Materials linked from May 11 Graduate Council Agenda GRADUATE ENROLLMENT RECOMMENDATIONS Spring, 2009 The Graduate Enrollment Management Task Force was appointed by the Dean of the Graduate School in fall, 2008. Members of the Task Force include Scott Ashford, Tony Wilcox (representing Executive Committee of Faculty Senate), Becky Warner, Valerie Rosenberg, Eric Yahnke, Walt Loveland (representing Graduate Council), Donna Champeau, Larry Curtis, and Rosemary Garagnani. The Task Force was charged to • Set overall graduate enrollment targets both in absolute numbers and in proportion to total enrollment; • Set targets for enrollment by degree level and by demographics including citizenship; • Establish strategic foci for graduate enrollment targets that are aligned with OSU's areas of strength; and • Recommend strategies for achieving the targets that are set. As a research university, OSU is deeply committed to excellence in graduate education. Strong graduate programs are essential to the institution's ability to deliver its three-part mission, are critical in OSU's goal of achieving top ten land grant status, and are key to Oregon’s prosperity. In a recent op-ed, Debra Stewart, President of the Council of Graduate Schools, stated, “The future of the country depends on making a renewed commitment to graduate education to produce the future innovators, discoverers and leaders necessary to address current and future problems” (Washington Times, 1/15/09). Strong graduate programs depend on a number of factors including not only our ability to be competitive in recruiting the highest quality graduate students but also our ability to build viable intellectual communities of graduate students with adequate critical mass in terms of enrollment. A graduate enrollment plan is needed to focus our graduate enrollment goals moving forward. OSU, along with other very high research universities, holds scholarship and graduate education as central to its mission. This document presents a proposal that recommends a graduate student enrollment target for OSU over the next five years culminating in the year 2013-14 at an enrollment mix of 20% graduate and 80% undergraduate or 4100 graduate students, an increase of about 900 students over 2008-09 graduate enrollment (see Table 2, page 9). This recommendation is in alignment with prior graduate enrollment targets. In 2000 a University Issue Group recommended that OSU establish a target of 20% graduate to total OSU enrollment by 2011 and in 2001 another work group recommended that OSU pursue an aggressive enrollment strategy to achieve a graduate enrollment of about 18% of total enrollment. In addition, the Task Force recommends that the ratio of PhD student to Graduate Faculty should be 2:1 by 2013-014 and eventually reach a 3:1 ratio. Given that there are currently 1208 faculty members at OSU who have been authorized to direct doctoral dissertations, this recommendation would result in a target of 2416 PhD students or 59% of the targeted graduate enrollment of 4000. In fall, 2008, of a total graduate enrollment of 3204, 1101 were PhD students or 34% of total graduate enrollment (see Table 3, page 10). The Task Force declined to set a target for graduate enrollment according to citizenship. While the Task Force fully recognizes and supports the importance of all forms of diversity, including strong international participation, within graduate programs it believes that the overall goal must be to attract the very best qualified graduate students possible regardless of citizenship. These goals are aligned with the enrollment targets of the College of Engineering (COE). COE plans to reach a total graduate student to total student ratio of 23%. Within this target, a ratio of PhD student to faculty member of 3:1 and a master’s student to faculty member ratio of 5:1 are planned. The 20% target also is in alignment with graduate enrollment at benchmark institutions. The proportion of graduate student enrollment at OSU’s comparator and aspirational top ten landgrant institutions is shown in Table 4 (page 11). The data reveal that the average graduate enrollment at these institutions and at the top ten land-grant institutions was 20% of total enrollment. The proportion of graduate enrollment at peer institutions ranged from 14.5% at