CASE 30 INDEX RULES I. Introduction: 1- What Is An Index? An index is a numerical value used to measure changes in financial markets. The index is set at a numerical level on the base period or starting point against which a percentage change can be compared to at any particular point of time. The index measures the moves up and down of stocks or bonds or funds etc. reflecting market price and market direction. A stock index will reveal the overall trend in the equity market. In other words, how in general the market is performing? It is a comprehensive measure of market trends indicating the general stock market price movements. Thus, the index will be the investor’s yardstick for the level of the whole stock market, or a certain group of stocks, against which the performance of individual stocks can be measured or judged. Indices are worldwide instruments used by investors in developed as well as developing markets. 2- Benefits of Creating Indices: 1. Summarizes the whole market: An index, typically, is composed of companies from all sectors of the economy so it provides an easy way to quantify the performance of the economy as well as the market as a whole. Therefore, indices act as indicators of business conditions since stock markets are believed to be sensitive to business conditions. An index can also be constructed for a sector to measure the performance of that sector. 2. Allows for a self-regulating market: Arbitrageurs can easily identify discrepancies in the market and correct the market to ensure that prices are accurate. 3. Leading indicator: Prices of companies, represented in the index, are equivalent to the present value of future cash flows. If future cash flows are expected to change (increase or decrease), the index will reflect these expectations. 4. Marketing instrument: International investors can compare the performance of the country’s index to other indices around the world. A strong return will increase public awareness and foreign investment in this market. 3- Most Commonly-Used Method for Calculating Indices: The most commonly used method is the Market Capitalization methodology. Under this methodology, each stock represented in the index contributes to the index proportionally to its market capitalization. 1 4- Worldwide Indices The most common and well-known worldwide indices include Standard & Poor’s, Financial Times, Dow Jones, Morgan Stanley etc. It is worth noting that these largelyfollowed indices are calculated by private companies, not stock exchanges. These indices are closely monitored and followed by portfolio and fund managers, analysts, as well as investors, because they can measure their performance against a commonly used yardstick within the stock market. It should be pointed out that also stock exchanges in both developed and developing markets calculate their own indices. Some of the most famous stock exchange indices include NYSE, DAX, CAC, Nikkei, Hang Seng, ISE, BOVESPA, WIG etc. 5- Free Floated Indices The free float is the share capital of a company, which is freely available for trading in the market. Limited free floats often cause liquidity problems with investors and traders finding there are insufficient shares available to meet their needs. In extreme cases, this can cause price distortions. Many fund managers, as well as index users, argue that including such companies at their full capitalization can make an index an unrealistic benchmark for performance measurement purposes. As a result, the trend in recent years, of well-known index providers, such as FTSE, Morgan Stanley and others, has moved towards calculating indices after adjusting them for the free float. In specific, Morgan Stanley Capital International, started its free float adjustment for Egypt’s index in both its Emerging Markets Free (EMF) index and All Country World Index Free (ACWIF) index as of 31 May 2002. Thus, currently stock exchanges are either studying implementing free floated indices in order to attach more foreign investors to their markets or have already started using free float indices such as Johannesburg Stock Exchange. In order to remain on par with international standards, CASE has undertaken a precedent and pioneering step, in the Middle East North Africa Region, by being the first exchange, to change its index calculation methodology and account for free float, in its new CASE 30 index. Thus, CASE 30 index will reflect investable opportunities for global investors by taking into account any market restrictions on share ownership. These restrictions can assume several forms: specific companies may have limits for investors after amounting to a given percent; specific industries may be restricted to investors after amounting to a given percent, any government holdings or long term holdings of shares by certain groups. The detailed definition of the free float for CASE 30 companies is provided in section III-9. 