 1.6 2.4 .8 8 12 26 11 11 57 6.4 9.6 20.8 8.8 8.8 45.6 Sole proprietorship Partnership Private Limited Company 2 5 118 1.6 4.0 94.4 Paid-up capital: Less than RM10 million RM10 million-RM20 million RM40 million-RM50 million 120 4 1 96.0 3.2 0.8 Number of Employees: 1-50 Employees 51-100 Employees 101-150 Employees 151-200 Employees 201-250 Employees 251-300 Employees Number of Products Produced: One product Two products Three products Four products Five products More than five products Legal Entity of Firm: As shown in Table 3, 118 firms (94.4%) of the 125 firms were incorporated as private limited companies, five firms (4%) were in the form of partnership, and two firms (1.6 percent) were sole proprietorship. In terms of paid-up capital, 120 firms (96%) had paid-up capital of less than RM10 million, four firms (3.2%) had paid-up capital of between RM10 to RM20 million, and only one firm reported having paid-up capital of between RM40 to RM50 million. 5 THE RESULTS Strategic Thinking Emphasis The mean and standard deviation (SD) scores of strategic thinking are presented in Table 3. As shown in Table 3, the mean scores of strategic thinking ranged from 3.3600 to 4.1520. At the general level, these results suggest that the firms in the study emphasized on the six dimensions of strategic thinking. Table 3: Mean and Standard Deviation (SD) Scores of Strategic Thinking Strategic Thinking Emphasis: Mean SD 3.9760 3.6080 3.7600 .8563 1.0309 9951 4.0320 4.1520 3.9120 .7924 .8524 .8891 Flexibility to adapt to unanticipated changes. Use different approach to market product. Ability to anticipate surprises, threat and crises. 3.6400 3.6480 3.4400 .8557 .9180 .9193 Being Pragmatic: Implement project when the expected return is sure. Move into a different business if the return is better than existing one. 3.6240 3.3600 1.1458 1.0133 3.5760 3.6800 9776 1.0441 3.8560 3.8800 .8953 .9034 Obtaining Foresight: Analyze trends to identify potential opportunities Keep track of trends that affect firm's competitiveness. Analyze issues that affect firm's competitiveness Acquiring Insight: Keep track of demand trends in the industry. Monitor changes in customers' needs. Monitor competitors’ actions and strategies Focusing on Creativity: Achieving Relative Advantage: Periodic internal meeting to discuss market strengths Anticipate competitors’ responses to firm's actions in the market. Maintaining Focus: Share firm’s future direction and mission with employees. Adapt strategic direction based on changes in customers' needs. Relationship between Strategic Thinking and Performance Table 4 indicates the results of the correlations between strategic thinking (obtaining foresight, acquiring insight, focusing on creativity, being pragmatic, achieving relative advantage, and maintaining focus) and the average performance (as measured in terms of ROE, ROA, ROS, equity, assets, sales, gross profit, and number of employees). As shown in Table 4, the results show significant relationships between strategic thinking (obtaining foresight, acquiring insight, focusing on creativity, being pragmatic, achieving relative advantage, and maintaining focus) and the eight measures of performance as adopted in the study (ROE, ROA, ROS, equity, assets, sales, gross profit, and number of employees). 6 Table 4: Correlations between Strategic Thinking and Average Performance Strategic Thinking Emphasis: ROE ROA ROS Equity Assets Sales Gross Profit No. Employees .042 .026 .016 .120 .223* .148 .074 .076 .097 .034 .043 .285** .313** .300** .255** .152 .070 .062 .012 .145 .133 .063 .033 .206* .014 .007 .000 .181* .124 .111 .133 .146 .070 .086 .142 .091 .066 .127 .092 .183* .141 .160 .143 .121 .139 .182* .179* .167 .036 .040 .060 .186* .183* .129 .128 .151 .121 .036 .022 .214* .194* .183* .151 .182* .111 .016 .051 .156 .203* .076 .016 .047 .107 .211* .026 .078 .095 .087 .069 .189* .085 .037 .018 .006 .032 .126 .179* .059 .157 .185* .088 .231** .156 .194* .166 .189* .198* .162 .073 .114 .029 .105 .140 .117 .258** .227* .193* .041 .021 .061 .081 .150 .145 .186* .119 .175 .207* .304** Obtaining Foresight: Analyze trends to identify potential opportunities. Keep track of trends that affect firm's competitiveness. Analyze issues that affect firm's competitiveness. Acquiring Insight: Keep track of demand trends in the industry. Monitor changes in customers' needs. Monitor competitors’ actions and strategies. Focus on creativity: Flexibility to adapt to unanticipated changes. Use different approach to market product. Ability to anticipate surprises, threat and crises. Being Pragmatic: Implement project only when the expected return is sure. Move into a different business if the return is better than existing one. Achieving Relative Advantage: Periodic internal meeting to discuss market strengths. Anticipate competitors’ responses to firm's actions in the market. Maintaining Focus Share firm’s future direction and mission with employees. Adapt strategic direction based on .076 .024 changes in customers' needs. ** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed). * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed). DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION This study initiated an attempt to investigate the relationship between strategic thinking and performance of SMEs. Based on the analyses of the data collected from 125 SMEs, the results of the study indicate significant positive relationships between strategic thinking and performance of the SMEs in the study. The results of the study specifically show positive relationships between the six dimensions of strategic thinking, namely; obtaining foresight, acquiring insight, focusing on creativity, achieving relative advantage, maintaining focus, and the performance of SMEs as measured in terms of ROE, ROA, ROS, equity, assets, sales, gross profit, and number of employees. On the basis of the results of the study, the following can be concluded. First, the results of the study seem to indicate that the SMEs in this study adopted strategic thinking practices as advocated in the literature. Second, at the general level, the 7 empirical evidence from the study suggests a directional positive relationship exists between strategic thinking and performance of SMEs. This study has at least two important practical implications. The first implication of the study is that owners and managers of SMEs should realize that the six dimensions of strategic thinking are associated to different measures of performance. Second, the results of the study also imply that owners and managers of SMEs need to be aware of the relationship that exists between strategic thinking and performance. Given the positive relationship between strategic thinking and performance, the owners and managers of SMEs should strive to focus on developing their strategic thinking capabilities to ensure that their firms would continue to perform. Lastly, even though the study empirically indicates that strategic thinking is positively correlated to the performance of SMEs, the correlation coefficients (less than 0.5) suggest rather weak association between strategic thinking and performance. There is therefore a need for more research to investigate strategic thinking in SMEs. Future studies in this area of research may attempt to seek other directions. For instance, a researcher may replicate this study by examining SMEs in only one particular industry. By selecting SMEs from one specific industry, the study might be able to help not only to further clarify the relationship as observed in this study, but also be able to overcome the problem of generalizing the results of the study. REFERENCE Barnett, F.W., Jr., & Berland, T.P. (1999). Strategic thinking on the front lines. The McKinsey Quarterly, 2, 118-124. Bates, D.L. & Dillard, J.E. (1993). Generating strategic thinking through multi-level teams. 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