City of Dover - Population Growth
1970-2000 and Projections 2005-2010
30,000
Population
25,000
25,042 26,884
20,850
28,562
29,205
22,377
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
1970
1980
1990
2000
2005*
2010*
* 2005 and 2010 figures are projections from the NH Office of State Planning
Percent Change by Decade: 1970 to 1980: 7.3%; 1980 to 1990: 11.9%; 1990 to 2000: 7.4%; 2000 to 2010: 8.6%
Source: US Census Bureau
City of Dover Total New Housing Units by
Building Permit 1983 to 2000
700
678
500
462
400
318
288
300
234
231
207
173
200
141
160
97 93
100
66 50
59 61
57 51
00
20
99
19
98
19
97
19
96
19
95
94
19
Year
19
93
19
92
19
91
19
90
19
89
19
88
19
87
19
86
19
85
19
84
19
83
0
19
H ousing U nits
600
Dwelling Units By Type - City of Dover 1985 - 2000
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
0
0
0
12
3
11
4
1
4
2
1
0
1
16
11
18
218
59
34
98
12
2
0
0
4
6
3
3
78
1
26
31
Condominiums 100 110 553 161
0
0
0
0
48
24
0
0
24
48
4
45
61
39
56
50
44
61
55
59
70
76
Mobile Homes
Apartments
Single Family
148 150 100
57
117 137
Dover’s Share of Regional
Housing Growth - 1985-1995
45%
40%
35%
30%
% Regional
Growth 19851995
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
Owner
Occupied
Housing Units
Renter
Occupied
Housing Units
City of Dover
Percent of Occupancy by Tenure
60%
Owner Occupied
Renter Occupied
55%
50%
45%
40%
35%
30%
1970
1980
1990
1995
Source: 1970, 1980, & 1990 Census
Comparative Household Income
Distribution
35.0%
Dover
30.0%
Region
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
U nde r
$15,000-
$30,000-
$50,000-
$15,000
$30,000
$50,000
$75,000
1996 Household Income
$75,000+
ASSISTED HOUSING UNITS BY COMMUNITY - 2000
944
1000
872
900
800
700
600
500
422
335
400
300
200
58
100
158
122
114
12
or
th
lem
sw
er
m
So
or
llin
sf
Ro
Source: "2000 Directory of Assisted Housing", NH Housing Finance Authority, July 2000
Sa
d
r
te
ch
es
Ro
m
rts
Po
Fa
rm
ing
t
ou
th
on
er
Ex
et
Du
rh
am
Do
ve
r
0
ASSISTED HOUSING UNITS AS A PERCENTAGE OF
TOTAL HOUSING UNITS - 2000
9.0%
8.0%
8.41%
7.76%
6.71%
7.0%
6.0%
4.88%
5.0%
4.0%
3.49%
3.0%
2.05%
2.0%
1.94%
1.43%
1.10%
1.0%
sw
or
th
So
m
er
Sa
le
m
R
ol
lin
sf
or
d
Ro
ch
es
te
r
th
Po
rts
m
ou
to
n
Fa
rm
in
g
Ex
et
er
ha
m
D
ur
D
ov
er
0.0%
Source: "Current Estimates and Trends in New Hampshire's Housing Supply 1980-1990 - Update 1999", NH Office of State Planning
DOVER SCHOOL ENROLLMENT
COMPARISON - 1990 & 2000
1535
1600
1400
# of Students
1200
1055 1037
1000
1034
1096
832
1990
2000
800
600
400
200
0
Grades 1-4
Grades 5-8
Grades 9-12*
* In 2000, 520 of the High School students were tuition students; in 1990 there were 285 tuition students.
NUMBER OF STUDENTS GENERATED BY HOUSING TYPE
CITY OF DOVER – 1999/2000 SCHOOL YEAR
Single
Family
2-3 Family
Mobile
Apartments Condominiums Homes
Public
Housing
Elementary
Schools
0.19
0.12
0.06
0.09
0.04
0.25
Middle
School
0.10
0.08
0.02
0.05
0.01
0.12
High School
0.13
0.08
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.09
Total
0.41
0.27
0.11
0.17
0.08
0.46
For single family subdivisions built in the last 5 years, the average of public
school age children is 0.63 per unit.
For single family subdivisions built in the last 10 years, the average of public
school age children is 0.54 per unit.