Pennsylvania State University to 28.5% at Cornell University. In comparison, fall, 2007, graduate enrollment at OSU was 15.5% of total enrollment. Figure 1 (page 3) illustrates the Task Force’s 20% graduate enrollment target (blue) alongside projected total enrollment at OSU (total, graduate, and non-degree graduate). Black, red, and green lines depict actual enrollment from fall, 1995, through fall, 2008; from fall, 2009, forward, the black, red, and green lines depict projected enrollment. Fall, 2008, total enrollment was 20,320 and is projected to reach 21,056 by fall, 2013, the target year for this report. Similarly, fall, 2008, graduate enrollment was 3095 and would need to reach 4100 by fall, 2013, to achieve the proposed 20% target. 2 Figure 1 OSU Projected Enrollment Rationale The rationale for targeting an enrollment of 20% graduate students is based on: • Top ten land-grant status is partially dependent on strong graduate programs. Top ten land-grant institutions maintain a graduate population of 20% of total enrollment. Peer data are presented in Table 4. • Expanding OSU’s graduate enrollment will produce more recipients of advanced degrees who can be predicted to contribute directly to economic development and innovation. About 60% of advanced degree recipients stay and work in Oregon. • The master’s degree is rapidly becoming the entry level degree for a growing number of jobs leading to an increase in master’s enrollments nationally. There is an opportunity to respond to this need. • Strong graduate programs spark the research enterprise of the University. • Undergraduate programs are enriched by the presence of strong graduate programs. • Online graduate programs are an attractive growth area. OSU has built capacity to expand its offerings in this format. • Graduate programs contribute substantially to the diversity of the student population, particularly by attracting international students. The INTO partnership creates an opportunity to expand international enrollment. 3 • Knowledge-based industries require well educated workers. There is an opportunity to respond to this need through expanded graduate enrollment. SWOT Members of the Task Force identified strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats – SWOT – to increasing graduate enrollment. Table 1 (see page 7) presents the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats that were identified relative to OSU’s potential for achieving the 20% graduate enrollment target. Obvious strengths include OSU’s classification as a major research university with strong research faculty and research facilities, experience in online programming, and an array of graduate programs in areas of demand for graduates. On the other hand, weaknesses identified include little diversity within the local community, lack of graduate programming in the social sciences and humanities, cost of graduate student support, and certain organizational weaknesses. Opportunities to support achieving the 20% goal include the historic growth in graduate enrollments during poor economic cycles, economic stimulus funds to NSF and NIH that could support graduate assistants, certain increased funding opportunities, and the “Obama” effect. Finally, threats include probable severe budget cuts in the next 2-4 years and resultant loss of faculty and student support. Focused Conversation The Task Force invited several guests to discuss specific opportunities for increasing enrollment in selected graduate programs. Guests included: Ilene Kleinsorge, Dean, College of Business Larry Rodgers, Dean, College of Liberal Arts David King, Associate Provost, Outreach and Engagement Marie Harvey, Chair, Department of Public Health Ursula Bechert, Director, Off-Campus Programs, College of Science This conversation revealed that there are definite growth opportunities in the areas of Public Health, Business Administration, Liberal Arts and the Professional Sciences Master’s (PSM) program. E-campus offerings could be part of any of these areas as well as international student opportunities. In addition, all of these areas integrate very well with OSU’s 2009 Strategic Plan’s signature areas—Advancing the Science of Sustainable Earth Ecosystems; Improving Human Health and Wellness; and Promoting Economic Growth and Social