Figure 1: Example of OES Survey Form
Figure 2: Reported Weekly Earnings from CPSMeasures of Central Tendency-Dr. Sandra West.
Figure 3: OES Wage Interval Boundaries 2003-2005
OES Wage Interval Boundaries
Interval
Lower
Bound
Upper
Bound
Interval
Width
%
Relative
% CV
A
$5.15
$6.74
$1.60
13.4
7.8
B
$6.75
$8.49
$1.75
11.5
6.6
C
$8.50
$10.74
$2.25
11.7
6.7
D
$10.75
$13.49
$2.75
11.3
6.5
E
$13.50
$16.99
$3.50
11.5
6.6
F
$17.00
$21.49
$4.50
11.7
6.7
G
$21.50
$27.24
$5.75
11.8
6.8
H
$27.25
$34.49
$7.25
11.7
6.8
I
$34.50
$43.74
$9.25
11.8
6.8
J
$43.75
$55.49
$11.75
11.8
6.8
K
$55.50
$69.99
$14.50
11.6
6.7
L
$70.00
8
Figure 4: Interval mean Wages using Proposed Methods
Mean Wages within OES wage intervals A through L
CPS, NCS, and OES data
Year
2004
OES Wage
Interval
A
Lower
Bound
5.15
Upper
Bound
6.74
Arithmetic
Mean
5.95
Geometric
Mean
5.89
NCS Mean
5.79
CPS Mean
5.37
B
6.75
8.49
7.62
7.57
7.52
7.54
C
8.50
10.74
9.62
9.55
9.55
9.56
D
E
10.75
13.50
13.49
16.99
12.12
15.25
12.04
15.14
12.03
15.11
12.06
15.10
F
17.00
21.49
19.25
19.11
19.06
19.01
G
21.50
27.24
24.37
24.20
24.27
24.05
H
27.25
34.49
30.87
30.66
30.42
30.39
I
J
34.50
43.75
43.74
55.49
39.12
49.62
38.85
49.27
38.60
48.54
38.30
48.46
K
55.50
69.99
62.75
62.33
61.39
61.29
L
70.00
103.91
161.43
17.59
18.32
Total
Figure 5: Interval Means 2003-2005
NCS and CPS Interval Means Across Years
Intervals
•
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
NCS Interval Means $
2003
2004
2005
5.78
5.79
5.82
7.51
7.52
7.54
9.57
9.55
9.55
12.03
12.03
12.03
15.11
15.11
15.10
19.04
19.06
19.06
24.23
24.27
24.27
30.40
30.42
30.43
38.49
38.60
38.57
48.75
48.54
48.68
61.20
61.39
61.36
CPS Interval Means $
2004
2005
5.37
5.41
7.54
7.55
9.56
9.56
12.06
12.05
15.10
15.12
19.01
18.99
24.05
24.10
30.39
30.38
38.30
38.41
48.46
48.63
61.29
61.16
2003
5.37
7.54
9.57
12.05
15.10
19.01
24.06
30.35
38.32
48.54
61.20
L
107.43
103.91
103.09
163.82
161.43
163.95
Overall
17.22
17.59
18.07
17.78
18.32
18.82
Means Wages in each interval for the three years are about the same.
Yearly Percentage Change
NCS%
CPS%
2004
2.15
3.04
2005
2.73
2.73
Figure 6: Distribution of Employment Across Years
NCS, CPS, and OES Employment Distribution
2003 - 2005
Intervals
A
B
C
D
2003
8.6
12.4
15.1
14.0
NCS %
2004
8.1
11.7
14.7
14.2
2003
8.0
12.1
15.1
14.4
CPS %
2004
7.2
12.0
14.7
13.9
2005
7.5
11.3
14.4
13.8
E
F
G
H
I
J
K
13.2
11.7
10.1
6.9
4.1
2.2
1.0
13.4
12.0
10.2
7.4
4.4
2.3
1.0
L
Totals
0.6
100.0
0.7
100.0
OES %
2004
7.3
12.3
14.3
14.0
2005
6.7
11.1
14.6
14.0
2003
7.7
13.0
14.6
14.2
13.7
12.2
10.2
7.7
4.7
2.7
1.1
13.8
12.7
10.1
6.4
4.0
1.9
0.8
14.0
13.0
10.4
6.5
4.4
2.1
0.9
14.0
13.0
10.6
7.0
4.5
2.4
1.1
13.5
12.4
9.8
6.4
3.9
2.1
1.0
13.6
12.4
10.3
6.7
4.2
2.3
1.1
13.7
12.5
10.4
7.0
4.4
2.4
1.2
0.7
100.0
0.9
100.0
1.0
100.0
1.1
100.0
1.3
100.0
1.4
100.0
1.4
100.0
2005
6.8
12.2
14.3
14.0
Figure 7: Validation of OES Methodologies for 2005
Comparison of CPS mean wages to means calculated using NCS Interval means, state minimum wages and a proposed option
Interval L methodology *
Year Occupational Group
CPS
90% Confidence
Mean Wage using
Mean Unweighted Intervals About the OES Interval
Wage Sample Size CPS Mean Wage Methodology
Error
%
Relative
Error
2005 Management Occupations
$29.96
Business and financial operations occupations
$25.15
Computer and mathematical science occupations
$30.64
Architecture and engineering occupations
$28.90
Life, physical, and social science occupations
$26.74
Community and social service occupations
$19.96
Legal occupations
$32.71
Education, training, and library occupations
$22.40
Arts, design, entertainment, sports, and media occupations $25.52
Healthcare practitioner and technical occupations
$25.77
Healthcare support occupations
$11.44
Protective service occupations
$17.80
Food preparation and serving related occupations
$9.68
Building and grounds cleaning and maintenance occupations $10.91
Personal care and service occupations
$11.36
Sales and related occupations
$17.90
Office and administrative support occupations
$14.76
Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations
$9.98
Construction and extraction occupations
$16.95
Installation, maintenance, and repair occupations
$18.65
Production occupations
$14.95
Transportation and material moving occupations
$14.73
15,758
7,131
4,166
3,656
1,959
3,096
1,872
11,546
2,711
8,999
4,234
3,891
10,489
6,377
4,755
19,043
27,053
1,355
10,037
6,651
12,487
11,153
(29.51,30.42)
(24.53,25.77)
(29.67,31.60)
(27.95,29.87)
(25.92,27.55)
(19.03,20.90)
(31.51,33.92)
(21.83,22.98)
(24.80,26.24)
(25.39,26.16)
(11.17,11.71)
(17.43,18.16)
( 9.58, 9.79)
(10.76,11.06)
(11.12,11.60)
(17.52,18.28)
(14.59,14.92)
( 9.58,10.37)
(16.55,17.34)
(18.01,19.29)
(14.79,15.12)
(14.49,14.97)
$28.77
$24.76
$29.16
$28.19
$26.16
$19.35
$30.05
$21.14
$22.10
$25.30
$11.41
$17.71
$9.83
$11.02
$11.44
$17.23
$14.54
$10.19
$16.68
$18.16
$14.79
$14.35
-1.20
-0.39
-1.47
-0.72
-0.58
-0.62
-2.67
-1.27
-3.42
-0.47
-0.03
-0.08
0.15
0.11
0.08
-0.67
-0.21
0.21
-0.27
-0.49
-0.16
-0.38
(4.00%)
(1.56%)
(4.81%)
(2.50%)
(2.18%)
(3.09%)
(8.15%)
(5.65%)
(13.4%)
(1.84%)
(0.24%)
(0.46%)
1.53%
1.04%
0.75%
(3.76%)
(1.44%)
2.11%
(1.59%)
(2.65%)
(1.09%)
(2.56%)
2005 All Occupations
178,419
(18.69,18.91)
$18.27
-0.53
(2.81%)
$18.80
Figure 8
Group I - OES Occupations with 40% Employment in Interval L
Weighted
No.
SOC
Occ #
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
29-1067
29-1061
29-1064
29-1063
29-1066
29-1069
11-1011
29-1062
53-2011
29-1065
84
84
84
84
84
84
4
84
226
84
Interval L
Employment
Occupation
% Emp in L
Surgeons
Anesthesiologists
OBGyn
Internists, general
Psychiatrists
Physicians/Surgeons
Chief Executives
Family/Gen. practition
Pilot/Copilot/Fl.engin.
Pediatricians, gen.
Emp in L
82
78
77
59
50
49
49
46
46
43
44,000
22,000
17,000
29,000
12,000
88,000
156,000
52,000
35,000
12,000
Figure 9
Group II - OES Occupations with 15 - 30% Employment in Interval L
Weighted
No.
SOC
Occ #
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
29-1081
23-1011
29-1199
27-2021
41-3031
11-1021
11-2022
11-2021
13-2052
13-2051
41-9021
25-1112
88
178
84
199
255
22
243
13
25
7
254
145
Interval L
Employment
Occupation
% Emp in L
Podiatrists
Lawyers
Health Dia/Treat Prac
Athletes and Sports
Secur./Comm./Finance.
General/Operation Mgr.
Sales Managers
Mkt. Managers
Personal Financial Ad.
Financial Managers
Real Estate Brokers
Law teachers, postsec.
