*ENTREPRENEURIALISM AND LABOUR MARKET POLICIES IN CHIANG RAI PROVINCE, THAILAND John Walsh, Assistant Professor, Shinawatra International University, Thailand Sittichai Anantarangsi, PhD. Candidate, Shinawatra International University, Thailand Abstract Research in the northern Thai province of Chiang Rai shows a very active and entrepreneurial small business sector. The sector is vibrant but profits and productivity are low, while there are few genuinely value-adding activities. Much of the business sector is dominated by Sino-Thai family-owned businesses which operate according to core and periphery models, with comparatively low levels of trust and commitment between employers and employees and with growth policies based on diversification rather than growth of business sophistication. As a new industrial estate is planned for the province, together with an expansion of the riverine trade on the Mekong and a completion of a fourth bridge across the river all planned for Chiang Rai, there are many opportunities emerging for new entrepreneurial activities. However, one major constraint preventing Thai and foreign (principally Chinese) investors from realizing their plans effectively is the labour market. Currently, there is insufficient effort to match the supply and demand for skilled labour in the region, while Royal Thai Government (RTG) agencies and policies lack co-ordination, support and statistical capacity. Above all, many labour market policies are opaque and do not follow the rule of law (e.g. unregistered migrant workers, below minimum wage payments) so that salaries are kept low and motivations for creating higher value-adding activities are not properly supported. This paper examines these issues and makes necessary policy suggestions concerning how to improve the labour market in Chiang Rai for future entrepreneurial activity. The prospects for broadening these proposals to cover the whole of Thailand (and further afield) are also considered. 1 Introduction The northern part of Thailand, centred on the province and city of Chiang Rai, is a mountainous region with generally low levels of communications and transportation. It has, historically, been a place of transit for migrants passing from north to south along river valley routes. Its land is not the most fertile in the region and the level of cultivable land is constrained by the mountainous terrain. This has limited the population numbers in the region, since communities in the area, separated by rugged terrain, tended to restrict their size to the ability of the surrounding countryside to feed them with accumulated agricultural surpluses. The remoteness of the region, based on its limited transportation links, has made it more difficult for centralized states based in capitals such as Chiang Mai, Bangkok, Luang Prabang and Kunming to exercise effective control over it from a distance. Local communities were able to achieve autonomy under most conditions and, in the modern age, ethnic groups rebelling from centralized states have been able to use the geography to their advantage in the struggle for independence. Two types of groups in particular have helped shape the modern history of Chiang Rai. The first is composed of ethnic groups suffering what they consider to be persecution by centralized governments and who have used the production and smuggling of illegal drugs to help sustain an armed campaign for independence. The combination of remoteness and geography helped inspire the term ‘Golden Triangle’ for the region where several countries meet and across which it has been possible for people to move quite freely away from official intervention. Although opium fields have been largely eradicated with the assistance of American aviation support, synthetic drugs such as methamphetamines have replaced heroin and opium production, although not entirely. Inevitably, these events have contributed to a climate of lawlessness in the area and the integrity of officials has been compromised in a number of cases. The building of casinos in the border regions intensifies the lawlessness insofar as it promotes the cash economy and incentives for bribery. Although, of course, most people live lives of quiet lawfulness, they nevertheless exist in this milieu. The second migrant group to have an impact on the region in this context is the Kuomintang Chinese, who entered Thailand as their struggle against the Chinese Communist Party began to fail. Many leading Kuomintang elements fled to Taiwan where a new state was proclaimed but the Battalion 93 troops were stationed in southern China and preferred to make their stand across the Thai border. In due course, the Thai government provided them with citizenship en masse in return for military support against the drug lord, Khun Sa (Zhang Qifu) who had established a de facto independent support under his own autocratic control straddling the ThaiBurmese border region (Sturgeon, 2005, pp.106-18). Those Chinese involved have established their own homes and businesses in the area, often based on the tea and tourism sectors. The presence of numerous hill tribes people, who have entered (or reentered) Thailand during the past century and may be living in circumstances which are unofficial or semi-official, represents a flexible labour market pool which is drawn upon to support these activities. However, the remainder of the region is dominated by agricultural activities, specifically relating to the subsistence rice farming that characterises mainland Southeast Asia, supplemented by additional agricultural production or craft manufacture at a small scale. 