Progress. The Public Health and Business Administration programs are evident in the second two of the signature areas, and there is already a statewide PSM initiative in place for Renewable Energy. In addition, the Public Health program is currently positioned to be the only offering in the State of Oregon. The Liberal Arts programs and E-campus offerings align with the Strategic Plan’s action commitment to lead in the development of a globally competitive workforce and an informed and capable citizenry. Given the small amount of existing graduate programs in Liberal Arts programs, there is great opportunity for growth, and E-campus offerings can allow OSU to increase all of its offerings in a very cost-effective and nimble manner. 4 Strategies for Achieving 20% Target In 1999, a work group made up of Sherm Bloomer, Bob Bontrager, Sally Francis, Henry Sayre, Rob Specter, and chaired by Sabah Randhawa stated, “The enrollment goals recommended…will only be possible if we can maintain and improve the quality of the educational and campus experience we offer all students. This will require a substantial investment of resources….” The group estimated that an investment of about $7M (biennial) per 1000 additional students would be required to reach its stated enrollment goals, presenting a significant challenge. In today’s financial climate, this challenge is even more pronounced and the strategies more constrained. The Task Force assumes that some capacity to absorb additional graduate student enrollment currently exists. The basis for this assumption derives from a campus wide capacity survey conducted in 2000 by an Issue Group charged to develop graduate enrollment recommendations. The results of the capacity survey indicated that 439 (104 PhD and 335 master’s) additional graduate students could be served given no additional resources. Therefore, the Task Force envisions that the 20% goal could be partially reached without new costs. However, 2-3 years into the plan, incremental costs would accrue as a result of the increase in graduate student enrollment. • Encourage increased funding of graduate students through increased grant activity and the hiring of graduate research assistants instead of faculty research assistants on grant funds. • Increase the number of externally funded graduate fellowships. • Increase the minimum graduate assistant appointment from 0.20 to 0.30 by 2013-14, or as close to 0.49 as possible, in order to attract the highest quality graduate students. • Establish the ability to make multiple-year offers to enhance success in recruiting graduate students. • Increase efforts to improve graduate student retention and completion rates. • Maximize the use of tuition remission budgets to leverage external funds that support graduate students. • Develop incentives to reward programs for increasing graduate enrollments. • Provide centralized assistance and support for enhancing program level recruiting campaigns with focus on web based approaches. • Offer a lower tuition rate at later stages of doctoral work. • Develop more graduate programs that use hybrid delivery mechanisms combining face-to-face and online approaches. 5 Table 1. SWOT Analysis TOPIC STRENGTHS Professional Already have 4 PSM Science Master’s degrees and initiative is Degree (PSM) underway through OUS to establish a statewide PSM initiative as in CA and NY. OSU will play major role. Financial climate OSU is a land grant, research university where graduate education is central to the mission. WEAKNESSES Lack of visibility/marketing of existing PSM degrees at OSU. OPPORTUNITIES $15 million will be available from NSF to support PSM program development. THREATS Reluctance of faculty in sciences to embrace this approach to graduate science education. Short-term stimulus dollars will be available from NSF and NIH that could support graduate students. New GI Bill benefits will support graduate study. Budget cuts. Will the financial crisis impact graduate student stipends? Graduate curriculum OSU offers many graduate programs in fields with high demand (eg, engineering, teaching, etc.). Oregon needs a highly educated workforce; workforce development acts such as the federal “Trade Act” program funding for students. http://www.doleta.gov/trade act/ Research infrastructure OSU has world class research facilities (e.g. Wave Lab) to support graduate study. Proposed increase in sustainable energy due to Federal stimulus Diversity Reputation/ ratings OSU offers top ranked graduate programs in agricultural sciences and conservation biology. There is a lack of diversity within the OSU/Corvallis community. The “Obama Effect” may have positive effect on recruitment of diverse populations. OSU lacks strong reputation outside of region (except in a few areas). Jane Lubchenco’s appointment to NOAA will be a reputation boost. 