Assessing Natural Gas' New Promises and Controversies: Strategies to Improve the Safety & Environmental Performance of Shale Gas Extraction Sue Tierney – Analysis Group Wisconsin Public Utility Institute University of Wisconsin, Madison – October 3, 2011 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute Overview – Shale Gas: Game Changer or Something Else? Context for my comments What’s going on with shale gas Opportunities and challenges What’s needed October 3, 2011 Page 2 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute Context for my comments: SEAB Shale Gas Production Subcommittee Presidential request to DOE Sec. Chu (Blueprint for Secure Energy Future Charge): Examine steps to improve the safety and env’l performance of shale gas extraction Not regulation, per se Initial report: August 2011 “90-Day Report” October 3, 2011 mid- National Petroleum Council DOE Sec. Chu request to NPC (Sept 2009) Assessment of the size of the oil and natural gas resource base in North America Assessment of the role of natural gas in GHG reductions Report: Sept. 15, 2011 “Prudent Development: Realizing the Potential of N. America’s Natural Gas and Oil Resources” * Note: in the rest of the presentation, a report icon will show if the information is from the SEAB or NPC report. Slides without an icon do not reflect specific information from either report. Page 3 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute Natural Gas: Shale Gas WHAT’S HAPPENING October 3, 2011 Page 4 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute What does shale gas look like? REGIONS October 3, 2011 Page 5 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute What does shale gas look like? PRODUCTION GROWTH Shale plays October 3, 2011 NPC, Prudent Development, 2011 Page 6 Drill site Wisconsin Public Utility Institute Stored water Steel casing and cement Drinking water Borehole What does shale gas look like? TECHNOLOGY Hydraulic fracturing Horizontal drilling October 3, 2011 http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/energy/2010/10/101022-energy-marcellus-shale-gas-rush/ Page 7 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute What does shale gas look like? SURFACE ACTIVITIES Perforation 7000 ft Source: WRI, Adapted from Grandberg October 3, 2011 2010 Note: Simplified process; illustrative use only Shale Page 8 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute What does shale gas look like? SURFACE ACTIVITIES October 3, 2011 Page 9 http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2010/10/photogalleries/101022-energy-shale-gas-drilling-pictures/#/energy-marcellus-shale-environment03-hallowich-dinner_27065_600x450.jpg Wisconsin Public Utility Institute What does shale gas look like? LAND USES http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/energy/2010/10/101022-energy-marcellus-shale-gas-rush/ October 3, 2011 Page 10 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute What does shale gas look like? ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS Phil Nguyen, Regulatory Options and Challenges in Hydraulic Fracturing, WISE, 2010 October 3, 2011 Risks from past practices and events Page 11 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute What does shale gas development look like? PAST, PRESENT WELLS Total: 4.3 Million Wells Wells per 100 square miles 1-50 51-250 251-500 501-1000 Page 12 October 3, 2011 > 1000 NPC Report, Prudent Development, 9-15-2011 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute What does shale gas look like? REGULATION Mineral rights (surface, subsurface) are privately held (except on federal and other public lands) NPC Study, Prudent Development, 2011 October 3, 2011 Page 13 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute What does shale gas look like? PACE OF DEVELOPMENT Permits for drilling in Pennsylvania 2007 - 2010 Source: “In the Shadow of the Marcellus Boom”, 2011. October 3, 2011 Page 14 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute What does shale gas look like? ATTENTION (+ and -) October 3, 2011 Page 15 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute What does shale gas look like? JOBS Penn State – estimate 200,000 new jobs by 2020 Marcellus Shale Coalition: 2010 estimate: $11.2 billion in economic activity $1.1 billion in state and local taxes Keystone Research Center: 2010 10,000 jobs created October 3, 2011 http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2011/08/can-the-fracking-industry-self-regulate/243831/ Page 16 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute SEAB: Environmental urgency: Areas of concern: Water – possible pollution of drinking water (methane, chemicals), water consumption, disposition/management of flow back water Air pollution – GHG (methane), VOCs, ozone precursors Community disruption during shale gas production Preservation of unique and/or sensitive areas Cumulative adverse impacts (traffic, noise, visual, odors, intensity) on communities, ecosystems, wildlife October 3, 2011 Page 17 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute SEAB: