EEI Electric Rate Advanced Course Wisconsin Public Utility Institute Demand Rate Design Methodology Larry Vogt Manager, Rates Session Objective To describe a process for selecting an appropriate demand rate structure and its component prices for a commercial/industrial type of rate class, on the basis of embedded costs. This process is an extension of the embedded cost allocation process: it bridges the gap between the cost-of-service study and rate design. 2 1 Demand Rates Example Rate Monthly Rate at Primary Customer Charge @ $550.00/Mo. Demand Charge @ $5.75/kW Energy Charges: First 200 kWh per kW Next 200 kWh per kW Next 200 kWh per kW Over 600 kWh per kW @ @ @ @ 1.750 ¢/kWh 1.399 ¢/kWh 0.981 ¢/kWh 0.505 ¢/kWh The monthly billing demand shall be the kW occurring during the 15 minute period of maximum use, but not less than 85% of the actual demand occurring in the previous 11 months, nor less than 50% of the contract capacity, and in no case less than 1,000 kW. Delivery Voltage Adjustments: An additional charge of 45¢/kW for secondary service. A credit of $0.95/kW for transmission service. Reactive Power Adjustments: An excess kVAR charge of $1.25/kVAR shall apply in any month in which the power factor is less than 90%. Demand-based rates typically apply to rate classes having far fewer customers than classes with nondemand rates, e.g., industrial. Individual bill calculations are typically more complex because of such billing provisions as: » » » » Billing demand ratchets Rate and contract demand minimums Power factor adjustment clauses Service voltage adjustments Rate design is more accurate if rate modifications are tested on a bill-bybill basis, as if to emulate monthly billing, as part of the rate design process. 3 Hopkinson vs. Wright The Heavyweight Match of the Century $14.91/kW 0.220¢/kWh 1st 100 kWh/kW @ 7.50¢/kWh Next 150 kWh/kW @ 3.77¢/kWh Over 250 kWh/kW @ 1.50¢/kWh 4 2 Session Topics Demand rate cost curve development methodology. Fundamental principles and methods of demand rate design. Demand rate provisions for assuring cost recovery. 5 Cost Curves: An Extension of the Cost of Service Study 3 Cost Curve Studies The embedded cost-of-service study allocates customer, demand, and energy cost components to customer or rate classes. A cost curve study is an extension of this cost allocation process: it bridges the gap between the cost-of-service study and rate design, i.e., rate structuring and pricing. The key focus of the cost curve study is the allocation of the demand-related cost components across the range of usage. We will assume that fuel is collected outside of the base rate structure, and we will set the customer-related costs aside until the end. 7 Cost Analysis Steps COINCIDENCE FACTOR VS. LOAD FACTOR ANALYSIS HOURS USE OF DEMAND BILL FREQUENCY ANALYSIS UNIT COST COMPONENT ANALYSIS DEMAND COMPONENT ALLOCATION FUNCTIONAL REVENUE REQUIREMENTS ANALYSIS 8 4 CF vs. LF Relationship: The Bary Curve Average NCP CFs Plot of Coincidence Factors for Customer Load Factor Groups 100 90 80 70 % CF 60 50 40 30 CF = A × LF3 + B × LF2 + C × LF + D 20 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 % LF 100 9 Load Factor The ratio of a customer’s average demand to the customer’s maximum demand: LF E T dmax WHERE: LF = Load factor (%) E = A customer’s monthly energy in kWh T = The number of hours in the month dmax = The customer’s monthly maximum demand in kW Note: Hours Use of Demand (kWh/kW) = E ÷ dmax 10 5 Coincidence Factor Conventional Definition The ratio of the maximum demand of a group of loads as a whole to the sum of the maximum demands of the individual loads within the group: CF DMAX d max WHERE: CF = Coincidence factor (%) DMAX = Maximum demand of the group of customers in kW dmax = d1, d2 , ... dN = The sum of N customer maximum demands in kW Note: The coincidence factor is the reciprocal of the diversity factor. 