Understanding the Changes in Manufacturing and Sourcing Abstract How will onshoring and nearshoring impact the intermodal freight network? What data are available to bring clarity to the public and private decision making? a large increase in U.S. automobile and appliance manufacturing in recent years due to the favorable employment rates and the ability to get the product to market. The dramatic increase in international trade in containers, was the catalyst for intermodal traffic growth in North America. The need to transport the huge container volumes experienced in a cost efficient manner led to the development of the double stack containers cars and eventually the transformation of the intermodal business into a domestic container system. Outsourcing is not going to disappear but it could be an issue impacting our infrastructure demands going forward. Without a substantial upgrade and investment in U.S. infrastructure, there could be more reliance on neighboring countries for manufactured products. In recent years, significant changes in offshore sourcing have caused many U.S. manufacturers to reevaluate their sourcing options. These included: increased costs of manufacturing in Asia as a result of higher wage rates in emerging markets; higher logistics expenses due to increased fuel costs; port congestion; international security concerns; political pressures to stay home following the recession; and, an updated rail infrastructure in Mexico. Mexico, a successful and growing example of nearsourcing, now has a modernized and efficient rail structure enabling products to reach U.S. destinations easily. Mexico has enjoyed U.S. Manufacturing is the World’s Eighth Largest Economy •The U.S. manufacturing sector is so huge that if it were its own country, it would rank as the eighth-largest world economy. The United States produces the most goods and services overall as measured by gross domestic product (GDP), and is far ahead of second-place China. Another major factor that will influence where goods are sourced from is consumer preferences. Consumers, more than ever before, are given a broad array of options when choosing products. Referred to as omni-channels, they can select products from a physical store, online store, mobile application, print catalog or social media. This is already having profound influence on big box stores, and traditional distribution practices, with Amazon dominating online purchasing and investing heavily in the logistics needed to extend all the way through its delivery chain. Primary Resources: Manufacturing Jobs Returning to America •Made in the U.S.A. is hot again, and the number of manufacturing jobs that are returning to the U.S. — or coming to the U.S. for the first time — from overseas has hit a record level. •Shale gas activity in the US has taken root in the last several years, and its effects on the country’s energy mix and energy independence have progressed beyond prognostication and shaped new realities. The ‘shale effect’ on manufacturing, too, is taking shape—making the US a more attractive locale due to relatively low energy and feedstock costs. •2014’s net increase of at least 10,000 jobs was the first net gain in at least 20 years. •One big catalyst behind the trend: escalating wages in traditionally lower-cost countries, including China, have pushed companies to reconsider sourcing strategies. The Myth of Manufacturing Jobs Returning to America •For the casual observer, it is easy to get the impression that manufacturing in America has entered a new renaissance. •U.S. government data points to a different picture where, coming out of the Great Recession, American manufacturing has still not recovered to 2007 output or employment levels. Moreover, the lion’s share of growth that has occurred appears to have been driven by a cyclical, rather than structural, recovery, and as such may represent only a temporary trend. Government and Industry Organizations Mexico’s Manufacturing Sector Continues to Grow •Mexico’s economy has performed well relative to other major Latin American economies in recent years, largely because of its thriving manufacturing sector. The country has continued to see solid growth because of its integration with and dependence on the U.S. market. •Rising wages in China have once again shifted the equation in global manufacturing. Average manufacturing labor costs in Mexico are now almost 20 percent lower than in China, whereas in 2000, Mexico’s labor costs were 58 percent more expensive than China’s. Industry Trends •Companies realize that in many cases they overdid it, and are discovering hidden costs in moving production a long way from home. •Shift in consumer shopping behaviors from in-store to more online shopping has created an increase in demand for faster delivery of “last-mile goods”. •National Association of Manufactures: The National Association of Manufacturers (NAM) is the largest manufacturing association in the United States, representing small and large manufacturers in every industrial sector and in all 50 states. •Manufacturing Institute: The Manufacturing Institute is the authority on the attraction, qualification, and development of world-class manufacturing talent. •Reshoring Initiative: The mission of the Reshoring Initiative is to bring good, well-paying manufacturing jobs back to the United States by assisting companies to more accurately assess their total cost of offshoring, and shift collective thinking from offshoring is cheaper to local reduces the total cost of ownership.
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