2 II. CASE 30 Price Index 1. The Cairo & Alexandria Stock Exchanges Exchange (CASE) discontinued its “CASE 50 Price & Return Indices” as of 31 January 2003. CASE 50 indices were calculated over the period 1/1/2000-31/01/2003. 2. As of 2 February 2003, CASE started publishing a new index, CASE 30 Price Index, which has a start date of 1/1/1998 and a base value of 1000 points. 3. An internal Senior Committee at CASE was responsible for the design of CASE 30. The Committee will be responsible for the maintenance of CASE 30 as well as other future indices to be produced by CASE. 4. CASE 30 Price Index includes the top 30 companies in terms of liquidity and activity. 5. CASE 30 is a price index i.e. it measures the return on investment from the change in market value of the stock (capital appreciation/depreciation) only. 6. CASE 30 Price Index is weighted by market capitalization adjusted by the free float. Adjusted Market capitalization of a listed company is the number of its listed shares multiplied by the closing price of that company multiplied by the percent of freely floated shares. 7. A company which fits the criteria of CASE 30, but does not provide its free float to the Disclosure Department of CASE on the required dates, as stated in the Listing Rules of CASE, will be excluded from the CASE 30 Index. 8. The above points clearly indicate that CASE is emphasizing the importance of free float as one of the main and important criteria for the inclusion in CASE 30 index as well as calculating the weight of each company in the CASE 30 index. These are strict rules that would ensure market participants that the index constituents truly represent actively traded companies and that the index is a good and reputable barometer for the Egyptian market. III. CASE 30 Methodology 1. Liquidity is the most important criterion for selecting the constituents or companies that comprise CASE 30, not profitability. Therefore, a loss making company may be included, especially if we are talking about the new economy stocks that take a longer period before they achieve profits. This part is subjective and depends on the discretion of the committee at CASE responsible for index construction. Any decision taken by this committee will be made public via CASE’s publications, web site etc. beforehand so that those who follow the index are aware of the changes and adjustments that take place. 2. CASE 30 avoids concentration on one industry and therefore has a good representation of the various industries/sectors in the economy. 3. CASE 30 is weighted by each company’s adjusted market capitalization (listed shares adjusted by free float). 4. Companies that go bankrupt, merge with other companies or are acquired by other companies will be excluded from CASE 30. 3 5. Only fully paid shares are included in CASE 30. 6. Only shares denominated in Egyptian Pounds are included in CASE 30. 7. Only common shares are included in CASE 30. Preferred shares, convertibles, bonds and mutual funds are excluded. 8. CASE 30 Index avoids cross holdings. In case a holding company owns various subsidiaries, either the holding company is included and subsidiaries are excluded. Thus, holding companies owned by families or individuals is carefully reviewed before inclusion in the index. Cross holdings means significant ownership of one company in another company or stakes held in one company by another. In terms of indices, they can create a form of double counting, if both companies are included in the same index, in that the value of the holding in one company is reflected in the share price of the other. Thus, the practice of including both companies in the index is avoided because it can skew industry weights, distort valuation ratios and overstate the true market size. Therefore, significant cross ownership, amounting to 30% or more is excluded in CASE 30. For example if company A owns 30% of company B and company A is already included in index, then Company B would be excluded from index. Another example is a holding company owning various subsidiaries. Whenever possible, the operating or subsidiary companies, as they are better representatives of industries than holding companies, are included and the holding company is excluded, to avoid double counting. The choice of whether to include the holding company or its subsidiaries depends on which of them is more active and liquid and is a decision to be made by the Index Committee of CASE. 9. The Free float of any company included in the index must be at least 10% or more to be considered for inclusion in the index. Free float means the freely floated shares that are traded and held by the public at large. Strategic ownership by any individual or entity, whether private or public is excluded. Thus, shareholders, whether private or public companies, banks, funds, entities or individuals (private investors or insiders such as management) owning more than 5% of a company are considered strategic