2 Income earning opportunities are limited by a combination of factors, as the abovementioned indicates. The effective minimum wage rate prevalent in the region provides income below the poverty line for a family breadwinner and it is far from certain that even this amount will be received in casual employment conditions. Clearly, there is a need for existing and future entrepreneurs to be able to enhance not only their own income-creation but also that of other members of the labour market in the region. The research reported upon in this paper included personal interviews with more than 50 individuals in various fields, conducted as part of a doctoral program concerning the formation of labour market policy for developing areas of Thailand. Interviews were conducted in Thai or Chinese as appropriate and subsequently transcribed for content analysis. They followed a semi-structured agenda approach which enables respondents to explore issues of relevance to them while still ensuring that issues of universal importance are covered as required. This approach has yielded successful results in previous research projects (e.g. Reid, Walsh and Yamona, 1999 and Reid and Walsh, 2003). Snowball techniques were used to identify subsequent respondents for interviewing and the process continued until it became clear that little if any new information was being recorded. The analysis has been integrated with secondary data sources and presented in a variety of formats. The Labour Market in Chiang Rai Region Chiang Rai province is composed of 16 amphurs and two semi-amphurs, with a total area of some 11,678,369 square metres or 7,298,981 Rai.1 The distance from Bangkok is about 729 kilometres. The region is bounded by Burma to the west, Laos to the east and Chiang Mai Province to the south. The total population of Chiang Rai is just 1¼ million people. There are some 1,233,559 people in Chiang Rai or 610,205 male and 623,354 female. The labour force in Chiang Rai is about 714,094 people and 225,435 workers are in the private sector, with only 43,723 workers registered for social security, since the economy of Chiang Rai is based on agriculture and is largely informal in nature. Casual labour patterns extend throughout the province with average daily wages of between 80-120 baht. Barter and labour exchange is also common. A principal source of labour is the hill tribes people who mostly live in mountain villages, together with Thai workers aged over 40 - most younger workers have migrated elsewhere for work. The labour market is subject to change from a number of mostly external effects. These may be summarised as follows: * Changing macroeconomic conditions: interviewing took place during the military junta government (September 2006-December 2007), when the region was subject to martial law and considerable uncertainty about the future. Government decisions made during this period were marked by opacity and occasional irrationality. Problems were exacerbated by the increased price of oil and the inflationary pressures this exerted, the emerging global financial crisis and the incipient signs of food shortages and high agricultural commodity prices. * Changing infrastructure conditions: as part of both bilateral and multilateral international agreements, treaties have been established which have an impact upon international terms of trade, for example the Thai-Chinese Free Trade Agreement (FTA), which has led to a significant increase in the amount of agricultural produce 1 Figures are provided by the Statistical Office of the Province of Chiang Rai. 3 imported into Thailand from China, to the benefit of consumers overall but the detriment of Chiang Rai regional farmers who can no longer compete with the imports. Agreements have also been witnessed in the realm of physical infrastructure, specifically with bringing more trade along the River Mekong and constructing a fourth bridge across the river so as to link the Greater Mekong Subregion countries with enhanced road transport links joining Kunming in the north with Singapore in the south. * Lack of enforcement of the rule of law: labour market wages are inevitably depressed by the presence of unofficial or semi-legal labour, such as that provided by some hill tribes people who have little education and experience great difficulty in obtaining appropriate certificates. This makes low level harassment a regular threat to affected people. There is a great deal of evidence that migrant workers, brought in from neighbouring countries, suffer from molestation and abuse from officials and from those ostensibly helping them obtain jobs. In a recent case, 54 illegal Burmese migrant workers were found dead from suffocation in a refrigerated truck supposed to be transporting them to the south of Thailand (Bangkok Post, 2008). In an environment of Schumpeterian creative destruction, these factors offer both opportunities and threats for those involved. The role of government is or should be principally aimed at those who lose from changes and who are vulnerable to negative changes because of inability to adapt. These include those with lower levels of education and older workers less able to complete retraining courses. Few large scale enterprises exist in the Chiang Rai region, especially in the private sector. Young people with good qualifications, especially at undergraduate level, customarily have to move away from the region in order to find employment