6 Budget cuts may negatively impact our ability to aggressively recruit under-represented students. Curricular offerings Infrastructure Some OSU graduate programs overlap with offerings at other OUS campuses. The existing structure for web delivery (E-campus) is well developed. Increased opportunities for funding in human sciences research are anticipated. The economic crisis may drive people to graduate study. Economic crisis Student support Public Health OSU offers the only PhD program in Public Health in Oregon; there is a strong Oregon MPH Program. OSU faculty do not consider graduate students ‘cost effective and tend to hire postdocs That OSU has no school/college of public health is a funding and recruitment disadvantage. International Technical infrastructure Administrative functions through Banner are inflexible and not responsive to quick changes. This hinders our ability to move swiftly when opportunities arise. 7 There is a need for a school of public health and additional graduate offerings in Oregon since the only schools are located at UW, California and Arizona. Iraqi government plans to send students to study abroad (10,000 students per year for five years, approximately 30% at graduate level). The budget situation could be an opportunity to begin dialogue about need for adequate technical staffing and infrastructure at OSU. (Banner as an Enterprise Resource Planning [ERP] is not the root of the problem). Budget cuts may cause loss of essential faculty and staff. Currently OSU is in a hiring “freeze.” No funds to support this initiative. Pressure from OHSU and PSU. Graduate programs in social sciences and humanities Graduate programs in business Faculty capacity Not all graduate faculty members are as engaged in graduate education as are others. OSU is limited in offering graduate programs in the social sciences and humanities. Are there fewer tenured professors in business? OSU is not located in an urban setting attractive to MBA students. Our PhD student to graduate faculty ratio is 1:1 compared to our peers that are 1:2+. 8 New programs in social sciences and humanities could be developed. The INTO pathway program could double the number of MBA students. New graduate programs in social sciences and humanities at OSU may not receive OUS approval. UO offers the MBA and the PhD in business. Table 2. Graduate Enrollment Targets TOTAL GRAD UATE ENROL L OSU YEAR 200809 Total Gradua te Full time Internat ional Minority student s 3203 PhD Reside nt Nonresiden t Internat ional Master' s 19768 2250 71% 616 19% 333 10% 1101 34% 332 30% 422 38% 353 32% OSU Ugrad Enroll ment 16565 OUS project ed total Enroll OUS project ed with Prof Deduct ed (estima ted 600) TARGE T Grad as 20% Total OUS Project ion (Less Prof.) TARGE T Grad as 5% increas e on actual use F '2008 base) Project ed % Using 5% of Actual Project ed % Using 5% of Actual (includ ing prof) 16.20% 1569 Reside nt Nonresiden t Internat ional Female OSU % subgroup OSU actual total enroll (w/o prof) Grad as % OF TOTAL ENROL LMENT (witho ut prof) 871 56% 414 26% 226 14% 1596 50% 200910 Total Gradua te 20570 19970 3994 3363 16.84% 16.35% 201011 Total Gradua te 20939 20339 4068 3531 17.36% 16.86% 201112 Total Gradua te 21136 20536 4107 3708 18.06% 17.54% 201213 Total Gradua te 21122 20522 4104 3893 18.97% 18.43% 201314 Total Gradua te 21056 20456 4091 4088 19.98% 19.41% 9 Table 3. Graduate Enrollment Fall 1998-Fall 2008 Total Grad Students Enrolled Graduate DegreeSeeking Total PhD Enrollment Fall 2008 Fall 2007 Fall 2006 Fall 2005 Fall 2004 Fall 2003 Fall 2002 Fall 2001 Fall 2000 Fall 1999 Fall 1998 3,204 3,109 3,016 3,047 3,052 3,077 3,045 2,893 2,805 2,654 2,618 2,670 2,621 2,560 2,609 2,586 2,613 2,592 2,404 2,356 2,351 2,308 1,101 1,110 1,132 1,114 1,061 1,038 960 908 