11 CF vs. LF Relationship Low Load Factor Customers 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Low Coincidence of Load 21 High Load Factor Customers 22 23 24 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 High Coincidence of Load 12 6 Coincidence of Load Throughout the System Coincidence Factor 100% Load Factor 1.0 Low Load Factor Numbers of Customers 13 Relationship of the CF to the Cost-of-Service Study Since the Bary Curve is based on the coincidence factors of different groups (i.e., subsets of the total commercial and industrial customer base that have been differentiated by load factor); and Since the maximum demand (DMAX) of any group can occur at any time; Then DMAX is similar to a non-coincident demand of a cost-of-service study customer or rate class. So let us refer to this coincidence factor as the “CFNCP:” CFNCP DMAX DMAX d max Group Load Often primary distribution and sometimes distribution substations are allocated to customer or rate classes using a class NCP allocation factor. 14 7 Bary Curve Analysis Developing the Demand Cost Allocation Model Average NCP CFs 100 90 80 70 % CF 60 50 40 30 20 10 CF = A × LF3 + B × LF2 + C × LF + D 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 % LF 15 A More Diverse Bary Curve An NCP type of allocation factor is generally not a good fit for the production and transmission levels of the system as it does not represent very well the high degree of load diversity that exists at those levels. So let us define a different coincidence factor that is more representative of upper system load diversity that we will refer to as the “CFCP:” CFCP D SYS d max DSYS Group Load “DSYS ” is a load factor group’s demand at the hour of system peak. Note that CFCP ≤ CFNCP at the same load factor. We can now plot another Bary Curve based on the CFCP data points. 16 8 Calibrated Bary Curves CP Basis vs. NCP Basis 100% 90% 80% 70% % CF 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 CP-CF NCP-CF MAX kWh/kW 17 Hours Use of Demand 20 kW 15 Hours use of demand (HUD) is another way of expressing load factor: MAX kW 10 5 0 6 12 18 HOURS 24 20 15 HUD = kWh kWMAX LF = HUD Hr 10 5 0 6 12 20 15 18 24 HUD is expressed as kWh per kW 20 kW Maximum Demand Used For 12 Out of 24 Hours 10 5 0 6 12 18 24 18 9 Cost Analysis Steps COINCIDENCE FACTOR VS. LOAD FACTOR ANALYSIS HOURS USE OF DEMAND BILL FREQUENCY ANALYSIS DEMAND COMPONENT ALLOCATION UNIT COST COMPONENT ANALYSIS FUNCTIONAL REVENUE REQUIREMENTS ANALYSIS 19 Hours Use of Demand Bill Frequency kW 35,000 Customer Actual Maximum Demands Large C&I Rate 133 Bills 30,000 105,522 MWh d 25,000 max 238,558 kW 442 kWh/kW 20,000 60.5% Load Factor 15,000 10,000 5,000 kWh/kW 72 0 69 0 66 0 63 0 60 0 57 0 54 0 51 0 48 0 45 0 42 0 39 0 36 0 33 0 30 0 27 0 24 0 21 0 18 0 15 0 90 12 0 60 0 30 100% Load Factor 20 10 Diversified Demands by HUD kW kW Customer Actual Maximum Demands 35,000 Customer Diversified Maximum Demands 35,000 MAX kW 30,000 30,000 25,000 25,000 20,000 20,000 NCP kW CP kW 15,000 238,558 kW kWh PER kW 72 0 69 0 66 0 63 0 60 0 57 0 54 0 51 0 48 0 45 0 42 0 39 0 36 0 33 0 30 0 27 0 24 0 21 0 18 0 90 0 72 0 69 0 66 0 63 0 60 0 57 0 54 0 51 0 48 