Anand Nandkumar F 203, Faculty housing, Indian School of Business Gachibowli, Hyderabad 500 032 India +91-40-23187205 AC2 level 1, Room # 8126 Indian School of Business Gachibowli Hyderabad 500 032 India +91-40-23187163; Fax:+91-40-23187032 [email protected] ACADEMIC POSITIONS Indian School of Business Assistant Professor of Strategy, Fall 2008-present. EDUCATION Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA Ph.D. in Public Policy and Management, July 2008 Dissertation title: “Securing their future? The role of Markets for technology, organization capabilities and opportunity costs on business model and performance in the Information security market” Thesis committee: Professors Ashish Arora, Steven Klepper and Dr. Rahul Telang Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA Masters in Information Systems, Management May 1998 Institute of Chartered Accountants of India, India Certified Public Accountant, June1995 University of Madras, Chennai, India, Bachelor of Commerce, May 1991 RESEARCH INTERESTS • Entrepreneurial strategy • Markets for Technology, Intellectual property and innovation • Competition in IT and pharmaceutical markets • Economics of Information Security PUBLICATIONS • "Competition and quality restoration: An empirical analysis of vendor’s response to software vulnerabilities" with Ashish Arora and Rahul Telang Information Economics and Policy, 22(2):164-77 • “Does information security attack frequency increase with vulnerability disclosure? An empirical analysis” with Ashish Arora and Rahul Telang , Information Systems Frontier(2006) 8:350-362 • “Insecure advantage? Markets for Technology and the Value of Resources: Evidence from the Information Security Market” with Ashish Arora (accepted, Strategic Management Journal) • "Cash-out or flame-out! Opportunity cost and entrepreneurial strategy: Theory, and evidence from the information security industry” with Ashish Arora (accepted, Management Science) • WORKING PAPERS Entrepreneurship Startup entry strategies and opportunity costs: A group based trajectory modeling approach” (in progress) Page 1 of 5 A preponderance of papers in the strategy and economics literature that study the consequence of opportunity costs of entrepreneurship deal with the influence of opportunity costs on selection into entrepreneurship. However, to our knowledge, not many scholars have studied how opportunity costs of entrepreneurship influences entry strategies that entrepreneurs choose at the time of entry. We develop a model in which, an entrepreneur at the time of entry has to choose between two business models, one which exhibits long tailed returns and the other than exhibits more stable returns albeit with a significantly lower upside. We show that entrepreneurs with higher opportunity costs are more likely to choose more risky business model, which not only has a higher chance of success but also a higher chance of failure. We also empirically test this hypothesis using a very recent statistical approach called as the group based trajectory modeling approach. "Venture capital and financing of new industries" with Thomas Hellmann and Marco Da Rin (in progress) One can identify two leading hypotheses concerning the role of venture capital across the industry life cycle. One theory is that venture capitalists use their expertise to identify an industry in its nascent state. They invest aggressively in the very early stages of the industry cycle, but withdraw as the industry matures, gains broader recognition, becomes more competitive. The alternative view is based on the work of Scharfstein and Stein (1990) concerning herd behavior. This theory emphasizes that venture capitalists are investing money on behalf of institutional investors, and therefore worry about being able to justify their investment choices, a pattern found to be present in the mutual fund industry (Chevalier and Ellison, 1997). Given the risky nature of venture capital investing, they therefore focus on those industries that have already proved their viability, and avoid new, untested industries where investments may be harder to justify. The goal of this project is to empirically identify the role VCs play in financing innovation over an industry life cycle Innovation: "Absorptive Capacity, Firm Capabilities & Destination in Learning by Exporting: New Evidence from Indian Pharmaceutical Producers, 1994-2007" (Working paper, most recent version January 2011) This paper offers new insights on learning by exporting in emerging economy firms based on a novel dataset of Indian pharmaceutical producers between 1994 and 2007. We find that, exporting per se, results in enhanced firm level technical efficiency as measured through reduced costs. Exporting also betters firm-level ability to launch new products in domestic markets. These broad gains in addition to improved R&D efficiency are manifested especially when firms export to US rather than to non-US destinations. Finally, among exporting firms, ones with a higher level of absorptive capacity and firm-capability ( in manufacturing or in marketing) were the ones who gained most from exporting activity than others. (This paper has been nominated for the best paper proceedings in the Association of International Business annual conference at Rio, 2010 and won the best paper in the emerging markets category at AIB conference, 2010) "Patently different? How does the strength of patents influence globalization of R&D? Empirical evidence from Indian patent reforms" ( with Kannan Srikanth; Working paper, most recent version, January, 2011) The literature has shown that intellectual property protection is critical incentive for firms to conduct R&D in a foreign country. A tighter IP regime enables firms increases appropriability and hence should increase multinational R&D activity at that location. By implication one would expect multinational R&D activity to be