‫ﻟﻨﺸ ﻟﺜﺎﻟﺜﺔ‬
‫ﺨ†ﺢﲢٍ؛ئ“]ةﺌ؛ﺢءﻴ‹ُﳝ‬
‫ﺗﻮﺟﻪ ﻣﻌﻈﻢ ﻣﺆﺳﺴﺎ‪ $‬ﻻﻗﺮ ﺗﺤﺪﻳﺎً ﻣﺎ ﻣﺸﺎﻛﻞ ﻟﻘﺮ‪ ،‬ﺻﻐﻴﺮ ﻛﺎﻧﺖ ﻛﺒﻴﺮ‪ ،‬ﻃﻮﻳﻠﺔ ﻷﻣﺪ ﻗﺼﻴﺮ‪،‬‬
‫ﻓﺎﻟﻤﺴﺘﺤﻘﺎ‪ $‬ﺗﻬﺪ‪ 6‬ﺳﻼﻣﺔ ﻗﻮ ﻟﻤﺤﻔﻈﺔ ﻟﺨﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﺎﻟﻘﺮ ﺗﻘﻠﻞ ﻣﻦ ‪1‬ﺑﺤﻴﺔ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﻻﻗﺮ‪.‬‬
‫ﻳﻤﻜﻦ > ﺗﺘﻌﺜﺮ ﻟﻘﺮ ﻳﻜﻮ> ﻫﻨﺎﻟﻚ ﻣﺴﺘﺤﻘﺎ‪ $‬ﻷﺳﺒﺎ‪ B‬ﻋﺪﻳﺪ‪ ،‬ﻟﺬﻟﻚ ﻓﺈ> =‪ 16‬ﻟﻤﺤﺎﻓﻆ ﻟﻨﺎﺟﺤﺔ ﺗﻨﺘﻬﺞ‬
‫ﺳﺘﺮﺗﻴﺠﻴﺎ‪ $‬ﻓﻌﺎﻟﺔ ﻗﺎﺋﻴﺔ ﻣﻦ ﺟﻞ ﻣﻌﺎﻟﺠﺔ ﻟﻤﺸﺎﻛﻞ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺣﺪﺛﻬﺎ‪.‬‬
‫=> ﺗﺤﺪﻳﺎ‪ $‬ﻟﻮﺿﻊ ﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﻲ ﻏﻴﺮ ﻟﻤﺴﺘﻘﺮ ﻓﻲ ﻟﻀﻔﺔ ﻟﻐﺮﺑﻴﺔ ﻗﻄﺎ‪ N‬ﻏﺰ ﺳﺒﺒﺖ ﻧﻮﻋﺎً ﻣﻦ ﻹﺟﻬﺎ‪ 6‬ﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎ‪ J6‬ﻟﻜﻞ‬
‫ﻣﻦ ﻟﻤﻘﺘﺮ ﻟﻤﻘﺮ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﺪ ﺳﻮ‪ .V‬ﻟﻬﺬ ﻟﺴﺒﺐ ﺿﻌﺖ ﻣﺆﺳﺴﺎ‪ $‬ﻻﻗﺮ ﻟﻜﺜﻴﺮ ﻣﻦ ﻟﻘﻴﻮ‪ 6‬ﻋﻠﻰ ﻻﻗﺮ‬
‫ﻟﺼﻐﻴﺮ ﻟﻤﺘﻨﺎﻫﻲ ﻟﺼﻐﺮ‪ .‬ﻳﺠﺐ ﻻﻧﺘﺒﺎ‪ W‬ﻣﻦ > ﻫﺬ‪ W‬ﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﺔ ﻗﺪ ﺗﻘﻠﻞ ﻣﻦ ﻟﺨﺴﺎﺋﺮ ﻟﻜﻨﻬﺎ ﻳﻀﺎ ﺳﺘﻘﻠﻞ ﻣﻦ ﻟﻤﻘﺘﺮﺿﻴﻦ‬