opportunities commensurate with their abilities and experiences. This results from not just the lack of opportunities in the local market but also the seniority-based salary system prevailing in Thailand, as elsewhere in East Asia. This means that people are paid more, on an automatic basis, according to their initial qualifications (and any subsequently obtained) as well as increments based on length of service. A consequence is that individuals with undergraduate degrees will routinely expect to receive more than one with a vocational qualification, irrespective of the fact that the latter will normally be rather more ready to contribute to a business, especially a small or medium-sized business, than the former from the beginning. This situation is exacerbated by the fact that individuals graduating with undergraduate degrees every year greatly outnumber those with vocational degrees. Some efforts have been made to increase the number of vocational students in the Chiang Rai region but these suffer from the problem of over-centralization of decision-making, which means that a number of the courses offered are inappropriate insofar as subsequently locallyavailable employment opportunities are concerned. Other problems also exist, largely as a result of mismatches between supply and demand and lack of resources and capacity on behalf of service providers. Gek-Boo Ng, former head of the Asia-Pacific Office of the ILO, has more than once commented on the importance of technical capacity for gathering, redacting and disseminating labour market statistics and this is one particular area where enhanced capacity could be of direct assistance (Walsh, 2007). There is also a qualitative or psychological aspect to the labour market of the Chiang Rai region, which is similar to that found in most of the rest of Thailand and other 4 parts of the GMSR. This may be described, in the demotic, as the ‘sabai sabai’ culture. This term indicates a feeling of ease and relaxation which precludes preoccupation with stress or concern with the future. The extent to which this really exists depends upon anecdotal evidence as much as anything else but it is widely believed to be a widespread phenomenon, especially away from the urban areas and it appears to be believed more particularly by overseas investors and executives. The Role of Entrepreneurs Marshall (1997 [1890]) observed that entrepreneurs were necessary to improve organization and coordination in the way that old commodities are created and helps find new ways to make them (and new products as well). Entrepreneurs, according to him, must understand their own industries and be leaders, as well as to understand (or predict) future changes and the willingness to make decisions based on those predictions, juggling risks as necessary. This, according to Mill, requires ‘no ordinary skill.’ (Mill, 2004 [1848]). Many people have a degree of entrepreneurial skill which they are able to bring to bear without any kind of formal training or education. Market traders, for example, if successful are able to identify and absorb the relevant skills and competencies and put them into practice without formal training. However, bad money drives out good and, irrespective of natural skills and abilities, entrepreneurs given obvious money will choose unsustainable activities more often than is desirable. Chiang Rai sees many businesses which simply replicate each other and make little if any attempt at differentiation or improvement on existing offerings. Much of the differentiation that does take place results from foreign investment and it is not clear to what extent any of the benefits of that investment are retained in the local economy. There is a need for local entrepreneurs to build upon existing and potential competitive advantage for their own benefits. It is the responsibility of the RTG to ensure that these actions are facilitated in a way that employs local labour and passes benefits to them, both directly through income generation and indirectly through permitting transfer of skills and technology so that individuals are encouraged to establish their own firms. The still very important overseas migrant labour market is also a necessary part of this process. Labour Market Policy Thailand has generally operated a labour market policy (LMP) regime based on the Japanese or East Asian model. This is to some extent because of the strong influence of inward investment in the country from Asian partners, particularly companies from Japan. This model is based on the understanding that individual firms will act to promote national development goals and, consequently, government will support firms directly. The firms involved then take such actions as they deem necessary to ensure the appropriate level of training and human resource development (HRD) among personnel. In line with the patriarchal nature of much of Thai management, which partly stems from Confucianist concepts inherent within management systems of ethnic Chinese, there is little role for labour or trade unions in determining the nature of HRD or of decision-making at the executive level. Indeed, labour unions have been banned for extensive periods during the modern development era and, in the continuing absence of a political system encouraging ideology-based political parties, the interests of labour have been supported, if at all, by a combination of charitable organisations and radical elements such as the Communist Party of Thailand (CPT). Where large scale unionisation has taken