NUMBER OF BIRTHS OF DOVER RESIDENTS
1995 - 2000
300
250
252
227
235
228
231
1998
1999
2000
211
200
150
100
50
0
1995
1996
1997
# OF BIRTHS
SELECTED TRAFFIC COUNTS 1996 to 1999 - DOVER
25.0%
% Increase from 1996 to 1999
20.5%
20.0%
18.1%
% Increase
15.0%
10.8%
10.0%
7.7%
8.0%
7.7%
5.0%
0.0%
Dover Point Central
Central
Knox
Silver Sixth St. (w
of
Road
Avenue (@ Avenue (@ Marsh Street (w of
Cochecho Glenwood Road(s of
Towle) Glenwood
Ave)
Littleworth
Ave)
River
Bridge)
Rd)
TRAFFIC COUNT LOCATIONS
HOUSING TRENDS
• Dover has and continues to absorb a large
portion of the region’s housing growth.
• Much of this housing growth has been in
the rental unit sector.
• Value of the residential units have been on
the lower end of the price scale.
• Dover provides a large portion of the
regions’ affordable housing.
Challenging Decade Ahead
 Residential Development Pressures are Increasing.
- Region will need almost 20,000 new units over next
decade, a 23% increase.
- Dover is in a prime location for residential growth.
- Pease Tradeport will increase to 10,000 jobs in the
next 12 months. Estimated that this will rise to 15,000
jobs within the next 24 -36 months.
- Projections indicate that as many as 300 new units per
year could locate within the City unless changes are
made.
City of Dover - Developable Vacant Land
89.2%
3.6%
Residential - 4,375 acres
Industrial - 354 acres
7.2%
Commercial - 178 acres
CITY OF DOVER
ECONOMIC AND LAND USE MASTER PLAN
MAJOR GOAL:
For the City to achieve better balanced, fiscally sound,
and higher quality growth.
OBJECTIVES:
• Control residential growth while attracting a
diversity of housing types, including higher-end
single family units.
• Increase non-residential growth to diversify the
City’s tax base.
• Encourage Open Space Development & Protection
of Wetlands & Tidal River Corridors
Actions Accomplished...
Control residential growth, while attracting diversity of housing types,
including higher-end single family units
 Eliminated counting wetlands in determining minimum lot size requirements
 Required tripling lot sizes for new residential parcels created within 250-ft of
tidal water bodies
 Increased minimum lot size per dwelling unit for three multi-family zones:
Suburban Multi-residential
RM-20 from 4,000 to 10,000 sq ft/unit
Low Density Multi-residential RM-12 from 12,000 to 15,000 sq ft/unit
High Density Multi-residential RM-8 from 1,000 to 4,000 sq ft/unit
 Created minimum lot size per dwelling unit for Thoroughfare Business (B-3) &
Office (O) zones (none had existed):
Thoroughfare Business
B-3
from
0 to 5,000 sq ft/unit
Office
O
from
0 to 5,000 sq ft/unit
 Set aside Current Use penalty fees for preservation of open space through
purchase of land, easements, or development rights
 Amended the Alternative Design Subdivision Regulations to provide incentives
for preserving more useable open space.
Actions Accomplished Since Adoption of Landuse/Economic Development Section of Master Plan
Provide opportunities for Dover to take advantage of future
economic development & enhance downtown investment
climate
 Rezoned 350 acres on Durham & Mast Roads from
Residential to Rural Restricted Industrial (I-4) & Hotel/Retail
(B-4)
 Extended Thoroughfare Business (B-3) District along Central
Ave. adding 5 acres
 Reduced minimum lot size, frontage, setback requirements in
Executive, Technology Park (ETP) Zone
 Applied for & received acceptance to New Hampshire Main
Street Program
 Promoted Downtown & Riverfront redevelopment
Approved Units
NAME
H = Homes
LOCATION
A = Apts.
C = Condos
Code
Apartments:
Woodland Crossing
Fourth Street
Wingate Lane Condos
Back River Rd.
Craigin, Patrick
Knox Marsh/Hanson Rd.
Dovetail Ln.
Corbin Drive
Southwood Village
Mast Rd.
Sixth St. Station
Sixth Street
Millstone
Back River Road
Total: Multi-family
Subdivisions:
Mathes Hill III
Danielle/Spruce Ln
Parson's Lane
off Varney
Clay Hill
Sullivan Drive ADS
Conifer Commons
Glenwood Ave./Sixth St.
Country Homes Estates
Varney Road
Captains Landing
Dover Neck Rd.
Alden Woods
Sixth St.
Garrison Woods
Littleworth Rd.
Heron Cove
Watson Road
Meadow Wood at Dover
Middle Road
Barklan LLC
Tolend/Watson Rd.