0 45 0 42 0 39 0 36 0 33 0 30 0 27 0 24 0 21 0 18 0 90 15 0 12 0 0 60 5,000 30 5,000 15 0 10,000 12 0 max 60 d 10,000 30 15,000 kWh PER kW 100% 90% MAX kW = 80% 238,558 70% CFNCP 60% Results of Bary Curve Applications: NCP kW = 207,638 CP kW = 180,104 50% 40% CFCP 30% 20% 10% 0% 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 CP-CF 350 400 NCP-CF 450 500 550 600 650 21 700 MAX Cost Analysis Steps COINCIDENCE FACTOR VS. LOAD FACTOR ANALYSIS HOURS USE OF DEMAND BILL FREQUENCY ANALYSIS UNIT COST COMPONENT ANALYSIS DEMAND COMPONENT ALLOCATION FUNCTIONAL REVENUE REQUIREMENTS ANALYSIS 22 11 Functional Revenue Requirements For an Example C&I Rate Class Cost Revenue Cost-of-Service Component Requirements Allocation Basis $105,888 BILLS CUSTOMER DEMAND: PRODUCTION TRANSMISSION P&T TOTAL $1,637,638 12-CP kW 478,584 12-CP kW $2,116,222 DISTRIBUTION 1,135,780 NCP kW 305,354 MAX kW TRANSFORMERS TOTAL DEMAND $3,557,356 ENERGY: VARIABLE O&M FUEL TOTAL ENERGY $232,148 MWh 2,616,942 MWh $2,849,090 TOTAL $6,512,334 23 Cost Analysis Steps COINCIDENCE FACTOR VS. LOAD FACTOR ANALYSIS HOURS USE OF DEMAND BILL FREQUENCY ANALYSIS UNIT COST COMPONENT ANALYSIS DEMAND COMPONENT ALLOCATION FUNCTIONAL REVENUE REQUIREMENTS ANALYSIS 24 12 Unit Cost Development For an Example C&I Rate Class Cost Revenue Rate Class Billing Unit Component Requirements Determinants Costs CUSTOMER $105,888 DEMAND: PRODUCTION TRANSMISSION P&T TOTAL DISTRIBUTION 133 BILLS $1,637,638 180,104 kW (CP) 478,584 180,104 kW (CP) $2,116,222 180,104 kW (CP) $796.15 $9.093 $2.657 $11.75 1,135,780 207,638 kW (NCP) 305,354 238,558 kW (MAX) $5.47 $1.28 $3,557,356 238,558 kW (MAX) $14.912* TRANSFORMERS TOTAL DEMAND * NON-DIVERSIFIED ENERGY: VARIABLE O&M FUEL TOTAL ENERGY $232,148 105,522 MWh 0.220¢/kWh 2,616,942 105,522 MWh 2.480¢/kWh $2,849,090 TOTAL $6,512,334 25 Cost Analysis Steps COINCIDENCE FACTOR VS. LOAD FACTOR ANALYSIS HOURS USE OF DEMAND BILL FREQUENCY ANALYSIS UNIT COST COMPONENT ANALYSIS DEMAND COMPONENT ALLOCATION FUNCTIONAL REVENUE REQUIREMENTS ANALYSIS 26 13 Demand Cost Allocation HUD CF-CP $/CP-kW CF-NCP $/NCP-kW $/MAX-kW $/kW 0 0.0000 $0.00 0.0000 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 20 0.0442 0.52 0.1669 0.91 1.28 2.71 50 0.1193 1.40 0.3596 1.97 1.28 4.65 100 0.2571 3.02 0.5592 3.06 1.28 7.36 200 0.5061 5.95 0.7264 3.97 1.28 11.20 300 0.6603 7.76 0.8177 4.47 1.28 13.51 400 0.7482 8.79 0.8694 4.76 1.28 14.83 500 0.8042 9.45 0.9007 4.93 1.28 15.66 600 0.8629 10.14 0.9309 5.09 1.28 16.51 700 0.9588 11.27 0.9791 5.36 1.28 17.91 730 1.0000 $11.75 1.0000 $5.47 $1.28 $18.50 27 Allocated Total Demand Cost As a Function of the Hours Use of Demand $/kW $18.00 $16.50 $15.00 $13.50 $12.00 $10.50 $9.00 $7.50 $6.00 $4.50 $3.00 $1.50 $0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 kWh/kW 28 14 Conversion of $/kW to ¢/kWh Development of a Diversified Cost Structure $/kW $18.00 $16.50 $15.00 $13.50 $12.00 $10.50 $9.00 $7.50 $6.00 EXAMPLE FOR 50 TO 100 kWh/kW RANGE: $4.50 $7.36 $4.65 100 5.420¢/kWh 100 50 $3.00 $1.50 $0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 kWh/kW 29 Equivalent Cost Structures Diversified vs. Non-diversified kWh/kW DEMAND $/kW ¢/kWh ENERGY* ¢/kWh TOTAL ¢/kWh 0 $0.00 0.000 0.000 0.000 20 2.71 13.550 0.220 13.770 50 4.65 6.467 0.220 6.687 100 7.36 5.420 0.220 5.640 200 11.20 3.840 0.220 4.060 300 13.51 2.310 0.220 2.530 400 14.83 1.320 0.220 1.540 500 15.66 0.830 0.220 1.050 NON-DIVERSIFIED 600 16.51 0.850 0.220 1.070 COST STRUCTURE 700 17.90 1.400 0.220 1.620 $14.912/kW 730 $18.50 1.967 0.220 2.187 * VO&M CUSTOMER $796.15/MO 0.220¢/kWh CUSTOMER $796.15/MO 30 15 Equivalent Cost Structures Diversified vs. Non-diversified LOAD FACTOR 10% ¢/kWh 25% ∞ 50% 75% 100% ∞ 28 CURVES ARE PLOTTED WITHOUT THE CUSTOMER COMPONENT 26 24 22 20 NON-DIVERSIFIED $14.912/kW 0.220¢/kWh 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 HUD DIVERSIFIED COST STRUCTURE 4 2 20 30 40 50 100 150 200 250 400 600 730 kWh/kW 31 Fundamental Principles of Demand Rate Design 16 Equivalent Cost Structures Applied Rate Tilt LOAD FACTOR 10% ¢/kWh 25% ∞ 50% 75% 100% ∞ 28 CURVES ARE PLOTTED WITHOUT THE CUSTOMER COMPONENT 26 24 22 20 Tilted Hopkinson $7.038/kW 2.00¢/kWh 18 16 NON-DIVERSIFIED $14.912/kW 0.220¢/kWh 14 12 10 8 6 HUD DIVERSIFIED COST STRUCTURE 4 2 20 30 40 50 100 150 200 250 400 600 730 kWh/kW 33 Application of Rate Tilt The non-diversified structures yielded by the cost-of-service study for all customer or rate classes will have high unit demand costs ($/kW). In other words, the energy unit costs contain no demand cost elements. Consider applying the non-diversified cost structure to both of these customers: $14.92/kW 0.220¢/kWh kW kW 100 kW Customer A 3.591¢/kWh (100% tilted) Customer B 34 17 Equivalent Cost Structures An Alternative HUD Rate LOAD FACTOR 10% ¢/kWh 25% ∞ 50% 75% 100% ∞ 28 CURVES ARE PLOTTED WITHOUT THE CUSTOMER COMPONENT 26 24 22 20 NON-DIVERSIFIED $14.912/kW 0.220¢/kWh Tilted Hopkinson $7.038/kW 2.00¢/kWh 18 16 Wright Hours Use of Demand FIRST 100 kWh/kW @ 7.50¢/kWh NEXT 150 kWh/kW @ 3.77¢/kWh OVER 250 kWh/kW @ 1.50¢/kWh 14 12 10 8 6 HUD DIVERSIFIED COST STRUCTURE 4 2 20 30 40 50 100 150 200 250 400 600 730 kWh/kW 35 Hopkinson vs. Wright The Bout Begins 1st 100 kWh/kW @ 7.50¢/kWh Next 150 kWh/kW @ 3.77¢/kWh Over 250 kWh/kW @ 1.50¢/kWh $14.91/kW 0.220¢/kWh 36 18 Hopkinson vs. Wright A Mathematical Comparison A mathematical analysis of the Hopkinson and Wright rate forms yields an additional perspective of how these structures operate. Hopkinson Wright $14.91/kW 1st 100 kWh/kW @ 7.50¢/kWh 0.220¢/kWh Next 150 kWh/kW @ 3.77¢/kWh Over 250 kWh/kW @ 1.50¢/kWh Note that the Customer cost component of $796.15 will be included but fuel cost will be excluded from this analysis. 37 Rate Formulization Hopkinson Rate Since a rate is applied to determinants to calculate a bill, it can be expressed as an equation (or a series of equations) using e as the variable representing monthly kWh usage and d as the variable representing the monthly maximum demand. Fixed charges, such as the Customer Charge, are represented by a constant. The example Hopkinson rate is thus expressed simply as: Bill = 14.91d + 0.00220e + 796.15 38 19 Rate Structure Graph Hopkinson Rate kWh 100,000 Monthly Rate 90,000 730 kWh/kW or 100% Load Factor $796.15/Bill $14.91/kW 0.220¢/kWh 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 14.91d + 0.00220e + 796.15 20,000 10,000 0 0 25 50 75 100 125 kW 39 Rate Structure Graph Wright Rate kWh 100,000 Monthly Rate 90,000 $796.15/Bill 80,000 First 100 kWh/kW @ 7.50¢/kWh 70,000 Next 150 kWh/kW @ 3.77¢/kWh Over 250 kWh/kW @ 1.50¢/kWh 60,000 1.50¢/kWh 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 3.77¢/kWh 10,000 7.50¢/kWh 0 0 25 50 kW 75 100 125 40 20 Rate Formulization Wright Rate Formulization of the example Wright rate is more involved: From 0 to 100 kWh/kW Bill = 0.0750e + 796.15 From 100 to 250 kWh/kW Bill = [(e – 100d) × 0.0377] + [100d × 0.0750] + 796.15 Bill = 3.73d + 0.0377e + 796.15 41 Rate Formulization Wright Rate Over 250 kWh/kW Bill = [(e – 250d) × 0.0150] + [150d × 