‫ﺗﻀﻌﻒ ﻣﺸﺎ‪1‬ﻳﻌﻬﻢ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎﻹﺿﺎﻓﺔ ﻟﻰ ﺗﺂﻛﻞ ‪ Z1‬ﻟﻤﺎ‪ Y‬ﻟﻤﺨﺼﺺ ﻟﻼﻗﺮ‪.‬‬
‫ﻳﺸﺠﻊ ﺧﺒﺮ‪ V‬ﻟﺘﻨﻤﻴﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﺘﻤﺮ‪ 1‬ﻟﻌﻤﻠﻴﺔ ﻻﻗﺮﺿﻴﺔ ﺣﺘﻰ ﻓﻲ ﺻﻌﺐ ﻟﻈﺮ^ ﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎ‪6‬ﻳﺔ ﺣﻴﺚ > ﻟﻤﺆﺳﺴﺎ‪$‬‬
‫ﻟﻤﺎﻟﻴﺔ ﻟﺘﻲ ﺗﻌﻤﻞ ﻋﻠﻰ =ﻳﺠﺎ‪ 6‬ﻟﺤﻠﻮ‪ Y‬ﻟﻤﻨﺎﺳﺒﺔ ﻟﻤﺸﺎﻛﻞ ﻻﻗﺮ ﺗﺘﻜﻴﻒ ﻣﻊ ﻟﻈﺮ^ ﻟﻤﺨﺘﻠﻔﺔ ﻫﻲ ﻟﻘﺎ‪ 16‬ﻋﻠﻰ‬
‫ﻻﺳﺘﻤﺮ‪ 1‬ﻟﺒﻘﺎ‪.V‬‬
‫ﻣﺸﺎﻛﻞ ﻟﻘﺮ‪ :‬ﻓﻬﻢ ﻟﺼﻮ ﻟﺤﻘﻴﻘﻴﺔ‬
‫‪-1‬‬
‫‪-2‬‬
‫‪-3‬‬
‫ ﻣﺴﺆ ﻻﻗﺮ‬
‫ﻳﻘﻮ ﻣﺴﺆ‪ Y‬ﻻﻗﺮ ﺑﺜﻼﺛﺔ ‪ 16‬ﻫﺎﻣﺔ ﻫﻲ‪:‬‬
‫‪ 16‬ﻣﺤﻔﻈﺔ ﻻﻗﺮ‬
‫ﻳﺠﺐ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﺴﺆ‪ Y‬ﻻﻗﺮ > ﻳﻀﻤﻦ ﺟﻮ‪ 6‬ﻟﻨﻮﻋﻴﺔ ﻟﻤﻤﺘﺎ‪ d‬ﻟﻠﻘﺮ ﻓﻲ ﻣﺤﻔﻈﺘﻪ ﻣﻦ ﺟﻞ ﺗﻘﻠﻴﻞ ﻟﺘﻜﺎﻟﻴﻒ ﺗﺤﻘﻴﻖ‬
‫ﻷﻫﺪ^ ﻟﻌﺎﻣﺔ ﻟﻠﺒﺮﻧﺎﻣﺞ ﻟﺘﻲ ﻣﻦ ﻫﻤﻬﺎ ﻻﺳﺘﻤﺮ‪1‬ﻳﺔ‪.‬‬
‫ﻣﺮﻗﺒﺔ ﻣﺘﺎﺑﻌﺔ ﻟﻘﺮ‬
‫ﻳﺠﺐ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻣﺴﺆ‪ Y‬ﻻﻗﺮ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﻣﺘﺎﺑﻌﺔ ﻟﻘﺮ ﻓﻲ ﻣﺤﻔﻈﺘﻪ ﺑﺸﻜﻞ ﺟﻴﺪ ﻣﺴﺘﻤﺮ ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺔ ‪ J‬ﻣﺸﺎﻛﻞ ﺿﻊ‬