Environmental urgency: Perspective: There are serious environmental impacts underlying these concerns These impacts need to be prevented, reduced and, where possible, eliminated as soon as possible. Absent effective control, public opposition will grow, thus putting continued production at risk. October 3, 2011 Page 18 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute Natural Gas: Shale Gas WHAT’S NEEDED October 3, 2011 Page 19 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute Recommendations: 90-Day Report of the SEAB Shale Gas Subcommittee (August 11, 2011) Better information about shale gas production operations more accessible Immediate regulatory actions to reduce env’l and safety risks Creation of a shale gas industry organization R&D to improve safety and env’l performance October 3, 2011 Page 20 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute SEAB Recommendations: Regarding information disclosure No economic or technical reason to prevent public disclosure (except genuinely proprietary information) Base line conditions – pre-drilling Chemical injections Composition of flow back water Disposition of water Air emissions Supported by a portal for access to a wide range of public information October 3, 2011 Page 21 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute SEAB Recommendation: Regarding improved regulation (not who, but what...) Effective and capable regulation adequate regulatory staff at the state and federal level technical expertise to issue, inspect, and enforce regulations fees, royalty payments and severance taxes = sources of funding Benchmarking needed for the efficacy of regulations Useful to disclose company performance and enforcement history Field studies of emissions (water, air). Peer review of state regulatory practices: Better participation in STRONGER (more states & issues, more often) Industry & government should provide continuing annual support for expanded Risk Based Data Management System. October 3, 2011 Page 22 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute SEAB Recommendation: Regarding improved environmental performance Air Impacts: Enlist companies to design/implement data collection (VOCs, methane) Encourage regulators to put in place better air emission control systems using existing technologies Launch federal interagency effort to assess life-cycle of GHGs October 3, 2011 Page 23 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute SEAB Recommendation: Regarding improved environmental performance Water Impacts: Measure/report background water quality, stocks and flows Manifest water transfers through process Adopt best practices for well development/drilling/construction/ completion Casing and cementing Pressure management Inspections Seismic stimulation (vertical depth of fractures) Field studies of methane and water interactions in certain geological basis October 3, 2011 Page 24 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute SEAB Recommendation: Regarding improved environmental performance Diesel fuel No reason to use diesel fuel in fluids Land Use Impacts: Notification of impacts – public process to assess, disclose Preservation of sensitive areas Use of various well-site designs (multi-well pads) October 3, 2011 Page 25 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute SEAB Recommendation: Regarding improved environmental performance Research and development Industrial R&D remains strong But role for government research – especially in areas with public benefit or inability of industry to capture proprietary value of R&D results Examples: Environmental and safety studies and risk assessments – e.g., fracturing and micro-seismicity issues, tools for assessing integrity of cementing/casing, etc. Resource assessments (water supply interactions) Chemical interactions among chemicals Long-term issues (methane hydrates) October 3, 2011 Page 26 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute SEAB Recommendation: Regarding best practices Creation of a shale gas industry production organization : Dedicated to continuous improvement is needed: defined as improvements in techniques and methods that rely on measurement and field experience A national approach: including regional mechanisms Supported by technology peer reviews Reporting on individual companies’ performance A compliment to, not a substitute for, strong regulation and effective enforcement. October 3, 2011 Page 27 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute NPC Finding and Recommendations: Regarding the size of the gas resource base October 3, 2011 Page 28 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute NPC Finding and Recommendations: Regarding best practices October 3, 2011 Page 29 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute NPC Recommendations: October 3, 2011 Page 30 Wisconsin Public Utility Institute Sue Tierney Managing Principal Analysis Group 111 Huntington Avenue, 10th Floor Boston, MA 20199 [email protected] 617-425-8114 October 3, 2011 Page 31
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