(107-92 ) 2009/02 .ISSN:1112-8984 . . [1] 2006 .2007 %5.25 2007 2004 %1 . [2] . %3 %15 - 2006 340 2006 . BNP 2007 9 Paribas 1.6 .[3] 2007 . - . 2008 .[4] 15 185 Lehman Brothers . : :«Subprime Mortgage» (Prime) .[5] (Prime) 1 -1 - Subprime mortgages-) MBS (ABS) 30 .[6] 10-2 MBS (SPV) :(backed securities . .[7] - "Collateralized Debt Obligations" CDO 30 1 (AAA 1987 30 [8] ) : ) .( . (AA to BB) Mezzanine .[9] . :(Over-the-counter Markets) OTC - .[10] : -2 . 1938 " " The Federal National " "Fannie Mae" . " AssociationMortgage " " . " .[11] " ( — " " " " " ( " ) 1968 )" " " — " 2 " " " " " 1970 " The Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation" (Freddie Mac) " 2002 % 100 " " " " " " " " .[12] :( [13] The )[14] (1) . A bankruptcy-remote ) Special (SPV) ] .[ ) -3 (Sheila Bair) (Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC 2007 17 :[15] :(Borrower) -1-3 :(Issuer) -2-3 (special purpose entity - SPE purpose vehicle SPE SPE :(Lender) -3-3 SPE . :(Mortgage Broker) -4-3 :(Servicer) -5-3 . . :(Investors) . 3 -6-3 (The borrower) (The lender) :1 . (The :2 issuer) - The ) .(servicer :3 (The Rating Agency) . :4 .(Pooling & Service Agreement.) :(Rating agency) ) ( -7-3 . :(Trustee) -8-3 . :(Securitization Documents) -9-3 Pooling & ) (Service Agreement. . . :(Underwriter) :(Credit Enhancement Provider) ( ) . -10-3 -11-3 : : ) 1994 % 64 4 -4 -1-4 [16] [17] . % 69.2 124 (1980 2004 2006 1997 .2008 .[18] Jeffrey ) : -2-4 (Sachs ...." . . . " %0.6 .[19] %75 2007 , %1 [20] . ": : 2.2 2006 -3-4 . CDO .[21]" .(%15) : (Securitization) 5 - 4-4 ( 2004 %42.7 ) .[22] : -5-4 (Wholesale Access Mortgage Research & Consulting Inc) 68 [24] [23] . ( Alt-A loans )" " (Subprime) . : 2007 -6-4 25 3300 2005 60-50 2006 2008 %31 . %50 2006 [25] : -7-4 [26] [27] 1800 1700 2009 2006 . 2006 (2) . Hedge ) : -5 [28] : (Funds 2007 MBS . OTC .CDO ( ... CDO .(CDO MBS ) Freddie Mac Fannie Mae MBS ) . MBS - . 6 ( . ) 2007- 2006 . CDO : : 2008 22 2008 %29.7 S&P %31.6 30 - MBS -6 -1-6 3 %26.1 %30.8 4 : (Hudge Funds ) : 44 " . Senior Mezzani Equity . 18 "MBS" (Fannie mae) (Freddie Mac) . : (Conforming mortgages) (Originator) :(2) : 2007 7 .[29] %32.1 .[30] : -2-6 ) .(2008 ) % (CEO) (2008 % 58 % 62 % 63 %6% 61 % 31 % 83 % 53 - 54.6 51.8 38.2 27.4 22 21.2 15.9 15.2 Citigroup Merrill Lynch UBS HSBC Wachovia Bank of America IKB Royal Bank of Scotland 14.8 Washington Mutual 14.4 Morgan Stanley % 86 % 30 - Source: Bank losses, Hall of shame, Finance & Economics, Economist Magazine, 07/08/2008, Retrieved from: http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11897636 . 4 - 2009 [31] . [32] . 2010 : -3-6 CDO MBS [33] . : 4 -4-6 FBI . 2006 2005 - Credit defaults swaps - CDS [34] 2.2 AIG . 8 [35] Bloomberg : -5-6 34000 2008 2007 3650 Bank of America 4990 Lehman Brothers 6200 Citigroup [36] . 2220 Merrill Lynch 2940 Morgan Stanley : %3 %3.9 2008 2007 %6 " " – 2000 -6-6 %5 2007 [37] 210 2009 ( . ( %7 2009 %6.1 ) BRIC [38] . 2005 ) . . ... : -7 -1-7 : " :2008 : 2008 % 0.25 16 30 -2007 18 .[39] [40] 2 5.25 . 2009 . : -2-7 . .[41] : -3-7 . 700 ( ) 9 838 .[42] .[43] « :[44] » 10-3 2008 : -1 . -2 . -3 . -4 . . -5 . : FBI " [45] . " " " " % 50 2007 -4-7 14 " " " .[46] 2008 : -8 ( ) 133 [47 ] " 10 [48 ] " 50 1988 1986 60 43 %30 %2 10 [ 49 ] . : - 2 . -1 . 2007 4 44 : . : -2 18 2007/08/24 " " -3 http://www.aleqtisadiah.com/news.php?do=show&id=92378&archivedate=2007-08-24 : 2008/09/ 15 BBC : -4 http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/arabic/business/newsid_7615000/7615986.stm 5- http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/subprime_mortgage.asp . 4 2001 " " -6 7- http://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/mbs.asp . 