Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Employment Statistics Highlights October 2009 Bureau of Labor Statistics November 6, 2009 B-1. Employment in total nonfarm 1999-2009 Seasonally adjusted, in thousands 140,000 140,000 137,500 137,500 135,000 135,000 132,500 132,500 130,000 130,000 127,500 127,500 October 2009 125,000 125,000 Level: 130,848 Change: -190 122,500 122,500 120,000 120,000 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Notes: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that began in Dec. 2007. Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary. B-2. Employment in total nonfarm Over-the-month change, 2008-09 Seasonally adjusted, in thousands 0 -150 -72 -144 -122 -160 -137 -161 -128 -154 -175 -219 -300 -303 -321 -450 -190 -304 -380 -463 -600 -750 -519 -597 -681 -681 -652 -741 -900 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Note: Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary. • Total nonfarm employment declined by 190,000 in October. • Payroll employment has fallen for 22 consecutive months with losses totaling 7.3 million. • The past 3 months have seen an average job loss of 188,000, compared with job losses averaging 357,000 during the prior 3 months. From November 2008 to April 2009, payroll employment experienced the greatest monthly declines since the recession started, with losses averaging 645,000. B-3. Employment in total nonfarm Over-the-year percent changes, 2008-09 2.0 1.0 Seasonally adjusted, percent 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 -1.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 -0.7 -1.1 -2.0 -1.6 -2.2 -3.0 -2.7 -3.1 -4.0 -3.5 -3.8 -3.9 -4.1 -4.2 -4.2 -4.2 -4.0 -5.0 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Note: Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary. • In October, total nonfarm employment decreased by 4.0 percent over the year, an improvement over the 4.2 percent rate of the prior 3 months. B-4. Average weekly hours, total private 1999-2009 35.0 Seasonally adjusted 35.0 October 2009 Level: 33.0 34.5 34.5 Change: 0.0 34.0 34.0 33.5 33.5 33.0 33.0 32.5 32.5 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Notes: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that began in Dec. 2007. Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary. B-5. Index of total private aggregate weekly hours 1999-2009 115 Seasonally adjusted, 2002=100 115 October 2009 110 Level: 98.3 Percent change: -0.2 110 105 105 100 100 95 95 90 90 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Notes: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that began in Dec. 2007. Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary. Aggregate weekly hours are the product of average weekly hours and production and nonsupervisory workers. • In October, the average workweek of production and nonsupervisory employees was unchanged at 33.0 hours. • Average weekly hours have been little changed since March, either 33.0 or 33.1 each month. • The index of total private aggregate weekly hours fell 0.2 percent in October. Since reaching a peak in December 2007, the index has fallen by 8.8 percent. B-6. Over-the-year percent changes in average hourly earnings and CPI-W (1982-84=100) 1999-2009 8.0 Seasonally adjusted, percent 8.0 AHE 6.0 6.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 CPI-W -2.0 Over-the-year percent changes October 2009 AHE: 2.4 -2.0 September 2009 CPI-W: -1.7 -4.0 -4.0 Sources: BLS, Consumer Price Indexes program and Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Notes: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that began in Dec. 2007. Most recent 2 months of CES data are preliminary. B-7. Index of total private aggregate weekly payrolls 1999-2009 140 130 Seasonally adjusted, 2002=100 140 October 2009 130 Level: 122.9 120 Percent change: 0.0 110 120 110 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Notes: Shaded areas represent recessions as determined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). NBER has not yet determined an endpoint for the recession that began in Dec. 2007. Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary. Aggregate weekly payrolls are the product of average hourly earnings, average weekly hours, and production and nonsupervisory workers. • In October, average hourly earnings of production and nonsupervisory employees rose 5 cents to $18.72. Over the past year, average hourly earnings have risen by 2.4 percent. The Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) fell by 1.7 percent over the year ending in September. • The index of total private aggregate weekly payrolls has remained about unchanged since June, after declining for 10 consecutive months. B-8. Employment in total nonfarm Over-the-month change, October 2009 Seasonally adjusted, in thousands Mining and logging -6 Construction -62 Manufacturing -61 Wholesale trade -8 Retail trade -40 Transportation and warehousing -18 Utilities 0 Information -1 Financial activities -8 Total nonfarm: -190 Professional and business services 18 Education and health services 45 Leisure and hospitality -37 Other services -12 Government 0 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Note: Data are preliminary. • In October, payroll employment losses occurred in most industries. The largest job losses over the month were in construction, manufacturing, and retail trade. • Despite continued payroll employment declines in most industries, the job losses have moderated substantially since April. • Some industries added jobs in