press release

Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia
Oct 22, 2012
Press release on the L’Aquila sentence
INGV expresses its deep concern for the initial judgment at the L’Aquila trail, that convicts the
members of the Commissione Grandi Rischi (CGR), the vice director of Civil Protection
Department (DPC), the director of the Seismic Risk Office of the DPC, and the Director of the
INGV National Earthquake Center in 2009.
Our thoughts go once again to the earthquake victims and their relatives: we know that no sentence
could never act to compensate for the loved ones, lost in this disaster.
However, it is important to stress that this sentence sets a precedent that could affect dramatically
the relationship between scientists and decision makers, not only in our country but also worldwide.
The conviction of L’Aquila is likely to compromise the right/duty of scientists to take part in the
public debate through the communication of research outside of the scientific context, in fear of
being convicted. Which scientist will express her/his opinion being consciously aware he/she could
go to jail for doing so?
Italy is one of the most seismically active regions of the world, where tens of earthquakes occur
every day, most of which are not felt by people. This seismic activity is continuously monitored by
INGV 24 hours a day, every day of the year. Based on historical data and results of scientific
research, INGV has published an up-to-date seismic hazard map which is an important tool of
knowledge and prevention in earthquake science.
According to the international scientific literature, it is impossible to deterministically predict an
earthquake. For this reason, asking INGV to indicate how, when and where the next earthquake will
strike is not only useless but also wrong because it feeds, in an unjustified way, the expectations of
people living in earthquake prone areas.
The most effective actions for seismic risk reduction are prevention, information, and education,
where scientific institutions, Civil Protection, and local authorities play their specific roles,
coordinating among them. Therefore, INGV collaborates with the DPC and the Commissione
Grandi Rischi (the consultant body of DPC), carrying out its activity in scientific information
dissemination, education and prevention, every day of the year and during seismic crises.
This is what happened in the tragic case of L’Aquila earthquake, and what happens every day
throughout our country, where the seismic risk is high in many areas. But prevention actions
include, first of all, the reduction of vulnerability for old and weak buildings.
After today, it will be very difficult to appear in public to speak about the ongoing seismic activity,
with the risk that scientists are prosecuted for omissions or false alarms.
We are profoundly shocked by the L’Aquila sentence, because it risks to undermine the foundations
of scientific research: the freedom of investigation, open and transparent discussion, sharing of
results, all of which are essential factors in scientific progress. Convincing science means leaving
open space to false prophets and boasters pretending to predict earthquakes, renouncing the
contribution of scientists. Although it is a terrible blow, INGV will go on with its research work
with the highest dedication and strengthening its presence in the society with a correct information
and education.