40 -8 9- http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collateralized_debt_obligation . : 18 : 2008 /01/ 9 . . Marketable -10 ( -11 www.misbahalhurriyya.org/content/view/426/38 . -12 Securitization -13 ) Securities . -14 100000 1933 www.fdic.gov : 11 15- Statement of Sheila C. Bair, Chairman, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation on Possible Responses to Rising Mortgage Foreclosures before the Committee on Financial Services, U.S. House of Representatives; 2128 Rayburn House Office Building, The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) , April 17, 2007, Retrieved From: http://www.fdic.gov/news/news/speeches/archives/2007/chairman/spapr1707.html 100 × ( ÷ ) =(%) - 16 17- Robert R & Linda B. Cavanaugh. U.S. Census Bureau News, U.S. Department of Commerce Washington., October 26, 2007, Retrieved From: http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/housing/hvs/qtr307/q307press.pdf : 2008/04/28 -18 http://www.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/801FBC26-C619-4C78-A198-0E79557701B8.htm : 2008/03/23 - 19 http://alghad.dot.jo/index.php?article=8493 2008/01/30 2007 %75 - 20 http://www.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/13BDA5F8-9C58-4031-8CA9-99EAB87A2248.htm: .2007/10/23 10556 .2008 .. - 21 24 10770 - 22 (subprime) (Prime) Alt-A loans - 23 . 24- New Research About Mortgage Brokers Published ,28/07/05, Retrieved from: http://66.225.31.160/?p=54 : : 2007/12/23 - 25 http://www.alqabas.com.kw/Final/NewspaperWebsite/NewspaperPublic/ArticlePage.aspx?ArticleID=344059 2008 11 12 : - 26 http://www.annabaa.org/nbanews/69/160.htm 2009/04/30 - 27 http://www.aleqt.com/2009/04/30/article_222897.html : 5680 . 19 : - 28 - 29 .16 2008 194 30- Iain Macwhirter," The trading frenzy that sent prices soaring", newstatesman, 17 April 2008, retrieved from: http://www.newstatesman.com/world-affairs/2008/04/haiti-food-price-commodities : 2009 /04/21 BBC 4 : - 31 http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/arabic/business/newsid_8010000/8010815.stm : 2009/02/24 BBC 2010 : - 32 http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/arabic/business/newsid_8010000/8010815.stm 33- ALAN GREENSPAN, " The Roots of the Mortgage Crisis Bubbles cannot be safely defused by monetary policy before the speculative fever breaks on its own", The wall street journal, 12/11/2007, Retrieved from: http://opinionjournal.com/editorial/feature.html?id=110010981 34- Jon Birger,"Will foreclosures spark an arson boom?",CNNMoney, 01/01/2008, Retrieved from: http://money.cnn.com/2008/01/09/news/economy/birger_arson.fortune/ - 35 . 36- Yalman Onaran, " Wall Street Firms Cut 34,000 Jobs, Most Since 2001 Dot-Com Bust " ,Bloomberg, 24/03/2008, Retrieved form: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aTARUhP3w5xE&refer=home -37 .30 : 2008/01/22 " " 2008 2008 193 -38 http://www.markaz.com/DesktopModules/System/HTMLText_Attachments/Markaz%20Panel%20Discussion%20.%20Arabic%20Press%20Release.doc 12 39 - Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, "Financial Markets, the Economic Outlook, and Monetary Policy", Board of Governors of Federal Reserve System, 10/01/2008, Retrieved from: http://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bernanke20080110a.htm http://www- : 09/01/16 CCN 0.25 0 - 40 cgi.cnn.com/arabic/2008/business/12/17/euro.pound_rates/index.html : -41 http://www2.standardandpoors.com/spf/pdf/media/Leadership_Actions_Full_Update.pdf : : 2008/09/21 700 -42 http://arabic.cri.cn/361/2008/09/21/85s104203.htm : 07/03/09 CCN 838 -43 http://cgi.cnn.com/arabic/2009/business/2/10/debate.stimulus/index.html 2008/10/12 - -44 http://www.asharqalawsat.com/details.asp?section=6&article=490409&issueno=10911 10911 : 2008 /01/30 -45 http://www.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/8958765D-A7FF-4298-8E55-6DA208E8977F.htm 46- FBI Cracks Down On Mortgage Fraud, CBSNews, June 19, 2008, Retrieved from: http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/06/19/national/main4194649.shtml : 2008/10/16 -47 http://www.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/4921B938-F80C-4F7C-80C0-C2B66F298FE7.htm : 2008 7 -48 http://193.194.78.233/ma_ar/stories.php?story=08/10/07/8747019 : 2008/10/12 -49 . http://www.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/E4D8D8C7-CD9F-49DE-895D-ED5FB600635B.htm 13
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