942 928 952 Female 450 450 473 463 436 441 405 381 408 396 393 Male 651 660 659 651 625 597 555 527 534 532 559 *Resident 332 332 336 319 280 237 219 222 220 231 238 *Nonresident 422 431 402 380 367 335 320 346 365 374 329 *International 353 365 372 373 393 381 376 372 337 346 367 Total Masters Enrollment 1,569 1,511 1,428 1,495 1,525 1,575 1,636 1,496 1,414 1,423 1,356 Female 830 797 730 813 795 763 803 745 719 733 683 Male 739 714 698 682 730 812 833 751 695 690 673 *Resident 871 889 885 870 821 827 741 722 754 664 661 *Nonresident 414 381 409 387 399 395 358 336 343 390 423 *International 226 217 218 250 327 396 378 339 308 294 332 Female 1,596 1,547 1,469 1,534 1,484 1,481 1,473 1,441 1,396 1,285 1,226 Male 1,608 1,562 1,547 1,513 1,568 1,596 1,572 1,452 1,409 1,369 1,392 Resident 1,428 1,477 1,449 1,522 1,533 1,451 1,407 1,345 1,285 1,180 1,105 Nonresident 1,160 1,026 966 913 864 797 822 743 761 768 817 International 616 606 601 612 655 829 820 805 759 706 696 29 Total Enrollment by Gender Total Enrollment by Residency Total Enrollment by Ethnicity African American 46 36 44 44 41 46 27 26 23 28 Asian American 125 116 114 129 118 395 95 74 75 75 92 Hispanic 116 87 92 92 86 72 75 60 54 45 43 Native American 34 24 31 34 38 23 23 23 21 13 15 Pacific Islander 12 13 10 8 10 9 10 13 12 9 5 2,255 2,227 2,124 2,128 2,104 1,703 1,990 1,889 1,860 1,776 1,738 White/Declined/Other 10 Table 4. Fall 2007 IPEDS Graduate Enrollment Comparison Data % Intl Grad % Grad White NonHispani c % Grad Minority (see detail) Grad Female % PhD's Granted Masters Granted 9.09% 0.0% 78% 15% 49% 211 965 5,353 27.09% 40.0% 36% 15% 39% 485 1,701 2,600 11.42% 32.0% 52% 8% 40% 296 752 5,672 14.03% 27.0% 58% 13% 56% 493 1,910 Total F/T Enrollment F 2007 Headcount Grad F/T Enrollment Fall 2007 Headcount Colorado State University 21,885 1,989 Cornell University 19,763 Iowa State University 22,762 Michigan State University North Carolina State University at Raleigh 40,435 Institution % F/T that is Grad 24,989 3,954 15.82% 26.0% 60% 13% 45% 411 1,457 Ohio State University-Main Campus Pennsylvania State University-Main Campus 46,075 7,152 15.52% 25.0% 58% 11% 55% 667 2,635 40,906 5,278 12.90% 37.0% 55% 9% 44% 646 1,131 Purdue University-Main Campus 36,059 4,928 13.67% 42.0% 49% 9% 38% 613 1,377 Texas A & M University 41,693 6,693 16.05% 38.0% 47% 14% 41% 598 1,768 University of Arizona 31,056 4,560 14.68% 21.0% 52% 18% 53% 460 1,382 University of California-Davis University of Illinois at UrbanaChampaign 28,281 4,241 15.00% 20.0% 44% 20% 48% 474 882 39,017 7,823 20.05% 35.0% 49% 13% 47% 698 2,582 University of Wisconsin-Madison 36,795 6,921 18.81% 23.0% 67% 11% 50% 775 1,944 OREGON STATE UNIVERSITY 16,334 2,029 12.42% 21.0% 61% 9% 49% 179 621 Averages 31,861 4,942 15.5% 30.0% 54.7% 12.7% 46.7% 500 1,508 11 FALL 2007 IPEDS COMPARISON DATA, including both Full-Time and Part-Time Students, Professional Excluded) Institution % Intl Grad % Grad White NonHispani c % Grad Minority (see detail) Grad Female % PhD's Granted Masters Granted 19.8% 0.0% 78% 15% 49% 211 965 5,375 28.5% 40.0% 36% 15% 39% 485 1,701 4,664 18.2% 32.0% 52% 8% 40% 296 752 8,265 18.6% 27.0% 58% 13% 56% 493 1,910 Total GR & UG* Enrollment F 2007 Headcount Grad * Enrollment Fall 2007 Headcount Colorado State University 27,030 5,359 Cornell University 18,885 Iowa State University 25,668 Michigan State University North Carolina State University at Raleigh 44,337 % Total that is Grad 31,491 7,346 23.3% 26.0% 60% 13% 45% 411 1,457 Ohio State University-Main Campus Pennsylvania State University-Main Campus 49,306 10,097 20.5% 25.0% 58% 11% 55% 667 2,635 43,048 6,233 14.5% 37.0% 55% 9% 44% 646 1,131 Purdue University-Main Campus 39,569 6,959 17.6% 42.0% 49% 9% 38% 613 1,377 Texas A & M University 46,037 8,680 18.9% 38.0% 47% 14% 41% 598 1,768 University of Arizona 35,940 6,870 19.1% 21.0% 52% 18% 53% 460 1,382 University of California-Davis University of Illinois at UrbanaChampaign 28,322 4,844 17.1% 20.0% 44% 20% 48% 474 882 41,316 10,421 25.2% 35.0% 49% 13% 47% 698 2,582 University of Wisconsin-Madison 39,042 8,876 22.7% 23.0% 67% 11% 50% 775 1,944 OREGON STATE UNIVERSITY 19,207 2,983 15.5% 21.0% 61% 9% 49% 179 621 29.8% 55% 13% 47% 500 1508 *Professional Excluded Averages 20.0% 12
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