place, it has done so within large, professional, public sector organisations. The priority for unions in these cases 5 has mostly been to protect their own interests, as has been seen in recent years in campaigns against privatisation and free trade agreements. In combination with opaque regulations and regulatory systems, combined with innate corruption, the economy works still to ensure a constant stream of labour market entrants willing to work in a manufacturing industry which relies on low costs, particularly low labour costs, for competitiveness. Low levels of protection for workers, low levels of education and restrictions on freedom of association and collective bargaining mean that most entrepreneurs appear to think first of a business that takes advantage of that competitiveness. In Chiang Rai, this results in the creation of tea plantations employing casual, seasonal labour and related activities such as tea houses and tea exports, using the twin target markets of tourists and Taiwan, with connections forged during the Kuomintang period. Such businesses can be successful in their own terms but are constantly subject to negative external shocks. Over the last few years, tourism in Thailand as a whole has been negatively affected by the 2004 tsunami, scares over SARS and avian influenza (bird flu), high oil prices and the weakening global economy. Entrepreneurs with low capital asset costs and a very flexible workforce can simply hibernate through problematic periods; workers who lose their income will be more vulnerable and the temptation to work in risk-taking jobs or become migrant workers intensifies. LMP, therefore, must recognise the vulnerability of workers without imposing regulations which will be unlikely to be policed properly and which may discourage entrepreneurs from establishing or continuing their businesses. When workers can add value to those businesses and can share in the proceeds, then all major stakeholders are winners. However, it would require education on all sides to ensure that those stakeholders appreciate the importance of this. Other adjustments are of a very large scale and would require considerable social and cultural change to effect: this includes the abandonment of the seniority system in employment, by which employees receive an automatic incremental salary increase based on length of service rather than performance. The system is gradually being reformed in some private and public service organisations but its hold on the popular imagination, not to mention being embedded in bureaucratic structures and systems, remains tenacious. Perhaps more important would be the enforcement of the rule of law in employment. With respect to migrant labour, in particular, the presence of unofficial workers acts constantly to depress prices and to pressurize safety standards. Research has indicated that the presence of migrant workers does not negatively affect the wage-earning ability of Thai workers (Bryant and Rukumnuaykit, 2007), yet there is nevertheless considerable prejudice against such migrants in society more widely (e.g. Theeravit and Semyaem, 2002). Summarizing the areas of assistance required: • Funding: a variety of schemes have been provided with the aim of offering funds at the village level, either to remediate the longstanding problem of farmer indebtedness or else to enable entrepreneurial borrowing and business creation or expansion. Inevitably, success has been inconsistently recorded; some high-profile cases of failure have received negative media coverage. Better education of those involved might help to reduce the problems involved; 6 • • • Education: various initiatives have been launched to promote local wisdom in education, arising from different bodies and individuals. These can be useful but there are wider areas of importance within education to be improved. These include the balance between provision of undergraduate and vocational school seats, the inability of so many graduates to contribute in the workplace from the start of employment and the seniority employment system. An integrated planning process including forecasts for future requirements of various skills and competencies is required; Regional development: programs such as One Tambon One Product (OTOP) have achieved considerable levels of success in some cases, although necessarily it takes some time and cannot be assured in all cases, since not all local products are suitable for national and international markets. Relieving pressure on urban spaces and services by providing negative incentives for labour migration has yet to be measurably witnessed. Consistent support for this program and its fellows is required over the long-term. More education will be helpful for those involved in terms of basic business lessons, accounting and bookkeeping and similar competencies; Rule of law: discussions of the appropriate level of the minimum wage is largely irrelevant when it is likely that people in unregulated industries will not be paid according to the existing provisions. Small-scale entrepreneurs also suffer from harassment in some cases from lack of proper documentation or compliance with little-known regulations. These issues tend to merge with each other on a policy-making basis. One constant theme is the need for better and more focused education. The current economic system relies on the need to produce workers with good, diligent and obedient attitudes with just the few years of education necessary to work successfully in a factory context. This