‫ﻟﺤﻠﻮ‪ Y‬ﻟﻬﺎ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺗﻔﺎﻗﻤﻬﺎ‪.‬‬
‫ﻟﺨﺪﻣﺔ ﻻﺳﺘﺸﺎ‪1‬ﻳﺔ‬
‫ﻓﻲ ﺣﺎ‪ Y‬ﺣﺪ‪ g‬ﻣﺸﺎﻛﻞ ﻓﻲ ﻟﻘﺮ ﺗﻌﺜﺮ‪ W‬ﻳﻘﻮ ﻟﻤﺴﺆ‪ Y‬ﺑﻤﺴﺎﻋﺪ ﻟﻌﻤﻴﻞ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻓﻬﻢ ﻟﺼﻮ‪ 1‬ﻟﺤﻘﻴﻘﻴﺔ ﻟﻤﺸﺎﻛﻞ‬
‫ﻟﻘﺮ‪.‬‬
‫ﻵﺛﺎ ﻟﻤﺘﺮﺗﺒﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺗﻌﺜﺮ ﻟﻘﺮ‬
‫ ﻫﺪ‪= 1‬ﺿﺎﻋﺔ ﻟﻮﻗﺖ ﻟﺠﻬﺪ ﻓﻲ ﻣﺘﺎﺑﻌﺔ ﻷﻗﺴﺎ‪ h‬ﻟﻤﺴﺘﺤﻘﺔ‬‫ ﺗﻨﺎﻗﺺ ﻟﻤﻘﺪ‪ 1‬ﻋﻠﻰ ﺗﻘﺪﻳﻢ ﻟﺨﺪﻣﺔ ﻟﻤﺸﺎ‪1‬ﻳﻊ ﺧﺮ‪ i‬ﺑﺴﺒﺐ ﻹﻧﺸﻐﺎ‪ Y‬ﻓﻲ ﻟﻤﺴﺘﺤﻘﺎ‪$‬‬‫ ﻫﺪ‪ 1‬ﻗﺎ‪ $‬ﻹ‪ 16‬ﻓﻲ ﻣﺘﺎﺑﻌﺔ ﻟﻤﺘﻌﺜﺮﻳﻦ ‪d‬ﻳﺎ‪ 6‬ﻹﻧﻔﺎ‪ j‬ﻋﻠﻰ ﻟﻨﻮﺣﻲ ﻟﻘﺎﻧﻮﻧﻴﺔ‬‫ ﻗﻴﺎ ﺣﺪ ﻟﻌﻤﻼ‪ V‬ﺑﻌﺪ ﻟﺴﺪ‪ 6‬ﻳﺆ‪= J6‬ﻟﻰ ﻗﻴﺎ ﻋﻤﻼ‪k V‬ﺧﺮﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﻟﻤﺜﻞ‬‫‪ -‬ﻓﻘﺪ> ﻟﺒﺮﻧﺎﻣﺞ ﻟﻤﺼﺪﻗﻴﺘﻪ ﻗﺪ‪1‬ﺗﻪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻟﺘﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﻣﻊ ﻟﻤﺸﺎﻛﻞ‬
‫خﻷ]ﱞ؛ﻳ‪]İ‬ﻨ؛ﺬؤًْﺌ؛ءﺋؤ“]ﲢًﻧ؛ﺢء—نٌ‹ٍ؛ُ؛خ]ءنﱠ؛ﺢء—ن‹؛ﻪّ؛ﺢء›هﱠ؛ﺢءن‹خٌﱠ؛ُﻳ‪]İ‬ﻨ؛ﻦﳊٍ‬