owners and are excluded from free float. The following entities are also excluded from free float: public sector banks, public insurance companies, public sector companies, any other public institutions or entities, Holding Companies, Employee Share Ownership Associations (ESAs). Also, founders of any listed company, no matter the size of their ownership, are excluded from free float, for the first two years of operation of the company, since they are not allowed to sell their shares, according to the law. Finally, ownership of less than 5% of a listed company by public sector mutual funds is considered free float, since public sector mutual funds (banks or insurance companies) are privately managed by private fund management companies. 10. The main indicators employed to choose the constituents of CASE 30 include: Ranking all traded companies during the last six months according to total value traded or turnover per company. The top 30 are the most active companies. The most liquid or active companies chosen above in terms of value traded must be traded at least 50% of the traded days during this period. For example if the total number of traded days during the last six months period is 120 (5 x 4 x 6), then to be part of the index the company must be traded at least 60 days during this period. Therefore, if a company is among the most active in terms of value traded but 4 does not trade 60 days in the last six months period so it will be excluded from the index. Avoid cross holdings in the selection of the 30 Companies. CASE 30 is weighted by market capitalization adjusted by the free float. 11. CASE 30 constituents are reviewed & changed twice a year (end of January and end of July) by CASE Committee whereby constituents are changed (added or deleted), if necessary, based on the above-mentioned criteria. 12. CASE 30 was first calculated on 1/1/1998 and its value was 1000. IV. Appendix (Detailed Calculation of CASE 30 Price Index) 1. Adjusted Market Capitalization Weighting Methodology for Calculating CASE 30 Price Index: The formula used for calculating CASE 30 is straightforward. The daily index value is calculated by dividing the adjusted market value (Last closing price X number of listed shares X percent of free float) of all constituent companies by a divisor. Adjusted Market Value is synonymous to Adjusted Market Capitalization. Index Value = Adjusted Market Value of all Companies Divisor 2. Divisor The divisor is a factor that converts adjusted market capitalization of constituent companies to the index level. It is derived at the starting point of the index (Base date) by dividing the adjusted market capitalization by an arbitrary number or Multiplier. For example, if one wanted the starting point for the index to be 1.0, one would divide the adjusted market capitalization by itself. For CASE 30, the index was set at 1, 000 on its start date, one would then set the divisor at 1/1000 of the adjusted market capitalization. 3. Steps to Calculate The Divisor at The Base Date: Step 1: Calculate the adjusted market capitalization of constituent companies at starting date t0 It is equal to the sum of closing price multiplied by listed shares of constituent companies times the percent of free float at starting date. Step 2: Assume that we will set the starting value of index at 1000. Step 3: Calculate index divisor on the starting date t0 as follows Index Divisor at t0 = Adjusted Market Value t0 Index value t0 = 1000 5 In order to calculate the index value on the end date or any other date tn, calculate the adjusted market capitalization of constituent companies on the specified date tn then apply the following: Index Value tn = Adjusted Market Value tn Divisor t0 4. Adjustments to The Divisor A) Company Additions and Deletions When a company, is added to, or deleted from, the index, the adjusted market capitalization of that company is added to or deleted from the index and the total market capitalization will rise or fall accordingly, which will affect the index level. Since indices should reflect only market forces that change the value of the company, therefore, the index divisor is adjusted to maintain a constant index value. These adjustments are made at the beginning of the set date (ex-date) before trading begins, as outlined later. B) Market Capitalization Adjustments There are two ways in which a company’s market capitalization can change: Market forces driving the price of the shares up or down. When this occurs, the index is designed to reflect these market forces and no adjustments are required to the Divisor. Corporate actions where a company issues new shares or issues stock rights, which impacts its market value. When these corporate actions occur that affects the market capitalization, they are not reflected in the value of the index. Corporate actions that affect the market capitalization of the index require an offsetting divisor adjustment in order to prevent the value of an index changing due to such an event. By adjusting the divisor, the index value remains constant before and after the event. 