is no longer sustainable in a situation of globalization in which hyper-competitiveness in manufacturing negates the advantages that low labour costs might once have offered. The quest for added value is increasingly important. Recommendations Thailand is far from being alone in having a governmental system that promotes short-term rather than long-term thinking with policies properly funded and implemented throughout their lives. The political situation from 2006 to the present indicates the extent to which the veneer of democracy can be stripped from the country. The events prevented many of the policies of the democratically-elected Thai Rak Thai government could not be continued, despite their popularity and success, while the junta-appointed government had little sympathy for business or labour and introduced no important legislation to support their interests. The creation of the PPPled coalition government at the beginning of 2008 helped to crystallize at least some of the pro-poor policies promoted by the PPP, which was the successor to Thai Rak Thai. This coalition is somewhat narrower than that encompassed within TRT and has less propensity to support new business. Further, it is a coalition that is threatened by dissolution in the courts, owing to legislation initiated in the junta period which might be used to cause some parties, the PPP possibly included, to be dissolved for alleged electoral irregularities. This pressure has restricted cabinet members from being able to concentrate on developing policy platforms and enacting them appropriately. Many media outlets have taken a stoutly anti-populist stance which means that pro-poor and pro-business policies have received at best skeptical receptions. It is beyond the scope 7 of this power to consider ways in which the inherent instability of the Thai political system can be strengthened and improved. However, it would be helpful if the Ministry of Labour and other relevant government agencies could be enhanced through: improved technical capacity in collection and analysis of statistics; greater clarity in terms of future bureaucratic reform; resolution of duplicate provision of services across ministries; better communications in terms of matching supply and demand of training, employment opportunities and future forecasting. Village funding schemes and programs for regional, rural development are particularly helpful in promoting small-scale entrepreneurialism. However, borrowing for investment is an activity that has inherent risks within it. Those risks could be reduced to some extent by greater education in basic business skills in the local context. Successful micro-finance schemes tend to maintain credibility by ensuring that loan takers also receive proper counseling as to how they will use the money, how to plan for repaying the loan and how to build a sustainable competitive advantage. Currently, this provision would test the limits of resources available for the RTG and there may be a need for either a private sector partnership or else involvement of charitable or philanthropic organisations. Conclusion Improvements in infrastructure and significant changes in the business environment is having substantial effects on the ways in which people in Chiang Rai do business and changing the nature of competitive advantage there, as elsewhere. The development of port facilities, despite the problems of constraint from customs, represents new areas of business opportunity, for example. The increase in tourists, whether for ecotourist or ethnic minority tourism or else to visit casinos, also provides scope for entrepreneurs. In neighbouring Laos and Burma, many similar opportunities are being captured by migrant Chinese, who moved to the region specifically for this purpose or else spotted opportunities while in the region for contract work. The RTG will wish to ensure that, in Thailand, the majority of these opportunities will be made available for Thai citizens and, to do so, it is necessary to facilitate the process by identifying likely future opportunities, assessing the kinds of skills and competencies necessary to exploit those opportunities and providing the possibility that Thai people will enter the labour market equipped with those skills and competencies. As this paper has indicated, this is a complex process with numerous interlocking elements. Bureaucratic imperialism, especially in a milieu of constant potential instability, makes it particularly difficult to find a consensus of leadership in solving any of these problems. What may be required, in terms of the future research agenda, is to consider specifically a small number of particular industries and the work inherent within them and identify the likely configurations of the future. Reference “Death Truck Survivors ‘Mistreated,’” Bangkok Post (April 17th, 2008). Bryant, John and Pungpond Rukumnuaykit, Labor Migration in the Greater Mekong Sub-Region: Does Immigration to Thailand Reduce the Wages of Thai Workers? (World Bank, 2007), available at: http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTTHAILAND/Resources/3332001097667766090/2007june-labor_migration_gms.pdf. Marshall, Alfred, Principles of Economics, revised edition (Prometheus Books, 1997). Mill, John Stuart, Principles of Political Economy (Prometheus Books, 2004). 8 Reid, David McHardy and John Walsh, “Market Entry Decisions in China,” Thunderbird International Business Review, Vol.45, No.3 (May-June, 2003). 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