non-existent in a country that has weak IP regime. Contrary to this popular belief there has been a fair amount of R&D activity even in a weak IP regime like India even prior to the enactment of the new patent law which essentially tightened patent protection in India. The question thus not whether or not there is R&D activity in a weak IP regime but rather which kinds of R&D activity happens in a weak IP regime versus a strong IP regime. In order to address this question we look a how the recently enacted patent law influenced the division of innovative labor within an organization. Looking for "within firm" effects provides Page 2 of 5 with a lot of advantages. Most importantly, it enables us to avoid the typical pitfalls that typically arise in cross sectional or even cross country regressions. Using a dataset comprising of US patents filed by US companies that have an R&D facility in India and a hand-collected Indian IP litigation data, we empirically explore how a weak versus a tight IP regime influences the division of innovative labor within an organization. “Optimal exclusivity period for PIV challenges” with Ram Bala (in progress) The Hatch Waxman act, 1984 is an attempt to balance the two diverse public policy objectives -- to maintain the incentives for large pharmaceutical companies to conduct high risk R&D. on one hand and lower prices and greater access to medicines on the other. The act, permits potential generic manufacturers to litigate an existing patent even before expiry (referred to as a para 4 litigation). One of the incentives to the generic entrant to litigate is the 180 day blanket exclusivity that the FDA grants to a successful litigant. In this paper we show that the blanket exclusivity period may be sub-optimal and may not enhance social welfare in all cases. We also theoretically determine the optimal exclusivity period that maximizes social welfare. Is external R&D really a silver bullet? with Kannan Srikanth (in progress) Scholars point out that the era of industrial R&D in the US is long gone. One of the many reasons that is often quoted is that in many industries there exists a thriving markets for technology (external R&D) which is essentially a substitute for firms to have their own internal R&D organizations. That said, it is plausible that the commercialization success of internal R&D versus external R&D may vary -- inventions typically require complimentary technology for commercial success but developing complimentary technologies may require a deep understanding of the underlying science itself. Using a dataset comprising of alliances and internal R&D projects of top 10 research intensive global pharmaceutical firms, controlling for selection effects, this work examines if the success rates of internal and external R&D vary. In addition this work also explores whether certain types of firms are systematically better at commercializing external R&D than others and whether experience in "related science" is important to successfully commercialize external R&D. Under what conditions does weakening patent reforms increase social welfare? (in progress) An optimal IP protection policy is one that provides enough incentives to innovation but yet limited monopoly power to innovating firms. However a weak patent regime need not necessarily increase social welfare (through increased product market competition). Innovating firms or incumbents have multiple strategies to thwart competition. They can collude with the entrant and delay entry (reverse settlement) or can make their products virtually inimitable. Or, they can increase entry barriers by essentially introducing a low cost variant by themselves. Also whether or not weakening patent regime increases competition depends on the capabilities of the potential entrants. Using a unique dataset comprising of generic pharmaceutical entrants that entered 330 US pharmaceutical markets between 2001 and 2010, this work empirically examines the conditions under which weakening patent regimes can increase social welfare. Other How do recessions affect managerial labor markets? with Tarun Jain (in progress) We explore how recessions affects the nature of the managerial labor market. The recent recession has differential effects on different sectors and using this our goal is to show that these differential shocks impacted the nature of managerial labor that was supplied in the managerial labor market. Using a novel dataset of ISB graduates we show that for a given individual ability level the recession affected the nature of specialization of MBA students that graduated in the recession years relative to those in the non-recession years. Page 3 of 5 Time compression diseconomies and learning by doing with Samuel Kleiner and Kannan Srikanth (in progress) The literature on learning curves conclude that marginal cost of following the new technology decreases with cumulative output. However, the same literature also provides evidence of the learning curve the different industries and different firms have different learning curves. Some firms have a steeper fall in their cost curves with cumulative output than other firms. The idea behind this proposed work is to push the boundaries of this work to try and understand the different learning curve rates. Using a novel dataset of board certified laparoscopy surgeons in New York state, we study how time compression diseconomies affects learning by doing. CONFERENCE AND SEMINAR PAPERS PRESENTED: • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Academy of Management annual conference, Montreal, August 2010, "Absorptive Capacity, Firm Capabilities & Destination in Learning by Exporting: New Evidence from Indian Pharmaceutical Producers, 1994-2007" Association of International Business annual conference, Rio De Janerio, June 2010, "Absorptive Capacity, Firm Capabilities & Destination in Learning by Exporting: New