‫‪7/19/03, 3:10:08 PM‬‬
‫‪Ar-3.indd 1‬‬
‫ﺳﺘﺮﺗﻴﺠﻴﺎ* ﻟﺘﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﻣﻊ ﻟﻘﺮ ﻟﻤﺘﻌﺜﺮ‬
‫ﺗﺠﻨﺐ ﻣﺸﺎﻛﻞ ﻟﻘﺮ ﻗﺒﻞ ﺣﺪﺛﻬﺎ‬
‫ ﻋﺪ ﻟﺘﻌﺎﻣﻞ ﻣﻊ ﻋﻤﻼ‪ V‬ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻴﻦ ﺑﻌﺪ ﻣﺼﺪﻗﻴﺘﻬﻢ ﺑﻌﺪ ﺟﺪ‪ i‬ﻣﺸﺎ‪1‬ﻳﻌﻬﻢ ﻣﻦ ﻟﻨﺎﺣﻴﺔ ﻻﻗﺘﺼﺎ‪6‬ﻳﺔ‬‫ ﻻﺳﺘﻔﺴﺎ‪ 1‬ﻋﻦ ﻟﻌﻤﻴﻞ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼ‪ Y‬ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻴﻦ ﻣﻮﺛﻮﻗﻴﻦ‬‫ ﺗﻘﻴﻴﻢ ﻗﺪ‪ 1‬ﻟﻌﻤﻴﻞ ﻋﻠﻰ =‪ 16‬ﻣﺸﺮﻋﻪ‬‫ ﺗﻮﺛﻴﻖ ﻣﺼﺎ‪ 16‬ﻟﻀﻤﺎ> ﻟﻤﺘﻮﻓﺮ‬‫ ﻣﻼ‪V‬ﻣﺔ ﻗﻴﻤﺔ ﻟﻘﺮ ﻣﻊ =ﺣﺘﻴﺎ‪ l‬ﻟﻤﺸﺮ‪ N‬ﻟﻘﺪ‪ 1‬ﻋﻠﻰ ﻟﺴﺪ‪6‬‬‫ ﺿﻤﺎ> ﺟﻮ‪ 6‬ﺗﺪﻓﻖ ﻧﻘﺪ‪ J‬ﻳﻐﻄﻲ ﻟﻘﺴﻂ ﻟﺸﻬﺮ‪J‬‬‫ ﺳﺘﺨﺪ ﻟﺤﻮﻓﺰ ﻟﺘﺸﺠﻴﻊ ﻓﻲ ﺳﺪ‪ 6‬ﻟﺪﻓﻌﺎ‪ $‬ﻓﻲ ﻗﺘﻬﺎ‬‫ ﻟﺘﺄﻛﻴﺪ ﻟﻤﻄﻠﻖ ﻟﻠﻌﻤﻼ‪ V‬ﻋﻠﻰ ﻋﺪ ﻟﺘﺴﺎﻫﻞ ﻓﻲ ‪ J‬ﺗﺄﺧﻴﺮ ﻓﻲ ﻟﺴﺪ‪6‬‬‫ ﻣﺤﻔﻈﺔ ﻟﻘﺮ ﺑﻔﻌﺎﻟﻴﺔ‬
‫ ﺿﻊ ﺧﻄﺔ ﻣﺘﺎﺑﻌﺔ ‪d‬ﻳﺎ‪ 1‬ﻣﺴﺘﻤﺮ ﻟﻠﻌﻤﻼ‪V‬‬‫ ﺗﺤﻀﻴﺮ ﻟﻤﻘﺮ ﻻﻟﺘﺰﻣﻪ ﺑﺎﻹﺟﺎﺑﺔ ﻹ‪6‬ﻻ‪ V‬ﺑﺎﻟﻤﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎ‪ $‬ﻓﻲ ﻛﻞ ‪d‬ﻳﺎ‪1‬‬‫ ﺳﺘﺨﺪ ﺟﺪ‪ Y‬ﻣﺮﻗﺒﺔ ‪6‬ﺋﻢ ﻟﺘﻮﻓﻴﺮ ﻟﻤﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎ‪ $‬ﻟﺒﻴﺎﻧﺎ‪ $‬ﻟﺤﻘﻴﻘﻴﺔ ﻋﻦ ﻧﺸﺎ‪ h‬ﻟﻌﻤﻴﻞ‬‫ ﻣﻘﺎ‪1‬ﻧﺔ ﻟﺤﻘﺎﺋﻖ ﻟﻤﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎ‪ $‬ﻟﻤﺘﻮﻓﺮ ﻣﻊ ﻟﺘﻮﻗﻌﺎ‪$‬‬‫ ﻻﺳﺘﻔﺴﺎ‪ 1‬ﻟﺪﺋﻢ ﻟﻤﻼﺣﻈﺔ ﻟﻤﺴﺘﻤﺮ ﻟﻨﺸﺎﻃﺎ‪ $‬ﻟﻤﻘﺘﺮ‬‫ ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺔ ﻣﺆﺷﺮ‪ $‬ﻹﻧﺬ‪ 1‬ﻟﺘﻲ ﺗﻨﺒﺊ ﺑﻤﺨﺎﻃﺮ ﻣﺜﻞ ﺻﺮ^ ﻷﻣﻮ‪ Y‬ﻓﻲ ﻣﻮ‪ 1‬ﻏﻴﺮ ﻟﻬﺪ^ ﻟﺘﻲ ﻣﻨﺤﺖ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺳﺎﺳﻪ‬‫ ﻟﺪ‪1‬ﺳﺔ ﻟﺪﺋﻤﺔ ﻟﺤﺠﻢ ﻹﻧﺘﺎ‪ l‬ﻟﻤﺒﻴﻌﺎ‪ $‬ﻟﺬﻣﻢ ﻟﻤﺪﻳﻨﺔ ﻟﻤﺨﺰ>‪ ،‬ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺔ ‪ J‬ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﻓﻴﻬﺎ ﺗﺠﻨﺒﺎً ﻟﻠﻤﺨﺎﻃﺮ‬‫ =ﻋﻼ ﻟﻤﺴﺆﻟﻴﻦ ﻓﻮ‪ ً1‬ﻋﻦ ‪ J‬ﻣﺸﺎﻛﻞ ﻗﺪ ﺗﺤﺪ‪g‬‬‫ ﺑﻼ‪ q‬ﻟﻤﻘﺘﺮ ﺑﻘﻠﻖ ﻟﻤﺆﺳﺴﺔ ﻟﻤﻘﺮﺿﺔ ﻟﻔﺖ ﻧﺘﺒﺎﻫﻪ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺔ ‪ J‬ﺿﺎ‪ N‬ﻳﻨﺘﻬﺠﻬﺎ ﻟﻤﻘﺘﺮ ﻗﺪ ﺗﺆ‪= J6‬ﻟﻰ‬‫ﻣﺸﺎﻛﻞ‬
‫ﻟﻤﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎ* ﻟﻮﺟﺐ ﻣﻼﺣﻈﺘﻬﺎ ﻣﺘﺎﺑﻌﺘﻬﺎ‬