Ezra Green’s Farm
Littleworth
Three Rivers Farm
Three Rivers Farm Rd
Northam Builders
Columbus
Goldberg/Spaulding
Columbus
Total: Single Family
TOTAL APPROVED UNITS
* NOTE: Built or permit issued and unit under construction.
Total units Units Built*
Units left
A
C
A
C
C
A
A
20
29
12
18
8
26
64
177
0
28
0
0
3
0
0
31
20
1
12
18
5
26
64
146
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
21
7
32
14
19
25
69
22
16
49
9
46
6
6
6
347
524
3
4
18
7
9
2
51
19
11
6
3
0
1
2
0
136
167
18
3
14
7
10
23
18
3
5
43
6
46
5
4
6
211
357
OPTIONS FOR PLANNING BOARD
CONSIDERATION
• Amend residential zoning to increase
minimum lot sizes and lot area per dwelling
unit requirements
• Adopt growth management ordinance to
limit the number of residential building
permits per year
• Adopt impact fee ordinance
• Other options?
Population Projections 2000 - 2020
7.0%
6.0%
6.4%
6.2%
5.7%
4.6%
4.0% 4.1%
5.0%
% Increase
6.1%
6.0%
4.8%
4.3%
4.0%
3.0%
City of
Dover
Strafford
Co.
N.H.
2.5%
2.3%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
2000-2005
Source: NH Office of State Planning
2005-2010
2010-2015
2015-2020
POPULATION CHANGE BY DECADE
25.00%
20.00%
PERCENT
CHANGE
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
1990
1999
2010
YEAR
DOVER
STRAFFORD COUNTY
STATE OF NH
Construction Value By Fiscal Year
* - Denotes Estimated Amount ($36.6 Mil Through 2/28/01)
60
40.9
33.2
40
30
20
10
18.2
7.8
10.3
31.4
35.9 18.3
Estimated
Actual
15.2
36.6
Fiscal Year
1
00
*2
00
20
19
99
98
19
97
19
96
19
95
19
94
19
93
0
19
$ In M illio n s
50
Permits Issued By Fiscal Year
Fiscal Year
1
00
*2
00
20
99
19
98
19
97
19
96
19
95
19
94
19
93
2000
1726
1800
1548
1437
1427 1431
1425 1363
1600
1400
1122
1034
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
19
P e rm it N u m b e rs
* - Denotes Estimated Number (1,032 Permits Through 2/28/00)
Total Dwelling Units Per Year
City of Dover 1990 - 2000
231
250
200
173
141
150
158
100 93
100
52 60
51
59
62
50
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Year
Dwelling Units By Type - City of Dover 1990 - 2000
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
Single Family
39
56
50
44
61
55
59
70
76
117
137
Condominiums
0
0
0
48
24
0
0
24
48
4
45
Apartments
2
0
0
4
6
3
3
78
1
26
31
Mobile Homes
11
4
1
4
2
1
0
1
16
11
18
Recommending a Policy:
Towards a Balanced, Quality Development Future
For Dover To Achieve Balanced, Fiscally Sound, Quality Development
Over the Next Decade, Rezoning Recommendations Would:
Achieve a healthy mix of residential & nonresidential
development that helps stabilize the tax rate, and does not
excessively penalize existing taxpayers.
Attract a diversity of housing types, including higher-end single
family units.
Fit new development into the City’s existing infrastructure of
roads, schools and utilities before extending services to new areas.
Enhance the downtown investment climate.
 Secure a fair share of new retail development, both as a
convenience to residents, and to diversify the City’s tax base.
FISC A L IM P A C T S O F D E V E L O P M E N T T O C IT Y
R E SID E N T IA L :
C ost to C ity to E ducate O ne C hild
$4,972.11
C ost to C ity F or O ther Services Per U nit
$600.00
Single Fam ily H om e:
0.72 students per unit
School C osts
Service C osts
T otal
A verage T ax R evenue per Single Fam ily H om e:
Fiscal Im pact:
2-3 U nit A partm ent
$3,579.92
$ 600.00
$4,179.92
$3,262.50
$ 917.42 shortfall
0.592 students per unit
School C osts
Service C osts
Total
A verage T ax R evenue per A partm ent U nit:
Fiscal Im pact per U nit:
Fiscal Im pact of D uplex:
Fiscal Im pact of T riplex:
$2,943.49
$ 600.00
$3,543.49
$1,566.00
$1,977.49 shortfall
$2,954.98 shortfall
$4,932.47 shortfall