6 Summary of The Frequent Corporate Actions and Their Resulting Adjustments. Corporate Action Adjust Shares Adjusted Price Equals Effect on Divisor No Adjust Previous Close Price No Cash Dividend (Price Return Index) Cash Dividend (Total Return Index) Special Cash Dividend (From non operating income) Stock Split – No effect No Yes P – cash dividends Decrease No Yes P – cash dividends Decrease Yes* Yes No effect Yes* Yes P ----------------------------------------1 + % increase in shares P x reverse split ratio Reverse Split Stock Dividend in same Yes* Co. Yes P -----------------------------------------1 + % increase in shares No effect Stock Dividend in another No Co. (Not in the Index) Stock Dividend in another Yes* Co. (In the Index) Public Offering Yes* Yes P – (value of stock distributed per share) dividend Decrease Yes P – (value of stock distributed per share) dividend No effect No – Rights Offering Yes* Yes Spin Off (a distribution of No shares to existing shareholders of a subsidiary split from the parent co.) Repurchase shares (buy- Yes* back) Yes (P x no. of rights)+subscription price Increase x no. of new shares -----------------------------------------no. of rights to buy one new share + ( 1 x % increase in shares) P – (value of spun off shares Decrease distributed per share) Combination stock Yes* distribution and rights offering Yes Yes No effect Increase Prior Market Cap – (repurchase price Decrease x no. of repurchased shares) -----------------------------------------Outstanding shares Prior Market Cap+ Subs. Price x new Decrease shares -----------------------------------------Outstanding shares * It will be equal to the actual shares outstanding after corporate action is taken. 7 The following steps are followed to calculate the Index level when an adjustment to the Divisor is deemed required: 1- Calculate the Adjusted Market capitalization, which is equal to the sum of adjusted closing prices, multiplied by adjusted listed shares for the companies, multiplied by the percent of free float. 2- Calculate the new divisor: New Divisor = Previous Divisor x (Adjusted market cap)/(Previous market cap) The new divisor is simply the figure that maintains the Index at the same level as before the change in market cap i.e. the new divisor can be alternatively computed as follows: Divisor = Adjusted market cap Previous Index level 3-Calculate adjusted market capitalization, which is equal to closing price times listed shares times percent of the free float. 4-Calculate index value by dividing adjusted market capitalization by divisor. Attached is An Illustrative Example. Action Formula 1- 2 for 1 Stock P Split ---------------------------------------------1 + % increase in shares 210% Stock P Dividends ---------------------------------------------1 + % increase in shares 3- Stock Dividend P-(value of stock dividend distributed per share) in another Co. not in index 4- 3 for 2 Stock P Split ---------------------------------------------1 + % increase in shares 510% Stock P – value of stock dividend distributed per share) dividends in another Co. in index 6- Rights offering (P x number of rights) + (subscription price x no of (10 rights for each new shares) --------------------------------------------new share @ $ 16 number of rights +(1x no. of new shares) 7- 3 for 10 spin off P-(Value of spin off shares distributed per share ) ratio, price of spinoff share is $ 9 8- Tender Offer Prior Market Cap–(Purchased price x no. of (1000 shares @ purchased shares) Calculation Adjusted Price 15 30 ---------(1 + 1) 33 --------------(1 + 0.10) 21 – 1 30 20 31.5 -----------(1+0.5) 15 - 1.6 21 13.4 (22x10)+(16 x 1) -------------------10 +( 1 x 1) 21.45 16-(3/10 x9) 13.3 45100(1000X24) 17.58 8 $24/share) ---------------------------------------------------------------Outstanding shares – purchased shares 1,200 Prior Market Cap – (Repurchased price x no. of 93600repurchased shares) (3400X15.25) ---------------------------------------------------------------Outstanding shares 3800 P 17.75 --------------------------------------------------------1+ % increase in shares ( 1 + 1) 9- Repurchase of shares (buyback) 3,400 shares @ $ 15.25/share 10- 2 for 1 distribution then right offerings (2 rights for 1 new share @ $11) Then 10.98 =8.875 (P x no. of rights)+(subscription price x no. of new shares) --------------------------------------------(8.875 x 9.58 no. of rights +(1 x no. of new shares) 2)+(11x1) --------------------2 + (1 x 1) 11- Rights offering (2 rights for 1 new share @ $ 8) and 2 for 1 distribution 12- Reverse Split Prior market cap + new subscription -----------------------------------Outstanding shares P x Reverse Split Ratio (11.75x3800)+ (8x1900) ------------9500 7.75 x 2/1 6.30 15.5 9
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