‫ ﻧﻤﺎ‪ h‬ﻃﺮ‪ j‬ﻟﺒﻴﻊ‬‫ ﻣﻘﺎ‪1‬ﻧﺔ ﻟﺴﻴﻮﻟﺔ ﻟﻨﻘﺪﻳﺔ ﻟﻔﻌﻠﻴﺔ ﻣﻊ ﻟﻤﻘﺪ‪1‬‬‫ ﺣﺠﻢ ﻟﻤﺸﺘﺮﻳﺎ‪ J $‬ﺗﻐﻴﺮ ﻓﻴﻬﺎ‬‫ ﻣﺪﺧﻼ‪ $‬ﻣﺨﺮﺟﺎ‪ $‬ﻟﻤﺸﺮ‪ N‬ﻣﻦ ﻣﻮ‪ Y‬ﺑﻀﺎﺋﻊ‬‫ ﻟﺰﻳﺎ‪ 6‬ﻓﻲ ﻟﺬﻣﻢ ﻟﻤﺪﻳﻨﺔ ﻣﺨﺰ> ﻟﺒﻀﺎﻋﺔ‬‫ﻻﺟﺮ‪ *9‬ﻟﻮﺟﺐ ﺗﺒﺎﻋﻬﺎ ﻋﻨﺪ ﻟﺘﺄﺧﺮ ﻓﻲ ﻟﺴﺪ‬
‫ =ﺑﻼ‪ q‬ﻟﻤﺴﺆﻟﻴﻦ ﻓﻮ‪ ً1‬ﻋﻨﺪ ﺗﺄﺧﺮ ﻟﺪﻓﻌﺔ ﻷﻟﻰ‬‫ ﻟﺘﻮﺿﻴﺢ ﻟﺼﺮﻳﺢ ﻟﻠﻤﻘﺘﺮ ﺑﺄ> ﻟﻤﺆﺳﺴﺔ ﻟﻦ ﺗﺘﻨﺎ‪ Yd‬ﻋﻦ ﺣﻘﻬﺎ ﻓﻲ ﺳﺘﺮ‪ 66‬ﻟﻘﺮ‬‫ ﺣﺸﺪ ﻟﻄﺎﻗﺎ‪ $‬ﺗﻜﺜﻴﻒ ﻟﺠﻬﻮ‪ 6‬ﻻﺗﺼﺎ‪ Y‬ﺑﺎﻷﺷﺨﺎ‪ s‬ﻟﻤﺆﺛﺮﻳﻦ ﻋﻠﻰ ﻟﻤﻘﺘﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺟﻞ ﻟﺘﺤﺼﻴﻞ =ﻋﺎ‪ 6‬ﻟﺪﻓﻌﺎ‪$‬‬‫=ﻟﻰ ﻣﺴﺎ‪1‬ﻫﺎ ﻟﻤﻨﺘﻈﻢ‬
‫ ﻻﺗﺼﺎ‪ Y‬ﺑﺎﻟﻜﻔﻼ‪ >=) V‬ﺟﺪ( ﺗﻮﺿﻴﺢ ﻟﻤﺴﺆﻟﻴﺔ ﻟﻤﺸﺘﺮﻛﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺳﺪ‪ 6‬ﻟﻘﺮ‬‫ =‪1‬ﺳﺎ‪= Y‬ﻧﺬ‪ 1‬ﻗﺎﻧﻮﻧﻲ ‪1‬ﺳﻤﻲ ﻟﻠﻤﻘﺘﺮ ﻳﻔﻴﺪ ﺑﻤﺨﺎﻟﻔﺘﻪ ﻟﺸﺮ‪ h‬ﻟﻌﻘﺪ ﺗﺤﻤﻴﻠﻪ ﻟﻤﺴﺆﻟﻴﺔ ﻟﻘﺎﻧﻮﻧﻴﺔ‬‫ ‪1‬ﺻﺪ ﻟﻮﻗﺖ ﻟﻜﺎﻓﻲ ﻣﻦ ﺟﻞ ﺗﻜﺜﻴﻒ ﻟﻤﺘﺎﺑﻌﺔ ﻟﻤﻼﺣﻘﺔ ﻋﻦ ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﻟﺰﻳﺎ‪ $1‬ﻟﻤﻴﺪﻧﻴﺔ‬‫‪ -‬ﺳﺘﺨﺪ ﺳﺎﻟﻴﺐ ﻣﻮﻓﻖ ﻋﻠﻴﻬﺎ ﻣﻦ ﻻ‪ 16‬ﻣﺜﻞ =ﻋﺎ‪ 6‬ﻟﺠﺪﻟﺔ ﻹﻋﺎ‪ 6‬ﻟﻘﺮ =ﻟﻰ ﻣﺴﺎ‪ W1‬ﻟﺼﺤﻴﺢ‬
‫ﺢءﻷ“‹ٍ؛ﺢءﺳ]ءﺳﱠ‬
‫‪7/19/03, 3:10:09 PM‬‬
‫‪Ar-3.indd 2‬‬