October. Education and health services continued to grow by adding 45,000 jobs. • Although, some industries are still experiencing notable employment declines, the losses are much smaller and less widespread than they were last fall and winter. B-9. Employment in construction Over-the-month change, October 2009 Seasonally adjusted, in thousands 0 -3.2 -5.6 -10 -10.7 -9.1 -10.3 -9.4 -13.7 -20 -26.2 -30 -30.2 October 2009 Prior 12-mo. avg. -35.6 -40 Residential building Nonresidential building Heavy and civil engineering Residential specialty trades Nonresidential specialty trades Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Note: Data are preliminary. • Construction cut 62,000 jobs in October, similar to average job losses of the prior 5 months of 68,000. • Losses were concentrated in 2 of the industry’s components: nonresidential specialty trade contractors (-30,000) and heavy and civil engineering construction (-14,000). B-10. Employment in manufacturing Over-the-month change, 2008-09 Seasonally adjusted, in thousands 0 -50 -30 -33 -52 -49 -57 -51 -51 -41 -67 -65 -55 -45 -61 -100 -119 -121 -150 -123 -150 -146 -172 -172 -180 -200 -250 -262 -300 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Note: Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary. B-11. Employment in durable goods manufacturing Over-the-month change, October 2009 Seasonally adjusted, in thousands Wood products -2 Nonmetallic mineral products -8 Primary metals -1 Durable goods: -44 Fabricated metal products Machinery -5 -10 Computer and electronic products -6 Electrical equipment and appliances -3 Transportation equipment -2 Furniture and related products -5 Miscellaneous manufacturing -3 -15 -10 -5 0 5 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Note: Data are preliminary. • In October, manufacturing shed 61,000 jobs, continuing the moderating trend seen in the prior 3 months that averaged losses of 47,000. Manufacturing lost jobs at a faster rate between October 2008 and June 2009, during which time 1.3 million jobs were cut, with losses averaging 161,000 per month. • Manufacturing has 2.1 million fewer jobs in October than at the start of the recession. • Employment in durable goods manufacturing fell by 44,000 in October and job losses were widespread throughout the industry. B-12. Employment in retail trade Over-the-month change, 2008-09 15 Seasonally adjusted, in thousands 3.8 0 -15 -30 -45 -60 -15.5 -20.1 -20.1 -24.2 -37.7 -45.6 -48.4 -20.9 -28.1 -32.7 -45.7 -46.4 -56.3 -61.4 -44.5 -39.8 -44.2 -57.2 -61.9 -75 -90 -88.1 -90.8 -105 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Note: Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary. • Employment in retail trade fell by 40,000 in October. Employment declines were concentrated in sporting goods, hobby, book, and music stores (-16,000) and in department stores (-11,000). B-13. Employment in transportation and warehousing Over-the-month change, 2008-09 10 Seasonally adjusted, in thousands 2 0 -1 -3 -2 -2 -3 -10 -12 -20 -14 -15 -15 -18 -30 -40 -33 -34 -36 -18 -18 -25 -27 -35 -15 -32 -44 -50 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Note: Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary. • In October, transportation and warehousing shed 18,000 jobs, continuing the recent trend of moderate job loss. Since May, the industry has averaged monthly losses of 15,000 jobs. B-14. Employment in financial activities Over-the-month change, 2008-09 0 Seasonally adjusted, in thousands -10 -20 -30 -7 -14 -14 -18 -8 -11 -9 -13 -8 -14 -17 -23 -26 -27 -27 -33 -33 -40 -41 -50 -60 -45 -46 -56 -56 -70 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Note: Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary. • Financial activities payroll employment declined by 8,000, similar to September’s loss of 9,000 jobs. • The industry has not had losses this small since the summer of 2008. Financial activities incurred the greatest losses from September 2008 to June 2009, during which time job losses averaged 39,000 per month. B-15. Employment in temporary help services Over-the-month change, 2008-09 60 Seasonally adjusted, in thousands 34 40 20 3 0 -1 -6 -20 -40 -60 -23 -25 -38 -34 -37 -34 -43 -37 -48 -30 -45 -57 -54 -80 -100 7 -73 -90 -73 -90 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Note: Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary. • Employment in temporary help services rose by 34,000 in October after having edged up in August and September. • Before that, the industry had lost 838,000 jobs since the beginning of this recession, in December 2007, through July. B-16. Employment in selected health care industries Over-the-month change, October 2009 Seasonally adjusted, in thousands Ambulatory health Ambulatory healthcare care services* services* 12.5 Offices of physicians 4.8 Outpatient care centers 4.1 Home health care services Health care: +28.5 5.1 Hospitals Hospitals 10.0 Nursing and residential care Nursing and residential care facilities facilities 6 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, November 6, 2009. Note: Data are preliminary. * Includes additional component industries not shown separately. • In October, health care employment continued to trend up, rising by 29,000 jobs. The industry’s payroll employment has increased by 597,000 since the start of the recession, gaining an average 27,000 jobs every month. • Except for a job loss in July 2003 (-9,000), health care has not posted a job loss in the past 10 years.
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