27
25
24
21
19
18
18
17
16
15
15
15
Emp in L
2,200
134,000
14,000
2,600
48,000
304,000
57,000
29,000
18,000
70,000
6,100
2,000
Figure 10
Group III - OES Occupations with 5 - 14% Employment in Interval L
No.
SOC
Occ #
Weighted
Occupation
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
29-1041
29-1011
11-3021
11-9121
11-9041
15-2011
29-1199
13-1011
11-2011
25-1042
11-2031
27-2012
41-1012
29-1131
19-3011
13-2051
19-2042
87
84
64
22
59
66
134
22
13
114
13
187
22
86
166
25
75
Optometrists
Chiropractors
Computer/Info Sys Mgr
Natural Sciences Mgr.
Engineering Managers
Actuaries
Health Spec. teachers
Agents/Business Mgr.
Ad. & Promo. Mgr.
Bio. Teacher, Postsec.
PR Managers
Producers/Directors
First-line Supv./Mgr.
Veterinarians
Economists
Financial Analysts
Geoscientists
Interval L Employment
% Emp in L
Emp in L
14
13
13
13
12
12
11
11
11
11
10
9
8
7
6
6
6
3,000
3,000
34,000
5,000
23,000
1,900
12,000
1,200
5,000
6,000
4,000
5,000
22,000
3,000
800
11,000
1,700
Figure 11. Mean Wages for Interval L
All data
Excluding Pilots
1999
2000
2001
2002
$124.55
107.33
107.37
101.14
$109.44
100.76
101.35
94.23
Avg
110.10
101.44
Figure 12. Airline Pilots Mean Wages
2003
2004
2005
NCS Published
NCS Calculated
OES Published
$ 98.47 / hr
113.82 / hr
95.50 / hr
$ 111,800 / yr
121,100 / yr
116,300 / yr
$ 129,900 / yr
129,600 / yr
135,000 / yr
Figure 13
NCS Occupational Groups
Group Occupational Description
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
K
Professional and Technical Occupations
Executive, Administrative, and Managerial Occupations
Sales Occupations
Administrative Support Occupations, Including Clerical
Precision Production, Craft, and Repair Occupations
Machine Operators, Assemblers, and Inspectors
Transportations and Material Moving Occupations
Handlers, Equipment Cleaners, Helper, and Labors
Service Occupations, Expert Private Household
Figure 14
Options ΙΙ and ΙΙΙ - - NCS Major Occupational Groups
Mean 2004
A
B
C
Weighted
%
Mean
Employment Employment Wage for
in Interval L in Interval L Interval L
Professional and Technical Occupations
288,800
2.002
$101.38
Executive, Administrative, and Managerial Occupations
210,500
3.584
101.99
Sales Occupations
50,100
0.628
127.34
D
E
F
G
H
K
Administrative Support Occupations, Including Clerical
Precision Production, Craft, and Repair Occupations
Machine Operators, Assemblers, and Inspectors
Transportations and Material Moving Occupations
Handlers, Equipment Cleaners, Helper, and Labors
Service Occupations, Expert Private Household
OCS
Group Occupations
Overall All Occupations
500
200
0
0
0
1,900
0.004
0.003
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.011
116.73
91.59
.
72.43
.
80.99
552,100
0.681
103.91
Figure 15
RESULTS
Fail Criteria: Weighted employment in interval L > 1000 and
Relative error on mean wages per hour > 10% for 2 or 3 years
Occ
Code Title
Average Weighted Average %
employment in
employment
interval L
in interval L
Current
Method
Overall
Mean
Option I
Sales vs.
Combination of
Non-Sales Occupation Option
Option III
IV
119 College & University, Teachers
6,000
45
Pass
Failed
Failed
Pass
127 College & University, Teachers
6,000
33
Pass
Failed
Borderline
Pass
179 Judges
3,000
30
Failed
Failed
Failed
Pass
226 Pilots
62,000
70
Failed
Failed
Failed
N/A
255 Financial Service Sales
19,000
12
Failed
Failed
Pass
Pass
166 Economists
4,000
6
Pass
Pass
Pass
Failed
186 Musicians & Composers
4,000
15
Pass
Pass
Pass
Failed
198 Announcers
6,000
10
Pass
Pass
Pass
Failed
Figure 16: Pilots Mean Wages
NCS Published NCS Calculated OES Published
2003
$ 98.47 / hr
$ 111,800 / yr $ 129,900 / yr
2004
113.82 / hr
121,100 / yr
129,600 / yr
2005
95.50 / hr
116,300 / yr
135,000 / yr
OES Calculated w/NCS
Pilots yearly mean for
interval L
(Approximation)
$ 114,600 / yr
114,300 / yr
119,700 / yr