0.0377] [100d × 0.0750] + 796.15 Bill = 9.405d + 0.0150e + 796.15 42 21 Rate Structure Graph Wright Rate kWh 100,000 Monthly Rate 90,000 $796.15 First 100 kWh/kW @ 7.50¢/kWh 80,000 Next 150 kWh/kW @ 3.77¢/kWh 70,000 Over 250 kWh/kW @ 1.50¢/kWh 60,000 50,000 9.405d + 0.0150e + 796.15 40,000 30,000 20,000 3.73d + 0.0377e + 796.15 10,000 0.0750e + 796.15 0 0 25 50 kW 75 100 125 43 Hopkinson vs. Wright Decision $14.91/kW 0.220¢/kWh 1st 100 kWh/kW @ 7.50¢/kWh Next 150 kWh/kW @ 3.77¢/kWh Over 250 kWh/kW @ 1.50¢/kWh 44 22 Rate Structure Selection Distributions of Monthly Customer Demands Scatter Plots of kW Demand vs. kWh/kW for Different Rate Classes 18,000 14,000 16,000 12,000 14,000 10,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 8,000 6,000 6,000 4,000 4,000 2,000 2,000 0 0 0 73 146 219 292 365 438 511 584 657 730 This type of dispersion supports a tilted Hopkinson rate structure. 0 73 146 219 292 365 438 511 584 657 730 This type of dispersion supports a Wright rate structure. 45 Demand Rates: Assuring Cost Recovery 23 Determination of Billing Demand The monthly billing demand is often determined by computing and selecting the greatest of: The current month metered demand, A percentage of prior month metered demands, A percentage of the contract capacity, and The rate schedule minimum demand. 47 Impacts of Billing Demand Determination on the Demand Charge Example: LGS Rate Class Demand Component Revenue Requirement = $8,381,900 Billing kW 838,190 Demand Charge $10.00 per kW + 8,939 Ratchet kW 847,129 $9.89 per kW + 17,115 Contract kW 864,244 $9.70 per kW + 3,184 Minimum kW 867,244 $9.67 per kW Actual metered kW only 48 24 Power Component Relationships The three power components are vectors and thus can not be added algebraically. kVA kW 2 kVAR 2 kVA = 1,250 kVAR = 750 = 36.87° Power Factor = kW ÷ kVA Power Factor = 0.8 or 80% kW = 1,000 SINE = kVAR kVA COSINE = kW kVA TANGENT = kVAR kW 49 Cost Impacts of Power Factor CUSTOMER A: 2,185 kW @ 95% PF 2,300 kVA CUSTOMER B: 2,185 kW @ 78% PF 2,800 kVA 480Y/277 V 480Y/277 V 1 × 2,500 kVA 2 × 1,500 kVA 12.47Y/7.2 kV $54,258 TRANSFORMER COSTS $74,152 ∆ = $19,894 50 25 Present Rate Comparison Analysis Based on 95% Power Factor Rate MGS Customer Charge @ $1.00/Day ($30.42/Mo.) Demand Charge @ $1.20/kW Energy Charges: First 200 kWh per kW First 31,000 kWh Over 31,000 kWh Next 200 kWh per kW Over 400 kWh per kW @ @ @ @ kWh 5.901¢/kWh 4.031 ¢/kWh 1.828 ¢/kWh 0.602 ¢/kWh LGS Lower Minimum Demand = 5 kW Rate LGS Customer Charge @ $700.00/Mo. Demand Charge @ Energy Charges: First 200 kWh per kVA Next 200 kWh per kVA Over 400 kWh per kVA @ @ @ MGS Lower $5.70/kVA 1.718 ¢/kWh 1.395 ¢/kWh 0.598 ¢/kWh kW Minimum Demand = 500 kVA 51 Scenario 1: Increase Rate MGS, While Holding Rate LGS Constant LGS Lower MGS Lower LGS Lower MGS Lower Possible migrations from MGS to LGS. 52 26 Scenario 2: Increase Rate LGS, While Holding Rate MGS Constant MGS Lower MGS Lower Possible migrations from LGS to MGS. 53 Rate Profitability View Price vs. Cost Differential Chart kW 54 27 Summary of Key Points • Coincidence of load, and its relationship with load factor, is a major cost-causation driver. • A cost curve serves as a means for development of a rate structure and its unit prices, since it yields the average cost per kWh across the whole range of usage. • Rate schedule provisions, including various methods to determine monthly billing demand and power factor, help mitigate the risks associated with cost recovery. 55 28
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