Evidence from Indian Pharmaceutical Producers, 1994-2007" National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), Boston, March 2010, “Cash-out or flame-out! Opportunity cost and entrepreneurial strategy: Theory, and evidence from the information security industry” (presented by Ashish Arora) Roundtable on Engineering and entrepreneurship research (REER) Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, November 2009, “Cash-out or flame-out! Opportunity cost and entrepreneurial strategy: Theory, and evidence from the information security industry” (presented by Ashish Arora) Duke University, October 2009, Cash-out or flame-out: How does entrepreneurial opportunity cost influence entrepreneurial strategy? Empirical evidence from the information security industry (presented by Ashish Arora) University of Michigan, September 2009, Cash-out or flame-out: How does entrepreneurial opportunity cost influence entrepreneurial strategy? Empirical evidence from the information security industry (presented by Ashish Arora) Economics of Innovation and Entrepreneurship Conference Queens University, Canada, June, 2009, Cash-out or flame-out: How does entrepreneurial opportunity cost influence entrepreneurial strategy? Empirical evidence from the information security industry (presented by Ashish Arora) DRUID Summer conference, Copenhagen, Denmark, June 2009, "Insecure advantage? Markets for Technology and the Value of Resources: Evidence from the Information Security Market" Roundtable on Engineering and entrepreneurship research (REER) Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, 2008 “Securing Their Future? Markets for Technology and Survival in the Information Security Industry” Duke University, November, 2007, “Markets for technology, entry and survival: Evidence from the Information Security Market” (presented by Ashish Arora) Emory University September, 2008 “Markets for Technology and Survival in the Information Security Industry” (presented by Ashish Arora) UCLA, September 2008, “Markets for Technology and Survival in the Information Security Industry” (presented by Ashish Arora) NBER conference on Entrepreneurship, strategy and structure, Jackson, September 2007 “Securing their future? Entry and Survival in the Information Security Industry” CCC doctoral consortium, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, April, 2007 Understanding the sources of entry and performance: Evidence from Information Security market. NBER's Entrepreneurship and the Innovation Policy and the Economy pre-conference, Chicago, January, 2007. “Understanding the Determinants of Spawning and Diversification: Empirical Evidence from the Information Security Industry.” Page 4 of 5 • • • • • • Workshop in Information Systems and Economics, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University December, 2006 “Competition and quality restoration: Empirical analysis of vendor’s response to common vulnerabilities.” Conference on Economics of Information and Communication Technologies, ZEW , Mannheim, Germany, July 2006. “Competition and quality restoration: Empirical analysis of vendor’s response to common vulnerabilities.” Fifth Workshop on the Economics of Information Security, University of Cambridge, UK, May 2006. “Competitive and Strategic Effects in the Timing of Patch Release.” International industrial organization conference, Boston, MA, April 2006. “Competition and quality restoration: Empirical analysis of vendor’s response to common vulnerabilities.” Second Workshop on Economics of Information Security, University of Minnesota, May 2004. “Impact of Vulnerability Disclosure and Patch Availability - An Empirical Analysis.” NYU/CeDER Summer Workshop on the Economics of Information Technology, New York University, June 2006. “Measuring disclosure threat in information security markets.” AWARDS & HONORS • • • • • Best paper, emerging markets track, AIB, Rio De Janerio, June 2010 W.W. Cooper award for best dissertation in Management Science, June 2009 CCC Doctoral Colloquium fellow, April 2007. W.W.Cooper Departmental Fellowship (partial tuition remission), Carnegie Mellon University, 199798. CyLab Grant to support research on “Measuring user willingness to pay for software quality”, 2005 – 2006. with Ashish Arora and Rahul Telang (CyLab is a university-wide and multidisciplinary initiative that is affiliated with the CERT Coordination Center (CERT/CC), a leading internationally recognized center of Internet security expertise and the US-CERT, a partnership between the Department of Homeland Security’s National Cyber Security Division (NCSD) and the private sector to protect our national information infrastructure.) TEACHING EXPERIENCE • • • SCIS, Strategic challenges for Innovation based startups, Indian School of Business, 2009-10, 2010-11 SIMT 098, Strategic Innovation Management, Indian School of Business, 2008-09, 2009-10, 2010-11 90710 Applied Economic Analysis, Heinz School, Carnegie Mellon University, Winter 2008 ACADEMIC SERVICES Journals Ad-hoc Reviewer • Strategic Management Journal • Management Science • Industry and Corporate Change • Strategic Entrepreneurship Journal • Management Information Systems Quarterly Conferences • Reviewer DRUID summer conference, Summer 2009. • Reviewer for Academy of Management Conference, 2008 • Ad-hoc reviewer, International Conference on Information Systems • Ad-hoc reviewer, Workshop on the Economics of Information Security PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE Page 5 of 5 • • • • IT Associate, Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, New York (1998-2000) Senior Consultant, Banking and Financial Services E-commerce, SIFY (2000-2001) Product Manager, Vergil Technologies Pvt. Ltd. San Mateo, California (2001-2002) Advisor, Nrelate, Inc., (2009-present) and VulcanTech LLC (2008-present) Page 6 of 5
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