Master in Political and Social Sciences, UPF Techniques of Statistical Analysis I, fall 2007 Anna Cuxart (office 201E52) [email protected] Subject teaching plan 1. Introduction This subject entitled Techniques of Statistical Analysis (I) is aimed to provide the basic statistical knowledge for the use and the analysis of quantitative data in empirical social science research. Techniques of data analysis, basic inference and simple linear regression1 will be the main topics. The course is problem-based, that is the theory is always presented in the context of a practical problem needing solution. The course therefore connects with the next subject Qualitative Research and also aims to support the “Final Research Paper” as two of the core courses of the Master’s degree. Moreover, through the more practical issues it provides a useful toolbox for doing quantitative research on different compulsory courses. In order to have an applied background required for each professional on social sciences, statistical software will support all the introduced concepts. 2. Prerequisites There is not any specific prerequisite other than those asked for the Master. 3. Competences to be achieved in the subject • General competences (Instrumental, Interpersonal and Systemic) Instrumental Competences Ability to analyse and synthesise Planning and management of time Basic computer competence and ability of using statistical software Information management abilities (ability to search and analyse information coming from a variety of sources) Interpersonal Competences Critical and self-critical ability Team work Ability to work in a interdisciplinary team Ability to communicate with people that are not experts in the subject Systemic Competences Research abilities Ability to work autonomously Ability to generate new ideas (creativity) Design and management of projects • Specific competences 1 Students who need a deeper knowledge in regression techniques (multiple regression, logistic regression,…) should take the further optional course named Techniques of Statistical Analysis (iI). 1 Basic statistical competence involves the following components: 1. 2. 3. 4. data awareness, knowledge of the basics of collecting data and generating descriptive statistics, an understanding of certain basic concepts related to inference, interpretation skills (ability to describe what the results mean in the context of the problem), and 5. communication skills (being able explain the results to someone else). 6. understanding the hypothesis involved in modeling relationship between two or more variables 4. Assessment In the following the most relevant assessment criteria is specified: • The type of assessment will be continued with a compulsory final project on data analysis. Some indications on the general structure of this project will be provided. • Five weeks during the course some homework will have to be delivered. It will be a mixture of conceptual and applied activities. This will be individual job. • The final project could be individual or by couples. The second week of the course working groups will be stablished. • At the end of the course, students will show their achievements in a final exam of two hours length. The exam will include some questions and exercises related to the topics of the course as well as some questions concerning to the developed project. • The weighting/assessment of each action within the overall value of the subject will be: 30% from the delivered homework, 40% from the final project and 30% from the final exam. 5. Contents • Five content blocks or modules 1. Building the foundations: variability of the response. The mean and the standard deviation: interpretation. Standard scores. Distributions and plots. Some topics in a normal distribution. 2. Understanding the key points in a survey technical report. Some topics in Inference. 3. Exploring the association between two variables Quantitative variables: scatter plots, covariance and correlation coefficient. Qualitative variables: tables, profiles and Chi- square coefficient 4. Modelling continuous response with linear regression The simple linear regression model in social science research: equation and assumptions. Interpretation of the coefficients. Goodness of fit. Revision of the hypothesis. Regression coefficients as random variables, properties and hypothesis testing. 2 5. Introduction to multiple regression Regression with continuous and categorical explanatory variables. Building the model. Transformation of variables. Dummy variables. Model specification, goodness of fit, interpretation of the coefficients. 6. Methodology • Methodological focus of the subject Even though this is an applied subject, some techniques may be a little cumbersome for the students. Thus it is required the attendance to the theoretical sessions named large group sessions (see bellow) as well as the seminar sessions or small group sessions. There will also be tutorial sessions for a more personalized questions on the final project or related to conceptual questions. Individual weekly job outside the classroom will be needed to obtain a good knowledge of the introduced techniques and methods. • Organisation of time: sessions, learning activities and estimated time of dedication In this subject will be three types of sessions: Large group sessions, seminar sessions and tutorial sessions. The activities related with each of these sessions are as follows: 1. Large group sessions: These will be sessions for the whole group where the teacher will introduce and explain all the subject’s contents defined in the previous section. These sessions will include definitions, introduction to the most relevant results and methodologies and examples of each issue. These large group sessions will take a total of 12 hours. 2. Seminar sessions: These will be sessions for half (or third) group. These sessions will be used to deepen and to practice with the concepts explained in the theory sessions. Some seminar sessions will take place in the computer’s room. Each student will have a total of 10 hours. 3. Tutorial sessions: Students will conduct a final research project. The last four weeks of the course there will be some extra tutorial sessions in order to attend students’ consults. Some recommendations from the teacher will also be provided in order to improve the quality of the projects if it is needed. 7. Sources of information and didactic resources • Basic bibliography Moore, D.S. 2006. The Basic practice of statistics. 4th ed., New York: W. H. Freeman and Company. Moore, D.S and G. McCabe. 2006. Introduction to the practice of Statistics, 5th edition. New York: W.H.Freeman Chatterjee, S., A.S. Hadi & B. Price 2000. Regression Analysis by Example, 3rd ed., John Wiley. Lewis-Beck, M. 1980. Applied Regression: an introduction. Sage Series on Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences n. 22 3 Lewis-Beck, M.S. Data Analysis: an introduction. SAGE Series on Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences n.103. University Press • Complementary bibliography Moore, D. S. (1997), Statistics: Concepts and Controversies. 4th ed., New York: W. H. Freeman and Company. Any SPSS basic manual (and specific manuals for regression analysis) for versions 10 and higher. 8. The programming of activities See below an overall view of planned activities. A complete view of the activity to be carried out each week of the term will be presented the first day of the class. 4 Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Classroom activity room Large group session Module 1 20031 Seminar session Introduction to SPSS. 40257 Large group session Module 2 20027 Seminar session Assignment 1, discussion 20027 Tutorial session Teams and Projects 201E52 Large group session Module 3 20031 Seminar session Computer’s room session 40257 Tutorial session Teams and Projects 201E52 Large group session Module 4 20027 Seminar session Assignment 2, discussion 20027 Large group session Module 4 20031 Seminar session Computer’s room session 40257 Large group session Module 5 20027 Seminar session Assignment 3, discussion 20027 Large group session Module 5 20031 Seminar session Computer’s room session 40257 Tutorial session Research project 20027 Seminar session Assignment 4, discussion 20027 Tutorial session Research project 20031 Seminar session Computer’s room session 40257 Tutorial session Research project 20027 Seminar session Assignment 5, discussion 20027 5 Activity outside of the classroom Students prepare and deliver Assignment 1 • To consolidate concepts explained in the classroom. • To decide the aim of the project and the database Students prepare and deliver Assignment 2 Students prepare and deliver Assignment 3 Students prepare and deliver Assignment 4 Students prepare and deliver Assignment 5
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