Dover, NH Historical Enrollment School District: Dover, NH 10/27/2014 Historical Enrollment By Grade Birth Year 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Births 311 306 376 359 337 384 405 362 356 349 377 School Year 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 PK K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 UNGR K-12 PK-12 34 36 37 44 56 52 58 40 49 52 49 189 217 232 221 251 290 320 319 282 310 316 257 242 269 285 264 259 323 330 326 293 316 261 268 242 274 310 261 270 313 316 328 294 274 275 267 250 286 312 251 278 303 312 322 252 269 260 264 245 269 308 262 279 307 306 254 273 270 267 261 253 280 297 258 275 320 267 264 266 277 269 267 250 291 299 267 276 291 271 274 286 284 276 280 253 273 292 270 300 289 272 279 280 281 274 290 259 281 303 483 477 500 440 442 425 395 378 365 375 314 428 414 424 440 385 389 388 347 338 321 350 358 414 402 398 401 343 355 351 319 295 304 355 353 411 393 391 405 350 356 338 327 315 16 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3985 4026 4089 4074 4069 4031 4044 4065 3955 3983 4006 4019 4062 4126 4118 4125 4083 4102 4105 4004 4035 4055 7-12 2215 2218 2283 2236 2183 2119 2042 1975 1892 1891 1856 9-12 1624 1658 1737 1671 1619 1562 1488 1432 1360 1318 1283 Historical Enrollment in Grade Combinations Year 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 K-4 1233 1271 1270 1294 1356 1391 1472 1502 1506 1550 1554 K-5 1487 1544 1540 1561 1617 1644 1752 1799 1764 1825 1874 K-6 1754 1808 1806 1838 1886 1911 2002 2090 2063 2092 2150 K-8 2345 2368 2352 2403 2450 2468 2556 2633 2595 2665 2723 5-8 1112 1097 1082 1109 1094 1077 1084 1131 1089 1115 1169 6-8 858 824 812 842 833 824 804 834 831 840 849 7-8 591 560 546 565 564 557 554 543 532 573 573 Historical Percentage Changes Year 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 Change K-12 3985 4026 4089 4074 4069 4031 4044 4065 3955 3983 4006 Diff. 0 41 63 -15 -5 -38 13 21 -110 28 23 21 % 0.0% 1.0% 1.6% -0.4% -0.1% -0.9% 0.3% 0.5% -2.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% Dover, NH Historical Enrollment PK-12, 2004-2014 6000 5500 5000 4500 4019 4062 4126 4118 4125 4083 4102 4105 4004 4035 4055 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Dover, NH Projected Enrollment School District: Dover, NH 10/27/2014 Enrollment Projections By Grade* Birth Year Births 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 377 363 347 358 359 361 358 357 358 358 358 (est.) (est.) (est.) (est.) (est.) (est.) (est.) (est.) School Year 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 PK K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 UNGR K-12 PK-12 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 316 305 291 301 301 303 300 299 301 301 301 316 324 313 299 309 309 311 308 307 309 309 294 313 320 310 296 306 306 308 305 304 306 322 288 306 313 304 290 300 300 302 299 298 306 322 288 306 313 304 290 300 300 302 299 320 307 323 289 307 314 305 291 301 301 303 276 325 312 328 293 312 319 310 295 306 306 270 270 319 306 321 287 306 313 304 289 300 303 278 278 329 315 331 296 315 322 313 298 314 389 357 357 422 404 425 380 404 413 401 350 283 351 322 322 381 365 383 343 365 373 304 320 258 320 294 294 348 333 350 313 333 315 310 326 263 326 299 299 354 339 357 319 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4006 4034 4042 4043 4123 4134 4170 4194 4173 4172 4146 4055 4084 4093 4095 4176 4188 4225 4250 4230 4230 4205 *Projections should be updated on an annual basis. Based on an estimate of births Projected Enrollment in Grade Combinations* Based on children already born Based on students already enrolled Projected Percentage Changes Year K-4 K-5 K-6 K-8 5-8 6-8 7-8 7-12 9-12 Year K-12 Diff. 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 1554 1552 1518 1529 1523 1512 1507 1515 1515 1515 1513 1874 1859 1841 1818 1830 1826 1812 1806 1816 1816 1816 2150 2184 2153 2146 2123 2138 2131 2116 2111 2122 2122 2723 2732 2750 2781 2759 2756 2733 2744 2737 2724 2720 1169 1180 1232 1252 1236 1244 1226 1229 1222 1209 1207 849 873 909 963 929 930 921 938 921 908 904 573 548 597 635 636 618 602 628 626 602 598 1856 1850 1889 1897 2000 1996 2039 2078 2062 2050 2024 1283 1302 1292 1262 1364 1378 1437 1450 1436 1448 1426 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 4006 4034 4042 4043 4123 4134 4170 4194 4173 4172 4146 0 28 8 1 80 11 36 24 -21 -1 -26 0.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 2.0% 0.3% 0.9% 0.6% -0.5% 0.0% -0.6% 140 3.5% See "Reliability of Enrollment Projections" section of accompanying letter. Projections are more reliable for Years #1-5 in the future than for Years #6 and beyond. Change % Dover, NH Projected Enrollment Enrollment PK-12 TO 2024 Based On Data Through School Year 2014-15 6000 5500 5000 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 4055 4084 4093 4095 4176 4188 4225 4250 4230 4230 4205 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Dover, NH Historical & Projected Enrollment PK-12, 2004-2024 Enrollment Historical Projected 6000 5500 5000 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Dover, NH Birth-to-Kindergarten Relationship 500 450 Births 1999-2012 Births 400 350 300 250 K Enrollment 200 150 K Enrollment, 2004-2014 100 50 0 1999 2004 2000 2005 2001 2006 2002 2007 2003 2008 2004 2009 2005 2010 2006 2011 2007 2012 2008 2013 2009 2014 2010 2011 2012 Dover, NH Additional Data Building Permits Issued Enrollment History Multi-Units 25 Year 2005-06 Voc-Tech 9-12 Total 104 2010 68 7 2011 54 13 92 0 2012 90 40 2013 52 to Aug 31 6 to Aug 31 2014 Source: HUD and Building Department 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 88 83 120 n/a 75 Year 2005 Single-Family 59 Non-Public K-12 Total n/a 345 323 353 n/a 286 Residents in Non-Public Independent and Parochial Schools (General Education) Enrollments as of Oct. 1 K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 K-12 TOTAL 16 7 17 21 11 16 13 16 6 48 33 39 43 286 K-12 Home-Schooled Students 2014 87 K-12 Residents "Choiced-out" or in Charter or Magnet Schools 2014 18 K-12 Special Education Outplaced Students 2014 24 K-12 Choiced-In, Tuitioned-In, & Other Non-Residents 2014 0 The above data were used to assist in the preparation of the enrollment projections. If additional demographic work is needed, please contact our office.
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